covered call on COINCryptos are pumping.. Trend is bullish. Moving averages, gaps, volume, everything looks like this should eventually resolve higher.
Chart Patterns
Crude oil continues to decline - latest market trend analysisThe international oil market is currently experiencing a classic upward cycle of "geopolitical risk premium". In the short term, oil prices will be highly sensitive to any news regarding the security of the Strait of Hormuz. Crude oil has continued its volatile upward trend in the short term, surging to test the price near $74. The moving average system is bullishly aligned with oil prices, and the objective short-term trend direction remains upward.
In early trading, oil prices hit a new high near $75.30, but then surged and fell, closing with a bearish real body K-line. The short-term momentum still favors the bulls, and it is expected that the intraday trend of crude oil will continue to maintain a high-level volatile upward rhythm.
you are currently struggling with losses，or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results.
Trading Strategy:
buy@68.5.0-69.5
TP:73.0-74.0
Gold trend remains unchanged, adjustment is accumulating
Last Friday, driven by the risk aversion sentiment in the Middle East, gold surged to 3445 in the Asian session and then fell under pressure. It stabilized and fluctuated at 3408 in the European session, and continued to fluctuate after probing 3346 for the second time in the US session. On Monday morning, it opened high and touched 3352 (upper track of the daily channel) and then came under pressure, but it was still mainly low-long under the support of risk aversion sentiment, and we need to be vigilant about the risk of event evolution.
Technical analysis
The weekly MACD high-level golden cross is shrinking, and the dynamic indicator STO is overbought, indicating that the shock is strong.
Key position: pressure: 3470 (parabolic turning point), 3500 (previous high). Support: 3365-3352 (weekly MA5/MA10 and naked K support).
The daily MACD golden cross is large, STO is overbought, and it is strong in the short term.
Key position: pressure: 3403-3398 (previous high conversion position). Support: 3387 (MA5), 3365 (MA10).
4-hour MACD high-level shrinking, STO adhesion, high-level oscillation.
Key position: Support: 3418-19, 3408 (short-term bullish defense line), followed by 3393-3378-3360. Moving average support: 3437 (MA5), 3423 (MA10).
Hourly MACD dead cross shrinking, STO downward, oscillation consolidation. Key support: 3331-3324 (middle track and MA30 overlap).
Trading strategy: Risk aversion is the main focus, but be wary of technical callbacks.
Short order opportunity
3446-48 light position short, stop loss 3453, target 3436-30-25.
3465-70 area short, stop loss 3475, target 3455-3440-3430.
Long order opportunity
3422-24 long, stop loss 3414, target 3432-45-52-65.
3394-96 long (stable), stop loss 3385, target to be determined (hold if it breaks through 3400).
Key observation points
Break above 3470: or test the 3500 mark.
Break below 3360: beware of a deep correction to the 3324-30 area.
Note: If the situation in the Middle East eases, long positions need to be adjusted in time; if it deteriorates suddenly, follow up with safe-haven buying.
US30 Long OpportunityUS30 had a break out to the upside from $42560 and we are not seeing a potentially retracement to the break and retest level where we can expect a further jump to the upside. Seeing bullish structure on the 15 min and higher timeframes with confluence at the breakout.
Price is currently above the 50 SMA on all timeframes above the 15min and momentum is bullish per the RSI trading above the 55 level, adding to the bullish confluence
Looking to the ride the bullish wave from $42560 to $42920 where currently resistance level is sitting
₿itcoin: Continuing B WaveBitcoin has recently reclaimed the key $106,000 level. Under our primary scenario, we anticipate continued increases into the blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891 – where green wave B is expected to conclude. From that corrective peak, we project a significant move lower in wave C, which should ultimately pull prices into the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. This range is expected to mark the completion of orange wave a. We then foresee a brief corrective rally before wave (ii) completes its broader correction with a final sell-off.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
GOLD (XAUUSD) SELL SETUP – Triple Top Rejection Confirmed? Gold is currently testing a strong supply zone near the $3,450 resistance area for the third time. Each test has been followed by sharp rejections, forming a potential triple top pattern, which is a classic bearish reversal signal.
