EURCHF – Bearish Channel Holds Firm, CHF Strength Set to ResumeEURCHF just tapped into the descending channel resistance again and is showing signs of rejecting. I'm expecting a bearish continuation here, especially given the strong CHF momentum recently, supported by safe-haven flows and Swiss inflation stability. If the pair fails to break above 0.9340, I’m watching for a downside push back toward 0.9270–0.9265, completing another leg within the structure.
🔍 Technical Setup (4H):
Channel Structure: EURCHF remains firmly within a downward-sloping parallel channel since mid-June.
Resistance Rejection: Price recently tested upper channel resistance (~0.9335–0.9340 zone), aligning with trendline rejection.
Target Support: 0.9270–0.9265 (channel base and key horizontal level).
Confluence: CHFJPY overlay (pink line) is rising again, suggesting renewed CHF strength—this usually weighs on EURCHF.
💡 Fundamental Insight:
EUR Side:
ECB officials remain cautious, but with recent EU data showing weaker growth (especially PMIs and sentiment), euro upside is capped.
The ECB is likely to pause further tightening, while other central banks like SNB remain firm on inflation risks.
CHF Strength:
The Swiss National Bank (SNB) still leans hawkish, with stable inflation giving room to hold rates steady or tighten if needed.
CHF benefits from risk-off flows amid global tariff headlines, China slowdown, and Middle East tensions.
Rising CHFJPY = clear CHF strength across the board.
⚠️ Risks:
If eurozone data surprises to the upside (e.g., inflation rebounds), EURCHF could break out of the channel.
A sudden drop in geopolitical tension or strong risk-on rally could weaken CHF as safe-haven demand falls.
SNB jawboning or FX intervention is always a wildcard.
🧭 Summary:
I’m bearish on EURCHF while it respects this well-defined descending channel. The technicals show consistent lower highs and lower lows, while the fundamentals continue to support CHF strength due to risk aversion, stable inflation, and a resilient SNB. My short bias is valid as long as price remains below 0.9340, with downside targets at 0.9270–0.9265. CHFJPY rising confirms franc leadership across FX markets, and EURCHF is likely a lagger following broader CHF strength.
EUR (Euro)
EURNZD Trendline & Hawkish ECB Bias Support Bullish ContinuationEURNZD is holding beautifully above the ascending trendline on the 4H, and I’m watching this level closely for a bounce continuation setup. Fundamentally, the euro remains supported by sticky inflation and hawkish ECB commentary, while the kiwi is showing softness after dovish signals from the RBNZ and mixed jobs data. If this trendline holds, I’ll be targeting a retest of the upper wedge resistance near 1.9640.
🔍 Technical Setup (4H):
Structure: Ascending triangle forming – price is pressing into dynamic support.
Support Zone: Around 1.9480 trendline area – price rejected this level several times in July.
Resistance Target: 1.9640 highs – double top and triangle resistance.
Bullish Confirmation: Rebound with bullish engulfing or strong 4H close above 1.9525 could trigger long setup.
Invalidation: Clean break below trendline and 1.9440 invalidates bullish scenario short-term.
💡 Fundamental Insight:
EUR Drivers:
ECB members remain cautious about declaring victory on inflation.
German and Eurozone CPI data remain above target, supporting higher-for-longer ECB stance.
Speculation that ECB won't cut aggressively compared to RBNZ.
NZD Weakness:
RBNZ minutes show concern over downside inflation risks.
Labor market cooling, and migration pressures remain high.
Commodity and China-linked sentiment weakening NZD.
⚠️ Key Risks:
If Eurozone inflation or PMI data surprises to the downside, EUR may weaken.
RBNZ hawkish pivot or surprise tightening would flip sentiment toward NZD.
Global risk-on could favor NZD as a high-beta currency.
🧭 Summary:
I’m bullish on EURNZD as long as price holds above the trendline near 1.9480. The technical structure shows a clean ascending pattern, and the fundamentals currently favor EUR strength over NZD. My eyes are on a potential move toward 1.9640, especially if upcoming ECB rhetoric stays hawkish. EURNZD tends to lead NZD-crosses like NZDJPY or NZDCHF in risk-off regimes and could signal euro strength if it breaks out. Watching closely for price action confirmation.
