Potential Short Setup Within a Bullish Context
It seems that EURUSD has formed nested setups, indicating potential short-term bearish movement. Signs point to a possible short setup targeting the 4H order block. However, since this move would go against the prevailing higher-timeframe trend, the probability of it playing out might be lower.
🔍 My Trading Approach:
My trading approach is built around price imbalances and liquidity. I focus on aligning entries with session timings, identifying daily bias and key liquidity levels, and using tools like FVGs for precise execution.
🎯 Profit-Taking Rule:
I usually secure profits once price has moved at least 1.5× the stop-loss distance in my favor
Candlestick Analysis
Is the positive news fading? The latest analysis of gold📰 Impact of news:
1. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine breaks out again, exacerbating the uncertainty of the situation
2. The tension in the Middle East continues, Iran claims to be ready to defend its airspace at any time, and the Houthi armed forces attack Israeli airports
3. May PMI data released
📈 Market analysis:
As geopolitical conflicts between Russia and Ukraine and the Middle East broke out again over the weekend, gold jumped higher today. From a technical perspective, the 1H chart shows a bullish arrangement, but the gold price is in a downward channel at the daily level. The gold price is currently near the middle track of the Bollinger Band and is obviously suppressed by the downward channel. The 4H level Bollinger Bands narrowed, the moving averages adhered, the long and short positions were in a stalemate, and the MACD indicator hovered around the 0 axis. 3330 - 3335 above is the key resistance area. If it breaks through 3340, it is expected to continue to see new highs. At the same time, there is short-term support in the 3285-3280 range below. 3270 - 3265 becomes the key important support. If it falls below, it may fall to 3245. For short-term operations in the Asian and European sessions today, if the resistance area of 3325-3335 cannot be effectively broken through, you can consider shorting and look towards 3310-3290 in the short term.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3325-3335
TP 3310-3290
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
EURUSD Forms Rising Wedge + Evening Star_ Bearish SetupAs I expected in the previous idea , the EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) started to rise after breaking the upper line of the descending channel and hit the Long Position target with Risk-To-Reward: 1.46 .
The EURUSD is trading near the Resistance zone($1.149-$1.142) .
From a Classic Technical perspective, EURUSD appears to be completing a Rising Wedge Reversal Pattern . Also, a good sign for a EURUSD reversal is the formation of an Evening Star Candlestick Pattern near the upper line of the rising wedge pattern.
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , I think the EURUSD corrective waves are NOT over yet, and it seems that EURUSD has completed the main wave X inside the rising wedge pattern.
I expect EURUSD to decline to at least $1.126 AFTER breaking the lower line of the wedge pattern.
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.14903 , we can expect more pump.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Small Clues In A Big Breakout PatternSilver has been consolidating as of late and if there's one thing we no about contraction is that it eventually leads to expansion aka a breakout.
The issue with this particular setup is that based on location of the pattern, there's no predetermined directional bias for the breakout.
Therefor, what we're doing today is looking for small clues that the market has provided to give us any type of edge in predicting a breakout one way or another and guess what. WE FOUND SOME!
If you have any questions or comments, please leave them below!
Akil
FOMO & An Inside Bar Entry Into A Larger Head & Shoulder PatternAn handful of lessons in this video so hang on.
1) We take a look at the dangers that come with entering a trade too early & what you should do if you ever find yourself in that situation.
2) A discussion ion inside bars, what they are, how to trade them and an indicator that will help you spot them.
3) How to use that inside bar as an entry reason into a bigger head and shoulders pattern on the larger timeframe.
Please leave any questions or comments below!
Akil
Learning#01 : Master Candle Theory🕯️ Master Candle Theory:
The Hidden Price Action Signal Most Traders Overlook
Introduction
In a world full of overcomplicated indicators and conflicting signals, sometimes the simplest patterns reveal the deepest insights. Master Candle Theory is one such underrated concept — a clean, structure-based method of reading price that often signals major breakouts before they happen.
Whether you're a beginner trying to understand price behavior or a seasoned trader looking to tighten your entries, this article will break down how to identify, understand, and apply Master Candle setups in real markets.
🔍 What is a Master Candle?
A Master Candle (MC) is a single large candlestick that fully engulfs the range (high to low) of the next 3 to 5 candles.
To qualify as a Master Candle:
The candle must have a relatively large range.
The next 3–5 candles should form completely within the high and low of that Master Candle.
These inside candles usually show reduced volatility and indecision.
This creates a "box" or price compression zone, which often leads to a significant breakout.
📊 Why It Matters
Price moves in cycles: expansion → contraction → expansion.
Master Candle formations represent the contraction phase — a build-up of pressure. Traders watching for breakouts from these formations can catch the next expansion leg with better precision.
Key benefits:
Clear structure: Easy to identify on any time frame.
Built-in risk control: The high and low of the MC give natural breakout and stop-loss levels.
Works across markets: Forex, crypto, indices — the principle applies universally.
🛠️ How to Trade the Master Candle Setup
Step 1: Identify the Master Candle
Look for a candle with a wide range.
Confirm that the next 3–5 candles stay within the high-low range of the MC.
Step 2: Mark the MC Range
Draw horizontal lines at the high and low of the MC.
This defines your breakout zone.
Step 3: Wait for a Breakout
Price should break out clearly above or below the MC range.
Volume increase or confirmation candle helps strengthen the signal.
Step 4: Manage the Trade
Entry: On breakout close or retest of the MC boundary.
Stop-loss: Just inside the opposite side of the MC.
Targets: Use previous structure, Fibonacci, or a fixed R:R ratio (e.g., 1:2+).
☠️ Pro Tips and Common Mistakes
✅ Best on higher time frames: MC setups are more reliable on 1H and above.
✅ Look for confluence: Combine MC setups with support/resistance, trendlines, or moving averages for higher probability trades.
❌ Avoid trading inside the MC range: It’s a zone of uncertainty — wait for confirmation.
❌ Don’t force the setup: Not every big candle is a Master Candle. Let the market show you clean, well-formed patterns.
🧠 Kiran’s Approach:
Real-World Application of Master Candle Theory
While the core theory is powerful on its own, I’ve refined a method that filters noise and improves accuracy using a multi-timeframe strategy I call HTF ~ LTF (Higher Time Frame vs. Lower Time Frame).
Here’s how I apply it in my day-to-day trading:
Identify the Master CandleI start by spotting a valid Master Candle and marking its high and low. This forms my breakout zone.
Define the No-Trade ZoneThe middle of the MC range is what I call the No-Trade Zone — a chop area where false breakouts are common. I avoid trading within this midrange.
Use HTF ~ LTF Confluence for BreakoutsOnce the price breaks the high or low of the Higher Time Frame (HTF) Master Candle, I don’t enter right away. Instead, I drop down to the Lower Time Frame (LTF) and wait for a candle to close beyond that breakout level.
Entry ConfirmationMy entry is taken above the high of the breakout candle on the LTF (for long setups), and vice versa for shorts. This gives me an added layer of confirmation and filters out weak breakouts.
Target and Stop-Loss
Target:
The full range of the Master Candle.
Stop-Loss:
For long trades: below the low of the MC.
For short trades: above the high of the MC.
⏱️ Ideal Time Frame Pairings
To apply the HTF ~ LTF (Higher Time Frame vs. Lower Time Frame) approach effectively, I use different time frame combinations based on the style of trade:
⏱️ For Intraday Trades:
Higher Time Frame: 15-minute or 25-minute
Lower Time Frame: 5-minute
⏱️ For Swing Trades:
Higher Time Frame: 75-minute or 1-Day
Lower Time Frame: 25-minute
⏱️ For Positional Trades:
Higher Time Frame: 1-Week
Lower Time Frame: 75-minute
This layered approach has helped me filter out noise, catch stronger momentum moves, and keep my trades structured and disciplined.
📈 Real Market Example
👻 Valid Breakout with Target Example :
👻 Valid Breakout with Partial Target Example :
👻 False Breakout with Valid Breakout Example :
📚 Final Thoughts
Master Candle Theory is a great way to bring structure and patience into your trading. Instead of chasing price, you’re learning to anticipate breakouts and position yourself logically.
Like all strategies, it’s not a magic bullet — but with the right discipline and context, Master Candles can become a high-probability tool in your technical arsenal.
Canara Bank – Breakout With Retest, Momentum BuildingBullish | Timeframe: 1Y | Type: Positional Swing
Chart Setup:
Canara Bank has broken out of a 15-month consolidation zone above the ₹112–₹114 resistance, which acted as a neckline. Price rallied sharply from the ₹85 base, and the breakout was supported by strong volumes and momentum.
The most recent candle shows a shallow retest, with an intraday dip to ₹109 followed by a strong close above the breakout zone — classic confirmation of support holding.
Measured Move Target: ₹150–₹160
Invalidation / Stop Loss: Close below ₹108
Rationale:
Strong price-volume structure
Retest of breakout zone successful
PSU banking theme in favour
Momentum intact above all major moving averages
Disclaimer:
This idea is purely for educational purposes and reflects a technical setup based on chart patterns and price action. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell securities. PSU banks can be volatile and sensitive to macro/policy triggers. Traders should manage risk independently, use stop-loss, and size positions based on personal risk tolerance. Always do your own due diligence before taking any trade.
