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USDCHF – Awaiting Breakout Ahead of FOMC: Key Levels in Focus USDCHF – Awaiting Breakout Ahead of FOMC: Key Levels in Focus 📌 MARKET OVERVIEW USDCHF is currently consolidating within a tight range after a technical rebound from the 0.8226 support zone. The price is testing a confluence area at the descending trendline and the 200 EMA on the H2 chart, indicating indecision between bulls and bears as we head into the high-impact FOMC event. 🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – H2 CHART Overall Trend: Sideways corrective move within a broader downtrend channel. Price is approaching critical resistance at the EMA200 and the channel’s upper boundary. EMAs in focus: EMA13 (black), EMA34 (orange), EMA89 (red). Fibonacci Retracement: Price is hovering around the 0.5 fib zone (0.8298), a neutral level for potential reaction. 🎯 Key Levels & Trade Scenarios: Major Resistance Zone: 0.8330 – 0.8368 → aligned with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and previous structural high. Key Support Zone: 0.8226 → strong demand area. A break below this could expose deeper downside or set up a false break trap. 📌 Most Likely Path: Price could dip back to 0.8226 before launching a bullish recovery targeting 0.8330 – 0.8368. A clean breakout above 0.8368 with momentum and volume could invalidate the bearish bias and shift the trend mid-term. 🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT FOMC IN FOCUS: The Federal Reserve is expected to hold rates steady at the upcoming meeting. However, market attention will be on Powell’s tone. A hawkish stance could fuel further USD strength, propelling USDCHF toward resistance zones. SNB (Swiss National Bank) maintains a neutral tone with slight disinflationary concerns, offering limited support for the CHF and strengthening the USDCHF upside case. US Treasury Yields are showing signs of recovery, adding bullish pressure to USD pairs. 📌 TRADING STRATEGY: Watch for bullish reaction at 0.8226 – potential long setup if RSI divergence appears. Short-term targets: 0.8330 → 0.8368. Breakout Strategy: If price clears 0.8368 with conviction, shift bias to bullish continuation and monitor for FVG or trendline breakout alignment. 📣 Stay sharp for increased volatility around FOMC. Position sizing and discipline are key in macro-heavy weeks like this.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
3
Double Top Alert: Key Resistance at 1.3570 Before US PCE DataGBPUSD PLAN – MAY 27 | Double Top Alert: Key Resistance at 1.3570 Before US PCE Data GBPUSD is currently testing a critical resistance zone near 1.3570, forming a potential Double Top pattern. As markets await this week’s US Core PCE inflation release, the pair may be at risk of a short-term pullback. 🌍 MACRO FUNDAMENTALS USD Rebounds Slightly ahead of April’s PCE inflation report – a key Fed inflation gauge due this Friday. GBP Under Pressure as dovish tones from Bank of England (BoE) officials signal a potential pause in rate hikes. UK Political Uncertainty and sluggish EU-UK trade talks continue to dampen investor confidence in the pound. 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Price Structure: GBPUSD surged from 1.3446 support but is now facing resistance near 1.3570, where a Double Top formation is emerging. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.3570 – 1.3580 (previous high and psychological barrier) Support 1: 1.3496 (confluence of EMA89 and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement) Support 2: 1.3446 Indicators: EMA13, EMA34 show early signs of bearish crossover on the 30-minute chart. RSI approaches overbought territory, hinting at potential bearish divergence. 🎯 TRADE SETUP (IF PRICE REJECTS 1.3570) 🔻 SELL SETUP Entry: 1.3570 – 1.3550 Stop-Loss: 1.3595 Take-Profit Targets: TP1: 1.3496 TP2: 1.3446 📌 A bullish breakout only becomes valid if price closes strongly above 1.3590 on the H1 chart. 🧠 STRATEGIC NOTES Wait for a clear reaction or bearish confirmation near 1.3570 before entering trades. Avoid chasing trades mid-range; focus on clean breakouts or rejections. PCE data may trigger volatility — manage risk tightly and prepare for directional momentum. 👉 What do you think of this Double Top scenario? Will GBPUSD reject or break through resistance? Drop your analysis below and follow for daily structured plans!
Short
by MMFlowTrading
USD/CHF Trading Plan USD/CHF Trading Plan – Technical Rebound Near EMA89, Resistance Ahead at 0.8298 📌 Market Overview USD/CHF is showing signs of technical recovery after a recent sell-off from the 0.8338 high. The current retracement is supported by price action rebounding near the 0.8212 zone — a key demand area that aligns with the EMA89 on the H1 timeframe. However, the broader structure remains uncertain as the pair awaits directional cues from upcoming US macroeconomic data and market sentiment around the Swiss franc’s safe-haven flows. 🔍 Technical Outlook Main trend: Still bearish on higher timeframes Short-term bias: Technical bounce in play EMA Setup: EMA13 and EMA34 are curling upward → but EMA89 acts as strong dynamic resistance above 🔑 Key Technical Zones: Resistance: 0.8264 – 0.8298 → short-term resistance area 0.8320 – 0.8338 → previous supply zone and daily structure resistance Support: 0.8235 → minor intraday support 0.8212 → EMA89 retest + breakout demand block 0.818x → historical low and deeper demand zone 📊 Trade Scenarios ✳️ Scenario 1 – SELL Setup Near Resistance If price retests the 0.8298 zone and prints reversal signals → short the bounce Entry: 0.8290 – 0.8298 SL: 0.8320 TP: 0.8260 → 0.8235 → 0.8210 ✳️ Scenario 2 – BUY the Retest Near Support If price pulls back to 0.8212 and holds structure with EMA89 confluence → potential short-term BUY Entry: 0.8212 – 0.8220 SL: 0.8185 TP: 0.8235 → 0.8260 → 0.8290 ⚠️ Strategy Note: Avoid buying into resistance at 0.8298 unless there's a strong breakout with volume. Current price action favors "sell on rally" setups unless key zones break decisively. 🌐 Macro Context Upcoming PCE Data (May 31): The US Personal Consumption Expenditures index could spark volatility. Weak data may pressure the USD and strengthen CHF. Geopolitical Tensions Ease: Risk-off flows into CHF have cooled slightly as US-EU trade concerns subside. SNB vs. Fed Outlook: The Swiss National Bank remains dovish, but the Fed’s uncertain tone limits USD upside. Yield differentials remain supportive for USDCHF to stay choppy within range. ✅ Final Thoughts USDCHF is staging a mild technical rebound but still faces significant hurdles near 0.8298. Sell setups remain favorable near resistance while buy scalps are valid around EMA89 if price confirms structure.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
