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Gold deeper consolidation supported at 3266The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 3266 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 3266 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 3335 – initial resistance 3351 – psychological and structural level 3366 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 3308 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 3250 – minor support 3230 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3266. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by TradeNation
Monthly $MSTR Bullflag MicroStrategy is forming a textbook bull flag on the monthly, right after a massive vertical leg from sub-$200 to over $500. Strong pole ✅ Tight consolidation near the highs ✅ Monthly closes holding above prior resistance ✅ This thing is coiling under ~$455. Once it breaks, it could easily send toward $800–1000+, especially if CRYPTOCAP:BTC keeps surging. BTC already confirmed a major cup & handle — MSTR just lagging a bit. High timeframe structure + BTC correlation = explosive potential. Watching for volume + breakout confirmation. Let’s see if it rips.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by nkaosartor
MSFT - Should you Buy All Time Highs?Hello everyone, I’m TheCafeTrader. Next up in our breakdown of the MAG 7 is Microsoft (MSFT) — this post focuses on a long-term swing trade setup. For short-term analysis, head to my profile and check out the latest posts. ⸻ 💡 The Setup: MSFT continues to ride a strong wave thanks to AI growth, especially with Copilot and its projected impact on revenue. Several analysts have price targets ranging from $550 to $600, which still leaves 10–20% upside from current levels. As of this writing, MSFT closed at $511.70, about 9% above its previous all-time high — and it got there in just five weeks. Momentum is strong, and there’s no clear sign of slowing down. ⸻ 📈 Is Now a Good Time to Buy? Let’s look at two possible strategies: ⸻ Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) vs. Lump-Sum Investing If you’re unfamiliar with DCA: it’s a strategy where you buy in gradually over time. Say you have $5,000 set aside for MSFT — you might invest $1,000 now and continue adding monthly. This is a smart approach in choppy or uncertain markets, but MSFT is not showing weakness right now. Historically, when strong stocks are in clear bull trends, lump-sum investing outperforms DCA. So if you’re confident in MSFT’s long-term potential — and want exposure to the current momentum — a full position now could make sense. If you’re looking for a better price or want to scale in patiently, keep an eye on these key zones. ⸻ 🧭 Areas of Interest on the Chart: 1. Yellow Box (Target Zone): → $550–$600 is the broader analyst price target range. 2. First Demand Line (~$500): Recent signs of active buyer interest. If bulls remain in control, this could act as a springboard. 3. Reinforced Buyer Zone (~$472–$474): This area has been tested and defended before. It’s a strong pullback entry if momentum stalls. 4. Second Demand Line (~$449): A previous base of institutional accumulation. Price may revisit here in a broader market dip. 5. Deep Buyer Zone (~$344–$365): A rare but powerful level where big money entered aggressively. It’s unlikely we revisit this zone — but if we do, it could be a great buy. ⸻ 🧠 Strategy Summary: • Aggressive buyers may consider entering around $500, where recent demand appeared. • More patient traders might wait for MSFT to pull back into the $449–$474 range, where institutional interest has been high. • The $344–$365 zone is a long shot — but would be a massive value area if touched. ⸻ That’s it for the long-term outlook on MSFT. For more short-term trades and entries, check out my other posts — especially as we continue tracking the MAG 7. @thecafetrader
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by thecafetrader
1
BNB - the strangest coin on the market? Almost no one trades it, and volumes have been falling for the second year in a row. But at the same time, it is the only token on the market that is in an upward flag. It is showing an even stronger trend than Bitcoin. Yes, we are talking about BNB. Here's why you should pay attention to this token: ➡️ Money Flow shows divergence with the price, positions continue to close, and liquidity is gradually disappearing. However, over the past year and a half, the token's liquidity has hardly ever been in the negative zone. Meanwhile, Bitcoin spent months in this zone, reaching values of -0.20. BNB barely touched the negative zone and immediately rebounded. This speaks to people's crazy faith in the token. There are simply no sellers. ➡️ Volume - purchase volumes have also diverged and continue to decline. BNB reached its current ATH on negligible volumes, which again highlights the complete lack of sellers. Even now, at the new ATH. ➡️ Liquidity Depth - as we know, the price moves from liquidity to liquidity. And now it is dozens of times greater at the bottom than at the top. This potentially hints at a local correction. Also, during the growth, a GAP formed at the level of $576 - $502. And as we know, 99% of GAPs close sooner or later. But there is only one GAP and it is small, since BNB is a fairly low-volatility token and is traded quite effectively on its way up. ➡️ It is also the only one of the market leaders currently in an ascending flag, which means that the token has not yet seen a correction. 📌 Conclusion: The chart looks obviously great, but there is local overheating, which will definitely be removed sooner or later. So BNB looks promising for shorting if it does not hold at $796. However, Binance is certainly doing an excellent job of promoting its token with all these Launchpads and so on. So it is worth looking at a major correction to build up a spot position in BNB. Subscribe and stay tune with more impactful ideas on trend tokens!
