Bitcoin Mid-Term, 4H Timeframe, Bullish ($119,165 Next Target)On the 4H timeframe we have a consolidation pattern with a bullish bias. Bitcoin is aiming higher after a close above EMA8 & 13 with higher lows.
The drop 13-June found support perfectly at 0.786 Fib. retracement on a wick. The session closed above 0.618. The action turned bullish immediately and we are seeing slow but steady growth.
The recent drop was a market reaction due to a geopolitical situation. As soon as the event is priced in, the market seeks balance and goes back to its previous trend.
Bitcoin's bullish bias is not only supported by strong prices, $105,600 is very strong, but also by the altcoins and the cyclical nature of the market.
While Bitcoin already produced several new all-time highs this year the altcoins are yet to do the same. A bull market happens every four years or the year after the halving. For Bitcoin this is already true but this is a marketwide event and the altcoins are yet to go there and this is a bullish factor and soon this will be obvious on the chart.
We are 5-6 days away only from very strong bullish action. Notice that this isn't a long time, it is less than a week. The altcoins will reveal this bullish bias much sooner than Bitcoin but Bitcoin will also grow and hit a new all-time high soon. This new all-time high will be the catalyst for everything to boom.
» Ignore the short-term it is all noise—crypto is going up.
The next target is $107,558, followed by $109,508 on this timeframe. The latter being a mild resistance.
The main target here is $119,165 and this is a good resistance zone. It can be rounded up to $120,000. If this level gets hit it will only confirm additional growth. The target that follows is $130,000 and the minimum for this cycle is $160,000 but we are aiming higher.
Feel free to follow for more.
I will continue to detail Bitcoin on all the timeframes as well as many of the top, mid- and small altcoins.
Thank you for your support.
It is appreciated.
Namaste.
BTCUSDT
HelenP. I Bitcoin will continue to move up inside triangleHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. After rebounding from the support level, the price initially showed strength and moved upward. However, the bullish momentum was short-lived, and the price began a downward correction, forming a well-defined descending channel. During this decline, the price dropped below the support zone, confirming short-term bearish dominance. Despite this breakdown, bulls regained control, and the price started forming a series of higher lows, resulting in the development of a symmetrical triangle. This structure signals compression and potential preparation for a breakout. The current price action confirms that BTC is now recovering within this triangle, supported by the upward trend line drawn from the recent lows. Given the strength of this recovery and the stabilization above the support zone, I expect the price to make a small correction and then continue climbing toward the resistance level at 110000. That’s why my current goal remains focused on this level, representing both a psychological and technical barrier aligned with previous local highs. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
NZDJPY TECHNICALS AND FUNDAMENTALS DETAILED ANALYSISNZDJPY is currently trading around the 87.00 handle and has just bounced strongly from a well-respected support zone. The pair is now showing clear signs of recovery after a brief corrective dip, and price action on the 8H chart confirms a bullish reversal structure. The support held firmly, and we’ve already seen a solid rejection wick forming the foundation of this new impulsive leg up. With this momentum in play, I’m targeting the 90.00 zone in the coming sessions.
On the macro front, the New Zealand dollar is benefiting from a relatively hawkish RBNZ stance. Inflation pressures remain sticky in New Zealand, and the central bank has reiterated its cautious approach toward rate cuts. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen remains under persistent selling pressure due to the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose policy and intervention uncertainty. These diverging central bank outlooks are fueling continued upside in NZDJPY as carry trade flows remain in favor of the kiwi.
From a technical perspective, the market structure remains bullish. After retesting a previous higher low, price is climbing within a clean channel and has broken minor resistance levels convincingly. This aligns well with a swing continuation pattern toward the 90.00 mark. Momentum is supported by increasing bullish volume, and as long as we remain above 86.00, the bulls are firmly in control.
In my analysis, this is a textbook setup. We’re seeing higher lows, strong trend continuation, and a macro-backed directional bias. I’m long from 87.00 with a bullish outlook into 90.00. I’ll reassess price action as we approach major resistance levels, but until then, I remain confidently positioned with a clear technical and fundamental confluence.
