USDJPY – Bearish Pressure Builds Amid Fed Dovish ExpectationsFX:USDJPY is trading around the 145.300 mark and showing signs of weakness, as the US dollar comes under pressure from growing expectations that the Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates in September. This sentiment is fueled by recent soft US data, including weaker retail sales and industrial production.
Meanwhile, the Japanese yen is regaining some strength, supported by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and possible intervention signals from the Bank of Japan.
In the short term, I lean toward a corrective pullback scenario while awaiting clearer signals from the Fed.
Buy-signal
Gold Under Pressure – Will the 3,385 Zone Hold?Hello everyone, let’s dive into gold price action together!
Following decisions from the Fed, BOE, and SNB to hold interest rates steady, gold continues to face downward pressure. High interest rates reflect a firm stance on inflation, pushing short-term capital away from non-yielding assets like gold.
On the chart, gold closed the session near $3,368, showing little change from previous candles. The precious metal is still being rejected at a key confluence resistance zone (EMA 34, EMA 89, and a prior consolidation area). As long as price fails to break above $3,385, the downside scenario remains favored.
If this resistance holds, my next move would be to sell, targeting a drop to $3,300—a zone where buyers previously stepped in.
What about you? Do you see gold heading lower too?
"XAUUSD – Hidden Strength Within the Accumulation Zone"Hello everyone, how are you currently evaluating XAUUSD?
Yesterday, gold remained relatively stable without major volatility, yet continued to be supported by a favorable macro environment. Escalating tensions between Israel and Iran have sustained safe-haven demand. While the U.S. has yet to make a direct military move, President Trump’s emergency meeting and firm stance have increased market caution, which in turn boosted interest in gold.
At the time of writing, gold is trading around $3,368, and the long-term trend still favors the bulls. But why do I say that?
From both a technical and macro perspective, gold is in a healthy accumulation phase. Although it hasn’t broken above the record high, XAUUSD remains safely above key support zones — especially above the EMA 34 — which continues to affirm its bullish structure.
EMA 34 remains a strong dynamic support, with a clear separation from EMA 89, reinforcing the momentum. Even if we see short-term pullbacks in the next few sessions, they are more likely technical retests rather than signs of reversal.
Adding to that, the rising trendline, higher support levels, and bullish candlestick patterns all strengthen the case for continued upward movement. These combined factors paint a positive technical outlook for gold in the medium to long term.
From my perspective, I remain confident in gold’s long-term uptrend. What about you? Feel free to share your thoughts!
Gold in the Spotlight – Safe Haven or Short-Term Speculation?Hello everyone, great to see you again in our latest discussion about XAUUSD.
This week, gold has seen wild swings—soaring to new highs amid geopolitical tensions, then sharply pulling back. This highlights gold’s dual nature: both a safe-haven asset in times of crisis and a highly reactive instrument during speculative surges.
The Fed’s decision to hold interest rates at 4.50% and maintain a cautious stance on monetary policy continues to weigh on the precious metal. Still, growing expectations of rate cuts later this year remain a key bullish factor for gold, which doesn’t generate yield.
Meanwhile, persistent conflicts in the Middle East and the ongoing Russia–Ukraine war are fueling defensive investment demand. Central banks around the world are also steadily accumulating gold, reinforcing its role as a hedge against global economic and political uncertainty.
As for me, I remain optimistic about long-term upside potential. What are your expectations for gold?
Gold – Will Geopolitical Tensions Trigger a Breakout ?Hello traders, what’s your view on gold today?
So far, gold remains relatively quiet, with limited reaction to the initial FOMC statement. The market is clearly holding its breath ahead of the upcoming press conference by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.
As of now, the Fed is widely expected to keep interest rates steady at 4.50% – but the real question is: where does gold go next?
In my opinion, gold still holds long-term upside potential, especially with the ongoing military conflict between Israel and Iran, which could potentially pull the U.S. directly into involvement. For gold, this is an ideal environment to shine as a safe-haven asset. The greater the geopolitical risk, the more investors seek capital protection – and gold remains the go-to choice.
Technically, the first resistance level is seen at $3,400, followed by $3,440. On the downside, immediate support lies at $3,350, then $3,330.
Let’s see if gold holds its ground or prepares for the next big move.
Gold Slumps Sharply – Has the Rate-Cut Hope Faded?Gold prices are under intense selling pressure after the Bank of England, the Swiss National Bank, and the Federal Reserve all decided to keep interest rates elevated. This unified stance underscores persistent inflation concerns, driving up the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. As a result, investors rushed to take profits, sending XAUUSD down over 200 pips in just one session.
Adding fuel to the fire, the Fed’s latest monetary policy report to Congress warned that inflation could rise to 3% by year-end, higher than previous projections. Moreover, the Fed trimmed expectations for rate cuts in 2025 and beyond, signaling a longer road to policy easing.
