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Dxyanalysis

DXY Analysis: Rising Dollar and Market ImplicationsAnalyzing the recent DXY chart, we observe a significant upward movement following a demand build-up. This article explores the implications of a rising U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on currency pairs and major indices like the SP 500 and NASDAQ, aligning with current market dynamics. DXY Chart Breakdown: The chart highlights a strong weekly/daily demand level at 98,500, with an internal structural shift marking a pivot point. A demand build-up preceded a sharp rise, tapping the extreme level of the last point of supply at 100.385, suggesting bullish momentum. The DXY currently stands at 99.915, with potential to test previous supply levels around 101.850. Impact on Currency Pairs: A rising DXY typically strengthens the USD, influencing forex markets: • XXXUSD Pairs (e.g., EURUSD, GBPUSD): These pairs are likely to decline as fewer dollars are needed to purchase foreign currencies, reflecting the USD’s increased value. • USDXXX Pairs (e.g., USDJPY, USDCAD): These pairs are expected to climb, as a stronger USD buys more of the counterpart currency. Exceptions may arise due to region-specific economic data or central bank policies. Effects on Major Indices: The strengthening dollar has broader market implications: • SP 500: Multinational companies may face pressure from reduced overseas earnings, while higher interest rates (often linked to a rising DXY) could lower valuations, potentially leading to declines. • NASDAQ: Tech-heavy and growth-oriented, the NASDAQ may underperform due to its sensitivity to a stronger USD and rising borrowing costs, especially for firms with global revenue. However, a risk-off sentiment or strong U.S. economic data could counter these effects, supporting both indices. Conclusion: The DXY’s upward trajectory signals a robust USD, likely pressuring XXXUSD pairs downward and lifting USDXXX pairs. For indices, the SP 500 and NASDAQ may face headwinds, though context like economic releases or global sentiment will play a key role. Traders should monitor these levels closely for strategic entries and exits. Trump’s speech today may create short-term volatility for the DXY. A focus on tariffs could push it toward 101.850.
TVC:DXY
by Apexfx_Alpha
EURUSDHello everyone. I'm here to share a new EURUSD signal and also explain the reasoning behind this trade. Normally, this strategy is designed for mid- to higher-timeframe trading. However, I noticed a signal from this strategy aligning perfectly with my own system on the 15M chart, which made the setup appear twice as strong. That said, there's one caveat: the delta value is currently positive, which adds a bit of risk to this trade. Please take that into consideration. 🔍 Criteria: ✔️ Timeframe: 15M ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2 ✔️ Trade Direction: Sell ✔️ Entry Price: 1.13636 ✔️ Take Profit: 1.13473 ✔️ Stop Loss: 1.13717 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes. 📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies: 💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses
Short
by Nurlan_PT
GBPUSD The second trade of the day comes from the GBPUSD pair. Even though I'm not a big fan of this pair, I believe it's worth taking advantage of the signal. However, for this pair, I recommend slightly reducing your lot size and overall risk. 🔍 Criteria: ✔️ Timeframe: 15M ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3 ✔️ Trade Direction: Buy ✔️ Entry Price: 1.32793 ✔️ Take Profit: 1.33054 ✔️ Stop Loss: 1.32706 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes. 📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies: 💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
Long
by Nurlan_PT
Technical analysis of short-term gold operations!!!On Wednesday, the gold price generally showed a downward trend. The highest price rose to 3327.91 on the day, and the lowest price fell to 3266.79, closing at 3288.16. In view of the fact that gold fell under pressure during the early trading on Wednesday and broke through the four-hour and daily support as expected, and then the US market rebounded again and came under pressure, and finally ended in a big negative state at the daily level. The price has fallen below the daily support, so we need to pay attention to the continuation of the band decline in the future. From a multi-cycle analysis, first observe the monthly rhythm. The price rose for three months in the early stage and then a single-month correction appeared. Recently, it has risen for four months and then a single-month correction appeared. Therefore, according to the rhythm, four consecutive positives have appeared. For May, we must pay attention to market risks. From the weekly level, the gold price is supported by the support level of the 3040 area. From the perspective of the medium-term, we can continue to maintain a bullish view, and the price drop is only a correction in the medium-term rise. From the daily level, the current price resistance is in the 3007 area, which is the key watershed of the band trend. If the price is below this position, the subsequent band will be treated as short. At the same time, for the short-term four-hour price resistance, it is around 3290, so the subsequent price will be treated as short under the four-hour resistance. In general, the price can be treated as short under the four-hour resistance and the daily resistance.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
