Trade Idea: Long XAUUSD (BUY STOP)
Bias: Long
Order Type: Buy Stop
Entry: 3392.60 (above current swing high & clean momentum continuation)
Stop Loss: 3379.00 (below local support & M15 20/50 SMA)
Take Profit: 3430.00
Risk-Reward: ~2.7R
⸻
📈 Multi-Timeframe Breakdown:
H4:
• Structure remains bullish.
• Price is breaking out of a range with a clean reclaim of both SMAs.
• Momentum increasing, MACD histogram turning up, signaling trend continuation.
M15:
• Strong impulsive rally from ~3290s to ~3390.
• Higher highs and higher lows cleanly respected.
• Price consolidating at the highs—ideal for breakout continuation setups.
M3:
• Momentum is persistent with shallow pullbacks.
• Small flag forming near 3390 = ideal for a stop entry just above.
• RSI cooling off but still in bullish structure—no divergence yet.
⸻
🧠 Trade Logic:
This is a momentum continuation play after a clean intraday impulse. The market has shown strong upside commitment across all timeframes and is now pausing in a flag/pennant above the breakout zone. A buy stop avoids chasing and only gets triggered if the market confirms with new demand.
⸻
🛡️ Risk Management & Execution:
• Invalidation Window (SL-to-BE Zone):
Move SL to breakeven once price closes above 3401 on M3 with bullish structure.
→ This marks a clear micro higher high and exit from the current consolidation range.
• SL Placement Justification:
3379 is just below the M15 demand zone and SMA confluence—if price breaks below, momentum has failed.
• Entry Execution:
If the flag structure gets invalidated before entry (e.g., price dips sharply), cancel the buy stop.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Commodities
GOLD surges to hit $3,371 target, continues to aim for $3,400OANDA:XAUUSD rose nearly 3% as US President Trump's tariff threats ratcheted up trade tensions, spurring investor demand for safe-haven assets and sending the dollar sharply lower.
US President Trump said on Friday he would raise tariffs on steel and aluminium imports from the US to 50% from the current 25% starting June 4. This has once again disrupted international trade, Reuters reported.
A European Commission spokesperson expressed deep regret over the US announcement that it would raise tariffs and said the EU was ready to take countermeasures.
Gold prices surged on Monday to a more than four-week high and continued to rise early this morning (Tuesday, June 3) as geopolitical risks from the conflict between Russia and Ukraine escalated as US President Donald Trump continued to threaten tariffs. Trump doubled tariffs on steel and aluminum imports to 50%, effective June 4, adding to jitters in global markets.
Ukraine launched its biggest drone attack since the war against Ukraine on Sunday, targeting a wide swath of Russian air bases on the eve of a second round of direct talks between the two countries. The drones, hidden in trucks, penetrated deep into Russia and hit strategic airfields as far away as eastern Siberia. At the same time, Moscow launched one of its longest drone and missile strikes on Kiev.
In key US data on Monday, the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for May showed a contraction in business activity. The ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for May came in at 48.5, down from 48.7 in April, the lowest reading since November.
Investors will also be closely watching comments from Federal Reserve policymakers this week for clues on the path of U.S. interest rates. Gold tends to benefit in low-interest-rate environments and times of geopolitical tension.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
After reaching the target increase at 3,371 USD, gold temporarily decreased slightly but overall it has enough conditions to continue to increase in price towards the next target at 3,400 USD in the coming time.
In the short term, gold also formed an upward price channel, which is noted by the price channel, describing the short-term technical trend. Meanwhile, in terms of momentum, RSI is operating above 50, still quite far from the overbought area, showing that there is still a lot of room for growth ahead.
For the day, the main outlook for gold is bullish, any pullbacks that fail to break below the confluence of the EMA21 with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement should be considered only as a short-term correction, or a fresh buying opportunity.
Finally, the short-term bullish trend for gold will be focused again on the following positions.
Support: 3,326 – 3,300 – 3,292 USD
Resistance: 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,435 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3412 - 3410⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3416
→Take Profit 1 3404
↨
→Take Profit 2 3398
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3324 - 3326⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3320
→Take Profit 1 3332
↨
→Take Profit 2 3338
Natural Gas Roaring & SoaringNat gas had an epi +8% rally today.
The question is do the bull have more gas left in the tank or do the bears start to take over and press price lower?
We had news across the energy sector that spiked most energy assets.
Typically news based pops of this nature don't last.
If we get back above 3.84/3.85 then there might be a convincing opportunity to press this long
As of now i still lean bearish but holding no Nat Gas position.
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Breakout Analysis – 30-Minute Chart. This chart shows a bullish breakout in Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute timeframe. After breaking above key resistance levels around the 3,325.000 zone, price action has shown strong upward momentum. The chart suggests a potential short-term pullback (as illustrated by the blue retracement path) followed by a continuation toward the projected target zone near 3,400.000. Multiple support zones (highlighted in green) now provide a solid base for potential buying opportunities. This setup, marked by volume confirmation and structure breakout, aligns with a bullish market sentiment.
Gold is Setting up for a Move! Could it be a big one?Looking for price to set up for a solid move. One thing is for sure we are waiting for the killzones before taking any action. The price action the last few days has been giving fake outs just before we roll into the killzone. Be patient. Wait for things to line up.
Gold H4 | Approaching a swing-high resistanceGold (XAU/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 3,431.43 which is a swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 3,530.00 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 3,324.07 which is a pullback support.
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Weekly Market Forecast: Monday UPDATES!How accurate were the forecasts for S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures given in the Weekly Market Forecast for this week?
BULLSEYE!
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XAUUSD – Bearish Rejection from 4H Resistance | Trendline RetestGold (XAUUSD) is currently reacting to a well-respected 4H resistance zone. After a bullish push, the price is showing signs of rejection, suggesting a potential pullback toward the trendline support.
📌 Trade Idea:
Bias: Short-term bearish
Entry Zone: Near current resistance area
TP1: Minor support zone
TP2: Ascending trendline (watch for reaction)
SL: Above the resistance zone (invalidate on bullish breakout)
🧠 Confluences:
Strong historical 4H resistance
Clear market structure with higher lows
Trendline acting as dynamic support
Bearish reaction expected before continuation
⚠️ If price breaks and holds above resistance, this bearish idea becomes invalid. In that case, look for bullish continuation.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-2 : Post Market UpdateHuge move for metals today. Absolutely incredible.
Hope you GOT SOME.
BTCUSD and the SPY/QQQ stalled somewhat flat today. SPY was up 0.50% - nothing huge.
Going to be interesting to see how things play out in the Asian/European markets tonight.
Buckle up. Could be some very big moves hitting this week.
GET SOME.
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XAUUSD Daily Outlook — Monday, June 2, 2025“Compression in Premium: Is Gold Building for the Drop?”
👋 traders — let’s prepare the battlefield.
Gold continues to range inside a tight compression box just under the May High. The current daily structure is showing clear signs of distribution inside premium, with multiple failed attempts to break higher. Each upside wick has been absorbed near 3328–3350, and price is now hovering just above key support near EMA50 + PNL (3228–3232).
This setup is classic: lower highs + equal lows + trapped liquidity = imminent breakout. We now anticipate either a clean breakdown below support, or one final inducement wick before the move begins.
🔹 Daily Structure Breakdown
Structure Element Status
Market Bias 📉 Bearish short-term (distribution signs)
Trend Sideways in premium, LH forming
Current Price ~3289 USD
April ATH 3500 (untouched since)
Last CHoCH/BOS BOS confirmed early May → bullish, but no follow-through
Current Setup Range-bound inside lower high, testing OB support
🔹 Refined Daily Zones
📍 Zone Type Key Levels What to Watch
🔺 Rejection Zone #1 3328 – 3342 Daily supply + previous bearish wick zone. Watch for rejection or inducement spike.
🔹 Key Support Zone 3232 – 3228 PNL + EMA50 cluster. Critical line — a clean break opens downside continuation.
🔹 Demand Block 3190 – 3180 Micro OB from May low. If support fails, this is the next magnet.
🔻 Breakdown Target 3044 Unfilled imbalance + clean demand zone from April breakout leg.
🔹 EMA & Momentum Check
✅ EMA 5/21/50: Still aligned bullish
⚠️ Price is sitting on top of EMA50 → breakdown threat if today's candle closes below 3228
RSI likely showing divergence — lower highs in price, weakening momentum
🔹 Daily Bias & Scenarios
📉 Bearish Bias below 3328
✅ Compression inside premium = expect breakout
🎯 Target 1: 3190 | 🎯 Target 2: 3044
❗ Bullish continuation only valid above 3342 with strong PA
🧠 Strategy Plan for Monday:
Sell Setup:
If price retests 3328–3342 early → watch for rejection → short toward 3190
Breakdown Setup:
Clean close below 3228 → open short continuation toward 3180
Buy Setup:
Only valid on deep retracement into 3180 with strong rejection + M15 structure shift
OR bullish breakout and hold above 3342 → target retest of May high
💬 Final Thoughts from GoldFxMinds:
Gold is compressing just below premium rejection — exactly where smart money distribution begins. This is not the moment to long blindly. Let the market show its hand — either break support, or spike into one final trap before dropping.
Trade with structure. Not emotion.
💡 Found this helpful?
📍 Follow GoldFxMinds for intraday sniper-entry updates, refined zones, and structured trade planning
💬 Drop a LIKE if you’re prepared to let the trap trigger before you react
👇 Comment below: Will gold hold 3228 or flush into 3190 this week?