🔎 What does this mean for gold's short-term outlook?
With high rates here to stay and the Fed's cautious stance, gold remains vulnerable to further downside in the near term. However, if upcoming U.S. economic data shows signs of significant weakness, gold may regain favor as a safe-haven asset.
At the time of writing, XAUUSD is trading around $3,347, a critical zone that may determine whether the current drop continues or finds a bottom.
Do you believe this dip will deepen—or is it a golden opportunity to buy the pullback? Share your thoughts below!
EUR/USD Slides Below Trendline The EUR/USD pair is trending lower and forming a short-term downtrend beneath a descending trendline, as the U.S. Dollar (USD) remains supported by its safe-haven appeal amid escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and Iran.
At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 1.1500, with bearish momentum still dominating. As long as the trendline holds, sellers maintain the upper hand — making trend-following short positions worth considering.
Wishing you all successful and smooth trading!
Gold at a Crossroads — Breakout or Breakdown Ahead?Hello traders, what’s your take on gold today?
At the moment, gold continues to benefit from ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. However, a healthy correction is underway, pushing prices slightly lower. XAUUSD is currently trading in a tight range near $3,380, and technical indicators suggest the metal is entering a consolidation phase — potentially a setup for the next breakout.
All eyes are now on this week’s FOMC meeting, which kicks off today with a policy statement and press conference from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. While markets do not expect the Fed to cut interest rates at this meeting, dovish signals will be closely watched. This may leave bullish traders on the sidelines for now, waiting for clearer confirmation.
On the flip side, geopolitical uncertainty remains a powerful driver for gold, offering psychological support and keeping buyers engaged in the short term.
From a technical standpoint, bulls are aiming for a breakout above the key $3,500 resistance level. Meanwhile, bears are eyeing a short-term push below the $3,345–$3,330 support zone.
So what’s your view — are we about to see a breakout or another dip? Let me know your thoughts.
Gold Rebounds on Safe-Haven Flows – Is the Uptrend Back?Gold attracted some dip-buying interest during Tuesday’s trading session, reversing part of the previous day’s losses as rising geopolitical tensions reignited demand for safe-haven assets.
The market is increasingly pricing in the expectation that the Federal Reserve will begin a rate-cutting cycle in September — a scenario that favors non-yielding assets like gold. However, a modest recovery in the U.S. dollar could act as a headwind in the short term.
If conditions align, XAUUSD may capitalize on its recent upward momentum to resume the broader bullish trend, especially after completing a healthy pullback near the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement — in line with Dow Theory continuation.
EUR/USD Poised for a Breakout? Watch 1.1510 CloselyEUR/USD is currently consolidating around the 1.1510 support zone after a mild pullback from the descending trendline. Price structure remains bullish, with a wedge pattern forming — signaling that a breakout could be imminent.
On the news front, expectations that the Fed may soon begin cutting rates — following a series of weak U.S. economic data — are weighing on the U.S. dollar. At the same time, easing geopolitical tensions are shifting market sentiment back toward risk assets.
If the 1.1510 support level holds firm, EUR/USD may stage a strong rebound to resume its upward momentum.
EUR/USD Slips — Setup or Selloff?EUR/USD kicked off the week under pressure, hovering near 1.1540 during the Asian session. The drop comes as the U.S. dollar regains strength, driven by safe-haven demand amid rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
In times like these, the greenback shines — and riskier currencies like the euro naturally take a hit. If the situation escalates further, the pair could extend its decline in the near term.
But let’s flip the perspective: while some see risk, others see opportunity. This dip might just be the pullback that buyers have been waiting for — especially if the fundamentals shift or tensions ease. Timing, as always, is everything.
Toward $3,500? Gold Faces Key Policy DecisionsGold is currently trading around $3,438 and continues to show positive momentum. After a week focused on inflation data, the gold market is now shifting its attention to interest rate decisions and policy guidance from major central banks.
The week begins with the Empire State Manufacturing Index, a key indicator of economic activity in the New York region. Following that, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce its monetary policy decision, and investors are closely watching to see whether the BoJ will continue normalizing its interest rates.
Next comes U.S. retail sales data for May — a crucial gauge of consumer spending, which remains the backbone of the U.S. economy. Any signs of weakness in consumer activity could increase expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts.
However, the main focus remains the upcoming Fed meeting. While markets widely expect rates to be held steady, investors are awaiting clear signals from Chair Jerome Powell regarding the path and timing of potential rate cuts ahead.
According to Kitco’s weekly gold survey, professional analysts remain optimistic about gold’s outlook, while retail investors are showing more caution.