🔵 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $3,450 – Strong supply zone (highlighted blue zone)
Mid Support: $3,032 – Previous structure support & demand
Major Demand: $2,647 – Long-term demand zone (orange)
🔻 Bearish Signals:
Price failed to break above the $3,450 supply zone
Strong bearish wick and rejection candle
Lower highs on RSI/MACD (not shown but worth noting)
📌 Potential Trade Idea:
Entry: Near $3,400–$3,450 zone
Target 1: $3,032 (mid-term support)
Target 2: $2,647 (long-term demand)
SL: Above $3,470 (clear invalidation)
🗓️ As we move toward July, a break below $3,300 could trigger momentum selling down to $3,000 and even $2,647.
💬 What’s your bias on gold this week? Are we heading for a major correction or another bounce?
#Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #TripleTop #BearishSetup #SmartMoney #PriceAction #TradingView #LuxAlgo #SwingTrade #Commodities
SILVER: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 36.344 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.16075 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.15775..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) – BUY IDEA📌 We’re watching a strong bullish structure in XOM. After a sharp open, price retraces to fill the GAP and respects the key Low zone 🟧, signaling institutional interest.
🟢 Entry aligns with downside liquidity sweep followed by bullish momentum. This trade has confluence between previous liquidity, the gap, and a continuation pattern.
🎯 Target: resistance area marked as High around $115+
🛑 Stop loss: placed just below the mitigation zone in case of invalidation.
⏱️ Timeframe: 15 minutes
🔍 Confirmations: institutional impulse + GAP + bullish momentum
💡 Following market strength and institutional logic.
#Trading #ExxonMobil #XOM #Stocks #WallStreet #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #OrderBlock #GapTrading #Momentum #SwingTrade #LiquidityZones #BullishSetup #PriceAction #ChartAnalysis #TradeSetup #Equities #EnergySector #GapFill #InstitutionalTrading
EUR/JPY Short Pair: EUR/JPY
Timeframe: 1H
Entry: Sell only below 166.680
Stop Loss: 167.230
Take Profit Targets: 165.500
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~2.2
This short trade setup on EUR/JPY (1H timeframe) is based on a potential breakdown of the ascending trendline that has been supporting recent bullish momentum. Price action shows signs of exhaustion near the 167.20 resistance area, with bearish divergence on the RSI and weakening MACD momentum. To maintain discipline and avoid premature entries, the trade will only be triggered if a new candle opens below 166.680, confirming a valid break of structure. The position will be protected with a stop loss at 167.230, above the recent high, while the take profit target is set at 165.500, offering a clean move back to previous support levels. This setup maintains a favorable risk/reward ratio of approximately 2.2, making it suitable for short-term swing traders seeking high-probability confirmation-based entries.
GBPCHF SHORTThe price formed a Head and shoulders reversal pattern. If occur clear breakout then i expect it to move lower.
NZDCHFTemporary sells on NZDCHF should follow after price tests the resistance trend line. It seems as though price is rejecting in this area, look for sells towards 0.48888
EUR/USD Forms Inside Day at Key ResistanceWith the greenback under pressure, we take a look at EUR/USD, which has just formed an inside day pattern at key resistance. As both macro headwinds and high-impact data loom, the next breakout or fakeout could set the tone for the week ahead.
Dollar under pressure ahead of high-stakes week
The dollar is reeling after Donald Trump reignited global trade tensions, pushing the currency to its weakest level in three years. His comments about reintroducing reciprocal tariffs within weeks have triggered a sharp decline in the greenback, which fell over 0.8% against a basket of major peers. Alongside this, geopolitical jitters over Iran and reports that the US may reassess its Aukus defence pact have further dampened sentiment, with traders increasingly questioning the strength of America’s international alliances.
The weakening in the dollar has been exacerbated by weaker-than-expected inflation, which has encouraged market participants to bet more heavily on interest rate cuts from the Fed later this year. Futures now price in two quarter-point cuts, undermining the dollar’s yield advantage. Meanwhile, the euro has found support from signs that the ECB may be nearing the end of its cutting cycle, adding relative strength to the single currency. All eyes now turn to Tuesday’s US industrial production figures, followed by EU inflation data and the Fed’s interest rate decision on Wednesday, as traders look for fresh direction.
Compression at resistance: All eyes on Thursday’s range
Last week’s rally saw EUR/USD push into a key level, with price retesting resistance created by the April highs. Although the pair briefly broke through on Thursday with a close above the level, Friday’s session was far more cautious. Price action stayed entirely within Thursday’s range, forming an inside day pattern that now acts as a pressure point for the next directional move.
This setup reflects a temporary standoff between bullish momentum and longer-term resistance. Inside days often precede breakouts, but they can also lure in traders only to reverse violently. The key now lies in how price reacts to the boundaries of Thursday’s range. A close above it, particularly on strong volume, would be a clear signal of continuation and likely invite further buying. A close below it on strong volume would mark a failed breakout and open the door to a short setup.
For those trading this setup, Thursday’s high and low now form essential levels. Not only do they serve as breakout triggers, but they also offer logical zones for stop placement. In short, the market is coiled, the fundamentals are volatile, and price is poised.
EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
EUR/USD Hourly Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 85.24% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
BTC Setup: Watching for a Trap — Bids Below, Flip Above!Scenario 1 (Fakeout & Reversal):
Watch for push to $107,000–$108,000 (potential bull trap)
Close longs on move into resistance zone
Look for reversal signals (SFP, strong rejection) to re-enter lower
Scenario 2 (Sweep and Bounce):
Place bids at/just below $100,272 (1D Support) and within $98,000–$100,000 (FVG)
Target: Move back toward trendline resistance ($107k+)
Stop: Below $97,200
Invalidation:
Structure flips bearish on a clean break/close below $97,200
🔔 Triggers & Confirmations:
Enter longs only on SFP or strong bounce confirmation in FVG zone
Avoid chasing if price is between $102k–$106k (“no-trade chop”)
📝 Order Placement & Management:
🔼 Buy Limits: $100,300 / $99,000 / $98,000 (staggered bids in FVG)
🛡️ Long Stop: $97,200
🎯 Target: $107,000–$109,000 (trendline resistance)
📝 Take profits on spike to $107k+
🚨 Risk Warning:
Friday volatility, news risk
Avoid new longs above $107k — watch for failed breakout/fakeout
Bitcoin Strategic Compression, ETF Inflows and Powell’s Shadow.⊢
⟁ BTC/USD - Binance - (CHART: 12H) - (June 17, 2025).
⟐ Analysis Price: $105,324.51.
⊢
⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (12H):
▦ EMA13 – ($106,094.47):
∴ The arcane speed line was briefly reclaimed but lost again in the latest candle close;
∴ Price has consistently failed to close above EMA13 since June 13th, indicating weakening momentum;
∴ It now acts as primary dynamic resistance in the 12H structure.
✴️ Conclusion: EMA13 has been rejected. Bearish pressure remains in control.
⊢
▦ EMA44 – ($105,907.07):
∴ Price is currently below EMA44, though recent candles show no strong bearish conviction;
∴ This level functions as a neutral battleground - a true trend emerges only with decisive close above or below;
∴ The slope remains positive, preventing immediate breakdown.
✴️ Conclusion: EMA44 is the structural balance line. Below it, weakness persists.
⊢
▦ VWAP (Session) – ($106,117.67):
∴ VWAP sits above current price, reflecting rejection of institutional value;
∴ All recent attempts to reclaim VWAP failed, signaling lack of dominant buy-side volume;
∴ Confluence with EMA13 and Donchian upper band creates a unified technical ceiling.
✴️ Conclusion: Institutional control remains absent. Value zone denied.
