Gold Update 28 JULY 2025: On The EdgeGold is accurately following the path shown in my earlier post.
Wave D respects the triangle rules, staying below the top of wave B.
Wave E appears nearly complete, even piercing the A–C support line.
This is acceptable as long as wave E stays above the wave C low at $3,251.
Keep a close eye on this invalidation point.
The target range remains unchanged: $3,900–$4,300.
Commodities
When Gold Believers Flip – Uncle Jimmy, Silver & New Safe Havens💰📉 When Gold Believers Flip – Uncle Jimmy, Silver, and the New Safe Havens 🧠🔄
Let me tell you a story that says more than any chart ever could.
📜 Meet Uncle Jimmy (from Canada) . He’s not really my uncle, but out of respect, that’s what I call him.
A true OG — early stockbroker, big mustache , 20+ apartments, a life built on commissions, charts, and one sacred truth: '' Gold never lies. ''
He's bought gold at every dip, every crisis, every whisper of war or inflation.
But now?
“I’m thinking of selling gold to buy silver.” ( WHAT?! 😳👀💥)
That’s it. That’s the moment.
📉 A gold maxi flipping into silver. A generational pivot.
And that’s the real divergence the chart doesn’t always show.
⚖️ Macro Sentiment Rotation:
📊 Gold
Sitting on crucial support. Breakout potential to $3,465+ remains — but divergences (OBV, CMF) are stacking. A breakdown? Targets stretch down to $3,000 or even $2,716.
🪙 Silver
Just hit $38.14 — now eyeing the legendary $49.83 ATH from 1980. Legacy capital rotating in. Silver’s moment? (My chart says 'wait a bit'...divergences!)
💻 NASDAQ/Tech
Some now call it the “new safe haven” — not because of bonds, but because of trust in corporate resilience vs. geopolitical chaos. When Nasdaq rises, silver often outperforms gold — risk appetite returns, and so does industrial metal demand.
₿ Bitcoin
And then there’s Bitcoin…
The safe haven that legacy minds still don’t trust.
I told Uncle Jimmy to buy it at:
→ $4,000
→ $18,000
→ $45,000
→ Even $70,000.... I stopped doing that at some point, he just wouldn't get it, or wouldn't make a move into the 'crypto unknown'. Respect!
So...He never did. Maybe Bitcoin just became what gold once was — but for the next generation. Not for Big Jimmy.
🧠 What to Watch:
Sentiment is shifting
Safe havens are evolving
Charts show structure — but stories show psychology
Whether you're long metals, crypto, or tech — the key is knowing when beliefs break and rotations begin.
Watch price. Listen to sentiment. And never underestimate Uncle Jimmy.
What would you tell Jimmy today if he was your uncle? Let me know below!
One Love,
The FX PROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
HelenP. I Gold can continue to decline to support zoneHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the price chart, we can observe a significant shift in the market structure, highlighted by the recent decisive break of a long-standing ascending trend line. This event suggests that the previous bullish momentum has been exhausted and that sellers are now taking control. The bearish case is further strengthened by the price trading below the key horizontal zone around 3375, which previously acted as support during the consolidation phase and is now poised to act as strong resistance. My analysis for a short position is built on this structural change. I believe that any attempt by the price to rally back towards the broken trend line or the 3375 resistance zone will likely be met with significant selling pressure, confirming the new downward trend. A rejection from this area would be the key condition validating the bearish bias. Therefore, the primary goal for this developing downward impulse is set at the 3305 level, as this aligns with the next major support zone where the price is likely to find its next pause. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment.❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD - Gold is in for a big week?!Gold is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and near the bottom of its medium-term ascending channel (breakout or no break is yet fully confirmed). A correction towards demand levels would provide us with a better risk-reward buying position, and if it rises, we could consider shorting it in supply levels.
In the past week, gold experienced two distinct phases in its price movement: a strong upward trend in the first half that stalled at key resistance levels, leading the market into a more cautious mode. The latest surveys reveal a clear division among gold analysts—some foresee a bearish outlook, while others prefer to remain neutral and wait for further signals. Meanwhile, retail traders remain optimistic about gold’s short-term trajectory and emphasize the continuation of its upward trend.
Analysts at Commerzbank believe the gold market is currently directionless and searching for a clear trend. In their view, recent news around potential trade agreements has weakened demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. They have adopted a neutral stance in the short term, stating that gold prices are near their upper limit with limited room for further gains at the moment.
