Gold Future MCXThe Gold Future Price is Stuck in A Triangle Trend Lines.
There is Good Action Seen from Both Buyers and Sellers. Lets se who wins it.
If the price breaks DOWN the Support Trend Line with Good Volume "THE PRICE CAN TRAVEL DOWN TILL 90000 Levels."
If the Price Breks UP the Resistance Trend Line with Good Volume " THE PRICE CAN TRAVEL UP TILL 95500 Levels."
NOTE: (In My View)
Price Going Down till 90000 is More Likely.....
Commodities
Gold War Room: Battle Scenario for May 28 Hello, warriors of GoldMindsFX!
Tomorrow is not just another trading day — it’s FOMC Minutes day, and that means the battlefield will be wild. Forget calm, forget predictability — the chart is set for ambushes, fakeouts, and sharp reversals at every zone.
The Arena: Structure Zones in Play
3325–3335: The Fortress Wall 🏰
Every bull attack so far has been repelled here. Sellers line up and wait for overconfident buyers. Expect “arrow volleys” (liquidity hunts), quick spikes, and sudden reversals right at the gates if FOMC brings volatility.
3307–3312: The Front Line ⚔️
The battle flips fast here. This zone loves to lure both sides in, only to trap and reverse. FOMC minutes may use this spot to create the first fake move — don’t fall for the head fake.
3286–3295: The Battlefield 🛡️
This is where the real fight will erupt. If buyers defend, you’ll see huge wicks, maybe even a counterattack. If it cracks, expect a fast retreat and bears to charge in.
3272–3280: The Last Stand 🏴
If price falls here, bulls have one chance to rally the troops. If this fortress falls, it’s open ground for bears — could get wild, so don’t get caught in the chaos.
The Scenario
Before FOMC:
Expect fake moves, traps, and low conviction. Liquidity will pool at all these zones as the market waits for the signal.
During/After FOMC:
Be ready for surprise attacks — sharp spikes, liquidity sweeps, and instant reversals.
The real winner is the one who reacts at the zone, not the one who predicts.
Final Word
No matter your side — bull or bear — tomorrow is all about reading the battlefield and acting with sniper discipline.
Don’t be a hero in the middle. Let the market show its hand at the big walls, and pick your moment.
Mark your zones, load up your patience, and stay on high alert — GoldMindsFX is battle ready! 🚀⚔️
Drop a follow if you want to see the post-battle recap, and send a shield or sword in the chat for your side!
— GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD – Post-FOMC Trading Plan | Key Resistance: 3308 – 3310XAUUSD – Post-FOMC Trading Plan | Key Resistance: 3308 – 3310
📊 MACRO UPDATE – After the FOMC Decision:
The Fed kept interest rates unchanged as expected, but the tone remained hawkish. Chairman Powell reiterated that inflation remains too high and ruled out any near-term rate cuts, signaling prolonged restrictive policy.
This led to a swift rebound in the US Dollar and Treasury yields, weighing on gold. However, XAUUSD bounced back late in the session, suggesting the market is re-evaluating key technical zones post-announcement.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – H1/H4 Chart Structure:
Gold remains in a corrective descending structure but is now reacting around key Fibonacci levels. The 13–34–89 EMAs provide dynamic support and resistance, and a potential double bottom has formed near the 3245–3247 zone.
🧠 Two key levels to watch:
3308–3310: major resistance with trendline + FVG confluence
3245–3247: strong horizontal support + Fib 0.618 retracement
🎯 TRADE SETUPS:
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3247 – 3245
Stop-Loss: 3241
Take-Profit: 3251 → 3255 → 3260 → 3264 → 3270 → 3275 → 3280
🔵 BUY SCALP: 3263 – 3261
Stop-Loss: 3257
Take-Profit: 3266 → 3270 → 3275 → 3280 → 3290 → 3300
🔴 SELL SCALP: 3294 – 3296
Stop-Loss: 3300
Take-Profit: 3290 → 3286 → 3282 → 3278 → 3274 → 3270 → 3260
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3308 – 3310
Stop-Loss: 3314
Take-Profit: 3304 → 3300 → 3296 → 3292 → 3288 → 3280
📌 STRATEGIC OUTLOOK:
Unless price breaks above 3310 with strong momentum, sellers are still in control short term. Any rejection from the resistance zone could offer clean short entries. A breakout, however, would shift sentiment and expose 3340–3360 next.
Patience is key — let price react before committing to entries.
