Phemex Analysis #95: Pro Tips for Trading Stellar (XLM)Stellar ( PHEMEX:XLMUSDT.P ) is an open-source, decentralized blockchain platform specializing in fast, affordable cross-border transactions aimed at enhancing global financial inclusion. Its native cryptocurrency, Lumens (XLM), serves as a bridge for currency exchanges and is used to pay transaction fees on the network. Founded in 2014 by Jed McCaleb, Stellar connects banks, payment systems, and individuals worldwide, providing seamless and cost-effective financial interactions.
Recently, Stellar has shown positive market momentum, including a notable 5% price surge coupled with increased transaction volumes. A key catalyst for this optimism is PayPal’s upcoming integration of its stablecoin PYUSD onto the Stellar blockchain, significantly expanding Stellar's real-world use case and accessibility across more than 170 countries.
Given these promising developments, let’s explore several possible trading scenarios to help traders strategically approach XLM.
Possible Scenarios
1. Breakout Rise to $0.28 and Above (Bullish Scenario)
On the daily chart, XLM recently formed a clear "cup and handle" pattern, with the handle emerging around June 22. This classic bullish indicator signals accumulation of buying momentum. If XLM decisively breaks out above the critical resistance level at $0.257, particularly with strong trading volume, it could confirm a bullish continuation, potentially targeting resistance zones around $0.28, $0.312, and even the significant resistance at $0.43.
Pro Tips:
Entry Point: Consider entering positions after confirming the breakout above $0.257, ideally with significant volume confirmation.
Profit-Taking Levels: Aim to take partial profits at key resistance levels: $0.28, $0.312, and $0.43.
2. Rejection by Key Resistance Levels (Neutral Scenario)
While the immediate resistance at $0.28 is relatively weak and likely to be overcome easily, subsequent resistance at $0.312 and particularly at $0.43 could present strong selling pressure, potentially rejecting XLM’s first attempt.
If rejection occurs, the price will likely retrace to retest support zones, such as around $0.25, consolidating before attempting another bullish move.
Pro Tips:
Cautious Entries: If initial rejections occur at higher resistance zones ($0.312 or $0.43), consider waiting for price stabilization around lower support areas ($0.25) before re-entering.
Volume Check: Closely monitor trading volumes during retracements—declining volume often indicates a healthy pullback rather than a significant reversal.
3. All Things Go South (Bearish Scenario)
If broader market sentiment suddenly turns sharply negative—particularly driven by a significant decline in Bitcoin—XLM could face substantial selling pressure. A sharp drop below key support at $0.216 with high volume, accompanied by broader market downturns, would signal serious bearish momentum.
Pro Tips:
Market Observation: Stay cautious and consider stepping aside until clear stabilization occurs at lower support levels.
Accumulation Opportunities: Long-term holders should watch closely for stabilization at critical historical supports, including $0.20, $0.18, $0.12, and $0.09, which could offer attractive entry points for gradual accumulation.
Conclusion
Stellar (XLM) currently stands at a pivotal juncture driven by significant fundamental catalysts and compelling technical signals. By closely monitoring the outlined bullish, neutral, and bearish scenarios, traders can strategically position themselves for profitable trades while effectively managing risks. Always remain alert, employ disciplined risk management strategies, and stay informed on broader market movements to successfully navigate XLM’s market dynamics.
🔥 Tips:
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Crypto
Dusk Network Major Buy Opportunity, 2020 Bull Market Revisited Today Dusk Network produced the highest buy volume since early February, a pretty good signal. On the weekly timeframe, the action is happening at extreme prices, the "opportunity buy-zone."
DUSKUSDT moved below all support from 2022, 2023 and 2024. The action is happening now at the exact same baseline levels from November 2020, before the last bull market.
» From its Oct. 2020 low (0.0359) DUSK grew 3,171%.
» From its Mar. 2020 low (0.0106) DUSK grew 10,978%.
The current low happened June 2025 at 0.0427. The bearish action preceding this date can be equated to what happened before March 2020. There is always strong bearish action preceding a major bull market.
The last bull market lasted 658 days, from bottom to top. From March 2020 until late December 2021. It is hard how to say how long the next bull market will last but a similar duration would lead to April 2027 being a major date.
A bull market can happen within 6 months, just as it can take years for the entire process to unravel. Since market conditions are so different now with all the innovation, adoption and expansion, we will have to wait and see.
