CRCL WEEKLY TRADE SIGNAL (JULY 31)
### 🚨 CRCL WEEKLY TRADE SIGNAL (JULY 31) 🚨
**Call Option Setup – Based on Multi-Model Consensus**
📈 **Momentum**:
🟡 RSI Daily: 46.7 (Neutral)
🟥 Volume: 0.4x last week = 🚨 Weak participation
🟢 Options Flow: Bullish (C/P Ratio = 1.42)
🌤️ VIX: Low (15.4) → Low volatility = 💰 opportunity
🔍 **Model Summary**:
✅ **Grok**: Bullish setup → RECOMMENDED TRADE
❌ Claude, DeepSeek, Gemini, Llama: No trade (weak volume + gamma risk)
🤝 ALL agree: Weak volume & mixed trend = caution
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### 💥 Trade Setup 💥
🎯 **Direction**: CALL (Bullish bias)
💸 **Strike**: \$200
💰 **Entry**: \$0.85
📆 **Expiry**: Aug 1 (1DTE – high gamma 🔥)
🎯 **Profit Target**: \$1.11
🛑 **Stop Loss**: \$0.51
📊 **Confidence Level**: 65%
📍 **Entry Timing**: Market Open
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### 🧠 Key Insight
📉 Weak volume = 🚫 no institutional conviction
📈 Bullish options flow = 🔥 potential short squeeze
🕓 Time-sensitive 1DTE = Fast hands needed!
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👉 If you trade momentum, watch CRCL at open.
🧠 **Strategy**: scalp the move or exit near \$1.11
💥 High risk, high gamma, tight leash.
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CRCL
Bitcoin - An Epic Move Awaits!Bitcoin gained 13% in H1 2025, outperforming Ethereum and Solana, which dropped ~25% and ~17% respectively—highlighting BTC's strength in turbulent market conditions.
Institutional wedge: spot-BTC ETFs saw huge inflows—BlackRock’s took in $336M, and total crypto product inflows approached $45B+ this year.
AI models foresee BTC holding $105K+ by end-June, with ChatGPT pointing to $118K and Grok forecasting $108K, based on momentum and ETF flows.
We see BTC holding the 20 MA and spiking to new all time highs.
Circle Collapse - Will COIN follow? Circle stock has been on a wild ride lately
After a meteoric rise of over 700% since its IPO on June 5, it's now facing some turbulence:
- Today, the stock dropped nearly 16%, partly due to Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest selling $110 million worth of shares.
- Analysts are also sounding caution. Compass Point initiated coverage with a $205 price target—below its current trading price—citing rising competition in the stable coin space.
- Despite the dip, some still see long-term potential. A recent Forbes analysis explored whether Circle could hit $500 per share, driven by growth in USDC reserves and infrastructure revenue.
CRCL LOOKS OVERBOUGHTAs you can see after a good ride from 102 to 234 now the stock looks overbought. and on shorter time frames the price action shows a classic pattern of double top and breaking the previous support. simply if the stock closes 15 m candle below the support you might see a short retest to the support from downside that is a good point to short.
CRCL Weekly Bearish Setup (Week of 2025-06-09)📉 CRCL Weekly Bearish Setup (Week of 2025-06-09)
🔍 Ticker: NYSE:CRCL
Multi-model AI consensus indicates a bearish short-term outlook for CRCL this week, driven by weak technicals, downside pressure from max pain, and poor option liquidity.
🧠 Model Summaries:
🔹 Grok/xAI
• 📉 Bearish: Price below 10EMA, negative MACD, RSI near 41
• 🧊 Support: $115.20 | Resistance: $116.34
• ⚠️ Max Pain: $100 → downside bias
• 💡 Trade: Buy $115 Put (Jun 20) → PT: +50%, SL: –50%
🔹 Claude/Anthropic
• 📉 Bearish intraday: below EMAs, negative MACD, RSI ~41
• ⚠️ Max pain at $100, light OI → downside risk
• 💡 Trade: Buy $115 Put @ ~$12.95 → Target 30–50%, SL: 25%
🔹 Llama/Meta
• ⚖️ Mixed: Slight short-term bearish tilt, but warns against poor liquidity
• 💸 Trade: No Trade due to spread/premium inefficiency
🔹 Gemini/Google
• 📊 Daily trend bullish, but intraday showing exhaustion
• ⚠️ Extreme spreads, no open interest
• 💸 Trade: No Trade recommended
🔹 DeepSeek
• 🚨 Strong Bearish: Breakdown of $115.20 w/ volume, negative MACD, RSI ~41
• ⚠️ Sentiment: Max pain at $100 + bid-side put action
• 💡 Trade: Buy $115 Put @ $12.70 → PT: $18.90 (+50%), SL: $8.82 (–30%)
• 🔥 Confidence: 80%
✅ Market Consensus:
📉 Outlook: Bearish Bias
– Short-term momentum is weak (price < EMAs, MACD negative)
– RSI ~41 suggests downside room
– Max pain at $100 = gravity effect
– VIX falling = no panic relief for bulls
– Key Level to Watch: Breakdown below $115 = confirmation
📌 Suggested Trade Setup
🎯 Symbol: NYSE:CRCL
🟢 Strike: 115 PUT
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-20
💵 Entry: $13.30 (ask)
🎯 Profit Target: $19.95 (+50%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $9.31 (–30%)
📈 Confidence: 75%
⏰ Entry Timing: At open
⚠️ Risk Watch:
• ☠️ High premium & wide bid-ask spreads = slippage risk
• ⛔ Low open interest = exit uncertainty
• 🕒 Theta decay accelerates late in the week
• 📈 Invalidated if price breaks above $116.34
• 📰 Unexpected crypto/news rallies = trend reversal risk
📊 TRADE JSON
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