Let’s start June with clarity and control.
— GoldFxMinds
GOLD Eiffel Tower M pattern now completeI have been posting gold charts since February 2024. Both Bullish and GTFO charts. See below.
This current setup has presented a great risk-reward setup.
1. GTFO still remains firmly in place.
2. The lower high M pattern could be setting up for a corrective bull flag for more upside.
If the Eiffel Tower plays out. You will not be involved.
If the corrective pattern plays out, you will have a clear, solid buy signal.
Click Boost, Follow and Subscribe for more updated data and info. Let's get to 5,000! ;))
XAUUSD 8H: This isn’t balance — it’s broadening distributionAt first glance, it may seem like gold is consolidating. In reality, price is unfolding inside a broadening formation — a structure where highs stretch higher, lows drop deeper, and real direction vanishes behind controlled volatility. This isn’t random noise. It’s Smart Money engineering a distribution phase under the cover of market indecision. And right now, the direction is forming clearly — downward.
The key moment was the failed breakout above 3357 on May 24. Volume spiked 19% above average, but the candle body collapsed. That’s a textbook deviation — a classic liquidity grab. The next candle confirmed the failure by closing back below the level, and no bullish recovery followed. Instead, price printed a lower high around 3305–3315, failing to retest the top. And when price can’t go higher — it usually goes lower.
Confirmation comes from the Anchored VWAP from May 13, which was broken cleanly and never retested. That’s a major shift in control — from buyer to seller. Now price trades below VWAP, with every bullish candle fading and every bearish reaction gaining strength. This is not trend continuation. This is exhaustion.
Volume profile shows the Point of Control between 3297 and 3301 — and price sits well below it. The bulk of liquidity is now overhead. That zone between 3305–3315 is where Smart Money already sold once — and if price returns there, it becomes an ideal re-entry short zone, especially if followed by rejection candles or low-volume pushups.
Targets are clean:
→ 3228 — first liquidity shelf.
→ 3164 — former impulse base.
→ 3084 — if breakdown accelerates.
Everything lines up: deviation, failed breakout, VWAP lost, volume fading, lower highs forming. This isn’t a pause. This is a phase transition — and the market already voted.
The latest gold trend analysis strategy on June 2
Core influencing factors
Dollar trend: The rebound of the US dollar index suppresses gold prices, but if the PCE data is lower than expected, the US dollar may fall back and provide support for gold.
Fed policy expectations: The market's expectations of interest rate cuts this year (currently priced at about 2 times) may limit the downward space of gold prices, but we need to be wary of hawkish rhetoric disturbances.
Risk aversion: Trade situation and geopolitical uncertainty may intermittently boost gold demand.
Technical key positions: $3300-3310 is a strong resistance zone, and $3260-3250 is short-term support.
Market outlook
Bearish signal:
The daily level failed to stand firm at the 3300 mark, and the 1-hour moving average turned downward, with short-term momentum biased to the bearish side.
If the US dollar continues to rebound or the PCE data is stronger than expected, the gold price may fall to the 3260-3250 support range.
Bullish signal:
If PCE data is weak or risk aversion heats up, gold prices may test the 3300-3315 resistance zone again.
Under the wide range of fluctuations at the monthly level, the buying support below 3260 may be strong.
Operation strategy
Short-term trading:
Short-term opportunity: When the rebound to the 3305-3315 range is under pressure, short with a light position, stop loss above 3320, target 3280-3265.
Long order opportunities: If it pulls back to the 3260-3250 area and stabilizes (such as the K-line shrinks or a hammer line appears), you can try long orders with a stop loss of 3240 and a target of 3280-3300.
Mid-term layout:
If it effectively falls below 3250 at the beginning of next week, it may open up the downward space to 3220-3200; on the contrary, if it stands firm at 3315, it will look up to 3340-3360.
Risk warning:
Market volatility may increase after Friday's PCE data, so be alert to rapid reversals.
Avoid chasing ups and downs, and pay attention to changes in volume near key positions.
Key points
Resistance: 3305-3315 (strong if broken), 3340 (previous high)
Support: 3280 (intraday), 3260-3250 (strong and weak boundary), 3220 (medium term)
Summary: Gold is short-term technically bearish, but fundamental support is still there. It is recommended to treat it with a volatile mindset, focus on the breakthrough direction of the 3300-3260 range, and be cautious in holding positions before and after the data.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out as analysed.
We started the day with our Bullish target hit at 3305 followed with ema5 cross and lock confirmation for 3334, which was hit perfectly with a further lock opening 3359 also completed.
