Is the Surge of Spot Ether ETFs a Game-Changer for Ethereum's Fu
The cryptocurrency market has witnessed a significant shift in recent days, with spot Ether (ETH) exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States experiencing record-breaking inflows.1 This development has sparked discussions among industry experts and analysts, who believe it could signal the beginning of an "altcoin season" and a broader rotation of capital away from Bitcoin.
On November 29th, spot Ether ETFs collectively attracted a staggering $332.9 million in inflows, surpassing the previous daily record of $295.5 million set on November 11th. Notably, these inflows exceeded those of spot Bitcoin ETFs on the same day by approximately $12.9 million.
What Drives the Surge in Ether ETF Inflows?
Several factors likely contributed to this surge in Ether ETF demand:
1. Ethereum's Technological Advancements:
o Ethereum's transition to proof-of-stake (PoS) consensus mechanism, known as the "Merge," has significantly enhanced the network's scalability, security, and energy efficiency. This upgrade has solidified Ethereum's position as a leading blockchain platform for decentralized applications (dApps).2
o The network's layer-2 scaling solutions, such as Arbitrum and Optimism, have further boosted its capacity and reduced transaction fees, making it more attractive to developers and users.3
2. Institutional Investor Interest:
o Institutional investors, such as hedge funds and pension funds, are increasingly recognizing the potential of Ether as a valuable asset class.4 The availability of spot Ether ETFs provides a convenient and regulated way for these institutions to gain exposure to Ethereum.5
o The SEC's approval of multiple spot Ether ETFs has legitimized the cryptocurrency and made it more accessible to traditional investors.6
3. Altcoin Season Expectations:
o Many analysts believe that the recent surge in Ether ETF inflows could be a precursor to an "altcoin season," a period when alternative cryptocurrencies outperform Bitcoin.7
o Historical data suggests that when institutional investors allocate capital to the broader cryptocurrency market, they often diversify beyond Bitcoin, leading to increased interest in altcoins like Ether.8
The Implications for the Crypto Market
The record inflows into spot Ether ETFs have several implications for the cryptocurrency market:
1. Increased Institutional Adoption: The growing interest from institutional investors could further solidify Ethereum's position as a mainstream asset and drive long-term price appreciation.
2. Potential for Altcoin Season: A rotation of capital from Bitcoin to altcoins could lead to significant price gains for Ethereum and other promising cryptocurrencies.9
3. Market Volatility: Increased institutional involvement and speculative trading activity could contribute to increased market volatility.
4. Regulatory Clarity: The SEC's approval of spot Ether ETFs has provided regulatory clarity and could pave the way for the approval of other crypto-related products.10
Conclusion
The record-breaking inflows into spot Ether ETFs are a testament to the growing institutional interest in Ethereum and the broader cryptocurrency market. As Ethereum continues to evolve and innovate, it is well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for decentralized technologies. While the future of the cryptocurrency market remains uncertain, the recent surge in Ether ETF inflows suggests that a new era of growth and adoption may be on the horizon.
Ethereumlong
Why Is Ethereum Going Up? Technical and Fundamental Price AnalysEthereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has seen a significant surge in recent weeks, outperforming Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies. This article delves into the technical and fundamental factors driving Ethereum's upward momentum.
Technical Analysis: Bullish Signals
Ethereum's price chart is currently painting a bullish picture, with several technical indicators pointing to continued upward movement:
1. Rising Momentum: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 50, indicating bullish momentum. A sustained increase in RSI suggests that buying pressure is outweighs selling pressure.
2. Breaking Resistance Levels: Ethereum has successfully broken through several key resistance levels, demonstrating strong buying interest from investors.
3. Bullish Candlestick Patterns: The formation of bullish candlestick patterns like the bullish engulfing pattern and the hammer pattern signals potential upward price movement.
4. Increasing Trading Volume: Higher trading volume often accompanies price increases, indicating increased market interest and participation.
Fundamental Analysis: Positive Catalysts
In addition to technical factors, several fundamental factors are contributing to Ethereum's price surge:
1. Network Upgrades and Scalability: Ethereum's ongoing network upgrades, such as the Shanghai upgrade, are aimed at improving scalability, reducing transaction fees, and enhancing the overall user experience. These upgrades can attract more developers and users to the Ethereum ecosystem, driving demand for ETH.