The fact that we have the lowest prices in almost 5 years is also an interesting fact. All weak hands have been removed and this opens up maximum growth potential in the coming years.
I think we will have an extended bull market because it is already July 2025 and we have only very early signals, which means that it will take at least 4-8 weeks before full marketwide bullish action becomes the norm, August-September 2025. Activating 2026 minimum for new cycle tops.
Conclusion
Dusk Network is trading at bottom prices, a great opportunity to accumulate; buy and hold. The future is bright for this coin.
Namaste.
Solana Moving Averages: Patience is KeySolana is trading above EMA89 while at the same time trading below EMA55, we have a mixed situation. When in doubt, stay out. Anything is possible on this chart.
There was a major correction already that lasted 84 days. Solana lost more than 65% in this correction. A -67% drop. This correction removed all gains from 2024 sending prices back below $100. This is to say that Solana already went through a full and major flush.
The market could very easily continue lower and produce a lower low compared to 7-April, a major crash leading to August and I can easily see this scenario developing. Will it develop? Is it really necessary?
I can also see a slow but sure change of course. A few days red at the start of the week, as it is usual and then Boom!, the market turns green. And it grows day after day after day. It is already happening, patience is key. Better focus on the numbers.
» If Solana trades weekly above $142, we are bullish, strongly bullish and can expect additional growth.
» If Solana moves and closes weekly below $142, market conditions still remain bullish but we can approach this pair with caution.
» On a broader perspective, any trading above $95, the 7-April low, is bullish long-term. As long as this level holds, we can expect higher prices. The last low sits at $126...
It doesn't matter how you slice it, the price is good and is more likely than not to continue to increase. Patience is key.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Daily, Mixed Situation · Bitcoin vs Altcoins · Not MixedI came with the intention of doing an update on the weekly timeframe, the chart doesn't look great.
Here we are looking at Bitcoin daily and once more the situation is mixed to say the least. It is hard to predict with exactitude with such a chart. In this case, we have to look for clues in other places. The altcoins.
But before we go there let's consider a few of the actualities that are present on the Bitcoin chart.
Bitcoin price action
Mixed or not mixed, the action continues to happen at resistance against all odds; this is bullish.
Bitcoin is trading safely above $106-$107,000 daily, and this is also bullish.
Bitcoin is trading above all moving averages we track and nothing is more bullish than that. MA200 sits around $96,000. EMA55 at $104,700 and EMA13 at $107,700.
Bitcoin will be bullish regardless as long as it trades above these levels and at a such strong price. So the mixed part is only psychological. It is mixed because people are afraid of a drop or want to see it drop. It is bullish based on the actual numbers and the chart.
The altcoins market vs Bitcoin
Some altcoins are breaking up today two to three digits green. Those good old reputable projects. This wouldn't be happening preceding a major bearish wave. Such strong action on the altcoins tends to precede a major bull market. Last week there were other pairs breaking really strong, the previous week another group, this week a new group and so on. Slowly but surely the low prices are disappearing but this isn't still a marketwide occurrence, we can see/say that the market is in no hurry.
Another relationship between Bitcoin and the altcoins relates to how many are behaving; when Bitcoin is about to crash, the altcoins tend to crash really strong and fast. The altcoins don't wait and just go down and continue diving deep if Bitcoin is about to produce a major crash. But this isn't the case, many altcoins are already at bottom prices but not based on a crash but a very slow and drawn out retrace. From these lows they are recovering strong.
When Bitcoin is bullish, sideways with a strong price within a bull market, the altcoins tend to grow. It is the same signal looked at from a different perspective. These altcoins are telling us that behind the scenes Bitcoin is bullish and we know Bitcoin is bullish because it is trading above $107,000. A bullish continuation is the next logical step.
Thank you for reading.
Boost if you agree.
Namaste.
BRIEFING Week #27-28 : Distancing from US MarketsHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
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Phil
GBPJPY BULLISH OR BEARIS DETAILED ANALYSISGBPJPY has successfully broken out of a long-term falling wedge on the weekly chart, and the bullish momentum is unfolding as expected. Price has rallied from 190.00 to the current 197.00 level, delivering solid profits from the breakout zone. This continuation setup is extremely strong, with the market respecting the wedge breakout structure and forming higher highs. As long as we hold above the 190.00 support, the bullish bias remains fully intact, with 205.00 as the next key upside target.
