USDJPY - Medium term prediction - 16/06/25For USD/JPY at 144.11, weighing the daily range (139.58–148.65) and recent price action, I’d estimate roughly:
Slide below 139.58 first ~60%
Rally above 148.65 first ~40%
Reasoning
Range position: We’re in the upper half of a well-defined 139.58–148.65 band—mean regression favors a move back toward the lower boundary.
Failed rallies: Price has tried three times (Feb, Apr, May) to breach 148.65 and faltered, suggesting that resistance remains firm.
Momentum: Recent advances lack conviction—the daily candles are indecisive with wicks on both ends, hinting at exhaustion.
Bearish longer‐term tilt: From last summer’s high (~162), USD/JPY has carved lower highs, putting the overall bias slightly skewed to the downside until a clean break above 148.65.
Chart Patterns
BTCUSD📈 Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Market Update
Current Price: $105,000.00
Outlook: Strongly Bullish
Bitcoin is currently trading at $105,000 and showing continued bullish momentum. Price action indicates strong demand at current levels, with technical structure suggesting potential for an explosive move upward.
Key Insight:
Buy pressure remains dominant, with no immediate signs of reversal. BTC is holding above key support zones and appears poised for a continuation rally.
📊 Trade Idea:
Bias: Long (Buy)
Entry Zone: Market Price (~$105,000)
Short-Term Targets:
🎯 Target 1: $110,000
🎯 Target 2: $120,000
🎯 Target 3: $130,000
Note: Monitor for consolidation above $105,000 as a base for further upside. Risk management remains essential—adjust stop-loss levels as per your strategy.
Middle East Tensions Drive Capital Shift: BTC May Test 100K SupCurrently, we can clearly see that BTC is in a downward trend 🔻. Due to the tense situation in the Middle East 😰, a large amount of capital has flowed into gold and crude oil markets. BTCUSD is likely to continue its downward movement on Monday ⬇️. Let's focus on the support level at 100,000. If it breaks below 100,000, it may continue to decline ⚠️.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ BTCUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@ 106500 - 105500
🚀 TP 102000 - 101000
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Gold (XAUUSD) Weekly Forecast - 16 to 20 June 2025🔥 Gold (XAU/USD) Weekly Outlook | June 16–20, 2025
🧭 Macro & Geopolitical Context
Israel–Iran war (Operation Rising Lion) has escalated: Israeli strikes on Iran’s nuclear and missile infrastructure on June 13, followed by Iranian missile/drone retaliation, have sharply intensified regional conflict .
The safe‑haven bid is in full swing: spot gold surged toward $3,500, breaking $3,400 last week, driven by risk‑off flows and a weaker US dollar .
🧩 Fundamental Catalysts
1. Fed dovish tilt: May CPI/PPI prints came in soft, lifting expectations for rate cuts. No change is expected at the June 18 meeting, but the Fed’s dot‑plot and Powell’s tone offer upside triggers .
2. Technical breakout: Gold has reclaimed key levels—23.6% Fibonacci (~ $3,377) now acts as support, with the next resistance zones at $3,450 → $3,500 .
3. Bank & analyst sentiment: Goldman Sachs sees potential for $3,700 by year-end; Bank of America projects a path toward $4,000/oz .
📊 Technical Setup & Levels
Support: $3,400; next down at $3,377 (23.6% Fibo) and $3,325 (21‑day SMA) .
Resistance: $3,450 → major barrier $3,500 (all‑time high).
Momentum: RSI around 62—leaves room for further upside .
Catalysts to Monitor
June 18 Fed meeting: Dot‑plot, Powell’s press conference.
Any Iran retaliation or widening of the conflict.
Short‑term US data: June CPI, PPI, Retail Sales (especially mid‑week).
USD strength or weakness—dollar reversal could clip gold gains.
Follow for more updates
#XAUUSD #GOLD #Goldanalysis #WeeklyAnalysis #trade
#202524 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Good week for oil bulls but still a lower high below the April high 78.1. Now what? If this buying is the real thing and market is expecting higher prices for longer, the pullback will stay above 70. If bulls do that, we can expect at least a second leg up to retest 75+ or even 80+. We are seeing a full on war between Israel and Iran but you should not trade based on that. There are bulls who bought above 73 on Friday and lost Money so far.
current market cycle: trading range 54 - 78 on the weekly tf. Decent chance we are in a bull trend that could lead to 80/84 or higher.
key levels: 70 - 77
bull case: Bulls have all the arguments on their side. They now need to leave a big open gap to 69.3 and then we can do a measured move up. My lowest target for that is 80. Structure on the 1h chart is a textbook two-legged pullback and above 74.5 it’s a clear buy signal.
Invalidation is below 70.8 but can likely also be 70
bear case: Bears do not have much. They trapped late bulls on Friday and that’s a likely reason we sold off 677 ticks from the high. They need lower lows below 70.8 and close the gap to the Thursday high before the news-bomb hit. For that to happen they have to break 2 bull trend lines. I will not look for shorts on this tbh.
Invalidation is above 74.5
short term: Bullish. Maybe a bit more sideways but I have given two invalidation prices for bulls and couple of targets above. I don’t think looking for shorts makes any sense unless you are really good at scalping.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-06-15: Maybe we have seen the 2-year trading range coming to an end on Friday and we are in a new bull trend that could lead oil to 80 or higher. Right now it’s pure guesswork until we print higher highs above Friday’s 77.62. Oil above 80 is not something we have seen since end of 2023 so expect some ripples.
Review and plan for 16th June 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
EURGBP WEEKLY HTF FORECAST Q2 W25 Y25EURGBP WEEKLY HTF FORECAST Q2 W25 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
AUDUSD Coiling Near Key Resistance, Big Move Ahead?After a long period of sideways chop, AUD/USD is finally showing signs of strength. Price has been pressing against the key resistance zone, and we’re now seeing a tightening wedge breakout structure forming just beneath it.
A key moment on the chart is where sellers got trapped during that sharp downside wick. Since then, price has been recovering in a steady, controlled manner.
Now, with higher lows forming and momentum building near resistance, a parabolic move could be on the horizon if price manages to break out cleanly.
This is a classic setup where patience could pay off, the structure is bullish, and breakout confirmation may unlock strong upside potential.
DYOR, NFA
Silver Breaks Above Resistance and has a $50 Price ObjectiveSilver has been in an up-trend since March 2020. There is also a well defined resistance line since August 2020. Price just broke above this resistance and stayed above for 5 days. The support and resistance lines nearly form an up-sloping channel with a width of $18 to $10 ($14 average). The price objective is now $50 ($36 current + $14). This coincides with the prior high from 2011 which is the next major resistance level (orange flat line). A stop loss can be placed at the recently broken resistance line which is now support.
EURJPY WEEKLY HTF FORECAST Q2 W25 Y25EURJPY WEEKLY HTF FORECAST Q2 W25 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USDT.D Consolidation Near Breakout Zone – Eyes on the Next MoveHello traders, here is the USDT.D update:
The chart is currently hovering near a major resistance zone, one that historically plays a key role in triggering altseason.
After a period of consolidation inside the mid-range S/R zone, price is now testing the downtrend line from above. A clear rejection here could spark renewed confidence in altcoins, giving them space to rally.
On the flip side, a breakout above this level may delay altseason momentum, as capital remains parked in stablecoins.
For now, this zone is the make-or-break area for altcoin sentiment. Keep it on your radar, the next move could set the tone for the coming weeks.
Consumer Services (Hotel & Tourism Sector) : SPCSECSP : CSE Fundamentals
* Q4 2025 results indicate weakening momentum in the sector in respect of topline growth.
* Combined YoY revenue growth for Q4 2025 of four biggest hotel operators listed in CSE AHUN, KHL, PALM & AHPL is just 1%
* Major 5 STAR city hotels (AHPL, TAJ, SERV) combined revenue had recorded a negative growth of more than 5% (dropped by > 5%) during Q4 2025 comparative to previous year
* CBSL data indicates USD Earnings per Arrival had dropped by 3.03% during April 2025 against 2024. This indicates deteriorating quality of arrivals.
* No visible global promotional campaign during last 6-8 months
* Country is entering the tourism off-season
Technical Analysis (Chart Patterns)
* After dropping aggressively (17%) from recent top, SPCSECSP index is consolidating between 484-514 area creating a bear flag formation while CSE is in a bull run.
* If breaks down technical target would be 400-420 level (another 15-17% drop)
* Weekly 20 SMA is curling down
* Levels marked as 1,2,3 are support areas where investors can assess the developments for re-positioning. (levels 2/3 are strong support areas)
Strategy
Staying away from the sector and monitoring the progress/developments might be prudent while allocating capital for sectors with momentum/better growth
* If technical pattern discussed above, breaks down estimated time it will take to reach major support area coincides with the start of next tourism season (Sep/Oct), where investors can assess the situation for re-positioning.
Disclaimer
* NOT financial advice
* Investors should take their investment decisions based their own analysis
This chart is a 15-minute candlestick chart for CFDs on Gold (USSure! Here's another idea for trading this Gold (XAU/USD) chart based on what we see — this time, a bearish scenario that challenges the current bullish setup. This provides a contrarian view or alternative strategy in case the bullish pattern fails.
---
🟥 Alternative Idea: Bearish Rejection from Resistance
🔍 Rationale:
The price is currently testing the previous resistance zone around 3,433–3,435.
The upward movement might be a lower high in a downtrend.
There’s potential for a fakeout or bull trap, especially if volume does not support the breakout.
---
🛠️ Setup: Short Trade
Entry: Around 3,433 – 3,435, if price shows rejection (like a bearish engulfing or pin bar)
Stop Loss: Above recent swing high ~3,445
Take Profit: Near 3,410 – 3,406 (previous demand area)
---
⚖️ Risk-Reward:
Risk: ~10–12 points
Reward: ~25–30 points
✅ RR Ratio: ~2.5 to 1
---
🧠 Confirmation to Look For:
Bearish candlestick reversal patterns (e.g., shooting star, bearish engulfing)
Decreasing volume on the last push up
Divergence on RSI or MACD (if available)
---
📉 Possible Outcome:
If gold fails to break above the current level and falls below 3,420 support, it could lead to a deeper correction — especially if USD strengthens or risk sentiment turns negative.
---
Would you like a visual sketch of this bearish setup on the same chart, or want me to simulate it with indicators like RSI, MACD, or Fibonacci retracement?
XAUUSD: That is the most effective buy entry.Gold is practically neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.335, MACD = 29.660, ADX = 20.560), consolidating above its 4H MA50 since yesterday. The HL on the Channel Up has been priced under the 4H MA50, the latest one just under the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. That is the most efficient level to buy again and target the top of the Channel Up (TP = 3,500) not more than +4.78%, which was the previous bullish wave.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
KAIA PERPETUAL TRADE ,Perfect Short from here $0.17KAIA PERPETUAL TRADE
KAIA SELL SETUP
Currently $0.17
Sold From $0.17
(Trading plan If KAIA go up to $0.18
will add more shorts)
Expecting target $0.14 OR DOWN
Even expecting below $0.13 soon
Final watch area around $0.12
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Its not a Financial advice
Current BTC Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsThe daily candlestick chart of BTC shows a three - day consecutive bearish retracement, having fallen back to the vicinity of the starting point of the previous pinbar rebound and currently remaining in a recent low - level sideways consolidation zone. However, the 4 - hour trend is pressured by the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, staying within a downward channel and forming a rebound - retracement wave pattern.
For short - term strategies, anticipate a further retracement first. Long positions should be initiated only after the support level is confirmed valid. This retracement represents a necessary consolidation phase before the bullish trend continues, and the current adjustment range does not pose a substantial threat of trend reversal to the overall uptrend. With the core upward trend intact and the direction remaining clear, BTC is expected to resume its upward momentum after a brief consolidation. The operational approach remains to go long on retracements.
BTCUSD
buy@103500-104000
tp:105500-106500
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
BTC-----Sell around 105500, target 104000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on June 17:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single positive line with continuous negative lines. The price was consolidating at a high level, but the attached indicator was dead cross, and the closing line yesterday was a long upper lead, and the high point was near the 109,000 area. Why is it difficult to continue the rise? The price did not break the previous high point, the continuity was poor, the technical indicators were not obvious, etc., which are all reference data; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the European session rose yesterday, and the US session continued to break the weekend correction high position. The price fell under pressure, the intraday high was 109,000 area, and the intraday retracement low was 106,000 area. There is no obvious direction at present, so the European and American sessions are the focus, so pay attention to the strength and weakness of the European and American sessions and the breakout situation, and then we will layout according to the real-time trend. The European and American sessions are currently showing a downward trend.
Today's BTC short-term trading contract strategy:
The current price is 105,500 and directly short, stop loss in the 106,000 area; the target is the 104,000 area;