Cryptomarket
Bullish continuation?The Ethereum (ETH?USD) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 2,821.91
1st Support: 2,649.43
1st Resistance: 3,077.96
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Sperax: Bullish pennant.Sperax is consolidating in a bullish pennant pattern after a strong recovery rally off the March lows. Price action has tightened between ascending support and descending resistance, forming a textbook continuation setup. Volume has decreased during this compression, which is often a precursor to explosive movement.
Fundamental Catalysts (Despite GENIUS Act Stalling):
Retail DeFi Narrative is Still Alive – While the GENIUS Act failed in the Senate, the momentum for regulatory clarity in the DeFi space continues. Future bills or executive actions could unlock capital flows to protocols like Sperax.
Deflationary Pressure —Over 13% of the total SPA supply has been burned, with more tokens locked and lost. The actual circulating supply is meaningfully lower than the total supply shown on aggregators.
SIP-70 has been passed , shifting SPA emissions from an automatic release model to a DAO-controlled emission schedule. This marks a significant milestone towards sustainable tokenomics and the preservation of long-term value.
Long-Term Accumulation – Wallet data and order books suggest that whales and long-term holders quietly accumulate during this sideways range.
Sperax remains a low-cap token with outsized potential in the next altseason if it secures even one meaningful partnership or fiat on-ramp.
SUIUSDT Weekly Chart Analysis | Breakout Confirmed!SUIUSDT Weekly Chart Analysis | Breakout Confirmed, Massive Liquidity at $4–$4.20
🔍 Let’s dive into the SUI/USDT weekly chart after a decisive breakout from the symmetrical triangle, highlighting the critical liquidity zone and what it means for price action.
⏳ Weekly Overview
SUI has broken out of its multi-month triangle pattern following a textbook fakeout, with volume dynamics confirming renewed bullish momentum. The breakout is now awaiting daily candle confirmation for full validation.
🔺 Bullish Breakout & Key Liquidity Zone
A major liquidity cluster sits between $4.00 and $4.20, with more than $140 billion in liquidity concentrated in this range. This zone is crucial for several reasons:
- It represents a significant area where large buy and sell orders are stacked, likely leading to heightened volatility as price approaches or breaks through.
- Clearing this liquidity could unlock rapid moves toward the next upside targets at $7.03 and $9.50, as shown on the chart.
📊 Key Highlights
- Symmetrical triangle resolved with a bullish breakout, confirmed by increasing volume.
- The $4.00–$4.20 range holds over $140B in liquidity, making it a pivotal battleground for bulls and bears.
- Daily candle confirmation remains essential for trend validation.
- SUI ecosystem has reached a new all-time high in DeFi TVL, adding fundamental strength to the bullish case.
🚨 Conclusion
The breakout above the triangle, combined with surging volume and a record DeFi TVL, sets the stage for a potential rally. Watch the $4.00–$4.20 liquidity zone closely—how price interacts with this level could determine the speed and magnitude of the next move. Stay alert for daily confirmation and be prepared for volatility as SUI tests this high-stakes region.
#SUI #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView #Altcoins #ACA
ETH 4H: Retest in Progress
ETH on the 4H starts the week strong, currently retesting support at the 0.382 Fib, a level that acted as resistance last week.
We’ve had two 4H candle closes above it, but now a close below seems likely.
I’ve set a TP at the 4H-50% line, just under the PSAR dots, to take 50% profit if price dips further.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
Bitcoin’s 486-Day Halving Blueprint: The $200,000 Blowoff?Summary
Bitcoin’s price consistently follows a 3-phase structure after each halving, with ~486 days per phase. If history repeats, we are nearing the end of the parabolic phase, with a potential peak around $200,000, before entering a structured drawdown.
Halving Cycles: The Real Clock Behind Bitcoin
Bitcoin’s monetary policy is pre-programmed.
A halving occurs approximately every 210,000 blocks (~4 years), and market behaviour after each halving follows this repeating pattern:
Phase 1: Parabolic Rally (0 to 70,000 blocks post-halving).
Phase 2: Major Drawdown (70,000 to 140,000 blocks).
Phase 3: Equilibrium Phase (140,000 to 210,000 blocks).
Each phase lasts approximately 486 days, and this structure has repeated reliably since 2012.
Phase 1: The Parabolic Rally (Current Phase)
We are currently in the growth segment of the cycle:
Price rising rapidly.
Miner profitability at highs.
Hashrate and network security increasing.
MVRV Z-Score steadily climbing, but not yet overextended.
Roughly 700,000 BTC are mined during this period, creating a supply shock as issuance is halved while demand accelerates.
Phase 2: The Drawdown (Expected Next)
Historically begins between block 70,000 to 140,000 post-halving.
Market peaks and begins to correct.
Miner margins compress.
Hashrate may plateau or decline.
Forced selling and miner capitulation drive volatility.
Price retraces significantly from the peak.
This phase resets the market and eliminates unsustainable excess.
Phase 3: The Equilibrium Phase
Occurs between block 140,000 to 210,000 post-halving.
Price enters consolidation.
Realized value and market price converge.
Ideal accumulation period for long-term investors.
Network fundamentals stabilize ahead of the next halving.
This phase is critical in building the base for the next cycle.
MVRV Z-Score: Market Thermometer
The chart includes the MVRV Z-Score, a key metric showing how far price deviates from realized value:
Readings above 6.0 have consistently marked cycle tops.
Readings near or below 0 have marked major bottoms.
Current value is around 2.67 — indicating a rising trend, but not overheated.
This metric reflects market-wide profitability and speculative pressure.
Why $200,000 Is in Sight
The projected resistance curve on the chart suggests that:
$200,000 aligns with the top of the long-term parabolic channel.
It corresponds with the expected end of the parabolic phase (Q1–Q2 2026).
It fits prior extension patterns following each halving.
It is a strong psychological target, likely to trigger heavy profit-taking.
This price level is not arbitrary—it is derived from the same structure that defined previous peaks.
What Comes After
If the historical cycle structure remains intact:
The peak should occur before mid-2026.
A deep correction phase follows, likely into 2027.
True bottoms tend to occur as miner capitulation concludes and difficulty adjusts downward.
This is where conviction and preparation matter most.
Final Thoughts
Bitcoin cycles are not random. They are structured around block height, issuance, and miner economics.
Every cycle since 2012 has followed this 486-day framework, divided across parabola, crash, and reset. This model has outperformed calendar-based predictions and technical narratives.
Disclaimer
This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author holds no responsibility for any losses incurred as a result of using the information presented herein.
Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick · Bitcoin Hits New All-Time HighBitcoin is once again trading at a new all-time high and as this happens the altcoins go boom.
The first instance circled around the fact that Bitcoin was strong and range trading between $100,000 and $110,000. When Bitcoin goes sideways within a bull market, the altcoins tend to blow up, and blow up they need. Now, when Bitcoin moves to hit a new all-time high and keeps growing; the 2025 Cryptocurrency bull market is fully confirmed.
» Which one is your favorite altcoin trading pair?
» Which project you think will grow the most in 2025 & 2026?
» What is your TOP ALTCOIN CHOICE?
Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick
Leave a comment with some of your favorite altcoins pairs, the ones you like most and I will do a full analysis for you. I will publish in my profile and also answer directly in the comments section. I will pick and choose.
If you see other commentators that have a pair that you like, make sure to boost their comment and reply. The more boosts a comments gets, higher priority will be given to the project and trading pair.
Boost this publication and leave a comment, let's get started with your TOP ALTCOINS CHOICE!
Namaste.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #128👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s get into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indexes. As usual, I’ll be reviewing the futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour timeframe
In the 1-Hour timeframe, as you can see, Bitcoin broke the 118494 top yesterday and is now moving upward.
