Weekly IDEA on Gold/XAUUSD 9-13 June 2025Technical Confluences:
Bearish FVG:
Fresh Fair Value Gap formed due to aggressive sell-off.
FVG = supply zone, acting as magnet for liquidity + rejection
Broken Channel Retest:
Price fell below the ascending channel
Now retesting the channel, a classic structure behavior before continuation.
Liquidity Below:
Clear clean lows visible around $3,290 → $3,250 → $3,120.
These levels could serve as liquidity targets for institutional movement
Rejection Candlestick Anticipated:
If a strong rejection candle (e.g., bearish engulfing / wick trap) forms inside FVG, entry confidence increases.
📌 Trade Idea (Signal)
Sell Limit Idea
Entry Zone: $3,332 – $3,344
SL: $3,355 (above FVG and channel invalidation)
TP1: $3,290
TP2: $3,250
TP3: $3,120
RR: Approx. 3R+
❗ Alternate Bullish Scenario:
If price reclaims and closes back inside the channel (above $3,355):
The current bearish setup is invalidated.
Bullish momentum could resume with possible push toward $3,400 → $3,445.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
This is a classic SMC + market structure confluence.
Wait for rejection confirmation inside the FVG for higher probability.
Avoid chasing the move — precision entry at supply is key.
Commodities
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 9th June 2025Market Structure:
The overall trend remains bearish, with a series of lower highs and lower lows.
Recent bullish retracement is corrective and approaching a key supply zone (3340 region).
Zones of Interest:
Supply Zone (Sell Area): 3335–3340
This area acted as a previous area of institutional selling. Price is expected to tap into this zone before resuming the downward move.
Demand Zone (Target): 3295–3305
This level served as a previous strong demand zone and aligns with previous reaction zones.
Liquidity & Structure:
Liquidity grab expected above minor highs around 3330–3335 before a potential reversal.
Structure shows a liquidity sweep, followed by a market shift confirming the bearish move.
Key Confluences:
Bearish market structure
Return to supply
Clear risk-to-reward setup
Anticipated lower high formation
Clean FVG + OB alignment in supply zone
📉 Trade Idea / Signal
Type: Sell Limit
Entry: 3335–3340
Stop Loss: 3355 (above supply zone highs)
Take Profit: 3320
Take Profit: 3300
Risk–Reward: ~1:3
🧠 Trade Plan
Wait for price to enter 3335–3340 zone.
Look for confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, BOS, CHoCH on LTF).
Execute short with SL above the zone.
Target the 3300 handle which aligns with the HTF demand zone and price imbalance fill.
GOLD → Correction before a decline or continuation of the trend?FX:XAUUSD is testing the liquidity zone during the Asian session and forming a false breakout. The metal is recovering, but the fundamental background remains unstable...
On Monday, gold is holding steady at around $3,300 amid a weaker dollar and caution among traders ahead of US-China talks and the release of US inflation data (CPI) on Wednesday. Strong NFP data for May strengthened the dollar and lowered expectations for a Fed rate cut. However, domestic problems in the US are putting pressure on the currency... Markets are adjusting positions ahead of CPI. Geopolitics and domestic unrest in the US are holding back gold's decline, despite possible optimism about a trade deal.
Technically, the trend is bullish, with the price previously breaking the structure but rising in the Asian session after a false breakdown of the order block and the 3300 liquidity zone. Further movement depends on 3330 - 3340
Resistance levels: 33301, 3339, 3375
Support levels: 3301, 3275
The price is heading towards 3330-3340 for a retest. If the dollar continues to decline and gold manages to consolidate above 3340, the bullish trend may continue. BUT! A false breakout of the 3330-3340 zone could trigger a further decline after the bullish structure breaks down.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Silver surge has more bullish upsideSilver is breaking out. Its strength is no accident. The US is running a structural deficit north of 6% of GDP in a full-employment economy. The bond market has absorbed the pain so far, but pressure is building. Investors are starting to look for insurance. Silver is one of the cleanest ways to play the dollar’s long-term debasement.
The metal is trading well above its 200-day moving average. The US$31.50-32.00 zone now acts as solid support. Any pullback into that range is likely to be short-lived.
Silver doesn’t move in straight lines. It runs, consolidates, then runs again, usually in 50–90 day cycles. The current setup fits that rhythm.