Gold opens up callback space as expectedGold finally broke through the rhythm of continuous fluctuations in the morning and ushered in a relatively large correction. After the cyclical retracement in the morning, a bottom-breaking market was formed. Generally, for a direct decline in the Asian session, we will put the watershed at the opening price, which is the current high point of 3290! But it is not very meaningful to look at this position now. According to the recent rhythm of Asian session decline, weak European session, and rebound in the US session. We can look at the second decline in the European session rebound. But we should be more cautious in the US session. Especially in the second half of the US session, Intraday short-term pressure: 3266-70 top and bottom conversion position below: hourly double bottom around 3211-3195 "Observe whether there is a key area for the signal of stopping the decline"
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
Gold is forming a head and shoulders pattern!Analysis and interpretation: Gold prices have been on a strong upward trend since the beginning of 2025. The daily chart shows that gold prices have climbed from around $2,600 to around the $3,500 mark. Recently, gold prices have formed a consolidation trend in the range of $3,260 to $3,380, indicating that the bulls and bears are fighting fiercely here. It can be seen from the K-line chart that gold prices fell back after hitting a record high of $3,499.83 in April, but then gained support and rebounded at $3,260. The Bollinger Band indicator shows that the upper track is at $3,465.75, the middle track is at $3,191.92, and the lower track is $2,918.08. The current price is running between the upper and middle tracks, indicating that the medium-term upward trend is still maintained. Although the gold price may fluctuate in the range of $3,260 to $3,380 in the short term, the overall upward trend has not changed. The MACD indicator shows that DIFF is 81.35, DEA is 84.74, and the MACD value is -6.80. The histogram shows a shrinking state, indicating that the upward momentum has weakened, but no obvious short signal has been formed. The RSI indicator is around 58.81, which is in the neutral to strong area, and has not reached the overbought or oversold level, and there is still room for growth.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
Gold falls as expected, awaiting guidance from ADPGold continued to fluctuate in 1 hour. Now, the gold fluctuation is most likely a relay of decline. Gold rebounds and continues to be short. The gold 1-hour moving average gradually begins to stick together, but it is still diverging downward. If it continues to cross downward to form a dead cross, then there is still room for gold shorts to fall. Gold hit a high twice and was suppressed by the 3330 line. Today, gold continued to be short at highs under the pressure of 3330. Gold bulls continue to rebound every time. Now gold bulls obviously have no confidence in further rise, so gold shorts take the opportunity to exert their strength. Gold is still the home of shorts, and gold rebounds and continues to be short. US trading operation ideas: Gold 3320 short, stop loss 3330, target 3300-3290;
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
Gold maintains a volatile range, pay attention to subsequent breOn Tuesday, the gold price generally showed a downward trend. The highest price rose to 3348.45 on the day, and the lowest price fell to 3299.49, closing at 3316.95. On Tuesday, gold was under pressure during the early trading session, and then the price continued to fluctuate during the European and US trading sessions. Overall, the price is still running within the fluctuation range, but once the daily support is broken, it is expected to break the lower edge of the range. From the multi-cycle analysis, first observe the monthly rhythm. The price rose for three months before and then a single-month correction occurred. Recently, it has risen for four months and then a single-month correction occurred. Therefore, according to the rhythm, April is generally bullish, but for May, we must pay attention to market risks. From the weekly level, the gold price is supported by the support level of the 3040 area. So from the perspective of the mid-line, we can continue to maintain a bullish view. From the daily level, the current price is supported by the 3004 area support. This position is the key watershed of the band trend. The market will further break down in the future, so it will be focused on in the future. At the same time, for the short-term four-hour price, it has been fluctuating up and down at the four-hour key position recently. Pay attention to the resistance of 3387 and 3370 on the top, and the 3260 area on the bottom. Before the data, the market as a whole tends to fluctuate temporarily. After breaking through the daily support, pay attention to the performance of breaking down the lower edge of the range.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