Conversely, some experts are confident in the continuation of gold’s bullish trend. Rich Checkan, President and CEO of Asset Strategies International, declared: “Gold is in an uptrend. Today’s pullback is setting the stage for next week’s rally. If the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets expectations and holds rates steady, both gold and silver will keep climbing. And if the Fed exceeds expectations by cutting rates, we’ll see an even stronger surge in both metals. Either way, the direction is upward.”
At the same time, other analysts remain cautious about the trend’s sustainability. Mark Leibovit, editor of VR Metals/Resource Letter, warned that the U.S. dollar may be forming a bottom, which could exert downward pressure on gold and calls for increased caution from investors.
Despite continued political pressure from President Trump, the Federal Reserve is not expected to lower interest rates at the upcoming meeting. Central bankers have stated that they want to observe the economic effects of tariffs before making any adjustments. Although some Fed officials are moving away from the “wait and see” approach, analysts still believe the Fed will leave rates unchanged this week—though markets are closely watching for any signals suggesting that rate cuts could begin as early as September.
Meanwhile, China’s gold consumption in the first half of 2025 declined, though the drop was less severe than in previous years. The primary reason was increased demand for gold as a safe-haven investment, which partially offset reduced jewelry purchases due to high prices.
According to data from the China Gold Association, a government-affiliated body, gold consumption fell by 3.54% year-over-year in the first half of the year to 505,205 tons. In comparison, Q1 saw a 5.96% annual decline, and the same period in 2024 recorded a 5.61% drop.
The association stated that growing geopolitical tensions and ongoing economic uncertainty have strengthened gold’s role as a store of value and safe asset, prompting a significant rise in private investment in bars and coins.
Gold bar and coin purchases—a key indicator of safe-haven demand—surged by 23.7% to 264,242 tons, accounting for 52% of total consumption and overtaking jewelry as the largest consumption segment. Meanwhile, gold jewelry demand fell by 26% to 199,826 tons, reflecting weakened consumer interest due to high prices.
Still, the association noted that lighter jewelry products with unique designs and higher value-added features remain popular. Additionally, official data from the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) showed that the central bank increased its gold reserves in June for the eighth consecutive month.
On the supply side, domestic gold production fell by 0.31% year-over-year to 179,083 tons in the first half of the year, while output from imported sources rose by 2.29% to 76,678 tons. Altogether, China’s total gold production grew by 0.44%, reaching 252,761 tons.
Silver bullish flag developingThe Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3686 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3686 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3814 – initial resistance
3865 – psychological and structural level
3920 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3686 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3645 – minor support
3590 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Silver holds above 3686. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold protracted consolidation The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3308 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3308 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3387 – initial resistance
3400 – psychological and structural level
3435 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3308 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3290 – minor support
3268 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3308. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
[XAUUSD] Reversal Signals from Key Support As of the July 28–29 trading sessions, the XAUUSD 15-minute chart is showing early signs of a bullish reversal, with price reacting strongly at a key Fibonacci support zone and breaking through a descending trendline.
1. Price Action and Technical Structure
After a prolonged downtrend from the 3,430 zone, gold found support at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement (3,327.85), aligning closely with the horizontal support at 3,324 – 3,327.
A descending trendline has been breached, signaling a potential breakout setup.
A potential ZigZag corrective wave structure is forming, hinting at the beginning of a new bullish swing.
2. Fibonacci Extension & Upside Targets
The Fibonacci extension tool suggests a possible rally toward the 3.618 extension at 3,425.
This level marks the next major upside target if the breakout holds.
3. Key Price Levels
Price Zone
Technical Significance: 3,327 – 3,324 Major support zone (Fib 0.618 + horizontal support)
3,350 – 3,355 First reaction zone / interim resistance
3,380 – 3,400 Strong resistance zone
3,425 Final target – 3.618 Fib extension
4. Suggested Trading Strategy
Long Setup – Breakout & Reversal Confirmation
Entry: 3,328 – 3,332 (after bullish confirmation above trendline and support)
Stop Loss: Below 3,320 (beneath local swing low)
Take Profit: 3,355 → 3,380 → 3,425 (scaling out by zone)
Bearish Continuation Scenario
If price drops below 3,320 and breaks 3,307 support, the bullish outlook is invalidated, and a retest of deeper levels is likely.
5. Volume and Confirmation Cues
Volume has started to pick up as price tests the breakout zone – indicating that buying pressure may be returning.
Wait for a strong bullish candle with volume above average before committing to the trade.
