Chart Patterns
EURUSD at Key Resistance – Bull Trap or Breakout Incoming?The Euro has rallied into a major supply zone at 1.15800+, a level that hasn’t been broken since mid-2023. As price trades within this supply range, traders are eyeing either a strong breakout or a potential rejection back toward demand.
🟦 Key Supply Zone: 1.14994 – 1.16100
🟧 Major Demand Zones:
• 1.09023 (mid-range)
• 1.02903 (long-term support & prior consolidation base)
⚖️ Current Outlook:
• EURUSD is showing strength, but bullish momentum is slowing at resistance.
• A rejection candle from here could signal downside toward 1.0900 and even 1.0290.
• Break and close above 1.16100 on the daily would confirm bullish continuation toward untested zones.
🗓️ Marked Date: January 29, 2025 – Previous structure shift & start of bullish wave
💡 Watch Closely:
Price behavior around the current supply zone will determine direction for weeks ahead. Risk/reward now favors patient traders — wait for confirmation!
🧠 Chart Tools:
LuxAlgo Supply & Demand Visible Range
Timeframe: Daily (1D)
🚨 Potential Scenarios:
🔺 Breakout = Target 1.1800+
🔻 Rejection = Drop toward 1.0900 – 1.0300
👇 What’s your bias here? Are the bulls done or just getting started?
#EURUSD #ForexSignals #LuxAlgo #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #ForexStrategy #BreakoutOrRejection #FrankFx #TradingViewAnalysis #SmartMoneyTraders
USDCHF → Retesting resistance will lead to a declineFX:USDCHF , having failed to reach its global target after breaking through support, is turning back to retest the zone of interest at 0.8157. A fall in the dollar could trigger a decline in prices...
After breaking through support and falling to 0.8055, a correction is forming towards the zone of interest and liquidity at 0.8157. After reaching the local target, the price may return to the global target (liquidity zone) at 0.8042.
The dollar returned to its downward phase at the opening of the session, to which the forex market reacted accordingly. Most likely, bearish pressure may also affect the USDCHF currency pair, which continues to follow the downward trend.
Resistance levels: 0.8157
Support levels: 0.8055, 0.8042
A retest of resistance amid high volatility could form a false breakout (liquidity capture) before the decline continues within the downtrend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
ADA's situation+ Target PredictionThe price on the daily timeframe is within a triangle, which can create some uncertainty about which direction it will move. Here, we should wait to see which side of the triangle the price breaks out from. Remember, the trend is our friend.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
Nasdaq Challenges Record HighsNasdaq continues to trade just below a one-month resistance line, which connects consecutive higher highs formed between May and June 2025. This line has capped the index just shy of the 22,000 mark, as price action navigates the push and pull between summer momentum, geopolitical tensions, and economic uncertainty.
To the upside, a decisive break and hold above 22,200 would be a bullish trigger, potentially opening the path toward the 23,700 resistance zone. This level notably aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci extension, projected from the 2023 low, 2025 high, and 2025 retracement low.
On the downside, risks remain for a deeper correction if the index retraces toward the 21,000–20,600 region. This zone represents the neckline of the December–January double top, and stands as a critical threshold separating a bullish continuation scenario from the possibility of a deeper bearish pullback.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
Crude oil----Buy around 71.00-72.00, target 73.00-77.00Crude oil market analysis:
Last week's crude oil was very exaggerated because it broke the super suppression of 65.00 on the daily line. Once this position was broken, crude oil began to be standard. This is also the result of our many predictions of the cycle. Crude oil purchases will continue to soar this week. In addition, the escalation of the situation in the Middle East will make it difficult for crude oil to fall in the short term. I estimate that there is a possibility of repair. The retracement during the repair is our opportunity to buy again. In addition, the delivery period of crude oil futures contracts will also cause it to fluctuate violently again.
Fundamental analysis:
There are many fundamental analyses and data recently. Geopolitical factors are the main reason for its violent fluctuations. In addition, there is a holiday in the United States this week, and there is also a Federal Reserve interest rate result.
Operation suggestions:
Crude oil----Buy around 71.00-72.00, target 73.00-77.00
Bitcoin Cash Nears $485—Will BCH Hold Its Gains? FenzoFx—Bitcoin Cash remains bullish, nearing the previous monthly high at $485.0, though overbought conditions signal possible consolidation.
