Quick Lesson: How to Identify Trend ReversalKnowing when to enter the market can mean the difference between making a profit and incurring a loss. The chart above clearly compares two similar-looking scenarios with very different outcomes: the one you should aim for and the one you should avoid.
- On the left , we see a textbook example of a bullish reversal. After a significant downtrend, the market prints higher lows and begins forming an ascending support. This signals that selling pressure is fading and buyers are stepping in. Notably, there are usually lots of unfilled bags — latecomers who show strong demand below the current price level but never get their orders filled, and who then just hit the 'market buy' button, which adds fuel to the fire of pump.
- In contrast, the right side shows a very similar pattern — a downtrend followed by consolidation, but with crucial differences. Here, all prior liquidity zones have already been filled, meaning there is less incentive for buyers to support the price. The “same vector” suggests price action hasn’t changed direction, and a common short squeeze traps late buyers before resuming the decline. This is a common bull trap , where a temporary price pump gives false hope before another leg down.
To sum up , a REAL REVERSAL builds on structure, accumulation, and higher lows—whereas a FALSE BOTTOM is often characterized by brief rallies, exhausted liquidity, and no change in vector trend. Experienced traders wait for confirmation and accumulation before entering a position, not just a temporary pause in a downtrend.
BTCUSDT
BTC USDT Forming Head and shoulder in 5 MinChart Breakdown
🟢 Pattern:
Left Shoulder: 118,450
Head: ~118,600
Right Shoulder: ~118,400
Neckline: Sloping slightly upward, around 118,050
📌 Bearish Breakdown Scenario
If BTC breaks below the neckline (~118,000) with volume, the expected drop (measured move) is:
Height of pattern:
Head (118,600) – Neckline (118,000) = 600 pts
Target on breakdown:
118,000 – 600 = ~117,400
🔻 Target: 117,400–117,300
🔒 Invalidation: Price closes above 118,300 with strong volume.
Bitcoin: Pennant - Bullish Continuation PatternI spotted a bullish continuation pattern called Pennant in Bitcoin chart
Support and resistance are marked with yellow trendlines
There is also a Flag Pole (white trendline)
The model is clean as we already see a bullish breakup and a textbook pullback
to the broken resistance.
The target is established at the height of the Flag Pole applied to the broken resistance
at $135k.
For final confirmation the price should overcome the top of breakout at $119,800
The invalidation point is located at the bottom of the Pennant at $114,700
White House Crypto Report Incoming: Will BTC Pump from Support? One of the important news for Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) that was released today was that " White House confirms first Bitcoin and crypto report will be released TOMORROW ". Bitcoin is likely to rise with the release of the White House report .
What do you think? At least a temporary pump may be in store for Bitcoin.
Bitcoin fell to the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) and filled the New CME Gap( $119,500-$118,295) as I expected in the previous idea .
Bitcoin is currently moving near the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) , Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($116,828-$115,710) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
I expect Bitcoin to rise from the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) to at least $118,680(First Taregt) .
Second target: Upper line of the descending channel
Note: Stop Loss: $114,680 = Worst Stop Loss(SL)
CME Gap: $115,060-$114,947
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $118,827-$118,298
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $120,144-$119,200
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTCUSD Analysis : Blue Ray + MMC Bullish Scenario + Target Zone🟢 Today’s BTCUSD Analysis (MMC) – Strategic Insight into Institutional Behavior 💪
📊 Chart Breakdown: Understanding Price Through MMC
This 4H BTCUSD chart highlights critical behavior using Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) — where smart money traps, fakes, and flips market participants to create directional moves. Let’s break down the scenario:
🔸 1. Fakeout Zone – Smart Money Trap
Price initially surged to a local high, triggering a bullish fakeout, as shown in the green rectangle.
This move is designed to lure in breakout buyers above resistance, only to reverse sharply.
The sudden drop confirms smart money liquidation, catching retail longs off-guard.
A perfect example of a liquidity grab before shifting back into range.
📌 Fakeouts often mark the beginning of a new range or reversal setup in MMC methodology.
🔸 2. Blue Ray – Trend Continuation Structure
The consolidation after the fakeout forms the Blue Ray pattern, a recognizable trend continuation framework.
This structure signals smart money’s accumulation or re-accumulation phase.
Note how the price oscillates within the pattern, creating both lower highs and higher lows.
These compressions usually lead to explosive moves, either up or down, depending on liquidity build-up.
🔸 3. QFL – Quantity Following Line Event
Price briefly dips below the QFL level — another engineered stop-hunt to shake out premature longs and trap breakout sellers.
The reaction afterward shows strong buyer defense, confirming hidden demand.
MMC traders recognize this zone as a fake breakdown, setting up for the next trend wave.
🔸 4. Central Reversal Zone – The Decision Area
We’re currently hovering around the Central Reversal Zone, a key level of decision-making.
This is where liquidity from both buyers and sellers meets, making it a high-volatility zone.