1
Pullback or Deeper Reversal After False Breakout Near 1.1425? EUR/USD Weekly Plan: Pullback or Deeper Reversal After False Breakout Near 1.1425? 🧭 MARKET OVERVIEW EUR/USD surged toward a new monthly high at 1.1425 earlier this week but quickly lost momentum and retraced to the 1.137x zone as the US Dollar bounced back. While the short-term recovery in DXY supported the dip, macro uncertainty surrounding Trump’s erratic trade policies continues to raise questions about the dollar’s long-term credibility. Meanwhile, Germany’s revised Q1 GDP growth of 0.4% (vs. 0.2% prior) helped support EUR, reinforcing its appeal as a safe alternative to the greenback. 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1 Chart) Main Trend: Short-term correction after strong bullish rally Resistance Levels: 1.14165 → Previous top, strong reversal zone 1.14017 → Minor supply zone Support Levels: 1.13476 → Key break structure zone 1.12791 → Daily demand zone & previous FVG bottom Indicators: EMA 20 & EMA 50 crossover signals weakening bullish momentum Price Pattern: Potential double top forming below 1.1425 🌐 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT Trump’s tariff threat postponed to July 9, but his unpredictable tone weakens USD trust. Germany Q1 GDP upgraded to 0.4% → boosts confidence in Eurozone’s economic resilience. ECB expected to cut rates in June, with policymakers showing confidence inflation will reach 2% target this year. This week’s key focus: → US PCE Price Index (April) → EU May HICP (CPI) These will drive short-term volatility and determine breakout/reversal confirmation. ✅ TRADE SETUPS 🔴 SELL ZONE: Entry: 1.1400–1.1416 SL: 1.1440 TP: 1.1382 → 1.1347 → 1.1279 🟢 BUY SCALP ZONE: Entry: 1.1345–1.1347 SL: 1.1320 TP: 1.1382 → 1.1400 📌 Preferred scenario: Look for bearish confirmation around 1.1400–1.1416 to enter short. Avoid aggressive buys unless price strongly holds above 1.1384. 🧩 CONCLUSION EUR/USD is showing signs of exhaustion after testing 1.1425. If bears reclaim 1.1384 and hold below 1.1347, deeper correction toward 1.1279 is likely. Conversely, if bulls defend 1.1345 and CPI/PCE data disappoints, price may retest highs.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
Will It Break Through 3366 or Reversal Ahead of NFP Week? XAU/USD PLAN – 26/05 | Gold at Crossroads: Will It Break Through 3366 or Reversal Ahead of NFP Week? Gold is currently testing a key resistance zone following a sharp rebound last week. With the Fed maintaining its hawkish stance and US-EU trade tensions on hold, the market is in a wait-and-see mode, creating an ideal environment for structured trades. 🌍 MACRO CONTEXT: Trump Delays 50% Tariffs on the EU Until July 9: This temporarily reduced market tension, but the long-term risks remain. US 10-Year Yields Surge Above 4.55%: Bond markets are still pricing in tighter financial conditions, supporting the USD. The Fed Faces Operational Pressure: The Fed continues to trim its workforce by 10%, signaling internal challenges as rate hikes push up reserve interest payments. ➡️ Investors should brace for high volatility ahead of NFP week, closely monitoring any central bank statements and reactions. 🔍 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – H1/H4 VIEW: Gold is consolidating near the 3360-3366 region, which is a critical sell zone where price has faced resistance. The chart reveals a rising channel and clear Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) both above and below the current price, hinting at significant volatility and liquidity sweeps in the near term. 🔑 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH: 🔺 Resistance Zones: 3364 – 3366: Local top and key reversal zone, a critical point to watch for potential rejection. 3406 – 3408: The upper bound of the FVG zone, with a potential blow-off target if a breakout occurs. 🔻 Support Zones: 3324 – 3326: 20 EMA retest, a possible bullish bounce if price holds here. 3310 – 3308: Trendline + EMA89 confluence, a strong support area. 3304: A break below this level would invalidate the short-term bullish outlook. 🎯 TRADE SETUPS: 🟢 BUY SCALP: Entry: 3326 – 3324 Stop-Loss: 3320 Take-Profit: 3330 → 3334 → 3338 → 3342 → 3346 → 3350 🟢 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3310 – 3308 Stop-Loss: 3304 Take-Profit: 3314 → 3318 → 3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3340 🔴 SELL SCALP: Entry: 3364 – 3366 Stop-Loss: 3370 Take-Profit: 3360 → 3356 → 3352 → 3348 → 3344 → 3340 🔴 SELL ZONE: Entry: 3406 – 3408 Stop-Loss: 3412 Take-Profit: 3400 → 3396 → 3392 → 3388 → 3385 → 3380 ⚠️ STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION: If price breaks above 3366 with momentum, expect a run to 3408 and potentially 3450. If price rejects 3366 or fails to hold above 3320, look for short positions with tight stops. 📌 Final Note: Avoid chasing price in the middle of the range. Wait for a clear rejection or breakout confirmation to enter.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
XAU/USD Outlook: Will Gold Open with a Bullish Gap?XAU/USD Outlook: Will Gold Open with a Bullish Gap? Date Range: 26th – 30th May 2025 Timeframe: H4 (4-hour chart) Market Bias: Short-term bullish 🔍 Fundamental Analysis US–China Trade Tensions: China halting imports of US goods puts pressure on the dollar (gold tends to move inversely). Escalating tensions support gold as a safe-haven asset. Tariff Threats to the EU: Trump proposes 50% tariffs on EU products → potential retaliatory measures raise global uncertainty. Risk-averse sentiment may push capital into gold. Physical Gold Demand: High seasonal demand from India and China ahead of festivals. Inflation fears globally increase gold's appeal. 