USOIL:Long thinking, target 62.5
USOIL: Same idea, the front 61.3-61.5 has been given to the entry point, it is slowly rising, the upper target is still seen near 62.5.
So strategically, stay long and wait for the rally, TP@62.5
Tip: It is always right to sell when there is a profit, according to individual risk appetite.
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here →→→
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" Or just find me→→→
Hanzo / Gold 30min Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )🆚 Gold
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market tactics
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 30 M TF
————-
☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 3315 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
💯 Reasons : / 2025 Retest of 3315
- 09 / May ( Wick's + Rejections )
- 21 / May ( Break + Pump )
- 22 / May ( Break + Retest )
- 23 / May ( Break + Pump )
- 27 / May ( Break + Retest )
👌 3315 key level
Volume is High
Volume And the most Cluster Area
and also have solid HVN Volume
—————-
☄️ Bearish Setup After Break Out – 3283 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
💯 Reasons : / 2025 Retest of 3283
- 12 / May ( Bearish Retest )
- 20 / May ( Wick Retest at same point )
- 21 / May ( Wick Retest And Pump )
- 22 / May ( Wick Retest at same point )
- 27 / May ( Wick Retest And Pump )
Hanzo / Gold 30min Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )
US court blocks Trump tax plan, GOLD falls sharplyOANDA:XAUUSD was sold off heavily in early morning trading on Thursday (May 29), with the price of gold falling to around $3,246/ounce, down more than $40 on the day.
Bloomberg reported that gold prices fell for the fourth consecutive day as the market digested news that a US trade court had blocked Trump's global tariff program. Gold prices fell 2% in the previous three trading days.
On Wednesday local time, a US federal court blocked the tariff policy announced by US President Trump on April 2, "Liberation Day", and ruled that Trump exceeded his authority and imposed comprehensive tariffs on countries that export more to the United States than they import.
The Court of International Trade in Manhattan said the US Constitution gives Congress the exclusive power to regulate trade with other countries, and the emergency powers the president declared to protect the US economy do not override those powers.
The lawsuit was filed by the Liberty Center for Justice, a non-profit, nonpartisan litigation organization in the United States, on behalf of small American businesses affected by the tariffs. It is the first major legal challenge to Trump’s tariff policies.
The U.S. Court of International Trade has ruled that most of Trump’s tariffs are illegal, sending the dollar even higher. A stronger dollar makes gold less attractive to buyers of safe-haven assets.
The Trump administration has filed a notice to appeal the ruling. The US Supreme Court is likely to have the final say in the landmark case, which could affect trillions of dollars in global trade.
The court's ruling dealt a blow to a pillar of the Republican Party's economic agenda and could reduce gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold will recover soon after falling to the important support level of 3,250 USD, note that you have read in the previous issues. However, falling below the Fibonacci 0.382% level with EMA21 is a negative signal for bullish expectations as this area becomes the nearest resistance.
But overall, gold is still in an uptrend with the channel as the main trend. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching the nearest support at 50, an upward bend from this level would be considered a positive signal in terms of momentum.
As long as gold remains in/above the channel, I remain bullish and the notable positions are listed below.
Support: 3,250 – 3,228 USD
Resistance: 3,392 – 3,300 – 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3292 - 3290⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3296
→Take Profit 1 3284
↨
→Take Profit 2 3278
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3203 - 3205⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3199
→Take Profit 1 3211
↨
→Take Profit 2 3217
GOLD H1 Intraday Chart Update For 29 May 2025As you can see that there are some strong zones mentioned in chart
Intraday Trend remains down because market sustains below 3300 Psychological level
once market will break 3300 psychological level successfully then move towards 3335
Scalping Range is 3250-3280
if Market breaks 3250 level it will move towards 3200
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Gold shocks extreme pull, US market layout🗞News side:
1. Musk issued the "strongest" condemnation of Trump
2. Trump and Netanyahu failed to reach an agreement, and the US-Iran negotiations may be "disrupted" by Israel
📈Technical aspects:
The trading strategy we have given is still valid. The current gold price trend on the hourly chart shows a standard descending flag pattern. If this pattern continues to be effective, there is a high possibility that the gold price will fall below 3285-3280. Once it falls below this range, as we gave in the strategy this morning, it may fall to the 3260-3250 line. However, the premise for this expectation to be established is that the gold price cannot break through and stabilize on the upper track of the consolidation channel, otherwise the descending flag pattern will be invalid. Therefore, for US market operations, short positions can be arranged around the upper rail of 3325, paying attention to the suppression effect; for the lower rail, first pay attention to the support effect of 3300.
sell 3325-3330
TP 3310-3300
buy 3290-3280
TP 3310-3320
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold ABC Pattern Suggest Powerful BreakoutGOLD ANALYSIS 🟡 | Bullish Setup Building
Price is retracing after completing a corrective wave structure (A–B–C) under major descending trendline resistance. We're now sitting just above the 200 EMA and entering key demand zones aligned with ascending trendline support.