✔️ According to the Fibonacci Extension zones, the price has moved up to the 0.5 Fibonacci level and has been rejected from there, printing a few red candles for now.
📊 The buying volume in this bullish leg was very high, and as you can see, volume was in convergence with the trend. Now that the corrective phase has started, the volume is also decreasing, and still remains in convergence with the uptrend.
🔔 From a momentum perspective, we’ve reached a market top because RSI has reached the ceiling it previously formed at the 85.90 level, reacted to it, and has now dropped back below the 70 zone.
💥 If the 85.90 zone on RSI is broken, we’ll likely see a very sharp and explosive bullish leg from Bitcoin. In that case, the next targets would be the 0.786 and 1 Fibonacci levels.
🔑 For opening a position now, we can enter on the break of 122512, and we could also use the price’s pullback to the SMA25 as an entry. For now, our triggers aren’t highly reliable, so positions should be based more on market momentum.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s move to Bitcoin Dominance. The dominance range box between the 64.44 and 64.82 is still ongoing, and dominance hasn’t broken out of this box yet.
⚡️ If the box breaks downward, a large amount of capital will flow into altcoins, and we could see major pumps in altcoins.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving on to Total2. Yesterday, the 1.3 top was broken and the price moved up toward 1.33 and has now reached that area.
I✨ f that resistance breaks, the next target will be 1.41. If a correction happens, 1.3 and 1.26 are the lower support zones.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now to Tether Dominance. A new bearish wave started yesterday and has continued down to 4.22.
🎲 If this zone breaks, the bearish leg can continue down to 4.08.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Accumulation Ending? XRP Showing Signs of BreakoutXRP is in the process of breaking out of its weekly accumulation range.
The last time we saw this kind of structure — it led to a massive move.
Now, price is pushing toward the top of the zone again… and momentum is picking up.
If it closes strong above this level, it could trigger the next big leg higher.
Stay alert — this could be the start of something big!
Ethereum Breaks $3,000: Hype Meets UtilityEthereum (ETH) has surged above $3,000, driven by a wave of retail and institutional momentum following the presale success of Little Pepe (LILPEPE), a meme coin built on a new Ethereum-compatible Layer 2 network. With over $5 million raised during the presale, the appetite for meme-coin ecosystems continues to fuel Ethereum’s utility narrative, giving it both technical and psychological strength.
Key Levels to Watch:
• Short-term Structure (H4 Chart): ETH is currently forming a bullish flag pattern, a continuation structure that often precedes further upside.
• Upside Scenario: A confirmed breakout above $3,100 could extend the rally to $3,200, and potentially test $3,300, a level of major historical resistance.
• Downside Risk: Failure to hold current levels may see ETH retrace back toward $2,900, with the 50% Fibonacci retracement at $2,600 acting as the next support zone.
If sentiment in the broader crypto market remains elevated and Bitcoin holds firm near all-time highs, Ethereum’s bullish setup may have further room to run.
Bitcoin Fractal, increase to $116k Hi Everyone☕👋
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Been such a long time since I posted. Today I'm looking at BTCUSDT, and I'm looking at the previous all time high cycle and what we were seeing (the pattern aka fractal).
Here's why we're likely going a little higher.
First correction of -32%
Followed by first peak, ATH
Correction, then the second peak and the REAL ath. Which is where we likely are:
Interesting to note that the previous time, the second ath was NOT THAT MUCH HIGHER. This should be considered to manage expectations in terms of how high we can go. Anything above +6% is a bonus.
TradeCityPro | TON Eyes Breakout After Support Zone Rebound👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, I want to review the TON coin for you — one of the popular coins owned by Telegram, currently ranked 20 on CoinMarketCap with a market cap of 7.51 billion dollars.
📅 Daily timeframe
In the daily timeframe, unlike other coins that have already broken their highs and are moving upward, this coin hasn’t yet reached its top and has just been supported from the bottom of its range box.
