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USDJPY Poised for a BreakoutUSDJPY Poised for a Breakout On the 4-hour chart, USDJPY is not yet taking a clear direction. The price is showing the possibility of both movements. With the current data we can see that USDJPY is forming a triangle pattern and only the breakdown up or down will show the direction of the price. However, I think the chances are higher for the bullish movement considering that the geopolitical tension in the Middle East is also very high and the USD remains one of the strongest currencies. Bullish target: 147.90 Bearish target: 140.90 ⚠️ Note: If the pattern transforms more than this triangle, then we may be in a different situation and everything may be invalid. The analysis may change over time. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
by KlejdiCuni
14
$BTCUSD: Bull or bear?Choose your adventure gents... If price breaks up today, it can ignite a daily timeframe trend signal pointing to a rally towards 114k within a few days. If it breaks down, it will hit 96k within the next two weeks. I've taken steps to reduce risk but I still trade futures actively in crypto pairs. There's good alpha in my long/short trading system and screening criteria, so I am comfortable trading it actively. Current techo/fundamental juncture is risky, the way I see it, so if you haven't, maybe consider taking some profits, getting rid of leverage, trailing stops higher, etc. Definitely not a time to be complacent with record exposure to US stocks from the public and foreigners, Gold hitting levels where it can purchase the same $ in real estate as in previous tops (1980, 2011), and companies buying into crypto to pump their failing business' stocks...to name a few red flags. There's some merit in long term bullish variables, but we might face some technical difficulties before that can materialize, and I rather be prepared by reducing risk in my long term exposure and max drawdown tolerance variables in my positioning and general strategy. Best of luck! Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
by IvanLabrie
3
US30 on Track for 43KHappy Monday, traders. Here’s my latest analysis and trade idea for US30. Since April 6th, US30 has been in a strong bull run, breaking above the descending weekly trend line while continuing to print higher highs and higher lows. Although price action has shown some uncertainty since May 22nd, the bigger picture remains bullish it’s just noise. The trend is intact, and we’re now pushing back above the 50 EMA. Currently, US30 is forming a wedge between two descending trendlines I’ve marked on the chart. I expect some consolidation within this structure, with a potential pullback into my entry zone. From there, I’m anticipating another short-term push higher, with a target in the Golden Zone between 43,100 and 43,400 . My entry range is between 42,179 and 42,481 , with a stop-loss just below the current swing low at 41,980. I expect this move to develop sometime within the next couple weeks. What do you think will it play out? Let me know in the comments. PEPPERSTONE:US30
PEPPERSTONE:US30Long
by GoldenEyeTrading
2
Will gold continue to rise in the new week?Analyzing from the weekly level, the price of gold is supported by the support level of 3258-60. From the mid-line perspective, it is still in the mid-line bull market, and the price will only be under further pressure if it breaks the weekly support. Observing from the daily level, the price broke through the daily resistance again last Wednesday, and continued to soar after the breakthrough. The current price is testing the monthly high, and the subsequent gains and losses of the previous high are the key. At the same time, according to the four-hour level, as time goes by, we need to pay attention to the support of 3413-3407. This position is the key watershed of the short-term trend. At the same time, according to the one-hour level, the price has a short-term downward adjustment, so don't chase more for the time being, and focus on the subsequent retracement to the four-hour support before further rising. Short-term low-to-long thinking, focus on highs after pulling up.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BarnettWolf
2
BITCOIN Cup and Handle making double bounce on the 1D MA50.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to complete a Cup and Handle (C&H) formation, having consolidated for almost a month since the May 22 All Time High (ATH). What makes the bullish potential even stronger is that it is rising after making a Double Bottom on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since October 10 2024. Given that the long-term pattern is a Channel Up and the 1D MA50 is acting as its natural support trend-line, the Cup and Handle can provide a short-term Target on its 2.0 Fibonacci extension at $122000. On the long-term the Channel Up still has the potential to lead it much higher. So do you think that 122k is achievable after this Cup and Handle making double bounce on the 1D MA50? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
5
AUDUSD(20250617)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Revised version of the Republican tax cut bill in the US Senate: It is planned to raise the debt ceiling to 5 trillion, and the overall framework is consistent with the House version. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 0.6512 Support and resistance levels: 0.6597 0.6566 0.6545 0.6480 0.6459 0.6428 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 0.6545, consider buying, and the first target price is 0.6566 If the price breaks through 0.6512, consider selling, and the first target price is 0.6480
Long
by NuggetsWarriors
1
$FET 4Hr Time frame DUMP before PUMP? $1 Recovery!FET/USDT – 4H Time Frame Analysis Pattern Formation: A rounding top is clearly visible, suggesting weakening bullish momentum and potential trend reversal. Trend Structure: Price is forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming a bearish trend. Key Zones: Supply Zone: $0.85 – $0.975 Demand Zone: $0.35 – $0.45 Neckline Support: Price is approaching a critical neckline level. A break below this could trigger strong downside movement. Weekly FVG & Fib Confluence: Below the neckline lies a weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG). The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement aligns with this zone, forming a golden pocket — a key support area. Scenario 1 – Bullish Reversal: If price holds above the golden pocket, a bounce could push it back toward psychological levels (e.g., $0.70 and $0.80) Scenario 2 – Bearish Continuation: If price fails to hold the FVG/GP zone, this invalidates bullish setups. Expect a breakdown targeting the $0.35–$0.45 demand zone.