🌍 Macro Overview Monetary Policy: The Fed may face pressure to cut rates if trade tensions weaken the economy → bearish for USD, bullish for gold. PBOC could devalue the yuan in response to trade friction, boosting gold prices in USD terms. Market Sentiment: A potential rise in the VIX (fear index) may drive investors towards safe havens like gold. Strong demand for physical gold and ETFs, particularly in Asia, continues to support price. Key Events This Week: US Core PCE (inflation indicator) US Consumer Confidence EU and China responses to recent US trade policy 📊 Technical Analysis (H4) Trend: Clear ascending channel Current Price: 3,407.554 Key Resistance Levels: 3,407 – 3,444 (major resistance zone) 3,444.436 = potential all-time high Support Zones: 3,361.648 (channel midpoint) 3,325.347 (lower channel boundary) Fair Value Gaps (FVG): FVG 1: 3,361 – 3,407 FVG 2: 3,325 – 3,340 Price Action Note: A doji candle near resistance suggests a possible short-term pullback before continuation 🔄 Possible Scenarios 🔼 Bullish Scenario (60% probability): Break above 3,444 with momentum could trigger a bullish gap and extend toward 3,500 Strong fundamental and technical support for upside 🔽 Bearish Scenario: Rejection from 3,444 may lead to a pullback toward 3,361 or even 3,325 for buy setups 💡 Trade Plan ✅ Long Setup: Entry: 3,361 – 3,370 (pullback into FVG or mid-channel support) Take Profit: 3,444 (TP1), 3,500 (TP2) Stop Loss: Below 3,325 ❌ Short Setup (only on confirmed rejection): Entry: On clear rejection at 3,444 (e.g. bearish engulfing or head & shoulders pattern) Take Profit: 3,361 Stop Loss: Above 3,444 ⏰ Optimal Trading Times Monitor market open (Sunday, 26th May) for confirmation of a potential bullish gap Best liquidity during London and New York sessions 📝 Summary: Gold is well-positioned for a bullish move amid escalating trade tensions and USD weakness. Watch closely for a breakout above 3,444 or a retracement to 3,361 as a strategic buy zone. Stay updated on US inflation data and trade policy developments to adjust accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
4
BTC/USD IS A STRATEGIC CORRECTION OR A NEW RALLY AHEAD?BTC/USD 24 MAY – IS A STRATEGIC CORRECTION OR A NEW RALLY AHEAD? 🌐 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT Federal Reserve Outlook: Recent statements from Fed officials remain hawkish, signaling that interest rate cuts may not arrive soon. Inflation data remains sticky, adding pressure on risk-on assets like crypto in the short term. Market Sentiment: Investors are cautious, with capital flowing back into safer assets amid global uncertainty. However, long-term sentiment on BTC remains strong, supported by fundamentals. On-Chain Metrics: Wallet activity and hash rate growth continue to reflect strong underlying demand. This suggests accumulation despite short-term price pressure. 📉 TECHNICAL STRUCTURE (H1 CHART) BTC/USD is currently correcting after reaching the 111,947 resistance area. Price bounced from the 106,831 support zone and is now approaching the mid-range levels again. Chart Formation: A possible "bull trap" pattern is forming. Price may retest the 110,000 – 111,947 supply zone before deciding the next move. EMA Signals: Short-term EMAs have crossed downward on the H1 timeframe, indicating a weakening bullish momentum. 🎯 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY 🔻 SCALP SELL ZONE: Entry: 111,800 – 111,950 Stop Loss: 112,200 Targets: 110,000 → 108,500 → 106,800 → 102,567 🔺 BUY ZONE (PULLBACK SUPPORT): Entry: 106,800 – 106,600 Stop Loss: 106,200 Targets: 107,800 → 109,000 → 110,000 🔍 TECHNICAL KEY LEVELS Resistance Zone: 111,947 – 112,000 Support Zone: 106,831 → 106,600 → 102,567 FIBO Key Levels: 0.5 – 109,393 | 0.382 – 108,763 ⚠️ STRATEGY OUTLOOK If BTC breaks above 112,000 with strong volume, expect a bullish continuation toward 114,000+ levels. However, if price fails to hold above 110,000 and drops below 106,800, a deeper correction to 102,500 may follow. 📌 CONCLUSION "BTC is at a decision point, trading between macro hawkish pressure and technical liquidity zones. Stay flexible and wait for confirmation before committing heavily." Watch the US Jobless Claims data tonight for volatility triggers. Avoid emotional trades. Use strict risk management. Follow this profile for more real-time plans and updates.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD XAUUSD PLAN – MAY 23 IS GOLD READY TO SURGE AGAIN?GOLD XAUUSD PLAN – MAY 23 | GEOPOLITICAL RISKS FLARE UP – IS GOLD READY TO SURGE AGAIN? 🌍 MACRO CONTEXT: Iran-Israel-US Tension: Iran has warned that if Israel attacks its nuclear facilities, the U.S. will also be held responsible. Tehran vows to take “special measures” to protect its nuclear program, and has filed formal complaints with the UN. Markets are reacting sharply to this growing geopolitical risk. Goldman Sachs Alert: Goldman Sachs recommends gold and crypto (Bitcoin) as safe-haven assets amidst soaring bond yields, fiscal crisis fears, and a failed 20-year U.S. Treasury auction. They warn that rising yields are now posing serious threats to equities while the dollar faces longer-term pressure. 📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (M30): Price has bounced off the 3303 zone, and is showing signs of a bullish breakout if 3360 is taken out. There is a clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) above 3360–3380, which has yet to be fully filled. Below, the untested FVG zone near 3274–3250 remains vulnerable if support fails. EMA 13 is trending above EMA 34 and EMA 200 → bullish bias remains valid as long as 3274 holds. 🔑 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH: SELL Side Key Level: 3358–3360 → A breakout above this zone could lead to a retest of ATH near 3400–3450. BUY Side Key Level: 3276–3274 → Losing this zone could push gold back below 3200, targeting deeper correction levels. 📈 TRADE SETUPS: 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3276 – 3274 SL: 3270 TPs: 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3296 → 3300 🔵 BUY SCALP: 3304 – 3302 SL: 3298 TPs: 3308 → 3312 → 3316 → 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 3340 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3376 – 3378 SL: 3382 TPs: 3372 → 3368 → 3364 → 3360 → 3350 🔴 SELL SCALP: 3344 – 3346 SL: 3350 TPs: 3340 → 3336 → 3332 → 3328 → 3324 → 3320 🧠 FINAL THOUGHTS: Gold remains highly sensitive to geopolitical headlines and macro instability. As long as the 3303 support area holds, look for bullish continuation towards FVG highs. Break below 3274 may shift the bias sharply to the downside. Stay alert — volatility is expected to rise ahead of the next U.S. data and developments in the Iran nuclear issue.GOLD XAUUSD PLAN – MAY 23 | GEOPOLITICAL RISKS FLARE UP – IS GOLD READY TO SURGE AGAIN? 🌍 MACRO CONTEXT: Iran-Israel-US Tension: Iran has warned that if Israel attacks its nuclear facilities, the U.S. will also be held responsible. Tehran vows to take “special measures” to protect its nuclear program, and has filed formal complaints with the UN. Markets are reacting sharply to this growing geopolitical risk. Goldman Sachs Alert: Goldman Sachs recommends gold and crypto (Bitcoin) as safe-haven assets amidst soaring bond yields, fiscal crisis fears, and a failed 20-year U.S. Treasury auction. They warn that rising yields are now posing serious threats to equities while the dollar faces longer-term pressure. 📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (M30): Price has bounced off the 3303 zone, and is showing signs of a bullish breakout if 3360 is taken out. There is a clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) above 3360–3380, which has yet to be fully filled. Below, the untested FVG zone near 3274–3250 remains vulnerable if support fails. EMA 13 is trending above EMA 34 and EMA 200 → bullish bias remains valid as long as 3274 holds. 🔑 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH: SELL Side Key Level: 3358–3360 → A breakout above this zone could lead to a retest of ATH near 3400–3450. BUY Side Key Level: 3276–3274 → Losing this zone could push gold back below 3200, targeting deeper correction levels. 📈 TRADE SETUPS: 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3276 – 3274 SL: 3270 TPs: 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3296 → 3300 🔵 BUY SCALP: 3304 – 3302 SL: 3298 TPs: 3308 → 3312 → 3316 → 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 3340 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3376 – 3378 SL: 3382 TPs: 3372 → 3368 → 3364 → 3360 → 3350 🔴 SELL SCALP: 3344 – 3346 SL: 3350 TPs: 3340 → 3336 → 3332 → 3328 → 3324 → 3320 🧠 FINAL THOUGHTS: Gold remains highly sensitive to geopolitical headlines and macro instability. As long as the 3303 support area holds, look for bullish continuation towards FVG highs. Break below 3274 may shift the bias sharply to the downside. Stay alert — volatility is expected to rise ahead of the next U.S. data and developments in the Iran nuclear issue.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
3
FVG LIQUIDITY & POLITICAL SHOCKS: WILL THE SELLERS STRIKE BACK?GOLD PLAN 22/05 – FVG LIQUIDITY & POLITICAL SHOCKS: WILL THE SELLERS STRIKE BACK? 🌍 Fundamental & Geopolitical Overview: 🔺 Breaking Political News: On the night of May 21, two Israeli embassy officials were fatally shot near the Jewish Museum in Washington in what’s being labeled an anti-Semitic terrorist act. → Former President Trump condemned the attack, calling it “disgusting” and demanding an end to extremism. → Events like these typically boost gold as a safe haven, but this time the market appears hesitant. 🔺 Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve remains hawkish, signaling “higher-for-longer” interest rates. → This continues to support USD strength, putting downward pressure on gold. 🔍 Technical Outlook (H1): Gold (XAUUSD) recently topped around 3397, followed by a strong bearish rejection candle at that level. Two Fair Value Gaps (FVG) are now defining market sentiment: Upper FVG: 3330 – 3356 (partially filled) Lower FVG: 3277 – 3247 → highly likely to be targeted if breakdown occurs. EMA 13 & EMA 34 are flattening out, indicating consolidation within a breakout range. 🧭 Trade Strategy for Today: 🔻 PRIMARY SELL ZONE: Entry: 3395 – 3397 Stop Loss: 3401 Take Profit: 3390 → 3386 → 3380 → 3376 → 3370 🔻 SELL SCALP: Entry: 3358 – 3360 Stop Loss: 3364 Take Profit: 3354 → 3350 → 3346 → 3342 → 3338 → 3330 🔵 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3296 – 3294 Stop Loss: 3290 Take Profit: 3300 → 3304 → 3308 → 3315 → 3320 → 3330 → ??? 🔵 BUY SCALP: Entry: 3316 – 3314 Stop Loss: 3310 Take Profit: 3320 → 3324 → 3328 → 3332 → 3340 → 3350 ⚠️ Key Things to Watch: FBI and White House responses to the DC shooting could ignite renewed risk-off sentiment, pushing gold higher suddenly. A break above 3400 invalidates today’s setup – expect renewed bullish pressure if that happens. 📌 Pro Tip: Don’t chase the market. Let price come to your zones. Respect SL/TP and manage risk – especially on volatile days like today. 📣 Follow this account for live updates, scalping levels, and macro-triggered trading zones in real time!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD 21/05 – FED'S HAWKISH STANCE VS. TECHNICAL LEVELSGOLD MARKET UPDATE 21/05 – FED'S HAWKISH STANCE VS. TECHNICAL LEVELS – BIG MOVE AHEAD? Gold’s recent rally has paused as traders weigh the latest signals from the Federal Reserve. Despite geopolitical tensions and softer U.S. economic data, the Fed is sticking with a "higher-for-longer" interest rate policy, which has kept the U.S. dollar strong and put pressure on gold’s price action. 📉 However, the technical outlook suggests a different story. ⚙️ TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Is It A Bearish Trap Or A Hidden Bullish Opportunity? Looking at the 1H timeframe, XAU/USD is consolidating after reaching a major Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 3328–3356. This zone reveals significant volatility and potential liquidity grabs, with two key FVG zones forming above and below the current price levels. There’s a potential bullish scenario if gold retraces to the 3250–3252 support zone, where strong trendline confluence and dynamic support are likely to drive demand. On the flip side, any rejection from the 3354–3356 SELL ZONE could initiate a bearish trend, pushing gold lower to test key structural support levels. 💹 TRADING STRATEGY FOR TODAY: 🔵 BUY ZONE Entry: 3252–3250 Stop Loss: 3246 Take Profit: 3256 – 3260 – 3264 – 3268 – 3272 – 3280 – 3300 – ??? 🔵 BUY SCALP Entry: 3277–3275 Stop Loss: 3272 Take Profit: 3280 – 3284 – 3288 – 3292 – 3296 – 3300 🔻 SELL ZONE Entry: 3354–3356 Stop Loss: 3360 Take Profit: 3350 – 3346 – 3342 – 3338 – 3334 – 3330 – 3320 🔻 SELL SCALP Entry: 3328–3330 Stop Loss: 3334 Take Profit: 3324 – 3320 – 3316 – 3310 – 3305 – 3300 🌍 MACRO INSIGHT The Fed’s hawkish stance continues to weigh on gold, but geopolitical uncertainty and ongoing de-dollarization trends maintain gold’s appeal. China, along with other central banks, is still actively accumulating gold, signaling that long-term bullish pressure remains intact. Keep an eye on U.S. data this week, especially PMI and jobless claims, as these could act as short-term catalysts for gold. 📌 KEY NOTES Volatility is increasing, so stay disciplined. Stick to your key levels and manage risk effectively. Patience and strategy will be key as the market moves in the coming days. Stay alert and trade wisely!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