2. Growing DeFi Ecosystem: Ethereum remains the dominant platform for decentralized finance (DeFi) applications. The rapid growth of DeFi protocols and the increasing adoption of decentralized applications (dApps) on the Ethereum network can boost demand for ETH.
3. Institutional Adoption: Institutional investors and corporations are increasingly recognizing the potential of blockchain technology and cryptocurrencies. As more institutions allocate capital to Ethereum, it can further fuel price appreciation.
4. Positive Regulatory Sentiment: While regulatory uncertainty remains a concern for the cryptocurrency industry, positive regulatory developments can have a significant impact on market sentiment and price. For instance, the departure of SEC Chair Gary Gensler, who has been critical of the cryptocurrency industry, could lead to a more favorable regulatory environment for Ethereum.
5. Bitcoin's Relative Weakness: Bitcoin's recent price decline and lower volatility have shifted investor attention to Ethereum. As Ethereum's dominance in the derivatives market increases, it can attract more capital and drive price appreciation.
Conclusion
Ethereum's recent price surge can be attributed to a combination of technical and fundamental factors. The strong bullish signals on the technical charts, coupled with positive developments in the Ethereum ecosystem, indicate that the upward momentum may continue in the short to medium term. However, it's important to note that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and prices can fluctuate rapidly. Investors should conduct thorough research and consider consulting with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial1 advice. Investing in cryptocurrencies2 involves significant risk, and it's essential to do your own research before making any investment decisions.
Ethereum’s Plow and the Lambo DreamHowdy, folks! Oink, oink, Porky here!
Let’s not kid ourselves: in a bull market, everyone’s a genius—even Porky. The fields look greener, the skies brighter, and even a blind pig might dig up a truffle.
Thus, back in the mud with a new idea for when Bitcoin slows down and everyone and their pigs are beginning to sniff out the “next Bitcoin.” Porky thinks Ethereum might be the one to hog the limelight of all the nonsense this time, fueled by all that crowding and chatter. Ethereum is a magical tractor powered by “gas” that plows a never-ending digital field. Expensive gas, mind you, but that’s how this tractor works!
While some farmers are already dreaming about USD 5,000 ETH prices, Porky’s a down-to-earth pig. He prefers mud baths over moon shots, and the only Lambo he wants has a plow on it. Porky’s happy nibbling a small chunk of the action, so here’s his day-trading idea:
🐷 The Plan
Entry Price: 3,366
Stop Loss: 3,285
Target: 3,499 (+4.1%)
The Chart Story:
Porky’s chart has blue lines marking pivots from Ethereum’s climb earlier this year, from USD 1,860 to 4,090 (January–March 2024). Orange lines show bottoms from the consolidation that followed, all the way to September.
Now, let’s talk about that purple dotted line at 3,330. It is not only a handsome number, but a key level that was formed around the epic November 2021 rally, when ETH topped at nearly USD 4,900. Porky reckons if price clears 3,330 from below, it’s a sign of strength—like a piglet pushing through to the trough!
But there’s one more hurdle at 3,350. Porky doesn’t like it; it’s like a patch of stubborn weeds. He wants it cleared before hopping on the ride. Once that’s done, he sees a smooth road to his final destination at 3,499. A safe (looking) ride just the way Porky likes it.
🐽 Final Thoughts
Porky’s not greedy, and he’s certainly no financial advisor. He’s just a humble pig farming pips and dreaming of tractors, not yachts. So, keep your hoof on the ground and trade wisely, y’all!
Snorts and cheers,
Porky 🐷
How Will the Steady Ethereum Price Impact the Cryptocurrency MarEthereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has seen a period of consolidation after a recent rally. While Bitcoin has faced resistance near the $100,000 level, Ethereum appears to be in a more favorable position, attracting capital from investors looking to diversify their crypto portfolios.
Ethereum's Relative Strength
Ethereum's relative strength index (RSI) suggests that the cryptocurrency may be oversold, indicating a potential for a bullish reversal. This, coupled with the ongoing development of the Ethereum network and the anticipation of future upgrades, has led many analysts to believe that Ethereum is poised for further growth.
The Ethereum Network's Potential
Ethereum's underlying technology, the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM), has the potential to revolutionize various industries, from finance to supply chain management. As the EVM continues to evolve, it is becoming increasingly capable of handling complex applications and supporting a growing number of users.
Additionally, the upcoming Shanghai upgrade is expected to unlock a significant amount of Ether that is currently staked on the network. This could lead to increased liquidity and potentially drive up the price of Ether.
Crypto Rotation: Ethereum Benefiting from Bitcoin's Weakness
As Bitcoin has encountered resistance near the $100,000 level, some investors may be looking to diversify their portfolios by allocating funds to other cryptocurrencies, such as Ethereum. This shift in investor sentiment could further fuel Ethereum's price rally.
Key Factors to Watch
• Regulatory Clarity: Clear and favorable cryptocurrency regulations, particularly in major markets like the United States, could significantly impact Ethereum's price.
• Institutional Adoption: Continued institutional adoption of Ethereum and its ecosystem could drive significant demand for the cryptocurrency.
• Network Performance: The performance of the Ethereum network, including transaction fees and processing times, will be crucial for its long-term success.
• Market Sentiment: Overall market sentiment towards cryptocurrencies will influence Ethereum's price. A positive market sentiment could lead to increased demand for Ethereum.
Conclusion
While Ethereum's price has steadied after a recent rally, the underlying fundamentals remain strong. The network's potential, coupled with the ongoing development of the Ethereum ecosystem, positions Ethereum as a promising investment. However, it's important to remember that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and investors should exercise caution and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.
As the crypto market continues to evolve, Ethereum's role as a leading platform for decentralized applications and smart contracts is likely to solidify, making it a compelling choice for investors seeking exposure to the future of finance and technology.
Unpacking Ethereum's Surge: What's Driving the $3.3K Breakout?Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has seen a remarkable surge in recent days, surpassing the $3,300 mark. This significant price increase has sparked widespread interest and speculation among analysts and investors alike.
What's Driving Ethereum's Rally?
Several factors are contributing to Ethereum's bullish momentum:
1. Anticipation for Shanghai Upgrade: The highly anticipated Shanghai upgrade, scheduled for early 2024, is expected to unlock staked ETH. This event could lead to increased market liquidity and potentially fuel further price appreciation.
2. Growing DeFi Ecosystem: Ethereum's robust decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem continues to expand, attracting a growing number of users and developers. As more applications and protocols are built on the Ethereum network, the demand for ETH is likely to increase.
3. Institutional Adoption: Institutional investors are increasingly recognizing the potential of Ethereum as a valuable asset. As more traditional financial institutions allocate capital to cryptocurrencies, Ethereum is likely to benefit from increased institutional demand.
4. Positive Market Sentiment: The overall positive sentiment in the cryptocurrency market, coupled with a broader economic recovery, has contributed to Ethereum's price surge.
A Ticking Time Bomb? Derivatives Metrics Explode to Record Highs
While Ethereum's price action has been impressive, some analysts are raising concerns about the potential risks associated with the growing derivatives market. Open interest in Ethereum futures and options has reached record highs, indicating significant speculative activity.
A sudden market downturn or liquidation event could trigger a cascade of liquidations, potentially leading to significant price volatility. Additionally, the increasing leverage employed by traders can amplify both gains and losses.
Analyst Perspectives
Analysts have offered diverse opinions on Ethereum's future trajectory:
• Bullish Outlook: Some analysts believe that Ethereum's long-term potential remains strong, driven by its robust fundamentals and growing ecosystem. They anticipate further price appreciation, especially as the Shanghai upgrade approaches.
• Cautious Optimism: Other analysts are more cautious, highlighting the risks associated with the derivatives market and the potential for a market correction. They suggest that investors should exercise prudence and manage their risk exposure.
The Road Ahead for Ethereum
Ethereum's future trajectory will depend on a variety of factors, including the success of the Shanghai upgrade, the overall health of the cryptocurrency market, and regulatory developments. While the recent price surge is undoubtedly exciting, it is essential to maintain a balanced perspective and be aware of the potential risks involved.
As Ethereum continues to evolve and mature, it will be interesting to see how it navigates the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead.
Ethereum Set to Skyrocket! 60% Surge Ahead!🔥 Ethereum Set to Skyrocket! 60% Surge Ahead! 🚀
High Five Setup Alert on Ethereum!
