WTI OIL Short-term Channel Up 4H MA50 buy opportunity.Last week (August 26, see chart below) we caught the absolute low with our WTI Oil (USOIL) buy signal, hitting our $66.30 Target shortly after:
This time we have another buy signal on the short-term as the Channel Up that emerged has pulled-back all the way to its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line).
The last 3 times it did so, it was a buy opportunity. Assuming this is another Higher Low bottom, the new Bullish Leg that is about to be initiated, should aim for the 1.382 Fibonacci extension, similar to what the previous two did.
This gives us a $66.75 Target for the short-term.
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Crude-oil
WTI OIL technically more chances to test the 1D MA50. Buy.Last week (August 20, see chart below) we issued a bullish break-out signal on WTI Oil (USOIL) that reached our $65.60 Target within 3 days:
This time we get a new buy signal, despite today's sharp pull-back. The -12.78% decline since the July 30 rejection, resembles the one since the October 08 2024 High.
This rebounded to just above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) to form a new Lower High and get rejected again.
As a result, our immediate short-term Target is $66.30.
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USCrudeOil| Inventory Draw Lifts Prices Fed Geopolitics in Focus🛢️ USCRUDE OIL – Overview
Oil edges higher amid U.S. stock draw
WTI crude oil futures rose to $63.45 per barrel on Thursday, extending gains from the previous session after U.S. crude inventories posted a bigger-than-expected draw.
📊 EIA data showed stockpiles fell by 6 million barrels to 420.7 million, compared to expectations for a 1.3 million-barrel draw, providing short-term support for prices.
At the same time, markets are watching closely for progress in the Russia-Ukraine peace talks, brokered by U.S. President Donald Trump. Any breakthrough that results in easing sanctions on Russian crude exports could shift global supply dynamics.
Despite the latest rebound, crude prices remain down over 10% year-to-date, pressured by expectations of oversupply as OPEC+ restores output and tariff concerns weigh on demand outlook.
🔎 Technical Outlook
Bearish Scenario:
As long as price trades below the pivot line at 63.47, downside targets are seen at 61.83, and a break lower could extend losses toward 60.16.
Bullish Scenario:
A 4H candle close above 63.47 would open the way toward 64.72, with further upside potential toward 65.80 – 67.20.
📍 Key Levels
Pivot: 63.47
Support: 62.25 – 61.85 – 60.20
Resistance: 64.70 – 65.80 – 67.20
⚠️ Crude remains highly sensitive to geopolitical headlines and inventory data — expect volatility around key supply developments.
Previous idea:
WTI OIL Buy signal if the 4H MA50 breaks.WTI Oil (USOIL) appears to have found short-term Support since the August 13 Low, turning sideways, with its 4H RSI however on Higher Lows, thus displaying a Bullish Divergence.
This is similar to the June 24 - July 02 Bullish Divergence, which once it broke above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), it topped a little over the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, we will be waiting for the 4H MA50 bullish break-out signal to target $65.60 (Fib 0.382).
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CRUDE OIL Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL is making a
Pullback and will soon hit
A horizontal resistance
Of 64.50$ and as we are
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a local
Bearish pullback
Sell!
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Crude Oil Resumes Its WeaknessCrude oil rised and then fell sharply from above 78 dollars back in June, after tensions in the Middle East. The drop unfolded as an impulse into wave A, so even if this is just a counter-trend move down from 78, it still appears incomplete. After we recently spotted a corrective rally in wave B that nicely stopped at projected $70 resistance near 61,8% Fibo. retracement, we can now see it resuming lower within projected wave C towards 60-59 area at least, if not even lower.
USOIL GROWTH AHEAD|
✅CRUDE OIL broke the key
Structure level of 69.50$
While trading in an local uptrend
Which makes me bullish biased
And I think that after the retest of the broken level is complete
A rebound and bullish continuation will follow
LONG🚀
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CRUDE OIL REBOUND AHEAD|LONG|
✅CRUDE OIL is going down now
But a strong support level is ahead at 64.69$
Thus I am expecting a rebound
And a move up towards the target of 65.50$
LONG🚀
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CRUDE OIL Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL will soon hit
A horizontal support
Of 64.50$ and as it is
A strong level we will be
Expecting a local bullish
Rebound on Monday
Buy!
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USOIL POTENTIAL LONG|
✅CRUDE OIL has retested a key support level of 65.00$
And as the pair is already making a bullish rebound
A move up to retest the supply level above at 66.27$ is likely
LONG🚀
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CRUDE OIL Bearish Flag Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL is trading in a local
Downtrend and formed a bearish
Flag pattern and now we are
Seeing a bearish breakout
So we are bearish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
Sell!
