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GOLD → From consolidation to distribution. Target 3400FX:XAUUSD is entering a distribution phase after the end of consolidation. The market is strong, bulls managed to keep prices from falling and formed an intermediate bottom in the 3340 zone. The price increase was supported by expectations of a soft Fed policy after moderate July CPI data (2.7% y/y, 0.2% m/m, core 0.3%), which led to a decline in bond yields and a weakening of the dollar. However, demand for safe assets is declining amid optimism in global markets, fueled by the US-China trade truce, a possible meeting between Trump and Putin, and bets on a Fed rate cut in September. In the long term, gold could be supported by purchases by the Chinese central bank and a recovery in jewelry demand in India. Technically, the focus is on the zone of interest ahead at 3370-3373, with a possible rebound before growth, as well as on the support zone at 3359. I do not rule out that the market may test the liquidity zone... Resistance levels: 3370, 3380, 3400 Support levels: 3358, 3341, 3334 There is considerable potential within the consolidation, and the rally may be directed towards the resistance range of 3400. However, pullbacks are possible before growth, which could give us a good entry point. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of potential growth. PPI ahead...FX:XAUUSD is still consolidating, with the range expanding. The price has confirmed the formation of an upward price channel, which bulls are defending quite aggressively... Gold remains in positive territory for the third day in a row and is consolidating above $3,350 in Asian trading, awaiting PPI data and jobless claims in the US. Moderate CPI and weak labor market statistics have reinforced expectations of a Fed rate cut in September, with some experts forecasting -50 bps. The dollar remains at a two-week low amid dovish comments and rumors of a possible change in the Fed chair, which supports demand for gold. Weak PPI data could accelerate the rise in metal prices, although market attention is gradually shifting to the meeting between Trump and Putin on Ukraine. Technically, the focus is on the 3366-3340 range. A small correction may form from resistance before breaking the 3366 level and continuing to rise within the trend... Resistance levels: 3366, 3381, 3400 Support levels: 3341, 3334 Before rising, the market may test the trend support or form a false breakdown. But there is a possibility that the price will immediately start storming 3366 for further growth. But, again, further developments depend on economic data, which will most likely be controlled by Trump after the NFP mistake... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
6
HYPEUSDT → Correction for consolidation before ATH breakoutBINANCE:HYPEUSDT.P looks quite strong and is just a few cents away from reaching its ATH. The coin needs to build up its potential to reach its target and break through a strong resistance level... The cryptocurrency market feels quite confident. Bitcoin's growth is having a positive effect on altcoins. HYPE almost tested its ATH as part of an upward movement, but encountered pressure. The price did not reach its target (ATH) and entered a correction phase. Most likely, this is an MM maneuver to collect liquidity... As part of the correction, the market may test the consolidation located below. Focus on the support area 0.5F - 45.85 Resistance levels: 49.88 Support levels: 45.85, 44.27 The most likely scenario is a retest of the support and interest zone. A false breakdown and the bulls holding the price above the level, i.e. in the zone of interest, could attract active buying, which in turn could trigger a continuation of the growth within the global bullish trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
GBPAUD → Attempt to break through resistance. Rally?FX:GBPAUD is preparing to accelerate its growth within the global bullish trend. A breakout of the local channel resistance is forming... Against the backdrop of the falling dollar, GBP is taking advantage of the opportunity and entering a phase of active growth. GBPAUD is emerging from local consolidation. The movement is accompanied by bullish momentum and a breakout of the upward channel resistance. Technically, after retesting (forming) the upper channel boundary at point 2, consolidation is forming. There is no decline, which indicates the bullish potential of the market. The breakout of the overall figure's resistance confirms the buyer's intentions... Resistance levels: 2.0698, 2.0756, 2.085 Support levels: 2.06658, 2.06537, 2.0593 If the bulls keep the price above the specified zone after the breakout, then in the short and medium term, the price may continue to rise to the resistance of the trading range... Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of CPI data...FX:XAUUSD is consolidating ahead of news. Inflation is on the horizon, and further developments for the dollar and gold will depend on the data. Globally, gold is in a bullish trend, but locally we are seeing a correction... Gold is rebounding slightly from $3,341 ahead of US CPI data for July and against the backdrop of the extension of the US-China trade truce until November. Investors are assessing the prospects for a Fed rate cut, expecting inflation to remain within 2.8% (core inflation is 3%). Weaker-than-expected data could cause the dollar to fall and support gold, while stronger data could resume the downward trend. Technically, on D1-H4, gold is consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern and the price is in the support zone. There is a possibility that Trump may not make a mistake with inflation data, as he did with employment data... Support levels: 3341, 3334, 3311 Resistance levels: 3358, 3375, 3405 The 3335-3310 zone attracts MM with an open FVG, which the market may partially close, forming a liquidity trap before continuing growth. However, it is also worth watching the boundaries of the current local consolidation, as a breakout of one or the other boundary could trigger a strong impulse. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