BCH/USD may stabilize around $431.0 before resuming its uptrend toward $485.0. A break above this level could pave the way for $568.0.
The bullish outlook holds as long as BCH stays above $349.0.
XAUUSD Strong break-out ahead to $3700.Gold (XAUUSD) is trading within a Channel Up, while being supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This is similar to the December 19 2024 - January 30 2025 Channel Up, which when it broke above the previous Higher High Resistance, it rose straight to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, as long as the 1D MA50 supports, we are looking for a medium-term bullish break-out, possible by the end of July, targeting at least 3700.
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EURAUD: A Risky and Bearish Trading SetupEURAUD: A Risky and Bearish Trading Setup
Since Wednesday, EURAUD has surged over +370 pips in just two days, despite the move lacking a clear catalyst. It appeared to be a pure bullish impulse. Notably, AUD failed to show strength even after the U.S.–China trade agreement, which would typically support the Australian dollar.
However, today’s geopolitical escalation—Israel’s military strike on Iran—triggered a price reaction near the 1.7880 level.
While the setup remains risky, there’s a reasonable chance the pair may retrace just as swiftly as it rallied.
🎯 Key downside targets to watch: • 1.7700 • 1.7610 • 1.7510
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Sell Limit Setup above 2025 High📉 AUD/USD – 2H Chart Analysis
🕒 Published: June 16, 2025 | TF: 2H
🔔 Trade Idea: 2x Sell Limit at Key Resistance Zone
🔹 Market Context:
Price is trading within a rising broadening wedge pattern (marked by the white and blue trendlines).
Current rally retraced aggressively toward upper wedge resistance (2025 High), an area that has repeatedly capped bullish momentum.
Price approaching previous supply zone.
🔻 Sell Limit Setup 1
Entry: 0.65400
SL: 0.6584
TP: 0.6503
R:R ≈ 1
➕ Fades rally into resistance
➕ Aligns with EMA structure and intraday exhaustion
🔻 Sell Limit Setup 2
Entry: 0.6550
SL: 0.6584
TP: 0.6499
R:R ≈ 2
➕ Higher entry into wick zone (liquidity trap)
➕ Potential false breakout above structure
➕ SL above key swing high = cleaner invalidation
⚠️ Aggressive short: smaller SL, better RR
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 17/06/2025Today, a flat opening is expected in Nifty near the 24,950 level. The index has been moving in a narrow consolidation zone and currently trades just below an important resistance. If Nifty manages to sustain above the 25,050–25,100 zone after the opening, we may witness bullish momentum building up. This could lead to an upward move toward 25,150, 25,200, and possibly 25,250+ levels during the day.
However, if Nifty fails to hold above the 24,950 mark and slips into weakness, it may invite intraday profit booking. A drop below the 24,900–24,950 level could open the downside toward 24,850, 24,800, and 24,750 levels. This zone has previously acted as a support range, and any break here could intensify selling pressure.
post market ideasSPX rallied into resistance today, so far it's being held back there. Gold looks like a bounce is coming but I don't think it lasts. NG is looking more and more bullish. USOIL found support under 70 and should test the highs from Friday. BTC looks like it could come down a bit here.
RVN/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.01800 - 0.01860
LMT v2.0 detected.
The setup looks promising—price previously trended upward with rising volume and momentum, then retested this zone cleanly. This presents an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity if momentum continues to align.
Introducing LMT (Levels & Momentum Trading)
- Over the past 3 years, I’ve refined my approach to focus more sharply on the single most important element in any trade: the KEY LEVEL.
- While HMT (High Momentum Trading) served me well—combining trend, momentum, volume, and structure across multiple timeframes—I realized that consistently identifying and respecting these critical price zones is what truly separates good trades from great ones.
- That insight led to the evolution of HMT into LMT – Levels & Momentum Trading.
Why the Change? (From HMT to LMT)
Switching from High Momentum Trading (HMT) to Levels & Momentum Trading (LMT) improves precision, risk control, and confidence by:
- Clearer Entries & Stops: Defined key levels make it easier to plan entries, stop-losses, and position sizing—no more guesswork.
