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End of the Wave-(e) Natural Gas In the previous analysis I said that: Currently, wave-(e) is forming and I do not expect a strong upward movement until August 12-September 12 and this wave can take time until the time range I specified for it. In the picture you can see that the price has started to decline again exactly from where we specified and has fallen by 27% so far. The price is not necessarily going to fall to 2.66 but time must pass and the price must enter the specified time range. Good luck NEoWave Chart
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by NEoWave-Chart
GOLD falls on USD and trade talks, big data weekSpot OANDA:XAUUSD ended its rally this week on Friday (July 25) and closed down nearly 1%, mainly affected by the recovery of the US Dollar TVC:DXY and progress in trade negotiations that weakened safe-haven demand. DXY recovered 0.27% on Friday to close at 97.642, ending a two-week low, making gold less attractive than its direct correlation. Earlier, news of a US-Japan trade deal and a breakthrough in US-EU talks weakened the market's demand for safe-haven assets. For the content of the US-Japan trade deal, readers can review it in the daily publications during the past trading week. Data and Fed Expectations The latest US jobless claims fell to a three-month low, suggesting the job market remains solid. This gives the Federal Reserve reason to maintain interest rates at 4.25%-4.50%, despite President Trump once again pressuring Powell to cut rates. However, in the short term, the fundamental direction of gold may need to wait for the Federal Reserve to announce more policy signals at its meeting next week. Speculative Longs Hit High Near April Peak Data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) showed that as of the week of July 22, the speculative net long position in COMEX gold rose by 27,211 lots to 170,868 lots, the highest level since April. This shows that as gold prices fall again, buyers are still actively deploying, waiting for more guidance from policy and data. Last Week Review and This Week’s Fundamental Outlook Last week, gold prices initially rose and then fell. Due to risk aversion and volatility in the US dollar, gold prices surpassed the $3,400/ounce mark at the start of the week, but as trade optimism increased and profit-taking emerged, gold prices fell back, trying to stay above $3,300/ounce. Investors will face several major events this week: Federal Reserve policy meeting (Wednesday): Markets expect interest rates to remain unchanged, but Powell’s speech could influence market expectations for a rate cut this year. Macro data will be released in batches: including ADP employment data on Wednesday, PCE price index on Thursday and non-farm payrolls report on Friday. These data will determine the next move of gold. Global central bank trends: The Bank of Canada and the Bank of Japan also hold policy meetings next week. Investors will be watching to see if their policy signals cause volatility in the US dollar and gold prices. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold is in a rather important position after 3 consecutive corrective declines. However, the bearish momentum still keeps gold above the base price, which is an important psychological point for the bullish expectation of 3,300 USD. In terms of position and indicators, gold has not completely lost the ability for a bullish outlook. Specifically, gold is still in a short-term rising channel and supported by the EMA21. On the other hand, it is still supported by the horizontal support level of 3,310 USD, followed by the psychological level of 3,300 USD and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement. Gold will only qualify for a bearish cycle if it sells below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, then the target will be around 3,246 USD in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci level. RSI is sloping down, but has not yet crossed the 50 level, and in the current case, the 50 level acts as a momentum support for the RSI. It shows that there is still room for an increase in price, and if RSI sloping up from 50, it will provide a bullish signal with relatively wide room. If gold rises above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level (3,371 USD), it will be eligible for a new bullish cycle with a target of around 3,400 USD in the short term, more than 3,430 – 3,450 USD then the all-time high. In the coming time, in terms of position and indicators, gold still has a technical outlook leaning more towards the upside and the notable points will be listed as follows. Support: 3,310 – 3,300 – 3,292 USD Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,430 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3371 - 3369⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3375 →Take Profit 1 3363 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3357 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3303 - 3305⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3299 →Take Profit 1 3311 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3317
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
5
3300 may fall below, possibly setting a new low#XAUUSD From the daily chart perspective, gold has a tendency to form a converging triangle, and observing the technical indicators of the daily chart, the downward trend may have just begun📉. So, how should we plan for the evening?📊 Now there are certainly many outside buyers who will continue to increase their positions and try to recover their losses💰. So, should we continue to be long?📈 My opinion is to wait and see.👀 If the daily chart does not fall below 3300 points, it will consolidate between 3300 and 3350 points in the future. If it falls below 3300 points, we will next focus on the support level of 3295-3285 points, and then consider whether to go long🤔. If you are more aggressive, you can consider going long near 3305 points and exit after earning $10-20. All opinions have been informed and everyone can choose to adopt them according to their own circumstances.😄
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Halson_Winston
How to plan for the evening, pay attention to the 3300 markAfter the shorts took profits, gold consolidated in the 3310-3300 area. Judging from the daily chart, the decline in gold seems to have just begun, with the middle track of the Bollinger Band at around 3345 and the lower track at 3285. The possibility of falling below the 3300 mark cannot be ruled out in the evening. If gold falls below the 3300 mark, it may first hit 3295. If the decline continues, it may even hit the low of 3285-3275 below. However, if the 3300 mark can be effectively defended, then the possibility of maintaining the consolidation of 3300-3345 in the evening may be maintained. Therefore, it is not recommended to easily participate in transactions at the current position in the evening. It is mainly advisable to wait and see and pay attention to the breakthrough of the 3300 mark. My premium privileges are about to expire, and subsequent trading strategies and analysis will be published in the group.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allenbrowser-3
SI1!: Silver Demand Zone: Possible Bullish ContinuationI am currently observing a potential long-term continuation on SI1! Silver (XAG/USD), as the Commitment of Traders (COT) data indicates an increase in positions from both commercial and non-commercial traders. The price is approaching a demand zone on the daily chart, suggesting a possible bullish move. The recent price action originated from an initial spike in the monthly supply zone, but there’s a possibility that the price could continue to rise further before reaching the next supply zone where a reversal might occur. Given the daily timeframe, I view this setup as suitable for a scalp trade. In my opinion, this presents an opportunity for short-term traders to capitalize on the potential upward movement. ✅ Please share your thoughts about SI1! in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
COMEX:SI1!Long
by FOREXN1
1
Gold at a Crossroads: $100 Drop Ahead or New All-Time High?Gold is now sitting at a critical decision zone near the $3300 level — a key bank-level area. If we see a daily candle close below this level, I anticipate a minimum drop of 1,000 pips, with the first major support around the $3220–$3200 range. The $3200 level is extremely significant, and I’ll discuss its importance more in future updates if necessary. On the flip side, if buyers step in and we get a daily close above $3300, I still believe it’s too early to jump into longs. The selling pressure remains quite obvious, and we’ve already seen multiple failed attempts to push beyond this level toward the $3500 all-time high. That tells me the orders at this level might be exhausted. Personally, I’ll only consider a long position if we get at least a clean 4-hour candle close above $3350. It’s going to be an exciting week ahead with high-impact data releases including ADP, Core PCE, the Federal Funds Rate — and most importantly, Friday’s NFP. 📌 Stay tuned for updates throughout the week! Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just my personal opinion!!!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mehrasfx
2
Monday market forecast and analysis ideas#XAUUSD There will be a lot of data next week, such as the 8.1 tariff deadline that I have repeatedly emphasized, the Federal Reserve decision, NFP data, etc. It can be said that it is relatively difficult to analyze purely from a technical perspective, because there is uncertainty in many data, the data results are often non-linearly correlated with market reactions (good news does not necessarily lead to a rise, and bad news does not necessarily lead to a fall), and large fluctuations can easily form oscillating K-lines with long upper and lower shadows. Therefore, the first arrangement for next week is to participate in trading with a light position and avoid letting emotions control your thinking. The closing price on Friday was near 3337, proving that the short-term judgment on the rebound momentum of gold is correct, so there are two possible situations on Monday. 