🔹 Confluences:
Trendline support + demand zone
200 EMA holding as dynamic support
Corrective structure complete (Wave C)
Higher timeframe bullish structure intact
📌 Buy Zones: $3,220 – $3,180
🎯 Target: Retest of $3,434
🛑 Invalidation: Clean break below $3,160
Price is setting up for a potential bullish continuation — watching for bullish confirmation from these demand zones. Patience is key.
USOIL HEIST ALERT: Thief Entry Loaded – Target Locked!🚨 The Ultimate US OIL / WTI Heist Plan – Thief Trading Style 🎯💸
Hey Money Makers, Hustlers, Market Bandits! 🌍
Hola, Ola, Bonjour, Hallo, Marhaba! 👋🌟
We’re back with a slick WTI energy market heist based on our 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥—powered by a mix of technical & fundamental strategies. The vault is wide open and the bullish loot awaits!
🗺️ Strategy Brief:
We’re aiming for a clean bullish getaway near the high-risk MA zone—where traps are set and bearish robbers lurk. Watch out for overbought zones, trend reversals, and consolidation ambushes.
📈 Entry Point:
“The vault is open! Enter the bullish heist at will.”
Look to place Buy Limit Orders around swing highs/lows or pullback levels on the 15m–30m timeframe.
🛑 Stop Loss:
Set your Thief SL around the recent swing low using the 3H timeframe (example: 60.300).
Adjust based on your risk appetite, lot size, and number of entries.
🎯 Target: 65.200
That's where we celebrate the score, traders! 🥂💸
📊 Heist Justification (Fundamentals + Sentiment):
The WTI market is currently bullish, fueled by a mix of:
✅ Macro economics
✅ COT data
✅ Seasonal trends
✅ Intermarket signals
✅ Inventory & storage dynamics
📌 For full analysis and future target breakdowns, check the linkk in our profilee 🔗👀
⚠️ Important Alert – Manage Your Risk During News:
🚫 Avoid fresh entries during major news releases
✅ Use trailing stops to protect running gains
Stay sharp, stay safe.
💥 Hit the Boost Button if you support the Thief Strategy!
Join the crew, ride the wave, and let’s rob the market like pros 💼🕶️💰
📅 Stay tuned for the next master plan. Another heist is always around the corner.
Until then – steal smart, win big! 🐱👤🔥
Coffee Pullback or Opportunity?The COT report dated May 20, 2025, reveals a gradual cooling of speculative sentiment in the coffee market. Non-commercials (speculative funds and money managers), who had largely fueled the strong rally towards the 420 USX/lb highs, are now closing long positions (–2,599 contracts), though they still maintain a significantly positive net exposure (+43,300 net contracts).
At the same time, commercials (industry operators such as roasters, exporters, and processors) have reduced both their long and short positions. However, the drop in short hedges (–4,103 contracts) is an important signal—it may suggest less need for downside protection at current prices, often an early sign of a potential market bottom.
Total open interest has decreased by 4,406 contracts, signaling a phase of liquidation and consolidation, where traders are reducing exposure rather than initiating new positions.
📌 Fundamental conclusion: The market is undergoing a healthy reset following the Q1 2025 boom, with speculators stepping back and commercials cautiously optimistic.
📈 Seasonal Analysis
Seasonal tendencies align well with the current technical outlook. May is historically a weak month, with negative average returns across most time frames (10y, 15y, 20y).
However, from June—especially July onward, data shows a strong seasonal rebound, with July–August being statistically the best-performing period of the year for coffee. This is partly due to climate-related risks (Brazilian winter, frost risk) and harvest/logistics cycles in key producing regions.
📌 Seasonal conclusion: June may offer a strategic accumulation window ahead of the traditional summer coffee rally.
🧭 Technical Analysis (Daily)
The KC1! daily chart clearly reflects a distribution and correction phase following the early March peak at 420 USX/lb.