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WTI OIL Is it forming a bottom?WTI Oil (USOIL) Has been trading within a Rising Wedge pattern and since June 02, it has turned its 1D MA50 as a Support. Technically the recent 2-week consolidation within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) is a bottom formation on the Higher Lows trend-line of the Rising Wedge.
As long as the 1D MA50 holds, we remain bullish, targeting $80.00 (Resistance 1). If the 1D MA50 breaks (closes a 1D candle below it), we will take the loss, and turn bearish instead, targeting $60.05 (Support 1).
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WTI OIL Best scalping opportunity at the moment!WTI Oil (USOIL) has been consolidating inside a ranged trading set-up, with the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) as its Resistance and the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) as its Support.
We saw this previously from May 13 to June 01 and it presents the best scaling opportunity in the market at the moment. That previous Ranged Trading pattern eventually broke upwards as the Higher Lows trend-line held.
As a result, after you get your scalping profits within this range, look for a clear break-out above the 4H MA100 (candle closing) in order to go long (Resistance 1) or a break-out below the Higher Lows (candle closing) in order to go short (Support 1).
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Crude oil $ukoil - Final falling oil has been a barometer of the financial market for the last decades.
I look at the formations and I see that we will see a renewal of the bottom in the coming months, I will not say the reasons, you just need to wait a little.
I've been talking about the fall for a long time, but it's not over yet.
After the final fall, I expect a renewal of the highs, due to the worsening situation in the Middle East, this will be after September
Best Regards EXCAVO
WTI CRUDE OIL: Brutal collapse expectedWTI Crude Oil has turned bearish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.990, MACD = 0.310, ADX = 38.289) and is expected to accelerate the effect as based on the 16 year Cycles, late 2025 and most of 2026 should experience a price collapse. The most optimal Buy Zone starts at $33.00, it could go lower but that's a solid base from which to expect a bounce back above $110.00 by 2028.
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WTI OIL Massive rejection on the 1D MA200.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a Channel Down for over a year now and today its latest Bullish Leg hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since February 03 2025.
Unless we see a sustainable structured rise that turns it into a Support, the long-term bearish trend should prevail, and the market has already reacted to this with a strong rejection.
With the 1D RSI almost overbought (>70.00), being consistent with the last 3 major tops, we expect a gradual decline towards Support 1, as it happened on the January - February 2025 Bearish Leg.
Our Target is just above it at $55.50.
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WTI Crude Oil Stalls At Technical JunctureCrude oil has enjoyed a decent rally in recent weeks thanks to improved sentiment and OPEC+ scaling back production. Yet momentum turned against bulls on Tuesday, despite positive trade talks between the US and China. Today I discuss whether this could be a turning point for oil, or simply a bump in the road.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
WTI Crude Oil Testing Make-or-Break Support ZoneWTI crude is grinding into a pivotal horizontal support near 6,020 after another sharp rejection near the 50-day SMA:
Support at Risk: Price is pressing into the horizontal support zone formed by May’s lows (~6,020). A clean break below would shift momentum back decisively to the downside.
Bearish Structure: Price remains well below both the 50- and 200-day SMAs, which are angled downward—consistent with a medium-term downtrend.
Momentum Fading: MACD is negative and turning lower again, while RSI is stuck near 45 and showing no bullish divergence.
Next Support: If support fails, next downside level is likely around the YTD low near 5,400.
As it stands, bears remain in control unless bulls can defend this floor and drive a breakout back above the 50-day SMA.
-MW
CRUDE OIL Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USOIL has retested a
Nice round horizontal
Support level of 60$
And we are predictably
Seeing a bullish reaction
From the level which we
Believe will take the price
A bit higher still
Buy!
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Crude oil gains could be limited. Here's whyAlong with other risk assets, crude oil has had a positive day, albeit a much quieter one compared to the major indices. It has been held back in part by the dollar also finding good support. So, I think a large part of the rally today in WTI is just a function of the market pricing in higher demand because of lower tariffs. Thus, it is the removal of a bearish factor driving prices higher, which could be factor for a while yet as market finds a new equilibrium. The underlying issue of an oversupplied market is what will ultimately determine oil prices. On that front, you have the OPEC ready to release more withheld supplies as it doesn’t want to lose more market share to non-OPEC producers. Thus, the upside linked to a brighter demand outlook should be capped. So, while I do think prices may rise a little further, I don’t think that we will see significantly higher prices with the current state of supply picture. I wouldn’t be surprised if $70 turns into resistance now on Brent, or if WTI holds this shaded yellow resistance range you can see on this chart around $65 area.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com