Bitcoin will make a small upward move and then continue to fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Earlier, the price was confidently growing inside an Upward Wedge, showing a series of higher highs and higher lows. This rising structure was supported by consistent momentum until BTC reached the seller zone between 110300 and 111100, where the growth slowed down and started to fade. From there, the price rejected this resistance and shifted into a Range, bounded by 100500 and 110300. BTC has been fluctuating inside this horizontal structure for some time, unable to break above the seller zone or below the buyer support. Now BTC is showing signs of weakness, forming a minor correction and struggling to reclaim previous highs. Given this structure and rejection from the seller zone, I expect BTC to make a small upward move and then start a decline toward the support level at 100500, which also coincides with the bottom of the range and acts as a strong psychological level. For this reason, I set my TP at 100500 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
$BTC correction: targets 101k, 97.5k, 94k, 87kThe hype is peaking — institutions, banks, Wall Street, and even governments are buying Bitcoin.
Yet despite the frenzy, BTC has been rejected three times around the $110K level and appears to be heading into another correction.
Bitcoin maximalists are pushing a strong FOMO narrative to attract retail investors, but several factors are pushing back:
- Psychological barrier: At these price levels, retail investors are hesitant. Owning just a "fraction" of a Bitcoin doesn’t appeal to the average person.
- Geopolitical tension: The conflict with Iran is serious. This isn’t a small, isolated country — Iran is a millennia-old civilization with global alliances. This situation won't resolve quickly or easily like Libya, Syria, or Iraq.
- Oil price surge: Escalating tensions could disrupt the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for global oil. Western sanctions on Russia already strain supply — if Iran joins, where will Europe get its energy? U.S. supply won’t be enough. Expect a spike in inflation.
- Recession risks: Persistent inflation could drive a recession in the second half of the year.
- Trade wars & tariffs: No resolution, just chaos.
- Ukraine-Russia war: Still unresolved. Still draining global stability.
In short, the world is burning — and this is terrible for markets.
Bitcoin maximalists — some even selling company shares to buy more BTC — may soon face the harsh reality: Bitcoin needs a deeper flush before it can rally again. Retail won’t return until altseason clears the way and resets sentiment.
In a cycle dominated by propaganda, institutional manipulation, and global unrest, predictions are fragile. The only guide left: the chart.
Technically, we’re in correction mode again. Comparing with past cycles, potential pullback targets are:
$101K, $97.5K, $94K, $87K
There’s massive support at $74K, but it's unlikely we revisit it soon.
Stay cautious. DYOR.
#Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #BTCUpdate #Geopolitics #Altseason #CryptoCorrection #MacroView #CryptoFOMO #RiskAssets #DYOR
Bitcoin Strategic Interval, CME Dislocation and Macro Friction.⊢
𝟙⟠ - BTC/USDT - Binance - (CHART: 1W) - (June 17, 2025).
⟐ Analysis Price: $106,851.31.
⊢
I. ⨀ Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval - (1W):
▦ EMA21 – ($96,818.00):
∴ The current candle closes +10.3% above the EMA21, maintaining bullish dominance over the mid-term dynamic average;
∴ This is the 17th consecutive weekly candle closing above the EMA21 since its reclaim in February 2025, forming a structurally intact uptrend;
∴ No violation or wick-close below the EMA21 has occurred since April, and the distance from price to EMA21 remains within a standard deviation of mid-trend movement.
✴ Conclusion: The trend is active and preserved. EMA21 acts as dynamic support and bullish pressure zone. A reversion would only be expected if weekly closes return below $98K with volume confirmation.
⊢
▦ SMA200 – ($48,969.73):
∴ The 200-week simple moving average remains untouched since early 2023, never tested during the current cycle;
∴ The slope of the SMA200 is positive and gradually increasing, indicating a long-term structural trend recovery;
∴ Price stands +118% above the SMA200, a level historically associated with mid-cycle rallies or overheated continuation phases.
✴ Conclusion: The SMA200 confirms long-term bullish structure. Its current distance from price makes it irrelevant for immediate action but critical as the absolute invalidation level of the macro trend.