⊢
▦ Donchian Channel (20) – ($106,690.95 / $102,854.49):
∴ Bands remain narrow, and price consolidates between mid-channel and the lower range;
∴ Upper band has been precisely respected for multiple sessions;
∴ This signals imminent volatility release from compression.
✴️ Conclusion: Volatility is fully compressed. Expansion is near.
⊢
▦ Volume - (MA20: 154):
∴ Volume remains below the 20-period moving average;
∴ No strong buying or selling pressure confirms indecision;
∴ Market stands in strategic silence.
✴️ Conclusion: Low activity zone. Observation mode prevails.
⊢
▦ Stoch RSI (3,3,14,14) – (21.38 / 27.27):
∴ Oscillator is crossing upward from oversold, but with weak momentum;
∴ Attempt to recover above 40 still incomplete;
∴ Risk of fakeout unless next candle confirms with bullish volume.
✴️ Conclusion: Reversal signal is weak. Watch for trap conditions.
⊢
▦ MFI (14) – (31.86):
∴ Money flow index stays in low liquidity zone - no signs of accumulation from large players;
∴ No clear bullish divergence, yet no panic selloff either;
∴ The flat trajectory since June 10 confirms institutional disengagement.
✴️ Conclusion: Capital remains cautious. No inflow to trigger reversal.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight — Technical Oracle:
∴ Indicators show compression, rejection at $106K and lack of institutional momentum;
∴ Price structure is neutral-bearish with volume confirming indecision;
∴ A breakout would only be valid with strong candle body and +180 BTC/12H volume.
✴️ Conclusion: Tactical patience advised. Await true breakout with confirmation.
⊢
∫ III. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant):
▦ Exchange Inflow Total – (All Exchanges):
∴ Total BTC inflows remain below 10K/day, well beneath panic thresholds;
∴ No spikes above 50K BTC since early April - aligns with neutral market conditions;
∴ This reflects dormant whale behavior and no visible distribution phase.
✴️ Conclusion: The market is in structural silence. No signs of capitulation.
⊢
▦ Exchange Inflow Mean = (MA7) – (All Exchanges):
∴ The 7-day moving average of inflow size dropped to ~0.4 BTC - a historic low;
∴ Indicates retail-dominant transactions, not whales;
∴ Precedents show this pattern often occurs before breakout events.
✴️ Conclusion: Institutional wallets remain inactive. Momentum awaits external ignition.
⊢
▦ Spot Taker CVD - (Cumulative Volume Delta, 90-day):
∴ Buyers still hold slight dominance, but the curve is flattening;
∴ This signals demand exhaustion and growing equilibrium;
∴ Historically precedes redistribution or longer sideways action.
✴️ Conclusion: Spot market is neutralizing. Demand fades. No clear strength.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight - On-Chain Oracle:
∴ All on-chain indicators confirm weak momentum, low inflows, and diminishing spot demand;
∴ There’s no signal of heavy sell pressure - but also no engine for rally;
∴ This is the seal of silence: light flows, thin volume, no imbalance.
✴️ Conclusion: Market waits for external driver. Watch for catalyst.
⊢
⧉ IV. Contextvs Macro–Geopoliticvs – Interflux Economicus:
▦ Middle East Tensions – Israel / Iran:
∴ Dow and S&P futures drop as evacuation alerts from Tehran raise global concern - (InfoMoney);
∴ Crude oil rises up to +2% - markets brace for supply disruption via Hormuz - (CryptoSlate);
∴ Global capital flows to Treasuries and gold, reducing liquidity in risk-on assets like BTC.
✴️ Conclusion: Geopolitical risk increases macro fear. Bitcoin faces risk-off inertia.
⊢
▦ ETF Activity vs Macro Outlook:
∴ Despite $1.7B ETF inflows last week, price failed to hold key resistances - (CryptoSlate);
∴ This divergence reflects growing fear and fragile confidence in crypto exposure amid global tension;
∴ Institutional demand is present, but impact is diluted by macro noise.
