EURGBP: A Bullish Weekly OutlookEURGBP: A Bullish Weekly Outlook
This is an analysis I shared last months from a weekly perspective. The chart shows that the price increased by approximately 500 pips.
EURGBP tested an old weekly support zone that has consistently proven strong over time. Once again, the price reacted well, though it remains hesitant to extend its rise. However, bullish pressure is evident each time the price dips into the blue zone.
In May, this area was tested again, and EURGBP responded clearly, reinforcing the significance of this support. Historically, EURGBP has tested this zone in 2016, 2017, 2020, and 2022, each time showing notable reactions.
Following the start of an uptrend, EURGBP has previously gained between 400 to 900 pips, highlighting the potential strength of future movements.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Previous analysis:
Chart Patterns
EURJPY Just Broke Out – Is This the Start of a Summer Rally?📊 1. COT Report – Euro & Yen
EUR (Euro FX – CME):
Non-Commercials:
Long: +5,968 | Short: -4,293 → Net Long increasing
Commercials:
Long: +11,480 | Short: +24,451 → Net Short
→ Speculators are clearly bullish on the euro.
JPY (Japanese Yen – CME):
Non-Commercials:
Long: -5,319 | Short: +1,235 → Net Long decreasing
Commercials:
Long: +31,893 | Short: +25,462 → Hedging, but still net short
→ The yen continues to be sold, especially by institutional players.
📌 EUR/JPY COT Summary:
Speculators are buying EUR and selling JPY → strong bullish bias on EUR/JPY.
🧠 2. Retail Sentiment
80% of retail traders are short EUR/JPY, with an average entry at 161.50
Current price is around 167.20 → retail is heavily underwater
✅ Strong contrarian bullish signal
📉 3. Technical Analysis
Price broke out of a long-term range, printing new yearly highs
RSI is overbought but with no active bearish divergence
Price sits inside a major supply zone between 166.50 and 168.00, where previous rejections occurred
A potential pullback to the 164.60–164.15 area aligns with ascending trendline support
🟡 Likely Scenario:
A healthy technical pullback to 164.50–165.00 to cool off RSI,
followed by a continuation higher if supported by momentum and COT positioning
📅 4. Seasonality
June is historically a bullish month for EUR/JPY:
5-year avg: +1.167%
2-year avg: +2.41%
→ Seasonality supports more upside into early July
🌍 5. Macro Context
BoJ remains dovish, no sign of imminent tightening
ECB is steady but relatively less dovish → rate differential still favors the euro
No signs yet of verbal intervention from Japan.
Bitcoin Or Gold? Real Safe Haven In Middle East tension When the world shakes, where does money go— Bitcoin or gold ?
You may think crypto is the ultimate safe haven… but data tells a different story.
This breakdown compares digital dreams vs. physical trust —with charts, tools, and the psychology behind every move.
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin:
Contrary to common expectations, Bitcoin has shown relative resilience amid recent geopolitical tensions, refraining from a sharp sell-off.
This price behavior signals a potential shift in market psychology—something I’ll explore further in an upcoming educational post.
Based on my previous analyses, I continue to anticipate an upward breakout above the $110K resistance zone in the current structure.
Now , let's dive into the educational section,
📌 Gold: The Legacy of Trust
For thousands of years, gold has been the go-to safe asset. In wars, inflation, sanctions, and crashes—it remains the mental anchor of value. Tangible, historic, and out of government control.
🪙 Bitcoin: Revolutionary but Unstable
Bitcoin promises freedom, decentralization, and anti-inflation. But during actual crises, trust wavers. High volatility, regulatory risk, and lack of a long history make investors hesitate when fear hits hard.
🛠️ TradingView Tools That Reveal Where Smart Money Flows
One reason TradingView stands out is its wide set of tools that help you track market psychology—not just price action. When it comes to analyzing the Bitcoin-vs-Gold battle during global crises (like the Iran-Israel war), these tools are essential:
Correlation Coefficient: This shows how closely BTC and gold move together. In panic moments, it helps reveal where the real trust is flowing.