Gold is approaching a critical inflection point, and bulls may regain control from this confluence support zone. Stay alert for a breakout confirmation. Save this idea if you find it helpful and follow for more high-probability strategies!
GOLD: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry Point - 3337.3
Stop Loss - 3340.4
Take Profit - 3330.9
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GOLD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,336.48
Target Level: 3,254.95
Stop Loss: 3,390.83
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3440 (Wave V).As you can see, everything turned out to be more complicated than I had previously thought. We are dealing with a complex correction and a diagonal. I believe that the “ABCDE” waves, which make up the corrective wave “4”, are completing their levels, and I continue to expect the upward movement to continue.
The first area I expect is the resistance area of 3440. This will be the beginning of the large upward wave “V.”
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish After Break Out Entry Detected )———
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Break - 3339
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
XAUUSD (Gold/USD) – 1H Chart Analysis (July 28, 2025)🔍 Technical Summary:
Market Structure Shift (MSS) detected after liquidity (LQ) grab.
Price formed a bullish break of structure confirming a possible trend reversal.
Entry taken near support (after LQ), targeting a supply zone above.
📊 Key Chart Elements:
LQ (Liquidity Grab):
Price swept previous lows, triggering stop-losses before reversing.
MSS (Market Structure Shift):
Break of internal structure confirms potential upside movement.
Blue Zone (Target Area):
A clear supply zone, likely to act as resistance.
TP (Take Profit) placed just below this zone.
SL (Stop Loss):
Positioned below the recent low (LQ) – tight risk management.
📈 Outlook:
Expecting bullish continuation towards 3,380+ zone.
If price respects support and structure holds, long entries remain valid.
Watch for reaction at the supply zone – potential rejection or consolidation.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before trading.
Market Analysis: Oil Prices Ease – Market Awaits Fresh CatalystMarket Analysis: Oil Prices Ease – Market Awaits Fresh Catalyst
WTI crude oil is also down and remains at risk of more losses below $64.60.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI crude oil price continued to decline below the $66.00 support zone.
- It traded below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $65.60 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI crude oil at FXOpen, the price struggled to continue higher above $67.50. The price formed a short-term top and started a fresh decline below $66.00.
There was a steady decline below the $65.80 pivot level. The bears even pushed the price below $65.00 and the 50-hour simple moving average. The price traded below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $65.60.
Finally, the price tested the $64.75 zone. The recent swing low was formed near $64.73, and the price is now consolidating losses. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $65.60 zone. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $66.42 swing high to the $64.73 low.
The main resistance is $65.80. A clear move above it could send the price towards $66.40. The next key resistance is near $67.50. If the price climbs further higher, it could face resistance near $70.00. Any more gains might send the price towards the $72.00 level.
Immediate support is near the $64.60 level. The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is near $63.20. If there is a downside break, the price might decline towards $60.00. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $55.00 support zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
15-minute timeframe for XAU/USDKey Elements and Observations:
Price Action:
The price initially shows a downtrend, breaking below a previous low, indicated by "BMS" (likely "Break in Market Structure" or "Break of Market Structure").
Following the break, the price consolidates and then shows a strong upward movement, breaking above a resistance level, again marked by "BMS." This suggests a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
Order Blocks (OB):
5 Min OB (Blue Box, Top Left): There's a "5 Min OB" marked at a higher price level earlier in the chart. This represents a bearish order block, where significant selling pressure was previously observed.
15 Min OB (Teal Box, Bottom Right): A "15 Min OB" is identified at a lower price level (around 3326.00 - 3330.00). This is likely a bullish order block, indicating an area where institutions or large players placed buy orders, leading to a bounce in price.
Break in Market Structure (BMS):
Two "BMS" labels are visible:
The first BMS (red dashed line below 3330.00) indicates a break of a support level during the downtrend.
The second BMS (red dashed line above 3330.00) indicates a break of a resistance level during the subsequent uptrend, confirming a potential shift in market bias to bullish.
Entry, Stop Loss, and Take Profit (Trade Setup):
Entry (Green Line): The suggested entry point for a long (buy) position is at approximately 3339.50. This entry aligns with a retest of a previous resistance level that has now turned into support, or potentially the lower boundary of a small bullish order block or fair value gap.
Stop Loss (Red Line/Red Box): The stop loss is set at 3335.50. This is placed below a recent low or significant support level, specifically within a red-shaded area that likely represents a "Supply/Demand" zone or an area where the trade would be invalidated.
