USDCHF: Bearish Wave Ahead 🇺🇸🇨🇭
Quick update for USDCHF.
Earlier on Monday, I shared a bearish forecast based on a
confirmed violation of a neckline of a head and shoulders pattern on a daily.
We got quite a deep retest of that and bears finally showed their presence.
I remain bearish bias and expect a bearish continuation soon.
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Candlestick Analysis
Gold price fluctuates before NFP data, be careful📰 Impact of news:
1. European Central Bank deposit facility rate in the eurozone as of June 5
2. Initial jobless claims data
3. Non-farm payroll data
4. Worsening geopolitical situation
📈 Market analysis:
Since the release of ADP data last night, gold prices have been rising all the way, reaching a high of around 3382, which is in line with the expected resistance of 3385-3395 we saw yesterday. Currently, the bulls are stable above 3330, and the gold price is still in a bullish trend on the daily chart. Although the current market is in a state of consolidation, there is a possibility of a surge and fall in the short term. Only after a negative line correction occurs, it may continue to be bullish. In short-term trading, pay attention to 3385-3395 on the top and the opportunity to retreat to 3365-3355 on the bottom. Pay attention to data such as initial jobless claims and tomorrow's non-agricultural data.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3365-3355-3345
TP 3370-3380-3400
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Hedge funds are unusually bearish and here's why...We have a huge dealing range to short into and still remain bullish, it's basically free money on technical retracement/correction while not ruining the market.
The retailers have been buying since April but there is no institutional orderflow evidenced by no peak above average volume levels.
Technicals will reign supreme here. Trump is either trolling about the rate decrease or he has no idea about chart technicals 😮💨. I bet he's trolling, as he has cabinets on cabinets of market advisors who know fully how correction cycles work.
ExhaustedThe long red candle indicates an overbought market. Despite the good economic results no new highs could be reached and the week showed beginning profit taking. Most of the market participiants are long and convonced of the good results. They are right and many of them are sitting on good profits. The more profit taking will come in here they will be thinking of taking an increasing part of their profit.
f this is true the chart picture will show a double top and a beginning bear market in the shorter time frame.
USD/JPY(20250604)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Logan: We should focus on achieving the 2% inflation target rather than trying to make up for past inflation shortfalls; Bostic: We still think there may be a rate cut this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
143.47
Support and resistance levels:
145.19
144.55
144.13
142.81
142.39
141.75
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 144.13, consider buying in, with the first target price of 144.55
If the price breaks through 143.47, consider selling in, with the first target price of 142.81
THE FLEX SETUP (EURGBP)Good day traders, I'm back with another setup and it’s only an update that I believe can really provide insight into what to expect from price in the upcoming weeks.
Like I always say that I always want to see price take out a previous week high/low as I use that as a confirmation in term of the power of 3 that I use to try and avoid manipulation, but this doesn't mean I don't get on the wrong side of price moves. Looking at the HTF's overall structure we can see that we in a very bullish structure but... There's a bearish flow in price!! On the weekly TF price left a large FVG(BISI), showing how strong the bullish structure is and now that price is trading on top of this BISI I'm mentioning. If we go one TF lower to the daily TF than on the daily the weekly BISI is a balanced price range and normally how I look at Gaps after been balanced, I treat them like classic support/resistance, but they have to confluence with another PD array first than for me the rules of 'support/resistance' come into play. If you look close into the daily TF, we have relative equal highs inside the volume imbalance created on the 12th of May.
Let's look at how price delivered since opening with a gap lower on the 12th, on that same day price repriced that gap but did not close above it. Why do we want it to close above it? Well ICT teaches more on volume imbalances and the rules or pros and cons. If price closes above the volume imbalance than it becomes balanced once price retests the closure above/below obviously depending on the gap opening. On the 4HTF we saw price shift structure higher and the first thing I see is the candle that had a broken lower high because it also became our breaker. And a FVG inside it making that zone stronger again we can use all the PD arrays together.
TIAUSDT Monitoring Completion of Bearish 5-Wave FormationTIAUSDT remains in a structured downtrend, nearing completion of a potential 5-wave bearish pattern similar to a previous setup that led to an upside breakout before resuming the decline. A similar scenario is anticipated this time, with plans to go long if price action confirms a strong rejection around Wave 5.