On-Balance Volume (OBV): Key for spotting where big money is headed. If OBV on gold rises while BTC’s falls, smart money isn’t betting on crypto just yet.
Fear & Greed Index Logic (DIY): While not a native TradingView tool, you can mimic it by combining volatility and volume indicators to reflect market emotion.
Overlay XAUUSD and BTCUSD: Place both on a single chart with “percentage scale” enabled. You’ll see exactly which one holds up better during chaos.
Marking Geo-Political Events: Tag key events (like missile strikes or sanctions) on your charts. Track how Bitcoin and gold react immediately after.
📊 How Investors React in Crisis
During events like an Iran-Israel war, data shows money often flows into gold—not BTC. When panic peaks, people run toward the “known,” not the “new.”
🧠 The Illusion of Crypto as Safe Haven
We want to believe BTC is the new gold. But the human mind—under threat—defaults to ancient instincts. Fear doesn’t innovate. It runs to what it knows: shiny, physical, historical gold.
💡 When Will Bitcoin Truly Compete?
When the next generation fully embraces digital assets. When institutions store BTC alongside gold. When BTC no longer crashes on scary headlines—that’s when the shift becomes real.
⚠️ Lessons from War
Wars reveal that markets don’t behave rationally in fear. Even if Bitcoin makes sense on paper, emotion drives flows. Right now, that flow still favors gold.
🔍 What to Watch Next
If, during a future conflict, Bitcoin drops less—or even rises while gold does—you may be witnessing a turning point. Until then, keep tracking both with your TradingView setups.
🧭 Final Takeaway
Gold still owns the trust game in a crisis. Bitcoin is on its way but hasn’t crossed that psychological line. If you’re a smart trader, know how to read both—and move before the herd does.
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EURO - Pirce can make movement up and then drop to $1.1420Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
After entering the wedge, Euro began to slow down, creating a tightening structure between support and resistance.
Price corrected toward the support line of the wedge, where it briefly paused and bounced with weak momentum.
The bounce triggered a breakout above local resistance, but buyers failed to hold the price at higher levels.
Soon after, the market reversed from the wedge’s upper boundary and began forming a bearish rejection pattern.
Now price trades just below the recent highs, showing fading demand and early signs of short-term reversal.
I expect Euro to move lower and reach the $1.1420 support level — my current target in this scenario.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
US500.4h chart pattern.US500 (S&P 500), here's a breakdown of the potential bearish targets you're pointing to:
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📉 Market Overview:
Price has broken below the trendline and is currently hovering near the Ichimoku cloud support.
The bearish path is outlined on the chart with multiple target zones indicated by horizontal lines and a large blue arrow.
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🎯 Bearish Targets (as shown on your chart):
1. First Target Zone: Around 5,920 – 5,930
Minor support area just below current range.
2. Second Target Zone: Around 5,860 – 5,870
A more solid prior demand zone.
3. Final Target Zone: Around 5,780 – 5,790
Major support zone, aligns with previous consolidation area.
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🧭 Strategy Notes:
If price closes below 5,950 on the 4H or daily candle, it may confirm a stronger bearish continuation.
Keep an eye on volume and price reaction near 5,920, as this is likely the first bounce zone.
Would you like a marked-up version of this chart with exact price levels and arrows for clarity?
USDCAD may hit bottom amid DXY declineThe dollar is weakening. Against this background, the Canadian dollar is strengthening, which puts pressure on the price of the currency pair.
The key support is 1.3566. Breakdown of the level will strengthen the sell-off
The price is descending by “steps”. Consolidation - distribution, consolidation - distribution.
From the current range of 1.365 - 1.3566 I expect the same thing: downward momentum.
Scenario: consolidation and price sticking to 1.3566, decrease in volatility and squeeze to the urvon may lead to a breakdown and a fall.
BITCOIN Is exactly where it should be this time on every Cycle!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has made a new All Time High (ATH) last month, following the April 2025 rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). No matter how odd this price action may look to some, BTC is simply replicating the pattern it has during every past Cycle around this time of its final year.
As you can see, besides April 2025, it made 1W MA50 pull-backs and rebounds on June 2021, July 2017 and July 2013. The consistency is remarkable and since we are already now half-way through June, historically Bitcoin only went upwards!
