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BTCUSD Price action analysis on HTFHi, I’m from Phoenix FX, and today I’ll be sharing my perspective on Bitcoin (BTC) price action based on the higher timeframes.
I’ll also give you my outlook on potential trade setups for today and tomorrow. Please remember that this is not financial advice—use this information as a guide only. If you find it helpful, don’t forget to like and share it with your like-minded communities.
Higher Timeframe Analysis
In my view, BTC tends to follow clear bullish and bearish cycle zones. Typically, we see a pump to new all-time highs (ATH), followed by the formation of resistance and a retracement down to a key support level. Our trading approach focuses on identifying those critical support and resistance levels, with some interim trades based on shorter-term analysis—occasionally even counter-trend, depending on the day’s market bias.
Over the past eight years, BTC has respected a major trend resistance line. The most recent ATH, around $112K, reconfirmed the relevance of this trendline. This makes it a valuable tool for projecting future ATH levels.
Looking ahead, I expect a move towards the $115K level in the coming weeks. This would likely act as a point of resistance, at which stage we might see a reversal and a drop back down to a key support zone.
Trade Setup
The chart I'm referencing highlights what I would consider the first premium buy zone, identified using a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG).
The 50% level of this zone sits at $99,450. If this zone fails to hold, we may drop further to the secondary premium buy zone, which aligns with our higher timeframe (HTF) trend support and a weekly FVG. The 50% level of this deeper zone is around $89,150.
A potential long entry at $92,550, with a stop loss around $88,000, offers an excellent risk-to-reward (RR) ratio, targeting a move up to the $115K level.
Intraday Outlook
For today, I see bearish price action, with potential rejection around the $104,300–$105,000 range. Go short around the $104,750 to $105,000 zone
This could lead to a move down toward the lower key zones highlighted in the HTF analysis.
I recommend taking partial profits (TP) at every $1,000 increment and setting your stop loss to breakeven (BE) after hitting the first target.
Final Thoughts
Price action analysis is always subjective, so I’d love to hear your thoughts and ideas in the comments—each one, teach one.
Thanks for giving me some of your time.
From the Phoenix FX team, have a great weekend!
BTCUSDT - at support? Holds or not ??#BTCUSDT - so far that was a perfect holdings of our upside region and market just reached at his first supporting area that is around 101600
Keep close it because if market slip below that then next it can drop towards downside further areas as mentioned on chart.
Keep close n stay sharp.
Good luck
Trade wisely
BTCUSDT - High placed ? What's next ??#BTCUSDT - Market placed a very reasonable high so far.and doing to mature his selling turn
Keep close and if market tholda his current high region them we can expect a drop from here.
Region is around 104300 to 105100
Don't be lazy here n try to understand the market current pattern.
Good luck
Trade wisely
BTCUSDT - It's breakout? What's next??#BTCUSDT - perfect move below our region as you can see our last idea regarding #BTCUSDT
Now market have 81100 as a resistance area and if market sustain below that then we have further drop to downside.
Expected areas below are 74k, 69k and 65k
Good luck
Trade wisely
#BTCUSDT.. single supporting area, holds or not ??#BTCUSDT. perfect move as per our last couple of ideas regarding #btcusdt
Now market have current supporting area that is around 82300
Keep close that level because if market clear that level then we can expect a further drop towards downside next areas.
Good luck
Trade wisely
BTCUSDT.. single supporting area , holds or not ??#BTCUSDT.. so market just reached at his most important area is around 81400 to 81600
And that is our in-between range area actually so keep close it and if market hold that area then again buying expected towards range upper line.
Note: below 81400 we will go for CUT n reverse on confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely
BTCUSDT - single supporting area , holds or not??#BTCUSDT - just reached at his current important supporting area that is around 83600
keep close that level,
overall market stay in range as per our last idea regarding #BTCUSDT.
so now below 83600 market can drop towards his old supporting areas.
good luck
trade wisely
BTCUSDT - it's breakout ? What's next??#BTCUSDT.. market just broke our resistance and going to close above that.
Keep close that because 85100 is now our supporting area and if market holds that then further bounce expected.
Note: keep in mind that below 85100 we will cut n reverse on confirmation .
Good luck
Trade wisely
BTCUSDT- at his current supporting area? What's next??#BTCUSDT.. market perfectly move as per our last idea and now market just reached at his current supporting area that is around 82120
Keep close that area because if market clear that level then it will leads you towards downside next supporting levels.
Good luck
Trade wisely
BTCUSDT.. again at resistance ? What's next??#BTCUSDT.. that was a perfect move and market dropped as we discussed in our last idea regarding #BTCUSD, that was 12k pips ride
Now market again near to his current resistance region that is around 80500 to 81400
Keep close that region and if market tholds then again drop expected.
Good luck
Trade wisely
BTCUSDT - vomiting camel pattern? then what's next??#BTCUSDT.. market just going to make a technical formation that is VOMITING CAMEL pattern,
that will be a very dangerous formation if its occur.
you can search that formation on google as well.
then next areas are expected like 80000 or 70000
stay sharp
trade wisely
BTCUSDT - at final supporting region? holds or not??#BTCUSDT.. a perfect drop as per our last idea regarding Btcusdt and now you can see market just placed our targeted area.
but one thing is important here, that is it was not a selling trend ride it was only a retracement and if market again hold his current supporting region that is around 92k to 94k then you can see again a rise in btc price otherwise not at all.
keep in mind that below that region we have further drop on table.
stay sharp..
good luck
trade wisely
TRUMPUSDT - A coin with most hype, what's next??#TRUMPUSDT - as you know that coin getting hype on his first day and breaking the record volume.
now on technical point of view 49 is the key level for now and if market stay above that there is another upside leg expected.
don't be lazy here and keep in mind that below 49 we will go for cut n reverse on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
BTCUSDT - where is supporting region? whats next??#BTCUSDT.. continues selling candles and now market just near to his current expected supporting region.
that is around 89000 to 90000
keep close that region because that region will decide market next move of 5 to 8k pips.
don't be lazy here.
good luck
trade wisely
ETHUSDT - one n single supporting region, holds or not??#ETHUSDT - market just at his one n single supporting region that is around 3170 to 3240
keep close that region it will be most expensive region for ETHUSDT and if market hold it in only that case you can see again rise in ETHUSDT price otherwise not at all.
so if you can buy here then you should 3170 as major and cut n reverse area and below that go for cut n reverse on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
BTCUSDT - its Dead cat bounce ? what's next??#BTCUSDT.. well guys market perfectly holds our area that was discussed in our last idea and now market again make a resonable high for now,
that is 25800
keep close that level because it will be next key level and if market hold it then you can see again drop from here.
downside areas are mentioned on chart..
good luck
trade wisely
BTCUSDT - near to his support? Holds or not??#BTCUSDT .. well guys market just near to his supporting area and that is 94200 around.
That was supporting area is history as well.
And keep close it because if market not hold it in that case we can expect a drop towards 89000 and 84000 in extension.
Good luck
Trade wisely
TRBUSDT - is it dead cat bounce ? What's next??#TRBUSDT.. after a perfect drop now market is near to his resistance area.
Question is that is it dead cat bounce or low are placed?
Well guys we have 57.40-50 that is our resistance area now and if market hold it in that case we can see again a drop towards next supporting area.
But keep in mind that we will go for cut n reverse above 57.40 on confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely