DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 05/07/2023We discuss two scenarios that could play out today. Traders should be long already and protect their trade. Today there might be an opportunity to enter a new long trade. However, traders should be careful as a pullback is expected in the higher timeframe. This means every high can be your last high.
Dax40
DAX40 Crash - Short Signal - Swing TradingDAX40 is about to crash. A BIG short trade is pending its turn.
Germany40 Index (GER40, GRXEUR, GER30) is trapped in a Bearish stance.
Fundamentally, many things are against a Bull-Market at these times, but I mentioned that in my VIX spike idea.
From a Technical Analysis standpoint, well, the picture is much clearer.
Technicals:
* A-B-C Elliott Wave Sequence
* Running Flat Pattern
* Bearish Harmonic: Cypher Pattern
* Fractal Pattern: May-Dec '18 Sequence
* Reversed Bearish Divergence
* Bearish Divergence
* Descending Channel
* 61.8% Fibonacci Retracements of Primary A (red)
* 88.6% Fibonacci Retracements of Intermediate (B) (white)
* 100% Fibonacci Extensions of Intermediates (A) & (B) (white)
Expected Outcome:
* Powerful Bearish Impulse in Primary C (red).
Trading Signal:
* Entry @ 14550
* SL @ 15800
* TP1 @ 11200
* TP2 @ 9750
* TP1 @ 9000
Safety Measures:
* When in the green, moving stop-loss at break-even.
DAX H8 - Long Signal (Update)DAX H8
We pushed almost as high at 16000 before seeing a slight rejection, corrections possible, infact another test of 15700 isn't out of the question. Simple longs from this support zone again if this is the case.
16000 being quite a prominent psychological resistance price. We have a void of 285 pips to take us up to our major resistance and ultimate TP.
DAX40 H8 - Long SignalDAX40 8H
Finding a range on the German indices at the moment, after aggressive highs of 16440 ish... We have now started correcting back into a previous play of S/R. Which is good for us as it now means we have previous highs to target, and previous support to buy from.
Ideally looking for longs (in line with alerts) from 15700 price, in aim to trade back up beyond 16000 again.
Dax to be supported soonI am looking at the possibility of a potential flat in wave 2 as we keep falling in what could be a wave {c}. Equality of wave {c} vs.{a} is where I would like to start seeing some support and that would be at the beginning of the golden box.
Feel free to ask question, trade safe!
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Thursday 22/06/2023Trading day preparation. Although pullback is expected in the higher timeframe, we might see some more upside in the lower timeframe. We discuss several scenarios that could play out. For today, depending on what the market gives us, we see an entry for a long trade.
Will DAX find buyers at market?GER40 - 24h expiry
Offers ample risk/reward to buy at the market.
The primary trend remains bullish.
The 1 day moving average should provide support at 15923.
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Bespoke support is located at 15900.
We look to Buy at 15902 (stop at 15802)
Our profit targets will be 16152 and 16192
Resistance: 15950 / 16000 / 16050
Support: 15912 / 15860 / 15800
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 21/06/2023Trading day preparation. Although pullback is expected in the higher timeframe, we might see some more upside in the lower timeframe. We discuss several scenarios that could play out. For today, depending on what the market gives us, we see an entry for a short trade.
DAX Sell signal but gets invalidated on this levelDAX is on a 2-day pullback with a new (dashed) Channel Up emerging.
The index is already inside two long term Channel Up patterns.
The RSI (1d) crossed under its MA level, calling for a technical pullback inside the borders of these Channel Up patterns.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell as long as the price remains under Resistance (1).
2. Buy if it breaks above it.
Targets:
1. 15740 (bottom on two Channel Up patterns).
2. 16950 (top on two Channel Up patterns).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) has a Rising Support. Keep that in mind as if it holds you might consider closing the short position earlier.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Notes:
Past trading plan:
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Tuesday 20/06/2023Trading day preparation. Although pullback is expected in the higher timeframe, we might see some more upside in the lower timeframe. We discuss several scenarios that could play out. For today, depending on what the market gives us, we see an entry for both a long and a short trade.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 19/06/2023Trading day preparation. Although pullback is expected in the higher timeframe, we might see some more upside in the lower timeframe. We discuss several scenarios that could play out. For today, depending on what the market gives us, we see an entry for both a long and a short trade.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Friday 16/06/2023Trading day preparation. Although pullback is expected in the higher timeframe, we might see some more upside in the lower timeframe. We discuss several scenarios that could play out. For today, depending on what the market gives us, we see an entry for both a long and a short trade.