Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3428.Colleagues, in the last forecast I wrote that I expect to reach the target in the area of 3439.37 and I am not giving up on it. At the moment, the price has made a strong correction and so I will make a new forecast, in which the targets will remain almost unchanged, but I see that the wave pattern has changed a bit.
Now wave “1” lower wave is located higher and at the moment I believe that the price is in wave “5”.
A correction to the support area of 3265 is possible, but in general I expect to reach the resistance area of 3428.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Commodities
Update of the Bullish/Bearish Catalysts for Gold prices________________________________________
⚡️ Gold’s Pullback: A Reset, Not the End
After peaking above $3,500/oz in April, gold’s slide back toward $3,210 marks a sharp—but not unusual—correction. What’s changed in the gold narrative? The rapid unwinding of panic bids as the Fed stays hawkish, the dollar flexes, and risk appetite returns. But beneath the surface, multiple structural drivers—old and new—are shaping gold’s next act.
________________________________________
1. Fed “Higher for Longer” Policy Bias (9/10)
Still the #1 driver.
With inflation sticky and the U.S. labor market robust, the Federal Reserve’s reluctance to cut rates (4.25–4.50%) is pinning real yields near multi-year highs. This erodes the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold, particularly for Western investors.
🦅 Watch for any dovish shift—a single Fed pivot could reignite gold fast.
________________________________________
2. U.S. Dollar Resilience (8.5/10)
The DXY recently surged above 101, buoyed by relative U.S. growth outperformance and ongoing EM weakness. Since gold is dollar-priced, a strong greenback makes gold more expensive for non-dollar buyers, crimping global demand.
💵 Sustained dollar strength could push gold closer to $3,100 unless countered by inflation or new geopolitical stress.
________________________________________
3. Central Bank Buying & “De-Dollarization” Flows (8/10)
This is the new wild card.
Countries like China, India, Turkey, and Russia are accelerating gold reserves accumulation—partly to hedge against dollar-centric sanctions and diversify away from U.S. Treasuries. Q2 2025 data shows a 35% jump in net central bank purchases year-on-year.
🏦 This bid underpins the gold market even when ETFs and retail are sellers.
________________________________________
4. U.S.–China Trade Normalization (7.5/10)
The May 2025 Geneva agreement was a big de-risking event. While tariffs haven’t vanished, steady progress on tech and agriculture reduces tail risk for global trade, putting downward pressure on gold’s safe-haven premium.
🌏 Any breakdown or tariff surprise could quickly reverse this.
________________________________________
5. Algorithmic & Quant Trading Flows (7/10)
Gold’s volatility is now heavily influenced by systematic funds. CTA (commodity trading advisor) and quant-driven selling accelerated the recent drop once $3,300 was breached. This non-fundamental selling creates overshoots—but also sharp reversals on technical bounces.
🤖 Expect snapbacks when positioning reaches extremes.
________________________________________
6. U.S.–U.K. & EU Trade Deals (6.5/10)
Both deals have reduced the global uncertainty premium. While the economic impact is moderate, improved global relations have pushed capital into equities and away from gold.
🇬🇧 Keep an eye on political risk, especially if new tariffs or Brexit-related shocks re-emerge.
________________________________________
7. India–Pakistan and Middle East Geopolitical Risks (6.5/10)
Tensions have cooled, but remain a latent driver. The India–Pakistan border saw restraint in May; Iran–U.S. talks are “cautiously positive.” Any surprise flare-up, especially involving oil, can quickly restore gold’s safe-haven bid.
🕊️ Event-driven spikes likely, but not sustained unless escalation persists.
________________________________________
8. ETF Flows, Retail & Institutional Demand (6/10)
ETF inflows have slowed sharply in 2025, but central bank and Asian buying partly offset this. U.S. retail interest has faded due to higher Treasury yields, but any sign of real rates rolling over could spark new inflows.
📈 ETF demand is now more a symptom than a cause of price moves.
________________________________________
9. Technological Demand & Jewelry Trends (5.5/10)
Longer-term, gold’s use in electronics, EVs, and green tech is rising modestly (up ~3% YoY). Indian and Chinese jewelry demand—seasonally soft now—could rebound late 2025 if income and sentiment recover.
📿 Not a short-term driver, but a steady tailwind in the background.
________________________________________
10. Fiscal Risk & U.S. Debt Sustainability (5.5/10)
Rising concerns about the U.S. debt trajectory, especially if deficits widen or the U.S. nears a shutdown or downgrade, can trigger flight-to-quality bids for gold. This is not the main driver now, but is a key “black swan” risk if Treasury auctions stumble.
💣 Could move up the list rapidly on negative headlines.
________________________________________
🌐 Other Catalysts to Watch:
• Israel – Iran tensions in the Middle East – limited impact on gold prices.
• Crypto Market Volatility (5/10): Periods of sharp crypto drawdowns have triggered some rotation into gold, but the correlation is inconsistent.
• Chinese Real Estate Stress (5/10): Signs of further slowdown or crisis (e.g., major developer defaults) could boost gold as a defensive play in Asia.
• Physical Supply Disruptions (4/10): Mine strikes, export restrictions, or transport bottlenecks can create localized price spikes, but rarely move the global market for long.
________________________________________
🏆 2025 Gold Catalyst Rankings (with Impact Scores)
Rank Catalyst Strength/10 Current Impact Direction Notes
1 Fed “Higher for Longer” Policy 9.0 Very High Bearish Key yield driver
2 U.S. Dollar Resilience 8.5 Very High Bearish Hurts non-USD demand
3 Central Bank & “De-Dollarization” Buying 8.0 High Bullish Structural support
4 U.S.–China Trade Normalization 7.5 High Bearish De-risks global trade
5 Algorithmic/Quant Trading Flows 7.0 High Bearish Magnifies volatility
6 U.S.–U.K./EU Trade Deals 6.5 Moderate Bearish Risk appetite rising
7 India–Pakistan/Mideast Geopolitics 6.5 Moderate Neutral Event risk
8 ETF, Retail & Institutional Flows 6.0 Moderate Bearish Trend follower
9 Tech/Jewelry Physical Demand 5.5 Low Bullish Seasonal uptick possible
10 U.S. Debt/Fiscal Sustainability 5.5 Low Bullish Potential tail risk
11 Crypto Market Volatility 5.0 Low Bullish Risk-off flows (sometimes)
12 China Property Crisis 5.0 Low Bullish Asian safe-haven buying
13 Physical Supply Disruptions 4.0 Very Low Bullish Rare but possible
________________________________________
🚦Where Next for Gold?
• Current price: ~$3,210/oz
• Key support: $3,150/oz
• Key upside triggers: A dovish Fed surprise, sharp dollar reversal, sudden geopolitical event, or central bank “buying spree.”
• Risks: Extended strong dollar, yield spike, no escalation of global risks.
________________________________________
Summary Table: 2025 Gold Price Catalysts Comparison
Catalyst 2024 Score 2025 Score Change Impact Direction (2025) Commentary
Fed Rate Policy 9 9 – Bearish Unchanged, still dominant
U.S. Dollar 8 8.5 ↑ Bearish Gained in strength
Central Bank Buying 7 8 ↑ Bullish Grown in importance, especially in Asia
U.S.-China Trade 7.5 7.5 – Bearish Still relevant, deal holding for now
Algorithmic/Quant Flows 6 7 ↑ Bearish Systematic trading influence is rising
Geopolitics (excl. Russia/Ukraine) 6 6.5 ↑ Neutral Slight increase, mostly latent risks
ETF/Institutional Flows 5 6 ↑ Bearish Slower, but still influential
Jewelry/Tech Demand 4.5 5.5 ↑ Bullish Tech/jewelry more important now
U.S. Debt/Fiscal Risk 5 5.5 ↑ Bullish Gaining attention with deficit concerns
Crypto Market Volatility 4 5 ↑ Bullish Correlation growing, but inconsistent
China Property Risk N/A 5 NEW Bullish Added due to emerging Asian risk
Physical Supply Disruption 3.5 4 ↑ Bullish Minor, only spikes on rare events
________________________________________
🥇 Bottom Line:
Gold’s retreat reflects a rebalancing of risk and yield, but the stage is set for sudden moves—especially if the Fed blinks, the dollar falters, or new shocks emerge. The top three catalysts (Fed, Dollar, Central Bank buying) are especially worth watching as we head into the second half of 2025.
Israel Strikes Iran. Oil and Gold Prices SurgeIsrael Strikes Iran. Oil and Gold Prices Surge
According to media reports, Israel launched a large-scale overnight strike on Iranian territory, targeting dozens of military and strategic facilities linked to the country’s nuclear programme and missile capabilities. Israeli officials justified the action by citing an existential threat from Tehran, which, according to their intelligence, is accelerating its development of nuclear weapons and expanding its arsenal of ballistic missiles.
In response, Iran has vowed severe retaliation, stating that the United States and Israel will “pay a heavy price” for the attack. US President Donald Trump has urgently convened a meeting to assess the situation.
Commodities Market Reaction
In the wake of these developments, gold — the primary safe-haven asset — surged sharply. The XAU/USD price broke above its May high, rising past $3,440. However, the all-time high near $3,498 remains intact for now.
Oil prices also spiked due to fears of supply disruption. The military conflict threatens shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial chokepoint through which one-fifth of the world’s oil supply passes. Traders quickly priced in the risk of war, anticipating a supply shortage driven by large-scale instability in the Middle East.
Technical Analysis of the XBR/USD Chart
Brent crude oil price has risen to the upper boundary of a large-scale descending channel (shown in red), which is defined by lower highs from 2024–2025. As anticipated, this upper boundary acted as resistance, with the price forming a peak above $76 before reversing downward (as illustrated by the black arrow).
From a technical standpoint, following such a sharp rally, Brent is vulnerable to a corrective move. In this scenario, a pullback into the orange zone is possible, where support may be found at:
→ The psychologically important $70 level;
→ The 50% Fibonacci retracement level;
→ The former resistance of the purple descending trendline, now turned support.
Nevertheless, given the scale of the geopolitical threat, it is unlikely that market sentiment will allow Brent to decline significantly in the near term.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Rob the Cocoa Market Before the Trend Escapes🏴☠️Cocoa Vault Breach: Sweet Profit Heist in Progress!🍫💰
(Thief Trader’s Swing/Day Plan – Only Bulls Allowed)
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
We’ve cracked the code to the 🏉"COCOA"🏉 Commodities CFD market, and now it’s time to launch a high-stakes heist based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical + fundamental analysis🔥.
🎯 Mission Objective: Infiltrate the overbought zone, where traps are set, robbers are lurking, and the market’s about to turn. The plan? Ride the bullish wave, loot the Red Zone, and vanish with sweet profits. 🏆💸
🔓 Entry Point:
"The vault is wide open!"
Buy at will — loot that bullish treasure!
⏱️ Best tactic: Set buy limits on the 15M or 30M swing low/high zones. Set alerts and stay sharp.
🛑 Stop Loss:
SL = Nearest 4H Swing Low
🔐 Protect your stash. Use risk-adjusted SL based on trade size and number of entries.
🎯 Target:
11,300 or escape early if the pressure builds!
⚔️ Scalper’s Note:
Only steal on the long side.
💰 Big money = Go direct
💼 Small bags = Team up with swing traders
📉 Use trailing SLs to guard your gains.
🔥Cocoa Market is Bullish – Why?
☑️ Fundamentals
☑️ Macroeconomics
☑️ COT Report
☑️ Sentiment Signals
☑️ Intermarket Vibes
☑️ Seasonal Patterns
☑️ Trend Forecasts & Target Levels
👉 Dive into the data: 🔗🔗🔗
⚠️ Trading Alerts:
News releases = Danger zones!
❌ No new entries during news
✅ Trailing SL to protect ongoing raids
💥 Smash the Boost Button 💥
Support this Thief Plan and keep our crew winning daily.
💪 Rob with confidence. Win with consistency.
🎉 Thief Trading Style = Your daily cash machine.
💣Stay tuned for the next robbery blueprint!
— Your Friendly Market Criminal, 🐱👤
USOIL:Go long
USOIL:Crude oil rose sharply under the tension in the Middle East, the early repeatedly suggested that the continuous low shock after the upward breakthrough, the time of storage force is long enough, especially the watershed 64.8 break after the rising space has been opened, the trading idea is still to step back and do long.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@66.9-67.2
TP: 68.6-69
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
XAU/USD 4H Technical Analysis 13 June 2025Market Structure & Bias:
On the 4H chart, gold has broken out of a recent sideways range and formed a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. This “break of structure” (BOS) through the old swing high confirms a bullish bias.
Price action respects key support zones (demand areas) on retracements, suggesting underlying buying interest. The overall bias is bullish, driven by risk‐off sentiment. Support and resistance act as natural pause/reversal zones
For example, a demand zone/order block around ~3390–3400 (from the prior swing low) has been tested and held, fueling the recent rally.
Likewise, an imbalance (fair value gap) left below 3400 could attract buyers if price returns. We also note that a change of character (CHOCH) would occur only if price breaks below a higher-low; so far that has not happened.
In short, gold’s 4H market structure is bullish (higher highs/lows) and the trend looks set to continue upward unless a strong reversal forms. Key Levels (4H): We use classic pivot points to mark critical levels (using the last 4H high, low, close). Pivot points can project future support and resistance.
Based on recent swings, key levels are:
Pivot: 3424 (calculated from last bar’s H/L/C)
Support 1: 3413
Support 2: 3399
Support 3: 3374
Resistance 1: 3438
Resistance 2: 3449
Resistance 3: 3474
Price currently hovers just below R1. These levels align with congestion zones and Fib retracements (50–61.8% of the last $3290–3427 upswing), so expect active bidding near S1–S2 and selling around R1–R2.
Intraday 1H Trade Setups
Buy Zone ~3395–3405 (Bullish OB/Demand):
Entry: Long on dips into the order-block/demand area near 3395–3405 (just above S1).
Stop: ~3385 (≈$10 below entry zone).
Targets: TP1 ≈ 3438 (Resistance 1), TP2 ≈ 3450 (near R2).
Reason: This zone aligns with a prior institutional order block/demand and a 61.8% Fib retrace of the recent rally. Price has shown bounce here before, so a bullish reaction is likely.
Trigger: Look for a bullish reversal candle (e.g. bullish engulfing or pin bar) on 1H in this zone, or a market structure low (MSL) turning point. A break back above the high of that candle can serve as confirmation to enter.
Sell Zone ~3435–3445 (Bearish Retrace):
Entry: Short near resistance around 3435–3445 (just below R1–R2).
Stop: ~3455 (≈$10 above entry zone).
Targets: TP1 ≈ 3413 (Support 1), TP2 ≈ 3399 (Support 2).
Reason: This area is the upper end of the recent range. It contains a minor supply zone and the R1–R2 pivots. A liquidity sweep (stop-hunt) may occur above recent highs.
If price loses momentum here, expect a pullback.
Trigger: Watch for a bearish price action signal (e.g. a bearish engulfing candle or a double-top swing) on 1H. A break of the immediate lower low (lower than the last minor swing) would confirm a short-term change of character and signal entry.
Breakout Long ~3449+:
Entry: Long on a sustained break above R2 (≈3450). Confirm entry when price closes above 3449 on 1H.
Stop: ~3424 (just under the Pivot).
Targets: TP1 ≈ 3474 (Resistance 3), TP2 ≈ 3495+ (new highs).
Reason: A clean breakout of 3450 would indicate strong bullish order flow and trigger stop-run triggers. This would be a continuation trade in line with the 4H uptrend.
Trigger: A bullish candle closing above 3449 (ideally with above-average size) or a 1H break of structure (higher high over 3449) would signal entry.
Takeaway: Gold remains in a bullish 4H trend; focus on buying dips into demand zones and watch for clear candlestick triggers at support/resistance.
Chasing Oil Spikes? How Geopolitics Can Wreck SetupsOil prices surged over 12% in Asia on Middle East headlines, sparking a surge of volatility across safe-haven currencies and stock market futures during thin trade.
It felt like a good time to provide food for thought to newer traders looking to chase these moves, highlight the mockery geopolitics can make of technical analysis with recent examples, and provide a filter for when the waters may be safer to reenter.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy June 13, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy June 13, 2025:
Yesterday's trading session, gold prices increased sharply after accumulating at 3300 - 3340. In terms of fundamental analysis: the news of the "special situation" between Israel and Iran has greatly affected the crude oil market and investors' confidence in gold. At the beginning of today's trading session, gold prices are still increasing according to the main trend and are showing a correction, but we should wait for a short profit-taking wave to trade.
In the weekend trading session, we should limit trading and maintain trading principles to ensure safety.
Important price zones today: 3491 - 3496, 3471 - 3476 and 3395 - 3400.
Today's trading trend: SELL.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 3474 - 3476
SL 3479
TP 3471 - 3261 - 3451 - 3431.
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 3494 - 3496
SL 3499
TP 3491 - 3481 - 3471 - 3451.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 3395 - 3397
SL 3392
TP 3400 - 3410 - 3430 - 3450.
Wish you a safe and profitable weekend trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
What is Gold Silver Spread?What is gold silver spread? How to understand them to determine the market direction.
Reuters mentioned that the gold-silver ratio dropped from 105 to 94. What does this mean? Does it indicate that silver is about to trend higher, or is it a sign that gold will continue its trend?
Micro Silver Futures
Ticker: SIL
Minimum fluctuation:
0.005 per troy ounce = $5.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.sweetlogin.com
Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
www.cmegroup.com
WTI Oil D1 | Potential bounce off a pullback supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 73.17 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 70.50 which is a level that lies underneath a a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 78.07 which is a a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAUUSD H4 I Bullish ContinuationBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our buy entry at 3403.57, which is a pullback support.
Our take profit will be at 3472, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, adding a significant level for a potential bearish reversal.
The stop loss will be placed at 3347.94, an overlap support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAUUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 3472.00, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, adding a significant level for a potential bearish reversal
Our take profit will be at 3403.57, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 2529.80, above the 127.2% Fib extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USOIL CRACK!Usually, these types of events are great selling opportunities as they are short-lived. However, this time may be different.
I would expect a pullback then if it lasts and escalates a breakout. For now, just observe, have patience, and look for the 2nd crack!
If it cracks a 2nd time, it is definitely not good for US inflation.
WTI(20250613)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending June 7 was 248,000, higher than the expected 240,000, the highest since the week of October 5, 2024. The monthly rate of the core PPI in the United States in May was 0.1%, lower than the expected 0.30%. Traders once again fully priced in the Fed's two interest rate cuts this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
66.96
Support and resistance levels:
69.10
68.30
67.78
66.13
65.61
64.81
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 67.78, consider buying in, and the first target price is 68.30
If the price breaks through 66.96, consider selling in, and the first target price is 66.13
Bullislh continuation?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Pivot: 3,374.04
1st Support: 3,348.45
1st Resistance: 3,414.78
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish rise?COPPER has reacted off the resistance level which is an overlap support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 4.7862
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 4.7410
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 4.8881
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Could the Gold reverse from here?The price is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,390.28
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 3,426.28
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 3,343.57
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
CHFJPY - How To Enter This MASSIVE 1700pip Swing Trade!As promised - here’s the lower timeframe breakdown after hitting 100+ likes.
We’re in wave 5, currently moving cleanly into the swing zone. Since wave 5 typically forms 5 subwaves, all we needed was to connect points 2 and 4 to draw our entry trendline.
Trade Idea:
- Entry on break of the orange trendline
- Stops above recent highs after entry
- Aggressive option: Enter inside the sell zone with stops above invalidation
Targets:
- TP1: 165.00 (≈1300 pips)
- TP2: 161.50 (≈1700 pips)
- Optional: Leave a runner for the longer swing move
Scroll down for the full 4H breakdown.
CHFJPY - 1700 Pip Reversal Incoming!The last time we looked at CHFJPY was back in October 2024, where we forecasted a large ABC correction. Fast forward to now - that correction is nearly complete!
We're currently in the 5th subwave of wave C, and everything points toward a massive drop setting up. We expect a move of at least 1500 pips.
On the Daily timeframe, structure is clear:
- Clean 5-3-5 ABC correction
- Price is approaching a key sell zone
- A clear entry trendline is in place — couldn’t ask for a cleaner setup
Trade Idea:
- Watch for rejection within the sell zone
- Aggressive entry: Inside sell zone with stops above invalidation
- Conservative entry: On break of trendline, stops above the break candle
Targets:
TP1: 165.00 (≈1300 pips)
TP2: 161.50 (≈1700 pips)
Optional: Leave a runner for a long-term swing
Let me know what you think in the comments.
See below for our last VIP setup for CHFJPY which played out perfectly. 1000pips secured!
Good luck and as always, trade safe!
Iran tensions rise: a setup brewing for gold and oil Geopolitical tensions surrounding Iran might fuel safe-haven demand for gold.
A break above $3,403 might open the door for a test of the May high at $3,437. However, price action over the last two sessions potentially indicates that buyers are reluctant to drive spot prices above $3,400.
At the same time, analysts are suggesting that oil could climb toward $120 if Israel takes military action against Iran. “I don’t want to say it’s imminent, but it looks like something that could very well happen,” President Trump said during a White House event.
Meanwhile, cooler-than-expected US CPI and PPI prints have potentially strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve could begin cutting interest rates by September, with a second cut possibly following before year-end.
XAUUSD Daily Plan — June 13, 2025 By GoldFxMinds👋 Hello traders, and welcome to your full preparation for tomorrow’s gold session.
Gold continues to respect its structural map while liquidity traps remain active on both sides of the range. We’ve seen clean sweeps and fast reactions this week, but tomorrow brings a new catalyst: key U.S. data combined with fresh geopolitical tensions that may fuel additional volatility before the weekly close.
🌐 MACRO & GEOPOLITICAL OUTLOOK:
📊 Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations are scheduled tomorrow:
Consumer Sentiment ➔ 52.2
Inflation Expectations ➔ 6.6%
These data points often trigger sharp USD moves and liquidity grabs.
🌍 Geopolitical tension has increased as President Trump authorized the evacuation of U.S. personnel from several Middle East locations due to rising threats in the region, particularly concerning the Iran nuclear situation.
This development triggered sharp moves across commodities, with oil rallying strongly.
Gold remains well-supported in this environment as global risk sentiment deteriorates.
Traders should expect elevated intraday volatility and potential liquidity sweeps on both sides as markets digest these developments.
🔎 The combination of macro data and geopolitical risk creates highly reactive conditions where liquidity hunts may precede any clear directional moves.
🔎 STRUCTURE OVERVIEW:
Price remains inside premium territory after recent bullish expansions.
Liquidity has already been taken above and below earlier this week, but additional traps may unfold before Friday’s close.
Larger structure remains bullish while short-term supply zones may attract quick inducements.
Tomorrow's flow will likely begin with manipulation during or after news, before real momentum develops.
🎯 BIAS
Main bias: Controlled bullish, but highly reactive inside premium.
As long as price holds above 3340, bulls remain in control on higher timeframe.
However, premium zones above 3395 may act as liquidity traps, inviting fast selloffs after inducements.
Best opportunities likely to come from either:
Controlled retracement into buy zones for continuation higher.
Fast spikes into premium traps for short-term sell opportunities.
Patience will be critical as both news and geopolitical headlines may trigger manipulations before real trend unfolds.
🔑 KEY ZONES TO WATCH:
BUY ZONES
🔵 3368 - 3360
Intraday pullback zone.
Look for minor liquidity dips followed by bullish rejection.
Targets: 3390 → 3405.
🔵 3348 - 3340
Deeper liquidity pocket into H4 imbalance and OB.
Engage only after strong downside sweep with sharp bullish reaction.
Targets: 3380 → 3396.
🔵 3325 - 3312
Extreme HTF liquidity zone.
Valid only if aggressive liquidation occurs into deeper discount.
Targets: 3360 → 3380.
SELL ZONES
🔴 3398 - 3405
First premium inducement area.
Look for fast spikes with M15 bearish rejection candles.
Targets: 3370 → 3348.
🔴 3412 - 3420
Secondary premium trap zone.
Valid only after upside wick rejection.
Targets: 3385 → 3355.
🔴 3435 - 3445
Maximum stop-hunt exhaustion zone.
Only valid if price aggressively squeezes into final liquidity.
Targets: 3390 → 3360.
⚠ TRADING REMINDER:
Friday’s session will likely be driven by both news and geopolitical headlines. Let liquidity play out inside the zones, wait for clear rejection signals, and execute with full confirmation. No chasing — sniper discipline only. 🎯
💎 Hit that 🚀 if you found this plan helpful.
👉 Feel free to follow for daily gold plans and share your thoughts in the comments.
We remain disciplined. We trade structure.
🌙 Rest well tonight — tomorrow we execute with precision and control.
— GoldFxMinds
Despite ongoing supply restrictions PPLT trendsAs uncertainty in US equity and job future rises a trend appears in precious metals and bonds. The demand for natural resources continues to grow despite tariff concerns. Trumps PGM policies threatened to shake the market, however, majority of platinum is mined in countries with less strict tariff restrictions and even in the US.; infact, South Africa is the largest producer of platinum with Zimbabwe holding significant reserves, Russia is also a leading force. In addition to Canada- where an independent researcher Jayanth Chennamangalam is exploring the legalities of an exploration to mine platinum in space from craters on the moon. Both PPLT and PLTM have seen resent up growth, trying to push back to their highs of the early 2020s. I have taken the mean of 7 angles representing our highest and lowest points at approx 50°or greater and attached it to our new low- the cross section of this angle and the resistance point drawn from our all time high estimate we are ahead of schedule for reaching our all time high in Sept 2025.
"Within our updated palladium forecasts to 2029f, we expect market deficits to last until 2027f (previously 2025f) before market surpluses gradually build from 2028f. Given ongoing uncertainties, this report does not fully capture the impact of Trump’s policies on PGM demand, but we do not expect them to be of sufficient magnitude to materially change the platinum and palladium deficits laid out herein. "
(platinuminvestment.com)
We could have anticipated this upcoming growth by paying close attention to the K line cross and divergence on our Stochastic oscillator (14,3,3).
"C:\Users\ChrisPC\Downloads\PPLT_2025-06-12_15-47-20.png"