Apple Surges 3% in Premarket Amid AI Optimism & Strong ForecastApple Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AAPL ) has seen a notable 3.46% surge in premarket trading, defying concerns over declining China sales. The upward momentum follows an optimistic sales forecast, hinting at a resurgence in iPhone demand fueled by Apple's strategic adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) features.
Earnings Outlook
Apple’s latest earnings report revealed a nuanced performance, with robust overall revenue counterbalanced by a slight dip in iPhone sales. Despite a shortfall in China, where revenue declined 11% to $18.5 billion—falling short of the projected $21.57 billion—Apple’s services unit exhibited strong growth, climbing 14% year-over-year to $26.34 billion. This exceeded Wall Street expectations of $26.09 billion, reinforcing Apple’s ability to diversify revenue streams beyond hardware sales.
CEO Tim Cook emphasized that Apple Intelligence, the company’s AI-powered suite of features, is playing a crucial role in boosting iPhone sales where available. However, Apple’s cautious approach to AI investments, unlike its peers such as Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta (META), has insulated its stock from recent market turbulence. The restrained AI strategy aligns with Apple's focus on integrating AI within its hardware ecosystem, enhancing device functionality without excessive capital expenditure on data centers.
The company posted earnings of $2.42 per share on revenue of $124.3 billion, surpassing analyst expectations of $2.36 EPS on $124.12 billion revenue. While iPhone sales, accounting for nearly half of Apple's revenue, declined to $69.14 billion from $69.70 billion year-over-year, the broader growth trajectory suggests a potential iPhone rebound in FY26.
Technical Outlook
From a technical standpoint, NASDAQ:AAPL is demonstrating strong bullish patterns. The stock is currently up 3.41%, benefiting from the renewed confidence in its growth trajectory. Prior to this recent rally, Apple shares had experienced a 15% decline since late December 2024. However, the current price action suggests a recovery, with NASDAQ:AAPL reclaiming 10% of its lost value, forming a falling wedge pattern—a historically bullish signal.
The premarket surge sets up the possibility of a gap-up pattern at market open, a strong bullish indicator that could further accelerate buying pressure. In the event of a pullback, immediate support lies at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, a key level that often dictates price reversals in technical analysis.
The China Factor and AI’s Role in Future Growth
While Apple’s sales slump in China remains a wildcard, analysts expect a recovery once Apple Intelligence is introduced in the region. The lack of AI features has been cited as a major reason for weaker-than-expected sales in the Chinese market. TD Cowen analysts predict that demand could rebound once Apple secures a local partner to facilitate AI integration, boosting sales in a highly competitive market.
Moreover, Apple's performance relative to its tech peers remains strong. In 2024, Apple stock surged 30.07%, outperforming Microsoft’s 12.09% increase but trailing Meta’s impressive 65.42% rise. Apple’s 12-month forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 31.12, compared to Microsoft’s 29.2 and Meta’s 26, indicating sustained investor confidence in Apple’s long-term growth potential.
AAPL Positioned for Further Gains
Apple’s ability to weather market challenges, coupled with its strategic AI rollout, positions it favorably for continued growth. The bullish technical setup, strong fundamentals, and AI-driven sales optimism indicate that AAPL could maintain its upward trajectory. Investors should monitor key support and resistance levels, as well as further developments regarding Apple Intelligence’s expansion into new markets.
With analysts raising price targets and market sentiment improving, Apple’s stock could be on track for a sustained rally in 2024 and beyond.
Earningsreport
Huge Earnings and Economic Surprises Ahead!🚨 Weekly Preview: Big Earnings and Economic News 🚨
Get ready for an action-packed week as we dive into major corporate earnings reports and crucial economic updates! 📊💼
🔍 Earnings Highlights:
Tech giants like Apple, Microsoft, and Tesla are set to release their quarterly results.
Also, goliaths such as Visa, Mastercard, ASML and more!
📈 Economic Indicators to Watch:
Inflation rates 📉
GDP Growth 📊
Federal Reserve policy decisions 💵
Stay tuned for in-depth analysis and insights on how these events could shape market trends and investor sentiment. Don't miss out on the key information that could impact your financial decisions! 📅📢
[01/20] GEX Outlook: Decision, Key Levels and Looming VolatilityLooking at the GEX levels through Friday, we can see that since mid-December, the market has been moving in a slightly downward channel.