1. The first thing we need to pay attention to is 3345-3350 to determine whether it constitutes a short-term pressure level. The weekly line closed with a negative cross star. Combined with the monthly line trend, in terms of support, focus on the trend line support near this week's low of 3325. If this position is not broken, the market is expected to usher in a wave of rebound; if it falls below 3325, the bottom may look to 3310 or even 3295 for support. 2. The rebound momentum of Friday continued on Monday, breaking through 3350 first, and then it is possible to reach the previous high resistance area of 3370-3380. If it encounters resistance here, gold will continue to fall and fluctuate, and the target may even be 3310. If the price remains strong and issues such as interest rate cuts and tariffs are imminent, it means that the short-term downward trend has ended and may even set a new high. The above content is only a forecast for Monday’s market. It will be greatly affected by data and news, and may be adjusted in real time next week based on intraday trends. You can refer to this, but remember not to be swayed by emotions. We will participate with a light position, and the specific trading strategy can wait for my trading signal.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Halson_Winston
Gold Recovery Setup = Divergence + Support ClusterGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) fell to the lower line of the ascending channel and the Support zone($3,350-$3,326) , as I expected in my previous idea . Gold is currently near a set of Supports . Supports: Support zone: $3,350-$3,326 Monthly Pivot Point: $3,333 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ): $3,339-$3,329 Lower line of the ascending Channel 50_EMA(Daily) Support lines In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be completing a bearish wave 5 . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys . I expect Gold to rise to at least $3,359 . Second target: $3,367 Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,319 Do you think Gold can break the Support cluster by the end of trading hours? Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
26
Tariffs, Trade Deals, & Central Bank Watch: Key Week in MarketsCME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! COMEX:GC1! CME_MINI:MES1! NYMEX:CL1! This is a significant week in terms of macroeconomic headlines, key data releases, central bank decisions, and major trade policy developments. We get numbers for growth, inflation and decision and insights into monetary policy. Combining this with ongoing trade policy developments, we have a key week which may shape how the rest of the year unfolds. Below is a consolidated summary of the latest trade negotiations, scheduled economic releases, and policy outlooks. US - EU Trade Deal: • US–EU Tariffs: The US will impose a 15% tariff on most EU goods, including cars, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals, but retain a 50% tariff on steel and aluminium with a new quota system. • Exemptions: Zero-for-zero tariffs agreed for agriculture, aircraft parts, and chemicals; aircraft exports are temporarily exempt. • EU Commitments: The EU will invest $600 billion in the US and purchase $750 billion in US energy, mainly LNG. • Agriculture: The EU will lower tariffs on many US agricultural goods, though not comprehensively. • Political Reactions: EU leaders are mixed, Germany and the Netherlands praised the deal, France called it unbalanced, and Hungary viewed it unfavorably. • The deal is not final until it is ratified by all EU national parliaments and the EU Parliament. China Talks: US and China expected to extend their trade truce by 90 days. US-China meeting expected in Stockholm on Monday and Tuesday. Trump to freeze export controls to secure a deal. A group of US executives will visit China for trade discussions, organized by the US-China Business Council. South Korea Trade Talks: Korea proposes a shipbuilding partnership with the US and is preparing a trade package. UK–US Relations: PM Starmer and Trump to meet in Scotland to discuss the UK–US trade deal implementation, Middle East ceasefire, and pressure on Russia. Thus far, the US has announced trade deals with the UK, Vietnam, Philippines, Indonesia, Japan and The EU. Trade delegations are working to finalize deals with China, Mexico, Canada Key Economic Data Releases: Monday: Treasury refunding financing estimates. Supply: 2-Year and 5-Year Note Auction, 3 & 6-Month Bill Auction Tuesday: US Advance Goods Trade Balance, Wholesale Inventories Advance, CB Consumer Confidence, JOLTS Job Opening (Jun), Atlanta Fed GDPNow, Australian CPI Q2 Supply: 7-Year Note Auction Wednesday: German GDP Q2, EUR GDP Q2, US ADP Non-farm Employment, US GDP Q2, Crude Oil Inventories, Chinese Manufacturing PMI Canada: BoC Interest Rate Decision, Rate Statement, Monterey Policy Report, BoC Press Conference US: Fed Interest Rate Decision,FOMC Statement, Fed Press Conference. Japan: BoJ Interest Rate Decision, Monetary Policy Statement Thursday: EU Unemployment (Jun), US PCE & Core PCE Price Index (Jun) Japan: BoJ Press Conference Friday: EU CPI, US NFP, Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings, ISM Manufacturing PMI, Michigan 1-Year & 5-Year Inflation Expectations. It is also a busy earnings week. See here for a complete earnings schedule . Markets are interpreting trade deals as positive