GBPCAD: Pullback After a Trap 🇬🇧🇨🇦
There is a high chance that GBPCAD will pull back
from the underlined support.
The price started to grow after a false violation of that and a confirmed bearish trap.
Goal - 1.8458
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Candlestick Analysis
Nifty Analysis EOD – June 16, 2025 – Monday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – June 16, 2025 – Monday 🔴
📈 Expected Follow-Through Plays Out – Bulls Eye 25K Hurdle Next
Nifty opened flat-to-positive at 24,737, briefly dipped to the day’s low of 24,703.60, and then reversed smartly to touch an intraday high of 24,967.10 by 13:40. After that, the index spent the rest of the day consolidating in a narrow 40-point band and closed at 24,940.95 intraday (adjusted close: 24,946.50), delivering a solid +227.90 point gain.
As anticipated, the 24,768–24,800 support zone provided the launchpad for further upside, confirming the bullish follow-up from Friday's recovery. The rally tested 24,967, just shy of the crucial resistance at 24,972, which remains a key watch for the next session.
🔍 However, going forward, the bulls face major challenges around 25,000–25,080. This zone has acted as a hurdle in the past and could either stall the rally or serve as a breakout trigger. Watch price behavior carefully around these levels to assess conviction.
🛡 5 Min Chart with Levels
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,732.35
High: 24,967.10
Low: 24,703.60
Close: 24,946.50
Change: +227.90 (+0.92%)
📊 Candle Structure Breakdown
Real Body: 214.15 pts → 🟢 Strong Green Candle
Upper Wick: 20.60 pts
Lower Wick: 28.75 pts
🔍 Interpretation
Opened near day’s low, closed near day’s high — classic bullish sentiment.
Small wicks show controlled buying with minimal resistance and shakeouts.
Reinforces the bulls’ momentum after Friday’s OL recovery candle.
🔦 Candle Type
💚 Bullish Marubozu–type / Bullish Continuation Candle– Often found during the middle leg of a bullish swing, signaling strong trend momentum.
📌 Key Insight
Today's price action confirmed continuation of the recovery.
Close above 24,950–25,000 in the next session could ignite fresh upside.
Rejection around 25,060–25,080 would indicate caution — stay nimble.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 268.49
IB Range: 114.05 → Medium IB
Market Structure: ⚖️ Unbalanced
Trades:
✅ 10:20 AM – Long Triggered → Target Achieved, Trailing SL Hit (RR: 1:3.28)
📌 Support & Resistance Zones
Resistance Levels
24,972 ~ 25,000
25,060 ~ 25,080
25,102 ~ 25,125
Support Levels
24,894 ~ 24,882
24,825 ~ 24,847
24,725 ~ 24,735
24,660
💭 Final Thoughts
The market played exactly as mapped — now it’s about decision time near 25K. Will the bulls charge ahead or pause? Either way, the structure favors short-term bullishness — but profit booking pressure near resistance must be expected.
🧠 “Momentum is a gift – but without volume and conviction, it fades at resistance.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NZDUSD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.59500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.48
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Gold bulls may restart at any time, buy gold!Although compared with the performance of gold during the day, gold only touched 3452 and then began to retreat, and even failed to approach the previous high of 3500, gold is not strong; but based on the current fundamentals and technical structure, gold is currently in a very strong bullish structure; so I think the gold retracement is not a sign of gold weakness, but to increase liquidity, so that gold can rise better and prepare in advance for breaking through 3500! Gold bulls are ready to restart at any time after the retracement!
So for short-term trading, I don’t think the gold retracement is a reason for weakness, nor is it a certificate for chasing short gold; on the contrary, I think the gold retracement is a good time to buy on dips; first of all, the support area we have to pay attention to is the 3410-3400 area, and the second must pay attention to the 3390-3380 area support.
So in the next transaction, we might as well use these two support areas as defense and start to go long on gold in batches!
XAU/USD 16 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following previous bullish iBOS and subsequent printing of bearish CHoCH, price did not pullback to either M15 supply zone, or discount of internal 50% EQ, therefore, I will not mark current iBOS but will mark it in red. The reason I am not classifying this as an iBOS is, due to relative price action, the internal range would be too narrow.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
EURNZD Break & Retest of Double Bottom Neckline (BUY)(WEEKLY) - Price is in Strong Uptrend.
