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NIKKEI: Strong Bullish Momentum Driven by Favorable IndicatorsData analysis indicates a "Bullish" bias for the NIKKEI, with a strong overall score. This positive outlook is supported by a confluence of factors, including Commitments of Traders (COT) data, retail positioning, seasonality, and trend. While some economic data points show neutrality or slight negativity, the overriding sentiment and key technical factors suggest a continued upward trajectory for the NIKKEI. Key Supporting Factors (Bullish): Strong Technicals/Momentum: The "Trend" and "Seasonality" scores of 2 each suggest strong underlying bullish momentum and favorable seasonal patterns for the NIKKEI. COT & Retail Positioning: Positive scores in "COT" and "Retail Pos" (both 2) often indicate that institutional money and retail traders are aligned in a bullish direction, providing a strong foundation for upward movement. GDP, SPMI, Retail Sales: These economic indicators, with scores of 1, are contributing positively to the overall bullish bias, indicating healthy economic activity.
ICMARKETS:JP225Long
by AACA-
GBPCHF RETAINS BEARISH MOMENTUMInstitutional (COT) data shows a net reduction in GBP exposure, suggesting big money is pulling out of the pound. Retail sentiment also leans heavily against the trend, with traders buying the dip — another contrarian bearish signal. Seasonality does not favor the pair in August either, with historic trends leaning against GBP performance this time of year. On the macro side, UK economic data continues to weaken. Both manufacturing and services PMI are deteriorating, indicating contraction across sectors. Retail sales and GDP growth are negative, while inflationary pressure is easing — all of which reduces the urgency for further BOE tightening. Employment metrics are also weak, with poor job creation and falling labor market momentum. Meanwhile, Switzerland is showing relative macro strength. The SNB is benefiting from stable inflation and its traditional safe-haven appeal, which is further boosted by rising global risk-off sentiment. Interest rate expectations are neutral for CHF but increasingly dovish for the UK, creating clear policy divergence in CHF’s favor.
Short
by AACA-
USDCHF SHORT IDEA FULL BREAKDOWNUSD/CHF is flashing a strong bearish signal from both a macro and sentiment perspective. ✅ Bearish USD Drivers: FOMC Pivot Watch: July meeting minutes hinted at potential rate cuts before year-end due to inflation moderating and soft jobs data. Rising Swiss Franc Demand: CHF is benefiting from safe haven flows amid escalating tensions in Eastern Europe and shaky U.S. equity markets. Swiss CPI Stable: Inflation is in check, allowing SNB to maintain their policy stance without pressure. Institutional traders are reducing their exposure to the U.S. dollar, while retail traders are net long USDCHF — a classic contrarian bearish signal. Seasonality also favors Swiss Franc strength in August. On the macro side, U.S. data is underwhelming: job growth has slowed, services PMI is soft, and inflation metrics (CPI, PCE) are cooling. This has increased expectations for a Fed rate cut later in the year. Meanwhile, the Swiss National Bank remains stable with no urgency to ease policy. Combined with global risk-off sentiment, capital is flowing into CHF, giving it an added edge over the dollar.