Take Profit (Green Line/Green Box): The take profit target is 3354.00, resulting in a "Profit" of 3354.00. This target is placed at a significant resistance level or an area where price might reverse. The white shaded box above the entry, extending to the take profit, highlights the potential profit zone.
Risk-Reward Ratio: While not explicitly calculated, the visual representation suggests a favorable risk-reward, with the potential profit (green box) appearing larger than the potential loss (red box).
Pivot Point (P):
A "P (3345.227)" is marked on the chart, likely indicating a pivot point, which can act as a dynamic support or resistance level. The current price is trading above this pivot point, further supporting a bullish bias.
"BMS: 61.36%" (Bottom Right):
This percentage likely refers to a "Break in Market Structure" metric or a specific trading indicator that quantifies the strength or probability of the market structure shift. 61.36% suggests a reasonably strong confirmation.
Implied Trading Strategy:
The chart depicts a bullish reversal strategy, likely based on "Smart Money Concepts" or "ICT" (Inner Circle Trader) principles. The strategy involves:
Identifying a shift in market structure: Price breaking highs after breaking lows, signaling a change from bearish to bullish.
Utilizing Order Blocks: Using the 15 Min OB as a foundational support level and potentially looking for entry confirmations around it.
Waiting for a Retest/Pullback: The entry around 3339.50 suggests waiting for a pullback after the initial bullish impulse. This could be a retest of a broken resistance level, a fair value gap (FVG), or a small bullish order block within the larger 15 Min OB.
Placing Stop Loss Strategically: Below a significant low or invalidation point.
Targeting Previous Highs/Resistance: Setting the take profit at a logical resistance level where previous selling pressure was observed.
Gold (XAU/USD) Daily Trading Plan - 28th July 2025🔺 Technical Analysis
Gold opened the Asian session this week with a slight retracement, testing the 0.382 Fibonacci Retracement level before bouncing back strongly to last week's closing price around 3339. This move further solidifies the price action from a technical perspective.
Notably, gold has broken through a minor resistance on the M15 timeframe, invalidating the bearish structure and forming a full-bodied H1 candle. This sets the stage for a potential corrective uptrend to unfold.
On the Daily timeframe, the initial session's decline retested the bullish trendline and bounced back within the boundaries of the flag pattern. It's likely that this week, the price will continue towards the end of this pattern, providing a clearer confirmation of the medium-term trend.
🔺 Key Macroeconomic News
This week promises to be volatile with several crucial economic announcements, particularly as it marks both the end of the month and the start of a new one. Two key events that traders should pay close attention to are:
FOMC Interest Rate Decision: Always a focal point for the market, with significant impact on safe-haven assets like gold.
Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Report: Vital US labour market data, capable of triggering substantial movements in both the USD and gold.
Therefore, be prepared for potential market shocks and exercise careful risk management.
📈 Trading Strategy & Considerations
Given the technical setup and upcoming macroeconomic events, consider the following:
Potential Corrective Uptrend: The invalidated bearish structure on M15 and the strong H1 candle suggest a short-term bullish bias for a corrective move.
Daily Flag Pattern: Monitor price action as it approaches the end of the flag pattern on the Daily timeframe for medium-term trend confirmation.
High Volatility Ahead: Exercise extreme caution around the FOMC and NFP announcements. These events can lead to significant and rapid price swings.
Risk Management: Prioritise strict risk management. Consider reducing position sizes or employing wider stop-losses during high-impact news events.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
XAGUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 38.75, which is a pullback resistance aligning with a 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 38.06, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 39.43, a swing-high resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
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XAUUSD - Scalping ideaPrice is stuck in a range between 3348.90 and 3324.87.
📌 Looking for a clean breakout to take action:
Buy above 3348.90 → Targeting 3354.09
Sell below 3324.87 → Targeting 3319.15
Not interested in any trades inside the range only jumping in once we break out and close outside either level. Waiting for confirmation to avoid getting chopped up.
Let’s see where it goes. 📉📈
No rush, just reacting.
USOIL Analysis : MMC Bullish Setup Building on USOIL – Target🧠 Introduction & Trade Philosophy
In today’s 4H USOIL chart analysis, we are at a critical decision-making zone, where price action is preparing to make a major move in either direction, based on the response to a central demand zone. We are applying the MMC Rule, which emphasizes mirroring supply-demand behavior and validating market moves through structural confirmation.
The current price structure presents a classic MMC scenario, where price must either confirm a bullish double demand reaction or invalidate the setup by breaking the key zone and moving bearish.
