Weekly Update: So Far... Everything is Going According to PlanI’ve shared this chart with my followers for a couple months now. You can check my posting history to see how the forecasts have NOT changed, but the chart is filling in nicely. Tracking the minutia at the micro level has been maddening over the last month. In my trading room I’ve advised my members to focus on the intermediate term pattern depicted in the above chart.
Nonetheless, yesterday’s seemingly straight up move after about 9 am I’m sure scared traders who were positioned short. The irony of yesterday’s price action was although price traded not unexpectedly in my micro target box perfectly, I was expecting that sort of price action to take up till Monday or Tuesday of next week. So, in today’s market I’m not ruling out one more high into the 4170 area which would be the .786% retracement area. Much above that and the potential gets raised of invalidating our triangle pattern we started back in the last week of December 2022. But with no violation of the micro target box region which stood at 4130-4170 when price was at 4068.75 I have to continue to adopt the triangle pattern.
So how does this triangle pattern conclude?
I have guided both members and followers of my work with red arrows on the above chart since the end of February 2023 when the triangle pattern was first given credence. Currently, I am projecting this pattern to conclude mid-to-third-week in May. Yesterday’s price action has caused me to adopt a more sub-divided a-wave of our larger e-wave of the triangle, to complete our primary circle B. This was adopted after what I originally would be our a-wave came up slightly short of the 4064-4065 area, followed by a quick a-b-c retracement yesterday into 4166.50.
Yesterday’s price action, although introduced further complexity and sub-divisions into what I am projecting as an e-wave bottom in a larger triangle B…to the degree we do not eclipse 4170, but ultimately 4198.50 (which would be a new short term high).
I have to say… so far, everything is going according to plan.
Elliottwaveprojection
BTC can STILL BE BULLISH after 50% dropHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of the Charts 📈📉
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year.
Before you panic, make sure you check out this idea of yesterday on Elliot Wave Theory analysis :
From the video analysis on Bitcoin, we've confirmed that the bearish cycle is over and a new wave is starting. It's not uncommon for the price to drop 50% during wave 1 of the 12345 Waves. From a macro perspective, the price will still be in an uptrend. Note that this doesn't happen in a day, or even in a week but over a coupe of weeks, sometimes even 2-3 months where it seems like BTC is not going anywhere and the weak hands are shaken up before the parabolic run which is Wave 3.
I believe Wave 2 starts when CryptoCheck START v3.5 flashes a sell:
You can swing trade the Elliot waves in wave 2, but be ready when wave 3 arrives so that you won't find yourself positionless during a parabolic run.
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Prepare for Impact: Scorpio Tankers Approaching Free FallScorpio Tankers Inc. (STNG) appears to be headed for a downside based on two significant factors - the impact of the oil market and the approach of Wave 3 in the Elliott Wave Theory. The recent downturn in the oil market has hit the entire industry hard, and Scorpio Tankers is no exception. As a company that operates in the oil tanker shipping industry, the drop in oil prices and demand for oil transportation services will have a significant impact on its revenue and earnings. Additionally, from a technical analysis perspective, Scorpio Tankers is approaching Wave 3 of the Elliott Wave Theory. After touching the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement of Wave 2, the stock saw a sharp decline, indicating that Wave 3 may be on the horizon. Based on this analysis, investors should look for the price of Scorpio Tankers to head towards the range of TASE:47 - TASE:43 in the near future.
GBPUSD: Pullback in short term?The main trend remains bullish but in short term a corrective structure is possible to appear on hourly chart (ABC Pattern). If this analysis is correct, a bullish consolidation is still possible, but if this happens it should be considered part of a corrective structure.
Note: Updates will follow below.
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USDCAD: Mid Term Technical AnalysisOn daily chart is visible the reason why we took a long position at 1.3327 (see setup below), but the most important thing is to see how the channel is the Price Action main driver!
On a bullish side, Price action is developing something like ABCDE Pattern, not confirmed yet, it has our setup level (1.3327) as support. As shown on daily chart, when the rally is over, the Price Action will trigger an interesting corrective structure (pullback or bearish reversal) in short term (maybe visible on only small time frame).
OUR STRATEGY FOR NEXT WEEK
Use intraday time frame (preferably 1H) for area resistance detection.
Find support levels after correction structure.
Follow the short term development, click on chart below.
Note: Updates will follow below.
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AUDNZD: Short Term Technical AnalysisThe trend is bullish but in short term some corrective structure is possible, having said that, from a technical point of view, the rally triggered on hourly chart should continue after the pullback completing the impulsive structure (1-2-3-4-5).
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N.B.: Updates will follow below
BCHUSD | Wave projection | Doubled Bull Flag Move +50%Wave Analysis with price and chart pattern
> A possible ABC motive wave bullish scenario with a doubled bull flag pattern support, the price currently within the second bull flag local pattern.
> This doubled bull flag is forming a major inverted head & shoulders reversal pattern.
> Medium term target @ upper rising channel resistance for bull flag pattern + 50% upside
> Pullback Entry at the rising channel support liquidity swing zone with potential false breakdown area.
Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stoploss!
Good Luck
Waiting for a reaction before this rockets.Elliot wave double sideways combo or expanded flat in play
The Y wave can develop as a zig zag (5 /3 /5) move.
Alternatively it can develop as an impulse. Currently it looks like a zig zag since wave A was gigantic drop.
Waiting for a reaction in the green demand zone.
Will be watching for divergences on oscilators.
This is a discount in my opinion.
Long term HOLD of this asset.
USDCAD: Sell the rally in short term?We already used this pair for some trades last week (see chart below), but from my point of view, it still remains interesting in the short term.
From a technical point of view, FX:USDCAD pair is developing something of an impulse structure (12345) on hourly chart, and my idea is to try to take a short position on the last impulsive wave (5) with a first target area around 1.3526.
OUR LAST SETUP
(Click & Play on chart below)
Note: Updates will follow below.
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EURUSD: Consolidation in short term?Last week we already gave the signal to sell from Top, so today we will only follow some short-term updates. Well, technically speaking, the main trend (daily chart) is bullish, but if we look at the hourly chart, some bearish consolidation is still possible. That said, in the updates that follow below, we'll be looking for some interesting technical levels.
TOP REVERSAL AREA
(Click & Paly on chart below)
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
(Click & Paly on chart below)
Note: Updates will follow below.
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SINGER | Wave Projection | Major 4-Wave Triangle - MACD GoldenXThe price is currently trading just below 200SMMA as the key resistance under the assumption that its major 4-wave triangle breakout could be possible with double bottom pattern and MACD golden cross.
This bullish scenario has the downside is -8% and the upside is +10 - 20% with RRR: 1.5-2:1.
Bitcoin Wyckoff and Elliott WaveThis is the structure I have been discussing on Twitter, YouTube, and elsewhere since the June 2022 swing low. Wyckoff methodology indicates that it is likely accumulation. The Elliott Wave count may or may not be correct locally. We want to see an impulsive breakout above that ascending red dashed resistance to signal that the wave ((ii)) flat structure may be complete, but a breakout above wave (b) is required to add confidence to that count. Further breakdown has a target of the daily pivot. If the count is correct, then wave ((iii)) of 3 has a minimum expected target of $42350 from here. The Daily RSI is printing hidden bullish divergence at the moment, but we need confirmation that it is complete. The daily Stoch RSI has reset into oversold, so a breakout of oversold would add more support to the idea that wave ((ii)) is complete. We can also note the red parabola. While price remains above that curved line we should continue to expect higher, overall, rather than a larger pullback.
Let's see if we can get that rally from somewhere around this area.
BTCUSD | Wave Projection 123 | Classic Reversal Move CUP&HOLDERBTC classic reversal move > Inverted head & shoulders turning into cup&holders
Target cup&holder at the same level of previous mega falling wedge
Possible a bull flag move forming holder pattern at 0.5 fibo retracement zone
SHORT ENTRY NOW! and Long at bull flag confirmation pattern breakout TP +70%
GBPJPY: Short Term Resistance AreaFrom a technical point of view, GBP/JPY pair has reached an important resistance area, that said, if the pair triggers a bearish leg, something like a ABC Pattern may appear. Above 167.40 the rally will continue 170 direction..
Trade with care! 👍 ...and if you think that my analysis is useful, please..."Like, Share and Comment" ...thank you! 💖
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N.B.: Updates will follow below
TIDLOR | Wave Analysis | Falling Wedge Breakout-Bull DivergencePrice action and chart pattern trading:
> A possible ABC correction - C-wave trend reversal in progress
> Falling wedge local trend breakout EMA20D resistance making an inverse head & shoulders pattern.
> TP1 @ SMMA50 as key dynamic resistance and TP2 @SMMA200 with +20%++ upside
> Entry @ Neckline breakout with Stoploss @ H&S head position -8%
> Risk reward ratio: 2.5:1
Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stoploss!
USCAD: Rebound in short term?The main trend is bearish, but in the short term we cannot rule out some corrective (bullish) structure. That being said FX:USDCAD pair might find support area around 1.3320, from here technical rebound is possible.
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N.B.: Updates will follow below
Retrace to be shortedNo matter what. I am seeing a motive wave downwards which could become a larger structure impulse.
Just an update on previous BTC idea that followed up nicely.
5 completed waves in Elliottwave theory means that something begins and that something ends. In this case, i think that something is only beggining towards the lower prices
Short time bullish on dollar.I still didnt see a proper retracement of USD...
On the chart i pointed out with Elliott wave a possible roadmap of dollar movement which might influence crypto space to go into a retracement.
Weekly bullish divergence is also formed on the RSI. Macd ema cross not yet confirmed.
GBPJPY: Medium Term AnalysisA few hours ago we published the same analysis, but looking at the short term. Now let's try to follow the pair in medium term. Having said that, the key resistance is around 167.90, as long as the price stays below it, the trend is bearish, And we don't rule out a deep correction structure.
Our previous analysis
(Click & Play on chart below)
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Cheers!
N.B.: Updates will follow below
MATICUSDT | Wave Projection | 4-Wave Correction - Subwave B?Price action and chart pattern trading setup
TFD - Elliott wave analysis
> A possible 4-wave correction descending triangle with subwave B breakout expected to retraced 0.618 - 0.786 of subwave A scenario.
> Entry @ breakout triangle after downtrend subwave c completely retraced
> Target @ 5-wave upper resistance zone 1.618 wave 4 extension and 2.618 wave 1 extension + 30-40%
> Risk reward ratio could be 3:1
Indicator: RSI bullish momentum
Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stoploss