EURUSD is Nearing an Important Support!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.15400 zone, EURUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.15400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURO - Price may drop to $1.1350 support level Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Euro began its journey by breaking into a rising channel off the swing low near $1.1080, establishing a clear uptrend.
Within this channel, price carved out steady support along the lower trendline, touching $1.1350 before buyers stepped.
Mid-channel, two breakout attempts at $1.1550 and $1.1725 highlighted bullish conviction, yet both retreated back below resistance.
Simultaneously, two exit signals appeared near the upper trendline around $1.1765, showing that upward momentum was losing steam at key inflection points.
Currently, EUR is holding just below the channel base after a minor bounce, consolidating as traders weigh the next move.
I foresee a brief climb toward near $1.1670 before a renewed bearish thrust drives price back down to test $1.1350 level.
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EUR/CHF (2H). | Elliott Wave Structure📊 Technical Structure (2H)
✅ Channel structure remains intact
✅ Wave (4) nearing completion within resistance
✅ Strong sell zone between 0.9345–0.9363
📌 Downside Targets
First: 0.93129
Final: 0.92721
🔻 Invalidation Zone
Above: 0.93634 (Break above would invalidate current wave count)
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📈 Market Outlook
EUR Weakness: Dragged by soft PMIs and ECB's dovish stance.
CHF Strength: Risk-off flows favoring Swiss Franc demand.
Structure: Elliott Wave alignment supports further downside.
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⚠️ Risks to Watch
Breakout above 0.9364 invalidates bearish count
Sudden shift in SNB or ECB policy stance
Broader EUR strength spilling into crosses
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🧭 Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
EUR/CHF is likely to resume its downtrend from the current resistance zone, with a Wave (5) extension aiming toward 0.9272. While the setup offers a clean R:R, tight risk control is crucial above 0.9364. Watch for confirmation candles and bearish reaction from the red zone.
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EURCHF: Bullish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURCHF pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
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#012: LONG Investment Opportunity on EUR/USD
In this scenario, I placed a passive long order on EUR/USD at a key zone that has shown signs of accumulation and institutional defense in recent days.
The price showed bearish manipulation followed by a sharp rebound with a V-shaped pattern, often indicative of stop-loss hunting. In these phases, a direct entry is less effective than a passive strategy aimed at intercepting a possible technical pullback in the zone where abnormal volumes and algorithmic defenses have manifested.
The order was designed to be activated only if the market were to temporarily return to the previously absorbed zone, thus avoiding chasing the price after a directional candlestick.
The stop-loss placement was carefully chosen to avoid both typical retail hunting zones and areas visible to algorithms. It is positioned to ensure operational invisibility, but also consistency with the logic of institutional defense: if reached, the trade will be automatically invalidated.
The target is aligned with the superior technical structure and the normal range of movement that develops when this dynamic is respected.
This operation is designed to be left to operate completely autonomously, without the need for adjustments or active management. Either in or out. The sole objective is to align with institutional flows, with controlled risk and a favorable management structure.
EURUSD Bullish ProjectionIt’s been a while since my last update here.
Here’s my projection and actual entry/entries on EURUSD, based on a sweep of the previous 1H swing low and mitigation of a Daily imbalance (Fair Value Gap).
We're anticipating a full Change of Character to mark the end of the ongoing Daily pullback.
EURNZD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
EURNZD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.9481 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.9535
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURNZD: Bearish Forecast & Bearish Scenario
The analysis of the EURNZD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to tank due to the rising pressure from the sellers.
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Bearish breakout off major support?EUR/USD is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a breakout of this level could lead the price to drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1587
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1666
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance.
Take profit: 1.1451
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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EUR/USD 4-Hour Chart - OANDA4-hour performance of the Euro/US Dollar (EUR/USD) currency pair on the OANDA platform as of July 17, 2025. The current exchange rate is 1.16408, showing a slight decline of 0.01%. Key levels include a buy signal at 1.16417 and a sell signal at 1.16399, with recent price action ranging between 1.1452 and 1.17245. The chart includes candlestick patterns and shaded areas indicating potential resistance and support zones.
#009: EUR/AUD Long Investment Opportunity
We placed a buy limit order at 1,776, waiting for a bearish spike that would allow us to enter alongside the institutions, not against them.