Short
by AACA-
US100The US100 (Nasdaq 100) has shown a dramatic shift in trend, forming what appears to be a large-scale bearish harmonic pattern or potential M-top structure. After reaching its peak in mid-2025, the index has entered a sharp downward trajectory, shedding significant value in a short span. This chart raises a critical question for long-term investors and traders: Are we witnessing the early phase of a prolonged bear market that could stretch into 2026 and beyond? 🔻 Key Observations: Bearish structure developing with aggressive selling pressure. Potential breakdown from long-term support trendlines. Momentum suggests institutional risk-off behavior. Stay alert for macroeconomic cues, interest rate policy, and earnings season signals. A break below 13,000 could confirm a deeper bear cycle
FPMARKETS:US100
by Trader1mran
Gold Surges on Non-Farm Data; 3330 Key Next WeekGold was strongly boosted by the significantly bullish non-farm payroll data, surging sharply like a rocket 🚀, with gains that completely "wiped out" all the weekly losses. The current gold trend, as if injected with super momentum, has completely broken the previous long-short stalemate. Starting from the 3300 level, it has been breaking through obstacles all the way up to 3350. At present, 3330 is like a critical "battleground" ⚔️ fiercely contested by both long and short sides. This week, when gold was still "lingering" below 3300, I emphasized repeatedly that a rebound was inevitable – we just needed to stay calm and wait for the opportunity. As it turns out, our judgment was spot on, and we successfully took profits around 3340, reaping good gains 💴. Now, gold prices are oscillating back and forth in the 3340-3350 range. Based on a comprehensive analysis of the current trend, I boldly predict that gold is likely to pull back to around 3330 next week, so everyone can prepare in advance 🤗 ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Sell@ 3350 🚀 TP 3330 - 3320 - 3310 🚀 Buy@ 3300 -3310 🚀 TP 3320 - 3330 - 3340 Daily updates bring you precise trading signals 📊 When you hit a snag in trading, these signals stand as your trustworthy compass 🧭 Don’t hesitate to take a look—sincerely hoping they’ll be a huge help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Conqueror-
GBP weakness + USD gaining bullish momentumFX:GBPUSD 🧠 What’s Driving GBP Weakness? ❄️ Cooling Inflation: Slows BoE policy tightening 🔻 Contracting Manufacturing: PMI deep in the red 🛍️ Falling Retail Sales: UK consumers are pulling back 💼 Labor Market Cracking: Recent jobs data may be peak 💣 BoE Dovish Pivot Incoming: Markets are anticipating future cuts in 2025 🇺🇸 USD Strength: Fed holding steady, US macro much stronger than UK 🧭 Extra Confluence: USD Strength USD is being supported by: Strong US labor market 🟢 Higher for longer Fed 🟢 Global risk-off sentiment 🟢 Positive divergence in US CPI and Retail Sales 🟢 📌 GBPUSD is not just a GBP short — it’s a USD long play too. 🧩 Historical Price Action Pattern In 2023 Q3, GBP/USD dropped nearly 700 pips in 6 weeks during similar macro shifts — soft BoE + strong USD. We may be setting up for a repeat pattern now. 🗣️ What’s Your Take? Are you looking to short GBP/USD this month? Where’s your target or trigger zone? Let’s compare setups ⤵️ I’m sharing more breakdowns weekly — follow for macro + technical convergence trades.
Short
by AACA-
GBPJPY Fundamentally Bearish🧠 Macro-Fundamental Breakdown 🇬🇧 GBP (British Pound) 🔻 GDP Shrinking: UK growth has stalled with below-trend GDP prints 3 quarters in a row. 📉 PMI Weakness: Manufacturing and Services PMIs both under 50 = economic contraction 🧊 Retail Sales Down: UK consumer confidence and demand are cooling 💼 Labor Trouble: Unemployment ticking higher + BoE hinting at peaking rates 🪙 BoE Dovish Pivot?: Market now pricing possible cuts into early 2025. 🇯🇵 JPY (Japanese Yen) 🟢 Inflation is ticking higher 🔄 BoJ is cautiously shifting from ultra-loose policy 🛡️ Yen often strengthens in risk-off environments (which aligns with current market volatility) 🇯🇵 Tokyo CPI surprises have reinforced JPY support
Short
by AACA-
