Candlestick Analysis
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Bullish Move From Trend Line
There is a high probability that US30 will continue rising today,
following a test of a solid rising trend line on a daily.
As a confirmation, I see a cup & handle on that after its test
on an hourly time frame.
Goal - 45000
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Hot Take, PLTR is a BubbleHello I am the Cafe Trader.
Price Action suggest we haven't had a proper buyer since $90.
Now I know that this can sound a bit off putting (especially if you bought above $90).
Even if this crashed, I am not suggesting you sell your long term position. I would instead look into hedging your position, giving yourself some exposure to the downside.
Consider these 2 non-biased reasons before writing me off.
Point 1
Price action suggests we have been in a short squeeze since April. Although in the short term I do see current retail buyers taking this to 169.
Point 2
If we do not land new Strong Buyer (someone that can support the price) all of this squeeze will come crashing back down to where they can support the price.
Conclusion
If we close below 152.50 on the day, this would suggest that bears have or are in control. This would expose many to tons of risk.
Here are my long Term prices for PLTR
Aggressive = 120
Fair = 107.50 - 108.50
Good = 89
Steal = 71-74.50
That's all for PLTR take a look at my other articles if you are interested in more!
Happy Trading!
@thecafetrader
USD/JPY(20250729)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
After gold prices soared to an all-time high of more than $3,500 an ounce in April, the latest report from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) showed that fund managers have increased their bullish bets to the highest level in 16 weeks.
Technical analysis:
Today's buy and sell boundaries:
148.19
Support and resistance levels:
149.23
148.84
148.59
147.78
147.53
147.14
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 148.59, consider buying, the first target price is 148.84
If the price breaks through 148.19, consider selling, the first target price is 147.78
$BTC Daily OutlookBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Weekly Chart:
Bitcoin has now printed three consecutive weekly closes above the former higher-high threshold at $111 960. That series is enough to confirm a clean breakout of the prior HH-HL range and keeps the long-term bias pointed firmly higher.
That said, a near-term pullback is still on the table:
• First support — the breakout shelf at $111 960 (re-test of structure).
• Deeper support — the next V-level around $98 115.
Why the caution?
Last week’s candle left a small Failed Auction just above the new high, and Footprint data shows a cluster of aggressive buy-delta trapped in that wick. Those buyers may need to get washed out before the trend resumes.
Big picture: weekly structure is bullish; any dip into the levels above is a potential reload zone while the breakout holds.
Daily Chart:
Price action remains firmly bullish: multiple Failed-Auction rejections at the $116 860 higher-low vLevel keeps supply thin and reinforce the up-trend toward the prior ATH.
That said, remember Auction Market Theory rule #5: “When time or volume builds at the edge of balance, price often pushes through.”
• Each failed auction is absorbing resting bids.
• If sellers lean in again with size, the level can flip from support to resistance very quickly.
In practice that means:
•Base case – continuation to the highs while the Daily structure holds.
•Risk scenario – a clean break of $116 860 would open room for a deeper weekly pullback toward $107456.0
For now we treat the current weekly pullback as a fresh opportunity: scouting intraday longs as price reacts to the 1-Hourly zone.
From the footprint read-out, today’s bar finished with a neutral delta, but note where the profile is stacked: both the Value Area Low and the POC sit right at the bottom of the candle. That tells us the bulk of volume printed down at the session lows and it skewed negative, sellers were leaning hard, trying to extend the move lower.
Nifty Analysis EOD – July 28, 2025 – Monday 🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 28, 2025 – Monday 🔴
⚡️ Bears Bite Back After a Hopeful Morning Surge
📊 Nifty Summary
Nifty opened with a minor gap-down of 32 points and slipped an additional 67 points in the first 3 minutes, testing the critical support zone of 24,755 ~ 24,729. After marking a day low at 24,732.70, it witnessed a sharp recovery breaching key levels — CDO, Gap, PDC — and touched the CPR BC level. Rejection from there caused a retracement to the mean, followed by another successful attempt breaching CPR BC and IB High. However, it couldn’t sustain above, as profit booking and pressure from a higher time frame bearish trendline dragged the index below the CPR zone and even past the PDL.
Support at 24,780 offered brief relief, but a bearish triangle formed between the HTF trendline and that support and The breakdown at 12:40 led to a clean move, with the pattern target achieved.
🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🔁 Trend & Zone Update
📍 Resistance Zone Shifted To: 25,100 ~ 25,120
📍 Support Zone Shifted To: 24,520 ~ 24,480
🧭 What If Plans – 29th July Outlook
🅰️ Plan A (Contra Long Setup)
If market opens inside the previous day range and finds support at 24,700 ~ 24,729,
→ Potential targets: 24,780, 24,815, 24,840
🅱️ Plan B (Trend is Friend – Short Continuation)
If market opens inside range and faces resistance around 24,830 ~ 24,815,
→ Aim for: 24,780, 24,720, 24,640, 24,580
🔄 On-the-Go Plan
If market Gaps Up/Down outside previous day’s range,
→ Wait for IB formation and act based on structure & S/R levels.
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,782.45
High: 24,889.20
Low: 24,646.60
Close: 24,680.90
Change: −156.10 (−0.63%)
🕯 Candle Structure Breakdown:
Real Body: 101.55 pts (Red candle, bearish)
Upper Wick: 106.75 pts (Long — rejection from highs)
Lower Wick: 34.30 pts (Defended slightly)
🕯 Interpretation:
Tried to rally above 24,880 but faced aggressive selling. Closed well below open, forming a bearish rejection candle resembling a shooting star. Bears clearly took control after the intraday bounce attempt.
🕯 Key Insight:
Selling pressure visible from 24,880–24,900 zone.
Close below 24,700 keeps bearish tone intact.
Next Support: 24,650–24,620.
Bulls' challenge: Reclaim and close above 24,850.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 197.91
IB Range: 122 → Medium
Market Structure: Imbalanced
Trades Triggered:
09:27 – Long Entry → 🎯 Target Hit (1:1.5 R:R)
12:40 – Short Entry → 🎯 Target Hit (1:2.5 R:R)
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
📍 24,729
📍 24,780
📍 24,815 ~ 24,830
📍 24,850
📍 24,920
Support Zones:
📍 24,640
📍 24,580
📍 24,520 ~ 24,480
💭 Final Thoughts
🧠 “Every breakout starts with hesitation — but not every hesitation leads to a breakout.”
Today’s structure showed strong indecision, but sellers used it to dominate.
Monday’s triangle breakdown proved that structure plus patience = power. Keep your bias flexible and trust your levels.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
3300 may fall below, possibly setting a new low#XAUUSD
From the daily chart perspective, gold has a tendency to form a converging triangle, and observing the technical indicators of the daily chart, the downward trend may have just begun📉.
So, how should we plan for the evening?📊 Now there are certainly many outside buyers who will continue to increase their positions and try to recover their losses💰. So, should we continue to be long?📈 My opinion is to wait and see.👀 If the daily chart does not fall below 3300 points, it will consolidate between 3300 and 3350 points in the future. If it falls below 3300 points, we will next focus on the support level of 3295-3285 points, and then consider whether to go long🤔.
If you are more aggressive, you can consider going long near 3305 points and exit after earning $10-20. All opinions have been informed and everyone can choose to adopt them according to their own circumstances.😄
GBPCHF SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 1.07500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 2.98
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
How to plan for the evening, pay attention to the 3300 markAfter the shorts took profits, gold consolidated in the 3310-3300 area. Judging from the daily chart, the decline in gold seems to have just begun, with the middle track of the Bollinger Band at around 3345 and the lower track at 3285. The possibility of falling below the 3300 mark cannot be ruled out in the evening. If gold falls below the 3300 mark, it may first hit 3295. If the decline continues, it may even hit the low of 3285-3275 below. However, if the 3300 mark can be effectively defended, then the possibility of maintaining the consolidation of 3300-3345 in the evening may be maintained. Therefore, it is not recommended to easily participate in transactions at the current position in the evening. It is mainly advisable to wait and see and pay attention to the breakthrough of the 3300 mark.
My premium privileges are about to expire, and subsequent trading strategies and analysis will be published in the group.
Monday market forecast and analysis ideas#XAUUSD
There will be a lot of data next week, such as the 8.1 tariff deadline that I have repeatedly emphasized, the Federal Reserve decision, NFP data, etc. It can be said that it is relatively difficult to analyze purely from a technical perspective, because there is uncertainty in many data, the data results are often non-linearly correlated with market reactions (good news does not necessarily lead to a rise, and bad news does not necessarily lead to a fall), and large fluctuations can easily form oscillating K-lines with long upper and lower shadows. Therefore, the first arrangement for next week is to participate in trading with a light position and avoid letting emotions control your thinking.
The closing price on Friday was near 3337, proving that the short-term judgment on the rebound momentum of gold is correct, so there are two possible situations on Monday.
1. The first thing we need to pay attention to is 3345-3350 to determine whether it constitutes a short-term pressure level. The weekly line closed with a negative cross star. Combined with the monthly line trend, in terms of support, focus on the trend line support near this week's low of 3325. If this position is not broken, the market is expected to usher in a wave of rebound; if it falls below 3325, the bottom may look to 3310 or even 3295 for support.
2. The rebound momentum of Friday continued on Monday, breaking through 3350 first, and then it is possible to reach the previous high resistance area of 3370-3380. If it encounters resistance here, gold will continue to fall and fluctuate, and the target may even be 3310. If the price remains strong and issues such as interest rate cuts and tariffs are imminent, it means that the short-term downward trend has ended and may even set a new high.
The above content is only a forecast for Monday’s market. It will be greatly affected by data and news, and may be adjusted in real time next week based on intraday trends. You can refer to this, but remember not to be swayed by emotions. We will participate with a light position, and the specific trading strategy can wait for my trading signal.
Pay attention to 3350 gains and lossesGood morning, bros. This morning gold again tested last week's low near 3325. From the chart, gold may continue to rise this week, with tariffs approaching, the Fed's interest rate cut, and NFP data imminent. The current strength and weakness are at 3350-3355. If it can effectively break through and stand above, it is expected to continue to test the previous high point, which is also the long-short dividing point of 3370-3380.
From the daily chart, there is not much change in the operational range of gold in the short term, and the change in the 4H chart is more obvious. After the decline in the early trading, it is now rebounding. There is a possibility of closing positive at the low. If it is directly positive on Monday, then it will bottom out directly at the beginning of the week. If it refreshes the low on Monday, the low point of 3285 will be seen below. Therefore, today's market focuses on the continuity of long and short. Of course, according to the current changes, the biggest possibility is to continue to rebound at the low point, pay attention to the support of 3310-3300 below, and pay attention to the gains and losses of the high point of 3355 above.
Incoming 40% correction for FacebookOn the above 10 day chart price action has rallied 500% since October 2022. It is somewhat unfortunate to see so many long ideas at the moment.
Motley Fool August 8th:
“Here's how Meta could achieve a $2 trillion valuation within three years, and if it does, investors who buy the stock today could earn a 67% return.”
Very misleading.
Why bearish?
Failed support. It is very clear to see, price action has broken through support and confirmed it as resistance. You can see this more clearly on the Log chart below.
Regular bearish divergence. Multiple oscillators now print negative divergence with price action across a 50 day period.
On the monthly chart below a hanging man candle print can be seen. Although the candle does not confirm until the end of the month there is a clear indication of buyer exhaustion. This is an important trend reversal indication.
Is it possible price action continues to rise? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Log chart
Monthly hanging man candlestick
Market forecasts are completely accurate, trading signals#XAUUSD
After opening today, gold tested the lowest point near 3324 and then rebounded, which is in line with my prediction of gold trend last night. Next, we need to pay attention to whether the upper 3345-3350 constitutes a short-term pressure level. If you are aggressive, you can consider shorting at 3345-3350, with the target at 3330-3325. Continue to hold if it falls below 3325, and stop loss if it breaks above 3350. After it breaks above, you can consider following up with a long order to close the position at 3360-3370. Short once at 3370-3380 for the first time, and stop loss if it breaks above 3380.
🚀 SELL 3345-3350
🚀 TP 3330-3325
🚀 BUY 3352-3355
🚀 TP 3360-3370
🚀 SELL 3370-3380
🚀 TP 3345-3325-3310
Be sure to study my trading strategy carefully. If you only look at the price points, you will definitely suffer certain losses. Participate in the transaction at the right time based on your own account funds and set stop losses.
Bollinger band indicates that we might see a recovery soon. Bollinger band in a beautiful tool of Technical analysis. There are three lines in it. The upper bandwidth line, the middle line and the lower band width line.
As you can see in the chart. Whenever the stock or an index price touches or crosses the upper line the indication it gives is that the market is overbought and there is an imminent selling pressure.
Middle line indicates either resistance or support depending on the position of the candle within the band. It further indicates that Middle line will be support when the price is above it. It also indicates that middle Bollinger band will be a resistnace when the candles are below it.
Lower bandwidth line indicates a support zone. When the candles touch or cross it the indication it gives is that the market is oversold and there can be an imminent up move once this phenomenon happens.
Bollinger band in like a channel or a parallel chanel but a more accurate one and a more asymmetric one.
Currently you can see in the chart that Bollinger band has not only touched but also crossed the bottom bandwidth. This is an indication of an over sold market. Thus the indications we get from this tool are that there are very high chances for a short covering recovery or relief rally.
The indication is in sync with Tariff deadline which is tomorrow. Thus any positive announcement on that front can also initiate a strong or mild recovery rally. Thus we might see a bottom formation and recovery rather sooner than later.
Current Nifty closing is at:24680.
Upper band width is at: 25683 (This zone will work as strong resistance zone).
Mid Bandwidth is at: 25217 (This zone will be a Strong resistance).
Mother Line: 24942 (Strong Resistance).
Lower band width is at: 24750 (Weak Resistance).
Nearby support: 24501 (Support).
Father Line: 24157 (Strong Support).
It is a good time to reshuffle your Portfolios and initiate fresh buying in the blue-chip stocks which might be available at a good valuation.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Another Gap For Today?I anticipate another gap up opening on the 📉US100 Index, which I believe will be filled today.
The formation of an intraday bearish change of character(CHOCH) on the hourly chart
This indicates a strong likelihood of continued bearish movement, with a target of 23319.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Important BreakoutsI've identified two significant breakouts on 📉GOLD.
The price violated a crucial intraday horizontal support and a major rising trend line.
These broken levels now form a contracting supply zone, suggesting that the price could continue to decline.
Target levels are 3314 and 3289.
GBPAUD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 2.05500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 3.78
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.