The gold-to-silver ratio is still near 100x. Historically, the average is closer to 60-70x. That gives silver more room to catch up. Traders can short gold and go long silver to play that mean reversion. Or simply buy silver outright and short the dollar. ETF inflows into silver have picked up, showing broader market interest.
The main risk? A sudden shift in Fed tone or falling inflation expectations. But that seems unlikely near term.
Silver isn’t just a trade. It’s a message. A hedge against fiscal irresponsibility and the cost of kicking the can too far.
Silver & Gold Surge: SLV Inflows & GLD TargetsThe precious metals market is currently experiencing a significant surge, with both silver and gold capturing the attention of investors worldwide. This rally is underpinned by a confluence of factors, ranging from robust investment inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to evolving macroeconomic landscapes and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. The iShares Silver Trust (SLV) ETF has witnessed an unprecedented influx of capital, signaling a strong bullish sentiment for the white metal, while gold, represented by the GLD, is poised for a potential rebound, with analysts eyeing key price levels. Understanding the intricate dynamics driving these movements is crucial for anyone looking to navigate the contemporary financial markets.
SLV ETF Inflows Surge: Silver's Accelerated Rally
The iShares Silver Trust (SLV), the world's largest silver-backed exchange-traded fund, has recently recorded its most substantial inflows in years, marking a pivotal moment for the silver market. Last week alone, the SLV ETF saw weekly inflows surge by $451 million, a dramatic increase from previous weeks, pushing its year-to-date inflows to over $458 million and its total assets under management to more than $17 billion. This remarkable accumulation of capital into SLV signifies a profound shift in investor sentiment, reflecting a strong conviction that silver prices are set for continued appreciation. When investors pour money into an ETF like SLV, it directly translates into the fund acquiring more physical silver, thereby tightening supply and exerting upward pressure on prices. This massive inflow is not merely speculative; it indicates a broad-based belief among both institutional and retail investors in silver's potential.
Several key factors are fueling this accelerated rally in silver prices. One significant driver is the record-breaking surge in gold prices. Historically, silver has often been referred to as "poor man's gold" due to its similar safe-haven properties but lower price point. When gold experiences a substantial rally, silver often follows suit, as investors look for a more affordable alternative within the precious metals complex. Gold's recent ascent to nearly $3,500 per ounce has undoubtedly created a halo effect for silver, drawing in capital from those seeking exposure to precious metals without the higher entry cost of gold.
Another compelling reason for silver's outperformance is its perceived undervaluation relative to gold. The gold/silver ratio, which measures how many ounces of silver are needed to buy one ounce of gold, had peaked at around 106 when gold was surging. However, this ratio has since dropped significantly to around 92, indicating that silver has begun to catch up, suggesting it was previously undervalued. This rebalancing of the ratio has encouraged investors to shift their focus towards silver, anticipating further narrowing of the gap.
Beyond its role as a monetary metal and safe haven, industrial demand plays a uniquely critical role in silver's price dynamics, distinguishing it from gold. Silver is an indispensable component in numerous high-tech and green energy applications due to its exceptional electrical conductivity, thermal properties, and reflectivity. The renewable energy sector, particularly photovoltaic (PV) solar panels, consumes substantial amounts of silver, with each panel containing approximately 20 grams of the metal. The global push towards decarbonization and the increasing adoption of solar energy are creating an insatiable demand for silver. Additionally, its use in electric vehicles (EVs), electronics manufacturing, 5G technology, and medical devices further bolsters its industrial consumption. Reports indicate that global silver demand reached 1.2 billion ounces in 2024, driven by these industrial applications, with a significant supply deficit projected to continue. This robust and growing industrial demand provides a strong fundamental floor for silver prices, making it less susceptible to purely speculative swings.
Geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties also contribute to silver's appeal as a safe-haven asset. In times of global instability, investors tend to flock to tangible assets like precious metals to preserve wealth. While gold typically garners more attention in such scenarios, silver also benefits from this flight to safety. The ongoing geopolitical developments and concerns about inflation continue to reinforce the attractiveness of both gold and silver as hedges against economic volatility and currency depreciation.