A projected ABC corrective move outlines the near-term bullish targets. The $4.648 level will act as a key pivot; a breakout above it could shift momentum bullishly, opening the path toward $9.144. However, failure at that level may trigger renewed downside toward the $1.30–$1.55 demand zone.
Continue to short goldTechnical aspect:
Although the ADP data release is a big positive for gold, the trend of gold is quite different. It only rebounded to around 3362 and then gradually fell back, which to a certain extent strengthened the effectiveness of the short-term resistance area of 3365-3375. For the time being, technical indicators alone cannot support gold to continue to rebound. After consuming a certain degree of bullish momentum, gold will continue to retreat. And I think 3340 will be broken, and even continue to the 3330-3320 area. So in terms of short-term trading, I still prefer to short gold.
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold in the 3360-3370 area, TP: 3345-3335.
Market situation unclear? Check out this analysis📰 Impact of news:
1. ADP data is significantly positive
2. Trump: "Mr. Too Late" Fed Chairman Powell must cut interest rates now
📈 Market analysis:
The ADP data is significantly bullish, but we cannot rule out that this is an illusion created by the market, because although the daily line has formed a golden cross, it has not fully released the bullish momentum, and has not been able to exert force in the bullish upward trend. Therefore, I prefer to go long at a low position in the US market rather than chasing it immediately. At the same time, the upper 3365 may become a short-term strong pressure level. If the gold price encounters resistance here, the US market will usher in a retracement, and then it will be our time to go long.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3360-3365
TP 3340-3330
BUY 3330-3317
TP 3360-3370-3400
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Types of Engulfing Candles!In trading, an Engulfing candle (or Engulfing pattern) is a two-candle reversal pattern that can indicate a potential change in market direction. It is commonly used in technical analysis in both bullish and bearish contexts.
Types of Engulfing Candles
1. Bullish Engulfing Pattern:
Occurs during a downtrend.
The first candle is bearish (red or black), showing continued selling pressure.
The second candle is bullish (green or white) and completely engulfs the body of the first candle (its open is lower and close is higher).
This pattern signals a potential reversal to the upside.
2. Bearish Engulfing Pattern:
Occurs during an uptrend.
The first candle is bullish.
The second candle is bearish and completely engulfs the first candle's body (its open is higher and close is lower).
This pattern signals a potential reversal to the downside.
Key Characteristics
The second candle’s body must fully engulf the first candle’s body (wicks/tails are not necessary to engulf).
The stronger the engulfing candle (in terms of size and volume), the more significant the signal may be.
Often more reliable when confirmed with volume or used in conjunction with other technical indicators (e.g., RSI, support/resistance levels).
Example:
Bullish Engulfing Example:
Day 1: Bearish candle opens at $100 and closes at $95.
Day 2: Bullish candle opens at $94 and closes at $101 — it completely engulfs Day 1's body.
This would suggest a potential shift from sellers to buyers.
Nifty Analysis EOD – June 4, 2025 – Wednesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – June 4, 2025 – Wednesday 🔴
A Pause with a Purpose: Calm Before the Storm?
Today’s Nifty price action was quiet and composed. The index opened with a mild 33-point gap-up, only to find resistance around the 24,600 mark—tested multiple times through the day. Eventually, it retraced to fill the gap, took support near the 24,500 zone, and spent most of the session within a tight initial balance of just 82 points.
A mid-session breakout attempt gave bulls a fleeting 30-point push, but the rally fizzled at the 24,625–24,640 resistance zone, and the index settled at 24,620.20, wrapping up the day in a 114-point range.
While the range was narrow, the price structure hints at a market in wait mode, possibly anticipating upcoming events or news flow. Patience is the key here.
🛡 5 Min Chart with Levels
📦 Bigger Picture: Still Trapped in the Box
This was the 14th session and 20th trading day stuck in a 653-point box range (24,462–25,116) formed since the 15th May breakout candle.
Nifty is now near the bottom of that range, and the 15th May Master Candle low of 24,494 is becoming crucial.
🔴 A close below that level could potentially unlock lower zones near 24,000 or even 23,800.
No need to pre-empt the move—let the market trigger, then respond.
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,560.45
High: 24,644.25
Low: 24,530.45
Close: 24,620.20
Net Change: +77.70 (+0.32%)
Candle Structure
Real Body: 59.75 pts (Green)
Upper Wick: 24.05 pts
Lower Wick: 30.00 pts
Interpretation
A quiet session with modest gains. The candle shows buyers stepping in after yesterday's sell-off, but the recovery lacked strength. The small body and limited wicks signal a day of balance—neither bulls nor bears fully in control.
Candle Type
🟩 Neutral Bullish Candle / Basic Continuation Bar
Indicates pause in selling pressure, but not yet a confirmation of bullish reversal.
Key Insight
A close above 24,645 is needed to validate any recovery attempt.
As long as 24,530–24,500 holds, short-term sentiment stays cautiously optimistic.
Tomorrow’s session will be crucial to set the tone.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 262.59
IB Range: 82.3 → Small IB
Market Structure: Balanced
Trades:
❌ No trade triggered today
📌 Support & Resistance Zones
Resistance Levels
24,625 ~ 24,640
24,660
24,727 ~ 24,737
24,768 ~ 24,800
24,820
24,882
24,894 (Strong Resistance)
Support Levels
24,600
24,530 ~ 24,480
24,460
24,420 ~ 24,400
24,365 ~ 24,330
24,245 ~ 24,240
💭 Final Thoughts:
A day of controlled consolidation in a narrow range. While the broader market may look indecisive, this could be accumulation or energy build-up for the next big directional move. Stay observant—levels are speaking louder than volume right now.
📌 "When markets whisper, smart traders listen. The quiet days often precede the loudest moves."
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): More Growth Ahead
For some unknown reason, I was asked by a dozen
of my subscribers to provide the update for US100.
Since early May, the index successfully updates the highs on a daily.
Such a tendency will remain at least till a test of a current ATH.
I think that the market is going to grow and reach at least 22100 level soon.
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Gold trend analysis and layout before ADP data release📰 Impact of news:
1. May ADP data
2. The geopolitical situation worsens
📈 Market analysis:
Today, the gold price in the Asian session hit the 3370 line and then began to fall. Before the release of the ADP data, the gold price is likely to fall into a volatile pattern. The upper short-term resistance is 3370-3380. Pay attention to whether it can break through 3392, which will determine whether the short-term gold price can reach 3400. Pay attention to the support below 3350-3345, and focus on the 3330 line support. Once it falls below 3330, the gold price may reach 3317. If the ADP data is released and stabilizes near 3317, and then quickly closes the long lower shadow. Then you can rely on the 3317 to enter the market and do more. As long as it rebounds to above 3330 again, then the high point near 3390 above will definitely not be maintained. On the contrary, if gold falls below the 3330 and 3317 levels during the US trading session, don't go long easily. Participate in the high-altitude and low-multiple cycle during the European session. If it retreats to 3355-3345, consider going long with a light position and look at 3360-3370. If it touches 3375-3390 and is under pressure, consider shorting. Focus on ADP data!!
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3355-3345
TP 3360-3370
SELL 3375-3390
TP 3350-3340
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
EURUSD: Pullback From Support Confirmed 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Update for our yesterday's setup on EURUSD.
It feels like the pair has successfully completed a retracement,
respecting an intraday horizontal support.
A double bottom formation on that and a formation of a bullish
imbalance candle provide a strong bullish confirmation.
I think the pair may rise at least to 1.144 support soon.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Continue to short gold after the reboundTechnical analysis:
Gold rebounded after hitting 3333 overnight. So far, it has reached 3361. However, it can be clearly seen from the rebound process that the rebound is not strong, so I think the rebound space may not be too high. In the short term, it faces resistance in the 3365-3375 area. The strong resistance above the 3390-3400 area still exists, so it may be difficult for bulls to make a major breakthrough in the short term; and the support area below in the short term is in the 3340-3330 area, and the important support is in the area around 3320;
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold in the 3365-3375 area, TP: 3350-3340
USD/CHF: Squeeze Risk Builds After Bullish ReversalRisk of a countertrend squeeze in USD/CHF is building after it printed a bullish engulfing candle on Tuesday, breaking out of the falling wedge it had been trading in over recent weeks.
While the price signal alone is bullish, to get excited about the prospect of a meaningful squeeze higher, USD/CHF needs to clear minor resistance overhead at .8246. If it can get a foothold above this level, it would generate a setup where longs could be established with a stop beneath for protection. .8333 looms as a potential target—a known resistance level that also has the key 50-day moving average sitting just above it.