In fact, those pull-backs have been the strongest the market saw before the Cycles peaked on each and every occasion. Two Cycles peaked just above the 2.0 Fibonacci extension while in 2017 it peaked a little below the 5. Fib ext. This indicates that the minimum Cycle Top we can be expecting towards the end of the year is $160000 (marginally below the 2.0 Fib ext).
Many studies point towards the same Target. Do you think it's inevitable? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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XRP up we go!XRP is ready for next leg up but main question now is....where does it go? Looking at chart we see same setup as we had in 2017 with completed Adam and Eve pattern, breakout of the pattern and test of breakout (we are currently in same phase). From breakout we got in 2017 1:1 measured move, consolidation and blowoff top. Same move today would mean that we get strong push to 30$ range, correction to 10$ and then blowoff top to triple digit range. On the other side looking at RSI pattern price behaviour since December 2024 looks more like consolidation we had in May-Jul 2017 (see yellow boxes). That consolidation resulted in blowoff top run toward local fibb 2.618 level, same move today would mean one last push toward 12-15$ range.
So how to play those 2 scenarios? Reasnoble approach would be securing profits at local fibb 2.618 range (12-15$) where I expect correction and if we bounce strongly from local fibb 1.618 level (5.65$) we get signal that we have one more push higher - toward 35$ range and then correction from there to at least 12$ level....
NXPCUSDT → The coin is being killed. Searching for a new bottomNXPCUSDT is testing the bottom at 1.1675 while Bitcoin and the top 10 cryptocurrencies are in a global/local bullish trend...
NXPCUSDT is showing its weakness in the cryptocurrency market. There is no potential or driver for the coin, and it continues to be killed... Against the backdrop of a growing market and Bitcoin forming a bullish trend, the NXPC coin is testing the bottom...
After a strong and long-term decline, the NXPC coin is forming a flat (consolidation) in the range of 1.5637 - 1.1675. A pre-breakdown base is forming relative to support, which could lead to the price breaking out of consolidation downwards...
Resistance levels: 1.2532
Support levels: 1.1675
Focus on support for the range and bottom in the current coin at 1.1675. This is a risk zone and a panic zone. If the price breaks out of this consolidation, there are no obstacles below and the fall could be aggressive. A breakout of the consolidation support could trigger a continuation of the rally or a decline with the aim of forming a new bottom...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Bitcoin - We have to see new highs now!Bitcoin - CRYPTO:BTCUSD - is now at the previous highs:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It could really not be more exciting on Bitcoin at the moment. With the current "all or nothing" potential breakout or double top creation, we will either see a bullrun or a bear market. So far, bulls are still strong, so the chances of a breakout luckily remain higher.
Levels to watch: $100.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
GOLD (XAUUSD): Your Trading Plan Explained⚠️GOLD is currently at a crucial daily horizontal support level.
It is consolidating within a horizontal range on the 4-hour chart, showing a positive bullish reaction and testing the range's resistance.
A breakout above this resistance with a 4-hour candle close would signal strong bullish momentum, potentially leading to further gains, with the next target at 3437.
Conversely, a bearish breakout below the support could initiate a downward movement.
BTC/USDI've been calling for a crash for a while.
The closer to the top you are, the more hatred that you'll get for calling one.
It's a difficult position being contrary to the crowd. I think that's why Peter denied Jesus.
In any case, positive sentiment must end and as overdue as it is, I'm expecting a bang, after a final wave of FOMO.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-16 : Up-Down-Up PatternToday's Up-Down-Up Pattern suggests the markets will transition into a moderate upward trending price bar - which is quite interesting in the world we have today.
War and a big weekend of events, protests and other new items could drive market trends over the next few days.
Still, the SPY Cycle Pattern for today is an Up-Down-Up - which suggests last Thursday was an Up bar, last Friday was a Down bar, and today should be an Up bar.
The Gold/Silver pattern is a POP pattern in Counter-trend.
I believe the US markets are benefiting as a safe-haven for capital as the global turmoil drives global investors to seek safety and security for their capital.