Interpretation of technical ideas for short-term gold trading onGold opened this week in a volatile market. It opened high and fell on Monday. The US market rose above the high opening position. It fell in the Asian market on Tuesday. The European and American markets fluctuated and adjusted. The main reason is that the data this week is concentrated in the second half of the week. From the past market, this week's rebound did not touch 3370, so it cannot be treated as strong. It did not fall below the bottom support of 3260. The overall trend is convergent and volatile. Now the technical indicators are in a sticky posture, and the three lines of the Bollinger Bands are also closed. The Asian market mainly focuses on the continuation of volatility. The upper side focuses on the resistance of the hourly Bollinger Band upper rail 3330, and the lower support is at 3300. Pay attention to the operation of the range at noon. If the gold price touches 3300 below, participate in long orders with a light position. With a small loss, look at the target of the upper rail pressure of the Bollinger Band at 3330; if there is a rebound before the European market that touches the upper rail of the Bollinger Band at 3330, you can try to arrange a short position to be bearish, and the target is whether 3300 can be broken. The small non-farm data will be released before the U.S. market opens, followed by the PCE data. At that time, I will re-position my position based on the data release and wait for the data release to help gold prices move out of the range of volatility.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
Gold's shock trend and interpretation of US market thinkingGold continues to fluctuate, we continue to look down in the European session, try long orders near 82; 2025-4-29 Tuesday Gold Asia-Europe long and short strategies The market is always changing, the only constant is the existence of risks. Keeping the principal is always the first principle. ◆Short order◆ Aggressive: short near 3356, stop loss 7 points, short at 62-68 after breaking, Stop loss: stop loss 7 points each, or unified stop loss 77. Target: 3286-69-54-42, continue to reduce holdings after breaking ◆Long order◆ Aggressive: long at 82, stop loss 7 points, long at 75-70 after breaking, Stop loss: stop loss 7 points each, or unified stop loss 62. Target: 98-06-12, continue to reduce holdings after breaking; Steady: 66 long, stop loss 7 points, 58-52 long after breaking, Stop loss: 7 points for each stop loss, or a unified stop loss of 42. Target: 98-06-12, continue to reduce holdings if the position breaks; 【Today's long orders must be promptly protected after profit, and the next position will be entered after the principal is protected】 Stop loss is determined according to your actual tolerance. Protect in time after profit, and enter the next position after protection】 ★ Pattern analysis and attention: Daily strategy ideas: Asia and Europe, our current price 06 long orders are also given to around 22 as expected. We are still bearish if the resistance is not broken, and try 82 long orders 【Reference: Russia-Ukraine peace talks, US-Japan tariff negotiations】 【Data: wholesale inventory rate, consumer confidence index, job vacancies】 ☆ There is a delay in posting, and the final operation is based on real-time strategy and current price orders. Please continue to pay attention; ☆ Strategy orders are divided into warehouses, and the total position shall not exceed 20%;
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
1
Risk aversion eases, gold continues to fluctuateSpot gold prices (XAU/USD) fluctuated and fell, approaching the $3,300 mark, continuing the weak trend of the previous trading day. From the daily chart, gold prices have fallen from their historical highs and are currently approaching the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level (US$3,300-3,290). The key support level below is concentrated in the $3,265-3,260 range, which is also the previous consolidation range. If it falls below, it will open up the space for a 50% retracement level (US$3,225) or even $3,200. In terms of technical indicators, the MACD indicator shows signs of a dead cross, and the green kinetic energy column expands moderately, indicating that short-term bears still have the initiative; the RSI indicator is still oscillating near the 50 axis, and has not yet shown extreme oversold, indicating that the downside space may be limited. Once the price rebounds, the initial resistance above is seen at $3,348-3,353. After the breakthrough, it is expected to re-challenge the $3,400 mark, and even attack $3,425-3,427. If the US PCE inflation and non-farm data weaken this week, it will further support the re-entry of gold bulls.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
Interpretation of the short-term operation ideas of shopping4-hour trend will not hit the high point within this 4-hour period, so currently we can focus on the morning high point and yesterday's high point 3348-3353. Currently we can focus on the support near 3316. First point: After the 4-hour high closed with a small positive column yesterday, a big negative column fell in the morning, indicating that the price will continue to bottom out in the short term. Therefore, we can arrange short orders below yesterday's high point 3353-3348 in the white session, so 3340-44 is the best shorting point. Second point: Because the price rose to 3336 after yesterday's high of 3302 and only retreated to 3319, the support of 3316-17 still exists. The point we focus on in the Asian and European sessions is when 3316-17 will break. Third point: In the event of an accident, the price directly pulls back and breaks the high point, then the next short position is 3370-72; I think this probability is small. Then if it breaks 3315-16, we need to find a low position to go long. Then 3300-3288 and 3273 in yesterday's Asian and European sessions are the long positions. We can use small stop losses to bet on long positions. Strategy: Short at 3340-44 during the Asian session, defend at 3353, target at 3330-3320, break at 3315 and target at 3300-3290 Short at 3370-72, defend at 3378, target at 3350 After breaking 3315, short at 3300-328-3276 with a small stop loss of 5-6 US dollars, target at 3305-3350-70