My H5 Indicator is flashing green, signaling a prime opportunity to take a position in $ETH!
We’re seeing a promising Bull Flag Retest while sitting on a volume shelf with a volume gap above. This setup is primed for action!
📈 Price Targets:
🎯 $4093
MM 🎯 $4839
This is a rare event—only the third buy signal on our High Five Setup trading strategy for Ethereum in the past two years. The previous two signals? Both successful, with gains of 35% and 51%! 🚀
Will this trade surpass those impressive gains? Stay tuned to find out!
👍 Like | Follow | Share 👍
Stay updated with weekly trade ideas using my HIGH FIVE SETUP trading strategy. Don’t miss out!
COINBASE:ETHUSD
Is Ethereum Poised to Reach $3,200? Analyzing the Bullish Moment
Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, is showing strong signs of bullish momentum, with analysts predicting a potential breakout to $3,200. This optimistic outlook is fueled by a combination of factors, including positive inflows into Ethereum ETFs and a broader bullish sentiment in the cryptocurrency market.
The Impact of ETH ETF Inflows
The recent influx of capital into Ethereum ETFs has significantly boosted the cryptocurrency's price. As institutional investors gain easier access to Ethereum through ETFs, demand for the underlying asset is likely to increase. This increased demand can drive the price of Ethereum higher, potentially pushing it towards the $3,200 level.
Bitcoin's Influence on Ethereum
Bitcoin's price performance often has a significant impact on the broader cryptocurrency market, including Ethereum. As Bitcoin continues to rally and approaches the $100,000 mark, it could create a positive sentiment that spills over to other cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum.
Technical Analysis: A Bullish Outlook
Technical analysis suggests that Ethereum is currently in a strong uptrend. Key technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), are signaling bullish momentum. Additionally, the formation of bullish chart patterns, such as a rising wedge or a bullish flag, further supports the potential for a significant price increase.
Challenges and Risks
While the outlook for Ethereum appears bullish, it is essential to acknowledge the potential challenges and risks:
• Market Volatility: The cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and sudden price swings can occur without warning.
• Regulatory Uncertainty: The regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies remains uncertain, and any unfavorable regulatory developments could negatively impact the price of Ethereum.
• Network Congestion: As the number of users and transactions on the Ethereum network increases, network congestion and high transaction fees could become a concern.
Conclusion
Ethereum's strong fundamentals, coupled with positive market sentiment and technical indicators, point to a potential breakout towards the $3,200 level. However, investors should approach the cryptocurrency market with caution and be prepared for potential volatility. By staying informed and conducting thorough research, investors can make informed decisions and maximize their potential returns.
Analyzing the Relationship Between Ethereum and the S&P 500The Fractal Theory and Crypto
The financial markets, often chaotic and unpredictable, can sometimes reveal patterns that repeat themselves over time. This concept, known as fractal theory, suggests that similar patterns can occur across different time frames and asset classes. In recent times, some analysts have drawn parallels between the price movements of Ethereum (ETH) and the S&P 500 index.
The S&P 500 Fractal and ETH
Ethereum's price action may be following a similar pattern to that of the S&P 500 index in 2020.
If this fractal theory holds true, it could have significant implications for the future price of Ethereum. The S&P 500 index experienced a sharp decline in March 2020, followed by a V-shaped recovery. If Ethereum were to follow a similar trajectory, it could potentially surge to new all-time highs.
Key Factors Influencing ETH's Price
While the fractal theory offers an interesting perspective, it's important to consider other factors that could influence Ethereum's price:
1. Network Upgrades: Ethereum's ongoing development, particularly the highly anticipated Shanghai upgrade, could significantly impact its price. This upgrade is expected to unlock staked ETH, potentially increasing market liquidity and driving demand.
2. Global Economic Conditions: Macroeconomic factors, such as interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical events, can influence the overall market sentiment and impact the price of cryptocurrencies.
3. Regulatory Environment: Regulatory clarity and favorable policies can boost investor confidence and fuel price appreciation. Conversely, stringent regulations could dampen market enthusiasm.
4. Institutional Adoption: Increased adoption by institutional investors can provide significant support to Ethereum's price. As more traditional financial institutions recognize the potential of blockchain technology, they may allocate a portion of their portfolios to cryptocurrencies.