USDCHF Will the Downtrend Break or Bounce? Full Trade Plan TodayUSDCHF – Will the Downtrend Break or Bounce? | Full Trade Plan Today 🔥 🌍 Macro Overview USDCHF remains in a short-term bearish correction, reflecting current macroeconomic uncertainties surrounding US interest rate expectations and safe-haven demand for CHF. USD is under pressure after softer-than-expected CPI and PPI data last week, increasing speculation that the Fed may cut rates in Q3. CHF continues to benefit from its safe-haven status amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and fragile European growth. However, the key support around 0.8318 has acted as a major demand zone. If bulls react strongly here, we could see a technical rebound in the short term. 📉 Technical Analysis (H1–H2) USDCHF is trading within a descending channel, showing lower highs and lower lows. Price is now testing the lower boundary of the channel around 0.8318, which also aligns with a key liquidity area. EMAs (13 and 34) still slope downward, but momentum is slowing — a possible signal that sellers are losing strength. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch 🔺 Resistance Zones: 0.8395 → Recent swing high & supply zone 0.8459 → Medium-term structural resistance 🔻 Support Zones: 0.8318 → Major confluence zone (channel bottom + demand block) 0.8230 → Final support level before deeper drop 🎯 Trade Setups ✅ Scenario A – Bullish Reversal from Support (Preferred): Entry (Buy): 0.8318 – 0.8322 (after bullish rejection confirmation) Stop Loss: 0.8288 Take Profits: 0.8395 → 0.8430 → 0.8459 ✅ Scenario B – Bearish Breakdown Below Support: Entry (Sell): 0.8300 – 0.8310 (only if price closes below 0.8310 on H2) Stop Loss: 0.8340 Take Profits: 0.8260 → 0.8230 → 0.8200 ⚠️ What to Watch Today: Market may see higher volatility during the US session, especially with housing data (Existing Home Sales) and Fed speakers lined up. Watch for clean price action around 0.8318 — no need to rush entries until confirmation appears. This is a reactive market, not a predictive one. Let price speak first. 📌 Follow for real-time market updates and actionable strategies during US trading hours.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
7
GBP/USD Retracement or Reversal? Stay Sharp as Momentum FadesGBP/USD Trading Plan – May 20th | Retracement or Reversal? Stay Sharp as Momentum Fades 🌐 Macro Overview GBP/USD is currently influenced by several macroeconomic forces: USD strength is returning, supported by stable US data (Retail Sales, Jobless Claims), leading the market to delay expectations of a Fed rate cut. The British Pound is under pressure as the Bank of England (BoE) is not expected to raise rates further amid slowing domestic growth and easing inflation. Simultaneously, US-China trade tensions and US debt concerns are keeping market sentiment cautious. The pair is forming a bullish flag structure, but signs of exhaustion are emerging. 📉 Technical Analysis (2H Chart) GBP/USD is moving within a rising channel. However: 1.3433 remains a strong resistance, aligning with a local top — breakout potential is limited in the short term. A rising wedge pattern is forming — watch for a potential trap followed by a sharp sell-off. EMA13 and EMA34 are diverging, signaling distribution and potential reversal ahead. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch Major Resistance: 🔺 1.3433 – recent swing high and potential double top 🔺 1.3355 – mid-range resistance and EMA34 convergence (H2) Key Support: 🔻 1.3303 – key FIBO + trendline intersection 🔻 1.3251 – medium-term bullish structure support 🔻 1.3174 – previous swing low and strategic BUY ZONE 🎯 Trading Scenarios 📍 Scenario A – False Break and Rejection from Resistance Entry (SELL): 1.3430 – 1.3433 (after bearish confirmation) Stop Loss: 1.3460 Take Profits: 1.3355 → 1.3303 → 1.3250 📍 Scenario B – Breakdown and Failed Retest Entry (SELL): 1.3303 – 1.3310 (after support break and retest) Stop Loss: 1.3340 Take Profits: 1.3251 → 1.3174 📍 Scenario C – Deep Buy from Strong Support Entry (BUY): 1.3170 – 1.3174 Stop Loss: 1.3140 Take Profits: 1.3251 → 1.3300 ⚠️ Key Reminders: Stay cautious ahead of key US releases this week (PMI, FOMC Minutes), which may trigger high volatility. Avoid FOMO and respect SL/TP discipline — especially near potential trap zones. 📌 Follow for intraday updates and real-time trade setups as the structure evolves. Flexibility is key in this market.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
EUR/USD DAILY PLAN – BREAKOUT CONFIRMATION OR FAKEOUT TRAP?EUR/USD DAILY PLAN – BREAKOUT CONFIRMATION OR FAKEOUT TRAP? 🧠 Macro Overview This week’s trading landscape is influenced by both European and U.S. developments: EU Side: There are no major macroeconomic releases ahead, but expectations are growing that the ECB may adopt a more dovish tone in upcoming meetings. If inflation continues to cool, the euro may face downside pressure. U.S. Side: Last week’s CPI and PPI data showed signs of cooling inflation, yet not enough for the Fed to shift gears. The U.S. dollar remains supported by the prospect of “higher for longer” interest rates. Global Sentiment: Ongoing U.S.–China tensions and trade policy updates in Europe are keeping risk appetite cautious. The EUR/USD pair is testing a key zone and may break out of the descending channel soon — or reject hard if buyers fail to hold. 📊 Technical Analysis (H1 Chart) EUR/USD bounced strongly from the 1.1160 – 1.1180 demand zone and is now testing the key resistance at 1.1237 — a confluence of descending trendline and the 200 EMA on the 1H chart. A clean breakout above and sustained hold of 1.1237 could pave the way toward higher resistance levels at 1.1270 and 1.1325. However, if the pair gets rejected at 1.1237, it may fall back to test the lower support at 1.1160 – 1.1180, possibly forming a range before a larger move. 📌 Key Levels to Watch 🔺 Resistance Levels: 1.1237 → Key confluence zone (EMA200 + trendline) 1.1270 → Previous swing high 1.1302 – 1.1325 → Upper resistance zone with Fibo confluence 🔻 Support Levels: 1.1180 → Immediate demand area 1.1160 → Critical trendline support A break below 1.1160 could trigger stronger bearish momentum 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1. Bullish Breakout Above 1.1237 🔹 Entry: 1.1240 – 1.1250 🔹 SL: 1.1210 🔹 TP: 1.1270 → 1.1302 → 1.1325 2. Bearish Rejection at 1.1237 🔻 Entry: 1.1230 – 1.1225 🔻 SL: 1.1255 🔻 TP: 1.1180 → 1.1160 3. Buy-the-Dip at Key Support 🔹 Entry: 1.1165 – 1.1170 🔹 SL: 1.1135 🔹 TP: 1.1200 → 1.1230 ⚠️ Key Notes: Avoid entering trades during chop between 1.1215 – 1.1237 unless breakout confirmation appears. Be cautious of liquidity grabs during London and NY session opens. Stick to tight risk management as market remains uncertain and range-bound. 📌 Conclusion: EUR/USD is at a decision point. Whether bulls take control or sellers defend key resistance will determine short-term trend direction. Trade the breakout or the reaction — not the prediction.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
2
Gold Price Surge Will This Be the Catalyst for the Next Breakout💥 Gold Price Surge: Will This Be the Catalyst for the Next Breakout? | Trading Plan for Today 📊 📊 Market Overview: ✔️ Gold (XAU/USD) has shown a strong recovery following significant geopolitical and economic developments over the weekend. Key factors driving this rally include: ✔️ Putin’s Rejection of Peace Talks: If the conflict intensifies, we may see a surge in demand for safe-haven assets like gold. ✔️ US Credit Downgrade: Rising concerns over US debt and bond yields could drive more investors back into gold. ✔️ Trump’s Tariff Threat: Although less aggressive than before, Trump’s volatility still poses risks to market stability, with gold remaining a key hedge. ✔️ These combined factors have driven a gap up of over 20 points during the early Asia session. Should these issues remain unresolved, gold could be set for a strong move back toward its previous All-Time High (ATH). 📉 Technical Analysis: ✔️ The chart is showing an increasingly bullish setup. EMA 13 has crossed above both EMA 34 and EMA 200 on the M30 chart, suggesting that the market is primed for a breakout. ✔️ We’re seeing the potential for a $100–$200 rally per ounce, should the bullish momentum persist. ✔️ Given the current market volatility, geopolitical events could cause sharp price movements. A breakout of the current trendline may indicate that we are witnessing a retest before the next significant surge. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch: 🔻 Support Levels: 3204, 3193, 3186, 3174, 3163 🔺 Resistance Levels: 3254, 3277, 3288 💰 Trading Strategy for Today: ✅ BUY Scalp: 3194 – 3196 🔴 Stop-Loss (SL): 3190 ✅ Take-Profit (TP): 3200 → 3210 → 3220 → 3230 ✅ BUY Zone: 3186 – 3184 🔴 Stop-Loss (SL): 3180 ✅ Take-Profit (TP): 3190 → 3195 → 3200 → 3210 → 3220 → 3230 ✔️ SELL Zone: 3287 – 3289 🔴 Stop-Loss (SL): 3293 ✅ Take-Profit (TP): 3285 → 3280 → 3285 → 3280 → 3270 💎 Good Luck! Stay tuned for more updates, and trade wisely! 📈
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Will the Market Continue to Sink or Rebound?Gold Price Volatility: Will the Market Continue to Sink or Rebound? 💥 Market Outlook: Today’s market is seeing unpredictable movements, with gold making significant drops and then rebounding sharply in the last two days. Are the recent news developments aligning with the price action, or is it just a major coincidence? 🔍 Technical Analysis: Looking at the D1 and H4 charts, you can clearly see the breakdown, but gold quickly bounced back to the 325x area and reacted. The 3254–3256 zone is a key level that holds strong for sellers on both daily and H4 candles. If gold continues to hold below this level, the bearish trend remains strong, and another sharp drop could happen before the weekend. If the 3254–3256 level is broken, the price may push toward the 327x, possibly even the 328x levels. However, this will be dependent on whether this critical support is maintained. Trend Continuation or Reversal? From a technical perspective, gold is still in a downtrend, and the current bounce is likely just a retracement before continuing lower. However, in terms of macro news, the USD is continuously dealing with bad inflation data, affecting the recovery of DXY (USD). The market is very sensitive to trap candles, and there may be false breakouts, so proceed cautiously. There are also some news reports indicating that the US and China have reached a minor détente, but tensions remain around trade restrictions, imports, exports, and the use of rare earth minerals. Things are unpredictable with these two powers. Today, there are updates on tariffs, so keep an eye out! 📊 Key Resistance Levels: 3237 3251 3261 3276 3287 📉 Key Support Levels: 3205 3188 3170 3143 🎯 Trading Plan: 🔵 BUY SCALP: Entry: 3172 – 3170 SL: 3166 TP: 3176 → 3180 → 3184 → 3188 → 3192 → 3196 → 3200 🔵 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3142 – 3140 SL: 3136 TP: 3146 → 3150 → 3154 → 3158 → 3162 → 3170 → 3180 → 3190 🔴 SELL SCALP: Entry: 3160 – 3162 SL: 3166 TP: 3156 → 3152 → 3148 → 3144 → 3140 → 3130 → 3120 🔴 SELL ZONE: Entry: 3276 – 3278 SL: 3282 TP: 3272 → 3268 → 3264 → 3260 → 3255 → 3250 → 3240 ⚠️ Risk Management: With strong volatility today, manage your risk carefully. It’s essential to adhere to your TP/SL to protect your account. Stay cautious, as there is a lot of unpredictability in the market with the upcoming news. Conclusion: Given the unpredictability of the market and geopolitical tensions, it’s wise to trade with caution today. Watch the critical support and resistance levels closely and stay flexible, adapting your strategy based on how the market evolves. 📣 Stay tuned for more updates and trade smart!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
3
EUR/USD – BEARISH BIAS IN PLAY, IS A FAKEOUT COMING?EUR/USD – BEARISH BIAS IN PLAY, IS A FAKEOUT COMING? 🧠 Market Context: After a technical rebound earlier this week, EUR/USD is now consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle. Despite buyers attempting a breakout, low volume and price action still below the 200 EMA indicate weak bullish momentum. The DXY is recovering on expectations the Fed will hold rates higher for longer. Meanwhile, the Euro lacks fundamental support as the ECB remains cautious with policy moves. 👉 Given the current technical setup, the higher probability scenario (70%) is a bearish breakout, continuing the dominant downtrend. 📊 Trade Scenarios for Today: ✅ High Probability – SITUATION 1 (70%): Price breaks below the triangle’s base near 1.1185–1.1190 and continues lower toward the 1.1110 demand zone. ⛔ SELL ZONE: 1.1210 – 1.1220 (after minor retest of broken trendline) 🎯 TP: 1.1180 → 1.1150 → 1.1120 → 1.1100 🛑 SL: 1.1245 (above EMA200) 🚨 Lower Probability – SITUATION 2 (30%): Price breaks out and closes firmly above the triangle and 200 EMA (~1.124x) → short-term bullish reversal. 