DeGRAM | GOLD above the resistance📊 Technical Analysis
● Five successive rebounds (green arrows) from the 4-month rising‐channel base at 3 293 keep the primary up-trend intact while turning the former wedge roof into support.
● Price is compressing inside a 4-day ascending triangle whose ceiling sits at 3 366; a break projects 1 : 1 to the March top/outer channel rail at 3 435.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● FXStreet notes bullion ETF holdings rose for a second week as softer US PMI prices dragged 2-yr real yields back to early-July lows, trimming the dollar bid.
✨ Summary
Buy 3 345-3 355; triangle breakout >3 366 opens 3 389 then 3 435. Long bias void on an H4 close below 3 293.
-------------------
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Commodities
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3498 (Wave 3).The price continues to move in a bullish direction, and I believe that now is the time to pay attention to the medium-term wave “3.” It is actively developing, and I believe that the target should be set at the maximum area of the higher-order wave “3” — the resistance area of 3498.
This is the nearest target, which carries significant weight.
Overall, the upward five-wave movement is developing according to the old scenario.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Silver Stays Strong on China Growth HopesSilver remained firm around $38.90 per ounce, holding near its highest levels since 2010. A weaker dollar and lower U.S. yields underpinned the metal, while traders await Fed Chair Powell’s comments and trade updates ahead of the August 1 deadline. China’s pledge to boost industrial growth also added to silver’s positive outlook.
Resistance is at $39.50, with support at $37.40.
Gold Surges to Five-Week High Amid Growing UncertaintyHello everyone! Let’s take a closer look at XAUUSD today.
Gold prices have rallied strongly, breaking above the 3,400 USD level and currently hovering around 3,420 USD — up 1.2% in the past 24 hours, equivalent to a gain of 34.7 USD.
This surge marks the highest level in five weeks, driven by heightened uncertainty surrounding U.S. President Donald Trump's looming August 1 tariff deadline. With tensions rising, gold is likely to remain on an upward trajectory. The immediate resistance stands at 3,420 USD per ounce, while support is seen near 3,350 USD.
Investors are also eyeing next week’s Federal Reserve policy meeting, where rates are expected to stay unchanged — but a rate cut could come as early as October. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar continues to face renewed pressure heading into August, a factor that may further boost gold’s appeal.
Do you think gold will keep rising from here? Drop your thoughts in the comments — and good luck with your trades!
People don't like the truth! Let's be honest, people don't like honesty. They prefer ideas that affirm their own beliefs.
When I read articles and posts from newer traders, it's often from a place of "all in" diamond hands and the notion that things go up forever.
I've been a trader for over 25 years now, and the game isn't about making a quick buck, it's about making money over and over again. This got me thinking, the issue is when you deal with a small account you require leverage, small timeframes and of course the "shit" or bust mindset. If you lose a thousand dollars, $10,000 even $100,000 - what does it matter? That's no different than a game of poker in Vegas.
The idea of being 80% in drawdown, is alien to me. The idea of one trade and one win is also a crazy notion.
Instead of playing with the future, there is an easier way to work. This isn't about slow and boring, it's about psychology and discipline. 10% returns on a million-dollar account isn't all that difficult. Instead of aiming for 300x returns on an alt coin (due to the account size being tiny) You can make less of a percentage gain with a larger account size.
In terms of psychology - the word " HOPE " is used, way too often, it's used when you hope a stock or the price of Bitcoin goes up, it's used when you hope the position comes back in your favour, it's used when you want your 10,000 bucks to double.
This isn't trading, it's gambling.
The truth is, it's not the winners that make you a good trader. It's the way you deal with the losses.
Once you learn proper risk management, a downtrend in a market move is a 1-2% loss coupled with a new opportunity to reverse the bias.
As a disciplined trader, the game is played differently.
Let's assume you don't have $100k spare - prop firms are a great option, OPM = other people's money.
Remove the risk and increase the leverage, all whilst trading with discipline.
The market goes through many phases, cycles and crashes.
You don't always need something as catastrophic to take place, but if you are all in on a position. You need to understand that losses can be severe and long-lasting.
When everyone sees an oasis in the desert, it's often a mirage.
You only have to look at the Japanese lesson in 1989, when the Nikkei was unstoppable-until it wasn't. For that short space in time, everyone was a day trader, housewives to taxi drivers.
Everyone's a genius in a Bull market.
Then comes the crash. The recovery time on that crash?
34-years!!!
I have covered several aspects of psychology here on TradingView;
When it comes to trading, if you are able to keep playing. It's a worthwhile game. If you are gambling, it's a game whereby the house often wins.
Right now, stocks are worth more than their earnings. Gold is up near all-time highs, crypto, indices the same.
All I am saying is if you are all in. Be careful!
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principal trader has over 25 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
GOLD Will Go Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,427.91.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,460.54 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
SILVER BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,935.1
Target Level: 3,843.0
Stop Loss: 3,996.7
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XNGUSD PULLED BACK FROM 3.3000 RESISTANCE LEVEL. WHERE TO GO NEXXNGUSD PULLED BACK FROM 3.3000 RESISTANCE LEVEL. WHERE TO GO NEXT?
This Monday natural gas prices have successfully broken down bearish wedge formation. As we may observe, the price went down through all major support levels, establishing a new short-term bearish trend. Recently the price broke through the 3.3000 and successfully retested it. It is crucial, due to this level is the last mid-term major support before the 3.000.
Additionally, the weather in the vast area U.S. is supposed to be milder at the end of July - beginning of August, which would curb nat-gas demand from electricity providers for air conditioning usage. To sum up, the decline towards 3.000 level is expected.
Euro Surges as Dollar Falters Amid Political TensionsThe EUR/USD pair is experiencing a strong rally, breaking above the 1.1760 level — its highest point in two weeks as of Tuesday. This sharp move not only signals the Euro’s recovery strength but also highlights the impact of heavy selling pressure on the US dollar.
The driving force? Ongoing trade tensions, coupled with rising uncertainty surrounding the escalating feud between President Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell, are shaking investor confidence in the stability of US monetary policy.
As a result, the dollar is losing its safe-haven appeal, paving the way for EUR/USD to climb higher. If this bullish momentum holds, the next key target for the pair could be around 1.1800.
Gold Approaches Key Resistance Within Bullish Channel – BreakoutCurrent Price Action:
Gold is currently trading at around $3,442, nearing the upper boundary of a well-defined upward-sloping channel. The latest candle shows bullish momentum with a strong close near the daily high, indicating continued buying pressure.
Key Observations:
Trend Structure:
The overall trend remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows clearly visible.
Price is approaching a critical Fibonacci extension level (1.618), which could act as resistance.
Channel Dynamics:
Price is within a parallel ascending channel.
It is currently testing the upper channel boundary, which may either lead to a breakout or a rejection.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance: $3,442 (Fibonacci extension & channel resistance).
Major resistance: $3,500 (ATH - All-Time High).
Key support levels: $3,275, $3,114, and $3,057 (marked horizontal levels, also align with Fibonacci retracement zones).
Rejection Zones:
Historically, price has reversed at similar extension levels.
If rejection occurs, a pullback to the midline or lower channel boundary is likely.
Forecast:
If the current bullish momentum continues and price breaks above the channel resistance, we could see a move toward the ATH at $3,500 and potentially higher.
However, if the price faces resistance and fails to break above $3,442–$3,450, a short-term pullback to around $3,275–$3,114 is possible. This would offer a healthier correction within the broader uptrend.
The bullish structure remains valid as long as price stays above $3,057.
Silver H4 | Falling toward a pullback supportSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 38.37 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 37.40 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 40.12 which is a resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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Gold 4H - channel breakout, looking for 3518 nextGold has formed a clean ascending channel on the 4H chart, broke out above resistance, and is now pulling back into the 3385–3390 zone. This area aligns with volume clusters - a perfect entry zone for bulls waiting on the sidelines.
If price holds this zone and prints a reversal candle with volume, the upside target remains at 3518 - the 1.618 Fibonacci extension and historical resistance. Volume increased during the breakout move, confirming interest. RSI still has room to go higher, supporting the bullish continuation.