Price has broken below the 355–360 demand zone and is currently testing a key support area between 340 and 325, previously established as a demand base during January–February 2025.
The medium-term trend remains bullish, but the market is now in a downward corrective channel, with lower highs and lower lows.
The weekly RSI sits in a low-neutral range—not yet fully oversold, suggesting there may still be room for further downside, though the bulk of the correction may already be priced in.
📌 Technical conclusion: The market is undergoing a deep pullback within a broader uptrend and is approaching potential reversal zones.
🔎 Strategic Outlook
The coffee market is in the midst of a cyclical and technical correction following its sharp Q1 2025 rally. The COT report reflects a rebalancing of speculative positioning, while commercials appear less aggressive on the short side. Seasonality favors a rebound starting June, and the technicals point to a potential long-entry zone around 340–325, attractive for medium-term positioning.
✅ Recommended Trading Setup
Base scenario (medium-term long):
Entry: Between 340 and 325 USX/lb (gradual accumulation)
Stop Loss: Weekly close below 320 (bearish confirmation)
Target 1: 390 (intermediate supply zone)
Target 2: 410–420 (return to highs)
Confluence: RSI support, COT shift, seasonal upside, technical demand zone
Alternative scenario (bearish breakdown):
Only if weekly closes below 320
This would open room toward 300–285 USX/lb
📌 Final Conclusion
While short-term caution is warranted, current conditions offer attractive long re-entry opportunities for those who await confirmation around the 325–340 support area.
The ideal setup would include:
Weekly stabilization with higher lows
Renewed speculative long positioning in COT
Seasonal momentum kicking in from mid-June
Gold Technical Analysis - Potential Rising Wedge Signals CautionGold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,340 - $3,350 area, exhibiting a bullish market structure characterized by higher highs and higher lows. The price has recently tested the resistance zone between $3,330 and $3,350, a level that has previously acted as a ceiling for upward movements. A decisive break above this resistance could pave the way for further gains, with potential targets at $3,371 and beyond. Conversely, failure to sustain above this level may lead to a pullback toward the support zone around $3,300.
The rising wedge on Gold signals caution for bulls. Unless there's a strong breakout above $3,365 , the pattern favors a bearish move toward $3,250 or lower.
✅ Long Bias – Bullish Outlook
Gold is currently trading in an uptrend , supported by:
Higher lows and higher highs structure.
Strong bullish momentum on the rebound from the recent dip around $3,120 .
Fundamentals like economic uncertainty, interest rate cut expectations, or geopolitical tension that often support gold prices.
If price breaks and holds above $3,350–$3,365 , it would confirm bullish continuation, and a long position targeting $3,400–$3,500 is valid.
🔻 Short Setup – Bearish Outlook
Consider a short trade only if:
Price gets rejected from $3,350–$3,365 .
A lower high is confirmed (on H4 or Daily TF).
Bearish candlestick patterns appear at resistance.
Break below $3,300 would open downside targets to $3,250 , and potentially $3,200 .
⚠️ Caution Zone – Potential Pullback
However, there are early signs of exhaustion:
Price is testing a descending trendline + previous weekly high (~$3,330–$3,350) – a key decision point.
If rejection is confirmed, we might see a retest of support near $3,300 or $3,250 .
📊 Current Market Structure
Chart Pattern : Rising Wedge
Timeframe : 4H and Daily
Resistance Trendline : Connecting recent highs around $3,320 → $3,350 → $3,365
Support Trendline : Connecting higher lows around $3,250 → $3,300 → $3,330
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support, which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 3,284.50
1st Support: 3,205.30
1st Resistance: 3,232.71
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish rise?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 61.68
1st Support: 60.72
1st Resistance: 63.49
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAUUSD Idea: Structure, Fibonacci Setup & S&P 500 Correlation📉 XAUUSD Trade Outlook 🧠🔍
Currently analyzing Gold (XAUUSD), and things are getting interesting. On the daily timeframe, we’ve seen a clear bearish break of market structure, and this shift is also evident on the 4-hour chart. 🕰️📉
I’m watching closely for a bullish retracement into my key Fibonacci 61.8% level, where I’ll be looking for confirmation of a bearish structural break to initiate a short position. 🎯🔽
When we compare this setup to the US500 (S&P 500), it becomes even more compelling. The indices have rallied hard and appear overextended — a correction seems likely. 📊🧾
If we do get that pullback in the indices, gold may rally temporarily, but my overall bias remains bearish. If the indices resume their uptrend after a pullback, I expect gold to weaken further, aligning with my current short-side outlook. ⚠️📉
🛑 This is not financial advice. Always do your own analysis and manage risk according to your trading plan.