23
ETHUSDT → A new range has been opened. Onward to ATH!BINANCE:ETHUSDT is breaking through strong resistance formed in the 4090-4100 area on D1-W1. Consolidation is forming after strong growth, which can be seen as a positive sign. Bitcoin has been looking quite weak recently against ETH, which continues to rally despite Monday's red market. ETH managed to break through the fairly strong resistance level of 4095, and after a strong 25% rally, the price moved into consolidation (trading range 4325-4160, with resistance at 4325 as the trigger). Technically, we see that the market has stopped updating local lows, and a fourth retest of resistance is forming with reduced volatility, which in general could lead to a breakout attempt. Consolidation of the price above the consolidation resistance could trigger further growth. A channel to the ATH is open... Resistance levels: 4325, 4450, 4800 Support levels: 4220, 4162, 4095 ETH is quite strong and the market may not allow the price to fall too low, as there is a lot of excitement. However, I do not rule out the possibility that weak Bitcoin will affect ETH, which in turn will test the liquidity zone (4162 - 4095) from below before rising to ATH. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
15
EURCAD → Consolidation above the mirror level...FX:EURCAD continues its global bullish trend. Locally, within the upward movement, we see a pause, but the nature of this pause is not aimed at a reversal, but at consolidation before growth. EURCAD, within the upward trend, is pausing before local resistance at 1.6052. A pre-breakout base is forming with fairly active and dynamic buyers. A breakout and consolidation of prices above resistance will trigger further growth. Focus on consolidation at 1.6052 - 1.5977. The market is not updating local lows, volatility is decreasing (consolidation pattern) and the assault on resistance continues. Strong prerequisites for the movement to continue Support levels: 1.6011, 1.5977 Resistance levels: 1.6052, 1.6118 A smooth approach to resistance, a breakout and consolidation above the key level (trigger) could trigger further growth within the global and local bullish trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
8
GOLD → Retest of support within an uptrendFX:XAUUSD is forming a liquidation phase as part of the previously mentioned bullish wedge pattern. Bulls were unable to break through the 3400 mark, and due to uncertainty, the price has entered a correction phase... On Monday, gold fell to $3350, echoing the bearish sentiment in Asian trading, as $3400 remains an unattainable level. The pressure is intensified by weak data from China (PPI −3.6%), profit-taking and expectations for the US inflation report, as well as uncertainty in US-China trade negotiations and microchip policy. Optimism is being held back by expectations of Fed policy easing after negative statistics and forecasts of rate cuts, as well as possible meetings between US and Russian leaders. All this reduces demand for gold as a safe haven asset. The focus is on the local trading range of 3400-3350. Before a possible rise, the market may test a strong support zone... Resistance levels: 3376, 3405 Support levels: 3358, 3350, 3345 At the moment, we are seeing a retest of 3358 and a false breakdown, with a fairly weak reaction to the zone. In the short term, gold may test 3350-3345. A false breakdown and the bulls holding the price above this zone could bring the price back up... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
21
SUIUSDT → Resistance breakout and entry into the buying zoneBINANCE:SUIUSDT is breaking out of its trading range and local consolidation upward. Consolidation above the mirror level could trigger a continuation of the rally to 4.4 - 5.0. Bitcoin has been trading in the red since the start of Saturday's session, but is gradually recovering. At this time, the altcoin market is rallying, while the Bitcoin dominance index is updating its decline As for SUI, the coin is in a bullish trend both locally and globally, but ahead lies the 4.45 barrier, which separates the price from a rally to ATH. The coin is breaking through a fairly strong resistance zone at 3.881. (A strong, mirror level, which currently acts as support). Resistance levels: 3.959, 4.167 Support levels: 3.881, 3.715 Since the price has entered the buying zone, there is a possibility of a retest of the mirror level and the liquidity zone that has formed below the specified support. If the bulls hold their defense above 3.88 - 3.9, then in the short and medium term, the price could show good growth... Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
12
GOLD → A stalemate situation - a bullish wedgeFX:XAUUSD is unable to break through the resistance level of 3400. However, an ambiguous “bullish wedge” pattern is forming on the chart... The price of gold retreated from a two-week high on profit-taking. The correction intensified after the US imposed tariffs on imports of gold bars (1 kg), which could disrupt supplies from Switzerland and London. Key supporting factors: Escalation of trade conflicts, concerns about the US economy and pressure on the Fed, questions about the Fed's independence after Trump's appointments Risks: Short-term volatility ahead of US CPI data next week. However, fundamental drivers remain bullish. Support levels: 3390, 3350 Resistance levels: 3405, 3435 The problem with the bullish wedge pattern is that it forms an ambiguous figure. We have an upward movement, but the pattern could easily reverse the local upward trend due to the fairly difficult resistance zone of 3390-3410. If gold manages to consolidate above 3405, this will increase the chances of growth to 3435-3500. BUT! There is a fairly high chance that the 3390 support level could be broken. In this case, the market could fall to 3350 before rising... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
26
EURUSD → The correction is over. Bullish trend...FX:EURUSD is consolidating above key support from D1. The trend is bullish, and against the backdrop of a weaker dollar, the currency pair is returning to its main movement. The currency pair is forming a local uptrend, with a fairly clear upward support line that intersects with an important support level. The price has emerged from correction and returned to the trend amid a decline in the dollar, which is mainly bearish. Given the situation with EUR/USD, I would focus on the support zone of 1.1631 - 1.1613, 1.1597. A fairly large pool of liquidity has formed in this zone. A false breakdown and the price holding in the buy zone could trigger a bullish run... Resistance levels: 1.1676, 1.171, 1.175 Support levels: 1.163, 1.161, 1.160 If the bulls keep the price in the buying zone, i.e. above the key support zone mentioned above, then in the medium term, the currency pair may continue to rise with the possibility of updating local highs... Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
14
GOLD → Correction before a breakout and rallyFX:XAUUSD is gradually making its way upward, but it faces a fairly difficult resistance zone. Most likely, a long squeeze may form before further growth. Gold is rising amid uncertainty: Expectations of key US labor market data (unemployment claims, labor costs), the possibility of a Fed rate cut in September after weak employment and services data, new trade threats (possible 15% tariffs on Japanese imports and restrictions on Russian oil supplies to China) Key risks: Trump's decision on Fed appointments (replacement of Kugler and Powell) and further escalation of trade conflicts could increase volatility. For now, dovish expectations and demand for safe-haven assets are supporting gold. Technically, the focus is on the local range of 3390-3335 (3350). A false break of support could trigger growth... Resistance levels: 3390, 3405, 3433 Support levels: 3365, 3358, 3350 The fall of the dollar is supporting the already bullish gold... However, before continuing its growth, the price is forming a correction, and a false breakout of support and liquidity capture could have a positive effect on the market for further upward movement... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
22
GOLD → Long squeeze of support ahead of possible growthFX:XAUUSD is entering a consolidation phase after a rally. The market is forming a trading range, and a retest of support could end in growth... Gold pulled back from an 8-day high ($3391) on profit-taking ahead of Trump's Fed appointments. Weak ISM services data (50.1) and a pause in the dollar's weakening added pressure, although expectations of Fed policy easing in September remain supportive. The market focus is on key events: Fed appointments (including a possible replacement for Powell) and Trump's trade statements. These factors could provide new momentum after the current correction, as long as the fundamental drivers for growth remain in place. Resistance levels: 3385.4 Support levels: 3358, 3350, 3345 Technically, the price has confirmed resistance after a false breakout, and the market needs to build up potential for a possible continuation of growth. At the moment, the most likely scenario is a long squeeze (false breakdown) before growth continues. Focus on the key support zone. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
31
USDCAD → Short squeeze for further declineFX:USDCAD is forming another short squeeze relative to the global price range ahead of a possible decline within the global downtrend. After breaking through the resistance of the global trading range, USDCAD was unable to continue its upward momentum. The price returned to the range, under strong resistance, and is forming a pre-breakdown base for a possible decline. The trigger in our case is support at 1.3762. The dollar is stagnating, trading below strong resistance. A decline in the dollar could trigger a fall in USDCAD Support levels: 1.376, 1.3695, 1.3629 Resistance levels: 1.3774, 1.3809 The market structure is quite weak, both globally and locally. In addition, against the backdrop of an expected rate cut, the dollar may continue its downward global trend, which may also affect the price of the currency pair, which has formed a false breakout of resistance... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
9
GOLD → Consolidation and correction before growthFX:XAUUSD continues to consolidate after a strong rally. The market is returning to a bullish trend, but a correction is possible before growth continues... Gold is rising amid expectations of Fed policy easing. The market is finding support amid: a 90.5% probability of a Fed rate cut in September, weak US employment data, and dovish comments from Fed officials. The market is waiting for news that could determine further movement. ISM Services PMI data: strong figures could temporarily support the dollar, while weak figures could increase pressure on the USD. Questions about the Fed's independence after Trump fired the head of the BLS. Gold is maintaining its upward momentum, but its dynamics will depend on macro statistics and the Fed's response. Technically, the focus is on the local trading range of 3385 - 3363 - 3353. Resistance levels: 3385.4, 3433 Support levels: 3362, 3353, 3345 A retest of support and holding the price above key support could trigger a continuation of the uptrend, but it is important to pay attention to the fundamental background. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
20
XRPUSDT → Hunting for liquidity ahead of a possible declineBINANCE:XRPUSDT.P is forming a downward market structure after a false breakout of global resistance. Bitcoin is in a correction phase and, after a slight rebound, may continue its movement... Bitcoin has entered the sell zone. The price is consolidating below the global consolidation boundary of 115,500 during the retest, and if Bitcoin continues to decline, this could trigger a downward movement across the entire cryptocurrency market. XRP is forming a bearish market structure. After capturing liquidity and a false breakout of resistance, the price is returning to a bearish trading range. There is no potential for continued growth at this time. A consolidation of the price below 3.00 - 2.996 could trigger further sell-offs. Resistance levels: 2.996, 3.050, 3.181 Support levels: 2.996, 2.891, 2.74 The local bearish structure will be broken if the price starts to rise, breaks 3.050, and consolidates above it. In this case, XRP may test 3.181 before falling further. At the moment, after a false breakout of resistance, the price is consolidating in the selling zone, and the downward movement may continue. I consider 2.74 - 2.655 to be the zone of interest in the medium term. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
19
GOLD → Consolidation after the rally...FX:XAUUSD is not falling back after a strong rally, but is consolidating against resistance at 3362.8. Continued high demand could allow the market to strengthen... The price of gold halted its two-day rally, trading around $3362.8 on Monday morning after weak US employment data. This heightened concerns about the US economy and increased the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in September to 80%. Additional pressure on the dollar came from the dismissal of BLS chief Erika McAntfer, which raised suspicions of statistics manipulation. Market attention is also focused on US-Canada trade talks, which could affect investor sentiment. Gold is consolidating for now, but its further growth will depend on the dynamics of the dollar and macroeconomic data. Resistance levels: 3362.8, 3383, 3433 Support levels: 3345, 3334 As the market has now entered a consolidation phase, MM may form a retest of support before a possible rise in order to accumulate liquidity. However, a breakout of resistance at 3362.8 could trigger further growth. Best regards, Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
BITCOIN → From consolidation to distribution. Market weaknessBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is moving from consolidation to a correction phase. The price broke through the support zone of 114.5–115.5, closing within the Friday trading session in the sell zone... Previous idea from July 22: BITCOIN → Consolidation and compression to 116K. Correction? The fundamental background is shifting to neutral, the hype has temporarily ended, and there are no bullish drivers yet. And for the health of the market, a correction is needed. Bitcoin is breaking the neutral consolidation structure. The previous trading session closed below the support range, which generally indicates market weakness. Despite the global bullish trend, Bitcoin is moving from consolidation to a correction phase, with 112K - 110.5K serving as points of interest in this case. Before the fall, liquidity may be captured in the 114K - 114.800 zone. Resistance levels: 114.05, 114.85, 115.67 Support levels: 112.03, 110.48 After a strong movement, the market may enter a correction or local consolidation, during which it may test the specified resistance zones before continuing its downward movement to the zone of interest and liquidity at 112 - 110.5. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
20
USDJPY → False breakdown of upward trend supportFX:USDJPY is testing trend support as part of a correction triggered by news. The dollar has been recovering since the start of the session, giving the pair a chance to rise. As part of a correction against the backdrop of sharp and unexpected Friday NFP data, the currency pair is forming a false breakdown of trend support and testing the 0.7f buy zone. The market is reacting to the retest of support. Momentum is forming. Focus on the local range of 147.6 - 147.9. If the bulls keep the price above this consolidation, the price may continue to rise Resistance levels: 147.95, 149.02 Support levels: 157.55, 147.0 Focus on the trend and the indicated consolidation, which may move into the realization phase. If the bulls take the initiative, the pair will have a chance to rise to 149 - 150.8. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
1
GOLD → The rally following weak NFP data may continueFX:XAUUSD is moving into distribution (rally) on the back of unexpected NFP data released on Friday. The dollar is plummeting... Fundamentally, the gold market is getting support from an influx of funds after the unexpectedly weak NFP report. Against this backdrop, Trump said that the employment data had been “rigged” to make him look bad... I believe that the situation is somewhat different: the president's administration failed to control this moment, hoping to see positive dynamics. Powell now has a small trump card to control his actions. The reduction in interest rates will most likely be postponed until the fall. Technically, on D1, gold is rebounding from the support of the global trading range, forming a local bullish trend that coincides with the global one. Resistance levels: 3362.8, 3383, 3433 Support levels: 3345, 3334 Gold is exiting the local downward channel, breaking through resistance at 3334 and 3345. Consolidation is forming, and by the end of the session, the price will break through resistance at 3354.75. The market is quite strong. Focus on two levels: 3362.8 and 3354.7. At the opening of the session, the price may attempt to break through the resistance level of 3362.8. If gold consolidates above this level, growth may continue. If not, then before further growth, the market may test the support level... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
23
GOLD → The market is waiting for NFP. What could happen?FX:XAUUSD is bouncing off resistance at 3310, confirming the upper limit of the new trading range. The dollar continues to rally, but the market as a whole is stagnating ahead of upcoming news—NFP is coming up! Gold is consolidating at monthly lows around $3268, awaiting key US labor market data (NFP). Trump's new tariffs (10% globally, 35% for Canada, 39% for Switzerland) have boosted demand for the dollar, putting pressure on gold. Markets are waiting for NFP: forecast +110K jobs, unemployment 4.2%. Weak data (<100K) → gold may rise to $3400. Strong (>150K) → the dollar will strengthen, gold will continue to fall. The probability of a Fed rate cut in September is <50%. Based on yesterday's data, I would cautiously suggest that NFP will be in the range of 125K–145K, slightly above the consensus (110K). This will play into Trump's hands (I think you understand what I mean...). Resistance levels: 3300, 3310, 3320 Support levels: 3287, 3268, 3255 The news has a negative nuance — unpredictability. Be careful. Technically, based on the data we have at the moment, I would assume that the market may test resistance at 3300-3310 before a possible pullback to the specified support. BUT! Unpredictable data could turn the game around, and in that case, if the dollar falls, gold could start to rise. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
18
SP500 → Countertrend correction before growthFX:SPX500 is correcting against an upward trend. In the second half of the week, the market received fairly positive fundamentals during the reporting period. S&P 500 futures found support after strong reports from Meta and Microsoft, which exceeded earnings expectations and forecasts thanks to AI. The rise in futures supported demand for the “Magnificent Seven” despite Powell's hawkish comments. The focus is on Apple and Amazon reports in the evening, which could strengthen the tech rally. On Friday, we are seeing a countertrend correction in which the market is testing the 6288 zone of interest. Support levels: 6288.4, 6262.6 Resistance levels: 6342, 6371 Most likely, the market will form a false breakout of support during the correction. If the bulls keep the index above the key level, we can expect continued growth in the short and medium term. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:SPX500Long
by RLinda
6
GOLD → Retest of resistance within a bearish runFX:XAUUSD breaks through the upward trend support amid a rallying dollar. Since the opening of the session, the price has been testing the zone of interest, but bears are quite aggressive... Gold is partially recovering after falling to $3,268, a monthly low caused by the Fed's hawkish tone. The Central Bank kept its rate at 4.25–4.5% (9 votes to 2), highlighting uncertainty due to Trump's tariffs. Markets now estimate the probability of the rate remaining unchanged in September at 58% (previously 35%). The dollar's rise slowed amid concerns about the extension of the US-China trade truce and profit-taking ahead of key US employment data (after strong ADP and GDP reports). The nearest drivers are labor market statistics and trade news, while the technical picture for gold remains bearish. Technically, on D1, the price is breaking key support zones, including the trend line, which overall only increases selling pressure on the metals market... Resistance levels: 3310, 3320, 3334 Support levels: 3287, 3267, 3255 As part of the correction, the price has exhausted the entire daily ATR, forming a retest of the liquidity and interest zone. If the bears keep the price below 3320-3310, gold may head towards support... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
24