📍 Chart Structure Explained
🔷 1. Central Reversal Zones (CRZs)
There are two CRZs highlighted:
The upper CRZ around 65.90–66.20, where price was previously rejected.
The lower CRZ, where price is currently consolidating, is around 64.80–65.50.
These zones are liquidity-rich areas where big players react—either by absorbing positions or driving directional moves.
🟢 2. Bullish Scenario – MMC Rule In Play (Path 1)
"If we want it bullish, we want 50% supply and demand will be double according to MMC Rule"
According to MMC, a bullish move must be confirmed by a strong reaction from demand, showing double the pressure of the last bearish move. Here's how that plays out:
Price respects the lower CRZ, bouncing near the 65.00 mark.
If this bounce gains momentum and breaks above the trendline resistance, the first target is the minor resistance at $69.00, followed by the major resistance zone near $70.50–$71.00.
A retest of broken structure, followed by bullish continuation, is expected. This is marked with the white zigzag projection labeled as “1” on the chart.
Watch for a clear higher high formation, which would indicate a shift in structure and validate bullish momentum.
🔻 3. Bearish Scenario – Breakdown Confirmation (Path 2)
"If it breaks, USOIL will go bearish"
If price fails to hold the current demand and closes below $64.80–64.50, it signals that demand has been absorbed, and MMC reversal has failed. In that case:
A clean breakdown below the demand zone will confirm bearish control.
The next downside target becomes $62.00, as labeled “2” on the chart.
The downward move is likely to follow a steep path as marked with the sharp downward trendline extension, especially if supported by volume and news catalysts.
🔄 Mirror Concept Highlight – Ellipse Area
The ellipse shape on the chart marks a previous compression zone followed by a breakout. This area represents an imbalance in supply that led to a sell-off. The MMC principle suggests the market tends to mirror these zones—if that was previous supply, and the current demand zone mirrors its positioning and structure, we can anticipate a similar reaction, but to the upside.
This is where the "50% double reaction" rule comes in—demand needs to show twice the strength to overcome the previous sell-side pressure.
🔧 Technical Levels Summary
Zone Type Price Range Notes
Major Resistance 70.50 – 71.00 Final target if bullish scenario plays out
Minor Resistance 68.80 – 69.20 First bullish checkpoint
Upper CRZ 65.90 – 66.20 Key structure to break for bulls
Lower CRZ (Support) 64.80 – 65.50 Demand base for bullish setup
Bearish Target Zone 62.00 – 61.80 Projected zone if support breaks
🧭 Trader’s Mindset & Risk Notes (MMC Style)
Wait for clear confirmation and price behavior near the CRZs before entering.
Use trendline breaks, candlestick confirmation, and volume to validate direction.
Avoid guessing the direction—let price tell the story.
Stick to MMC rules: No confirmation, no position.
✅ Bullish Criteria Checklist:
✔️ Price respects lower CRZ
✔️ Breakout above trendline
✔️ Closes above $66.20
✔️ Higher highs + strong bullish candles
✔️ MMC Double Demand Reaction Confirmed
❌ Bearish Breakdown Triggers:
❌ Breaks below $64.50
❌ Weak bounce + lower highs
❌ Volume increases on downside
❌ Clean breakdown structure
🚀 Trade Plan & Outlook
We’re now at a critical zone where market sentiment will soon be clear. Based on your MMC analysis, the bias remains bullish as long as price holds above $64.80. Be patient and let the setup complete with structure confirmation.
This is not just a technical play—it's a psychological zone, where institutional traders also make decisions. Follow the MMC logic and react with confirmation.
XAG/USD on high time frame
"Hello, for investors in XAG/USD, the $37 zone appears to be a low-risk area for buying. Both technical and fundamental analyses suggest that the price is likely to move higher towards $48."
If you require further insights or have additional information to discuss, feel free to share!
Crude oil-----sell near 67.00, target 65.00-63.00Crude oil market direction:
The recent daily crude oil line has been hovering, and it feels like it is falling or not falling. The daily crude oil line is still bearish. Let's continue to sell it on the rebound. For crude oil today, we focus on the suppression of 67.00. Consider selling it at this rebound position. The daily crude oil line needs to break the 64.00 position to see real selling force, otherwise it is a repair shock with a very small amplitude.
Fundamental analysis:
The latest news is that the United States and the European Union have reached a 15% tariff agreement, which overall supports the US dollar and suppresses gold. In addition, this week, pay attention to ADP employment data, non-agricultural employment data, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and speech.
Operation suggestions:
Crude oil-----sell near 67.00, target 65.00-63.00