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
Gold fluctuates within a wide range, and may stop falling as it On Tuesday, gold trading relied on the 3310 support level to directly go long, and the near-point pressure area of ​​3360/80 was bullish. The long logic of gold as a "safe haven trump card" is beyond doubt. The small cycle adjustment is only the accumulation stage. Once it starts to explode, it will be unstoppable. Recently, when gold touched 3500 again, there was a market view of "suspected top". It is recommended that all investors maintain their composure-the short-term adjustment is insignificant compared to the entire rising cycle. This time, the price retreated from 3500 and corrected by about US$240, which is still within a reasonable range relative to the previous increase. It is emphasized again that it is not recommended for investors to be bearish on gold in the long term, or to subjectively determine that 3500 has become the top. Such psychology is prone to trading deviations and even breeds a dangerous mentality of short orders to bear losses, which is the root cause of long-term losses. In the early trading of the day, a 3310 long strategy has been deployed, and it is suggested that 3315 can be entered into the long position during the trading session. The current position is in market fluctuations. The current uptrend will first focus on the recovery of the 3340/45 line, and the opening price pressure level should be paid special attention to, especially during the Asian and European sessions. If the Asian and European sessions maintain a shock correction pattern, the support level will continue to be relied on for game play; if the uptrend effectively breaks through 3340/45 and stabilizes, the handover period between the European and American sessions is expected to explode to the 3380 line, or even challenge a higher price range.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
1
Gold fluctuates at high levels, waiting for adjustmentGold fell back after a cyclic rise in the morning, and the price lost today's starting point. The current position is near the starting point of Friday! If the Asian session cannot bottom out and rebound, then we must be careful of further declines to 3260 in the European session to test around 3230. This position will not be reached soon, but after the loss of the key position, the momentum below will gradually open up, so today the long position is at 3260. This week's data reference: Wednesday's ADP employment report, Friday's non-agricultural data Recent fundamental news is complicated, and the fluctuations in the past two weeks are relatively large compared to before. The fluctuations in a single day will basically exceed 100 US dollars, so we must pay attention to strict loss control in operations. Intraday view: After a short-term retracement, the first pressure level: 3315-17 top and bottom conversion position Strong pressure focus: 3337-43 If it can't reach the support, it's still at 3260. If it breaks down, the US session will look for a position to fall back.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
Price Action + Fundamentals Point to Dollar StrengthThe current market environment presents compelling evidence for a bullish move in the US Dollar Index (DXY). While some patience is required, the setup is increasingly favorable for the dollar to appreciate in the coming weeks and months. Key Factors Supporting a Bullish Move: Monthly Close Above 100.160: A critical technical level to monitor is the monthly close above 100.160. If achieved, it would signal a strong bullish breakout, setting the stage for a continuation higher. Given current price action and market dynamics, this scenario looks highly probable. However, if the price fails to close above 100.160 and instead breaks below it, we could potentially start looking for short opportunities. Bond Market Strength (30Y, 10Y, 5Y): This past week, we witnessed notable strength across the US bond market. Yields declined as prices rose, typically a positive signal for the dollar as it reflects capital inflows into US assets. COT Report Insights: The Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals a critical shift: commercial traders, often considered the "smart money," are beginning to accumulate long positions in the dollar. This change in positioning historically precedes significant bullish moves. Seasonal Patterns: Seasonality also favors the dollar during this period. Historically, the dollar tends to strengthen in the mid-year months, aligning perfectly with the current technical and fundamental landscape. Targets: Initial Target: 106.120 Given the accumulation signs and supportive macro backdrop, a move towards 106.120 seems very realistic.