Fundamentally, the British pound remains well-supported due to the Bank of England’s hawkish stance. Despite softer inflation data, the BoE has signaled a cautious approach to rate cuts compared to other central banks, maintaining underlying GBP strength. On the other side, the Japanese yen continues to weaken as the Bank of Japan sticks with its ultra-loose monetary policy. Yen weakness is further fueled by rising US and UK bond yields, widening the yield differential and attracting carry trades into GBPJPY.
Technically, the breakout is unfolding with textbook precision. Price has cleared descending resistance, retested it, and is now building a new leg higher. The volume profile is supporting this bullish breakout, and market structure is confirming further upside. The 200.00 psychological level may act as a minor resistance, but once cleared, 205.00 is well within range and aligns with major Fibonacci extensions.
GBPJPY is also benefiting from increased volatility in risk-on sentiment, as equity markets remain firm and bond yields rise globally. Traders are favoring high-yielding currencies like GBP while shorting low-yielders like JPY. With the fundamentals and technicals now strongly aligned, this trade is well-positioned to deliver continued profits toward 205.00 and beyond.
USDCAD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISUSDCAD has just completed a clean falling wedge breakout—a classic bullish reversal pattern often signaling trend exhaustion. After months of consistent lower highs and lower lows within a well-defined wedge, price has now broken decisively above the descending resistance. The current price sits around 1.367, and we are confidently targeting the 1.407 level in the coming weeks. This breakout aligns perfectly with the seasonal USD strength historically seen in Q3, especially following soft Canadian economic data.
From a fundamental perspective, the Canadian dollar is facing downside pressure amid falling crude oil prices and softening domestic data. Canada’s most recent GDP growth came in below expectations, raising concerns around economic resilience. Meanwhile, the Bank of Canada is expected to remain dovish with growing speculation of another rate cut in the next quarter. In contrast, the US dollar has been gaining traction following stronger-than-expected ISM services data and a better-than-anticipated ADP employment report, supporting the Fed’s “higher for longer” stance on interest rates.
Technically, the breakout is further supported by increasing bullish momentum and a break of market structure on lower timeframes. We’re seeing volume confirmation with this push, adding conviction that buyers are stepping in with strength. The risk-to-reward ratio remains highly favorable here, and any pullback into the 1.36 zone would provide an excellent re-entry opportunity for continuation.
With sentiment shifting in favor of USD bulls and oil-related weakness dragging CAD, USDCAD looks primed for a rally. The 1.407 target aligns with both key resistance levels and Fibonacci projections from the breakout structure. Momentum is with the bulls, and this setup has the potential to deliver solid profits as we head deeper into Q3.
US
XRP - Huge breakout incomingXRP price is retesting it's descending trendline, in the past price got rejected from this trendline multple times, however im expecting price to breakout from this trendline since we almost at the last 2 quarters of bull run.
We will enter the trade after candle closes above the trendline
Entry Price: 2.34
StopLoss: 1.89
TP1: 2.5981
TP2: 2.8543
TP3: 3.2796
TP4: 3.8676
Like and follow.
Cheers
GreenCrypto
BNB Stuck in Barrier Triangle?CRYPTOCAP:BNB appears to be in a macro wave 4 barrier triangle, and for some time.
It has held up particularly well during the alt coin massacre, not even reaching the .382 Fibonacci retracement.
Price is testing the upper boundary for the 4th time, that starts to give us the higher probability breakout which increases with each test. The daily 200EMA and pivot were tested as support successfully.
Safe trading.
$FET Ready for the next move up?NYSE:FET looks ready for the next move up with a similar analysis to many other alts I have shared.
It is breaking out of descending resistance after testing the .618 Fibonacci retracement and High Volume Node (HVN) as support. Price broke above the daily pivot and is now swinging below, a recovery above the local swing high will be a bullish signal to go long with a wave 3 target of the R3 daily pivot and major resistance HVN at $1.13.
Analysis is invalidated below $0.54
Safe trading
$HBAR Ready for a move up?CRYPTOCAP:HBAR appears to have completed its wave 2 WXYXZ complex correction
It has broken its descending resistance & daily pivot, retested both as support and is approaching the local swing high which would be a bullish long signal.