Short
by Crypto_Gym_Work
EUR/JPY Setup: Retail is 82% Short – Squeeze First, Drop After?🔹 Technical Context Price reacted with a strong bullish wick in the 169.50–170.30 demand zone, signaling clear buyer defense. The RSI bounced from weakness but remains subdued, showing limited momentum. 📍 Current price action suggests a potential retest of the 172.50–173.30 area, which aligns with a supply zone, before a possible directional decision is made. 🗓️ Seasonality Historically, August tends to be bearish for EUR/JPY: 5Y average: -0.48% 10Y average: -0.12% 15Y/20Y averages: -1.3% and -1.2% 📉 Seasonality indicates potential weakness, especially in the second half of the month. 🪙 COT Report (EURO & YEN) – July 22 EURO: Strong long accumulation by non-commercials (+6,284) and commercials (+17,575) JPY: Net decline in both longs (-1,033) and shorts (-4,096), with a drop in total open interest 🧠 The market is heavily positioned on the Euro, while Yen positioning is fading. This creates a divergence between the two currencies, favoring a short-term technical bounce on EUR/JPY, though downside risks remain in the mid-term. 📉 Sentiment 82% of retail traders are short EUR/JPY Volume: 1,564 lots short vs 352 lots long 📣 This extreme sentiment imbalance suggests a potential short-term squeeze against retail traders. 📊 Market Mood & DPO Overall mood: Neutral DPO at -9.0, Wyckoff score below 50 Momentum remains weak, but not showing a clear divergence. 🧩 Operational Summary Retest of the 172.50–173.30 supply zone Likely exhaustion in that area Ideal setup: rejection + bearish confirmation → Targets: 170.30, then 169.00
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
GOLD CONTINUATION PATTERNHello folks, here we go again, This idea stuck in my head only today and its friday. rather shared it or none, but see the charts for stops and target. this might be your lucky day on my page. Here is my idea, take it if you love to swing or watch it fade. Congrats were on 800 community or I got more followers because of this. and Previous idea we made a lot thats 1200 pips good for a month trade. lets see this August. my target is labeled this chart first at 3500 zone. next target will be posted on my notes or updated the idea. no charts until it breaks that labeled on chart. until it goes higher again. You will never see this kind of idea for a month again. So follow on my page, I have some for you if you have small accounts.d m here My goal is to target the highest TP will be above this new highs.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by D1GITALTRADES
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 1, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for August 1, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📦 U.S. Imposes New Tariffs as Deadline Passes Fresh tariffs rolled out on August 1 hitting major exporters: 25% on Indian goods, 20% on Taiwan, 19% on Thailand, and 15% on South Korea. Canadas tariff elevated to 35%, though Mexico got extra negotiation time. Global equity markets slipped modestly, led by declines in Asia-Pacific regions. AMEX:SPY futures also eased on mounting geopolitical and trade pressures. 🏦 Fed Uncertainty Mounts Despite Calm GDP Despite robust Q2 GDP growth and a hold on interest rates this week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell faced growing unrest. Comments acknowledged downside labor risk amid trade uncertainty—investors are now assigning just a 39% chance of a rate cut in September. 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Friday, August 1: 8:30 AM ET – Nonfarm Payrolls (July): Payrolls rose by 106,000, less than June’s 147,000 but still positive. Wage growth slowed, easing inflation concerns slightly. 8:30 AM ET – Unemployment Rate: Unemployment ticked up to 4.2%, from 4.1% in June—reflecting modest labor softness. 8:30 AM ET – Average Hourly Earnings (MoM): Wages rose +0.2%, down from +0.4% in June, signaling wage pressure easing. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #jobs #Fed #tariffs #inflation #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
BTC/USDT Analysis: Testing Strong Support Hello everyone! This is the daily analysis from CryptoRobotics' trader-analyst. Yesterday, we tested the local support zones previously marked and moved into a decline. At 21:00 (GMT+3), the U.S. Federal Reserve released its monetary policy statement, which included hawkish comments regarding inflation risks. The interest rate remained unchanged. The market reacted negatively to this news, and Bitcoin accelerated its drop. At one point, a key buyer zone at $116,200–$115,000 (volume anomalies) was tested. Then, between 21:30 and 22:00 (GMT+3), a report from the White House on digital assets was released, shifting focus toward a more positive regulatory outlook. Bitcoin bounced from the mentioned zone and has since fully recovered the drop. Currently, there are no immediate resistance levels, so in the near term, we’re likely to see a test of the ~$120,000 level. There, it's important to watch for any signs of selling pressure. Buy Zones: • $116,200–$115,000 (volume anomalies) • $110,000–$107,000 (accumulated volume) This publication does not constitute financial advice.
Long
by Crypto_robotics
NFP Miss Implications: Recession Signal or Rate Cut CatalystCME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! Happy Friday, folks! Today is the first Friday of August, and that means the highly anticipated Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) numbers came in at 7.30 am CT. US Non-Farm Payrolls (Jul) 73.0k vs. Exp. 110.0k (Prev. 147.0k, Rev. 14k); two-month net revisions: -258k (prev. +16k). Other key labor market indicators were as follows: • US Unemployment Rate (Jul) 4.2% vs. Exp. 4.2% (Prev. 4.1%) • US Average Earnings MM (Jul) 0.3% vs. Exp. 0.3% (Prev. 0.2%) • US Average Earnings YY (Jul) 3.9% vs. Exp. 3.8% (Prev. 3.7%, Rev. 3.8%) • US Labor Force Particle (Jul) 62.2% (Prev. 62.3%) Data and Key Events Recap: What a year this week has been! It's been packed with high-impact economic data and pivotal central bank decisions, especially from the Federal Reserve. On top of that, trade and tariff announcements have dominated the headline. U.S. economic data this week was broadly strong. Second-quarter GDP came in at 3.0%, beating expectations and signaling solid growth. The ADP employment report also surprised to the upside, printing 104K vs. the 77K forecast. Consumer confidence showed resilience as well, with the Conference Board’s reading rising to 97.2. Inflation data was mixed but mostly in line. Core PCE for June rose 0.3% MoM, while the YoY reading ticked up to 2.8%, slightly above the expected 2.7%. The broader PCE Price Index also came in at 0.3% MoM, with a YoY print of 2.6%, slightly higher than forecast. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted to keep the federal funds rate target range unchanged at 4.25% – 4.50%. Notably, Governors Waller and Bowman dissented, favoring a 25-basis-point rate cut as expected, however, marking the first dual dissent by governors since 1993. Changes to the FOMC Statement included a downgraded assessment of economic growth, reflecting slower real consumer spending. The Committee reiterated that uncertainty around the economic outlook remains elevated. It maintained its view of the labor market as "solid" and inflation as "somewhat elevated." Forward guidance remained unchanged, emphasizing the Fed’s readiness to adjust policy as necessary while continuing to monitor risks to both sides of its dual mandate. Here’s a summary of key points from the FOMC press conference: • On current policy stance: “We decided to leave our policy rate where it’s been, which I would characterize as modestly restrictive. Inflation is running a bit above 2%... even excluding tariff effects. The labor market is solid, financial conditions are accommodative, and the economy is not performing as if restrictive policy is holding it back.” Chair Powell commented on the need to see more data to help inform Fed’s assessment of the balance of risks and appropriate Fed Funds rate. • On labor market risks: “By many statistics, the labor market is still in balance... You do see a slowing in job creation, but also a slowing in the supply of workers. That’s why the unemployment rate has remained roughly stable.” • On inflation and tariffs: “It’s possible that tariff-related inflationary effects could be short-lived, but they may also prove persistent. We’re seeing substantial tariff revenue—around $30 billion a month—starting to show up in consumer prices. Companies intend to pass it on to consumers, but many may not be able to. We’ll need to watch and learn how this unfolds over time.” Trade Headlines: US President Trump announced tariffs on countries ranging from 10%-41%. Average US tariff rate now at 15.2% (prev. 13.3%; 2.3% pre-Trump), according to Bloomberg. US officials said that if the US has a surplus with a country, the tariff rate is 10% and small deficit nations have a 15% tariff, US officials said they are still working out technicalities of rules of origin terms for transshipment and will implement rules of origin details in the coming weeks. No details on Russian oil import penalty. Sectoral Tariffs White House said new reciprocal tariff rates take effect on Friday. Although Canada’s tariffs were increased to 35%, excluding USMCA goods, the effective rate is only 5%. The economic data is showing strength, on the contrary, tariffs announcements for most countries have now been announced. Investors need to consider that tariffs are not just a tool to reduce trade deficit, it is also a geopolitical tool presently being used to shape alliances. The US wants to soften BRICS, China and Russian influence on the world stage. Key to note is that these tariffs are substantially lower than what was announced on April 2nd, 2025. The key question now remains, do participants buy the dip or ‘sell the fact’ is the current playbook? Market Implications Given the prior revisions in NFP data of -258K, July’s payroll came in at 73K, missing forecasts of 110K. What does this mean for markets? Markets are now pricing in 75% chance of a September rate cut. Prior revisions along with the current job market slowing down imply that risks to the downside are substantially increasing. Fed’s current policy is not just moderately restrictive but rather it may likely tip the US into a recession if Fed Funds rates remain elevated. The Chair asked to see more data, and here it is but I do wonder why they did not take this data into account for the July meeting. Surely, it would have been available to them. Another question to ask would be, is it due to defiance of rate cut calls by the US administration? Is the Fed already behind the curve? Fed’s dual mandate targets inflation and maximum employment. While inflation is sticky, the Fed may need to abandon their 2% mandate in favor of average inflation of 2.5% to 3%. A less restrictive policy will provide needed stimulus along with the fiscal stimulus provided via the BBB bill. This drastically changes, in our analysis, how investors position themselves heading into the remainder of the year. Markets (equities) may retrace slightly but the dip in our opinion will still be the play given weaker labor market data and increased rate cut bets. The bad news here means that the Fed has the data it wants to see to start cutting. Market pricing in 2 cuts seems to be the way forward for now.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by EdgeClear
CHFJPY On The Rise! BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for CHFJPY is below: The market is trading on 183.63 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 184.54 Recommended Stop Loss - 183.16 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1