by King_BennyBag
2
The FATE of XRP will soon be DECIDED🔥 Hello everyone! I haven't reviewed XRP because it's not the best token for trading. It's purely an institutional token. But it's painting a very interesting picture. Let's take a closer look: 📊 XRP is trading in a key area of interest and is therefore currently sandwiched between two powerful levels: support at 2.08 and resistance at 2.31. In addition, the price has just broken out of a downward channel and needs time to consolidate above it. During the last impulse, two gaps formed below: 2.14 - 2.07 and 2.25 - 2.16. And as we know, in 99% of cases, gaps close sooner or later. XRP is now literally at a crossroads and needs a bullish catalyst to move higher. Because it doesn't need a catalyst to move lower. ⚙️ Metrics and indicators: Volume - there is a slight divergence between sales volumes and price. But it is practically flat, which means that seller pressure is still high. Money Flow - in strict harmony with the price. Money leaves during corrections and enters during growth. The asset is completely flat, awaiting news or activity in the market. 📌 Conclusion: XRP currently looks as unattractive as possible for trades, which means it's the best time! The next direction of price movement will soon become clear, and it will be possible to open positions. Personally, I am inclined to believe that in the short term, we will go lower, along with the entire market. We will fill the GAP's lower, we may test $2, and then we will go higher. Also, don't forget that the deadline for XRP ETF applications expires in the summer. And the adoption of the ETF could be just the catalyst we need. And considering that this is an institutional asset: ➡️ as soon as inside information about adoption or non-adoption appears, it will be visible on the chart when all institutional insiders start taking positio ns. ➡️ XRP may see good liquidity inflows right away. No one is holding it as a semi-ETF, as was the case with Ethereum. No one will sell it. So for now, I'm just sitting back and watching what happens. Have a great week, everyone!
by Crypto_Inside_trading
5
GOLD Gold (XAU/USD), DXY (U.S. Dollar Index), 10-Year Bond Yield, and Interest Rate Correlations As of June 2025, the relationships between these assets reflect a mix of traditional dynamics and evolving market forces. Below is a breakdown of their correlations and current data: 1. Gold (XAU/USD) and DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) Traditional Inverse Relationship: Gold is priced in USD, so a stronger dollar (higher DXY) typically makes gold more expensive for foreign buyers, reducing demand and lowering prices. Conversely, a weaker dollar supports gold prices. Recent Anomaly (2023–2025): Geopolitical tensions (e.g., Iran-Israel conflict, U.S.-China trade disputes) and central bank gold purchases (notably by China and Russia) have driven simultaneous strength in gold and the dollar. For example: Gold hit a record high of $3,500/oz in April 2025 despite DXY hovering near 98.43. Central banks bought 1,037 tonnes of gold in 2024, offsetting typical dollar-driven headwinds. The inverse correlation is reasserting as Fed rate-cut expectations grow, but geopolitical risks still support gold. 2. Gold and 10-Year Treasury Yield Inverse Correlation Typically: Higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. Inflation Hedge Exception: When real interest rates (nominal yield - inflation) are negative or low, gold rises despite higher yields. For example: 10-year yield: 4.450% (June 2025) U.S. inflation: 3.1% (May 2025) → real rate ~1.26%, reducing gold’s appeal but not eliminating it. Current Driver: Market focus on Fed policy (potential cuts) and inflation persistence keeps gold supported even with elevated yields. 3. DXY and 10-Year Treasury Yield Positive Correlation: Higher yields attract foreign capital into U.S. bonds, boosting dollar demand (DXY↑). Divergence Risks: Geopolitical tensions can decouple this relationship (e.g., safe-haven dollar demand outweighs yield changes). 4. Interest Rates and Gold Fed Policy Impact: Higher rates strengthen the dollar and dampen gold demand, while rate cuts weaken the dollar and boost gold. 2025 Outlook: Fed funds rate: 4.25–4.50% (held steady in June 2025). Geopolitical Risks: Safe-haven demand for gold and the dollar persists. Real Interest Rates: Gold’s performance hinges on whether real rates stay subdued. Central Bank Demand: Record gold purchases (1,200+ tonnes in 2024) provide structural support. Conclusion While traditional correlations between gold, DXY, and yields persist, structural shifts (central bank buying, geopolitical fragmentation) and evolving Fed policy are redefining these relationships. Gold remains bullish in the medium term. WATCH MY GREEN BAR ZONE FOR BUY.