Above 6000–6025: A call gamma squeeze is expected.
Between 5925 and 6000: A sideways “chop zone.”
Below 5925: The high-volatility zone begins, with 5800–5850 acting as our major support/resistance level characterized by heavy put dominance.
Below that level lies a “total denial zone.” We’ve seen this scenario before—think back to the red candle on December 18, when the price broke below that threshold. This “red zone” is currently around 5800, so below 5925 we can anticipate large-amplitude moves.
At this point, the market still does not seem worried about significant volatility. Until Friday, all NETGEX values for every expiration are positive , so market participants are pricing in more of a sideways movement. We haven’t yet seen a big pickup in volatility.
I’m not pessimistic, but keep in mind that Trump’s inauguration might usher in a high-volatility period—something the market and many retail traders haven’t experienced in a while. Better safe than sorry.
LLY Earnings Preview: Breakout or Rejection? Key Levels to WatchNYSE:LLY moved from 761-799 this week, catching key support at that 761 level. NYSE:LLY closed as an outside week, bullish on the 15MIN-Week timeframe. This has the potential to be a really nice earnings run-up, if the 800 level can hold. As always do your own research, these are just ideas, not meant for investment advice.
Can We Get +EV from EV? With stocks like FCX, sometimes the answer isn’t just about gold—it’s about finding the copper that holds everything together.
While everyone scrambles for the gold nuggets in the mainstream Electric Vehicle (EV) market, you might be missing opportunities further upstream in the feeder streams. These are the overlooked areas that quietly power the whole operation. As I work on my 2025 guide to researching and finding hidden gems in this very market, I stumbled upon a curious situation that’s sometimes overlooked when researching a stock: a well-timed opportunity to combine deeper research with the possibility of an early position.
What is that opportunity, you ask? Well, it’s all about timing and understanding the mechanics of dividends, coupled with an upcoming earnings catalyst.
The Hidden Value in Copper
Let’s face it—copper wire isn’t exactly the sexiest investment out there. But sometimes, the dressed-down stock has a greater long-term value precisely because it spans multiple industries. Copper isn’t just critical for EV motors and renewable energy—it’s a foundation material for infrastructure, electronics, and more.
Enter Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX). This copper powerhouse caught my attention for two key reasons:
1. A dividend payout date approaching on Jan 15, offering a 1.6% yield.
2. An earnings report set for Jan 23, creating the potential for amplified movement shortly after the dividend window.
Now, before you jump in, remember: this isn’t about chasing dividends or speculative hype. Instead, it’s an opportunity to observe, research, and learn. Here’s why FCX is a fascinating case study and what to watch for.
Why FCX Is a Great Study
1. **Dividend Catalyst (Jan 15)
- Watching the stock’s behavior leading up to and after the ex-dividend date could give insights into how investors value the dividend.
- Track whether the stock trades with increased volume or volatility as traders position themselves to collect the dividend.
2. **Earnings Catalyst (Jan 23)
- With earnings just a week after the ex-dividend date, you have a rare overlap of events that could amplify price movement.
- Depending on sentiment, the stock could rebound from the ex-dividend price drop—or face additional pressure if earnings or guidance disappoint.
3. **Copper Exposure
- FCX is already on our radar for its ties to EVs, renewable energy, and infrastructure projects.
- Broader copper demand, influenced by economic sentiment or supply chain news, could add another layer of movement to this stock.
What to Watch
1. Pre-Dividend Price Action (Now through Jan 14)
- Look for increased buying as traders position for the dividend.
- Monitor volume trends and whether FCX breaks key technical levels.
- Keep an eye on market sentiment and copper-related news.
2. Ex-Dividend Price Adjustment (Jan 15)
- Observe if the stock drops by exactly the dividend amount ($0.15) or if external factors cause a different adjustment.
- Watch for recovery post-drop—does buying interest resume, or does the stock stall?
3. Earnings Anticipation (Jan 16–23)
- Monitor implied volatility (IV) for options, as IV typically rises before earnings.
- Consider how copper prices or macroeconomic trends (like China reopening or U.S. infrastructure spending) might affect sentiment heading into earnings.
4. Post-Earnings Reaction (Jan 23 and Beyond)
- Listen to the earnings call for insights on copper demand, production costs, and forward contracts.
- Note whether the stock aligns with broader copper and EV trends or diverges based on the results.
Possible Outcomes
1. Bullish Scenario
- Dividend buying drives interest, and earnings provide a strong catalyst for growth.
- The stock rebounds quickly after the ex-dividend date and continues upward momentum post-earnings.
2. Bearish Scenario
- Dividend adjustment leads to further downside pressure, and earnings fail to meet expectations.
- The stock underperforms compared to copper peers.
3. Neutral Scenario
- Dividend adjustment happens as expected, and earnings provide no surprises.
- FCX trades sideways, maintaining a range-bound pattern.
How to Track and Document
1. **Price & Volume:**
- Record closing prices from now through Jan 23.
- Note volume spikes and their timing relative to events.
2. **Options Activity:**
- Monitor the options chain for changes in implied volatility as earnings approach.
- Look for unusual activity around certain strikes or expirations.
3. **Copper Prices:**
- Track global copper prices, as they could influence sentiment for FCX.
4. **News Flow:**
- Stay updated on copper demand, EV adoption, and infrastructure-related headlines.
A Practical Exercise in +EV Thinking
FCX presents a unique opportunity to explore the layered dynamics of dividends, earnings, and macroeconomic trends. Even if you don’t take a position, tracking these events can sharpen your understanding of how catalysts play out in real time.
And, of course, this study aligns perfectly with the philosophy behind my upcoming eBook and print guide:
**“Adding to Your Nest with EV in 2025 – A guide for researching the hidden gems in the EV market sector of trading.”**
So, can we get +EV from EV? The answer lies upstream, in the copper that holds everything together.
-Bob Cavin 3
Dark Pool Accumulation Patterns Ahead of EarningsNASDAQ:LULU is working on completion of its long-term bottom. It has good PSHI and has been trending up for a while. The company reports this week. It may gap on earnings news. The steady but slower-paced improvement in price is indicative of Dark Pool accumulation.
Easyjet ready to fly?Easyjet records better financial statements, looking at the report is possible to read that LSE:EZJ flew about 5% increase in seats when compared with last year.
The revenue increased by 14% this mainly because of the increase of 8% in capacity. Looking over the financial indicator it's noticeable an increase in revenue and the difference compared to 13 week moving average.
The price breakout for the second time above the top of ascending triangle following for a cross over the 200ema. The yellow resistance is the strongest one that still needs to be broken.
ADX is already above DMI- and being at 19,49 can show some strength confirming the DMI+.
EFI barely dropped below zero when the price failed to cross the EMA changing direction above zero rapidly.
PALANTIR ON AN INCREDIBLE BULLRUN ! BUT...
But be careful—this does not justify the price at all. Although Palantir has very solid numbers in its balance sheet, this does not justify a valuation at such an overvalued price could be very dangerous !
We must consider that markets in general are bullish, and the results of the latest report recently showed that it remains a very solid company in terms of sales. However, its earnings numbers are average—they meet analysts’ expectations, but by a very narrow margin. Historically, this has been the case in past reports as well.
Now, let’s get back to the technical analysis of Palantir.
After its report, it managed to break through that institutional zone that marked its peak 3 years ago (2021). After bouncing off the imbalance for a second time, Palantir showed a lot of strength and reached new highs.
From here on, we just need to wait for a pullback soon to start analyzing a possible support level.
Right now, Palantir is in no man’s land, which makes it a bit difficult to predict its next move. The only thing we can do here is to follow its movement candle by candle, staying alert to wicks and immediate zones where it might pull back.
Thank you for supporting my analysis. TRADE SAFE!"
GOOGL Strong Move Post-Earnings. My AnalysisHey, guys. Not going to go into too much detail on the description here. Just wanted to get my thoughts out there on NASDAQ:GOOGL . Certainly seems to have a strong long term trend here. As always, in long term trends, there could be various counter trend moves so always be prepared in that regard. Hopefully this offers some more insight for you as you think about NASDAQ:GOOGL from an investment perspective, or even a trading perspective. Even if you are looking for short term trades in GOOGL, I find it helpful to know how your trade might fit in to the longer term trend (whether to the downside or upside).
Hope you enjoy the review, and best of luck out there!
Nasdaq - index will continue to rise?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel
If the drawn resistance level is broken, we can witness the continued rise of the index up to the previous ATH
Around the range of 21,000, we will look for price corrections of the index until the bottom of the ascending channel
Google / Waiting for the earnings reportGoogle refuses to break out of the 'stacked channel,' that channel where the candles are tightly packed side by side. It’s a bit frustrating that the price isn’t making any move or decision, but all we can do now is wait for the big earnings report day for the price to decide its direction.
Stay tuned on Tuesday, the 29th, after the market close!
Best Regards
Nasdaq - Nasdaq will maintain the balance of 20,000?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel
If the drawn support range is maintained, we can see the index continue to climb up to the previous ATH
But the valid break of the drawn support range will pave the way for the correction of the index to the bottom of the ascending channel
Within the defined demand zone, one can look for index buy positions with appropriate risk-reward
Palantir Validated a Liquidity Zone, Whats Next? If you saw my previous structural analysis, I had mentioned that Palantir was going to hit an institutional liquidity zone, and for the first time in several years, using common sense, the price was going to face rejection.
And that’s exactly what happened...
The price hit my point of interest and dropped for 3 days. However, the last candle with which we closed the week was green and had enough volume.
Why is this? If we can see 2 candles before the close, we can detect a trap that created a long wick downward, preventing the price from falling further. That’s the detail we're seeing before the week’s close—the last candle was bullish. We also can’t ignore that Palantir is only about 2 weeks away from its earnings report.
So, I don’t think the price will make a decisive move just yet, and even if it falls further, it would likely be around 38.50. However, the earnings strategy that traders are waiting for, where Palantir accumulates and begins to rise, is very close. So, we need to be very alert as we approach its earnings report on November 4th.
Best regards, and thank you for supporting my analysis.
Google Still Bullish but nothing to see yet till Earnings ReportGoogle is clinging to this stagnant channel (yellow color), but the question is:
Could this be an accumulation before their earnings report?
We are one week away from Google's earnings report, and I have a feeling that the price will simply continue to trade within the same range until a few days before the report. Let's say on Friday or Monday, we may see a strong and sudden move. This is due to the "insiders," those privileged individuals within the company who hold positions and know what the price movement will be on the day of the report based on information they can access before the expected date.
We just need to keep in mind that we are still in a congested sideways channel, and this channel may expand as the days leading up to the report approach.
There's really not much to see with Google at the moment.
Best regards, and thank you for supporting my analysis.
Significant Move Expected for Walgreens Boots AllianceToday, Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) is highly volatile with an IVRank of 102.6, indicating elevated implied volatility.
The expected move is ±11.78% in the near term, showing potential for significant price swings.
Skew across expiries suggests a stronger preference for calls, as evidenced by the CALL skew of 36.5%, particularly notable for the 11/15 expiry where the IVx is 102.7%.
Despite a slight IVx decline across some expiries, the volatility remains high, signaling traders are bracing for large earnings-driven moves.
Weak Technical Patterns Ahead of EarningsFor now, NYSE:GS the largest of the Financial Services companies left, is struggling a bit. Trading activity in this stock is well below its average at this time. No pre-earnings run patterns have developed yet. There is some rotation recently, with lower money flow.
$NKE NIKE | NIKE CEO RETIRES & PRICE RALLIES 9% - Sep 21st, 2024NYSE:NKE NIKE | NIKE CEO RETIRES & PRICE RALLIES 9% - Sep 21st, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $
Weekly: Bearish
Daily: Bullish
4H: Bullish
NYSE:NKE price is now approaching the 88.00 - 89.00 level that was a previous support level (week of Apr01'24). Bearish momentum from Jun27'24 earnings broke this level. We are now revisiting it from a bullish rally that was spawned by the CEO retiring and a new one being appointed. The support, the break, and the retest are three visits to this level, which is why I'm now viewing it as a potential entry for trades. Keep an eye out for the Oct01 earnings call.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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NVIDIA BUY ZONES ACTIVE ?As posted before after the earnings report we’ve seen the stock drop from 127 to 105 after a blowout report. Here’s my current idea of a scenario
1. NVDA Settles around the price of $111 & $100 before US DATA Thursday and Friday
2. NVDA buy opportunities towards
$125-$140 or above
3. Stocks can rise on a worst than expected US Data, propelling the index market to all time highs as well as gold. This current correction phase is healthy, and needed.
4. NVDA can form a double top resistance at $138-$141 sending the stock into more selling power. Consequently to a price of $90-$50. Waiting for a bounce between this area.
Until new points of possible AI is found and chips are being sold at a higher volume. This can be the EOY stock price. Overall whoever wins presidency will have a significant impact on AI markets.
This is a prediction. Good luck to all!
US30 Buy ZoneStep one
* Market creates a sell structure @ 41169
Step two
* Market breaks through support @ 40953
Step Three
* Market breaks towards low of 40750 and quickly recovers in price action. Rally?
Step 4
*Economic data sends the Dow jones back to the resistance zones in step 1 & 2. Recovers to rally to an all time high of 41,500 or 42,000 and quickly sells.
NVDA Earnings Results I believe in the next 24 hours we will see a $50 billion stock buyback to $137+ and then a major correction immediately after. I think the selling pressure will be a falling knife. Leading us back into the $100-$70 range. Shaking out retail investors. This is just a prediction. Good luck!!
PDD Holdings: A Strategic Pivot or a Tempestuous Trial?As PDD Holdings, the e-commerce titan behind Pinduoduo and Temu, confronts a landscape fraught with intensifying competition, economic challenges, and evolving consumer preferences, the question of its future trajectory becomes increasingly pressing. Can the company successfully navigate these turbulent waters, or will it succumb to the tempestuous forces at play?
PDD Holdings, once a beacon of e-commerce growth in China, finds itself at a critical juncture. The company's recent second-quarter earnings report, marked by a revenue shortfall and cautious outlook, has sent shockwaves through the market. PDD's strategic pivot, prioritizing long-term value over short-term profitability, while commendable, may face significant challenges in the near term.
As PDD grapples with domestic pressures, the company's international expansion strategy, spearheaded by Temu, presents both opportunities and risks. The potential for global growth is undeniable, but the competitive landscape is fiercely contested, with established players like Amazon and Shein vying for market share.
The question of whether PDD can successfully navigate these challenges is a complex one. On the one hand, the company possesses a strong financial foundation, with a robust cash position that can provide a buffer during difficult times. Additionally, PDD's commitment to user acquisition beyond China could be a critical driver of future growth.
On the other hand, the intensifying competition within the e-commerce sector, coupled with the economic uncertainties in China, pose significant headwinds. PDD's ability to adapt and innovate in such a rapidly evolving environment will be crucial to its long-term success.
Investors are closely watching PDD's every move, with opinions on the company's future sharply divided. Some view the current low valuation as an attractive entry point, particularly considering Temu's potential for international expansion. Others, however, remain cautious, citing the ongoing challenges in China, management's tempered outlook, and the possibility of declining profitability.
Ultimately, the fate of PDD Holdings hinges on its ability to successfully execute its strategic vision, adapt to changing market conditions, and deliver sustainable value to its investors. The road ahead is likely to be fraught with challenges, but with careful navigation and strategic decision-making, PDD may emerge as a resilient and thriving e-commerce powerhouse.
Rapid Accumulation Pattern: COHRNYSE:COHR rebounded upward from a strong support level due to Rapid Accumulation by Derivative Developers. The company had a good earnings report on August 15th. This is NOT an all-time high. A shift to a platform or sideways trend would be ideal to reset for the next swing-style run. Chaikin Osc is overextended and floating as oscillators tend to do. Sideways trends pattern that out rather quickly most of the time.