From a technical analysis perspective, silver's rally appears robust. The iShares Silver Trust (SLV) has broken above significant resistance levels, such as $31.75, which had previously acted as a ceiling. The ETF is trading well above its 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), indicating a strong bullish trend. While the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved closer to overbought levels, the overall trend remains bullish, and the MACD indicator continues to signal upward momentum. Analysts suggest that if these technical indicators hold, silver could target the $40 mark in the near future. The breadth of participation from both institutional and retail investors, coupled with increasing trading volumes, suggests that this rally has stronger foundations than typical short-term spikes.
Furthermore, expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve are also providing tailwinds for precious metals. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like silver and gold, making them more attractive to investors. The anticipation of such policy shifts often prompts investors to front-run these decisions, leading to increased demand for precious metals.
GLD ETF Weekly Forecast: Gold's Rebound Potential
While silver commands attention with its recent surge, gold, represented by the GLD remains the cornerstone of the precious metals market. Gold recently hit record highs, touching nearly $3,500 per ounce, before experiencing a slight retreat due to profit-taking and some strengthening of the US Dollar. However, analysts are now forecasting a potential rebound, with a target of $3430 on the cards for the current week, indicating that the bullish sentiment for gold remains largely intact.
GLD is influenced by a diverse array of factors, making its price movements complex yet predictable to those who understand its drivers. One of the primary factors is gold's status as a safe-haven asset. During periods of economic uncertainty, political instability, or market volatility, investors traditionally turn to gold to preserve capital. Recent geopolitical tensions, such as the ongoing conflict in Eastern Europe, have consistently driven inflows into gold, as it acts as a hedge against global crises.
The strength or weakness of the US Dollar plays a crucial role in gold's price. Gold is primarily priced in US Dollars, meaning that a weaker dollar makes gold comparatively cheaper for buyers holding other currencies, thereby increasing demand and pushing prices up. Conversely, a stronger dollar can make gold more expensive, potentially dampening demand. While there has been some recent dollar strength, the overall sentiment regarding the dollar's long-term trajectory and its inverse relationship with gold remains a key determinant.
Interest rates and monetary policy, particularly from the US Federal Reserve, significantly impact gold prices. As a non-yielding asset, gold becomes less attractive when interest rates are high, as investors can earn better returns from interest-bearing assets. Conversely, lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, making it more appealing. The anticipation of future rate cuts by central banks often provides a strong impetus for gold rallies.
Inflation and deflationary pressures also influence gold's appeal. Gold is widely regarded as a hedge against inflation. When the purchasing power of fiat currencies erodes due to rising inflation, investors often turn to gold to protect their wealth. Conversely, in deflationary environments, gold's appeal as a store of value can also increase. Recent inflation data, such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI), are closely watched for their potential impact on gold's trajectory.
Central bank reserves and their purchasing trends are another significant, albeit often overlooked, factor. Central banks globally hold gold as a reserve asset to diversify their portfolios and safeguard against financial turmoil. Increased gold purchases by central banks signal a broader institutional confidence in gold and can significantly impact its demand and price.
Supply and demand dynamics in the physical gold market, including mining production, recycling, and demand from jewelry and industrial sectors, also play a role. While new supply from mining is relatively small compared to the total existing stock, changes in production levels can still influence prices. Investment demand through ETFs and other financial products further contributes to the overall demand picture.
From a technical standpoint, gold's recent retreat from its $3,500 peak has led to some profit-taking. However, key support levels are being tested, and analysts are looking for a rebound. The immediate resistance levels are around $3340-$3345, with a more significant hurdle at $3400. A decisive break above these levels, particularly $3400, could pave the way for a retest of the $3430 mark and potentially higher, towards $3500 and even $3600. The current bias for gold remains bullish, with buying opportunities identified at key pivot levels. The market is closely watching economic reports, such as the upcoming CPI data, as well as geopolitical developments, which could act as catalysts for gold's next major move.
The Interplay Between Gold and Silver
The intertwined fortunes of gold and silver are a recurring theme in the precious metals market. While both are considered safe-haven assets, their individual characteristics lead to nuanced differences in their price drivers. Gold is predominantly viewed as a monetary asset and a store of value, making it highly sensitive to macroeconomic indicators, interest rates, and geopolitical stability. Silver, while sharing these attributes, also benefits significantly from its extensive industrial applications. This dual nature often makes silver more volatile than gold, as it reacts to both investment demand and industrial cycles.
