Trade Idea: US30 Long (BUY LIMIT)Justification:
Technical Analysis:
1. Daily Chart:
• Strong bullish reversal from recent lows.
• MACD is crossing up sharply, showing fresh bullish momentum.
• RSI at 62.33 — rising but not yet overbought (room to run).
• Price reclaiming key moving averages.
2. 15-Minute Chart:
• Clear uptrend continuation.
• MACD and RSI confirm bullish momentum.
• Price consolidating at recent highs — potential breakout formation.
3. 3-Minute Chart:
• Short-term consolidation near highs with low RSI (38.84) — possible dip-buy opportunity.
• MACD near zero — primed for a new short-term wave.
Fundamental Analysis (as of early May 2025 context):
• Likely market optimism surrounding softer inflation data and potential rate cuts.
• Dow components (industrials, financials) benefit from economic soft-landing expectations.
• VIX (if tracked) remains subdued, confirming risk-on sentiment.
⸻
Trade Plan (Long):
• Entry: 42,360
Near current consolidation zone on lower timeframes.
• Stop Loss (SL): 41,850
Below recent swing lows and key moving average support (approx. 510 pts risk).
• Take Profit (TP): 43,380
Targeting previous resistance area on the Daily chart (approx. 1020 pts reward).
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
Dowjones
US30 AFTERNOON SESSION MAY 13Damn!! Why price acting up for? Lol let's handle it.
Price, after a very heavy push up seems as if its starting to fall off bit. Its making a head & shoulders pattern and its starting to sell. When price breaks and retests the neckline I'm going to get in for the sell and sell it down to 41970. Trade responsibly and have fun.
Potential bearish drop?Dow Jones (US30) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 42,479.50
1st Support: 41,294.20
1st Resistance: 43,190.10
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DOW JONES: Breached the 1D MA200. Tariff War 2018 Recovery aheadDow Jones is on excellent bullish levels on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 62.103, MACD = 203.720, ADX = 34.693) and as it crossed today above the 1D MA200 for the first time since April 2nd, and practically validates the recovery from the Tariff War correction, it draws strong comparisons with the last U.S.-China Tariff War in 2018. Both rebounded after highly oversold 1D RSI levels, and the 2019 recovery almost hit the 0.9 Fibonacci level before turning into a less aggressive recovery. The trade is long, TP = 44,100.
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MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, USDCHF, GBPJPY, US30
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #EURUSD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸
As I predicted, EURUSD dropped after the market opening.
The price is currently testing a significant daily demand zone.
Because the market looks relatively oversold after a selloff,
I think that there will be a high chance to see a pullback.
2️⃣ #USDCHF daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇭
The price completed a consolidation and a bullish accumulation
within a horizontal range on a daily.
Its resistance breakout is an important bullish signal.
Probabilities are high that the market will continue rising after a pullback.
3️⃣ #GBPJPY daily time frame 🇬🇧🇯🇵
The pair broke above a significant daily resistance cluster.
It opens a potential for more rise.
The market will most likely reach the underlined yellow resistance soon.
4️⃣ #US30 Index Dow Jones daily time frame 🇦🇺🇺🇸
The index successfully violated a major daily resistance.
Rise will continue and the market will reach the underlined
liquidity zone soon.
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Trade Idea: US30 Short ( SELL STOP )Technical Analysis Overview:
1. Daily Chart:
• Price has retraced sharply into resistance (near 41,300–41,400), rejecting the 200-day EMA zone.
• MACD still negative but turning up—suggests potential for a failed bounce.
• RSI at 55.33—approaching overbought in a corrective move, ripe for reversal.
2. 15-Min Chart:
• Bearish divergence forming on RSI with lower highs.
• MACD is turning down with momentum fading after a recent high around 41,665.
• Price has broken short-term moving average support, with momentum shifting down.
3. 3-Min Chart:
• Clear bearish structure with lower highs and lower lows.
• MACD and RSI confirm short-term weakness.
• Price hovering near local support (around 41,302), if broken, would confirm further downside.
⸻
Fundamental Context (Macro):
• FOMC & NFP results (recent) suggest continued uncertainty in interest rate direction.
• US manufacturing and employment data have shown mixed signals—equities vulnerable to downside corrections amid macro volatility.
• Seasonally, May is often a pullback month (“Sell in May”).
⸻
TRADE IDEA – SHORT US30
• Entry: 41,295 (current price at resistance zone)
• Stop-Loss (SL): 41,670 (above recent intraday high and 15-min resistance)
• Take-Profit (TP): 40,500 (prior support zone on 15-min chart)
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
Weekly Market Forecast: Wait For BUYS! Stock Indices and GoldIn this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of May12 - 16th.
The Stock Indices were sluggish last week, holding at support. Wait for a market structure shift to the upside to confirm buys.
Gold and Silver may move higher, as India and Pakistan, Gaza and Ukraine are increasingly troublesome.
CPI Data on Tuesday. This could be a strong market mover.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
US30 Breakdown May 11thWhy don't skeletons fight each other? Cuz they ain't got guts, like you if you keep making excuses. Ok let's get to work.
Price has been steadily moving upwards this past month. Right now, there seems to be a counter bearish trend, so I plan to react to the market when it gets to my key level 41,353. If price breaks and retests that level on the 1 minute, and for extra confirmation the counter trendline, I will buy it to 41,500.
If price gets to that 41,353 level and decides to break structure and trend down, then I will sell it to 41,100 level.
But like my ex, price does whatever it wants, and it could buy earlier or sell earlier then I've predicted. So, when price gets around one of my key areas (any of the horizontal lines) and decides to start making higher highs and higher lows or breaks and retest it then I'll buy. And If price decides to start making lower highs and lower lows at my key area then I'll sell it.
Have Fun with trading. Keep smiling and I promise if you look at it with positivity you will always win
Dow Jones Correction in May 2025: Key DriversDow Jones Correction in May 2025: Key Drivers
Summary: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) is under pressure and likely headed for a correction due to the Federal Reserve’s tight monetary policy, trade uncertainty from Trump’s tariffs, and weak economic data.
Key Drivers:
➖ Federal Reserve Policy: At the May 6–7 meeting, the Fed is expected to maintain the 4.25–4.5% interest rate due to persistent inflation (2.7% forecast for 2025) and a robust labor market (+177K jobs in April). This dampens hopes for rate cuts, pressuring stocks.
➖ Trump’s Tariffs: New tariffs raise inflation risks and recession fears, reducing the appeal of Dow Jones constituents like Caterpillar and Walmart.
➖ Weak GDP and Global Volatility: A 0.3% GDP contraction in Q1 2025 and declines in Asian markets (1.6–1.8%) signal global instability.
➖ Technical Indicators: DIA trades below its 200-day moving average (~420 USD), with fewer stocks above this level (down from 76% to 55% since January), indicating market weakness.
➖ Outlook: Analysts (Long Forecast) predict volatility, with a potential drop to 38,958 in May, despite an average forecast of 43,370 by month-end. Historically, corrections occur every 1.88 years, and current conditions (tariffs, inflation, GDP) heighten the likelihood of a 10–15% decline.
Target: My downside target for the Dow Jones is 38,555.00.
Current factors and historical trends strongly suggest a near-term correction.
Idea for S&P 500:
DowJones INTRADAY important resistance retest Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41,900
Resistance Level 2: 42,470
Resistance Level 3: 43,600
Support Level 1: 40,680
Support Level 2: 40,240
Support Level 3: 39,700
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DowJones INTRADAY resistance retestKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41,900
Resistance Level 2: 42,470
Resistance Level 3: 43,600
Support Level 1: 40,680
Support Level 2: 40,240
Support Level 3: 39,700
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Weekly Forecasts UPDATES! ALL Markets Analyzed! Stocks & FOREXIn this Weekly Forecast UPDATE, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Metals futures, and the FOREX Majors for Thursday, May 8th.
The targets set in last weekend's forecasts are still in play! Trade accordingly.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Trade Idea: US30 Long (BUY LIMIT)Technical Overview
Daily Chart (Macro View):
• Trend: Recent bounce from major support near ~37,600 after a sharp selloff.
• MACD: Still bearish but showing early signs of momentum reversal (histogram rising).
• RSI: Neutral (~53.8), coming up from oversold territory—indicative of potential recovery.
• Price: Holding above 41,000, a key psychological level and previous consolidation zone.
15-Minute Chart (Swing/Short-Term View):
• Price: Forming higher lows after a significant bounce.
• MACD: Nearing a bullish crossover.
• RSI: Moderately bullish at ~56.87.
3-Minute Chart (Entry Precision):
• Price: Recently broke above short-term moving average.
• MACD: Bullish with strong histogram momentum.
• RSI: Slightly overbought (~52.90), but not extreme.
⸻
Fundamental Context (as of May 2025):
• Market sentiment is cautiously bullish after Fed pause hints and solid tech earnings.
• Inflation pressures are easing slightly, supporting risk-on sentiment.
• Recent volatility due to rate expectations and macro data; however, markets are recovering from sharp selloffs.
⸻
Bias: Long Position
US30 shows a strong recovery setup with macro support, bullish lower-timeframe confirmation, and neutral-to-bullish momentum indicators.
Entry (Buy Limit):
40,960 – small retracement near the short-term EMA and previous breakout on the 3-min chart.
Stop Loss (SL):
40,700 – below the recent swing low and psychological round level.
Take Profit (TP):
41,560 – retest of minor resistance from earlier consolidation area, offering a solid risk-reward.
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
DowJones INTRADAY awaits Fed Rate Decision Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41,450
Resistance Level 2: 41,900
Resistance Level 3: 42,470
Support Level 1: 40,220
Support Level 2: 39,760
Support Level 3: 39,150
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DOW JONES Can this Channel Up hold after the Fed Rate Decision?Dow Jones (DJIA) has been trading within a Channel Up since the April 24 Low and yesterday's correction (technically its Bearish Leg) stopped on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). Having formed already a Golden Cross, as long as this 4H MA50 holds, it should technically fuel the pattern's new Bullish Leg.