Final BTCUSD update..Good day traders, here is my final update on BTCUSD and I like how price has been respecting our PD arrays. Keep in mind traders price moving in waves and what again😂😂🏃🏾♂️, point is today is the last trading day for the week and my thoughts is that we can expect BTCUSD to start going higher today and tomorrow maybe till Tuesday …sorry I’m being too sure but if you focus on time and price you start to KNOW(ledge) things or maybe I should say secrets?!🤨🤔
I always expect price to manipulate higher if my bias is shorts, ICT’s power of 3 works wonders when it come to this thought process.
Watch how price reacts to the FVG where price is trading now, it’s not a signal just watch out price moves always from it for the rest of today.
We only going high to shoot lower…keep that in mind!!🤯
GBPJPY update!!Good day traders, I’m back with yet another beautiful setup on GJ and I really wish we can all monitor how price plays out and learn more about price signature.
For this setup I’ll explain more about it after the fact because it’ll help me make my point clearer and easily understandable.
Yet another gift..🎁🧧
OILUSD Range Between 60–64.26 – Will Support Hold or Break?WTI Crude has been in a sideways range after the sharp drop in early April. Price recently tested resistance at 64.260 but failed to break higher, pulling back into the 60.000 support zone. This level has held multiple times, forming a key pivot.
Support at: 60.000 🔽, 55.931 🔽
Resistance at: 64.260 🔼, 67.000 🔼, 71.101 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A strong rejection from the 60.000 zone followed by a breakout above 64.260.
🔽 Bearish: A daily/12H close below 60.000 opens the path to retest 55.931, and potentially lower.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Short trade
1Hr overview
📘 Trade Journal Entry — DOGEUSDT (Sell-side Trade)
🗓 Date: Friday, 30th May 2025
⏰ Time: 3:00 PM
📍 Session: Tokyo to London PM
📈 Timeframe: 1hr (intraday/swing)
📊 Market Structure Tool: Price Action — Lower Highs + Liquidity Sweep
🧠 Confirmation Tool: Bearish structure break + Premium pricing zone
🔹 Trade Details:
Entry Price: 0.20466
Take Profit: 0.18205 (−11.05%)
Stop Loss: 0.20691 (+1.10%)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 10.05
🔹 Market Structure:
Bearish price action is evident, characterised by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
Entry aligned with price returning to the premium zone before resuming its downward trend.
Liquidity Sweep & Confirmation:
Entry followed a sweep of local highs, indicating engineered liquidity.
Immediate rejection at the sweep point and entry at the confirmation candle.
Momentum:
Strong bearish momentum post-entry, with volume confirming sell-side intent.
S&P 500 Index -- Weekly Volatility Potential Good Afternoon!
This week, I want to talk about the CBOE:SPX and its weekly potential for how I read historical volatility to weight it then to implied volatility -- this creates my custom trading ranges.
Implied ranges for this week are calculated at 4 DTE using my strength of IV method. You can find out more how I do this over at my highlights page on 'X' - Find me @askHVtobidIV
We are entering a short week, with IV currently in the 89th percentile for the year ( 18.31% ) and resonating between bi-weekly ( 19.36% ) and monthly ( 15.13% ) historical values. Quarterly volatility trends ( 31.79% ) have risen more than 10% this year alone due to macro concerns and increased news from tariff uncertainties. This is creating a volatile environment that, in turn, only increases our trading ranges. Something I personally like.
Near-term trends are above the currently high IV environment, suggesting further expansion. This provides premium value on what is happening to what is projected to happen and a “strength of IV” of >100% indicating rising volatility, slowly towards quarterly means, while resonating around monthly trends.
If price action drives downwards, our gap from May 16th could fill around $5,692.56 with confluence of HV21 trends at $5,710.91.
Conversely, I can see HV10 ranges with rising pricing action and good macro news with EU tariffs breaking $5,971.33—Expanding to the price of $5,995.95 with continuing expansion and regression towards means.
Come back next weekend as I will review the chart to see how we developed!
For those interested in volatility analysis and the application of weighted HV ranges to IV, I encourage you to BOOST and share this post, leave a comment, or follow me to join me on this journey.