Why this entry?
🔻 We're waiting for a false breakout at 1,776, a key level where big players are accumulating liquidity with technical stop hunts.
🔐 The SL is below the levels where banking systems have protective orders for the future.
📊 Retailers are still heavily short and aren't exiting, confirming that the upside movement hasn't started yet.
📈 Open interest shows anticipation of an imminent breakout, with progressive loading by large players.
⏳ We're staying out now to avoid being victims of the retracement, but ready to enter on the institutional bearish spike.
A violent expansion toward 1.79, with a directional candlestick that will start as soon as the retail cleanup below 1.776 is completed.
The trade has all the hallmarks of a perfect institutional entry: early positioning, patience, and a defensive stop.
EUR-NZD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-NZD is trading in a
Strong uptrend and the
Pair made a bullish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 1.9580 so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
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EUR_NZD LONG FROM RISING SUPPORT|
✅EUR_NZD is trading in an uptrend
Along the rising support line
Which makes me bullish biased
And the pair is about to retest the rising support
Thus, a rebound and a move up is expected
With the target of retesting the level above at 1.9544
LONG🚀
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FX Setup of the Day: EURAUD SELL ZONEHey traders 👋
📌 SELL / EURAUD – Technical Breakdown
🟢 Entry: 1.78579
🎯 Target 1: 1.78304
🎯 Target 2: 1.78026
🎯 Target 3: 1.77636
🔴 Stop Loss: 1.79039
📈 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.00
I’ve carefully validated these levels and crafted a clean, focused analysis for you.
Every like seriously fuels my drive to produce more top-tier content 📈
Your support genuinely means a lot to me.
Thanks from the heart to everyone showing love 💙
🎯 Clear targets, solid strategy.
🤝 Let’s move forward with logic and discipline.
Breaking News - Trump vs. PowellJul 16 2025 16:56:19 CET: CBS CITING SOURCES:
TRUMP ASKED REPUBLICAN LAWMAKERS IF HE SHOULD FIRE FED'S POWELL
OANDA:XAUUSD sees upside +35$/oz after Trump has asked the republican lawmakers if he should fire Powell.
TVC:DXY weakens against TVC:EXY and TVC:JXY after Trumps question.
Volatility is increased.
EURNZD: Bullish Setup Targeting Engineered Highs!Greetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of EURNZD, we observe that the market is currently operating within bullish institutional order flow. It is therefore essential that we align our bias with this narrative by focusing on buying opportunities.
Market Context:
Higher Timeframe Alignment:
The weekly timeframe is showing a bullish draw on liquidity, and this is confirmed by the H4 (intermediate) timeframe, which is also structurally bullish. This alignment between higher and intermediate timeframes provides strong confluence for long positions.
Mitigation Block Support:
Price has recently retraced into an H4 Mitigation Block—a key institutional support zone. This area represents a region where previous sell-side activity was initiated. Now that price has broken above it, institutions are likely using this retracement to mitigate prior sell positions and establish new buy orders.
Trade Idea:
Entry Strategy:
Look for confirmation on the lower timeframes within the H4 mitigation block to initiate long positions in alignment with institutional order flow.
Target Objective:
The primary target is the relatively equal highs residing in premium pricing. These levels coincide with engineered trendline liquidity and failure swings, making them highly attractive profit-taking zones for institutions—where significant buy-side liquidity is expected to be absorbed.
Stay patient and execute only upon clear confirmation signals.
Kind Regards,
The Architect 🏛️📊
EUR/USD - Daily Chart (Wedge Breakout) (16.07.2025) The EUR/USD Pair on the D1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Days.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0956
2nd Support – 1.0625
💡 Fundamental & Sentiment Context
Euro under pressure amid renewed concerns over EU‑US trade friction .
The USD is strengthening, supported by safe‑haven flows amid tariff uncertainties.
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EURAUD forming a bottom?EURAUD - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bullish.
The selloff has posted an exhaustion count on the daily chart.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
Bespoke support is located at 1.7760.
We look to Buy at 1.7760 (stop at 1.7715)
Our profit targets will be 1.7940 and 1.7970
Resistance: 1.7875 / 1.7950 / 1.8000
Support: 1.7750 / 1.7715 / 1.7670
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