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
5
General Dynamics Launch Pad Cleared for TakeoffNYSE:GD Multiple Bullish Signals Detected - Geopolitical tensions are causing bullish tailwinds for the defense sector - Tested .5 Fibonacci retracement level 5 times before breakout, now retesting as support - Lined up perfectly with the trendline breakout and retest - And the overnight gap from June 12 to 13 was filled today, ready for a reversal to the upside. - 50MA touching 200ma, a golden cross in the coming days is inevitable - Geopolitical escalation with the golden cross will cause massive inflows (traders & quants) Isn't it obvious? It's in front of your eyes. Don't overthink it. - READ THE CHARTS 6/16/25
NYSE:GDLong
by ReadTheCharts
1
Price has shown reactions here both as support and resistance. Chart Analysis Summary: Timeframe: 1H (1 Hour) Instrument: GBP/JPY (OANDA broker) Analysis Type: Price Action / Supply & Demand Zones 🔍 Key Observations: Supply Zone (Resistance Area): The top green box (around 196.500 - 196.800) represents a supply zone. Price is projected to reach this zone before reversing. This area has historically rejected price, suggesting strong seller presence. Bearish Projection: A bearish arrow shows the expectation that price will reverse from the supply zone. The chartist anticipates a drop after hitting this resistance. Demand Zone (Support Area): The bottom green box (around 194.300 - 194.600) marks a demand zone. It’s the potential target area where price might find support and possibly bounce again. Market Structure: The chart indicates a potential lower high formation after price hits resistance. This structure supports a bearish scenario toward the demand zone. 📉 Trade Idea (Implied): Sell setup near the 196.600 - 196.800 resistance zone. Take profit around the 194.400 demand zone. Risk: Price might break above the supply zone, invalidating the bearish scenario.
by King_Maker_FX
1
Bitcoin Strategic Interval, CME Dislocation and Macro Friction.⊢ 𝟙⟠ - BTC/USDT - Binance - (CHART: 1W) - (June 17, 2025). ⟐ Analysis Price: $106,851.31. ⊢ I. ⨀ Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval - (1W): ▦ EMA21 – ($96,818.00): ∴ The current candle closes +10.3% above the EMA21, maintaining bullish dominance over the mid-term dynamic average; ∴ This is the 17th consecutive weekly candle closing above the EMA21 since its reclaim in February 2025, forming a structurally intact uptrend; ∴ No violation or wick-close below the EMA21 has occurred since April, and the distance from price to EMA21 remains within a standard deviation of mid-trend movement. ✴ Conclusion: The trend is active and preserved. EMA21 acts as dynamic support and bullish pressure zone. A reversion would only be expected if weekly closes return below $98K with volume confirmation. ⊢ ▦ SMA200 – ($48,969.73): ∴ The 200-week simple moving average remains untouched since early 2023, never tested during the current cycle; ∴ The slope of the SMA200 is positive and gradually increasing, indicating a long-term structural trend recovery; ∴ Price stands +118% above the SMA200, a level historically associated with mid-cycle rallies or overheated continuation phases. ✴ Conclusion: The SMA200 confirms long-term bullish structure. Its current distance from price makes it irrelevant for immediate action but critical as the absolute invalidation level of the macro trend. ⊢ ▦ Ichimoku – Kumo | Tenkan | Kijun: ∴ Price is above the Kumo cloud, with Span A ($107,172.16) and Span B ($98,562.38) creating a bullish tunnel of support; ∴ The Kijun-sen rests at $95,903.19, slightly below EMA21, and aligns with the last strong horizontal range; ∴ Chikou Span is free from historical candles, confirming trend continuity under Ichimoku principles. ✴ Conclusion: All Ichimoku components are aligned bullish. Pullbacks to the Kijun around $96K would be healthy within a macro-uptrend, and only sub-cloud closes would question this formation. ⊢ ▦ Fibonacci - (Swing Low $49,000 – High $111,980): ∴ Bitcoin remains between the (0.236 Fibo - $97,116.72) and local top at $111,980, showing respect for fib-based resistance; ∴ The (0.5 Fibo - $80,490.00) has not been retested since March, confirming the range compression toward upper quadrants; ∴ Weekly price is consolidating under fib extension with decreasing body size, suggesting strength with pause. ✴ Conclusion: The Fibonacci structure