- Better Signal Quality: Momentum is now always checked against a support or resistance zone—if it aligns, it's a stronger setup.
- Improved Reward-to-Risk: All trades are anchored to key levels, making it easier to calculate and manage risk effectively.
- Stronger Confidence: With clear invalidation points beyond key levels, it's easier to trust the plan and stay disciplined—even in tough markets.
Whenever I share a signal, it’s because:
- A high‐probability key level has been identified on a higher timeframe.
- Lower‐timeframe momentum, market structure and volume suggest continuation or reversal is imminent.
- The reward‐to‐risk (based on that key level) meets my criteria for a disciplined entry.
***Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
Important Note: The Role of Key Levels
- Holding a key level zone: If price respects the key level zone, momentum often carries the trend in the expected direction. That’s when we look to enter, with stop-loss placed just beyond the zone with some buffer.
- Breaking a key level zone: A definitive break signals a potential stop‐out for trend traders. For reversal traders, it’s a cue to consider switching direction—price often retests broken zones as new support or resistance.
My Trading Rules (Unchanged)
Risk Management
- Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%
- Leverage: 5x
Exit Strategy / Profit Taking
- Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5).
- Typically sell 50% during a high‐volume spike.
- Move stop‐loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 R:R.
- Exit at breakeven if momentum fades or divergence appears.
The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. LMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement.
If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it.
Thank you for your support~
Sharing this with love!
From HMT to LMT: A Brief Version History
HM Signal :
Date: 17/08/2023
- Early concept identifying high momentum pullbacks within strong uptrends
- Triggered after a prior wave up with rising volume and momentum
- Focused on healthy retracements into support for optimal reward-to-risk setups
HMT v1.0:
Date: 18/10/2024
- Initial release of the High Momentum Trading framework
- Combined multi-timeframe trend, volume, and momentum analysis.
- Focused on identifying strong trending moves high momentum
HMT v2.0:
Date: 17/12/2024
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
Date: 23/12/2024
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
HMT v3.1:
Date: 31/12/2024
- Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios
HMT v4.0:
Date: 05/01/2025
- Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling
HMT v4.1:
Date: 06/01/2025
- Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis
HMT v5 :
Date: 23/01/2025
- Refined wave analysis for trending conditions
- Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability
- Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
HMT v6 :
Date : 15/02/2025
- Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis
HMT v7 :
Date : 20/03/2025
- Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment
HMT v8 :
Date : 16/04/2025
- Fully restructured strategy logic
HMT v8.1 :
Date : 18/04/2025
- Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency
LMT v1.0 :
Date : 06/06/2025
- Rebranded to emphasize key levels + momentum as the core framework
LMT v2.0
Date: 11/06/2025
- Fully restructured lower timeframe (LTF) momentum logic
XAUUSD – Can the bulls drive it up to $3,485?XAUUSD is a typical case of a market trading within an ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both its upper and lower boundaries.
As you can see in my analysis, the price has recently broken through an important resistance zone and may return to retest it. If this level holds as support, it will indeed confirm the bullish trend and make the move towards my projected target of 3,485 highly likely, aiming for the next resistance zone at 3,485 and 3,500.
If the price remains above this support zone, my bullish outlook remains intact. However, if the price fails to hold above this level, the short-term bullish outlook will therefore be disrupted and may be followed by the next downward retracement.
Could the DXY reverse from here?The price is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 97.71
1st Support: 94.66
1st Resistance: 101.87
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Disclaimer:
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LOADINGQBTS hasn't tested the 200 EMA since early May, now it is consolidating on it; also, on top of an unfilled price gap. The Bears would want for price break below the 14.70 200 EMA and fill the gap and test the 13.35 price area, bulls want price to break the trendline with volume and momentum and reach the 16.20 area and the 17.23 price area.
USOIL:A long trading strategy
Oil prices also fell sharply under the stimulus of the news, and then completed the correction rebound in the sub-session, and now back to around 71 again. The current trend is in the upward rhythm of the main trend, and it is expected that the trend of crude oil will be mainly in the form of shock consolidation.
Trading ideas than yesterday did not change too much, adjust the appropriate profit point.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@70.5-70.8
TP: 71.8-72.3
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