Cautious traders may want to take partial take profit at the first resistance High Volume Node and R1 pivot $.18 and a secondary target with good RR is the swing high resistance node at $0.22.
Analysis is invalidated below $.14 swing low.
Safe trading
$ETH Breakout this week?CRYPTOCAP:ETH local chart looks ready
I think were looking at a decent ETH breakout this week to the next resistance High Volume Node at $3600 minimum target.
👉 BTC is consolidating under all time high resistance after multiple tests which is usual a sign of bullish continuation. Usualy giving alts room to room.
👉 Ethereum is above the daily 200EMA, daily pivot and also consolidating under resistance once more after testing the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement and S1 daily pivot adding confluence to that being the local bottom. This appears to be Elliot wave 2, a shallow wave 2 retracement (less than 0.5) is a show of strength and investor impatience.
Analysis invalidated below the daily pivot and daily 200EMA as this will lock in 3 waves up and look corrective.
Safe trading
CelesTIA, All-Time Low Last Month, Trend Change—2025 Bull MarketI am showing multiple charts but my prediction is that the market will turn—the entire Cryptocurrency market—the altcoins market will turn bullish.
CelesTIA
There is an uptrend between late 2023 and early 2024, the same with the rest of the market. There was also a bullish wave late 2024. Huhhh, there will be an uptrend in late 2025 and early 2026.
Ok. Celestia. TIAUSDT.
It is easy to distinguish the downtrend vs no more downtrend.
The period drawn orange did produce lower lows but it is very different compared to the "downtrend," red on the chart.
So this is the transition. Strong down, then sideways, then up.
This pair is producing lower lows in its consolidation period but I also showed you many pairs that are producing higher lows, it makes no difference. Lower lows or higher lows, the action is very different compared to the "downtrend." The downtrend is no more.
My thesis concludes with a change of trend. This is where everything is leading, hundreds and hundreds of charts, more than 500 since 7-April. They all say the same.
In short, these hundreds of charts are saying that the market is about to become extremely bullish and that is something that we welcome with open arms. Actually, we have been waiting patiently, and some not so patiently, for this change to occur.
Many trust me; trusted me;
Many doubted me and that is also ok.
I love the truster and the doubter...
I love the reader and the follower...
I love TradingView and the Cryptocurrency market; but I will be proven right in the end.
I accept the fact that it is impossible to get it always right. I accept the fact that many times I am so, so very wrong.
You have to accept the fact that time is running out, Crypto is going up.
Celestia just hit a new all-time low and this is awesome news for me and for you, because, from this bottom low we will grow. You can mark these words... Just watch!
I would like to take just a few seconds of your time to say, thank you. Time is precious, and you took the time to read this long. If you enjoy the content, make sure to follow.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
There is only one Cryptocurrency market, this is us.
It is you and me, it is all of us. It is not the whales or the exchanges. We are the whales and the exchanges. We are the government, the institutions, the programmers, the designers; the owners, the planners, the coders, the security expert, the writer, the reporter, the auditor; the professor, the mom, the father and the son. You are the market. You are it. You are the whole thing, the whole world.
You might think yourself unimportant as just a tiny ray of light, but there is no life without the sun. You being light, you permeate everything that exist around us. So you are the Cryptocurrency market. You are Bitcoin and you are the altcoins.
Namaste.
Notcoin: The Market Always Changes Direction, Change of TrendIt is amazing, people tend to give up right before the market is about to change. I am not blaming anybody because I can fully understand. I sold everything November 2022, truly at the market bottom, but life conditions didn't allow for anything else, so I can understand those that are in a similar situation. I can see many people giving up, folding everything, selling, closing, leaving, right at the market bottom; right before the market is about to turn.
It does happen and nothing can be done about it but normally we go through this experience just one, or twice, or thrice but not forever more. Yes, we can give up because things just seen hard or even impossible but everything changes for the better when you least expect it.
When the worst is reaching its end, it gets really bad, pretty bad... In this market, a major crash, a flush and when you think you can't take it anymore it happens that you are witnessing the bottom.
Please, do not give up. If you must, go ahead... Take a break, recharge and come back. if you have the chance to stay around and stick around for a few more months, the market will reward you for your patience and persistence... Nobody said it was going to be easy, but once the positive side materializes it will be worth the hard work.
Anyway... Here we are looking at Notcoin once more. A new all-time high for sure.