🔵 BUY ZONE: 1.1250 – 1.1260 (only after confirmed breakout with volume) 🎯 TP: 1.1290 → 1.1325 → 1.1350 🛑 SL: 1.1215 🔍 Key Technical Levels & EMA: Resistance (200 EMA on H1): ~1.1247 Major Support Zones: 1.1180 – 1.1150 – 1.1110 🎯 Execution Strategy: Favor short setups unless a clear bullish breakout occurs above 1.1247 with strong volume. Watch for a breakdown and retest below 1.1180 to confirm bearish continuation. Avoid premature entries — let price come to your levels. ⚠️ News to Watch: No major data today, but USD is still sensitive to Fed tone and macro headlines. Keep an eye on Fed speakers later in the NY session for potential impact on dollar direction. ✅ Final Thoughts: The triangle pattern is coiling tight, but overall momentum favors sellers. Expect liquidity sweeps and volatility traps, especially around session transitions. Stick to your plan, respect your levels, and let the market decide the breakout direction.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Faces Strong Sell-Off: Is a Reversal on the Horizon? Gold Faces Strong Sell-Off After Initial Bounce – Is a Reversal Looming? Gold opened the day with a slight uptick, only to be quickly slammed down, reflecting the current weakness in buying power. The market is reacting to news in flashes, quickly reversing direction — slow on the way up, but fast on the way down. This is the perfect reflection of a market losing confidence in any recovery trend. 🧐 Is This a Sign That Gold Is Heading Towards a Strong Reversal Zone? 📌 Support Zones to Monitor: 3222 – 3220: Short-term cushion. If this fails, expect further downward pressure. 3206 (M30): Next level of defense where technical reactions may occur. ⏳ Caution: Early European session tends to show strong volatility. If no clear signs of a bounce, be cautious of sudden sharp drops. As for the trade negotiations, the developments around tariffs have been much more positive recently. Most news points toward further downside pressure on Gold, and it seems to be staying in the downward price channel. The price zones are not much different from yesterday’s levels, so I’ll slightly adjust my entries for today. Watch the Resistance Levels: They are key for shorting opportunities. The BUY setup still seems far off; it’s hard to pick a good entry with resistance zones appearing everywhere right now. Don't rush into BUY positions just yet! 📊 Key Resistance Levels: 3244 – 3262 – 3278 – 3290 – 3308 – 3330 📊 Key Support Levels: 3216 – 3206 – 3194 – 3170 – 3158 🎯 Scalping BUY Zones: BUY SCALP: 3196 – 3194 SL: 3190 TP: 3200 – 3204 – 3208 – 3212 – 3216 – 3220 BUY ZONE: 3158 – 3156 SL: 3152 TP: 3162 – 3166 – 3170 – 3174 – 3178 – 3182 – 3190 🎯 Scalping SELL Zones: SELL SCALP: 3257 – 3259 SL: 3263 TP: 3253 – 3250 – 3246 – 3242 – 3238 – 3235 – 3230 – 3220 SELL ZONE: 3278 – 3280 SL: 3284 TP: 3274 – 3270 – 3266 – 3262 – 3258 – 3254 – 3250 – 3240 – 3230 🔎 Key Insights: The market is moving in a tight range, but gold continues to hold below significant resistance. As the geopolitical situation stabilizes and tariff talks improve, any sudden price reversals will be important to monitor. The FOMC meeting and global developments will play key roles in shaping the future trend for gold. 💡 Conclusion: Gold is facing a strong sell-off after testing key resistance. Focus on shorting at key resistance zones and be cautious with any buys until a clearer upward trend forms. Stay disciplined, watch the support levels carefully, and manage your trades well!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Price Analysis Major Pullback as Geopolitical Tensions Ease🔥 Gold Price Analysis: Major Pullback as Geopolitical Tensions Ease Technical Analysis Overview: Yesterday's sharp decline in gold prices suggests a temporary de-escalation in geopolitical tensions, particularly in terms of the ongoing conflicts and political uncertainties. The global situation seems to be calming down, which has had a significant impact on the market. From a political and trade perspective, the current price trend seems to be rational, though nothing is set in stone. Key negotiations are still underway, and important agreements may still be signed. After the sharp fall, gold has found some recovery, especially as it returns to liquidity gaps to fill. Current Viewpoint: At this stage, I am still expecting a retracement in gold prices, which will present better selling opportunities. While yesterday’s outlook focused on selling, we successfully identified key levels for buying. Today, selling opportunities seem more favorable than buying. We need a pullback to fill the FVG (Fair Value Gap) and yesterday’s gap, after which gold may undergo another significant adjustment. The political dynamics, along with potential delays in the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, could push gold back to $3000 per ounce. If this happens, the rise in gold prices would be easy to foresee. Short-Term Strategy: In the short term, we will continue following the market’s wave of corrections. Short positions may be more sustainable, and holding onto them could prove more beneficial in the current environment. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance Levels: 3264 – 3278 – 3307 – 3328 Support Levels: 3241 – 3207 – 3196 – 3172 – 3156 Buy Opportunities: Scalp Buy Zone: 3196 – 3164 SL: 3190 TP: 3200 – 3204 – 3208 – 3212 – 3216 – 3220 Buy Zone: 3158 – 3156 SL: 3152 TP: 3162 – 3166 – 3170 – 3174 – 3178 – 3182 – 3190 Sell Opportunities: Scalp Sell Zone: 3278 – 3280 SL: 3284 TP: 3274 – 3270 – 3266 – 3260 – 3250 – 3240 Sell Zone: 3328 – 3330 SL: 3334 TP: 3324 – 3320 – 3316 – 3312 – 3308 – 3300 – 3290 – 3280 Upcoming Key News: In the US session, we are expecting the release of CPI data for this period. As this is a crucial data point for the month, traders should pay attention. Currently, there is not enough information to analyze the CPI in-depth, so I will update you on the developments at the end of the European session, as we head into the US market. Important Notes: Ensure that you manage risk effectively and stick to your TP/SL levels to safeguard your account. We are still in a volatile period, and as always, caution is key when navigating these types of market conditions. Good Luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