That means as long as the world continues to spin out of control, the US markets and the US-Dollar will act as a moderate safe-haven for capital.
Gold and Silver should also benefit from this global chaos.
Bitcoin is benefiting from the strength of the US markets (and the technology sector) as well.
Let's see how this week start to play out. I'm waiting for some more news.
Could be very interesting this week.
Get some.
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BTC/USD.4H CHART PATTERN.> Buy at 106,800
Resistance at 105,700
But resistance should be above the current price, not below. If 105,700 is below 106,800, it would typically be support, not resistance.
Corrected Interpretation:
Here's how your setup likely looks:
Buy Entry: 106,800
Support (not resistance): 105,700
Target 1: 110,000
Target 2: 112,000
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Strategy Summary:
Level Type
105,700 Support (Stop-loss zone)
106,800 Entry
110,000 Target 1
112,000 Target 2
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Trade Notes:
If BTC holds above 105,700, your long position is technically supported.
A break below 105,700 might invalidate the bullish setup — consider a stop-loss below that.
Momentum toward 110K–112K is possible if the market breaks out of short-term consolidation or reacts positively to macro news.
Would you like a chart or confirmation based on technical indicators (RSI, trendlines, volume, etc.)?
Ethereum: Is a Major Bullish Wave Coming?Ethereum: Is a Major Bullish Wave Coming?
Following our previous analysis, ETH dropped from $2,770 to $2,440, aligning with one of the anticipated price scenarios.
The support zone near $2,440 once again demonstrated its strength, pushing the price back up to $2,660. Given the strong accumulation pattern, the likelihood of a larger bullish wave is increasing.
A quick target for the current move stands near $2,800, and a breakout above the pattern could signal the start of the expected bullish trend, with the following key targets:
🎯 $3,300 🎯 $3,800 🎯 $4,500
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
NZDJPY TECHNICALS AND FUNDAMENTALS DETAILED ANALYSISNZDJPY is currently trading around the 87.00 handle and has just bounced strongly from a well-respected support zone. The pair is now showing clear signs of recovery after a brief corrective dip, and price action on the 8H chart confirms a bullish reversal structure. The support held firmly, and we’ve already seen a solid rejection wick forming the foundation of this new impulsive leg up. With this momentum in play, I’m targeting the 90.00 zone in the coming sessions.
On the macro front, the New Zealand dollar is benefiting from a relatively hawkish RBNZ stance. Inflation pressures remain sticky in New Zealand, and the central bank has reiterated its cautious approach toward rate cuts. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen remains under persistent selling pressure due to the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose policy and intervention uncertainty. These diverging central bank outlooks are fueling continued upside in NZDJPY as carry trade flows remain in favor of the kiwi.
From a technical perspective, the market structure remains bullish. After retesting a previous higher low, price is climbing within a clean channel and has broken minor resistance levels convincingly. This aligns well with a swing continuation pattern toward the 90.00 mark. Momentum is supported by increasing bullish volume, and as long as we remain above 86.00, the bulls are firmly in control.
In my analysis, this is a textbook setup. We’re seeing higher lows, strong trend continuation, and a macro-backed directional bias. I’m long from 87.00 with a bullish outlook into 90.00. I’ll reassess price action as we approach major resistance levels, but until then, I remain confidently positioned with a clear technical and fundamental confluence.
VaderAI by Virtuals Explodes, 1,379% Profits Since Its 7-AprilBoom! Crazy growth it seems is not only ultra bullish but truly bullish confirmed. VADERUSDT already grew an astonishing 1,379% in a little over two months and the chart shows potential for additional growth.
This is what I am talking about but of course this pair exceeded all expectations, this is only the start, many altcoins will be doing the same in the coming months. This type of growth will be normal mark my words.
Some pairs always move ahead. On the left side of the chart we have the bear market. March marks the end of the bearish trend. April marks the start of the bullish phase.
The bullish phase will continue and can go for many months. There is no limit to how far up prices can go. Truly, there is no limit. Once the market enters the price discovery phase, the only choice we will have is to watch and be amazed. Many lives can change forever with what we are about to experience. Position yourself in the best possible way you can.