Potential ETH Price Prediction
Based on the fractal theory and other factors, it has been predicted that Ethereum could reach a price of shortly. However, it's crucial to remember that price predictions are inherently uncertain and should be taken with a grain of salt.
Conclusion
While the fractal theory provides an intriguing framework for analyzing Ethereum's price movement, it's essential to consider a range of factors that could influence its future trajectory. As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, staying informed and making informed investment decisions remains crucial.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. It's important to conduct thorough research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Will Ether Rebound After the August 7th Death Cross?Disclaimer: This article is intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile assets, and investing in them carries significant risks.
On August 7th, 2023, Ethereum (ETH) experienced a death cross, a technical indicator where the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) crosses below the 200-day SMA. Historically, this pattern has often signaled bearish trends, leading many investors to question the future trajectory of Ether.
Understanding the Death Cross
Before delving into the potential rebound, let's clarify what a death cross signifies. It is a technical analysis tool that suggests a potential downward price movement. However, it's essential to remember that it's not a definitive predictor of future price action. Market conditions, fundamental factors, and other technical indicators should be considered alongside the death cross.
Factors Influencing Ether's Recovery
Several factors could influence whether Ether can rebound from the August 7th death cross:
1. Market Sentiment: The overall cryptocurrency market sentiment plays a crucial role. If the broader market experiences a bullish trend, Ether might benefit from the positive momentum. Conversely, a prolonged bearish sentiment could hinder its recovery.
2. Regulatory Environment: Regulatory clarity and favorable policies can significantly impact cryptocurrency prices. Positive developments in the regulatory landscape could boost investor confidence and drive Ether's value upward.
3. Network Developments: Ethereum's network upgrades and advancements, such as the transition to proof-of-stake, can influence investor sentiment and demand for ETH. Positive developments in this area could support a price rebound.
4. Institutional Adoption: Growing institutional interest in Ethereum can provide price support and drive demand. Increased adoption by large financial institutions could contribute to a bullish trend.
5. Macroeconomic Factors: Global economic conditions, interest rates, and inflation can impact investor risk appetite and cryptocurrency prices. Favorable macroeconomic factors could create a positive environment for Ether's recovery.
Technical Analysis: Beyond the Death Cross
While the death cross is a notable technical indicator, it's essential to consider other technical analysis tools to assess Ether's potential rebound. These may include:
• Support and Resistance Levels: Identifying key support and resistance levels can help determine potential price targets for a rebound.
• Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI can indicate whether Ether is oversold, which could suggest a potential buying opportunity.
• Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): The MACD can provide signals about changes in momentum, helping to identify potential trend reversals.
Cautious Optimism
It's important to approach any prediction about Ether's rebound with caution. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and past performance is not indicative of future results. While a rebound is possible, it's equally likely that Ether could continue its downward trend or experience sideways consolidation.
Investors should conduct thorough research, consider their risk tolerance, and diversify their portfolios before making any investment decisions. Stay informed about market developments, technical analysis, and fundamental factors to make informed choices.
Ultimately, the success of a rebound depends on a combination of technical, fundamental, and market factors. While the death cross is a significant event, it's just one piece of the puzzle. By carefully analyzing various indicators and considering the broader market context, investors can make more informed decisions about their Ether holdings.
ETH target over 100001D time frame
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TP: $7306 / $10,000
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(1) $2100 is the best entry if fell again
(2) ETH is running Elliott Impulse Wave, and just completed the 1st and 2nd wave
(3) 3rd wave will come around 9/E, and reach its high in Jan ~ March 2025
(4) The low of 4th wave can be seen in April ~ June 2025
(5) The high of 5th wave can be seen in Oct ~ Nov 2025
(6) Keep being patient
Ethereum's Breakout Sparks Altcoin FrenzyThe past few months have been pivotal for Ethereum and the entire cryptocurrency market. After weeks of hovering around $3200, ETH finally broke through that resistance level on July 15, 2024, reaching a new high of $3369.192. This surge in price has not only bolstered confidence in Ethereum's long-term potential but has also ignited a frenzy among investors scrambling for altcoins, hoping to capitalize on the momentum.