Fundamentally, gold remains a safe-haven asset amid geopolitical tension, USD weakness, and potential Fed easing. Central bank accumulation further supports the bullish case.
Tactical setup:
— Entry zone: 3385–3390
— Trigger: candle confirmation + volume
— Target: 3518
— Invalidation: break below 3360 without buyer volume
If the plan plays out — gold might shine bright while bears squint in disbelief.
Gold (XAU/USD) 4‑Hour Technical Analysis: July 23, 2025Gold continues to trade in a bullish structure on the 4‑hour timeframe, holding above $3,420 after a steady advance from early July lows. At the time of writing, XAU/USD stands at $3,423.8, confirmed by Investing.com. This analysis employs a comprehensive blend of globally‑recognized technical tools — ranging from price action and classical indicators to institutional concepts — to identify the most probable trading zones and a high‑conviction setup.
Current Price Structure and Trend
On the 4‑hour chart, gold maintains a clear bullish market structure, consistently printing higher highs and higher lows since early July. The current price action unfolds within a well‑defined rising channel, bounded approximately between $3,400 on the lower side and $3,450 on the upper. Twice in the past week, price has tested and respected the channel’s lower boundary, confirming its validity.
Support and resistance levels are evident: immediate support lies at $3,410, coinciding with the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the July impulse wave. Below that, $3,390–$3,395 offers secondary support at the channel’s base and a longer‑term Fibonacci cluster. Resistance is concentrated at $3,445–$3,450, aligning with the channel top, upper Bollinger Band, and prior swing highs, while a secondary ceiling may emerge near $3,468–$3,470, corresponding to an Elliott Wave 3 extension target.
Candlestick, Volume, and Momentum
Recent price action has been supported by bullish candlestick formations. Notably, a strong bullish engulfing bar formed at $3,410 earlier this week, affirming institutional demand at that level. Volume profile analysis shows the heaviest transaction cluster between $3,410–$3,420, confirming this area as a smart money accumulation zone.
Volume‑weighted average price (VWAP ) currently runs near $3,418, with price holding above it, reflecting institutional positioning in favor of the bulls. Momentum indicators support the trend: MACD on the 4‑hour has just crossed bullish, RSI prints at 60 — strong but not overbought — and ADX climbs to 24, indicating a trend strengthening phase.
Indicators, Patterns, and Institutional Concepts
Trend indicators reinforce the bullish view. The 50‑ and 100‑period exponential moving averages converge around $3,415–$3,420, providing dynamic support. Ichimoku analysis shows price well above the Kumo (cloud), with a bullish Tenkan‑Kijun configuration. Bollinger Bands are widening, and price is leaning toward the upper band — a classic signal of volatility expansion in trend direction.
Classical and harmonic patterns offer further evidence. The current consolidation resembles a bull flag, suggesting continuation. Elliott Wave analysis points to a third wave in progress, with an upside projection into the $3,448–$3,468 area. Smart money concepts confirm that the recent break above $3,420 constituted a bullish break of structure (BOS), with price now retracing into a favorable gap (FVG) and a 4‑hour bullish order block anchored around $3,410–$3,415.
Liquidity and stop‑clusters likely sit above $3,445 and $3,468, making these logical targets for bullish campaigns.
Market Context and Sentiment
Gold is benefiting from a softening US dollar and a drop in volatility indexes. Seasonal tendencies also lean bullish into late summer. Sentiment on professional platforms aligns with this view: TradingView top authors and FXStreet analysts favor buying pullbacks into $3,410–$3,415 and targeting $3,450–$3,468, which harmonizes with this analysis. No major divergence from consensus is noted, adding to confidence.
Identified Trading Zones
Two strong buy zones emerge on the 4‑hour chart. The most immediate and highest‑confidence zone is $3,410–$3,415, supported by channel support, Fibonacci retracement, VWAP, moving averages, and an order block. Below this lies a secondary buy zone at $3,390–$3,395, tied to deeper Fibonacci support and the rising channel’s lower boundary.