Price could either:
(Scenario 1) Reject and fall lower to retest the trendline zone (marked with label 1).
(Scenario 2) Break above minor resistance and head toward the Next Reversal Zone (marked with label 2).
This structure aligns with MMC’s "Trap – Absorb – Break" cycle.
🔸 5. Major & Minor Resistance
Above the current price lies:
Minor Resistance (~$120,000): Immediate zone to clear for bullish continuation.
Major Resistance (~$121,000): Strong institutional supply, could act as the final hurdle before reversal.
If price clears these, BTC will likely target the Next Reversal Zone (~$122,500–123,500) for the next MMC reaction or short-term top.
🧠 Strategic Trade Outlook (MMC Logic)
✅ Bullish Playbook (Scenario 2):
Entry: Break and retest above $120,000 (Minor Resistance)
Confirmation: Hold above Central Reversal Zone with impulse
Target: $122,500–123,500 (Next Reversal Zone)
Risk: Close below $117,500 invalidates idea
🔻 Bearish Playbook (Scenario 1):
Entry: Rejection from $119,500–120,000
Target: Trendline support or prior QFL (~$116,000–115,500)
Invalidation: Clean 4H close above $120,500
📐 Key Concepts in This Analysis
Fakeout Trap: Retail euphoria liquidation
QFL Sweep: Smart money’s liquidity grab below structure
Blue Ray: Compression structure before continuation
Reversal Zones: Institutional interest areas where reactions occur
SR Flip Zones: Level conversion confirms trend maturity
📈 Summary
BTCUSD is currently in a smart money-controlled environment, compressing near key structural levels. The next move will be large, and by applying MMC, we’re prepared for both bullish breakout and bearish retest scenarios.
Be patient — traps come before trends.
What's next for BTC?BTC is potentially forming a textbook bull flag with a measured target of $140k.
A solid break and retest of $120k would signal strength and a push towards the target.
Losing $114k or a strong close below it's current range support around $117k could signal a test of $110k as support - potentially great buy opportunities.
$BTC/USDT – Bull Flag Breakout on 4H | Targeting $133,700Bitcoin has just broken out of a well-defined bull flag structure on the 4H chart, signaling a potential continuation of the previous uptrend.
This breakout comes after a strong impulsive move upward, followed by a textbook flag consolidation with lower highs and lows forming a descending channel. The breakout above the flag resistance suggests a bullish continuation pattern is in play.
Technical Breakdown:
Pattern: Bull Flag (Continuation)
Flagpole base: ~106,700
Breakout zone: ~117,600
Retest Support: 116,000
Immediate Resistance: 122,300
Expected Target: 133,700 (based on flagpole projection)
Invalidation: Breakdown below 115,500
Expected Move:
Measured Move Target: ~13% upside from breakout
Confluence: Target aligns with past supply zone near 133K–135K
Price has also reclaimed the 50 EMA on the 4H chart, and the volume on the breakout shows bullish interest. Watching closely for a clean retest of the breakout zone for confirmation.
Conclusion:
BTC is showing bullish continuation after breaking out of a flag. A successful retest of 117.6K–116K range could offer further upside. Traders should manage risk accordingly.
DYOR | Not Financial Advice
Bitcoin Rejected Near $120K – Bears Wake Up!First of all, I have to say that Bitcoin’s movements over the last 12 days have been a bit difficult to trade , generally, the hardest market to make a profit in is the range market with a swing movement .
Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is currently trading near the Resistance zone($121,000-$119,500) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($121,336-$120,000) , and the upper line of the descending channel .
Since Bitcoin has lost support lines , we can consider this increase in Bitcoin over the last two days as a pullback to the support lines(broken) . Do you agree with me!?
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it appears that Bitcoin is still completing the main wave B. The main wave B is a Regular Flat(ABC/3-3-5) . The structure of the microwave B of the main wave B was a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
Additionally, the SPX 500 index ( SP:SPX ), which Bitcoin is correlated with , is poised for a correction in my opinion, which could also impact Bitcoin .
Also, unlike previous Mondays, MicroStrategy has NOT purchased Bitcoin , and the company currently holds 607,770 BTC .
Old Bitcoin wallets also seem to be waking up to the fact that they can create movements in the crypto market . " In recent days, 471,867.8 BTC worth $56.39 million have been transferred from old wallets from 2012 to 2017 . ".
I expect Bitcoin to decline to at least the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) and fill the CME Gaps in the coming hours .
New CME Gap: $119,500-$118,295
CME Gap: $115,060-$114,947
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $117,401-$116,615
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #139Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's go over Bitcoin's analysis. Today, Bitcoin is showing some signs regarding its next move, and today could be a critical day — especially considering that U.S. interest rate data is set to be released tomorrow.
4-Hour Timeframe
Today, there’s no need to switch to other timeframes — this 4-hour chart tells us everything.
Yesterday, the price was moving toward the 120041 area, which we intended to use as a long trigger, but that didn’t happen. The price failed to stabilize above this level, and RSI was rejected from the 61.67 zone.