This is truly the opportunity of a decade, maybe a lifetime. Yes, there will be many bull markets in the future but the cryptocurrency market will be more mature, we don't know exactly how these opportunities will develop but we do know that now, what we are seeing now is the change of an era; money going from tightly controlled, to being free and accessible to all.
Money used to be owned by a few banks. Now money is owned by the people. With people owning the new money supply, the world will enter a period of abundance and growth. While money in the past was being suppressed and inflated on purpose, money will now be shared and made available on purpose.
While the previous system was designed to create scarcity for the majority, power and control for the few; the new system is intended to work for you. Whatever you want you can achieve, you can create your own money now. Nobody can stop you. That's what Cryptocurrency can do.
Bitcoin is the evolution of money.
Crypto is the evolution of finance.
It is already here and it is here to stay.
Trade Crypto, buy Crypto and hold Crypto long-term, you will be happy with the results.
Namaste.
Will gold continue to rise after a pullback?As for gold: the trend of daily, weekly and monthly cycles has remained unchanged, and the bulls remain unchanged; and the weekly line has started to rise continuously, and there is a high probability that it will gradually break upward; the daily line temporarily maintains 3245-3293 as the two low points of support at the bottom, and 3382-3452 as the two top high points of resistance to form an upward channel. The upper track is currently suppressed. Although Iran and Iran are still fighting fiercely over the weekend, the market has digested a lot, because today's Asian and European sessions did not continue the strong attack, but there was a wave of continuous declines; but this does not mean that it will fall back too much, and risk aversion will still be triggered at any time. Besides, leaving aside the news, the technical form is also bullish, and the highs and lows are gradually rising. The secondary high point was also broken, and there is a high probability of testing 3500 this week;
For today, due to the weakness of the European session and the rebound before and after the US session, pay attention to the 618 resistance 3436 and other pressures to go bearish first, and then continue to choose bullish when the two supports of 3404-3390 below are touched and stabilized; if the price cannot give the support position after 22:00 to the early morning, it is not ruled out that it will stabilize in advance;
Specific operation plan: It is recommended to go long and bullish at 3410, add more positions at 3408, target 3430-3440, stop loss 3400; short near 3443 above, add more positions at 3448, target 3430-3420, stop loss 3455.
Bitcoin: Strong Support Holds Amid Market UncertaintyBitcoin: Strong Support Holds Amid Market Uncertainty
Bitcoin recently tested a key support zone near 102,670, bouncing back in alignment with the broader bullish trend.
The ongoing Middle East conflict continues to reinforce BTC’s strength, establishing another solid support level at 102,650, which signals that the price remains well-supported by buyers around this zone.
For Bitcoin to dip below this area, it would likely require significant market manipulation or unexpected developments.
At present, BTC suggests an upward trajectory, potentially reaching 107,850, 109,100, and even a retest of the previous highs near 111,500.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
BITCOIN → Buyback bar. Chance of growth to 108,000BINANCE:BTCUSDT is trading in a fairly wide range of 100,600 - 110,400. The market is stagnating due to fundamental uncertainty, but the risks of a decline are quite high...
After the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East, Bitcoin broke the bullish structure on the market and managed to test the local level of 102500, from where a fairly aggressive phase of buying out the fall began within one trading session. The market is defending the structure quite aggressively. The chart shows a local range forming with strong levels at 102500 and 106200. Accordingly, the price may remain in this range for a long time (in which case an intraday trading strategy can be considered). However, if Bitcoin starts to stick to one of the boundaries, then we can consider the price leaving the range, but based on the structure of the uptrend, correction, and the formation of a buyback bar, it would be logical to see an attempt to break through resistance with the aim of continuing growth.
Resistance levels: 106200, 108200, 110400
Support levels: 102500, 100600
On D1, there are no prerequisites for a strong decline. The market is buying up knives and trying to stay afloat (in consolidation). In the medium term, there may be an attempt to retest 102500 - 100600 due to the liquidity pool. But locally, the market may form an attempt to grow to 108200
Best regards, R. Linda!