With central bank decisions approaching and geopolitical tensions lingering, investors need to stay alert. Risks such as rising social unrest in the U.S., escalating conflicts in the Middle East, and ongoing de-dollarization trends are all fueling demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Given expectations that the Fed will hold rates steady, gold maintains its defensive appeal. In my view, the precious metal may soon retest its highs near $3,500, as its role as a global safe haven becomes even more pronounced amid mounting uncertainty.
Gold on the Rise – Will It Break New Highs?Hey traders! What’s your view on XAUUSD?
Yesterday, gold surged over 400 pips and the rally hasn't slowed down. Price is now hovering around $3,428, right below a key resistance above the all-time high.
Why the spike? US CPI came in lower than expected, boosting hopes for a Fed rate cut. The dollar weakened, tensions in the Middle East grew, and central banks are buying gold aggressively.
Personally, I expect a breakout. What about you – will gold pull back or continue its climb?
Drop your thoughts in the comments!
Gold Takes the Throne as Safe Haven AgainThe recent escalation in the Middle East — particularly Israel’s surprise strike on Iran — has stirred up significant volatility in global financial markets. Oil prices surged, stock markets around the world turned red, just as many had predicted. However, in a surprising twist, capital did not rush into the usual safe havens like the US dollar or Treasury bonds. Instead, it flowed decisively into gold.
In fact, US Treasury yields have soared from 3.98% in April to around 4.42% now. This surge doesn’t signal growing confidence — it reflects investor demand for higher returns to compensate for the rising risk of holding dollar-denominated assets.
Against this backdrop, gold is emerging as an “unshackled safe haven” — immune to political instability tied to fiat-currency-issuing nations. The precious metal is once again proving its value in times of global uncertainty.
Gold Rallies as Rate Cut Bets Heat UpGold prices extended gains today, driven primarily by lower-than-expected U.S. inflation data, which has increased speculation that the Federal Reserve may soon cut interest rates.
The weaker inflation reading sent the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields lower, giving gold a strong push to the upside.
Currently, markets are pricing in a 68% chance of a Fed rate cut in September, which is generally seen as bullish for gold buyers.
Another supporting factor is growing investor caution amid lingering uncertainties in U.S.–China trade relations, further boosting demand for safe-haven assets.
At the time of writing, gold is trading around $3,372, up more than 170 pips on the day.
EURUSD : Dips Below 1.1400 The EUR/USD pair is currently hovering around 1.141, reflecting a clear lack of buying interest. As Friday's U.S. session unfolded, the pair lost momentum and slipped below the 1.1400 mark—an important psychological level that had previously offered support.
This decline came on the back of stronger-than-expected U.S. nonfarm payrolls data for May, which surprised markets and reignited confidence in the resilience of the American labor market. As a result, the U.S. dollar gained significant strength, bolstered by the growing probability that the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady through the next two policy meetings.
BTCUSDT – Is This Just Resistance or a Bull Trap?Bitcoin is now pressing against the key resistance zone around $106,920—a level that has consistently rejected price advances in recent weeks. After a decent recovery, momentum seems to be stalling, and often, that quiet before the storm tells us more than a breakout ever could.
Zooming in, we may be witnessing a classic fake-out formation—a subtle move above resistance to trap late buyers before a sharp reversal. If bulls can’t firmly hold this zone, BTC could very well slip back toward $101,500, aligned with the broader descending trendline.
⚠️ This isn’t about calling tops—it’s about respecting structure and understanding exhaustion. Resistance exists for a reason, and history reminds us: when enthusiasm fades, gravity returns.
Gold on Watch: Rebound or Just Another Dip?Hey traders, let’s take a closer look at what’s happening with gold this week.
After multiple failed attempts to break above the 3,385 USD resistance, XAUUSD has continued to retreat, searching for fresh momentum. As the new week begins, price action is hovering around the psychological 3,330 USD level, with no clear signs of a bottom yet.
At the moment, gold remains under pressure, weighed down by the U.S. dollar’s strength in global markets. Still, weekly sentiment among analysts is split: 7 are bullish, 6 are bearish, and 1 expects prices to hold steady.
Retail traders, however, seem more optimistic. In a recent online poll of 256 participants, 66% predicted gold would rise, 15% saw a drop, and the rest expected sideways movement.
All eyes are now on upcoming economic news that could tip the scales. Personally, I'm leaning toward a recovery — how about you?
Strong Dollar, Shaky Gold: Is It Time to Buy?Gold has returned to a weaker stance, trading around $3,309 during the U.S. session. The U.S. dollar gained some positive momentum as markets leaned toward the possibility that the Federal Reserve will keep its policy unchanged in July following the May report, causing XAU/USD to drop lower into the weekend.
Additionally, U.S. economic data released on the same day continued to show signs of cooling. Specifically, weekly jobless claims came in higher than both the forecast and the previous week's figures, while the U.S. trade deficit narrowed significantly in May.