The 'weakest' Bullish Leg within this Channel Up has been +3.58%, so we expect a minimum repeat of that, giving a Target at 42100 on the short-term. This falls perfectly at the bottom of the 5 week Resistance Zone.
If this Channel Up doesn't get invalidated after today's Fed Rate Decision, it will most likely push the price there.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Trade Idea: Long (MARKET)Technical Confluence:
Daily Chart:
• Strong bullish engulfing recovery from recent support (~37,700).
• MACD starting to curl back up from deeply negative levels — possible trend reversal.
• RSI recovering above 50 (currently 52.49), suggesting bullish strength resuming.
15-Min Chart:
• Sustained uptrend with pullbacks respecting the moving average.
• MACD crossing positive territory.
• RSI at 64.77 with room to move higher before hitting overbought levels.
3-Min Chart:
• Tight consolidation after a sharp breakout to 40,766 — forming a potential bull flag.
• RSI at 58.89 — mid-level with upward momentum potential.
• MACD histogram shrinking — possible continuation breakout imminent.
⸻
Fundamental Context:
• Market Sentiment: U.S. markets are generally supported due to strong earnings reports and decreasing recession fears. Treasury yields have stabilized, and risk appetite is returning.
• Upcoming Events: FOMC rate decision is key — bullish bias if they hold or soften tone.
⸻
Trade Details:
• Entry: 40,770
• Price is consolidating just under this resistance. Enter on breakout with volume confirmation.
• Stop Loss (SL): 40,350
• Below recent support on the 15M chart and under the moving average. Conservative SL with volatility in mind.
• Take Profit (TP): 41,450
• Measured move from the flag pattern and aligns with Fibonacci extension and historical resistance.
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
DowJones INTRADAY falling resistance at 41420Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41420
Resistance Level 2: 41900
Resistance Level 3: 42470
Support Level 1: 40240
Support Level 2: 39760
Support Level 3: 39150
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DOW JONES: This is why it targets 70,000Dow Jones is marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.838, MACD = 20.320, ADX = 34.615) as the recovery since last month's low is taking a pause ahead of the Fed on Wednesday. Last month's candle closed with an incredible reversal and all this is just noise for long term investors who look at this very chart you have in front of you. The index is basically on the usual -20% correction it undergoes when it is in the middle of a multidecade Bull Cycle. If this is indeed what many call the A.I. Cycle, Dow has a minimum target of 70,000 expected somewhere in 2032.
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BUYS For the Markets. Wait for BUYS in Gold and Silver.In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of May 5 - 9th.
The Indices are moving higher, and it's buys until they are not. Simple.
Gold is near potential support at 3201. This may present a great buying opportunity once the lows are swept. A weakened USD will help this cause.
Silver has made a bearish market structure shift (MSS), so buys are not yet on the table. If it disrespects a Daily -FVG, then sells are warranted. It is considerably weaker than Gold.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
DowJones INTRADAY NFP volatility trigger! Momentum is bullish, but today’s NFP report is a key risk event. A weaker-than-expected jobs number could reinforce rate cut bets and extend the rally. A surprise beat may trigger profit-taking.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41200
Resistance Level 2: 42000
Resistance Level 3: 42710
Support Level 1: 39446
Support Level 2: 38490
Support Level 3: 37840
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
With Dow at Resistance, it Could be Make or Break for ASX 200The Dow Jones tends to share the strongest correlation with the ASX 200, out of the three Wall Street indices. It is therefore worth noting that Dow futures formed a bearish pinbar at trend resistance on Thursday, following an intraday false break of the March low. The daily RSI (2) was also overbought by the day’s close. The March 31 low also hovers nearby for additional resistance.
Given futures volumes were declining while Dow futures rose, I suspect a pullback is due.
ASX 200 futures formed a hanging man candle beneath the January high, near a weekly VPOC (volume point of control). The 200-day SMA also hovers nearby. A bearish divergence has also formed on the daily RSI (2). And like the Dow, volumes were declining while ASX prices rose.
Bears could fade into moves around the Jan low or 2000-day SMA with an initial target at the March high, a break beneath which assumes aa deeper pullback towards the 7939 VPOC and 7900 handle.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
DOW JONES: The most critical 1D MA50 of all.Dow Jones is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.914, MACD = -282.250, ADX = 30.751) but has completed 5 green 1D candles in a row, going for the all important Resistance test of the 1D MA50. This trendline has been intact since March 3rd and is on a crucial Resistance cluster as this is where the LH trendline from the ATH is. The 1D RSI is already on an Inverse H&S, which is a positive sign but we need to see a candle closing over the 1D MA50 to validate the restoration of the long term bullish trend. If succesful, we will turn long and target the ATH Resistance (TP = 45,000), which is also just under the 2.0 Fib extension.
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