Aurora Cannabis - Godly swing trade setupThis might be a long analysis but let me explain why this stock will go higher than Seth Rogan on 4/20.
The stock market and the cryptocurrency markets continue to trend up and we are starting to see companies in all sectors start to break out. This stock is an amazing opportunity because it recently dropped 17% to 1.65 based on FUD. Do not let FUD news influence your judgement, let the TA influence your judgement. Aurora is fundamentally stable and the growth of cannabis is inevitable due to Millennials and Generation Z. This company is on a secular uptrend but it has recently followed the rest of the cannabis stocks such as CGC on the way down. But it's gone down far more than I believe is reasonable. Do not fool yourself to think that it's the company doing really bad, it's not doing bad enough for this to disregard supply and demand, its the sector going down. It's not sustainable for this sector to continue a downtrend in the middle of a bull market. A lot of sectors have already curved out of the pullback phase and began their uptrend. With that being said, the possibility of a swift bounce to $4 in the short term is very likely. Another aspect we need to look at is the triple top at $10. I believe if the stock curves up to 4$, then the momentum should push price beck up to the triple top, which will certainly be broken(similar to the tesla trend). This stock should swing to $15-20.
Let's get into some indicators:
30 week moving average: normally I look for the stock to be crossing the MA for me to be sure about a reversal but the stock fell so sharply that it skewed the 30 and 50 week MA's. They do NOT hold relevance at this moment in time. It will very soon when the stock is trading at around 4$ and then we should start seeing a cross on the 30 week MA, instead of this MA that looks scary.
RSI: the RSI is bottomed out, I use 30 with a 30 MA on mine because I dont like using the 14 RSI, I think it caps you out too soon. According to the RSI we have a massive amount of room for momentum. You can call me cynical but I've been doing this for a while and I know this stock has enough momentum for a swing to $15-20.
MACD: we had a bullish cross on the MACD on the week of January 13th.
Volume: we can see the bottom being caught by large volume. The bulls are here, we're buying the support level. If you zoom in to the daily time frame you will also spot an inverse head and shoulders pattern that's still holding even after the recent 17% drop.
Horizontal Support: we're holding a massive support level from 1.30-2.00 that's relevant from OCT of 2016 to OCT of 2017.
So to wrap things up, we have several bullish indicators and we know there was a massive influx of volume on the triple top level around $7-10 and a massive support level at $1.30-2.00 from 2016. We're in a bull market and the company is not doing bad. Aurora will shoot up.
Cannabis
Bull Flag or Descending Triangle.It appears as though the 200 Day MA is acting as the floor of the descending triangle or bullish flag.
CGC Loses UptrendCGC has fallen out of its uptrend channel(orange lines) and has returned to a previous consolidation range(blue lines). The trend for now has shifted back to neutral as long as price is within the blue lines; a break back above the blue channel would be bullish, a break below bearish. The PPO is indicating a negative short-term trend with the green PPO line declining below its purple signal line. Worth noting is that the green PPO line is close to crossing below the centerline which would indicate a more substantial downtrend should the PPO continue to fall below the centerline. For now, the lower blue line near $17.50 is the level to watch for support, a move below that line would shift the trend to bearish.
Aurora Cannabis - Head and Shoulders it's about to go upA clear head and shoulders pattern has emerged in ACB. It is backed up by high volume. Prepare for a big breakout.
CGC Trendline FailCGC saw an open and close yesterday below the lower support line of a rising channel(orange lines). Using a measured move on a trendline break, price could potentially see a -25% decline which would roughly equal a -$5.50 loss taking price back down near $16. Keeping an eye on this one today as CGC tends to dictate prices for the entire cannabis sector.
XLY - Cannabis Stock Looking for ContinuationProposed Entry 0.61 - 0.65
First Target 0.71 (+15.7%)
Proposed Stop 0.60 (-6.6%)
2.4 : 1 Reward to Risk Ratio
Downtrend Cooled Off => See how long it stay sideways.Cannabis stocks plummets for almost a full year.
I think that the initial hype of the Cannabis industry is over.
Those who entered the market as retail investor looking to take advantage of the hype had left probably lost quite a few $$.
With plans for Toronto to open up more stores might not help.
The daily MACD does show signs that Cannabis is recovering crossing over the weekly MACD, but it will be a while before the weekly MACD catches up and willy most likely create a sideway market for the time being.
What are we looking at ?Looks like we have a confirmation + a rising volume.
About time to make some good money.
! ISH & Auxly Strong !
Quit crypto folks. Veryrichmanwithbeautifulhair bought some Cannabis ISH$
Another cannabis stock ready to fly high? NYSE:ACB looks very interesting since mid January bottom. Good odds that similiar pattern (inverted H&S) will be playing out, as it was the case before with NYSE:CGC , which is rallying nicely since its breakout in early December.
CGC Holding Trendline SupportCGC is seeing a nice bounce today after a successful test and hold at the uptrend line. Assuming that coronavirus doesn't spark fear in traders again this week CGC should see a test of $26, potentially even a break above. Short-term trend remains bullish.
CGC Testing SupportCGC is back to testing an uptrend support line after a recent channel breakout that had looked promising until pandemic fears shook the market today. Currently watching this uptrend line to see whether or not it is able continue propping up price. A bounce here would be bullish for CGC, a break below the uptrend line would put price back to neutral, or no trend with risk of turning bearish again.
CGC Formed a BullflagComing off an 8 month bear market, cannabis appears to be making a comeback... The overall reversal adds to the likelihood that the current bullflag will push prices higher... A position started here could have a stop loss placed at $22.50 (this level would negate the flag). Short term target could be placed at the closest resistance, long term target could be much higher...