Currently, the price has formed a lower high compared to 120041 and is now moving toward the support area around 116000.
Selling volume has significantly increased, which is not good for the bullish trend. If this support level breaks, deeper corrections to the 0.618 or even 0.786 Fibonacci levels could occur.
I’ll take profit on my long position that I opened from below 110000 if the price stabilizes below this zone, but I absolutely won’t open any short positions for now.
In my opinion, as long as the price is above 110000, any drop or correction is simply a better entry point for a long position. However, we shouldn’t buy during a falling market — we must wait for our triggers to activate.
Bitcoin Weekly Recap & Gameplan | 27.07.2025📈 Market Context:
Bitcoin maintained its bullish momentum, driven by continued institutional demand and a supportive U.S. policy backdrop.
Last week’s gameplan played out well — solid profits were captured (see linked chart below).
🧾 Weekly Recap:
• Price made a bullish retracement into the Weekly FVG (purple line) exactly as projected in last week's post.
• From here, I expect continuation toward new all-time highs.
📌 Technical Outlook:
→ First, I expect a short retracement and a 4H swing liquidity grab at 117,828$.
→ Then, a strong continuation move toward ATH targets.
🎯 Setup Trigger:
Watch for:
✅ 4H liquidity sweep
✅ 15M–30M bullish break of structure (BOS)
This is the confirmation zone for potential long setups.
📋 Trade Management:
• Stoploss: Below confirmation swing low
• Targets:
– 120,938$
– 123,400$
💬 Like, follow, and drop a comment if this outlook helped — and stay tuned for more setups each week!
BTCUSD 8H – Long Triggered on Cloud Flip, Can This Trend Keep?This BTC 8H setup highlights how the Enhanced Ichimoku Cloud Strategy V1 caught a +27% move using clean trend confirmation and a low-noise entry.
📊 Setup Breakdown:
Major Support Zone held 5+ times between March and April — confirming buyer interest.
Entry triggered once:
Ichimoku Cloud flipped bullish
Price crossed the 171 EMA
Strategy alignment confirmed by Ichi + EMA + Cloud filters
Entry candle: ~$93,400
Current price: ~$119,000 → +27% trend continuation.
📈 Strategy Logic:
This system combines:
Custom Ichimoku (7 / 255 / 120 / 41) for cloud confirmation
A 171 EMA filter to block noise
A trend-following “state memory” logic to avoid premature reversals
This BTC move is a textbook example of how the strategy avoids second-guessing and holds strong trends without constant recalibration.
⚠️ What to Watch Next:
Price is currently ranging near prior highs
Cloud remains bullish, but RSI and momentum divergence should be monitored
If support holds above ~112K, continuation is likely — break below could shift structure
✅ Backtest this strategy on your charts to see how it handles your favorite assets.
It’s best used on high-timeframe trends where precision and conviction matter most.
BTCUSD CONSOLIDATES BELOW RESISTANCE OF 120,000.00BTCUSD CONSOLIDATES BELOW RESISTANCE OF 120,000.00
Today the price rebounded from the SMA50 on 4-h chart and continues to consolidate below the resistance level of 120,000.00. Yesterday there was a minor pullback from this level, still the price is pretty much at the same levels as yesterday. The recommendation is still the same: would be safer for long trade to wait for a breakout of the resistance (120,000.00) with first target of 123,190.30 (ATH). However, the asset shows nice bullish set up: RSI started to show some strength with price consolidation below resistance.
Rectangle Consolidation + Bull Trend = BTC Setup for ATHYesterday, Bitcoin dipped and recovered again, following last week's sharp spike down, triggered by the $9B Galaxy Digital sale on behalf of a Satoshi-era investor.
________________________________________
🧠 Why is this important?
Despite being one of the largest BTC sales in history, the move only caused a temporary spike down.
That’s a clear sign of market strength and strong interest on dips.
________________________________________
📉📈 Current Technical Context:
• If we ignore the spike, price is consolidating in a tight rectangle
• That’s typically a continuation pattern
• The broader trend remains strongly bullish
📌 Put all of that together, and we have at least 3 reasons to expect upside continuation
________________________________________
🎯 Key Levels:
• Break + daily close above $120K → likely leads to a new ATH and a potential test of $130K
• Invalidation only comes with a break below $114K
________________________________________
Conclusion:
BTC just absorbed a massive $9B sell without blinking.
As long as $114K holds, I'm bullish and expecting continuation.
Next leg could (and I hope it will) be explosive. 🚀
BTCUSD trading signal. False break of bottom line✏️ CRYPTO:BTCUSD just False Break the lower band and is establishing a bullish wave structure in the H4 time frame. 119700 will be the top of wave 1 if the current bullish wave exceeds the top it will form a bullish DOW pattern heading towards a new ATH.
📉 Key Levels
BUY Now BTCUSD: Confirmation of candle when retesting Fibonacci 0.5
Target 127000
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.