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SP500: Is This the 2025 Correction? Or Just Another Bounce?Looking at the weekly chart of the S&P 500 with RSI and key support trendlines, it’s clear we’ve entered a historically important level. 🔍 Context: 2020 → COVID Crash, RSI bottomed 💥 2022 → Bear Market, RSI again flagged a major drop 📉 2023 → Healthy correction, price respected trendline support 2025? → RSI flashing oversold, price testing the long-term trendline again. 📊 RSI is approaching the same low levels as the previous two macro shocks — is this a signal of another reversal opportunity? Or could this time be different? 🚨 If we break below this trendline convincingly, it could open the door for a deeper bear leg. But if we hold, we might just see another bounce-back rally like in 2020 and 2022. 📈 Watch for confirmation: A strong bounce with bullish RSI divergence = potential long Breakdown + volume spike = more downside ahead Let’s see if the trendline holds up — it has for 5 years… 👀 #SP500 #Correction #BearMarket #RSI #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketUpdate #2025Outlook #StockMarketIdeas
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by SmartSignalss
Party's OverDow Futures daily forming a downwards channel with price targets potentially down to 34k and 31k. These drops would be about 20-40% which is considered a true market crash. The falling wedge pattern plays out until potentially June of 2027, but wedges from the top of the range are dangerous as they can turn into bull traps. - Economic fundamentals have been disconnected from the financial system for some time but as the underlying economy begins to falter (ex. unemployment wave) markets begin to price in data such as falling retail sales. - President Trump is going through with mass layoffs in the Federal Government which creates unemployment as the private sector has been going through layoffs and has halted actual new hiring since 2023. - As more traders have become accustomed to "bad news is good news," they will most likely be wiped out trying to buy dips or chase false breakouts doing what they have always done. - Tariffs regionalize trade which make global economies and supply chains less interconnected. A global economy that is also very levered up on USD denominated debt needs dollar liquidity to continue to function. By regionalizing trade that liquidity is starved which can lead to financial problems on a global scale if not handled carefully. - Markets are likely to price in these risks over the next 2-3 months leading asset prices and interest rates lower. Expect individual companies to do well at times but then rotate to others while the Dow index itself falls. - Even if the Dow were to play out the wedge during 2026, without significant improvements to the global financial system expect that move to be a bull trap or a best lead to minimal gains without a new wave of monetary inflation.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by CrashoutCapital
1
Bearish Reversal Incoming? Key Resistance Holds as Price StallsAfter analyzing multiple timeframes, we observe that the price has surged significantly and is now trading within a key resistance zone. The resistance remains strong, and the RSI across multiple timeframes is in the extreme overbought territory, showing bearish divergences. Additionally, despite the sharp rally, the price has not undergone any meaningful correction. Considering these factors—strong resistance, the proximity to a weekly trendline, extreme overbought conditions, and bearish divergence—along with the presence of a hanging man candlestick at resistance, a correction is likely. Our correction targets are the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels.
Short
by SpicyPips
HelenP. I Gold will correct to trend line and continue to riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Earlier, the price was moving inside a consolidation range between 2955 and 2880 points. It tested the support zone multiple times, specifically the area between 2865 and 2880, before making a strong bullish reversal. After bouncing from Support 2 at the 2880 level, Gold began a confident upward movement. It broke through the resistance zone and exited the consolidation pattern, forming a clear uptrend and respecting the trend line throughout the rise. As the price climbed, it reached Support 1 at the 3055 level and paused briefly, consolidating near the support zone between 3055 and 3070. This zone held well, acting as a base for further growth. From there, the price made another upward impulse, reaching the 3125 area before pulling back slightly for a local correction. Currently, Gold is trading above the trend line and remains within a bullish structure. The recent reaction from the support zone confirms buyer strength and interest in higher levels. Given the previous impulse, the trend line support, and price action above key zones, I expect XAUUSD to continue rising toward the 3180 points, my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
9
GOLD - Price will make correction movement to support levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some time ago price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it soon reached $2940 support level and broke it. Then it some time traded near this level and then continued to grow in channel and soon reached resistance line of channel. Soon, Gold reached the $3055 level and then corrected to the channel's support line, after which it turned around. XAU reached $3055 level again and broke it, aftr which continued to grow and recently, it reached almost resistance line. But soon, it turned around and started to decline, so, in my mind, Gold can continue to decline to $3055 level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WalterMoon
12
Will Monday Bring a Breakout or a Correction?Last week was characterized by extreme volatility, with price movements reflecting significant reactions across different trading sessions. On Friday, the Asian session managed to push past the $3057 mark, only for early European trading to see a pullback. However, the US session reversed course, fueling a rally that extended until market close. Key Levels to Watch on Monday Looking ahead, the critical question is whether the Asian session can break above $3086, potentially paving the way for a push beyond $3100. If this breakout fails, we could see a price correction similar to Friday's, especially during European trading. At present, I'm taking a cautious approach, observing the market while many anticipate further upside. While momentum appears strong, I prefer to wait for clearer confirmations before making a move. Potential Scenarios Breakout Above $3086 A successful push above this level could signal continuation toward $3100+, reinforcing the bullish sentiment. Failure at $3086 – Potential Pullback If the market struggles to sustain levels above $3086, a decline to $3076 is likely. A break below $3076 could see further downside to $3067 and possibly lower. Technical Indicators & Market Sentiment RSI (1H): Currently at 52, indicating neutral momentum. RSI (4H): Around 90, showing overbought conditions—especially following the Asian session rally. Market Sentiment: Many traders expect an upward continuation, but caution is warranted given overbought signals and the possibility of a correction. External Factors: Tariffs & Global Trends As we approach April 2nd, when new tariffs take effect, global markets have been showing signs of weakness. Uncertainty persists, and with gold acting as a safe haven, investors may seek protection, adding another layer of complexity to Monday’s price action. Conclusion The start of the week will likely be dictated by whether the Asian session can achieve a breakout above $3086. If it does, bullish momentum could drive prices higher. However, failure at this level could result in a correction, with key support levels at $3076 and $3067 in focus. Given the broader market conditions and upcoming economic events, a cautious approach remains prudent. 📉 Will Monday bring a correction, or is there still room for another rally? Share your thoughts in the comments! 🚀 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Wick-Sniper
GM 1H Long Swing Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade + long impulse + volumed SOS test / T2 level + support level + 1/2 correction + biggest volume Sp Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R above 1D T1 before 1/2 1M Daily CounterTrend "- short balance - unvolumed expanding T1 + volumed 2Sp+ + test" Monthly Trend "+ long impulse - below 1/2 correction + SOS test level?" Yearly Trend "+ long balance - neutral zone" Will add more if 5M corrects to 1/2 or 1H doest weak test and resumes buying
NYSE:GM
by MishaSuvorov
1
XRP Wave 2 or Wave B incoming Part 1Hello there, I am presenting a bearish (short term; current post) count and a bullish count (in my next post). This is showing that we hit a truncated top (see previous posts; attached) and we are coming down in the $1.9 - $1.4 ish range to compete Wave 2 (or could be Wave B) of cycle. I see us pushing to the $2.9 - $3.2 ish range to finish the C wave of the Major wave B of the wave 2 before finishing. it seems to me that we are making a Flat in this sideways chop. please review and ask me any questions GOD BLESS AND TRADE ON Stay Humble and Hungry
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDShort
by schu3269
6
Falling Wedge/Pennant on BitcoinThe full wedge extends all the way into August. I certainly hope we break up from it well before then. I place the measured move line around where I think we old break upward from if we can flip the 200ma back to solidified support. It of course could actually take much longer to break up from the wedge but even if it did the lowest price of the wedge is really not that terrifying in my opinion and would instead just be a phenomenal buying opportunity if we were allowed to accumulate mote that cheap. Because of other major supports not shown here however going below 70k for anything but an extremely brief wick seems an incredibly low probability. *not financial advice*
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
BTCUSD, Are we going to face 35% Correction ?!If we take a look at previous 2 notable cycles we easily notice similarities. From these 2, 2022-2024 looks more similar to 2016-2017, as long as we had - Breakout of downtrend line. ✅ Reaccumulation zone. ✅ Testing major bear market impulse (Which in all cases became strong resistance). ✅ What we didn't experience is correction after these 3 moves. In 2016 it was around 40% (Tested reaccumulation zone) In 2019 it was around 53% (Tested major support / resistance zone). As long as current market structure somewhat repeats 2016 move, have possibility to retest top of after trend line breakout reaccumulation zone, which sits around 33-32k. Percentage wise it's around 35% from ETF top and 23% from current price. What you think ?
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by Zazuna
2