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Economic Cycles

Bitwise Bitcoin ETF | BITB | Long at $46.25It definitely should get everyone's attention when a US Senator (David McCormick) is willing to dish out up to $600,000 in a Bitcoin ETF ( AMEX:BITB ): Feb. 27: Bought $50,000 to $100,000 Feb. 28: Bought $15,000 to $50,000 March 3: Bought $50,000 to $100,000 March 5: Bought $15,000 to $50,000 March 10: Bought $50,000 to $100,000 March 11: Bought $15,000 to $50,000 March 13: Bought $15,000 to $50,000 March 20: Bought $50,000 to $100,000 Something may be brewing this year with the "U.S. crypto reserve" and I'll throw down a couple grand at $46.25 with a self-proclaimed wild prediction into 2026: Bitcoin to $120,000. Bitwise ETF Targets: $50.00 $55.00 $60.00 $65.00
AMEX:BITBLong
by WorthlessViews
BTC Primary trend. Secondary - expanding triangle.Logarithm. Time frame 1 week. Linear for clarity. Now the price is in consolidation in the key resistance zone of the "psychology 100" zone. Everything is as before, nothing new. The price moves from dynamic zones of support and resistance of the large channel, and with the observance of the proportions of decreasing % from the previous maximums and minimums, adhering to a conditional 4-year cyclicality. Which is also initially embedded in the Bitcoin halvings, and the understanding of increasing demand, with a decrease in supply through halvings (but, here is a nuance with ETF, that is, conditionally with "fake bitcoins", which significantly increases the supply). With a huge degree of probability, in the next cycle (possibly the final one), Bitcoin will be driven above or around $ 1 million, depending on the maximum that will be set in this cycle. Perhaps it will be much higher (parabolic growth as at the end of 2017) than the average distribution price. Mass digitalization is underway... and there are more and more dollars, they need to be somehow utilized in the future. I specifically refreshed the old ideas of the main trend (2 and 3 years ago published) of this scale, and made it on a linear chart, for greater visualization of the trend direction and patterns that are formed on a smaller scale. BTC/USD Secondary trend cycles and halvings. 1 07 2022 BTC/USD Halving 518 When will the minimum and maximum price be cycles. 27 09 2023
Long
by SpartaBTC
EGX30 Neutral Zone AnalysisEGX30 stock is currently in a neutral zone, between the 31,970 resistance line and 31,424.07 support line, reflecting the buyers' and sellers' wait and taking their time for market analysis, especially with the investment atmosphere that is full of unaligned points of view. In case of taking an upward trend, it is expected not to breach the resistance line at 32,464.493 points, but in case of falling, it's expected not to break the support line at 29,989.245.
EGX:EGX30
by RowaynaAhmed
BTC | New ATH Incoming | + 135% ??A very interesting fractal from 2021 lead to a 135% increase - and a new all time high. Bitcoin has been following similar patterns to the bullish twin-peaks in 2021. After a multi-month correction, the price proceeded to increase another 135% over the next few months. Some weeks fast, and some weeks sideways. Is it possible that BTC follows a similar pattern - and increase another 135%, all the way to 170k? Hec, I'd even be happy with just a 100% ! That would lead us up to around 149k, which can also be considered a phycological resistance zone. While you're here! Check out this post on PEPE: _________________ BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Long
by Crypto-Check-
1
DXY 1W Forecast until the end of MAY 2025Up-trend will resume and last until the end of February 2025 topping no higher than 114. Current bottom is in at 105.9 Hence, it shouldn't fall below. After February a consolidation period of 1,5 months will trap price action between the bottom of 122.16 and upper level of 114.9 The spring squeezed during consolidation will provide enough energy for further upwards movement starting in the end of April 2025. This will ignite a chain of devaluation of national currencies followed by epidemic inflation across the globe. This will finish/cool-down at DXY reaching the mark of 148. New reality after May 2025?
INDEX:DXY
by discarding
ENA is repeating a bullish fractal (1D)Look at the red, white, yellow, and green boxes in order, and then pay attention to the white trigger lines. You’ll notice that the previous phases | the end of the bearish trend (red box), followed by a bullish move for breakout (white box), then a pullback (yellow box), and finally the main bullish move (green box) | are now repeating. Also, the price is currently sitting within the trading range marked by the two green lines, which is a key area. After the pullback is completed, a bullish wave is expected to begin, potentially reaching at least around the previous all-time high (ATH). For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
History repeats itselfOANDA:EURUSD Here’s a technical analysis of the higher timeframes, specifically the monthly chart for EUR/USD. As clearly visible, price action is currently moving within a respected descending channel. The saying "history repeats itself" seems particularly relevant here, especially in the context of Trump’s presidency. While this topic has been discussed frequently, I wanted to highlight the striking similarities once again. The current market cycle closely mirrors the previous one from 2016-2017 — in terms of structure, timing, and volume. At present, we appear to be in the distribution phase, which is far from complete. It’s quite plausible that we may see further downside before another significant move to the upside begins. If we take the 2017 distribution phase as a reference (lasting approximately 300 days), the current phase has only been unfolding for around 80-100 days. Of course, there is no guarantee that price will rise again — but I consider it very likely that this market cycle has not yet fully played out. Technical analysis on higher timeframes often provides stronger probabilities and a clearer picture of the overall trend. On the right-hand side of the chart, I’ve marked a weekly imbalance (not directly visible on the monthly chart), which aligns with the 50% retracement level of the Fibonacci tool. I view this confluence as a strong potential entry for a swing trade targeting the upper boundary of the descending channel. This outlines my current trading outlook.