⊢
▦ Ichimoku – Kumo | Tenkan | Kijun:
∴ Price is above the Kumo cloud, with Span A ($107,172.16) and Span B ($98,562.38) creating a bullish tunnel of support;
∴ The Kijun-sen rests at $95,903.19, slightly below EMA21, and aligns with the last strong horizontal range;
∴ Chikou Span is free from historical candles, confirming trend continuity under Ichimoku principles.
✴ Conclusion: All Ichimoku components are aligned bullish. Pullbacks to the Kijun around $96K would be healthy within a macro-uptrend, and only sub-cloud closes would question this formation.
⊢
▦ Fibonacci - (Swing Low $49,000 – High $111,980):
∴ Bitcoin remains between the (0.236 Fibo - $97,116.72) and local top at $111,980, showing respect for fib-based resistance;
∴ The (0.5 Fibo - $80,490.00) has not been retested since March, confirming the range compression toward upper quadrants;
∴ Weekly price is consolidating under fib extension with decreasing body size, suggesting strength with pause.
✴ Conclusion: The Fibonacci structure confirms bullish extension phase. If $97K breaks, retracement to (0.382 Fibo - $87,921.64) is expected. Otherwise, the breakout above $112K enters full projection territory.
⊢
▦ MACD – (Values: 1,077.98 | 5,963.81 | 4,885.82):
∴ MACD line remains above signal line for the third consecutive week, recovering from a prior bearish cross in April;
∴ The histogram has printed higher bars for four weeks, but the slope of growth is decelerating;
∴ Positive cross occurred just below the zero-line, which often results in delayed reactions or failures unless reinforced by volume.
✴ Conclusion: MACD signals a weak but persistent momentum recovery. Reaffirmation depends on histogram expansion above 1,500+ and signal spread widening.
⊢
▦ RSI – (Close: 64.37 | MA: 57.56):
∴ The RSI is in the bullish upper quadrant, but without overbought extension, suggesting active buying without euphoria;
∴ The RSI has been above its moving average since mid-May, maintaining a healthy angle;
∴ Momentum is not diverging from price yet, but is approaching the 70 zone, historically a point of hesitation.
✴ Conclusion: RSI confirms controlled strength. Further advance without consolidation may trigger premature profit-taking. Above 70, caution increases without being bearish.
⊢
▦ Volume - (16.97K BTC):
∴ Weekly volume is slightly above the 20-week average, marking a minor recovery in participation;
∴ There is no volume spike to validate a breakout, which is common in compressive ranges near resistance;
∴ Volume has been declining since mid-May, forming a local divergence with price highs.
✴ Conclusion: Volume profile supports current levels but does not confirm breakout potential. A rejection with strong volume will mark local exhaustion.
⊢
II. ∆ CME Technical Dislocation – BTC1! Futures:
▦ CME GAP – BTC1! – ($107,445.00):
∴ The CME Futures opened this week at $105,060.00 and closed the previous session at $107,445.00;
∴ A clear unfilled gap persists between $105,060.00 and $107,900.00, with price action hovering just above the top edge;
∴ Bitcoin has a consistent historical behavior of returning to close such gaps within a short- to mid-term range.
✴ Conclusion: The unfilled CME gap acts as a gravitational technical force. As long as price remains below $109K without volume expansion, the probability of revisiting the $105K area remains elevated.
⊢
III. ∫ On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant):
▦ Exchange Inflow Total - (All Exchanges):
∴ Current inflow volume remains below the 1,000 Bitcoin daily threshold, indicating no panic selling or institutional exits;
∴ This inflow level corresponds to accumulation or holding phases, rather than distribution;
∴ The pattern matches a neutral-to-positive mid-cycle environment.
✴ Conclusion: There is no structural on-chain pressure. As long as inflows remain low, risk of capitulation or distribution is minimal.
⊢
▦ Spot Taker CVD - (Cumulative Volume Delta, 90-day) – (All Exchanges):
∴ The 90-day CVD shows continued dominance of taker buys over sells, reflecting ongoing demand strength in spot markets;
∴ However, the curve is flattening, suggesting buyers are meeting resistance or fading interest;
∴ No sharp reversal in the CVD curve is detected — only saturation.
