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GOLD SETUP – BUY THE DIP OR SELL THE LIQUIDITY?Smart Money Playbook with Macroeconomic Context 📅 Date: July 31, 2025 🧠 Analyst: Clinton Scalper 🔍 Technical Breakdown (XAU/USD – H1/H4 Confluence) Price is currently reacting within a key Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone and appears to be setting up a liquidity sweep on both sides before committing to a strong directional move. 🟢 BUY PLAN Entry: 3,284 SL: 3,275 TP Targets: ▫️ TP1: 3,290 ▫️ TP2: 3,300 ▫️ TP3: 3,310 ▫️ TP4: 3,320 ▫️ TP5: 3,330 ▫️ TP6: 3,340 ▫️ TP7: 3,350 Key Support Zone: 3,276–3,284 → Bullish OB + previous demand + potential BOS if price holds 🔴 SELL PLAN Entry: 3,324 SL: 3,334 TP Targets: ▫️ TP1: 3,320 ▫️ TP2: 3,310 ▫️ TP3: 3,305 ▫️ TP4: 3,300 Sell Zone: Inside FVG + liquidity inducement structure → Sell into imbalance after price fakes above recent swing highs 🔎 Smart Money Logic Price is navigating a deep retracement inside a key FVG, targeting both sides of liquidity before trend continuation. The BUY PLAN aligns with a classic "liquidity sweep → OB rejection → internal structure break". The SELL PLAN is a short-term scalping idea inside the FVG liquidity zone, where institutional orders are often triggered before real bullish continuation. 🌍 Macroeconomic Context US GDP data recently came in slightly below forecast → weaker USD outlook. Gold demand remains supported due to: Geopolitical risks (Ukraine, Taiwan tensions) Market uncertainty over next Fed move (dovish bias increasing) Real yields declining → bullish for precious metals However, any hawkish Fed speak or sudden bond yield spikes can trigger intraday sell-offs into OB demand. 🎯 Trading Strategy Outlook Buy if price sweeps below 3,284 and holds the demand zone. Target extended upside as macro supports gold. Sell scalp at 3,324–3,330 zone if price shows rejection in FVG zone, but don’t overstay shorts. ⏳ Patience is key: Let price fill liquidity zones and follow smart money trail. 📌 Summary 🔸 Primary Bias: Bullish (Buy Plan favored due to macro + structure) 🔸 Secondary Bias: Bearish scalps from premium FVG 🔸 Watch for: USD volatility, yields, and institutional reaction in OB/FVG zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SCALPER-Clinton
1
GOLD PLAN – LIQUIDITY HUNT BEFORE THE REAL MOVE? SCALPING PLAN – LIQUIDITY HUNT BEFORE THE REAL MOVE? 🔍 🔹 Timeframe: 30M 🔹 Bias: Intraday Bullish to Bearish Reversal 🔹 Posted by: Clinton Scalper | Smart Money Focus 🔹 Date: July 30, 2025 🔍 MACRO CONTEXT – WHY GOLD REMAINS HIGHLY REACTIVE The macro backdrop continues to favor volatility in gold: 🟢 Dovish Fed tone ahead of FOMC – Fed speakers hint at a pause or rate cut timeline. – Inflation pressures are easing → lowers interest rate expectations. 📉 USD weakening + falling yields – 10Y U.S. bonds retreating → dollar under pressure → gold gains ground. 🌐 Geopolitical risks remain elevated – Tensions from Middle East and global recession risks continue to drive flows into safe-haven assets like gold. 🧭 Conclusion: Short-term upside still viable – but be cautious of liquidity traps and OB rejection. 📈 TECHNICAL + SMC INSIGHTS – THE CHART TELLS THE STORY 🔹 Structure Overview: Market broke out of a descending channel and formed a bullish ascending wedge. However, price is now approaching multiple OB SELL zones, aligning with smart money exhaustion levels. 🔹 Key Zones: 🔺 OB SELL Zones: 3,334 → 3,342 3,354 → 3,369 (Fibonacci 1.618 extension) 🔻 OB BUY Zones: 3,302 → 3,291 (confluence with previous liquidity sweep) 📍 Current Price: 3,330 – approaching first supply zone. 🔹 Smart Money Flow: Liquidity above 3,334 has likely been targeted. If price reaches 3,354–3,369 and shows exhaustion, expect distribution + reversal. Key confirmation will be a break back below the ascending structure with momentum. 🎯 TRADE PLAN – TWO POSSIBLE SCALPING SCENARIOS ✅ SCENARIO 1: SHORT FROM PREMIUM OB SELL ZONE Looking to fade bullish liquidity grab near top of range. Entry: 3,354–3,369 SL: 3,375 TP1: 3,334 TP2: 3,302 TP3: 3,291 Ideal for reversal scalpers catching the distribution move. ✅ SCENARIO 2: LONG FROM DISCOUNT OB BUY ZONE If price rejects OB SELL and dumps into unfilled demand. Entry: 3,291–3,302 SL: 3,275 TP1: 3,322 TP2: 3,343 TP3: 3,354 Smart money often reloads after hunting liquidity beneath discount OBs. ⚠️ EXECUTION REMINDERS ✅ Wait for confirmation candles: engulfing / wick rejection / breaker structure ⛔ No market orders without OB reaction 📊 Risk max 1–1.5% per position 📉 Use volume to confirm absorption / exhaustion in OB zones 📢 FINAL THOUGHT – TRAPS COME FIRST, THEN MOVES Smart Money doesn't chase price — it hunts stops first. We’re watching closely to see if price completes its liquidity sweep at 3,354–3,369 before a potential reversal. Alternatively, we wait for price to return to the OB BUY zone around 3,291 for a high-RR long play. 🔥 If this helped you: 👍 Like this idea 💬 Comment your thoughts below 🔔 Follow Clinton Scalper for weekly institutional-grade setups
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SCALPER-Clinton
4