💬 What are your thoughts on gold right now? Are you leaning bullish or bearish? Let me know in the comments! 👇
Will Gold Break Through 3366 or Collapse Before NFP? XAUUSD PLAN – MAY 26 | Will Gold Break Through 3366 or Collapse Before NFP?
Gold is approaching a key resistance zone as geopolitical uncertainty and shifting Fed signals add volatility to global markets. While recent bullish momentum has been strong, traders should prepare for potential shakeouts ahead of NFP week.
🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT
US–Iran Tensions on the Rise: Iran has warned the US it will bear full responsibility if Israel attacks its nuclear facilities. This comes just days before both sides are scheduled to resume nuclear negotiations, increasing the risk of escalation.
Goldman Sachs Signals a Safe-Haven Shift: With 20-year US bond auctions failing and yields surging, Goldman Sachs now recommends gold and Bitcoin as core hedge assets against fiscal instability and a weakening dollar.
DXY Losing Steam: The US Dollar Index is cooling off after a short-term rally, with Fed rate hike expectations becoming less certain.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – XAUUSD (M30 – H1)
Gold is consolidating in a bullish structure, bouncing within a rising channel and showing signs of potential continuation.
EMA13/EMA34 have crossed above EMA200 on the M30 chart → a sign of trend strength building.
A large Fair Value Gap (FVG) remains unfilled near 3360–3395 → potential magnet zone if bullish breakout succeeds.
🎯 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY
🟢 BUY SCALP
Entry: 3304 – 3302
SL: 3298
TP: 3308 → 3312 → 3316 → 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 3340
🟢 BUY ZONE
Entry: 3276 – 3274
SL: 3270
TP: 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3296 → 3300
🔴 SELL SCALP
Entry: 3344 – 3346
SL: 3350
TP: 3340 → 3336 → 3332 → 3328 → 3324 → 3320
🔴 SELL ZONE
Entry: 3376 – 3378
SL: 3382
TP: 3372 → 3368 → 3364 → 3360 → 3350
🧩 STRATEGIC KEYLEVELS
Key SELL Zone: 3358–3360 → If broken, gold may rush toward ATH targets.
Key BUY Zone: 3276–3274 → If lost, a deep retracement below 3200 is likely.
⚠️ NOTES TO TRADERS
This is a geo-politically sensitive market. Sudden news or tweets can trigger explosive moves.
Always wait for confirmation near key zones. Don't chase breakouts without structure.
Risk management is critical.
✅ SUMMARY:
"Political risk is the fuel. Gold is the fire. Stay sharp around the key levels and don't get caught in false breakouts. Be reactive, not predictive."
Silver H1 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 33.28, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 32.79, a swing low support.
The stop loss is set at 1.4481, a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAUUSD H1 Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 3287.34, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 3245, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 3323.49,an overlap resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Gold isn't breaking out — it’s breaking down.What we're seeing in gold right now is not a temporary pause — it's a calculated, smart money-driven transition from impulsive expansion into controlled redistribution. The rally from 3120 to 3357 wasn’t organic or trend-based — it was mechanical, steep, and uncorrected. And that’s the first red flag. When price travels that far without building any real base or demand, it’s often not aiming for continuation, but to reach a liquidity target. This was a liquidity run, not a sustainable breakout.
Then comes May 24 — a pivotal moment. Price breaks above 3357, spikes volume +19% over average — but delivers a weak candle body. The next bar doesn’t confirm, doesn’t expand, doesn’t even push the high. Instead, we get a failed breakout followed by retreat. That’s textbook deviation — a classic trap where market makers dump inventory while retail rushes to chase the breakout.
This happens inside the derivation area — that thin, deceptive range between 3357 and 3370. It’s where distribution is masked as strength. But price behavior reveals the truth: after tapping that zone, it didn’t hold. Price fell back inside the range. No retest. No follow-through. And most importantly — price has now closed beneath the anchored VWAP from May 13, shifting the control of the tape.
Anchored VWAP matters — it's the average weighted cost of the dominant positioning from smart money. And once price falls below it and stays there, we know demand has dried up. Add to that: shrinking candle ranges, decreasing volume, soft closes — all signs of exhaustion. RSI has already pulled off from overbought levels, Stochastic is turning down, and ADX shows trend strength fading.