TVC:DXYLong
by Wiiso
Next week's ups and downs analysis and operation ideasGold closed with a long upper negative line in the weekly chart last week, and retreated to the lowest level of 3260 after being under pressure at the integer level of 3500. So can the decline continue next week? First, let's look at a few weekend fundamental news: The Federal Reserve's financial report said that global trade wars and policy uncertainties are the biggest risks to financial stability, and have also led to concerns about the value of the US dollar in most countries. Secondly, the Federal Reserve officials made remarks that interest rates may be cut in June, and the geopolitical situation has become unstable, which has also provided some support for the price of gold in the short term. Technical aspect: The bald positive line closed on Friday's 4-hour and 1-hour lines. If it opens flat at the beginning of the week, it is likely to continue the recent morning cycle recovery rhythm. Note: After the daily level suppressed the decline of 3500, it has been fluctuating in a large range for three consecutive trading days. The upper and lower edges are relatively clear 3385-3260. According to the recent morning cycle recovery rhythm, the bullish momentum will basically be released before 10 o'clock. Therefore, if the market cannot continue to rise after 10:00 at the beginning of the week, the European session will continue to fluctuate downward. In particular, it cannot break through the upper edge of the daily oscillation cycle before 3385. Operation: Open flat at the beginning of the week. Short-term support focuses on 3300. Strong support: 3260-70 Pressure level: Gains and losses of key pressure near 3385
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
Interpretation of ideas after gold opensTechnical pattern: This week, gold closed in a "shooting star" pattern, which is a common peak signal, indicating that the price of gold may face a correction or decline. Influence of news: This week, affected by Trump's tariffs and dismissal of Powell, gold first hit a record high of 3500 due to its safe-haven properties. Then Trump's remarks changed, and the price of gold plunged from the high point to around 3260. Overall, it ended in a volatile situation under the uncertainty of tariffs, Powell's stay and interest rate cuts. If there are no new safe-haven factors in the market news, there is room for further decline in the price of gold. Short-term trend analysis Four-hour level: After the safe-haven, the price of gold rebounded at the low point of 3260, but was unable to continue near 3370. It is believed that the high-level selling repair and low-level buying intervention have affected it. The opening of the gold price next week may continue to fall. Hourly level: Since the decline in the price of gold, the rebound strength has been insufficient. It rebounded twice near 3260 below, and the overall center of gravity was downward before crossing 3380. Next week, pay attention to the 3330-3346 range to determine the nature of the rebound at the end of this week. At the same time, pay attention to whether 3260 can be broken. If there is a break, you can look down to 3221. Operational suggestions: Overall, the overall idea for next week will continue to be bearish. Pay attention to the resistance of the 3330-3346 range on the top, and try to go short if it is touched; the initial support below is 3260, and the bearish trend can continue to 3221-3219 if it breaks. Suggestions for being stuck at high positions: For investors who are standing guard at high positions, if they can withstand the pullback of gold prices, they can continue to hold and wait for the return of their capital; if not, it is recommended to recognize the loss and leave the market first, and then enter the market after the gold price has adjusted to the right level.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
DXY USD INDEX FORECAST Q2 W18 Y25DXY USD INDEX FORECAST Q2 W18 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. ✅ U.S. dollar index is a measure of the value of the dollar against a basket of six foreign currencies. ✅The currencies are the Euro, Swiss franc, Japanese yen, Canadian dollar, British pound, and Swedish krona. 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅ Break an d close below July 2023 key 100.00 levels. ✅ Foresee a pull back to, weekly imbalance, daily order block, daily 50ema, weekly order block and or weekly 50 ema. ✅ Awaiting to identify a significant break of structure bullish to use the DXY as confluence for our trading week 18 of Q2 toward key points of interest mentioned above. ✅ Forecasting continued bearish pressure long term. ✅Initially bullish outlook however upon price turn around. DXY to break 100.000 level again. 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. Pairs to look out for - EURUSD USDCHF USDJPY USDCAD GBPUSD 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
TVC:DXY
by JCFRGNT
2
The gold weekly line is about to close and the short position coThe downward trend remains unchanged! At the same time, after the current decline in gold, traders who have positions above should pay attention that the early morning rebound cannot exceed the stage pressure of 3292-3300. The larger the rebound, the weaker the downward momentum. After a continuous decline, the 3260 position can be seen below. After breaking, the 3230 point needs to be paid special attention to below. This is the golden section position of 50% retracement since the rise from 2956 to 3500 in this round. It is also a multiple resonance area in the trading concentration area. After reaching this point, traders who hold short positions should consider being more cautious.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold