GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D17 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D17 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅15' order block
✅Intraday 15' break of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Chart Patterns
DeGRAM | GBPUSD moving in the rising wedge📊 Technical Analysis
● A five-week rectangle at the channel top has broken south after a bearish engulfing, turning 1.3550 into fresh supply; the break also pierces the inner purple resistance line that capped every rally since April.
● Momentum now points to the channel mid-band/May swing low at 1.3516; loss of that neckline activates the measured move toward the lower rail and horizontal support at 1.3415.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Pre-BoE election-period caution and firmer post-FOMC USD yields have widened the short-term gilt–UST spread, draining bid tone from sterling.
✨ Summary
Sell 1.3530-1.3560; break below 1.3516 targets 1.3415. Bear view invalidated on an H4 close above 1.3592.
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GOLD/USD Bearish Rejection at Resistance ZoneGOLD/USD Bearish Rejection at Resistance Zone 📉🟥
📊 Technical Overview:
The chart for GOLD/USD shows a clear price action behavior between a well-defined resistance zone (~3,480–3,510) and a support zone (~3,260–3,280).
🔻 Bearish Signals:
The price has tested the resistance zone multiple times (highlighted with red arrows and orange circles) but failed to break above it, indicating strong selling pressure.
The current price action suggests another lower high formation, which is a bearish signal 📉.
Recent candles are rejecting the upward move, pointing to potential downside movement.
🟩 Support Confirmation:
Previous reactions from the support zone (green arrows) show that buyers have consistently stepped in near the 3,260–3,280 range.
This level remains a key demand zone where a bounce might be expected.
🔁 Outlook:
If the price continues to reject the resistance and follows the pattern, we might see another drop towards the support area.
A break below the support zone would confirm a bearish breakout and could open the door to deeper downside targets.
📌 Conclusion:
GOLD/USD is trading within a range, but the repeated failures at resistance suggest bearish momentum might take control in the short term. A move back toward the support zone is likely unless a breakout above resistance occurs.
📉 Resistance: 3,480–3,510
🟩 Support: 3,260–3,280
🔍 Bias: Short-term Bearish unless resistance breaks
Bitcoin (BTC): Markets are Cooked | Big Volatility IncomingYes, markets are cooked....all those tensions and news that are pressuring markets from every corner might result in a very explosive movement.
Now we've been looking for a new ATH to form near $120K and we still keep that game plan as long as buyers keep the dominance above the 200EMA line.
There is not much we can do now but just speculate. Speculate that when the war between Russia and Ukraine happened, what markets did exactly was they dumped and then shot highly up (talking mainly about Bitcoin).
So we might see similar things in the markets depending on what will happen next in the world, but one thing is sure: some will make a lot of money soon and some will lose a lot. Be sure to have proper risk management, as this is crucial!
Swallow Academy
Oil Rises, Canadian Yields Surge: Can USD/CAD Rebound?USDCAD 17/06 – Oil Rises, Canadian Yields Surge: Can USD/CAD Rebound?
After a significant drop to the 1.355x area, USD/CAD is showing early signs of recovery. However, the pair remains influenced by strong macro headwinds—particularly oil prices and Canadian monetary policy signals.
🌐 Macro & Sentiment Overview
WTI crude oil is rising due to ongoing tensions between Israel and Iran, which increase the risk of global supply disruptions. This supports the Canadian Dollar (CAD) as a commodity-linked currency.
Canada’s 10-year bond yields have reached their highest levels in 5 months (~3.4%), reinforcing expectations that the BoC may remain hawkish in the near term.
USD weakens slightly as traders await more clarity from the Federal Reserve about the next rate cut timeline, potentially in Q3.
📊 Technical Analysis (M30 Chart)
Price is printing higher lows above the key trendline.
EMAs 13–34–89 are tightening → sign of sideways pressure before breakout.
Short-term bullish channel still intact.
Key resistance zones: 1.3581 and 1.3605.
🎯 Trade Setup Scenarios
📈 Long Scenario
Entry: 1.3556 – 1.3560 (trendline bounce)
Stop Loss: 1.3535
Take Profits: 1.3581 → 1.3605
✅ Wait for M30/H1 confirmation like bullish engulfing or price-action breakout.
📉 Short Scenario
Entry: 1.3605 (if price rejects resistance)
Stop Loss: 1.3630
Take Profits: 1.3581 → 1.3556
⚠️ Trigger only on bearish rejection with strong candle and volume at resistance.
📌 Strategic Outlook
USD/CAD is caught in a tug-of-war: stronger Canadian fundamentals (oil + yields) vs. cautious USD movement post-FOMC. If oil prices and Canadian yields continue to climb, CAD may remain in favor. However, short-term technical rebounds toward 1.3600 remain valid if price structure holds.
NAS100 – Major Rejection from Weekly Supply Zone!The NASDAQ 100 is showing clear signs of weakness after tagging the strong supply zone near 21,927, an area previously respected as resistance. The market printed a bearish daily close after failing to break above, forming a potential double top pattern just below key resistance.
🔵 Key Zones to Watch:
🔼 Supply Zone: 21,765 – 21,927 (Strong institutional selling pressure)
🔽 Next Target 1: 19,185 (mid-structure support)
🔽 Next Target 2: 16,948 (high-volume demand zone)
📉 Bearish Scenario: If price continues to reject the supply area, we expect momentum to shift bearish targeting the 19,185 zone and possibly 16,948 if major U.S. economic data disappoints.
⚡ Why This Setup Matters:
Market is overstretched, showing distribution signs
Risk-off sentiment growing ahead of major economic reports
Volume profile confirms resistance overhead
🎯 Trading Plan:
Monitor for confirmation (bearish engulfing, breakdown of recent lows)
Short bias below 21,765
Watch for reaction at 19,185 and strong buy interest at 16,948 zone
📊 Let’s hear your thoughts: Will NAS100 hold or is a deeper correction coming? Comment below! ⬇️
#NASDAQ #US100 #Indices #BearishReversal #SupplyDemand #SmartMoney #PriceAction #TradingSetup #TradingView #LuxAlgo
AUD/USD Bearish Setup – Rejection from Supply ZoneAUD/USD is showing signs of bearish pressure after getting rejected from the key 0.65420 supply zone, marked by strong historical resistance and a high-volume node. Price tested this area multiple times but failed to break above, forming a potential lower high – a classic signal of institutional distribution.
🔵 Key Levels:
Resistance (Supply Zone): 0.65420
Mid-range support: 0.65040
Demand Zone: 0.64649 – 0.64400
🔻 Bearish Outlook: If price holds below 0.65420, we anticipate a drop first toward 0.65040, and potentially down to 0.64649, where a demand zone is likely to react. The previous bounce from demand suggests smart money accumulation below.
📌 Watch for:
Bearish engulfing or rejection wick candles near 0.65400.
Break below 0.65040 to confirm short continuation.
Confluence with macroeconomic events (FOMC, US data on the 17th–18th).
💬 Are you shorting AUD/USD from the supply zone? Drop your thoughts👇
#AUDUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #SupplyDemand #PriceAction #LuxAlgo #ForexTrading #TradingView #MarketStructure
Today's gold price may fall to 3340-3350Today's gold price may fall to 3340-3350
As shown in Figure 4h
The current support level of gold price is 3370-3380. Once it falls below this range, the gold price will fall further to 3350-3340.
At that time, we considered that it was a good choice to buy the bottom of gold price in the 3340-3350 range, and it was also a relatively stable and conservative strategy.
Technical analysis:
As shown in the figure: At present, we believe that the white channel of gold price is the main rising channel.
Gold price fluctuation range: 3350-3450, lower support level: 3400
The performance of gold price is also the same, and there is strong resistance near 3400.
The current fluctuation range of gold price: 3380-3400, lower support level: 3370
Operation strategy:
1: As long as the gold price falls below 3400, it will be mainly short at high prices.
2: Once it falls below 3370, the next target of gold price, 3350, will be a high probability event.
3: The macro trend of gold prices is still bullish. It is recommended to hold long positions and wait for the performance of the 3340-3350 range.
4: Conservatives can wait for the opening of the US market before making a decision
5: Radicals can choose to ambush in advance after judging that the gold price stabilizes in the 3370-3350 range, lightly position, reserve enough bargain-hunting positions, and cover positions at any time.