Ethereum's Rise: A Turning Point
Ethereum, the world's second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has long been seen as a strong contender to Bitcoin's dominance. While Bitcoin has established itself as a digital store of value, Ethereum's functionality extends beyond that. Its blockchain technology underpins a decentralized network that allows for the creation of smart contracts, self-executing agreements that can facilitate a wide range of applications, decentralized finance (DeFi), and non-fungible tokens (NFTs) being just a few examples.
This versatility has fueled significant interest in Ethereum, and the recent breakout is seen as a validation of its potential. The surge past the $3200 resistance level suggests a shift in market sentiment, with investors growing more bullish on Ethereum's future. This bullishness is likely fueled by several factors:
• Increased adoption of DeFi and NFTs: The growing popularity of DeFi applications and NFTs has significantly boosted activity on the Ethereum network. This increased usage translates to higher demand for ETH, driving up the price.
• The Merge: The upcoming Ethereum upgrade, known as the Merge, is expected to significantly improve the network's scalability and efficiency. This has instilled confidence in investors who believe the upgrade will further solidify Ethereum's position within the crypto ecosystem.
• Institutional investment: The entry of institutional investors into the cryptocurrency market has brought a wave of fresh capital. With a more secure and established platform like Ethereum, these institutions are more likely to allocate funds, further propelling growth.
The Rise of the Altcoins
Ethereum's breakout has had a ripple effect across the entire cryptocurrency market, particularly on altcoins, which are digital currencies alternative to Bitcoin. The term "altcoin" encompasses a vast array of cryptocurrencies, each with its unique features and functionalities. Some altcoins are designed to address specific limitations of Bitcoin, such as scalability or transaction fees. Others focus on entirely new applications, like decentralized content creation or secure data storage.
The excitement surrounding Ethereum has spilled over to altcoins, with many experiencing significant price increases. Investors are looking for the next big thing, hoping to replicate the success of Ethereum. This has fueled a surge in altcoin trading, with some investors pouring money into various projects in the hopes of finding the next hidden gem.
A Word of Caution
While the current market frenzy is exciting, it's important for investors to approach altcoins with caution. The altcoin market is inherently more volatile than established players like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Many altcoin projects are in their early stages of development, and their long-term viability remains uncertain.
Investors should conduct thorough research before investing in any altcoin project. Carefully evaluating the underlying technology, the team behind the project, and the overall market potential is crucial. Buying into the hype without proper due diligence can lead to significant losses.
The Future of Ethereum and Altcoins
Ethereum's breakout marks a significant moment for the cryptocurrency market. It underscores the growing acceptance and adoption of blockchain technology and its potential to revolutionize various industries. The coming months will be crucial in determining whether the current altcoin frenzy translates into sustained growth for these alternative cryptocurrencies.
For Ethereum, the successful implementation of the Merge will be a major milestone. If achieved, it will solidify Ethereum's position as a leading blockchain platform and could pave the way for even greater adoption and innovation within the crypto ecosystem.
ETHUSD Ethereum Market Robbery Plan to make moneyMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
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Ethereum Value Slashes by 99%Though this episode of crypto winter is very soon due to be a thing of the past, just a regular seasons do, it will come around again! Considering the all-time structure of Ethereum's price chart, I believe the next crypto winter will be especially bad for Ethereum.
While many altcoins are due for very sizeable runs (100x - 500x and more) over the next couple of years, I think Ethereum will top out near the $6000 mark, giving it a 3.6X push from current price levels. Beyond this, there is great chance that the sloping formation begins to drastically slip. Despite completing 2 sizeable five-swing moves and a correction between the two, its unlikely that this equates to a truly impulsive formation being developed.
The tell-tale sign for me is the extreme shallow correction that we see in the boxed area. Some would classify this as Wave 2 but I'm more inclined to believe it to be a Wave B instead. While it is possible for Wave 2 to find support/terminate near the 0.38 fib level, it is quite rare and even when it does, generally it still makes a return to the previous sub-wave 4. In this case of Ethereum this has not manifested.
If not in an impulsive wave, as the price action suggests, there are 2 options as to how this could play out:
1 - it Luna bombs and eventually makes new all-time lows.
2 - it drops to 0.618 - 0.89 fib levels (compared to the size of Waves A and C combined) and finds support there before resuming upside.