The recent outperformance of silver, as evidenced by the massive SLV ETF inflows, suggests a market correction where silver is catching up to gold's earlier gains. The narrowing gold-silver ratio indicates that investors believe silver was undervalued and is now reasserting its true worth. This dynamic creates a powerful feedback loop: as gold rallies, it draws attention to the precious metals sector, prompting investors to look for relative value, which often leads them to silver. As silver then accelerates, it further validates the strength of the broader precious metals market.
The current environment, characterized by persistent inflation concerns, ongoing geopolitical tensions, and the global push towards green energy technologies, provides a fertile ground for both gold and silver. Gold offers a traditional hedge against uncertainty, while silver provides exposure to both safe-haven demand and the booming industrial sector. The significant institutional inflows into SLV underscore a growing recognition of silver's unique position at the intersection of finance and industry.
In conclusion, the precious metals market is currently in a robust uptrend, driven by a powerful combination of investment demand, safe-haven appeal, and fundamental industrial growth. The unprecedented inflows into the SLV ETF signal a strong bullish outlook for silver, fueled by its undervaluation relative to gold and its critical role in emerging green technologies. Concurrently, gold, despite recent fluctuations, maintains a strong bullish bias, with analysts forecasting a rebound to key price levels, supported by its enduring safe-haven status and macroeconomic tailwinds. For investors, understanding these intertwined dynamics and monitoring key economic and geopolitical developments will be paramount in capitalizing on the ongoing rally in both gold and silver. The message is clear: the precious metals are shining bright, and their current momentum suggests further upside potential.
xauusd weekly analysis
**XAU/USD Weekly Analysis**
*(June 2-13, 2025)*
---
### **LAST WEEK'S PERFORMANCE (June 2-6)**
**Price Action:**
- Weekly decline: **~2%**
- Key levels:
- Resistance: $3,355–$3,381 (61.8% Fibo)
- Support: $3,272–$3,288 (38.2% Fibo)
- Range: $3,291.50 (low) to $3,365 (high)
- Close: Near $3,310–$3,316
**Key Drivers:**
1. **USD Strength**: Fiscal concerns (Senate tax bill debate adding $3.8T debt)
2. **Reduced Safe-Haven Demand**: Trump delayed EU tariffs to July 9
3. **Central Bank Caution**: Market awaited ECB/BoC decisions and U.S. jobs data
---
### **NEXT WEEK OUTLOOK (June 9-13)**
**Critical Technical Levels:**
| **Support** | **Resistance** |
|-------------------|-------------------|
| $3,272–$3,288 | $3,370–$3,375 |
| $3,295 (SMA) | $3,381 (Key Breakout) |
| $3,210–$3,214 | $3,400–$3,434 |
**Fundamental Catalysts:**
1. **Central Banks**:
- ECB Decision (June 12) → Dovish stance = USD strength
- BoC Decision (June 11) → Rate cuts may boost USD
2. **U.S. Data**:
- Non-Farm Payrolls (June 13) → Strong data = fewer Fed rate cuts
3. **Geopolitical Risks**:
- Escalations in Ukraine/Middle East → Safe-haven demand
4. **U.S. Fiscal Policy**: Senate vote on $3.8T tax bill
**Market Sentiment:**
- **Bullish Case**: Break above $3,381 targets $3,500–$3,800
- **Bearish Risks**: Breakdown below $3,272 risks drop to $3,160
---
### **TRADING STRATEGY**
**Key Approaches:**
- **🔺 Long Setup**:
- Entry: Above $3,381
- Target: $3,500
- Stop-loss: $3,320
- **🔻 Short Setup**:
- Entry: Below $3,272
- Target: $3,210
- Stop-loss: $3,310
- **Event Hedging**: Use options around ECB/BoC/NFP events
**Risk Management Note:**
> "Gold's trajectory hinges on USD dynamics and central bank guidance. A weekly close above $3,381 confirms bull trend resumption."
---
### **KEY EVENTS CALENDAR**
| Date | Event | Impact Level |
|------------|---------------------------|--------------|
| June 11 | Bank of Canada Rate Decision | High |
| June 12 | ECB Rate Decision | High |
| June 13 | US Non-Farm Payrolls | Very High |
| Mid-week | US Senate Tax Bill Vote | Moderate-High|
---
**Conclusion:**
Next week presents a binary setup for XAU/USD:
- Break above **$3,381** opens path to $3,500+
- Failure to hold **$3,272** risks correction to $3,210
Prioritize risk management during high-impact events. The long-term uptrend remains intact but short-term direction depends on USD and central bank policy.
for intra day traders and scalpers follow the range zone
Do You Smell That...Natural Gas Burning!Recent Trends: The Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported the seventh consecutive weekly gain in inventories since late April, indicating a steady buildup ahead of summer demand.
