CVX Earnings Trade Setup — August 1, 2025
## 🚨 CVX Earnings Trade Setup — August 1, 2025 🚨
🔍 **Chevron (CVX) Earnings Analysis | High Conviction Call Play**
### 🧠 Model Consensus (Multi-LLM Blend)
* 📉 **Revenue Trend:** -1.0% TTM growth, margin pressure from falling oil
* 📈 **Analyst EPS Expectation:** \$11.04 with 26.2% YoY growth est.
* ⚠️ **Miss Rate:** 50% EPS beats w/ average surprise -2.2%
* 💬 **Consensus Sentiment:** ⚖️ *Moderate Bullish (Confidence: 60%)*
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### 🔥 Options Heatmap
* 🟢 **Most Active Call:** \$152.50 strike, 🔥 ask volume at 152
* 🔺 **IV Rank:** 63% → *Moderate move expected*
* 🧊 **Put/Call Skew:** Defensive bias with light bullish divergence
* 🕵️♂️ **Dark Pool:** Mild accumulation hints by institutions
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### 📉 Technical Breakdown
* 🔹 Near 50/200 MA — Neutral Pre-Earnings Drift
* 🔸 Support: \$150 | Resistance: \$155
* 🔻 Volume: 0.53x avg → *Weak conviction*
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## 🎯 TRADE SETUP
🛠️ **Strategy:** Long Call (Pre-Earnings Entry)
💰 **Strike:** \$152.50
📅 **Expiry:** 2025-08-01
💸 **Entry Price:** \$3.70
🧠 **Profit Target:** \$11.10+ (200–300%)
🛑 **Stop Loss:** \$1.85
📊 **Risk/Reward:** \~2.5:1
🕓 **Exit Timing:** 1–2 hrs post-earnings (to avoid IV crush)
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### 🧪 Earnings Catalyst Trade
Chevron’s setup shows a **classic low-volume/high-upside IV play**. Risk tightly managed with a defined stop, but room for explosive move if earnings surprise to upside.
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📦 **Trade JSON Snapshot:**
```json
{
"instrument": "CVX",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 152.50,
"expiry": "2025-08-01",
"confidence": 60,
"profit_target": 11.10,
"stop_loss": 1.85,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 3.70,
"entry_timing": "pre_earnings_close",
"earnings_date": "2025-08-01",
"earnings_time": "AMC",
"expected_move": 5.0,
"iv_rank": 0.63,
"signal_publish_time": "2025-08-01 13:05:25 UTC-04:00"
}
```
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📈 **#OptionsFlow #CVX #EarningsPlay #TradingViewSetups #LongCall #EnergySector #IVCrushProtection #PreEarningsTrade**