✴️ Conclusion: ETF flows bring no clear edge under macro instability.
⊢
▦ Fed Chair Powell (Upcoming):
∴ Jerome Powell will speak on June 19 - expected to comment on rate pause and forward guidance - (Cointelegraph);
∴ Retail data weakens U.S. outlook, but Fed’s stance remains cautious - (FXStreet);
∴ The speech will likely reset volatility across all assets.
✴️ Conclusion: Powell’s message is the next global pivot point. Market waits.
⊢
⚜️ 𝟙⟠ Magister Arcanvm – Vox Primordialis!
⚖️ Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy.
⊢
⊢
⌘ Codicillus Silentii – Strategic Note:
The current bias is neutral with a bearish weight;
No validated entry present at this time;
Volume must confirm any breakout attempt;
The Seal of Silence remains active - we watch, not react.
⊢
$IWM // June 17 2025 // CPI Analysis & Targets for Day TradersAMEX:IWM // June 17 2025 // CPI Analysis & Targets for Day Traders
$QQQ // June 17 2025 // CPI Analysis & Targets for Day TradersNASDAQ:QQQ // June 17 2025 // CPI Analysis & Targets for Day Traders
Nasdaq Leading Equities HigherThe equity markets are seeing higher prices today with the Nasdaq leading the way higher trading up near 2.5% on the day while the S&P and Russell both traded over 1% as well. There was steep selling pressure in equities to end the week last Friday due to additional tensions in the Middle East, and the markets are seeing a strong rebound today, especially on the technology front. While the equities were strong today, Crude Oil had the opposite effect, with a strong push higher on Friday and strong selling pressure on the session today trading down near 2.5%.
Looking ahead for the week, the big ticket item will be the Fed Meeting and interest rate decision on Wednesday the 18th, where the market is pricing in another pause on interest rates. Looking at the CME Fed Watch Tool, it is pricing in the first rate cut of the year to come in September at a 56% probability, which has continued to get pushed back later into the year with all of the uncertainty and volatility in the market. Traders will be more concerned with Fed Chair Powell’s remarks after the decision about the future plans of the Fed for the remainder of the year.
If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/
*CME Group futures are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of loss. Copyright © 2023 CME Group Inc.
**All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
Bitcoin 4-Hour Price AnalysisA 4-hour candlestick chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) showing a recent price of $105,562.92 with a 1.17% drop. The chart includes a potential bullish pattern with resistance at $109,003.20 and support at $103,188.43, marked by technical indicators.
Bitcoin Consolidates Near Highs — Bullish Wedge Signals StrengthHolding Strong Amid Uncertainty:
Despite rising geopolitical tensions, Bitcoin remains resilient, trading near recent highs. This stability reflects strong institutional confidence and sustained accumulation by long-term holders.
Bullish Technical Setup:
The ongoing consolidation between $100,000 and $110,000 is forming a wedge pattern—a classic bullish continuation structure. This suggests the market is coiling for its next major move.
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Resistance: $112,500
Support Zone: Holding above $100,000 keeps the bullish case intact
Measured Move Target: $130,000–$135,000
Outlook:
This tight consolidation signals a healthy pause in a strong uptrend, positioning Bitcoin for a potential breakout and continuation higher. All signs point to the bulls remaining firmly in control.
#Bitcoin #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishWedge #CryptoMarket #InstitutionalBuying #PriceAction #Geopolitics #SupportAndResistance #BullRun
HolderStat┆AVAXUSD held the trend lineBINANCE:AVAXUSDT is rebounding from the 19 support after a falling-wedge break, flipping the pullback into bullish continuation. Holding the trend-line keeps Avalanche pressed north; clearing 22.8 unlocks 25 and fresh-highs narrative 📈
Solana to crash with btc 97k pullback?Solana could have been bottomed, but since btc likely to crash next. Then Solana 130$ is likely next
USDCAD Is Going Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.356.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.360.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