Regional Highlights:
East: 340 Bcf
Midwest: 396 Bcf
Mountain: 166 Bcf
Pacific: 199 Bcf
South Central: 658 Bcf
Next inventory report is June 12 2025
June 5 - 122B Build
May 29 - 101B build
May 22 - 120B Build
These last builds have come in higher than consensus andd price is still holding.
A weekly Bullish cross of the 7 / 20 MA is about to occur. This indicates high provability of higher prices on the next few months if this can hold above the key MA's.
XAUUSD SNIPER PLAN – TUESDAY, JUNE 10, 2025👋 Good evening traders!
After a choppy NY that faked both directions, Monday closed with gold stuck around 3325. But don’t be fooled — the real plays are coming Tuesday as we align with clean structure, trap logic, and real macro catalysts. Focus only on what matters.
Let’s prep with clarity and intent. 🎯
🌍 TUESDAY MACRO PREVIEW (JUNE 10)
📊 12:00pm – NFIB Small Business Index
🗣️ 10:00pm – President Trump speaks (market-moving risk)
🛢️ 10:30pm – API Weekly Oil Data (impacts USD sentiment)
No CPI or FOMC yet — but volatility is brewing. Trump + late-day oil stats = prime conditions for NY tricks or late-session moves.
🧠 TECHNICAL STRUCTURE
🔹 Last impulse: 3292 → 3338
🔹 Price now: 3325
🔹 Asia swept 3293 — partial gap fill
🔹 NY faked above 3338 → rejected → no follow-through
🔹 HTF still bullish but in pullback mode
📏 Fibonacci (3292–3338)
– 50% = 3315
– 61.8% = 3310
– 78.6% = 3303
📊 EMAs: 5/21 kissing → possible expansion
📉 RSI: Mid-range → clear room to move
🔐 STRUCTURE ZONES – CLEAN & ACTIVE
Price Zone Type Logic
3345–3354 SELL ZONE 1 HTF FVG + inducement trap
3362–3368 SELL ZONE 2 OB + liquidity clear above final highs
3329–3332 FLIP ZONE NY trap → could flip support or reject
3307–3310 BUY ZONE 1 61.8% + CHoCH potential + OB
3292–3296 BUY ZONE 2 Asia low + FVG + discount sweep
🎯 PLAN OF ATTACK
✅ Bullish Plan
– Hold above 3315–3320
– Break 3338 → retrace into 3310/3307 = sniper long
🎯 TP: 3354 → 3368
❌ Bearish Plan
– Fail under 3332 → tap 3345–3354 for reaction
– Rejection = sell into 3310–3296
🎯 TP: 3310 → 3292
⚠️ 3329–3332 = reaction zone only
Do not sell blindly — wait for confirmation.
👀 EYES ON:
– 3338 = intraday BOS point
– 3307 = sniper trigger if CHoCH
– Trump speech = high spike risk
– NY tends to reverse early Asia setups
🚀 FINAL WORD
We’re not here to chase noise — we’re here to execute with structure.
You’ve got two clean sells, two sniper buys, and real macro risk on the table.
No guesswork. Just precision.
💬 What’s your plan for Tuesday?
Do you see the 3362 trap playing out?
Are you waiting for the 3307 sniper?
👇 Drop your scenario in the comments — let’s compare setups and grow together.
📲 Follow @GoldFxMinds for daily sniper clarity
🎯 Let’s dominate CPI week. Together.
💬 Drop a 🚀 if you’re locked in for NY
🔥 Let’s make Tuesday count — clean, confident, and calculated.
Possible "W Pattern" Initiation After Breaking Through $64.5USOIL surged strongly last Friday, closing with a large bullish candle on the daily chart. Since the sharp decline on April 4th, the $64.5 level has acted as resistance on the chart. The price remained capped at $64.5 for four consecutive trading days (Monday to Thursday) last week, but Friday’s strong bullish candle successfully broke above $64.5, signaling a valid breakout. This breakout suggests the formation of a potential W-bottom pattern, paving the way for further upward movement. Crude oil is expected to continue rising to new highs in today's trading.
USOIL
buy@63.5-64
tp:64.7-65.2
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Bearish drop?COPPER is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 4.8781
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 4.9791
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 4.7844
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish reversal?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,326.41
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,295.18
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 3,364.06
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start tot he week with our chart idea playing out, as analysed.
We started today with our bullish target at 3318 hit, followed with ema5 cross and lock opening 3352. Rejection here will see lower open Goldturns tested for support and bounce and further cross and locks will confirm a continuation.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3318 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3318 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3352
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3388
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3388 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3478
BEARISH TARGETS
3281
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3281 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3254
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3254 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3210
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3210 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3179
3146
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Analysis and strategy of the latest gold trend on June 9:
Core logic analysis:
Risk aversion cools down
The easing of Sino-US trade tensions weakens the short-term safe-haven demand for gold, but long-term uncertainties (such as the prospects for global economic recovery and the Fed's policies) still support the safe-haven properties of gold.
Technical bearishness dominates
Weekly: Inverted hammer pattern + MACD high dead cross sign, suggesting a callback risk.
Daily: Two consecutive negatives fell below the short-term moving average, MACD dead cross, but be wary of the support strength of the Bollinger middle track (near 3295).
4 hours: The price broke below the Bollinger lower track, the moving average was in a short position, the MACD momentum was downward, and the short-term was bearish.
Key price:
Upper resistance:
First resistance: 3328-3330 (intraday strength and weakness boundary, bearish force point).
Strong resistance: 3345-3350 (if broken, the short-term bearish trend may be reversed).
Support below:
First support: 3290-3280 (test target at the beginning of the week, may trigger a rebound).
Strong support: 3280 (break opens the downward space to 3250-3230).
Operation strategy suggestions
Short order opportunity
Aggressive: short with a light position after rebounding to 3325-3330, stop loss above 3340, target 3300-3290.
Conservative: wait for the 3340-3345 area to be under pressure before entering the market, stop loss 3355, target the same as before.
Long order opportunity
Short-term rebound: If it first touches 3280-3290 and stabilizes (not breaking down quickly), you can go long with a light position on the rebound, stop loss 3275, target 3310-3320.
Rebound after breaking: If it quickly breaks down 3280 and rebounds to 3295-3300 under pressure, you can follow the short position for the second time.
Breakout response
Break above 3350: Short orders temporarily exit the market, wait and see whether it will step back to confirm the support and turn long.
Break below 3275: Be cautious in chasing shorts, prevent low-level technical rebounds, and wait for a pullback before following up with shorts.
Risk warning
Data risk: Market volatility may increase before and after the release of non-agricultural data, and be wary of wash-outs.
Sudden events: Sudden changes in geopolitical or Fed policy expectations may reverse technical patterns.
Position management: The current trend is bearish but has not been confirmed to be unilateral. It is recommended to operate with light positions in stages to avoid heavy positions betting on the direction.
Summary: Gold is likely to continue to fluctuate and be bearish next week, but be wary of bullish counterattacks at key support levels. The main trading method is shorting at the rebound high point, supplemented by short buying at the key support level, strictly stop loss and pay attention to the news developments.
Gold rebound fails to change the trend and is still bearish?📰 Impact of news:
1. The streets of Los Angeles are full of "gunpowder smell"! Immigration protests escalate, and Trump sends troops to suppress them
2. Geopolitical situation
3. Federal Reserve political expectations
📈 Market analysis:
At the hourly level: the Bollinger Band opening is narrowing, the MACD technical indicator is running in a golden cross, and the RSI fluctuates frequently in the short term. There is a certain potential for short-term promotion. If the gold price stabilizes above 3315, it may trigger a rebound and touch 3330-3340 again. If the gold price continues to be below 3300 and the short position is strengthened, it may fall to a new low. Therefore, if it rebounds again to the 3330-3340 resistance line, short positions can still be considered.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3315-3318
TP 3330-3335
SELL 3330-3340
TP 3300-3290-3280
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Evening gold trend analysis and operation layout📰 Impact of news:
1. The streets of Los Angeles are full of "gunpowder smell"! Immigration protests escalate, and Trump sends troops to suppress them
2. Geopolitical situation
3. Federal Reserve political expectations
📈 Market analysis:
Gold rebounded as expected and touched the 3330 line. In the short term we need to pay attention to the 3335 line. On the one hand, it is the top and bottom, and on the other hand, the annual average line is also the pressure point of the upper track of the downward channel. Once it is suppressed below 3335, it will continue to fluctuate downward. If it unexpectedly breaks through 3335 or even 3340, then 3293 is likely to become the short-term bottom.