Momentum indicators remain bearish but are starting to turn higher, suggesting the bearish flows that pushed USD/CHF to multi-week lows on Monday may be starting to ebb.
Good luck!
DS
Buy gold, TP: 3355-3365Technical aspect:
Gold stopped falling and rebounded after touching 3333. The highest price has only rebounded to 3353. It seems that the bullish potential is weak and the rebound is weak. However, the gold candlestick chart closed with a long lower shadow after touching 3333, proving that there is a certain degree of buying support below; if gold can maintain above 3340-3330 in the short term, gold bulls still have the opportunity to rebound to 3355-3365;
From the perspective of morphological structure, as long as gold remains above 3330, the gold bull structure has not been effectively destroyed, and bulls still have the opportunity to counterattack. It also proves that the buying support below is effective, and the bottoming and rebounding structure is established in the short term, so we can still consider continuing to go long on gold in short-term trading.
Trading strategy:
Consider the 3345-3335 area as support, and try to go long on gold in small batches;TP:3355-3365
NZDCAD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.82500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 3.72
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Long orders have made profits, gold layout in the evening📰 Impact of news:
1. Economist: The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates sharply in December
2. Lee Jae-myung, candidate of the Democratic Party of Korea, was elected president of South Korea
📈 Market analysis:
Currently, the gold price is in a consolidation pattern, showing an overall volatile pattern during the day. The hourly Bollinger Bands are opening downward, and the MACD indicator is running in a dead cross. In the short term, the bears have a certain advantage. However, observing the 4H level, it can be found that the RSI indicator crosses when entering the overbought area, suggesting that the risk of a correction in the short term has increased. For evening operations, it is recommended to wait for the gold price to stabilize before entering the market, focusing on the important support of 3335-3325. If it obtains effective support and stabilizes in this range, the gold price may resume its upward trend. If it falls below 3325, the bullish momentum will be weakened. Therefore, it is recommended to wait for a pullback to 3335-3325 to go long in the US market, and look to 3350-3370 in the short term.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3335-3325
TP 3350-3370-3400
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
The latest trend analysis and operation layout of Europeanmarket📰 Impact of news:
1. Speech by the Federal Reserve during the US trading session
2. Geopolitical and tariff issues
📈 Market analysis:
Recently, the escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and global trade tensions has pushed international gold prices to rise strongly. Although Russia and Ukraine reached a consensus on prisoner exchange in the second round of negotiations on Monday, the ceasefire agreement remained deadlocked. Coupled with the US announcement of additional steel tariffs, geopolitical risks and economic uncertainties stimulated risk aversion sentiment.
From a technical perspective, the upward trend of gold since 3120 is clear. After breaking through 3340 on Monday, it accelerated to test the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance level of 3396, but the pressure at the 3400 integer mark is significant. At the same time, 3330 below is still the current key support level. The current decline in gold prices is more like a technical correction to yesterday's rise. Yesterday, we reminded everyone to pay attention to the 3355 level. The intraday operation suggestion for the European session is 3355-3345. You can try to go long and look at the 3370-3380 line. If it breaks through effectively, it will test the 3396 or even 3400 line; if it fails to break through the upper resistance, it will fall into a range of fluctuations.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3355-3345
TP 3370-3380-3390
SELL 3370-3380
TP 3350-3340-3330
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Under pressure in the short term, short gold after rebound!In the short term, gold has risen sharply under the simultaneous stimulation of tariffs and geopolitical conflicts, but it has gradually fallen back after reaching around 3392, and has not broken through the 3400 mark in one fell swoop, indicating that the bullish momentum does not have the potential to continue to rise for the time being, so it may still need a certain degree of technical support, so gold has a need to retrace in the short term;
In addition, if gold continues to retrace, then there may be a structural form at the technical level that offsets the short-term double bottom structure support, so gold may also form a double top structure in the short term. The first thing we need to pay attention to is the resistance near 3370, followed by the resistance near 3390; and below we must first pay attention to the support near 3345, followed by the 3330-3320 support area.
Trading strategy:
1. Consider continuing to short gold in the 3370-3380 area, TP: 3355-3345;
2. If gold first retreats to the 3345-3335 area and does not fall below this area, consider going long on gold; TP: 3360-3370