The index measuring the dollar's strength against a basket of six major currencies remained nearly unchanged. Meanwhile, the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds rose, and real yields climbed by 2 basis points, putting downward pressure on gold prices.
Nevertheless, gold still maintains its long-term uptrend. This correction is seen as a better buying opportunity.
EURUSD at Resistance – Pullback Ahead?Hello traders! What’s your take on EURUSD?
EURUSD is currently trading just below a key resistance zone, signaling a potential pullback. A double top pattern may be forming, suggesting the pair could correct before regaining bullish momentum.
We expect a short-term retracement toward the identified support levels before any continuation of the broader uptrend.
Despite this near-term weakness, our long-term outlook remains bullish. This pullback might actually present a better entry opportunity in line with the overall trend.
Do you see it the same way? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 💬
Gold Holds the Line – Will Bulls Take Control into the Weekend?Hey traders! Let’s take a quick look at what’s happening with gold as the week wraps up.
Yesterday, OANDA:XAUUSD saw a sharp drop during the U.S. session, sliding more than 600 pips. But by this morning, the metal bounced back with a short-term recovery, finding strong support around the $3,342 level.
The move came after U.S. jobless claims data came in higher than expected — a sign that the labor market may be losing steam. That’s fueling speculation that the Fed could move toward cutting interest rates sooner, which tends to weaken the dollar and push gold higher.
On top of that, ongoing global economic uncertainty keeps investors turning to gold as a safe-haven asset.
From a technical standpoint, the $3,340 support zone is still holding firm. If buyers defend this level, the path of least resistance remains to the upside — at least in the short term.
What’s your take? Will gold finish the week stronger or face more pressure? Let’s talk in the comments 💬
MOONPIG Is Taking Off — Thanks to James Wynn’s Viral CloutThe James Wynn Phenomenon:
James Wynn, a crypto trader who turned $4 million into $100 million before losing nearly all of it in leveraged Bitcoin futures, has become a polarizing figure in the crypto space. His massive trades, including a $1.2 billion Bitcoin long position that ended in a $17.5 million loss and a subsequent $1 billion short position with 40x leverage, have made him a viral sensation. Despite these setbacks, Wynn’s resilience and bold moves keep him in the spotlight, with thousands of traders and investors following his every step.
Wynn’s fame stems not just from his trading but from his ability to move markets. His posts on X, where he boasts a significant following, often trigger rapid price movements in the assets he mentions. This influence is now centered on $MOONPIG, a Solana-based meme coin that’s gaining traction thanks to his vocal support.
$MOONPIG: A Meme Coin with Momentum:
$MOONPIG, a meme coin built on the Solana blockchain, has seen its price surge by as much as 80% following Wynn’s endorsements, though it’s also faced volatility with a 30% drop in 24 hours and a 60% decline from its all-time high. Despite these fluctuations, the coin’s community-driven narrative and Wynn’s backing make it a compelling speculative play.
Wynn’s posts on X reveal his belief in $MOONPIG’s potential to be the “next SafeMoon” of this cycle, predicting a run to a billion-dollar market cap. He’s emphasized its appeal to retail investors, calling it “normie-friendly” and highlighting its strong community as a key driver. This narrative aligns with the meme coin mania that often propels tokens like CRYPTOCAP:DOGE or CRYPTOCAP:SHIB to explosive gains during bullish market phases.
Why I’m Bullish:
Wynn’s Influence as a Catalyst: Wynn’s fame amplifies $MOONPIG’s visibility. His posts on X, such as one claiming he transferred profits to the $MOONPIG reserves wallet, signal commitment and attract attention. When Wynn speaks, traders listen, and his endorsements have already driven significant price action, with one instance sparking an 80% surge.
Community Strength: Wynn has emphasized $MOONPIG’s community-driven ethos, stating it “doesn’t need KOLs or BS” and thrives on organic support. In the meme coin space, strong communities can sustain momentum, as seen with tokens like CRYPTOCAP:PEPE , which Wynn also supports.
Market Timing: With Bitcoin hitting new highs and retail interest flooding back into crypto, $MOONPIG is well-positioned to ride the wave. Wynn’s thesis that retail investors will soon pour into altcoins aligns with current market sentiment, making $MOONPIG a potential beneficiary.
Speculative Upside: Meme coins thrive on hype, and $MOONPIG’s low market cap relative to its potential—analysts like @KookCapitalLLC
speculate a $1 billion valuation—offers significant upside for early investors. Even after recent pullbacks, the coin’s volatility suggests opportunities for traders who can stomach the risk.
XAUUSD (Gold) - ICT AnalysisI'm currently looking for higher levels on Gold,
after we reversed from a Daily IRL zone and printed a clear 1H structure shift.
Price just rejected from a 4H IRL, and my first target is the 4H ERL,
which is already marked on the chart.
Watching price action closely for continuation confirmation.