by Crispp
EURUSD/M15 💫 The Euro structure is bearish in the higher time frame, while we have a bullish trend in the intermediate time frame. 👈 According to the marked zones on the chart, if the price returns to the green zone and we see a trigger, we can enter a sell position targeting the lower green zone. 👈 Given the bearish structure of the higher time frame, we anticipate further decline. However, for lower targets, we will wait for the price's reaction to the lower zone, which will confirm the trend change in the intermediate time frame. ⚠️ Please note that if you enter a sell position, your first target should be the lower green zone. ⚠️ Be cautious: If the price touches the lower green zone without returning to the upper zone and then moves back up, the upper zone is invalidated, and no further positions should be taken in that area. #Eurusd/M15
Short
by H_Rsp
DYM New Update (3D)It seems a fractal pattern is repeating. The red boxes represent the drop waves, while the green boxes indicate the sideways waves. It appears that the second drop wave, with over a 92% decline, has ended, and the price has entered a trading range phase. The price corrections can be considered as opportunities for buy/long positions, and the top of the red box can be regarded as the peak of this wave. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
2
NDX Index Funds Vs Foreign NDX funds performance post rotationThis nothing but an idea I am publishing to track my performance for rotating profits in NDX funds into averaging down foreign funds in a retirement portfolio. I want to point out had taken profits previously and was trading bitcoin and GME with them until i found a candidate for rotation at a price point i liked. I am neither bullish or bearish. The publication is for me others to learn how well rotation performs over time versus setting and forgetting.
NASDAQ:FPXI
by HotsauceShoTYME
CYCLE 4 | Pull back complete!Hi team, The purpose of this post is to close out our thoughts posted back in December 2024 with the suggestion of a possible 30-40% correction scenario we envisioned BTC might look to complete over the upcoming months, and what we wanted to see the bulls achieve in order for Cycle 4 to move into its final phase. Using this set up we can look towards where BTC may look towards from here. These steps were outlined in the below two posts: CYCLE 4 | CME GAP: Bull Cycle Period First Major Pull Back (Dec 20 - 2024) CYCLE 4 | UPDATE - BTC Possible Next Move into Sell Zone (Feb 14 - 2025) REVIEWING WHAT HAPPENED In these posts we suggested 1) BTC will likely pull back and look for opportunities for support 2) We outlined the following levels * Demand Zone and bottom of our defined Price Channel (92-90K) * Daily Order Block (OB) (88.5-87.9k) * CME GAP - down as far as ~77K and suggested a wick on the weekly down to our March 2024 high would not be out of the question These levels all were taken out with our worst-case forecast achieved. Bulls then successfully preceded to complete the requirements we set out in these posts: 1) Uptrend Channel: No Open / Close weekly candle outside of, push back within and HOLD as support / HOLD and remain inside of our cycle uptrend channel (keep BTCs relationship with this trend line intact). 2) Daily OB: Flip and hold as support (BTC first attempt was rejected, held as resistance and allow a more bullish double bottom to be formed). 3) 20W SMA / 21W EMA: Flip and hold these moving averages 4) Price Channel: Push back inside and hold with a least two weekly candle closes. WHERE TO FROM HERE We are now at this point where BTC is now poised to look at a new ATH. BULLs are looking for BTC to finish off this cycle, and the set up aligns perfectly with our 'Sell Zone' box time frame we have put in place to help us navigate this cycle. Our 'MA OSCILLATOR RISK METRIC' (see charts in below posts for updates) has swung back into our RL level of 7 and moving back towards out cycle peak risk levels. To achieve a 'proper' finishing ATH bulls are looking for in this zone we would want to see BTC start to making aggressive moves from here in Q3 & Q4 of 2025. The biggest concerns for BULLs and the upcoming case for bears is the weekly bearish divergences BTC has put in place with our prior ATHs this cycle. This is most notable in the RSI shown in this posts original chart. From here there are 3 likely scenarios BTC could take based on rejects of our RSI dark black tend line and in place weekly bearish divergences. These Scenarios are marked 1, 2 and 3. Scenario 1 BTC moves aggressively out of this price channel to new ATHs. There is a chance Bears could push price into a lower high here or put in a 'SFP' (Swing Failure Pattern) and sweep our prior high. Scenario 1a This would play out scenario 1a which bulls would want to see a retest and hold of the 20W SMA / 21W EMA before heading back up to attack high levels. We would expect our RSI moving Advertage to provide support in this level (see point 1a in the RSI chart). Failure to hold would strongly support the suggestion of cycle 5s bear market beginning IMO. Scenario 2 A HOLD and bounce off the 20W SMA / 21W EMA again would give bears another chance to put bearish divergence with the weekly RSI. Watch for a higher high in price (likely a SFP or sweep of our current ATH) and a lower high closed in our Weekly RSI. This would be a scary scenario for the bulls. BULLISH SCENARIO | BREAKING THE RSI BEARISH DIVERGENCE DOWN TREND LINE The most bullish move BTC Bulls could achieve in all the above scenarios is to breaking above the RSI Bearish Divergence Down Trend Line (shown as green up trend arrows in the RSI). This will invalidate current bearish divergences and sent bulls focus on the more speculative upper targets for this cycle. Hope you have found this post series an interesting watch as I have.
Long
by Brodie