At present, the rise has slowed down after rising to 3330, and the technical side shows a top divergence signal, so in the short term, we still maintain the idea of shorting at a high level of fluctuation.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3335-3345-3355
TP 3310-3300
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
WTI CRUDE OIL: Channel Down needing to fill its top. Bullish.WTI Crude Oil turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 62.137, MACD = 0.740, ADX = 26.844), having completed a very strong 1W candle last week. This is the continuation of the May 5th bottom rebound. All prior such rebounds have filled at least the 1W MA50, having touched the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. The 1W RSI LH trendline gives a good sense of where to sell, but since the 0.618 Fib is the guide, the target is TP = 71.15.
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Hanzo / Gold 15 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Gold – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 15-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 3326
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bullish After Break : 3326
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 3294
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
Hanzo / Gold 15 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )
Crude oil breaks through strongly.On the daily chart of crude oil, the upper Bollinger Band is opening upward, and the 64.85 level is basically unable to hold. Once this level is broken, it will open up upward space, and the rally will just be beginning. After the breakout, the market will shift from the previous sustained oscillation to a strong unilateral trend, and the rally will at least continue with a wave of strength. Focus on going long at 63.50/64, or if there is a strong rally in the European session, pullbacks in the US session are also buying opportunities. Now it is about whether there will be a strong breakout.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@63.5-64.0
TP:65.5-66.0
GOLD: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,330.13 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,332.32.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Analysis and strategy of the latest gold trend on June 9:
Core logic analysis:
Risk aversion cools down
The easing of Sino-US trade tensions weakens the short-term safe-haven demand for gold, but long-term uncertainties (such as the prospects for global economic recovery and the Fed's policies) still support the safe-haven properties of gold.
Technical bearishness dominates
Weekly: Inverted hammer pattern + MACD high dead cross sign, suggesting a callback risk.
Daily: Two consecutive negatives fell below the short-term moving average, MACD dead cross, but be wary of the support strength of the Bollinger middle track (near 3295).
4 hours: The price broke below the Bollinger lower track, the moving average was in a short position, the MACD momentum was downward, and the short-term was bearish.
Key price:
Upper resistance:
First resistance: 3328-3330 (intraday strength and weakness boundary, bearish force point).
Strong resistance: 3345-3350 (if broken, the short-term bearish trend may be reversed).
Support below:
First support: 3290-3280 (test target at the beginning of the week, may trigger a rebound).
Strong support: 3280 (break opens the downward space to 3250-3230).
Operation strategy suggestions
Short order opportunity
Aggressive: short with a light position after rebounding to 3325-3330, stop loss above 3340, target 3300-3290.
Conservative: wait for the 3340-3345 area to be under pressure before entering the market, stop loss 3355, target the same as before.
Long order opportunity
Short-term rebound: If it first touches 3280-3290 and stabilizes (not breaking down quickly), you can go long with a light position on the rebound, stop loss 3275, target 3310-3320.
Rebound after breaking: If it quickly breaks down 3280 and rebounds to 3295-3300 under pressure, you can follow the short position for the second time.
Breakout response
Break above 3350: Short orders temporarily exit the market, wait and see whether it will step back to confirm the support and turn long.
Break below 3275: Be cautious in chasing shorts, prevent low-level technical rebounds, and wait for a pullback before following up with shorts.
Risk warning
Data risk: Market volatility may increase before and after the release of non-agricultural data, and be wary of wash-outs.
Sudden events: Sudden changes in geopolitical or Fed policy expectations may reverse technical patterns.
Position management: The current trend is bearish but has not been confirmed to be unilateral. It is recommended to operate with light positions in stages to avoid heavy positions betting on the direction.
Summary: Gold is likely to continue to fluctuate and be bearish next week, but be wary of bullish counterattacks at key support levels. The main trading method is shorting at the rebound high point, supplemented by short buying at the key support level, strictly stop loss and pay attention to the news developments.