Short trade
Entry: Day TF
Trade Type: Sell-side Trade — SOL/USDT
Date: Friday, May 30, 2025
Time: 4:36 PM — London Session PM
Observed Timeframe: 15min
Entry: 163.099
Take Profit (TP): 147.229 (−9.73%)
Stop Loss (SL): 164.373 (+0.78%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 12.46
Entry Rationale: The entry at 163.099 was based on a confirmed breakdown below a key support level, signalling potential for further downside movement. The take profit level at 147.229 was determined based on the next significant support zone, aligning with a previous consolidation area.
Wipro in recovery mode on monthly chart.Wipro Ltd. is a global information technology, consulting and outsourcing company, which engages in the development and integration of solutions.
Wipro Closing price is 249.67. The positive aspects of the company are Attractive Valuation (P.E. = 19.9), Companies with Zero Promoter Pledge, Companies with Low Debt, Annual Profit Growth higher than Sector Profit Growth, Company able to generate Net Cash - Improving Net Cash Flow for last 2 years and FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding. The Negative aspects of the company are Stocks Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, Promoter decreasing their shareholding, Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income and MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter.
Entry can be taken after closing above 251 Historical Resistance in the stock will be 257 and 277. PEAK Historic Resistance in the stock will be 292 and 312. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 227.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Short trade Trade Type: Sell-side Trade — ETH/USDT
Date: Friday, May 30, 2025
Time: 4:30 PM — London Session PM
Observed Timeframe: 15min
Entry Day TF
Entry: 2,616.40
Take Profit (TP): 2,508.56 (−4.12%)
Stop Loss (SL): 2,631.81 (+0.59%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 7.0
📓 Context / Trade Notes:
Market Structure: The trade was initiated following a bearish structure, with price action forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating a downtrend.
Technical Indicators: The RSI on the 15-minute chart displayed a bearish crossover of moving averages, reinforcing the short position.
The take profit level at 2,508.56 was determined based on the next significant support zone, aligning with a previous consolidation area.
Munjal Auto giving a Breakout on Monthly chart. Munjal Auto Industries Ltd. engages in the production of automobile components. It operates through the Auto Components and Composite Products and Molds segments. It manufactures exhaust systems for two wheelers and four wheelers, spoke rims for two wheelers, steel wheel rims for two wheelers and four wheelers, fuel tanks for four wheelers, sheet metal components, seat frames for four wheelers, and other automotive assemblies.
Munjal Auto Closing price is 82.98. The positive aspects of the company are Companies with Zero Promoter Pledge, Companies with Low Debt and FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding. The Negative aspects of the company is Stocks Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter.
Entry can be taken after closing above 83 Historical Resistance in the stock will be 88.5 and 96. PEAK Historic Resistance in the stock will be 109 and 119. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 72.3 or 60.7 depending upon your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NZDUSD: Move Up Ahead 🇳🇿🇺🇸
Thursday's and Friday's sessions were bullish on NZDUSD.
After a test of a rising trend line, the price formed
a double bottom pattern on a 4H time frame and violated its neckline.
I think that the pair may rise next week and reach at least 0.6 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDCAD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at Both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Weekly
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.89500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 5.54
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
USDJPY SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly entry at AOi
Daily entry At AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 144.000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.72
Entry 110%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
NZDCAD SHORT Market structure structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at Both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.82500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 3.72
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Bitcoin's at ALL TIME HIGHS and I'm going ALL IN!!As Bitcoin surges to new all-time highs, I've made a pivotal decision: to stop saving in dollars and start holding Bitcoin.
Why Bitcoin? Self-Custody:
Owning Bitcoin means true ownership. With self-custody, I control my private keys, ensuring my wealth isn't subject to third-party risks like bank failures or government seizures.
Declining Dollar Value: The U.S. dollar continues to depreciate due to inflation and economic policies. Holding Bitcoin, a deflationary asset, offers a hedge against this erosion of purchasing power.
Global Accessibility: Bitcoin transcends borders, providing financial inclusion for anyone with internet access, especially in regions with unstable currencies.
Security and Privacy: With proper self-custody practices, my Bitcoin holdings are secure from hacks and offer enhanced privacy compared to traditional financial systems.
As I monitor the BTC/USD daily chart, the trend is clear: Bitcoin isn't just a speculative asset; it's a movement towards financial sovereignty.
SPX week & month review 5/30/25Intrigued by today as we closed the month and week. The charts appear bullish until something changes that. Key points I noticed...
*Monthly morning star pattern
*RSI above 50 on month and week chart
*MACD over zero line and signal up on month and week chart
*Key levels holding up (21 ema, FVGs)
We are still in volatile times and narratives are being thrown all over the place. Do you see what I see? Enjoy your weekend.