✴ Conclusion: Demand remains dominant, but the pace is decelerating. Without renewed volume, this curve may revert or plateau.
⊢
▦ Exchange Inflow Mean - (MA7) – (All Exchanges):
∴ The 7-day moving average of exchange inflow continues to decline steadily;
∴ This metric often precedes calm phases or pre-breakout plateaus;
∴ Historical patterns show similar inflow behavior before prior volatility expansions.
✴ Conclusion: A period of silence is unfolding. Reduced mean inflow suggests price is awaiting external catalysts for movement.
⊢
▦ Funding Rates – (Binance):
∴ Current funding rates are neutral, with slight positive bias, suggesting balanced long-short sentiment;
∴ No extreme spikes indicate absence of excessive leverage;
∴ This equilibrium typically precedes significant directional moves.
✴ Conclusion: Market is leveled. Funding neutrality reflects hesitation and prepares ground for upcoming directional choice.
⊢
IV. ⚖️ Macro–Geopolitical Axis – (Powell, Middle East & BTC/XAU):
▦ MACRO CONTEXT:
∴ Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak on Wednesday (June 19), with markets anticipating remarks on rate stability or future hikes;
∴ Ongoing tensions in the Middle East (Israel–Iran) elevate risk-off behavior in traditional markets;
∴ Bitcoin has triggered a rare Golden Cross vs. Gold, as noted by U.Today, signaling digital strength over legacy value.
✴ Conclusion: Macro remains the primary external catalyst. Powell’s statement will determine short-term volatility. Until then, Bitcoin floats between its technical support and CME magnetism, with gold dynamics providing long-term bullish backdrop.
⊢
⚜️ 𝟙⟠ Magister Arcanvm – Vox Primordialis!
⚖️ Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy.
⊢
BTC Approaching Key Confluence Zone: Pivot + PRZ + LiquidationsBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) appears to have broken the Support lines and is currently declining .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing a corrective wave C . The corrective wave structure is a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising again from the Support zone($104,380-$103,660) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($104,471-$103,124) , Monthly Pivot Point , Support line , and 50_SMA(Daily) , and the small CME Gap($106,190-$106,150) will also fill.
Note: Stop Loss: $102,520
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bitcoin, Good News & Good News —Bullish Confirmed (Retrace Over)First, the good news is that we have a higher low and a strong recovery in place. The current candle has a long lower wick and is already trading green, at the top of the session.
The second good news is how far down the retrace went. Last time Bitcoin bottomed around $100,300, this time the bottom happened at $102,660. This is an early signal of course because the week is not yet over. It can happen that prices move higher today and tomorrow they move back down, crash on Sunday and we get a bearish close. But, looking at short-term price action and other altcoins, also the volume—notice the volume—we can say that the retrace is over and we are set to experience immediately additional growth.
The volume is the most revealing signal right now.
The drop had no volume compared to today. Today's session has more volume than the last three red-days combined.
Another signal to consider is the amount of over-leveraged gamblers that were liquidated, a total of 1 billion dollars. When this much greed is removed from the market, there is no need for lower prices.
I will call it early, the retrace is over. Time to go bullish again.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
I will show you several more altcoins that are also looking ready to grow.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Will Continue Rising —Long-Term Chart —$200,000+ New ATHIn November 2021, the week after the all-time high was a crash. The weeks that followed were a continuation and the market went full red and didn't stop dropping until November 2022, a year later.
In May 2025, the week after the all-time high is neutral, sideways. Four weeks later and Bitcoin continues sideways consolidating near resistance, ready to break to new highs and continue rising.
Market conditions now are very, very different compared to 2021. Right now, we are only halfway through the current bull market, for Bitcoin, and we have room left available for plenty of growth.
In a matter of days, maybe 5-6 days, we get a new all-time high and this means not the end of the bull market but the start of the next and final bullish wave.
These targets on the chart are the most accurate of all numbers because they are based on almost 5 years of data.
Next target and minimum price for Bitcoin in the coming months is $155,601 but we know there is likely to be more, much more. With the institutional wave now in full force, banks opening to crypto because they have no other choice and the world evolving faster than anything we thought possible, we are aiming for $200,000 or more.
The next relevant level after $155,600 is $209,125. Which one is your target for this new 2025 all-time high?
Do you think Bitcoin will peak in late 2025 or early 2026?
Do you think you will manage to be successful in this round or are you bound to make the same mistakes? Over-trading, over-leverage, no being patient enough; not waiting for the right time to enter and not selling when the market is trading very high, greed; What will it be?
Do you think you have what it takes to succeed? You do!
Even if you made mistakes in the past or even if you are already doing good, you have what it takes.
If you are doing bad, this experience can be used to improve your game. If you are doing great, great, let's do better. There is never enough growth; we are happy, we are grateful but we accept abundance because we receive abundance thanks to hard work.
It is still very early but the market is starting to heat up. Once the bullish action starts, there is nothing that can stop us. The world will change for us. We will adapt to all market and geopolitical conditions, we will continue to improve and evolve.
The best one is not the one that makes no mistakes but the one that can extract learning from all experiences. Success is not being right all the time, success is never giving up.
Will you give up? Or, will you continue to trade long-term?
» Bitcoin is going up!
Namaste.
Bitcoin Short-Term, 1H Timeframe, Bullish ($115,482 Next Target)Bitcoin completed its retrace 13-June 01:00 AM with a higher low at $102,663. Price action and trading volume indicates that the bearish move is over. Bitcoin is trading above support in the form of 0.618 Fib. retracement.
Bitcoin is turning bullish moving above EMA34, EMA21, EMA13 and EMA8 all in this current active session.
Immediate support stands between $105,293 and $105,314.
Next support is $104,533 and main support $104,282 matching the 0.618 Fib. retracement level.
Next target easy hit is $106,625, followed by $107,559. The second being a mild resistance.
Bitcoin can easily continue higher short-term aiming next at $108,989 followed by the last high at $110,586. Depending on how this level is handle we can update the short-term view.
The 1H timeframe is bullish now based on price action, candlestick patterns, higher lows, moving averages and the oscillators.
Namaste.
BTCUSD Tests Support—Buy for ReboundBTCUSD opened high and trended lower today 📉, now approaching the support zone—time to buy directly and ride the rebound! 🚀
⚡️⚡️⚡️ BTCUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 105000 - 105500
🚀 TP 106000 - 107500
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
BTC is still bearish (2H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
The red zone seems to have had enough orders to reject the price downward. It is expected that the price will drop at least to the green zone below.
There will be some fluctuations along the way.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
That wasn’t a breakout. That was the stop runBTC swept the high into 107,991 — precision tap of the premium fib. Now the delivery shifts. Price has already done its job: take liquidity, trigger late longs, and set up the real move.
Here’s the execution breakdown:
Price tagged the 0 level of the fib extension — 107,991 — and rejected
A clean 4H FVG sits just below around 106,195.9 (0.5), aligned with 0.382 and 0.618 fib levels (106,619.8 to 105,772.1)
This is the re-entry zone for Smart Money — not the top chasers
Expectations from here:
→ Rebalance into the 106.6–105.7k region
→ If that zone holds and price shifts structure bullish again, we retest 107.1 → 107.9 → break higher
→ If we lose 105.7 cleanly, I’m watching 104,399.9 — the deeper inefficiency magnet
This isn’t about confirmation. It’s about preparation.
More trades like this — clean, controlled, conviction-based — live in the profile description.
BTC Trend Analysis and Trading Recommendations for TodayThe BTC market continues its sideways-down trend, with notably insufficient rebound momentum during the session. Although there were brief signs of stabilization in the early trading, bearish forces continued to exert pressure during the European session, and the index showed a staircase decline.
From the 4-hour chart analysis, the price once fell to touch the middle Bollinger Band support during the Asian session, followed by a technical rebound. However, the rebound strength was obviously weak, encountering strong resistance near the middle band. The current candlestick pattern presents a typical Dark Cloud Cover, the MACD indicator continues to release volume below the zero axis, with fast and slow lines in bearish alignment.