confirms bullish extension phase. If $97K breaks, retracement to (0.382 Fibo - $87,921.64) is expected. Otherwise, the breakout above $112K enters full projection territory. ⊢ ▦ MACD – (Values: 1,077.98 | 5,963.81 | 4,885.82): ∴ MACD line remains above signal line for the third consecutive week, recovering from a prior bearish cross in April; ∴ The histogram has printed higher bars for four weeks, but the slope of growth is decelerating; ∴ Positive cross occurred just below the zero-line, which often results in delayed reactions or failures unless reinforced by volume. ✴ Conclusion: MACD signals a weak but persistent momentum recovery. Reaffirmation depends on histogram expansion above 1,500+ and signal spread widening. ⊢ ▦ RSI – (Close: 64.37 | MA: 57.56): ∴ The RSI is in the bullish upper quadrant, but without overbought extension, suggesting active buying without euphoria; ∴ The RSI has been above its moving average since mid-May, maintaining a healthy angle; ∴ Momentum is not diverging from price yet, but is approaching the 70 zone, historically a point of hesitation. ✴ Conclusion: RSI confirms controlled strength. Further advance without consolidation may trigger premature profit-taking. Above 70, caution increases without being bearish. ⊢ ▦ Volume - (16.97K BTC): ∴ Weekly volume is slightly above the 20-week average, marking a minor recovery in participation; ∴ There is no volume spike to validate a breakout, which is common in compressive ranges near resistance; ∴ Volume has been declining since mid-May, forming a local divergence with price highs. ✴ Conclusion: Volume profile supports current levels but does not confirm breakout potential. A rejection with strong volume will mark local exhaustion. ⊢ II. ∆ CME Technical Dislocation – BTC1! Futures: ▦ CME GAP – BTC1! – ($107,445.00): ∴ The CME Futures opened this week at $105,060.00 and closed the previous session at $107,445.00; ∴ A clear unfilled gap persists between $105,060.00 and $107,900.00, with price action hovering just above the top edge; ∴ Bitcoin has a consistent historical behavior of returning to close such gaps within a short- to mid-term range. ✴ Conclusion: The unfilled CME gap acts as a gravitational technical force. As long as price remains below $109K without volume expansion, the probability of revisiting the $105K area remains elevated. ⊢ III. ∫ On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant): ▦ Exchange Inflow Total - (All Exchanges): ∴ Current inflow volume remains below the 1,000 Bitcoin daily threshold, indicating no panic selling or institutional exits; ∴ This inflow level corresponds to accumulation or holding phases, rather than distribution; ∴ The pattern matches a neutral-to-positive mid-cycle environment. ✴ Conclusion: There is no structural on-chain pressure. As long as inflows remain low, risk of capitulation or distribution is minimal. ⊢ ▦ Spot Taker CVD - (Cumulative Volume Delta, 90-day) – (All Exchanges): ∴ The 90-day CVD shows continued dominance of taker buys over sells, reflecting ongoing demand strength in spot markets; ∴ However, the curve is flattening, suggesting buyers are meeting resistance or fading interest; ∴ No sharp reversal in the CVD curve is detected — only saturation. ✴ Conclusion: Demand remains dominant, but the pace is decelerating. Without renewed volume, this curve may revert or plateau. ⊢ ▦ Exchange Inflow Mean - (MA7) – (All Exchanges): ∴ The 7-day moving average of exchange inflow continues to decline steadily; ∴ This metric often precedes calm phases or pre-breakout plateaus; ∴ Historical patterns show similar inflow behavior before prior volatility expansions. ✴ Conclusion: A period of silence is unfolding. Reduced mean inflow suggests price is awaiting external catalysts for movement. ⊢ ▦ Funding Rates – (Binance): ∴ Current funding rates are neutral, with slight positive bias, suggesting balanced long-short sentiment; ∴ No extreme spikes indicate absence of excessive leverage; ∴ This equilibrium typically precedes significant directional moves. ✴ Conclusion: Market is leveled. Funding neutrality reflects hesitation and prepares ground for upcoming directional choice. ⊢ IV. ⚖️ Macro–Geopolitical Axis – (Powell, Middle East & BTC/XAU): ▦ MACRO CONTEXT: ∴ Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak on Wednesday (June 19), with markets anticipating remarks on rate stability or future hikes; ∴ Ongoing tensions in the Middle East (Israel–Iran) elevate risk-off behavior in traditional markets; ∴ Bitcoin has triggered a rare Golden Cross vs. Gold, as noted by U.Today, signaling digital strength over legacy value. ✴ Conclusion: Macro remains the primary external catalyst. Powell’s statement will determine short-term volatility. Until then, Bitcoin floats between its technical support and CME magnetism, with gold dynamics providing long-term bullish backdrop. ⊢ ⚜️ 𝟙⟠ Magister Arcanvm – Vox Primordialis! ⚖️ Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy. ⊢