GBP/USD Set for a Big Move! Will It Break the Channel or Reboun📈 GBP/USD DAILY PLAN – 12/05/2025 🔍 Technical Overview: The GBP/USD pair is currently consolidating in a descending channel, with clear resistance and support levels. After forming a short-term high at 1.32507, the price is showing signs of retracing and looks set to continue the downward move. Key Resistance Levels: 1.32507: The latest high, still unbroken. This is a key resistance level in the short term. 1.31690: The next resistance level, which could provide bearish momentum as the price touches it. 1.31417: A strong resistance level if the price continues to rise. Key Support Levels: 1.32474: A strong support zone, likely to be tested if the price dips. 1.32169: A short-term support level for potential reversal. 1.31216: A key support level in case of a sharp decline, potentially a strong BUY zone. 🎯 Trade Scenarios: 1. Bearish Breakout Scenario: SELL Zone: 1.32507 – 1.31690 Stop Loss (SL): 1.3300 Take Profit (TP): 1.31417 → 1.31000 → 1.30500 2. PullbackScenario – Reversal at Support: BUY Zone: 1.31216 – 1.31417 Stop Loss (SL): 1.31000 Take Profit (TP): 1.31800 → 1.32100 → 1.32400 ⚠️ Notes: Market Sentiment: The market is highly sensitive to ongoing political and economic developments, especially comments from ECB and Fed officials. Watch the key support and resistance levels carefully before making any trades today. Risk Management: Be sure to manage your SL/TP levels carefully and avoid chasing signals during volatile market moves. 📣 Important: Today is a key day with important macroeconomic data that could shift market sentiment, particularly from Fed officials and trade talks. Be cautious and wait for confirmation signals before entering any trades.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
3
GOLD Weekly Open Analysis:Gap Down Sparks Fresh Bearish Momentum🟠 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Weekly Open Analysis: Gap Down Sparks Fresh Bearish Momentum Gold opens the week with a sharp gap-down, reflecting a cooling of global tensions and softer tones in tariff negotiations over the weekend. With both geopolitical risks and trade conflicts showing signs of de-escalation, investors quickly shifted away from safe-haven demand, leading to immediate downside pressure in early Asia hours. 🔍 Market Context: The price action remains within a bearish parallel channel on the M30 timeframe. A visible GAP ZONE has formed between $3326 – $3328, which now acts as a key resistance area to watch for a potential retest. This week brings critical US economic data including CPI, PPI, and a Fed speech, all of which could drive large volatility. The market is likely to remain extremely sensitive to any shifts in: US inflation expectations FED forward guidance Further headlines on tariffs or geopolitical escalations (Russia–Ukraine, India–Pakistan) 🔧 Trading Strategy for Today (13/05/2025): Bias: Short-term bearish unless clear reversal signs appear. Primary focus: Sell the rally, especially near key resistance zones. 🔺 Key Resistance Levels: $3288 $3308 $3326–$3328 (Gap Fill Zone) 🔻 Key Support Levels: $3262 $3246 $3236 $3200 🎯 Trade Ideas: 🔵 BUY ZONE: Entry: $3246 – $3244 SL: $3240 TPs: $3250 → $3254 → $3258 → $3262 → $3266 → $3270 → $3280 Valid only if buyers show strong defense at key support zones. 🔴 SELL ZONE (Main): Entry: $3326 – $3328 SL: $3332 TPs: $3322 → $3318 → $3314 → $3310 → $3305 → $3300 🔴 SELL SCALP (Early Intraday): Entry: $3306 – $3308 SL: $3312 TPs: $3300 → $3296 → $3290 → $3286 → $3282 → $3278 → $3270 ⚠️ Key Reminders: Volatility is expected to remain high throughout the week due to macro events and shifting risk sentiment. Trade with discipline — stick to your TP/SL and avoid emotional entries. Wait for confirmation at your planned levels. Let the market come to you. 📣 Final Note: This week is packed with catalysts. Patience and precision will define successful trades. Follow this account for real-time updates as the market reacts to US CPI and Fed commentary.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
USD/CHF Sideways Phase Could Break on Trade Sentiment Shift USD/CHF Weekly Setup – Sideways Phase Could Break on Trade Sentiment Shift USD/CHF is currently consolidating in a tight range near 0.8300, but under the surface, big moves are brewing. Last week, the pair pulled back as US bond yields dipped lower and the USD weakened. However, this isn’t just about technicals — the bigger story is coming from trade negotiations, central bank signals, and global inflation pressures. 🌍 What’s Driving the Market? 1️⃣ US-China Trade Talks Return to Spotlight Early signs of progress in global trade relations helped stabilize market sentiment. President Trump confirmed a preliminary trade agreement with the UK and hinted at cautious talks with China this weekend in Switzerland. While no breakthroughs are expected, any surprise deal or tariff easing could lift the USD. 2️⃣ SNB Dovish Tilt Pressures CHF SNB Chairman Schlegel has opened the door for more rate cuts if the Swiss economy continues to show weakness. April CPI came in flat, and core inflation dropped, adding to the dovish case. 3️⃣ Fed Uncertainty While the Fed held rates steady, markets are still debating the next move. The bond market suggests rate cuts are now less likely in the short-term, which could offer near-term support to the USD. 📊 Technical Picture – H4 Outlook Price is forming a sideways accumulation just under the 0.8310 level. A deeper FVG (Fair Value Gap) still exists overhead from the recent drop. If USD strength returns, a clean break toward this imbalance zone is likely. We're also seeing lower shadows and absorption wicks near support zones, signaling buyers are active at the bottom of this range. 📌 Key Levels BUY ZONE: → 0.8265 – 0.8245 SL: 0.8200 TP targets: → 0.8325 → 0.8365 → 0.8425 → 0.8585 🧠 Strategy Notes This setup is range-to-breakout biased. If the market responds positively to US-China trade headlines or US bond yields recover, USD/CHF could launch higher into the imbalance zone. Watch for a confirmed H4 breakout candle above 0.8320 for added confidence. Keep in mind the SNB meeting on June 19th — markets may start pricing in policy shifts earlier than expected. 📣 Final Thoughts USD/CHF is at a turning point — and what happens next will depend less on indicators and more on trade diplomacy and central bank tones. As always, let the market show its hand. ✅ Wait for price to come to your zone. ⛔ Don’t chase moves in this volatility. 🔔 Stay alert to any headlines from the US, China, or SNB this week.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
5