Technically, the price remains significantly pressured near the middle band, and the US session is likely to extend the existing downtrend. Investors are advised to maintain a bearish stance. If the price effectively breaks below the middle band support, the next target is targeted at the lower Bollinger Band. Strategically, fading rallies remains the preferred approach.
BTCUSD
sell@106500-106000
tp:105000-104000
Bitcoin Market Analysis and Future Trend ForecastThe Bitcoin market has once again become the focus of investors. The price of Bitcoin has shown a significant upward trend, successfully breaking through the key resistance level of $106,000 per coin with an intraday increase of over 2%, demonstrating the strong vitality of the market. This price movement not only reflects the warming of positive sentiment in the cryptocurrency market but also indicates the gradual recovery of investor confidence, which has become the core driving force behind Bitcoin's current rally.
Currently, the Bitcoin price is at a critical juncture. From a daily chart perspective, after reaching an intraday high of $107,265, Bitcoin failed to effectively break through the key resistance level of $108,000 and has since retracted to fluctuate around $106,940. On the 4-hour timeframe, the MACD indicator shows that the histogram remains in positive territory, but the rate of increase has slowed, suggesting a short-term weakening of bullish momentum. Meanwhile, the RSI indicator stands at around 65, approaching the overbought zone, indicating that the market faces short-term correction pressure.
you are currently struggling with losses,or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results.
Trading Strategy:
sell@107500-108000
TP:106000-106500
BTC at Resistance — Breakdown or Breakout?Bitcoin is trading near $106,600 and still moving cleanly within a well-defined descending channel on the daily chart. Every time price touches the upper boundary, sellers step in aggressively — and this time looks no different. BTC is once again approaching that key resistance zone.
From where I stand, if we don’t see a breakout in the next few sessions, this could be a solid short setup. The structure is clear: fading strength at resistance, targeting the lower channel edge. In this environment, “short the structure — take profit at support” remains a tactical play.
What’s your move? Are you betting on rejection or ready for a breakout?
Check for support near 104463.99-106133.74
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Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The next volatility period we should pay attention to is around June 22nd (June 21-23).
Currently, the HA-High indicator of the 1D chart is formed at 108316.90, so the key is whether it can rise above that point and maintain the price.
If not, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart.
In other words, we need to check whether there is support near 99705.62.
However, we need to check whether there is support near 104463.99-106133.74.
-
If we look at the auxiliary indicator OBV, the High Line is showing a downward trend.
This means that the high point is getting lower.
Therefore, if it rises above 108316.90 this time, we need to check whether the OBV can rise above the High Line and maintain it.
-
DOM(60), DOM(-60) indicators are displayed by the Close value.
HA-Low, HA-High indicators are displayed by the (Open + High + Low + Close) / 4 value.
Therefore, HA-Low and HA-High indicators represent the middle value, and DOM(60) and DOM(-60) represent the end point value.
This makes it difficult to trade when DOM(60) and DOM(-60) indicators are generated.
To make this clearer, I added an arrow signal.
DOM(60) indicator and HA-High indicator are indicators that represent high points.
In other words, the generation of DOM(60) indicator and HA-High indicator means that there has been a decline in the high point range.
However, as I mentioned earlier, the DOM(60) indicator is not easy to respond to because it indicates the end point, but the HA-High indicator indicates the middle value, so there is time to check whether there is support near the HA-High indicator and respond accordingly.
Therefore, you should check whether there is support in the section between the HA-High indicator and the DOM(60) indicator and respond accordingly.
On the contrary, the DOM(-60) indicator and the HA-Low indicator are indicators that indicate the low point.
You can think of it as the opposite of what I explained above.
-
By not indicating the support and resistance points according to the arrangement of the candles, but using the indicator points as the support and resistance points, anyone can see how the support and resistance points were created.
This will provide important objective information for trading.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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BTC ANALYSIS (4H)Last week, Bitcoin made a sharp bullish move upward, aiming for retail liquidity, which made the forecast path more difficult.
The green zone is a support area where Bitcoin might react.
To collect the ATH liquidity, Bitcoin needs to break through the red zone.
Let’s see what happens | when the market direction isn’t clear, there’s no need to take unnecessary risks.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
AUDUSD TECHNICALS AND FUNDAMENTALS DETAILED ANALYSISAUDUSD has officially broken out of a multi-week ascending triangle structure, and momentum is now building for a bullish continuation. The price is currently trading around 0.6533 after a strong breakout above the 0.6520 resistance zone. This consolidation was forming higher lows, signaling accumulation and bullish intent. The clean breakout above the horizontal resistance confirms buyers are in control. With this pattern validated, my short-term target is 0.6700–0.6750, aligning with the measured move projection.
From a macro perspective, AUD is gaining strength due to a divergence in monetary policy outlooks. The Reserve Bank of Australia remains hawkish, supported by sticky inflation data and a tight labor market, while the Federal Reserve has recently hinted at a dovish turn, acknowledging signs of economic slowdown. Additionally, a weaker U.S. dollar index (DXY) and rising commodity prices—especially iron ore and copper—are tailwinds for the Australian dollar. These fundamental shifts are reinforcing the bullish technical breakout.
On the 8H chart, the ascending triangle is a clear signal of bullish pressure. The zone around 0.6450–0.6520 acted as strong demand during the consolidation phase. A successful breakout retest of this zone could offer secondary entry opportunities. The risk-reward ratio is attractive, with a defined invalidation below the trendline and a target extending toward yearly highs near 0.6750.
This setup stands out as high-probability. With bullish price action, supportive fundamentals, and risk-on sentiment returning across FX majors, AUDUSD is primed for further upside. I’m holding long with conviction, expecting continuation toward the projected breakout target. This trade aligns with current market structure, trend strength, and macro drivers—perfect timing in a trending market environment.
Market Overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Strong sales resumed last week after a short period of growth. This was provoked by the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East.
After testing and fixing the $105,800-$104,500 zone (accumulated volumes), strong volume deviations appeared, which should be perceived as protection on the part of the buyer.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
At the moment, an attempt is being made to position the volumes accumulated in the range of $105,600-$104,700 in the direction of growth. Strong support has already been formed in the area of $104,000-$102,900 (abnormal volumes).
When the four-hour candle closes above the $106,400 mark, it’ll be possible to additionally consider the zone of accumulated volumes for buys (if there is a reaction from it).
The main scenario is a long position with targets up to the nearest resistance. In case of easing of geopolitical tensions, there remains the possibility of updating the ATH.
Alternative scenario: correction to the support zone of $101,600-$100,000 (volume anomalies). With this development, a prolonged rebound is possible.
Sell Zones:
$109,000–$110,000 (accumulated volume)
Buy Zones:
$105,600–$104,700 (accumulated volume)
$104,000–$102,900 (volume anomalies)
$101,600–$100,000 (significant volume anomalies)
$98,000–$97,200 (local support)
Level at $93,000
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
IMPORTANT DATES
Macroeconomic developments this week:
• Tuesday, June 17, 03:00 (UTC) — publication of the Japanese interest rate decision;
• Tuesday, June 17, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the core retail sales index for May in the United States, the volume of retail sales for May in the United States;
• Wednesday, June 18, 06:00 (UTC) — publication of the UK consumer price index compared to May last year;
• Wednesday, June 18, 9:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index in the Eurozone compared to May last year;
• Wednesday, June 18, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits;
• Wednesday, June 18, 18:00 (UTC) — publication of FOMC economic forecasts, FOMC statement, US Federal Reserve interest rate decision;
• Wednesday, June 18, 18:30 (UTC) — US FOMC Press Conference;
• Thursday, June 19, 7:30 (UTC) — publication of the Q2 interest rate decision in Switzerland;
• Thursday, June 19, 8:00 (UTC) — press conference of the National Bank of Switzerland;
• Thursday, June 19, 11:00 (UTC) — publication of the June interest rate decision in the UK;
• Thursday, June 19, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States;
• Friday, June 20, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the Philadelphia Federal Reserve's index of manufacturing activity for June in the United States.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
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