On the other hand, clear sell zones are defined at $3,445–$3,450, where upper channel resistance, Bollinger bands, and prior highs converge, and a secondary zone at $3,468–$3,470, aligned with wave targets and round‑number psychological resistance. These areas are likely to attract profit‑taking and potential reversals.
The Golden Setup
Among the findings, one trade stands out as the highest‑conviction setup:
A long position at $3,415, with a stop loss at $3,405 and a take profit at $3,450.
This trade is backed by strong confluence: price pulling back into a well‑defined demand zone ($3,410–$3,415) that features order block support, Fibonacci retracement, VWAP alignment, EMA cluster support, and a rising channel boundary. The target sits just below the first significant resistance band ($3,445–$3,450), offering a favorable risk‑to‑reward ratio. The confidence level on this setup is rated at 8/10, given the multi‑method alignment and consistent sentiment from professional sources.
Summary Table
Category Levels / Details
Buy Zones $3,410–$3,415, $3,390–$3,395
Sell Zones $3,445–$3,450, $3,468–$3,470
Golden Setup Long @ $3,415 / SL $3,405 / TP $3,450 (Confidence: 8/10)
In conclusion, gold maintains a constructive technical outlook on the 4‑hour timeframe. The prevailing bullish structure, reinforced by classical and institutional methodologies, supports a continuation toward the $3,450–$3,468 region. The suggested Golden Setup provides a disciplined, high‑probability entry at a key inflection zone, consistent with both technical evidence and prevailing market sentiment.
XAGUSD Outlook – 40 Remains the Next TargetIn my previous XAGUSD analysis, I argued that the trend was strongly bullish and that a move toward 40 was the next logical outcome. At the time, price was correcting, and I highlighted the 37.50 zone as a key area to look for long opportunities.
✅ Indeed, Silver respected that zone perfectly —
It retested the broken consolidation, found support, and then surged higher, marking a new multi-year high in yesterday’s session.
________________________________________
🔍 What Now?
Nothing has changed in the broader view:
• Trend: Strongly bullish
• Structure: Higher highs and higher lows remain intact
• Behavior: Dips are being bought aggressively
As long as the recent 37.50 low is not broken, the strategy remains straightforward:
Buy dips within bullish continuation
________________________________________
🎯 40 in Sight — But Don’t Be Surprised if It Goes Further
The 40 zone remains the natural next target — a major psychological level.
But based on current momentum and breakout strength, Silver could go even higher in the coming weeks and months. If buyers keep control, we might even see new ATH test by year's end (50 zone).
________________________________________
🟢 Conclusion
This breakout confirms the larger trend.
The pullback to 37.50 was bought, as expected, and now Silver is making its move.
Strategy should remain the same:
Stay long above 37.50
Buy the dips
Watch how price reacts near 40 — but keep an open mind for higher levels
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold Update – Strong Breaks, Strong BullsYesterday, after the break of the key 3370 resistance, Gold corrected slightly toward 3383, then consolidated briefly in that area. From there, it launched into a strong new leg up, closing the day once more near the highs, around 3430.
📌 What’s important here is that the price did not even come back to retest the broken resistance — now turned support. Combined with the strong daily close near the high of the range, this gives us a clear message:
➡️ Bulls are in full control.
________________________________________
🔍 This Week – Three Key Breaks
So far this week, Gold has delivered three major breakouts:
• ✅ A clean breakout from the box consolidation that kept price stuck and indecisive last week
• ✅ A decisive break above the 3400 psychological figure
• ✅ A breakout above the symmetrical triangle resistance, which had been forming since late April
Each of these is significant on its own. Together, they suggest a shift toward a more aggressive bullish scenario.
________________________________________
🔮 What’s Next?
All these breakouts point to the potential for more gains ahead.
In fact, the next logical step could be an attempt to mark a new All-Time High.
My view remains the same:
Buying dips remains the strategy of choice, with a focus on the 3400 zone as a key support area, and a swing target around 3500.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
USOIL POTENTIAL LONG|
✅CRUDE OIL has retested a key support level of 65.00$
And as the pair is already making a bullish rebound
A move up to retest the supply level above at 66.27$ is likely
LONG🚀
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SILVER Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is trading in a strong
Uptrend and the price made a
Bullish breakout of the key
Horizontal level of 39.10$
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅GOLD is set to retest a
Strong resistance level above at 3450$
After trading in an uptrend for some time
Which makes a bearish pullback a likely scenario
With the target being a local support below at 3414$
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Crude Oil Rebound Incoming? Key Demand Zone 📈 1. Technical Analysis – Daily Chart (CL1!)
The price has returned to a demand zone between 64.60 and 65.30, an area that previously triggered strong bullish reactions.
The July 22nd candle shows a clear lower wick, indicating potential buyer absorption and a possible short-term reversal.
The next key resistance lies between 67.80 and 68.80, which aligns with a well-defined supply zone.
Daily RSI remains weak but shows signs of bullish divergence, suggesting potential accumulation.
Bias: bullish from current levels, targeting 67.50 – 68.00. Invalidation on a daily close below 64.40.
2. Institutional Sentiment – COT Report (CFTC, July 15, 2025)
Non-Commercials (Speculators)
Long: 308,915 (↓ -24,223)
Short: 146,488 (↑ +22,724)
Net Position: sharply declining → bearish divergence in speculative sentiment
Commercials (Hedgers)
Long: 857,803 (↑ +66,342)
Short: 1,046,199 (↑ +18,118)
Net Position: still negative, but improving → reduced hedging = less downside pressure
📉 Interpretation:
Funds are closing longs and adding shorts, showing bearish positioning. However, commercials are slowly reducing their hedging exposure, which could indicate short-term stabilization if the technical support holds.
3. Seasonality
Periods analyzed: 20, 15, 10, 5, and 2 years
July historically shows negative average returns:
-0.71% (20Y)
-1.26% (15Y)
-1.37% (10Y)
The seasonal pattern indicates continued cyclical weakness into August.
📌 Interpretation:
The summer period typically brings seasonal bearish pressure, which aligns with current 2025 performance.
🌐 4. Macro & Fundamentals
EIA inventory builds for 3 consecutive weeks → demand weakness in the U.S.
No additional OPEC+ cuts announced → supply remains ample
Stable inflation data in the U.S. and China → no uptick in energy demand
Overall macro data is neutral with a slightly bearish short-term bias
Gold Market Update – Key Zones for the Next MoveHey gold lovers! As the NY session wraps up, the chart is a painting of tension: gold boxed tight between major structure — and the real action is only about to start.
Bias:
At this stage, gold remains in a short-term bullish structure as long as price holds above the 3421–3428 decision area. A break and hold below this zone would shift the bias to neutral or bearish for the next sessions.
🎨 What’s drawn on the chart?
🟥 3472–3478 Supply Zone:
The ceiling, still untouched — this is where every failed breakout has left a “scar” on the chart. If we finally reach this zone, watch for wicks, rejections, or that rare, clean breakout candle. Sellers and patient bulls are both watching for “the drawing” to be complete.
🟩 3383–3390 Demand Zone:
The real floor. On your chart, it’s the base built by strong bounces and those long wicks buyers left behind. If price falls here, it’s not just a line: it’s a zone where new rallies are born and the market might “paint” a major reversal.
🟦 The Middle is Just Noise
Price is coiling, painting confusion in the center — but the edge zones are where structure and opportunity live.
Don’t be the trader who gets erased in the chop. Let price draw the story at supply or demand before making your move.
💡 Plan for Tonight
Wait for price to reach 🟥 supply or 🟩 demand.
Watch the “drawing” — will you see a wick, a rejection, or a true breakout?
Only trade once the story is clear at the edges.
Drop your best chart art or scenario below!
like🚀🚀🚀and 🔔 Follow for real structure updates & daily market stories — let’s turn trading into a masterpiece, together.
GoldFxMinds
USOIL Long From Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USOIL made a retest of
The horizontal support
Level of 64.86$ from where
We are already seeing a bullish
Reaction so we will be expecting
A further local move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.