Thanks for checking out my idea! I encourage constructive criticisms!
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Just an idea ? SUGR Long Trading at a strong level of support with momentum in volume and the recent emergence through the 30 RSI level.
- Waiting on revenue - hopefully end of Q1 early Q2
- Phase 1 of their plan is fully funded
- Cash flow positive - sooner than they would have initially anticipated
- Contracts/partnerships
- Experienced Management & BoD
- Insider ownership at around these levels
Is Phivida Bullish Yet? Has it bottomed? US Ticker VS CanPhivida is a major CBD Canadian energy drink manufacture, who is clearly high in debt but has a great product, sales and decent market share. Fundamentally I have no idea if they can survive long term, but it does seem that they have come off all time lows and are now rising.
Interesting, is the fact that the US ticker PHVAF does tend to be more volatile than VIDA , its Canadian ticker, however its almost like you can watch VIDA to predict PHVAF.
Also, there is a GAP on PHVAF on the Daily! So can we see 8.8 cents again before lift off. This could be a complicated setup but if you watch VIDA and try to trade PHVAF perhaps this could be a good setup. I wouldn't expect the same pullback on VIDA as it doesn't show a daily gap.
Please remember that this is not trading advice!
48North - The Small Cap Cannabis Company To WatchI have maintained a long thesis on 48North Cannabis Corporation since October 2018, and the trade worked wonderfully into March of last year. However, 48North pulled back alongside the entire cannabis sector, and rightfully so on some of their own missteps.
As a brief introduction, I believe 48North's competitive advantage stems from their outdoor grow operation, creating a low cost of goods operating model that will enable 48North to price products competitively and reward investors with higher gross margin performance when compared against the peer group. It should be noted that 48North missed their production guidance for 2019- resulting from delayed licensing for drying rooms. In 2019 48North demonstrated that outdoor grown cannabis can be completed at scale, at a low cost, and successfully pass Health Canada's quality control standards.
From a chart perspective I'm considering the Elliott Wave ABC pattern to be completed with a clean retracement & double bottom at $0.315 - neatly correlating with the 161.8 fib extension of Wave A
Current Market Cap: $63M
Cash on Hand: $40M
It is my opinion that 48North's cash position reduces the need for any capital injection through 2020. Frankly- it is going to be in the hands of 48North to demonstrate in 2020 that they truly can achieve their projected outdoor harvest numbers with drying capacity not being a barrier in 2020.
CANOPY Growth Has Bottomed - Inverted Head & Shoulders!Classic Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern is usually not just a bullish indicator but a sign for a trend reversal from bearish to bullish, and we just so happen to be coming off a recent low.
Not only did we bottom but we bottomed right at the .786 Fibonacci retracement level which just also happens to be right at the major support line. Great to see it respected at a healthy retracement level. Anyone who bought here has a good probability to see good profits.
Strategy:
I'm anticipating AT LEAST a move to the yellow circle which is also where the 200 MA is curving down to. This would mean roughly a 20% gain from here alone.
Now a few things can happen there. We can get rejected off the 200 MA and head back down which in that case I would look to buy once again somewhere along the support. Timing is everything as Canopy has plummeted to the down side most of the times of Earnings, so I would also look to reposition myself at that time as well. Looking at the chart I see that can easily happen after we make our test to the 200 MA.
On the flip side since the trend is looking upward at the moment we can easily have our 50MA cross above the 200MA resulting in a golden cross which then I would look for much more gains ahead.
Let me know what you think, I will update over time. Safe trading :)
Aphria - Inverse Head & Shoulders to Watch on WeeklyI'm a big fan of weekly time frame analysis, the larger time frame offers in my opinion greater strength behind any pattern- bearish or bull. I'm watching for an inverse head and shoulders to form, with the near term 7.35 resistance converting into support and offering a leg up into 9.10
A break of the 9.10 neckline will offer further upside, however I do not anticipate this will break on the first attempt rather pullback into 7.35 area confirming it as support and finally painting the inverse head & shoulders pattern everyone will be watching. I'm just watching for the potential formation a few weeks in advance.
Disclosure, I do hold an existing long position in Aphria (APHA)
Is EXP trading in a Bear Flag?Or possibly a bull flag, but currently EXP is trading at all time lows & down -90% since late 2017 highs, so there's merit for a contrarian bottom fishing buy here.
I recently bought one of their premium flower brands "Citizen Stash Mac-1" & its THC content is 25.6%, which is the highest I've seen on the legal rec Canadian market & I've been in dispensaries all across the country legal & illegal for the past 5 years.
For comparison, Aphria's Broken Coast brand has been my favorite on the legal rec market in Canada & has won top awards at the Canadian Cannabis Awards, but the highest THC content I've seen is well under 20% with an average of roughly 16% for each of premium Indica strains like Gabriola, Quadra & Stryker. I've noticed the Stargazer Sonora has a 24.9% thc content on Aphria's website, but I don't like Sativa & I've yet to see it in dispensaries.
Anyway, if EXP can get the Mac-1 & other newer strains under the Citizen Stash Brand in dispensaries across Canada they will easily become the #1 premium flower on the market, and potentially become a buyout target from much larger LP's looking to find premium flower brands that are selling to add to their portfolio.
citizenstash.com
Cronos and pot stocks staging continuationThe recovery continues. For those worried they missed the boat, this is nothing more than a bear market rally. Nothing to inddicate fundamentally that weve reachedd the true bottom. This will rally back (impossible to tell how high) but short term profits are very likely.