AUDJPY Poised to Start a Distribution Phase to 98.70AUDJPY Poised to Start a Distribution Phase to 98.70 On the 60-minute chart, AUDJPY has completed the accumulation phase, and it appears that AUDJPY is preparing for a breakout phase. This is happening on the 60-minute chart. The price that has already formed a pattern has a lower form and chances are that it may fall further from this area. If this happens, AUDJPY may start another impulsive downward move. In the overall picture, AUDJPY faced a strong resistance near 97.30 and is indicating a downward move to 95.70. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
22
Bitcoin vs S&P 500 – Ratio Signals Strength, Chart favors BTC!🚀📊 Bitcoin vs S&P 500 – Ratio Signals Strength, Even If Stocks Correct 🔍📈 After posting earlier today about VOO (S&P 500 ETF) and the index itself hitting major resistance, I wanted to shift our focus to what could shine even if stocks pull back: Bitcoin. This chart shows the BTCUSD/SPX ratio – in simple terms, how Bitcoin is performing relative to the S&P 500 . And what do we see? Clear, technical strength. 🔍 Key Observations: BTC/SPX is currently breaking out from a bullish flag structure just above the 17.30–17.48 region If the breakout holds, the projected technical target is near 26.37, the top of this multi-year channel Historically, previous breakouts from similar zones have delivered explosive upside, even when equities struggled 🧠 So what does this mean? Even if the stock market pulls back—as suggested in our earlier VOO/US500 chart—Bitcoin could still outperform, simply by dropping less, consolidating, or rising while stocks fall. That’s the power of analyzing ratios, not just absolute price. We’ve already discussed how macro metrics like the Buffett Indicator (Stocks-to-GDP) are showing equity overvaluation. If capital starts rotating out of equities, Bitcoin is positioned as a beneficiary—especially if it maintains this relative strength. 💬 Final thoughts: Don’t just look at BTC in isolation— look at it relative to what it's competing against Ratios offer perspective: this one says Bitcoin’s trend vs stocks is up and strong With solid support at 14.23 and room to run toward 26.37, this could be a chart to watch for months ahead Are you watching this breakout? Let me know what your game plan is. FOOD FOR THOUGHT: With Gold prices easing, stock markets at all time highs, is this the PERFECT time for big money to hedge with Bitcoin? Likely yes ! One Love, The FX PROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
BITCOIN PREDICTION: NOBODY IS WATCHING THIS PATTERN !!!(warning)Yello Paradisers, I'm updating you about the current Bitcoin situation, which is extremely dangerous for crypto noobs that will get rekt again very soon! It's going to be a big move soon. I'm telling you on a high timeframe chart we are doing multi-time frame analysis and on a high timeframe chart I'm updating you about the RSI indicator, the bearish divergence, the moving average reclaim, and the channel reclaim that we are having right now. We are observing a shooting star candlestick pattern, which is a reversal sign, and I'm telling you what confirmations I'm waiting for to make sure that I can say with the highest probability that we are going to the downside. On a medium timeframe, I'm showing you two patterns: one is a head and shoulders pattern, then a contracting triangle, and on a low time frame, I'm sharing with you the ending diagonal because on a high time frame chart, we are either creating ABC or impulse, and I'm telling you what the probabilities are for the zigzag, which is a corrective mode wave, or the impulse, which is a motive mode wave. I'm sharing with you what's going to happen next with the highest probability. Please make sure that you are trading with a proper trading strategy and tactics, and that's the only way you can be long-term profitable. Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
5