But those indicators are just the shadow of what price already told us. We’ve lost structure. A lower high is forming. Price was rejected from the same zone that was previously supposed to be the breakout. It’s not consolidation anymore — it’s redistribution.
The path forward is tactical and logical. Price is likely headed first toward 3275 — that’s the shallow liquidity pocket. From there, we might get a pullback to 3305–3315 — not a rally, but a retest of the old sell zone. That’s where another leg of short interest can build. Then comes 3250 — the bottom of the last structural block. If that fails to hold, gold opens the door to 3205–3215 — a historical volume shelf and the next real support.
There’s no guessing here. The breakout failed. VWAP is broken. Momentum is gone. This isn’t the start of something higher — this is the start of the unwind. And while retail waits for 3400, smart money is already loading their next leg short.
FOMC minutes, GOLD market may see strong volatilityIn the Asian session, spot OANDA:XAUUSD recovered slightly after yesterday's sharp decline. Gold prices are currently holding price action around the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, the nearest support point. On this trading day, investors will look at the Federal Reserve meeting minutes, which are expected to cause major volatility in the gold market.
On Tuesday, as the Trump administration once again released positive information on trade, the market's risk appetite recovered, reducing demand for safe-haven assets such as gold.
On Thursday, the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will release the minutes of its May monetary policy meeting.
At its May 7 monetary policy meeting, the FOMC kept its policy rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, marking the third consecutive time this year. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell continued to maintain his "no rush to cut interest rates" stance.
The minutes released this time record the FOMC's detailed views on monetary policy and provide clues to the future direction of interest rate policy.
Economists generally believe that with few clear signs of stress in the labor market, Fed officials will be happy to keep rates on hold until changes in trade policy are reflected in the data, and the minutes are expected to reinforce that view.
There is a possibility that the tone of the minutes will be more hawkish than expected, which could support the US dollar to some extent, thereby affecting gold prices, but overall it will not create strong pressure.
But these are all predictions because I cannot predict what will be in the content of the US FED FOMC minutes, and all the content in the FOMC minutes will be directly reflected in the gold price. Traders need to pay special attention to this event on this trading day.
Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is still struggling to trade above the confluence area as initial support with the emergence of the 21-day moving average (EMA21) with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement.
The technical structure has hardly changed significantly with the trend still tilted to the upside. Holding above the $3,300 base point would be a good sign, on the other hand the $3,371 target would remain as a near-term upside target and a break of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement on gold would provide the technical conditions for the next upside target around $3,400 in the near-term, followed by $3,435 more than the all-time high of $3,500.
The relative strength index RSI is above 50, which is also a good signal in terms of momentum, from the RSI we can see that there is still a lot of room for growth ahead.
During the day, the bullish outlook for gold prices will be noticed by the following technical positions.
Support: 3,292 – 3,250 USD
Resistance: 3,300 – 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3365 - 3363⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3369
→Take Profit 1 3357
↨
→Take Profit 2 3351
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3263 - 3265⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3259
→Take Profit 1 3271
↨
→Take Profit 2 3277
XAUUSD is currently displaying a classic upward trend structure
Welcome back, traders, to today’s gold market update!
XAUUSD is currently displaying a classic upward trend structure within a rising channel, signaling sustained bullish momentum. The price continues to form higher highs and higher lows—clear evidence that the uptrend remains intact. The recent pullback appears to be a healthy correction, potentially setting the stage for another leg higher.
At the moment, price is approaching a key support zone, marked by the lower boundary of the channel and a previous demand area. If this zone holds, it could present a strong re-entry opportunity for buyers, with the next bullish target projected around $3,450—aligning with both the midline of the ascending channel and a prior resistance level.
As long as the price remains above this support area and the rising trendline, the bullish scenario stays valid. However, a breakdown below this level could invalidate the setup and increase the likelihood of a deeper retracement.
Gold’s consolidation below $3,350 is partly due to the optimism following Trump’s decision to delay tariffs on EU goods, which has acted as a short-term drag on this safe-haven asset. Nonetheless, lingering U.S.-China trade tensions, persistent geopolitical uncertainties, expectations of Fed rate cuts, and broad weakness in the U.S. dollar continue to provide underlying support for gold in the medium term.
Thank you for tuning in, and wishing you successful and disciplined trading!