GOLD (XAUUSD): Pullback From Support📈GOLD appears to be bullish following a test of crucial horizontal support.
As a confirmation, I spotted a cup and handle pattern on an hourly.
Its neckline was violated with a strong bullish momentum.
I anticipate the price will continue to rise, reaching at least 3340 soon, and potentially up to 3362.
Cup And Handle
Total3 cup and handle pattern. Total3 appears to have formed a large cup and handle pattern which if materialized can catapult it towards 2 trillion in market cap. Which alt coins are going to capture the bulk of this tidal wave of money?
In cryptocurrency, TOTAL3 refers to the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies, excluding Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). It essentially represents the combined market cap of all altcoins (alternative cryptocurrencies). This metric is often used to track the performance of the broader cryptocurrency market, excluding the influence of the two largest cryptocurrencies.
OSCR 1W — When the Chart Speaks Before the FundamentalsThe Oscar Health chart is currently forming a textbook cup and handle — a long-term reversal structure that has completed its base and is now breaking out of the consolidation zone. The bullish structure is confirmed through price action, volume, and positioning relative to key moving averages.
The price has broken through the upper boundary of the handle, shaped as a descending wedge. The breakout is accompanied by increased volume — a clear sign of capital rotation out of accumulation. All major moving averages (EMA, MA50, MA200, WMA) are trending upward, and the price is holding above them all, confirming the bullish momentum.
According to Fibonacci extension levels, drawn from the historical low of $1.50 to the peak near $23.26, the first wave target stands at $36.71 (1.618 level), with an extended target at $45.02 (2.0 level).
Structurally, the setup suggests a medium-term scenario pointing from current levels toward the $36–45 range, with the potential to repeat the kind of explosive move seen during the 2023 phase, when the price increased more than sixfold.
On the fundamental side, Oscar Health is actively recovering: in 2024, revenue grew by more than 50%, net losses were cut nearly in half, and the client base continued to expand. The company is strengthening its share in the digital insurance market and gaining support from institutional investors, including Morgan Stanley and Capital Group. The latest quarterly report was positively received.
The breakout is technically clean and fundamentally supported. The immediate pullback zones sit at $14.95 and $13.40. Below that, moving averages may act as control zones for reaction.
TSLA: Break-out above bull flag, possible cup and handle?So, a few days ago, I posted about a bull flag forming on the daily chart for Tesla. This flag pattern was a period of consolidation following an incredibly whooping rally from the $270 mark to around $350 (around a 30% or so gain).
Today, we have a new break-out from this consolidation period, and as of writing right now, Tesla is up 7%. It has now breached the $350 resistance level.
If you look more closely, the chart pattern resembles something close to a cup and handle pattern. You have the cup base going from the 20th of Feb 2025 all the way to the 14th of May 2025. Our bull flag which lasted between the 14th of May until the 23rd of May (last Friday), could as well be a handle for the cup base.
A break-out from not only the bull flag but the cup and handle could signal a massive move towards $400, however $375 and $390 could be points of resistance, and it would be wise to watch for a cooldown in the short-term.
Upcoming this week, it might worth mentioning that NASDAQ:NVDA earnings could have a strong impact on tech and affect Tesla - even if Tesla isn't much exposed to AI as the semiconductors.
To conclude, target is $390-$400 however as we all know, nothing is guaranteed :)
Note: Not financial advice. My analysis is not advice, rather just an idea. Please do your DD as well.
GBP/USD manipulation going on right now ??gbpusd had a good rise the last few weeks/months, now its time to pay attention.
the price is now ranging,. let me tell you what i think.
a little bit higher there is a imbalance in the chart. for me and many others thats a reason to short.
why do i think manipulation is going on?
for the big people in order to go short they need to attract buyers, so how do they do that? they go long, they build up long orders to attract more buyers so the price doesnt go down and the shorts can get filled. thats what happening right now in my opinion. (i can be wrong)
also the rsi is overbought (indicating downside could come )
in my opinion the price will be ranging for a week of 2, after that is wil go a bit higher to eventually come down big time , (like 5% or more)
here is the setup i will take.
no financial advice, just my thoughts
Curve (CRV) Structure Analysis (1D)BINANCE:CRVUSDT formed a rounded bottom (cup) and a minor rectangle, and it's currently attempting to break above the local $0.83 resistance.