news thus far. The dollar is strengthening. As we previously mentioned, we anticipate no rate cuts this year as economic data proves to be resilient and inflation largely under control. WSJ also posted an article stating that most tariffs costs are being absorbed by companies due to weaker pricing power. We previously wrote about this on our blog: “ In our analysis, the inflation impact of tariffs may not show up until Q4 2025 or early 2026, as tariff threats are mostly used as a lever to negotiate deals. While effective tariff rates have increased, as Trump reshapes how tariffs are viewed, cost pass-through to consumers will be limited in Q3 2025, as companies’ front-loaded inventory helps mitigate the risks of increased tariff exposure. So, what we have is an interesting development shaping up where, while inflation may rise and remain sticky, it is yet to be seen whether slowing consumer spending will weaken enough to the point where companies must start offering discounts, which would nullify the tariff risk to the end consumer and result in companies absorbing all tariffs. This scenario will see reduced earnings margins leading into the last quarter and early 2026. However, it will materially reduce risks of higher inflation.” In our view, the US dollar has a higher probability to rally in the short-term i.e., Q3 as markets re-align FX rate differentials. Bond yields stabilize, Equities continue pushing higher, while Gold retraces as previously mentioned. This in our view, is what investors and participants refer to as the Goldilocks scenario. If this plays out as expected we anticipate continued strength with AI, tech, energy and defense sectors outperforming into mid- 2026. Institutional View: Morgan Stanley Morgan Stanley also sees no rate cuts in 2025, despite market pricing for two 25 bps cuts. They forecast more aggressive cuts in 2026 due to: • Tariff-related inflation emerging before labor market deterioration • Slowing US growth, as fiscal support fades • Impact of tighter immigration policy and global trade realignment That said, MS continues to cite longer-term risks to the dollar, including: • Twin deficits (fiscal + current account) • Ongoing debate around USD’s safe haven status • USD hedging activity picking up by international investors • Strained credibility of the Fed due to tension between Fed Chair and the US Administration How Fed policy evolves in Q4 2025 and Q1 2026 will depend heavily on the incoming Fed Chair nominee, who is expected to replace Jerome Powell in May 2026. This nomination could significantly influence future policy direction around growth and inflation targets.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by EdgeClear
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Break Out Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸Bearish From now price - 3306 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Path_Of_Hanzo
8
Pay attention to 3350 gains and lossesGood morning, bros. This morning gold again tested last week's low near 3325. From the chart, gold may continue to rise this week, with tariffs approaching, the Fed's interest rate cut, and NFP data imminent. The current strength and weakness are at 3350-3355. If it can effectively break through and stand above, it is expected to continue to test the previous high point, which is also the long-short dividing point of 3370-3380. From the daily chart, there is not much change in the operational range of gold in the short term, and the change in the 4H chart is more obvious. After the decline in the early trading, it is now rebounding. There is a possibility of closing positive at the low. If it is directly positive on Monday, then it will bottom out directly at the beginning of the week. If it refreshes the low on Monday, the low point of 3285 will be seen below. Therefore, today's market focuses on the continuity of long and short. Of course, according to the current changes, the biggest possibility is to continue to rebound at the low point, pay attention to the support of 3310-3300 below, and pay attention to the gains and losses of the high point of 3355 above.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allenbrowser-3
XAU/USD | Gold Holding Strong – Watching for Next Bullish Move!By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that yesterday, as expected, when the price dropped to around $3357, it faced strong buying pressure and rallied up to $3377. After that, it corrected again, pulling back to $3338 so far, and is currently trading around $3341. If gold manages to hold above $3337, we can expect another bullish move, with potential targets at $3347, $3354, $3364, and $3374. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
38
Gold Price ActionHello Traders, As you can see, I’ve drawn a trendline based on the 4-hour timeframe. I’ve also marked the demand zone, and if you observe closely, the price has already broken past the inducement levels. This indicates a strong buying opportunity, provided proper risk management is in place. You can aim for up to a 1:5 risk-to-reward ratio, but always remember to manage your risk carefully – the market has no mercy for complacency. Wishing you all the best and happy trading. Thank you!
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by SuvashishFx
EUR/USD | Correction Near Key Demand – Watching for Rebound!By analyzing the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after the last analysis, the price started a correction and is currently trading around 1.17150. I expect that once it enters the 1.16780–1.17100 zone, we could see a rebound from this key demand area. If the price holds above this zone, the next bullish targets will be 1.17370 as the first target and 1.17730 as the second. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
3
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for July 28Gold technical analysis: Daily chart resistance level 3375, support 3310 4-hour chart resistance level 3350, support 3320 1-hour chart resistance level 3345, support 3325. Gold, after hitting the 3438 area last week, saw a sharp adjustment, falling to around 3323, a drop of about $120, and there is no sign of stopping the decline in the short term. The next step may be to test the previous starting point of 3310. If it holds here, it is expected to bottom out and rise. If it falls below this position, the market will increase its selling behavior, and the short-selling target will be near the daily Bollinger lower rail 3285. For the intraday market, the important position below is around 3310. Today's Asian market opened at around 3323, and then quickly rose. As of now, the highest reached 3345, and it still did not break through the high point of the US rebound on Friday near 3347. In the day, you can rely on today's low point near 3323 to be bullish, pay attention to the resistance of 3347/51. If the gold price is difficult to break through, you can consider selling. If the rebound breaks through the 3347~3351 area, the short-term will turn bullish. BUY: 3325near BUY: 3310near SELL: 3345near
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ActuaryJ
XAUUSD Does it need to test the 1D MA100 first?Gold (XAUUSD) is attempting to break below its Triangle formation just 4 days after marginally breaking above it. This has invalidated that pattern so after breaking also below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), it could technically go for a 1D MA100 (green trend-line) test for the first time since January 06 2025. If it does, there will be more probabilities for a stronger than before rebound to make a new High. Our Targe is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at $3620. Keep also an eye on the 1D RSI Buy Zone, which has been giving the most optimal buy signals since April 07 2025. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
Market forecasts are completely accurate, trading signals#XAUUSD After opening today, gold tested the lowest point near 3324 and then rebounded, which is in line with my prediction of gold trend last night. Next, we need to pay attention to whether the upper 3345-3350 constitutes a short-term pressure level. If you are aggressive, you can consider shorting at 3345-3350, with the target at 3330-3325. Continue to hold if it falls below 3325, and stop loss if it breaks above 3350. After it breaks above, you can consider following up with a long order to close the position at 3360-3370. Short once at 3370-3380 for the first time, and stop loss if it breaks above 3380. 🚀 SELL 3345-3350 🚀 TP 3330-3325 🚀 BUY 3352-3355 🚀 TP 3360-3370 🚀 SELL 3370-3380 🚀 TP 3345-3325-3310 Be sure to study my trading strategy carefully. If you only look at the price points, you will definitely suffer certain losses. Participate in the transaction at the right time based on your own account funds and set stop losses.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Halson_Winston