✔️ A Maker Buyer zone has formed between the 2.725 and 2.519 levels, which is the main support zone for this coin, and the price has been supported from this area and is now moving upward.
📈 The trigger confirming this support was the 2.927 level, and after this trigger got activated and the price consolidated, it seems the main bullish leg has now started, and the price can move toward the top of the box.
✨ If you already have a long position on this coin, I recommend holding it — especially if you have other open positions — because this move has just started, and if an uptrend forms, your entry is at a great level.
⭐ The first zone where I might take partial profits is the 3.513 top, which is a Maker Seller zone and may cause a pullback.
💥 On the other hand, if you don’t have an open position yet, the first long trigger is the break of 3.513. This level is the top of the box, and breaking it confirms the beginning of a bullish trend.
🔍 The RSI trigger and the entry of bullish momentum into the market is the break of 58.84 on this oscillator. Volume so far is well aligned with price, and if this buying volume continues to rise, we can expect sharp bullish moves from this coin.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Deep Dive Part III – The Next BIG Whale Play UnfoldsDeep Dive Part III – The Next BIG Whale Play Unfolds
📍In Parts I & II of this Deep Dive, we broke down the psychology of whale behavior — from “Buy the Rumors, Sell the News” to the critical breakout zones that echoed historical patterns.
🐋 Back then, we spotted the whales' playbook early. The strategy was simple:
Buy the Rumors – Sell the News.
🧠 But now, the script has changed.
“The trap is where you’re most bored… 🌴📵
Their exit — on your liquidity — comes when you’re least ready. 💰🏄♂️💼”
Let’s break this moment down into what’s really unfolding.
We are officially entering the next stage of the cycle — not just in price, but in psychology.
This is no longer just about charts.
This is about human behavior on autopilot.
Here’s what I see happening right now — broken into three truths:
1️⃣ People Are On Holiday 🌞
From my community to the broader market, the energy is low.
People are either sunbathing on a beach or mentally checked out.
The focus is not there. The reflex to take action is dulled.
📉 The trap is where you’re most bored… 🌴📵
💰 Their exit — on your liquidity — comes when you’re least ready. 🏄♂️💼🚀
We’re seeing it unfold now:
1. Set the Bear Trap
2. Trigger the FOMO (will be down the road, yes)
3. Exit on Liquidity (the closing act of the play)
🕶️ But when everyone is away or asleep, that’s when the trap is laid.
It’s during these quiet, lazy days that the big moves get built.
2️⃣ This is a Disbelief Rally 🎢
The market trained everyone with a rhythm:
pump ➝ dump, pump ➝ dump, pump ➝ dump…
So what happens now?
People don’t trust the breakout. They’re frozen.
“We’ll dump again,” they say.
Except… what if this time, we don’t?
That disbelief becomes fuel.
It becomes hesitation — and hesitation becomes missed opportunity.
3️⃣ Bears Are Shorting Into Strength 🧨
This is key. While retail is confused, the bears are pressing in hard.
Their shorts are adding fuel to the pump they don’t see coming.
That’s why I posted recently:
“Shorting isn’t the problem. Being a psycho bear is.”
It’s not about being bullish or bearish —
It’s about timing , discipline , and narrative awareness .
Whales love this moment.
They lure in shorts, set the trap, then ignite the breakout straight into FOMO.
🧠 The Game:
Set the Trap → Trigger the FOMO → Exit on Liquidity 💥
This is what you’re seeing on the chart.
Not just price action — psychological choreography.
🕰️ In 2020–2021, we saw the exact same structure.
Part I warned about early accumulation and baiting behavior.
Part II showed how whales manipulated expectations with layered waves of doubt.
Now in Part III — the explosion few are ready for.
Zoom into the chart and it’s all there:
The curve, the trap, the trigger… and yes — the Final Boss.
🎯 The Final Boss: 6.51T
That’s the ultimate liquidity zone.
If this cycle plays out, we’re headed toward it.
“Sell the Rate Cuts” will be the new “Sell the News.”
It’s not the headlines that matter — it’s who’s left holding the bag.
🔚 Final Thought
The real exit — the one that traps most of retail — will come not when you’re euphoric,
but when you’re still saying:
“Surely we must dump now…”
So stay sharp.
Trade the chart — but don’t forget to read the behavior.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Part1:
Part2:https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/chart/idea/VgMBPsp3/
The Bear Trap:
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
BTC Weekly Update -as of Jul14🕰 Timeframe:
📆 Date:
🔎 Market Overview:
💼 Massive Institutional Inflows:
▪️ Over $1.1 billion in net capital inflows have entered spot Bitcoin ETFs in recent days, bringing the total weekly inflows to $2.72 billion so far.
▪️ The total assets under management (AUM) across all Bitcoin ETFs now exceed $150 billion, representing over 6% of Bitcoin’s total market capitalization.
⚖️ Favorable Political and Regulatory Support:
▪️ The ongoing Crypto Week in Congress is reviewing key legislative proposals like the Genius Act and the Clarity for Digital Assets Act, both of which offer promising regulatory clarity for the crypto industry.
▪️ Additionally, former President Trump’s executive order to establish a “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve” signals strong official political support for Bitcoin adoption.
📊 On-Chain & Sentiment Indicators
📦 Exchange Reserves:
Bitcoin reserves on centralized exchanges are at their lowest levels in years, suggesting a trend toward long-term holding (HODLing) and reduced selling pressure.
🧠 Fear & Greed Index:
The sentiment index remains firmly in the “Greed” zone, even hitting its highest level since May, indicating strong bullish sentiment among retail and institutional investors.
🌀 Whale Activity:
Whale wallets continue to show heavy accumulation, with large and steady transfers into private wallets, further supporting a bullish on-chain trend.
📈 Technical Setup
🔵Trend: Ranging upward
🔸 Key Support: 118,000➖ 115,000
🔸 Key Resistance: 125,000➖ 130,000
🔸 Indicators Used: RSI above 70
🧭 Next Week – Key Points
🔹 Watch for the outcomes of Crypto Week legislation in Washington — this will be a key driver for market direction.
🔹Monitor ETF capital inflows — if daily inflows stay above $500M, the bullish trend will likely strengthen.
🔹 Track the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy and the USD outlook, especially in response to inflation or other macroeconomic factors.
🔚 Summary: Final Analysis
📌 After reaching a new all-time high above $122K on July 14, Bitcoin’s bullish trend has strengthened. Strong institutional inflows and political support have reinforced the foundation for growth.
● Key Level Ahead: $125,000
● Outlook: If price consolidates above resistance, we could see a move toward $135K and beyond.
● Weekly Bias: Bullish, with potential for a pullback before continuation upward.
✅ If you like this analysis, don't forget to like 👍, follow 🧠, and share your thoughts below 💬!
Bearish reversal off Fibonacci confluence?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 121,983.11
1st Support: 112,086.50
1st Resistance: 128,114.70
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 2,810.19
1st Support: 2,361.23
1st Resistance: 3,481.42
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ETHEREUM - ETH Weekly Recap & Projection 13.07.2025Current Structure
Ethereum is showing a clear bullish bias.
Last week’s price action broke above a significant weekly swing level with solid candle closures — suggesting continuation.
Short-Term Scenarios
We could see two potential outcomes:
• A consolidation range forming at current levels
• A short-term retracement influenced by Bitcoin’s movement
Due to ETH’s high correlation with BTC, traders should review Bitcoin’s chart to understand ETH’s likely path.
Trading Plan
Wait for Bitcoin to complete a retracement
Monitor ETH for LTF (lower timeframe) confirmation and bounce
Seek long setups below the CME Gap (pink line)
Step 2 will serve as the trigger to initiate any positions on ETH.
Macro Risk-On Catalyst – Powell Resignation?
There are growing rumors regarding Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell potentially resigning.
If confirmed, this could result in a strong rally across risk assets, including ETH — likely pushing prices higher without traditional pullbacks.
Summary
• ETH broke major weekly structure
• Watch BTC for clues — correlation remains high
• Plan favors long entries after BTC retrace + ETH LTF confirmation
• Powell resignation rumors could accelerate bullish trend
Bitcoin - BTC | Weekly Market Recap & Outlook 13.07.2025What Happened Last Week?
Bitcoin broke out of the recent downtrend structure and established a bullish leg with clear momentum.
The breakout was supported by volume and price structure, suggesting a trend reversal rather than a temporary deviation.
Weekly Bias and Strategy
The current outlook is bullish.
A retracement or sideways consolidation between the $120,000 and $114,000 zone is possible.
This zone may act as accumulation before further upside.
Key Points of Interest (POIs):
12H Swing Liquidity (turquoise line)
Daily FVG (blue line)
These levels will be monitored for long setups with confirmation on lower timeframes.
Macro Consideration – Fed Chairman Jerome Powell
Recent market speculation has increased regarding Jerome Powell potentially stepping down as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
If such a resignation is confirmed, it may act as a significant bullish catalyst for Bitcoin and other risk assets, possibly accelerating upside without allowing for any meaningful pullback.
Summary
• Bullish breakout confirmed
• Long bias maintained unless major invalidation occurs
• Watching retracement levels for entries
• Macro catalyst (Powell resignation) may trigger strong continuation without retrace
Projected Harmonic Extension Into Key Demand Zone (157–152 WatchMacro to Micro Context
SOL is currently reacting off a short-term distribution zone between 164 and 168 after an impulsive run-up from early July. While no complete harmonic has printed yet, the structure forming resembles a potential Bearish Gartley. The CD leg shown is not yet confirmed, but represents a projected path derived from the local point of value and volume geometry on the 2H chart. The area between 157 and 152 remains the primary zone of interest, given historical demand and high-volume node alignment.
Structural and Momentum Breakdown
XABCD Estimate:
XA was impulsive, AB retraced 53.2%, and BC retraced 63.8% of AB
CD projection is speculative, drawn from the confluence of the BC extension (1.757), 0.786 retrace of XA, and the local value zone around 157.5–152
Volume Profile: Substantial volume shelf aligns with projected CD completion. Above 164, volume thins out sharply, indicating inefficiency and risk of rejection
Order Blocks: 2H bullish OB from July 1–3 sits directly inside the 157–152 range, adding further structural validity to this projected leg
Momentum Signals:
RSI is stalling below mid-band (50–60), suggesting loss of buyer momentum
Price Volume Trend (PVT) shows deceleration post-surge, potentially preceding distribution
Bollinger Bands are compressing, which often leads to volatility re-expansion following trend exhaustion
Trade Plan
At this stage, the CD leg remains a hypothesis based on value structure and harmonic geometry. The trade plan focuses on preparing for potential long entries if price moves into the estimated completion zone with supportive signals.
Watch Zone for Long Setup: 157.5 to 152.5
Invalidation: Clean break below 147 suggests breakdown and invalidates harmonic idea
Take-Profit Targets on Reversal:
TP1: 161.5 to 163.0
TP2: 165.5 to 168.0
Required Confirmation:
Bullish divergence on RSI or PVT bounce
Reclaim of 2H order block zone with impulse and follow-through
XLM/USDT;FREE SIGNALHello friends🙌
Given the good price growth, you can see that the price has entered a channel, which has caused the price to form a flag...
Now, with a strong channel breakdown by buyers and their entry, you can enter the trade with risk and capital management and move with it to the specified targets.
🔥Join us for more signals🔥
*Trade safely with us*