We now have a cross and lock above 3359 opening 3389. We will continue to track the movement using cross and lock and any rejections on the levels will see price test the lower Goldturns for support and bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3305 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3305 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3334 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3334 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3359 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3359 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3389
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3478
BEARISH TARGETS
3271
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3271 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3227
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3227 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3185
3146
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,371.01 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Analysis strategy for the latest gold trend on June 2:
The strengthening of the US dollar suppressed the gold price: the US dollar index rebounded, and gold fell under pressure.
Impact of tariff policy: The tariff policy during the Trump period was restored, and the market risk aversion fluctuated, but it did not significantly boost gold.
Expectations of the Fed's interest rate cut: Weak inflation data strengthened expectations of interest rate cuts, but short-term support for gold was limited.
Key event risks:
Powell's speech (next Tuesday): The market is paying attention to his statement on interest rate policy.
Fed officials have spoken intensively: This may affect the market's expectations of the pace of interest rate cuts.
1. Daily level
The closing price fell below 3300 (the middle track support of the Bollinger band), and the weekly decline exceeded 2.1%, with bears dominating.
Key support: 3250 (if it falls below, it may accelerate downward).
Key resistance: 3325 (if it breaks through, it may return to oscillating upward).
2. 1-hour level
The moving average is short-term, the 3325 resistance is strong, and the short-term rebound momentum is insufficient.
Friday's trend: The Asian and European sessions fluctuated downward, with the lowest at 3271. After rebounding, it fell again, indicating that the main force was washing the market.
Short-term trend: If it fails to break through the 3310-3313 resistance zone, it may continue to test 3250.
1. Short position layout (main strategy)
Entry range: 3308-3313 (rebound test resistance level)
Stop loss: above 3320 (prevent false breakthrough)
Target: 3295→3285→3250 (take profit in batches)
2. Long orders are carefully observed (counter-trend strategy)
Conditions: If it quickly drops to 3250 and stabilizes, you can go long with a light position (need to cooperate with oversold signals or US dollar pullback).
Stop loss: below 3240 (prevent further breakout).
Powell's speech: If a strong dovish signal is released (such as clarifying the time for interest rate cuts), the decline in gold may be reversed.
Geopolitical emergencies: If the situation escalates, safe-haven buying may push gold higher in the short term.
Dollar trend: If the dollar pulls back, gold may see a technical rebound.
Short-term trend: Bearish, pay attention to the pressure in the 3300-3313 resistance zone.
Trading strategy: Mainly short selling on rebound, strictly set stop loss, and avoid blindly buying at the bottom.
Medium- and long-term focus: Fed policy trends and economic data, if expectations of interest rate cuts heat up, gold may usher in a new round of gains.
(The market is changing rapidly, it is recommended to flexibly adjust strategies based on real-time data to control risks.)
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 34.374 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 33.902..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
There remains a risk of further downside for crude oil prices.During Monday's US trading session, international oil prices rebounded strongly. The main US crude contract surged 2.5% at one point to $62.31 per barrel, while the August Brent crude futures also rose more than 2% to $64.12 per barrel. Two key drivers underlie this rally: OPEC+'s maintenance of a "modest production increase" strategy at its weekend meeting, and Ukraine's surprise attack on a Russian military airfield. The crude oil market is currently in a dual game of "policy and geopolitics": OPEC+ seeks to balance the market with "modest production increases," while Ukraine's raid serves as a reminder that black swans are never far away.
Short-term Outlook:
US oil prices may remain range-bound between $60-$64 per barrel.
However, if the Russia-Ukraine conflict deteriorates or internal rifts within OPEC+ deepen, a new round of violent volatility (sharp rallies or crashes) cannot be ruled out.
Technical Analysis:
Early trading saw oil prices consolidate in a narrow range near $61, reflecting a secondary rhythm.
The MACD indicator is bearishly diverging below the zero axis with strong bearish momentum, suggesting a risk of continued downward movement in crude oil prices during the session.
Trading Strategy:
sell@63.5-64.0
TP:61.6-62.0
GOLD Massive Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in a strong
Uptrend and the price just
Made a massive bullish
Breakout of the falling
Resistance line and the
Breakout is confirmed
So after a potential pullback
We will be expecting a
Further bullish continuation
Buy!
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Gold Rebounds Off 50-Day SMA Support in Bullish Continuation SetGold is reasserting its uptrend following a strong bounce off confluence support around the 50-day moving average and trendline:
Uptrend Intact: Price continues to respect the rising trendline and 50-day SMA (~$3,235), which acted as a springboard for the latest push.
Momentum Shift: The MACD has turned higher again after cooling off through April-May, while RSI is climbing toward the 60 zone, a constructive sign.
Next Resistance: A move above $3,400 would expose the all-time high region near $3,460.
Structure: This appears to be a textbook continuation pattern—higher lows and resilience above the short-term MAs indicate buyers remain in control.
A break below ~$3,230 would neutralize the bullish structure, but for now, bulls look reenergized.
-MW