Key Levels to Watch
• $0.64: Current support and minor rectangle lower boundary
• $0.83: Current resistance, cup and rectangle upper boundary
• $1.00: Measured target from the minor rectangle pattern
• $1.30: Measured target from the cup pattern (within a key supply zone)
Other Important Levels
• $0.20: Key demand zone, and 2024 low
• $0.40-$0.50: Key S/R dating back to November 2022, aligned with the cup bottom
• $1.20-$1.30: Main supply zone, dating back to February 2023
A daily close above $0.83 with volume would confirm the breakout and trigger the targets.
Is this Bitcoin’s final push before altcoin season?Bitcoin breakout confirmed. But what if AVAX and other altcoins are where the real profits are hiding? Let’s talk targets, setups, and the coming shift in momentum.
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AUDCAD: Bull Trap & Bullish Confirmation 🇦🇺🇨🇦
AUDCAD formed a liquidity grab after a test of significant intraday/daily support.
A cup & handle pattern and a violation of its neckline with a bullish imbalance
provide a strong bullish confirmation.
I expect an up move now, at least to 0.899
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Cup & Handle Pattern Breakout - ASTRALTechnical Analysis:
Current Price: ₹1419 (as per the image)
Target 1: ₹1600 (based on small Cup & Handle breakout, potential 200 point return)
Target 2: ₹1850 (after Super Trendline breakout)
Timeframe: 1 to 3 months (for targets to be achieved)
Integrated Analysis:
Bullish Technical Setup: You've identified a potential small Cup & Handle breakout, which, if confirmed with strong volume, could lead to the initial target of ₹1600. The subsequent Super Trendline breakout would further strengthen the bullish case and support the higher target of ₹1850.
High P/E: Astral trades at a significantly higher P/E (73.1) compared to the industry average (26.5). This suggests that the market has high growth expectations for the company.
Mixed EPS: While the latest quarter's EPS (₹4.25) is slightly higher than the previous quarter (₹4.09), the overall Profit Growth is negative (-7.52%). This indicates that while the company is profitable, its profitability has declined year-over-year.
Positive EPS Trend: The EPS of ₹19.6 is higher than the EPS preceding year of ₹17.0, and the EPS last year, which is ₹20.3.
Key Factors to Monitor:
Breakout Confirmation: As always, strong volume is crucial to confirm the validity of both the Cup & Handle and the Super Trendline breakouts.
Sustainability of Growth: The company needs to demonstrate that it can return to a positive profit growth trajectory to justify its high P/E ratio.
Future Earnings: Upcoming quarterly results will be critical to see if the company can maintain or improve its EPS.
Industry Dynamics: Any positive developments in the pipes and fittings sector could benefit Astral.
Conclusion:
The technical setup suggests a strong bullish potential for Astral, with targets of ₹1600 and ₹1850. However, the high P/E ratio and negative profit growth are important considerations. The market is likely pricing in future growth, and the company's ability to deliver on these expectations will determine whether it can reach these targets
Cup & handle Breakout - HEGTechnical Analysis:
Current Price: ₹528.70 (using your initial price, which is close to the ₹529 close)
Target: ₹775 (significant potential upside)
Cup & Handle Pattern Breakout: Assuming this pattern is clearly visible on the chart and a breakout has been confirmed with good volume.
Time Frame: 1 to 3 months.
Integrated Analysis:
The technical picture suggests a bullish potential with the Cup & Handle breakout. However, the fundamentals paint a more cautious picture:
High P/E: Trading at a significant premium to the industry average.
Declining Earnings: Both year-on-year and overall profit growth are negative, indicating a concerning trend in profitability.
Recent Improvement (Quarterly): The latest quarter's EPS shows a slight increase over the previous quarter, which could be a glimmer of hope for a turnaround.
Latest News (as of May 19, 2025):
Recent news might be focusing on:
Q4FY25 Results Analysis: Any reports analyzing the latest quarterly earnings and providing insights into the reasons for the improved EPS but continued overall decline.
Graphite Electrode Market Trends: Developments in the global demand and pricing of graphite electrodes.
Company Strategies: Any news about HEG's strategies to address the declining profitability and capitalize on market opportunities (e.g., in the EV battery sector).
Cup & Handle pattern and Trendline Breakout - DELHIVERYTechnical Analysis:
Current Price: ₹351.25 (Note: Live prices can fluctuate. As of the market close today, Delhivery closed around ₹350.60 on the NSE).
Target: Your target of ₹410 suggests a potential upside.
Trendline Breakout: Breaking above a significant downtrend line can indicate a shift in momentum towards an uptrend.
Cup & Handle Pattern Breakout Confirmation: The confirmation of a breakout from a Cup & Handle pattern is a bullish continuation signal, suggesting a potential move higher.
Time Frame: A 1 to 3-month timeframe is reasonable for these patterns to play out if the breakouts are sustained.
Confirming the Breakouts:
Volume: It's crucial to assess if both the trendline and Cup & Handle breakouts were accompanied by a noticeable increase in trading volume. Strong volume adds conviction to the validity of the breakouts.
Sustainability: Monitor if the price holds above the breakout levels in the coming trading sessions.
Potential Upside:
Target (₹410): Represents a potential upside of approximately 16.7% from the ₹351.25 level (or around 17.0% from the ₹350.60 closing price).
Quarterly and Yearly Results & EPS Comparison:
Based on the information available up to the latest reported quarter (December 2024) and the previous fiscal year (FY24):
Latest Quarter Result (December 2024 - Q3FY25): Delhivery reported a consolidated net profit of ₹11.7 crore, compared to a loss of ₹102.9 crore in the same quarter last year. Revenue from operations increased by 19.8% YoY to ₹2,020.7 crore. This marked their second consecutive profitable quarter.
Yearly Result (FY24): For the full fiscal year ending March 2024, Delhivery reported a net loss of ₹1,007.4 crore on a revenue of ₹7,863.7 crore.
EPS Comparison:
Quarterly EPS (December 2024): ₹0.02 (positive), compared to ₹-1.41 in December 2023.
Yearly EPS (FY24): ₹-13.80.
We will need the results for the quarter ending March 2025 (Q4FY25) and the full fiscal year ending March 2025 (FY25) for the most up-to-date comparison. These are expected in the coming weeks. The recent profitability is a significant positive development.
P/E Comparison:
Given that Delhivery has only recently turned profitable, a traditional P/E ratio might not be the most meaningful metric right now. Investors will likely be focusing on the sustainability of their profitability and future growth prospects. As they continue to report profits, a P/E ratio will become more relevant for valuation comparison with peers in the logistics and e-commerce enablement space.
Corporate Action:
As of the latest information, there haven't been any recent significant corporate actions like dividends or stock splits announced by Delhivery. Investors should keep an eye on any future announcements from the company.
Latest News (as of May 19, 2025):
Recent news around Delhivery has been largely positive, focusing on:
Return to Profitability: The consecutive profitable quarters (September and December 2024) have been a major highlight, indicating a turnaround in their financial performance.
Focus on Efficiency and Cost Optimization: The company's efforts to improve operational efficiency and optimize costs are being recognized as key drivers for their profitability.
Growth in Key Business Segments: Reports often highlight the growth in their express parcel and supply chain services.
Analyst Upgrades: Following the positive results, some analysts have upgraded their ratings and price targets for Delhivery.
Partnerships and Expansions: Any news regarding new partnerships or expansion of their network and services is usually viewed positively.
Key Factors to Monitor:
Breakout Sustainability: Watch if the price holds above the breakout levels with good volume.
Upcoming Q4 & FY25 Results: These will be crucial to confirm the sustainability of their profitability and provide further direction for the stock. Look for the announcement dates.
Operational Efficiency: Continue to monitor the company's progress in improving efficiency and reducing costs.
Competition and Industry Trends: Keep an eye on the overall logistics and e-commerce landscape in India.
In conclusion, the potential Trendline and Cup & Handle breakouts on Delhivery, coupled with the recent return to profitability, suggest a bullish outlook with your target of ₹410 within a 1 to 3-month timeframe. However, it's important to monitor the sustainability of the breakouts, closely watch the upcoming full-year results, and consider the overall market sentiment and industry dynamics.
Cup & Handle - Bullish Continuation PatternFX:GBPUSD continues its bullish trend, printing higher highs and higher lows. Currently price has formed a Cup & Handle pattern signalling potential bullish continuation!
Following the analysis, buys should only be triggered once neckline / resistance has been broken!
Cup and Handle Breakout | Strong Trend Reversal in PlayNSE:PREMEXPLN
Analysis:
This chart showcases a classic "Cup and Handle" breakout pattern — a powerful bullish reversal setup. After a prolonged downtrend, the stock formed a rounded base, retested the neckline zone near ₹500, and broke out with strong momentum and volume.
Trendline Breakout: A long-term descending trendline has been broken, signaling a trend reversal.
Cup Formation: A smooth, rounded bottom formed over several months indicates accumulation and base-building.
Breakout Confirmation: A sharp breakout above the neckline resistance (around ₹500–₹510) with volume confirms the breakout.
Target Levels: Price has already moved toward ₹606 and is now approaching ₹678 — the measured move target from the depth of the cup.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Ideal entry was near breakout of ₹510.
Targets: ₹606 (hit), ₹678 (approaching).
Stop-loss: Below ₹500 or trailing below recent swing lows for momentum trades.
Outlook:
The chart signals a strong reversal and momentum continuation. If ₹678 is broken, further upside potential opens up.
HAPPY TRADING !!
Looking at a handle here :-)We’re looking at the cup’s handle here. My guess is that we’re going a bit more down from this status in the upcoming 24h and then go up again. If it does not go further down the 160 then we will probably break through the 180 resistance and hit 200. Let me know your thoughts about it! :-)
Trendline Breakout and Cup & handle breakout Confirmation - NBCCTechnical Analysis:
Current Price: ₹111.08 (Note: As of the market close on Friday, May 16, 2025, NBCC closed around ₹110.85 on the NSE).
Target: Your target of ₹140 suggests a significant potential upside.
Trendline Breakout: Breaking above a significant downtrend line indicates a potential shift in momentum to the upside.
Cup & Handle Pattern Breakout Confirmation: The confirmation of a breakout from a Cup & Handle pattern is a strong bullish signal, suggesting a likely continuation of an upward trend.
Time Frame: A 1 to 3-month timeframe is reasonable for these patterns to play out, assuming the breakouts are sustained.
Confirming the Breakouts:
Volume: It's crucial to have seen a noticeable increase in trading volume during both the trendline and the Cup & Handle breakouts. Strong volume adds significant validity to these signals.
Sustainability: The price should hold above the breakout levels in the coming trading sessions.
Potential Upside:
Target (₹140): Represents a potential upside of approximately 26% from the ₹111.08 level (or around 26.3% from the ₹110.85 closing price).
Quarterly and Yearly Results & EPS Comparison:
Based on the information available up to the latest reported quarter (December 2024) and the previous fiscal year (FY24):
Latest Quarter Result (December 2024): NBCC reported a consolidated net profit of ₹113.45 Crore, a significant increase of 60.81% compared to the same quarter last year (December 2023). Total income also increased by 17.25% to ₹2456.54 Crore.
Yearly Result (FY2024): For the full fiscal year ending March 2024, NBCC's total revenue stood at ₹7835.59 Crore, a growth of 10.75% compared to FY23. The profit after tax for FY24 was ₹277.66 Crore, a growth of 10.54% YoY.
EPS Comparison:
Quarterly EPS (December 2024): ₹0.63, compared to ₹0.39 in December 2023.
Yearly EPS (FY2024): ₹1.54, compared to ₹1.39 in FY23.
We will need the results for the quarter ending March 2025 (Q4FY25) and the full fiscal year ending March 2025 (FY25) for the most up-to-date comparison. These are expected in the coming weeks.
P/E Comparison:
Based on the closing price of ₹110.85 and the FY24 EPS of ₹1.54, the current P/E ratio is approximately 71.98.
According to some sources, as of May 17, 2025, the P/E ratio is around 59.8. The construction and infrastructure sector can have a wide range of P/E ratios depending on growth prospects and company specifics. While seemingly high, it could be justified if the market anticipates strong future earnings growth, as suggested by the recent quarterly results. We'll get a clearer picture with the FY25 EPS.
Corporate Action:
Dividend: For FY24, NBCC declared a final dividend of ₹0.14 per share. Investors will be looking for any dividend announcement that typically accompanies the full-year results for FY25.
Order Book: NBCC has been consistently securing new orders, which is a positive sign for future revenue and profitability. Keep an eye on any new order wins announcements.
Latest News (as of May 17, 2025):
Recent news around NBCC has been generally positive, focusing on:
Strong Q3FY25 Results (Dec 2024): The significant jump in profit was a key highlight, boosting investor confidence.
Order Wins: NBCC continues to secure new projects across various sectors, including infrastructure and real estate. These new orders provide revenue visibility for the coming quarters.
Focus on Execution: The market is often looking at NBCC's ability to efficiently execute its large order book. Any positive updates on project progress are usually well-received.
Government Initiatives: Being a government-owned entity, NBCC's performance is also linked to government spending on infrastructure and housing. Positive policy announcements in these areas can be beneficial.
Key Factors to Monitor:
Breakout Sustainability: Ensure the price holds above the breakout levels with sustained volume.
Upcoming Q4 & FY25 Results: These will be crucial in determining if the recent profit growth trend continues and will impact the P/E valuation. Look for the announcement dates.
New Order Wins: Any further significant order wins will act as positive catalysts.
Execution Progress: Updates on the progress of major projects in their order book will be important.
Market Sentiment: Overall market sentiment and the performance of the infrastructure and construction sectors will play a role.