by Magister_Arcanvm
2
EURAUD Breakout ConfirmedEURAUD has clearly broken above the long-standing resistance zone, turned it into support, and successfully retested it—confirming the breakout's validity. The bullish candlestick formation on the 4H timeframe reinforces buyer momentum. The consolidation before the breakout also suggests accumulation, not exhaustion. With this structure shift and bullish confirmation, price is likely to continue its upward leg, aiming for new swing highs as long as the retested support holds. Momentum favors buyers in both structure and sentiment.
by JamesFreedooman
1
EURUSD price Bullish moment The Euro continues to gain strength against the US Dollar within a clearly defined ascending parallel channel. After a period of consolidation between June 6–10, price broke out with strong bullish momentum and is now respecting the channel's structure. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: 🔺 Resistance Zone: 1.16083 – 1.16419 🔺 Upper Target: 1.16832 – 1.17000 🔻 Immediate Support: 1.15256 🔻 Strong Support: 1.14949 📈 Bullish Scenario : If price holds above 1.15256, we may see a move toward 1.16083 and potentially a breakout to test 1.16419 and 1.16832. 📉 Bearish Scenario: A drop below 1.15256 and a break of the ascending trendline may expose 1.14949 as the next key support. 🧠 Market Insight: This setup favors a bullish continuation while within the channel, supported by recent strong upside moves. Traders should look for confirmation around 1.16083 before expecting a breakout. ✅ Plan your entries wisely. Trade what you see, not what you feel.
Long
by Mr_Gold_Trader
2
2025-06-16 - priceactiontds - daily update - dax Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Market is much weaker than sp500 and nq, which is always unusual. We are staying below 23724, which is good for the bears but we are in a weak bull channel and making higher highs and higher lows since the Friday sell spike. Both sides make money and market is currently in balance around 23560ish. Clear invalidation prices for both sides and until then it’s buy low, sell high and scalp. current market cycle: broad bull channel key levels: 23300 - 24000 bull case: Bulls want to accelerate upwards, close the Globex gap to 23800 and retest 24000. End of story. They are currently a bit favored since we are in a bull channel but only slightly. Market has to stay above 23500 if they want to continue higher. If broader bullishness on markets continues, dax won’t stay below 23800 tomorrow. Invalidation is below 23500. bear case: Given that US markets pumped again, dax lags big time. Bears need to keep the gap to 23800 open and print something below 23500 again. If they continue sideways, their chances of another leg down to 23000 become better. My weekly outlook was that we correct sideways for a couple of days before we get another leg down, So far I think this is unfolding. Invalidation is above 23800. short term: Neutral around 23650. Bullish really only above 23800 or closer to 23500. If we stay above 23560 tomorrow, I expect another try at 23700 and above 23742 bears will give up for at least 23800. medium-long term from 2025-06-15: Bull trend has most likely concluded. Long term shorts are fine. Stop has to be at least 24508. I see it 70% or more that we will see 22000 before end of August. trade of the day: Long around 23500 on EU open since Globex breakout from 23400 was bullish enough to expect a second leg up or at least a re-test of the high 23620 which would have been good for 100 points but was actually good for 220 if you held. The short around 23700 was tough. bears should signs of wanting a trading range with the structure after EU open and the sell-off from 23724 was unexpected in it’s strength since US markets pumped that hard.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
2