(WEEKLY) - Price formed Double Bottom Equal Lows at ( 1.88915 - 1.88078).
(WEEKLY) - Weekly Breakout Candle Closing above DB Neckline at (1.91570 - 1.91145).
(DAILY) - Double Bottom Neckline at (1.91570 - 1.91145).
(4H) - Price is forming rising higher lows inside DB Neckline.
Trade Management.
Stop loss - 1.91145
Take Profit - Previous Swing High at 1.95791.
Tend to short gold, it may still retrace to 3360-3350 areaAt present, gold as a whole is still fluctuating in the 3395-3365 area. In the short term, both long and short sides are not willing to break through. They may be waiting for the guidance of the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's monetary policy press conference. However, from the current oscillation structure, because the high point of gold rebound and the low point of retracement are gradually moving downward, the center of gravity of the candlestick chart is shifting downward, and the weight of gold shorts is slightly higher.
From the current structure, 3395-3405 has become a new round of pressure area. Gold has been unable to break through for a long time, and has tried to accelerate downward many times during the retracement process. Although it can stabilize above 3375-3365, it may be easier to break through below after several tests. Once the 3375-3365 area is broken, gold may even continue to move to the 3360-3350 area.
Therefore, within the 3395-3365 oscillation range, we can temporarily maintain the trading rhythm of selling high and buying low in the short term, while we must pay attention to the breakthrough of gold. Once gold breaks through, the trend may be continued, and we need to follow the trend to execute transactions!
RTX – Defense sector strength backed by structurePut Credit Spread Aug 140/130 | Entry: -1.81 | POP 76%
🚀 Technical & Macro Context:
Raytheon Technologies (RTX) is surging amid escalating geopolitical tensions (Iran–Israel conflict) and renewed strength in defense sector fundamentals. The stock has broken multiple resistance levels and is now trading in a parabolic move within a widening bullish channel.
📌 Technically backed setup:
✅ Clear Break of Structure (BoS) confirmed and respected.
🧱 Strong 4H demand zone between $135.25–$130.95.
📉 RSI trending high but not overheated.
📈 MACD remains bullish with wide separation.
This zone aligns with:
Dynamic support (EMA20).
38–50% Fibonacci retracement.
Previous consolidation zone now acting as demand.
🔒 Spread Structure:
Sell Put $140 (Aug 15)
Buy Put $130 (Aug 15)
Probability of Profit (POP): 76%
📉 Invalidation below $130 with volume. Will reassess if demand fails.
📷 The chart already illustrates the setup with institutional logic, break levels, and supply/demand zones.
🔍 If you enjoy structured option setups, technicals with context, and high-probability spreads,
👉 Follow me for more trade ideas like this.
📈 Weekly updates | 🎯 Conviction trades | 🧠 Smart risk-reward
Why I Think GBPUSD Will Sell...Technical AnalysisHey Rich Friends,
I hope you're well today. I wanted to share why I think GBPUSD will sell today and maybe more this week. This is only my technical analysis so make sure you check the news and cross reference the indicators you have on your chart. This is what I am looking at:
- The market hit a swing high on 4H and has been creating lower highs.
- The momentum is picking up for the sellers based on candle bodies.
- The stochastic is facing down, the slow line (orange) is on top of the fast line (blue) and both lines have crossed below 50. These are bearish confirmations for me.
Additional information:
- Wait for the stochastic to cross below 20.
- Wait for a break of structure below 1.35320.
- I will be setting sell stops so that my trades trigger on the way down. I will set previous highs as my SL and previous lows as my TPs.
Good luck if you decide to take this trade!
Peace and Profits,
Cha
Nifty Analysis EOD – June 17, 2025 – Tuesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – June 17, 2025 – Tuesday 🔴
⚠️ Resistance Rejection at 25K – Pause or Warning Sign?
Yesterday’s note rightly anticipated today’s challenge near 25K — and that’s exactly how the session unfolded.
Nifty opened at 24,977.85, right inside the critical resistance zone of 24,972–25,000, and formed a near O=H (Open = High) structure. The index quickly lost ground, dropping 135 points within the first hour to mark a day low of 24,813.70, forming a medium-sized Initial Balance (IB) within a wide CPR — conditions known for range-bound or tricky days.
Throughout the session, Nifty hovered largely inside the CPR and IB, with a false breakdown attempt around 12:50 PM. Such setups (wide CPR + higher value + medium IB) often result in false moves or low-conviction sessions, and today was no exception.
By day’s end, Nifty closed at 24,853.40, logging a modest −93.10 point dip, forming what can be termed as a healthy pullback — but the real test remains.
If bulls want to take charge again, they must breach and close above 25,025. On the flip side, if 24,800–24,820 gives way, it could trigger a slide toward 24,725 and 24,660 in the coming sessions.
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,977.85
High: 24,982.05
Low: 24,813.70
Close: 24,853.40
Change: −93.10 (−0.37%)
📊 Candle Structure Breakdown
Real Body: 124.45 pts → 🔻 Red Candle
Upper Wick: 4.20 pts
Lower Wick: 39.70 pts
🔍 Interpretation
Opened near the day’s high but selling dominated soon after.
Small upper wick shows minimal buyer strength; recovery attempts were mild.
Lower wick indicates some support emerged at day’s low, but overall tone remained bearish.
🕯 Candle Type
🟥 Bearish Candle – strong real body, minor lower wick — reflects steady intraday selling, though not overly aggressive.
📌 Key Insight
Nifty has now rejected the 25K zone two days in a row, turning it into short-term resistance.
If 24,800 breaks, expect pressure to mount — next watch: 24,725 → 24,660.
Bulls need a close above 25,025 to regain command.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 258.48
IB Range: 131.60 → Medium IB
Market Structure: ⚖️ Balanced
Trades:🚫 No Trade Triggered by System
📌 Support & Resistance Zones
Resistance Levels
24,894 ~ 24,882
24,972 ~ 25,000
25,060 ~ 25,080
25,102 ~ 25,125
Support Levels
24,825 ~ 24,847
24,725 ~ 24,735
24,660
24,590
💭 Final Thoughts
Today’s session didn’t break anything major — but it also didn’t conquer anything new.Stuck between major support and resistance, the index is coiling for a move. Bulls have the burden of proof now.
🧠 “Markets don’t pause forever — compression leads to expansion. Be ready when it chooses its direction.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
USDT Dominance SHOWDOWN INCOMINGAfter a full liquidity sweep at 4.50%, USDT.D is now pressing into the EMA cluster from below…
📊 What does that mean?
➡️ Stablecoin dominance is rising = risk-off behavior creeping in
➡️ But we’re STILL under trend — and that green dot sweep could mean a fakeout bottom
🧠 If USDT.D breaks above EMAs → altcoins bleed
🔥 If USDT.D gets rejected here → altcoins pump hard
This is the pivot. Watch closely.
Long trade
🟢 GBPUSD – Buyside Trade
Date: Monday, 16th June 2025
Session: London Session AM
Time: 5:00 AM
Entry Timeframe: 1Hr TF
Trade Parameters
Entry: 1.35864
Take Profit: 1.36168 (+0.22%)
Stop Loss: 1.35664 (−0.15%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 1.5
🧠 Trade Reasoning
This GBPUSD buyside trade was structured around an early London session setup, targeting a short-term liquidity gap above. Price had formed a bullish 1Hr structure, establishing a higher low.
Long trade
🟢 EURUSD – Buyside Trade
Date: Monday, 16th June 2025
Session: London Session AM
Time: 5:00 AM
Entry Timeframe: 1Hr TF
Trade Parameters
Entry: 1.15748
Take Profit: 1.16144 (+0.34%)
Stop Loss: 1.15581 (−0.15%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 2.29
🧠 Trade Reasoning
This buyside trade was executed after price swept the sell-side high from Monday, 21st April 2025, triggering liquidity above the previous swing, and then sharply rejecting back into structure. The reaction occurred above a 1Hr Fair Value Gap (FVG), indicative of a directional bias.
Long trade
4Hr TF
🟢 AUDUSD – Buyside Trade
Date: Monday, 16th June 2025
Session: London Session AM
Time: 5:00 AM
Entry Timeframe: 4Hr TF
Trade Parameters
Entry: 0.65169
Take Profit: 0.65427 (+0.40%)
Stop Loss: 0.65087 (−0.13%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 3.15
🧠 Trade Reasoning
This AUDUSD buyside trade was executed on the 4-hour timeframe following a bullish rejection wick and confirmation of a mid-range bounce within a larger consolidation phase.
Long trade
1Hr TF
🟢 NZDUSD – Buyside Trade
Date: Monday, 16th June 2025
Session: London Session AM
Time: 5:00 AM
Entry Timeframe: 1Hr TF
Trade Parameters
Entry: 0.60429
Take Profit: 0.60684 (+0.42%)
Stop Loss: 0.60347 (−0.13%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 3.23
🧠 Trade Reasoning
The trade was initiated on a 1-hour bullish continuation setup, with price finding firm support around the 0.60350 level — a previously swept liquidity zone and minor structural demand.
Solid V Shaped recovery within the Parallel channel for NiftyNifty recovered sharply within the parallel channel. The reasons that can be attributed are inherent strength in the Indian market and swift recovery in IT, Infra, Metal, commodities, Realty, Mid and Small cap browsers. The closing of Nifty was at 24946 which is just above the mother line which is at 24908. The same mother line provided the support to Nifty in the last few hours of trade when there was some intraday profit booking pressure.
Nifty Supports remain at: 24908 (Mother line Support), 24836, 24690 (Father Line Support), 24555 (Channel Bottom Support) and 24480 recent low. Below 24880 Nifty will be very weak and Bears in that scenario can drag Nifty further down to 24195 or 23957. These are the levels as of now. If we go below these levels in unlikely circumstances we will update the levels once we get there.
Nifty Resistances remain at: 24973, 25106 (Mid Channel Resistance) and 25231.Once we close above 25231 we will update further levels.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Buy on dips and seize rising opportunities📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical risks
2. Expected Fed policy
📈 Market analysis:
The market opened higher in the morning and then continued to fall. From a medium-term perspective, the market is still in a medium-term bullish position. The price will only be under further pressure if it breaks below the weekly support. Observing from the daily level, the price broke through the daily resistance again last Wednesday and continued to soar after the breakthrough. The current price is testing the monthly high, and the subsequent gains and losses of the previous high are the key. Judging from the 1H chart, the short-term death cross continues to fall. At the same time, according to the 4H level, as time goes by, we need to pay attention to the support of 3413-3403. This support is the key watershed of the short-term trend. As long as it does not fall below this support, the bulls still have a chance.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3413-3403
TP 3430-3440
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Short trade 🔻 USDCAD – Sell-side Trade
Date: Monday, 16th June 2025
Session: London Session AM
Time: 5:00 AM
Entry Timeframe: 1Hr TF
Trade Parameters
Entry: 1.35680
Take Profit: 1.34735 (+0.70%)
Stop Loss: 1.35965 (−0.21%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 3.32
🧠 Trade Reasoning
USDCAD has shown sustained bearish momentum on both 1Hr and 4Hr timeframes, with a clear lower high forming beneath the 1.35800 area. This trade was initiated on confirmation of a bearish rejection from a supply zone during the early London session volatility.
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-06-15 14:00 UTCBTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-06-15 14:00 UTC
This setup illustrates a high-probability short-term trade using confluence between technical indicators, price action, volume behavior, and order book data.
Entry Conditions
A potential long entry was identified around 105,289.39 based on the following:
RSI (21) was in the oversold zone, below the 40 level
MACD (8/18/6) histogram flipped from negative to positive, signaling momentum shift
Stochastic (21,5,5) showed a %K/%D bullish crossover in the oversold region
A bullish reversal candlestick pattern formed near short-term support
Whale activity detected in the order book, including a 3.87 BTC buy wall
EMA Ribbon (5/13) indicated a bullish crossover
Take Profit & Risk Management
Target level for potential profit was set near 106,489.39, representing approximately a 1.2% move from entry
Stop loss was positioned at 104,689.39, around 0.6% below the entry to maintain a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio
Order Flow Context
On-balance volume (OBV) was rising, supporting upward pressure
Bid dominance reached 41.9%, indicating aggressive buyers in control
Depth of market showed strong support from large limit buy orders
Important Notes for Traders
Always backtest setups before applying in live market conditions
Use stop losses to protect capital