Gold trend analysis and operation ideasGold, the price has rebounded from the previous high of 3500 to 3120 in this round. After continuous rise, it fell under pressure at 3452 on Monday due to the decline of market risk aversion; the article emphasizes that there is still room for the weekly support MA5-3360 below, and it can be bearish; the actual rebound during the day was 3403 and then fell back to 3373, and now reported 3383, which is in line with expectations;
The short structure of the 2H chart is obvious, the short-term resistance in the evening is 3386-3390, and the strong resistance is 3396; the short-term support is 3373, the strong support is 3360, and the break is expected to fall to 3340;
Strategy 1: Sell near 3386, SL3400, TP3360; Hold after break;
SOLUSDT // 15M // LONGPrice tapped into a previous support zone which is now acting as support & resistance flip, showing early signs of a bullish structure shift.
Just below, a clearly defined Bullish Order Block between ~151.00 and 152.20 is providing institutional demand, which strengthens this zone further.
The current entry sits slightly above this confluence, giving a high-probability long setup.
📈 Expected Price Path: Anticipating a possible liquidity grab, internal pullback inside the grey box, followed by continuation toward target liquidity around 156.00+.
🔹 Entry: 153.23 (Market Execution)
🎯 Take Profit (TP): 156.02
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 152.22
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): ~1:2.53
NADSDAQ BULLISH SETUP FOR THE WEEKTrade Idea: NASDAQ100 Long Bias (Weekly Setup)
Market Narrative:
The NASDAQ remains bullish across the quarterly, monthly, and weekly timeframes, supported by a strong market structure and ongoing macro sentiment. On Monday, we observed significant bullish displacement, confirming institutional interest and directional intent.
Tuesday Outlook:
A retracement is expected on Tuesday, potentially forming the weekly low. Ideal entries will form around liquidity runs on Asia session lows, offering a high-probability long setup if price reacts bullishly from that zone.
Entry Zone:
Optimal Buy Zone: From 21,700 and below, ideally after a liquidity sweep below Asia session lows or into a previous demand block.
Watch for bullish order flow or market structure shift confirmation around this zone before entering.
Stop Loss:
21,525 (below the liquidity run and protected low)
Take Profit:
Open Target: The market is poised to break all-time highs, so targets should trail based on structure. Consider:
TP1: 22,150 (Previous swing high)
TP2: 22,400+ (Discovery zone / ATH breakout)
Use trailing stop or structure-based exits beyond TP1.
Confluences:
Bullish displacement on higher timeframes
Weekly low likely to form Tuesday
Asia session liquidity below current price
Strong institutional flow into tech
Risk Management:
Risk only 1% of account equity per trade
Position sizing based on entry and SL distance
Nasdaq-100 (NDX) daily analysis Distribution & Accumulation Zone🧭 CAPITALCOM:US100
Market Interpretation & Scenarios
🟢 Accumulation Zone (Demand / Buy-Side Liquidity)
21,640–21,720 region
• Strong buying reaction post-CHoCH + bullish BOS.
• Green FVG + “Long” entry = Smart Money likely accumulating.
• Price made a new HH and is now retracing into the gray FVG & BB zone.
• 🔍 If 21,800–21,775 holds, price may push higher and retest or break 21,960.
• 🎯 Upside Targets: 22,000–22,050 (next liquidity grab).
🔴 Distribution Zone (Supply / Sell-Side Liquidity)
21,920–21,960 region
• Premium zone where HH formed, followed by retracement.
• Red FVG + rejection = Smart Money potentially distributing.
• Failure to close above suggests a temporary distribution range.
• ❗️ If gray FVG breaks down, expect a drop toward green FVG (~21,680) or lower.
• A CHoCH near 21,775 would confirm a bearish shift in structure
EURUSD awaits upcoming newsYesterday, EURUSD climbed back above 1,1600, testing the previous high.
Tomorrow, the market is anticipating the FED’s interest rate decision.
For now, the trend remains clear, with expectations of increased volatility.
Keep an eye out for a higher low and a breakout above the previous high.
AMD looking at a uptrend resumption NASDAQ:AMD has broken out of the downtrend line since March 2024 and with the bullish morning star closing above the 9-period conversion and 26-period base line, AMD is on track to the upside. Furthermore, the stock has seen strong confirmation of a v-shaped rebound.
MACD and stochastic have confirmed the mid and long-term momentum returning. IChimoku showing strong three bullish golden cross and volume is strong.
Target is at 158.00 and 215.00 over the longer-term period.