Dow Jones: Explosive US30 Trade Setup – Entry,Trap & Exit Mapped💎 Dow Jones Robbery Blueprint: The US30 Vault Crack Plan 💎 (Maximized for reach — within TradingView title limit) 🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Market Robbers & Money Movers 🕵️‍♂️💰🚨 This ain't your average analysis — it’s a Thief Trader-style 🔥tactical mission🔥 aimed at the mighty "US30/DJI" (Dow Jones Industrial Average). We're talkin' about a precision heist with a full blueprint: entry zones, trap setups, and escape exits. Read carefully — this ain’t for the faint-hearted traders! 🧠🦾 🧠 Entry Zones (The Break-In) 📈 🛠 ENTRY 1: Candle wick near 44200.0 – that’s the resistance gate. Wait for confirmation. 🎯 ENTRY 2: Sneak in at the Market Makers’ Trap around 43200.00 – a dirty zone where retailers get baited. Perfect time to strike long! 🧱 DCA/Layering strategy recommended. Stack those buy orders like a thief layering explosives on a safe. 💣💸 🛑 Risk Levels (Escape Routes/Stop Loss) 🔊 "Listen up, vault raiders! Never drop your SL until breakout is confirmed. If you jump early, you might land in a bear trap! 🪤" 🔐 Stop Zones (Based on Strategy): 🔐 Max Risk SL (5H TF): If you're deep, your last stand is at 43000.0 ☝️ SL depends on your position sizing, number of entries, and risk appetite. Trade like a thief, not a gambler. 🎯 Heist Target (Profit Exit) 🏁 Escape Point: 46000.0 — or exit before heat rises! Don’t be greedy. Rob and vanish. 💨💰 🔥 Market Mood: Why the Heist Is On "US30/DJI" is bullish AF — thanks to: 📊 Macro-Economic Wind at Our Back 📈 Institutional momentum 📰 Strong sentiment and intermarket flows Check your chart radar: Fundamentals + technicals aligning = green light for robbery! 🟢 ⚠️ Tactical Reminder: News Can Jam the Plan 📵 Avoid new entries during major economic releases 🛡 Use trailing SLs to protect running trades Stay alert, stay alive. 💡 ❤️ Support the Robbery Crew Hit that 💥BOOST💥 — your love fuels our next mission. Join us and ride daily heist plans with Thief Trading Style 🏴‍☠️🚀💰
OANDA:US30USDLong
by The-Thief
Time to buy? Too much negative press. Buy in Fear- Updated 28/7Apple has been making steady gains since April 8th. Trading volume has been consistently strong, increasing intermittently, with sell pressure exhausted at the 200 USD mark. The price point is now sitting above the 200 daily EMA support, which indicates strong potential for continued upward movement. Apple's earnings are in focus this week, with predictions that they will exceed expectations, but the extent of that exceedance is the question. Regardless of the competition from Chinese-made phones or Samsung, once you are in the Apple ecosystem, it is rare to leave. Even if buying cycles slow down, Apple often provides innovative solutions to problems that no other provider can. The focus on Apple regarding AI appears slightly biased and carries some elements of fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD). It would be foolish to bet against Apple in the long term, even if the necessary technology is obtained through acquisition. With a strong cash position, this should not be an obstacle. So far, the charts have shown us two positive moves after flag patterns, with resistance just below and around the EMA 200 level, which is now acting as support. The RSI is in the upper regions but is far from overbought, indicating we have a good level of momentum. The accumulation distribution chart also suggests strong support for Apple from institutions. No clear pattern is yet forming on the charts, except for a possible ascending triangle on the weekly, which would be very bullish. The 50-day EMA is likely to cross the 200 EMA in mid-August, drawing a lot of attention as this would create a Golden Cross. This event would occur just prior to the Apple launch in September, which is rumored to introduce significant updates and advancements. Considering all these factors, I anticipate that Apple will continue its upward momentum for the next six weeks, with some substantial moves followed by pullbacks to support levels. The launch events will likely propel Apple to reach an all-time high (ATH). NFA Target price is >260
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Discombobulate1
10
WTI Crude Oil Technical Outlook – Key Breakout or BreakdownWTI Crude Oil 4-hour chart suggests a potential inflection point after a strong bullish breakout from a larger symmetrical triangle pattern in late July. The price surged past key resistance levels and is now consolidating in a smaller symmetrical triangle formation just below the psychological $70 mark. This indicates a phase of indecision following a strong move, with market participants awaiting further confirmation. Price is currently hovering around $69.82, with key levels marked at $71.03 (resistance) and $69.05 (support). The short-term price action within the tight triangle could determine the next move, with both bullish continuation and bearish reversal scenarios on the table. Prices remain supported by supply concerns after Trump threatened to impose 100% secondary tariffs on buyers of Russian crude and warned China, a major oil consumer of severe penalties if it continues its purchases of Russian oil. 🔍 Potential Scenarios - Bullish Breakout Scenario If price breaks out of the smaller symmetrical triangle to the upside and clears the $70 resistance level with strong momentum, it may quickly test the $71.03 zone. A clean break above $71.03 would confirm the continuation of the previous uptrend, potentially opening room toward $72.50 and beyond in the medium term. The pattern would resemble a bullish pennant — a continuation pattern following the late July rally. -Bearish Rejection and Breakdown Conversely, a failure to sustain above $70 followed by a break below the lower boundary of the smaller triangle could lead to a sharper decline. The first critical level to watch would be $69.05; a break below this would likely invalidate the bullish setup and initiate a retest of the previously broken upper trendline of the larger triangle near $67.50. A further breakdown could lead price towards the larger support zone around $65–$66. 📈 Trend Outlook - Short-Term: Neutral to Bullish — Consolidation in a smaller symmetrical triangle suggests a pause before continuation. However, the structure is still technically bullish unless $69.05 is broken. - Medium-Term: Bullish Bias — The breakout from the large symmetrical triangle in late July indicates a shift in market sentiment, favoring higher prices unless the price fails to hold above $67.50. - Long-Term: Cautiously Bullish — As long as WTI holds above the $65–$66 structural support area, the longer-term outlook remains constructive. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDLong
by SibiSh
TRADE IDEA – EUR/USD SHORT (T2 TRAP REVERSAL)🔻 TRADE IDEA – EUR/USD SHORT (T2 TRAP REVERSAL) 📍 ENTRY ZONE: 1.1560 – 1.1580 🎯 TARGETS: • TP1 = 1.150 • TP2 = 1.140 • TP3 = 1.130 • TP4 = 1.120 🛡️ STOP LOSS: 1.1600 (above Tier 2 trap extension) 📐 STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT: • T1 (Macro): 🔻 Down • T2 (Structure): 🔻 Trap Zone Active (161.8%) • T3 (Execution): ⚠️ Rejection confirmed via M1 spike + engulf • T4 (Micro): 🧨 Trap spike → lower high forming 📊 EXECUTION LOGIC: • M1 rejection at 1.1580 confirmed • Bearish engulf candle formed post-spike • Multiple shorts laddered (1.1565 / 1.1580) • SL held above extension zone • Price now below both entries 🚦 TRADE STATE: ⚔️ ARMED • Add-on only valid under 1.1560 • SL trail after 1.1550 break • No long bias unless 1.1610 breaks with body close #Renko #FractalCodex #EURUSD #ShortSetup #TrapReversal #Fibonacci #PriceAction
Short
by OddJ0b
GOLD TRADING PLAN – Triangle Squeeze, All Eyes on NFP【XAU/USD】GOLD TRADING PLAN – Triangle Squeeze, All Eyes on NFP Gold continues to trade within a large symmetrical triangle, tightening toward the end of its range. However, current candle structure shows clear bullish momentum, indicating the potential for a strong upside breakout. 🔍 Today’s Key Focus: Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Market expectations are pointing to weaker-than-expected US economic data, which could trigger strong FOMO-buying for gold if confirmed. A poor NFP report would likely weaken the USD, supporting bullish continuation. 🔑 Strategy and Key Technical Levels: Watch for a confirmed breakout above the descending trendline to trigger Wave 3 of the bullish structure. CP ZONE + OBS BUY ZONE triggered yesterday already yielded 160+ pips profit. Strategy: Prefer buy-the-dip entries. SELL setups only valid on strong resistance rejection. Avoid counter-trend trades near breakout zones. 🟩 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3276 – 3274 Stop Loss: 3270 Take Profits: 3280, 3284, 3290, 3294, 3300, 3305, 3310, 3320, 3330, 3340, 3350 🟥 SELL ZONE: Entry: 3339 – 3341 Stop Loss: 3345 Take Profits: 3335, 3330, 3325, 3320, 3315, 3310, 3305
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2