With this in mind, support at/near $20 is the very best outlook for Ethereum's mid-term future. From $6K-$7K, this would equate to a massive 99% drop and this is a very perfect reason why its important to study and understand the science of price action. The last macro crypto pattern I've seen resemble this form was Luna. I thought it would find support at $1.50 but instead it dropped to $0.0000. My Luna prediction was shared well before the drop came. We will see in the years ahead if Ethereum follows suit or if bulls make a stand.
Until next time, stay safe and don't drown. Peace!
Ethereum Eyes $3800 as Weekly Wedge Breaks: Bulls Charge ForwardEthereum (ETH), the world's second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, is signaling a potential breakout after a period of consolidation. This technical upswing comes after ETH/USD decisively broke out of a well-defined weekly wedge chart pattern, raising hopes of a surge towards $3800.
Understanding the Weekly Wedge Pattern
The wedge pattern is a common chart formation used by technical analysts to identify potential trend continuations or reversals. In a rising wedge, two converging trendlines, one acting as support and the other as resistance, form a triangle-like shape. This price action often indicates a period of consolidation before a breakout.
In the case of ETH/USD, the recent price movement formed a rising wedge on the weekly chart. The price action respected the trendlines for several weeks, suggesting indecision amongst buyers and sellers. However, a decisive break above the upper trendline signifies a potential bullish continuation.
Bullish Sentiment Emerges
The breakout from the wedge pattern is a bullish technical indicator for Ethereum. It suggests that buyers have finally overpowered sellers and are pushing the price higher. This could be the beginning of a new uptrend, with the upper target of the wedge around $3800 coming into focus.
Several factors could be contributing to the renewed bullish sentiment surrounding Ethereum. The successful completion of the Merge, transitioning Ethereum from a Proof-of-Work to a Proof-of-Stake consensus mechanism, could be a key driver. This upgrade is expected to improve scalability, security, and energy efficiency for the Ethereum network in the long run.
Indicators Support the Breakout
Technical indicators on the weekly chart are also aligning with the bullish breakout. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently hovering around 60, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions, leaving room for further upside potential. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has generated a bullish crossover, suggesting a potential shift in momentum towards the upside.
Potential Roadblocks and Considerations
While the technical indicators are flashing bullish signals, it's important to acknowledge potential roadblocks that could derail the ETH/USD rally. The overall health of the cryptocurrency market and broader economic conditions will significantly influence Ethereum's price movement.
A resurgence of regulatory scrutiny on the cryptocurrency industry or a broader market sell-off could lead to a pullback in ETH's price. Additionally, unforeseen technical challenges related to the Merge or delays in Ethereum's scaling roadmap could dampen investor sentiment.
What to Watch Out For
Traders and investors should closely monitor key price levels and technical indicators to gauge the strength of the breakout. If ETH/USD can hold above the broken resistance line of the wedge pattern, it would be a positive sign for the bulls. Conversely, a drop back below the trendline could signal a potential breakdown and a return to the consolidation phase.
The trading volume associated with the breakout will also be crucial to watch. High volume breakouts are generally considered more reliable than those with lower volume, as they indicate stronger conviction from buyers.
Conclusion
The breakout of ETH/USD from the weekly wedge pattern is a welcome development for bulls. While the upper target of $3800 remains in sight, continued investor confidence, healthy market conditions, and successful implementation of Ethereum's roadmap will be essential for the bulls to maintain control. As always, proper risk management and close monitoring of technical indicators are crucial for navigating the ever-volatile cryptocurrency market.
ETHEREUM DAILY ANALYSISHello traders, here is an analysis of Ethereum for the next coming days as you can see the price has been bullish for the past weeks and now it has reached a level of resistance(blue zone) that the price tested multiple times and that will be the key for this analysis because now I will wait for the price to break that level of resistance and retest it then I will look for long opportunities.
This. Is Actually Bullish. But First. One More Liquidation? Traders,
I'm seeing this on the Bitcoin chart as well (future post). But here on Ethereum we are in a bullish descending wedge. It should break to the upside soon. However, careful going all in just yet. My spiny senses are telling me we could have one more liquidation of longs incoming before all lights are green. Our .618 fib level seems to be holding well so, this might look like a quick wick down during the course of the day touching that bottom part of the descending triangle or even possibly the 200 day sma. Get ready to pull the trigger on those buy orders if that happens or even if it doesn't.
Stew
Ethereum ETH Intraday Trade SetupAfter failing to re-claim $3,166 yesterday, we saw a decline towards $2,992 zone.
From its current location, the price can move in either direction.
A bullish move towards and break-out of $3,166 followed by a re-test of this level will offer a long scalping opportunity towards $3,370 and, possibly higher, to $3,551.
A bearish break-out of $3,354 will lead to a short-lived dip towards $2,898 and lower to $2,787.
More details in signature.
ETHUSD at a Crossroads: Long or Hold on Ethereum?`The Ethereum (ETH) price action against the US Dollar (USD) presents an interesting conundrum for traders. Recent price movements suggest a potential turning point, and the decision of whether to long (buy) or hold ETHUSD hinges on several key factors.
Prior High as Support: A Bullish Signal?
The current price of ETHUSD sits above a crucial support level – the prior high of around $2,915. This level acted as a resistance barrier in the past, but if breached and held as support, it can indicate a bullish reversal. In technical analysis, support levels are areas where buyers are likely to step in and prevent further price declines. A successful retest of this level strengthens the support and can signal a potential price upswing.
The 200-Day SMA: A Long-Term Trend Indicator
Another significant factor to consider is the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). The 200-day SMA acts as a line of demarcation between a long-term uptrend and a downtrend. Currently, the 200-day SMA for ETHUSD sits around $3,100. If the price can break above this level and sustain it, it can be interpreted as a bullish sign, indicating a potential shift in the long-term trend.
Deciding to Long or Hold: Weighing the Evidence
While the prior high and the 200-day SMA suggest potential bullishness, there are reasons to be cautious before going long on ETHUSD. Here's a breakdown of the factors to consider:
• Market Volatility: The cryptocurrency market is notoriously volatile. Recent price swings highlight this, making it challenging to predict future movements with certainty.
• Macroeconomic Factors: Broader economic factors, such as interest rate hikes and inflation, can significantly impact the cryptocurrency market. Keeping an eye on these developments is crucial before making any trading decisions.
• Technical Analysis: While the prior high and 200-day SMA offer insights, they shouldn't be the sole indicators. Utilize other technical indicators like Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastic Oscillator to gauge price momentum and potential overbought or oversold conditions.
Holding vs. Longing: A Strategic Approach
Given the current market uncertainty, holding ETHUSD might be a more conservative approach. This allows you to observe how the price reacts around the support level and the 200-day SMA. Here are some additional considerations:
• Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA): DCA involves buying ETHUSD at regular intervals, regardless of the price. This strategy can help average out the cost per unit over time and potentially mitigate the risk associated with buying at a peak.
• Stop-Loss Orders: Implementing stop-loss orders can help manage risk. A stop-loss order automatically sells your ETHUSD holdings if the price falls below a predefined level, limiting potential losses.
Conclusion: Stay Informed and Adapt
The decision to long or hold ETHUSD depends on your individual risk tolerance and trading strategy. By closely monitoring the price action around the prior high and the 200-day SMA, alongside broader market factors and technical indicators, you can make an informed decision. Remember, the cryptocurrency market is dynamic, so staying updated on news and adapting your strategy accordingly is crucial for success.
ETH - ☀️ & Slightly Bullish for the Week AheadLast week, three issuers obtained approval to launch spot Bitcoin and Ether ETFs by Hong Kong’s Securities and Futures Commission (SFC). These new funds will start trading on April 30, according to various sources, including 10x Research.
The approval of the first spot ETH ETFs in the US next month does, however, seem unlikely.
“Eerily quiet on spot eth ETFs… Consensus is SEC will disapprove in May. Reason = lack of engagement w/ issuers. Logic says that’s correct, but also wonder if SEC learned lesson from clown show w/ spot btc ETFs. Either way, options are either A) approve or B) face lawsuit IMO,” said Nate Geraci, the co-founder of the ETF Institute.
The price of Ether fell 1.1 percent to $3,187 over the past 24 hours.
A bullish sun shines over most of the global crypto market in the next 24 hours. Mostly sunny trading conditions prevail over Ethereum, which translates into a slight upside potential. Ripple’s XRP, Avalanche and Chainlink face bearish clouds, signaling downside risks.
Over a one-week horizon, the bullish sun should continue to shine over the cryptoverse, with the exception of Binance Coin and Uniswap, which all face bearish clouds.
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