I never take into consideration the first candle, the launch date because this date can be incredibly wild. I just don't trust the high and the low. But there is a high 2-June and based on this high I am certain we will get a new all-time high. This is my guess only of course, my opinion but it is based on years of experience.
Without a new all-time high we have 1,400% profits potential from current price. With 5X, you get 7000%. With 8X...
I mean, high risk vs a high potential for reward, that's leveraged trading, but you can always approach this pair spot with minimum risk and still, an amazing potential for huge rewards.
Never give up. Don't give. I don't give up, I can't understand what the word means anyway.
Yes, when it gets really hard... Just right around the corner, the next step, that's when you are closer to success. If you give up today, it means the goal could have been reached the next day. So never give up, you never know when everything will change right when the sun comes up.
We are already here... It is already happening....
You can count with my continued support. Forever and then some more.
Thank you for reading.
Your comment is appreciated.
Let me know what you think.
Namaste.
Bitcoin H4 | Rising into a swing-high resistanceBitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 111,747.48 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 78.6% projection and the 127.2% extension.
Stop loss is at 113,000.00 which is a level that sits above a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 100% projection and the 161.8% extension.
Take profit is at 108,698.22 which is an overlap support.
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Bitcoin (BTCUSD) - Daily Price Uptrend, Resistance Breakout TestBitcoin (BTCUSD) has been in a recent Daily price Uptrend, rallying up from the $100,000 price support level.
A SMA Golden Cross printed on May 21st, 2025.
Bitcoin price is attempting a resistance zone test and has yet to breakout and hold above the $111,000 to $112,000 price zone.
Resistance levels: $110,000 , $112,000 , $117,000 , $121,000.
Support levels: $108,000 , $107,000 , $105,000 , $104,000 , $100,000.
Recent crypto industry, government legislation news, and institutional crypto purchases have helped to keep Bitcoin price above $100,000 support.
Stock market correlation volatility could also affect the crypto market and prices for the next 30 to 45 days.
Stellar 2025 Bull Market, ATH Targets, Price Action & MoreA very interesting chart. What is interesting here is how obvious it is that the correction is over. Stellar produced a massive bullish breakout in November 2024, more than 700% growth. After a strong move, there is always a correction. After the correction ends, we get the resumption of the initial move, in this case a bullish wave.
The 0.786 Fib. retracement level worked as support. 7-April. There is an interesting dynamic around this level. Back in July 2023 as XLMUSDT was rising resistance was found around 0.2000. Very close to this level. We then had the late 2024 bullish wave and the correction that ended in early April this year. Support was found exactly at the 0.786 Fib retracement level and this level matches 0.2000. This is the purple line on the chart. Resistance turned support.
After this support zone was hit and confirmed Stellar moved to produce an initial breakout and on the 16-June week, 22-June, we get a higher low. This higher low signals the start of the next bullish wave with a target around 0.9100. This is the next target for the current move but not necessarily where the bull market cycle will end. Can be but not necessarily, the action can move higher.
Growth potential from current price to our target goes to 257%. Coming from the August 2024 low, this same target would give a total of 1,099%. Seeing how strong the first jump was, it is likely that Stellar will go higher in this 2025 bull market.
We have another target between $1.25 and $1.35.
Let's focus on the market and the bigger picture.
Stellar has already proven that it will be a top performer in this cycle. Back in late 2024 XLM outperformed many projects, we can expect the same pattern to repeat in this bullish continuation.
The fact that there are no new lows also signals strength. We saw many pairs hitting new all-time lows in April and June, this is not the case here. And this is also good.
This is a proven project so it is easy to go in big.
Last time the meat of the move unraveled in just two weeks. Something also to keep in mind. Something similar would allow us to profit from the entire XLM wave and then browse the market for new opportunities.
Remember, the market is set to grow for 6 months in the least or it can extend and grow for years. While some pairs go down, others will be going up. When some pairs stop going up, others being down will recover and grow. The market will cycle between this and that, here and there; in the end, everything grows; that's the definition of a bull market. A rising wave lifts all boats.
Notice the long-term consolidation phase, it lasted more than 900 days and then we had a very strong bullish breakout. The longer the consolidation phase, the stronger the move that follows. This is only the beginning, there will be more.
Thank you for reading and for your continued support.
Namaste.