EURUSD 25 Jan 2024 W4 - Intraday Analysis - EU Rate / US GDPThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 25 Jan 2024 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
OF Bullish
In Discount
2.
Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback.
After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH.
Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H demand zones and ranged.
Price reached the 4H/Daily demand zones as expected after breaking the range and formed a Bullish INT Structure iBOS.
This Bullish iBOS indicates that the 4H Swing Pullback had finished and we are starting the 4H Bullish Swing Continuation Phase to target the Weak 4H Swing High.
3.
Bullish INT Structure after mitigating the 4H/Daily demand Zones.
As we are starting the Swing Continuation Phase, this INT Structure Low is the last structure point to hold for the 4H Swing Continuation Phase.
If it failed, there is a high probability that we will target the 4H Swing Low.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
INT INT Bearish
Pullback Phase
2.
Swing turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H/Daily Demand zones as expected yesterday.
After the BOS we expect a 15m Swing pullback which we are already in this phase after the Bearish CHoCH.
Currently price reached the EQ and 15m/4H demand zones for potential continuation of the Bullish Swing and targeting the Weak Swing High.
The 4H Demand is big so be cautious of a deeper pullback within the Swing.
My expectations that we will continue Bullish as long we don't close below the 15m Swing Low.
3.
Extreme 15m Swing Demand.
Eur-usd
EURUSD 24 Jan 2024 W4 - Intraday Analysis - EU PMI / US PMIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 24 Jan 2024 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bearish
OF Bullish
In Discount
2.
Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback.
After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH.
Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H demand zones and ranged.
Price reached the 4H/Daily demand zones as expected after breaking the range. Still the OF is bearish and if the 4H Bullish swing is going to continue Bullish we need to see bullish reaction at least a bullish CHoCH.
On the flip side, if these demand zones failed to hold, there is a high probability that the Bearish Daily/Weekly structures are in play and we are in a HTF Bearish move.
Let's see the LTF development to have a clear guide.
3.
Price reached the Swing extreme 4H demand and Daily for possible continuation to the upside.
As OF is bearish we need to see the formation of demand at least with a Bullish CHoCH and that demand to hold.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Pullback Phase
2.
Swing continued Bearish with the recent BOS.
After the Swing BOS we expect a Pullback to start, which is currently reacting from the 4H/Daily Demand zones.
As per the structure, expectations that the Swing will continue bearish and there is a potential short plays from the 15m/4H Supply within the Swing. (This will solidify the point that the 4H Swing low is the target)
But be mindful that we had mitigated a HTF POIs (4H/Daily Demands) in a Bullish 4H Swing so there is also high expectations that the current 15m Swing High could be taken out and turn bullish to confirm the 4H Swing Pullback is over and we are in the 4H Bullish Swing Continuation.
Following the structure is the optimum way and we have now 2 scenarios with HTF narratives.
Lets wait for price to guide us.
3.
Price had tapped into 4H/Daily demand zones and initiated the 15m Swing Pullback.
After the ChoCH we will have a confirmed Swing Low.
New low in EURUSDYesterday, EURUSD broke the previous bottom and reached the first target - 1.0820.
All sales already made must be reduced risk.
New trade opportunities will be available after pushing back from the resistance.
The target is a new test of 1.0820, and on a break, heading towards 1.0740!
The sell idea is broken on a break above 1.0916.
EURUSD 23 Jan 2024 W4 - Intraday Analysis - EU Cons. ConfidenceThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 23 Jan 2024 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
Note: Nothing changed much since yesterday and yesterday analysis still the same.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bearish
OF Bullish
In Discount
2.
Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback.
After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH.
Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged.
OF currently is bullish after the Bullish CHoCH. Demand formed from the CHoCH is mitigated and still holding. But that Bullish OF is not coming from a HP POI so there is a high probability we will continue down unless we see Bullish OF holding and continuing.
Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not.
3.
Swing extreme 4H demand and Daily for possible continuation to the upside.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bullish
Pullback Phase
2.
INT Structure turned Bullish (iBOS) confirming a 15m Swing Low formed and the start of the 15m Swing pullback Phase.
Expectation now is set to play the pullback phase as Bullish move till we reach a HP 4H Supply zone.
Just to note that we didn't mitigate any HTF POI to initiate the current Pullback. So be cautious that we may also continue Bearish till we mitigate the Daily/4H demand zone and from there we could continue the 4H Swing Bullish Continuation Phase.
3.
INT structure continuing Bullish again with Bullish iBOS.
After iBOS we expect a pullback. No HP demand zones except the one presented which is also not positioned well within the new INT Structure.
Waiting for more price development with expectations for price to continue bullish respecting the INT Low.
4.
Weak Swing low is still holding which means that the Swing pullback still active and we will have a deeper swing pullback.
EURUSD 22 Jan 2024 W4 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 22 Jan 2024 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bearish
OF Bullish
In Discount
2.
Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback.
After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH.
Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged.
OF currently is bullish after the Bullish CHoCH. Demand formed from the CHoCH is mitigated and still holding. But that Bullish OF is not coming from a HP POI so there is a high probability we will continue down unless we see Bullish OF holding and continuing.
Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not.
3.
Swing extreme 4H demand and Daily for possible continuation to the upside.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bullish
Pullback Phase
2.
INT Structure turned Bullish (iBOS) confirming a 15m Swing Low formed and the start of the 15m Swing pullback Phase.
Expectation now is set to play the pullback phase as Bullish move till we reach a HP 4H Supply zone.
Just to note that we didn't mitigate any HTF POI to initiate the current Pullback. So be cautious that we may also continue Bearish till we mitigate the Daily/4H demand zone and from there we could continue the 4H Swing Bullish Continuation Phase.
3.
INT structure continuing Bullish again with Bullish iBOS.
After iBOS we expect a pullback. No HP demand zones except the one presented which is also not positioned well within the new INT Structure.
Waiting for more price development with expectations for price to continue bullish respecting the INT Low.
4.
Weak Swing low is still holding which means that the Swing pullback still active and we will have a deeper swing pullback.
EURUSD 22-26 Jan 2024 W4 Weekly Analysis - EUR Rate DecisionThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 22-26 Jan 2024 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
Weekly
Daily
4H
Economic Events
Weekly Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Reached Swing EQ
INT Extreme
2.
After the iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low.
3.
With the Bearish INT Structure we have the confirmation that the Swing Pullback is over and we are currently in the Swing Continuation Phase.
Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and showed reaction from.
Still the OF is Bullish within the Pullback Phase and the Bearish CHoCH will be the first sign to confirm the Bearish continuation from the Weekly Supply.
Expectation now set to see price continuing bearish.
Daily Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
INT Bullish
Reached Extreme
2.
Within the Bearish Swing we are currently in, the Swing pullback reached the Swing extreme area and mitigated a Weekly Supply zone (But didn't reach the Daily Supply) and started the INT Structure Pullback after the Bullish iBOS.
For the Bearish Swing to continue bearish, we want to see a Bearish iBOS to confirm that the Swing Pullback is over and we are in the Swing Continuation to target the Weak Swing Low.
But currently the INT Structure still Bullish so there is also a possibility that we can still continue up.
Following the recent INT Structure, Price swept LIQ from the recent Daily Demand zone and reached the INT Structure EQ where we can expect demand to step in and target the Weak INT High.
Lets wait to see more price development and LTF to guide us.
3.
Price managed to get out of the range and approaching a Daily demand zone.
We didn't mitigate it yet but price is bouncing up from the Swing EQ.
4.
Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bearish
OF Bullish
In Discount
2.
Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback.
After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH.
Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged.
OF currently is bullish after the Bullish CHoCH. Demand formed from the CHoCH is mitigated and still holding. But that Bullish OF is not coming from a HP POI so there is a high probability we will continue down unless we see Bullish OF holding and continuing.
Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not.
3.
Swing extreme 4H demand and Daily for possible continuation to the upside.
Economic Events for the Week
EURUSD 21/1/24Starting our week off with EU, main focus for our first session this week is to have our highest target hit (SWH)
in terms of entry our last sell side origin could offer a good space to look for said entry, if we don't get to our preferred point of entry then look for a run of our latest liquid lows.
Overall bullish here as we was through last week!
EURUSD Strong MA squeeze most likely breaking downwardsThe EURUSD pair is on a very tight consolidation within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the past 3 days. The long-term pattern is a Channel Down and this correction can be the start of the new Bearish Leg.
The 1D RSI pattern resembles the Bearish Leg of July - September 2023, which below the 1D MA50 targeting the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and the 1W MA200 (yellow trend-line) which also did another 2 times before.
As a result our first Target is 1.07250 (Fib 0.618) and if we get a 1D candle closing below the 0.618 Fib, we will extend the target at 1.06500.
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EURUSD 19 Jan 2024 W3 - Intraday Analysis - EU Con ConfidenceThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 19 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bearish
OF Bullish
In Discount
2.
Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback.
After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH.
Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged.
OF currently is bullish after the Bullish CHoCH. Demand formed from the CHoCH is mitigated and still holding. But that Bullish OF is not coming from a HP POI so there is a high probability we will continue down unless we see Bullish OF holding and continuing.
Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not.
3.
Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bullish
Pullback Phase
2.
INT Structure turned Bullish (iBOS) confirming a 15m Swing Low formed and the start of the 15m Swing pullback Phase.
Expectation now is set to play the pullback phase as Bullish move till we reach a HP 4H Supply zone.
Just to note that we didn't mitigate any POI to initiate the current Pullback. So be cautious that we may also continue Bearish till we mitigate the Daily/4H demand zone and from there we could continue the 4H Swing Bullish Continuation Phase.
3.
Currently the new INT structure is Bullish and we had reached the extreme and price respected the INT Low and continued up.
Expectation that we are going to target the INT High as long we respect the Swing Low.
Also there is a high probability that we may break the Swing low as we didn't mitigate any HP POI to initiate a pullback.
EURUSD: Two sell signals for the medium term.EURUSD is bearish on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 35.647, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 40.063) as it maintains the declining trend since the December 28th High and the pattern that prevailed has been a Channel Down.
Ahead of a 4H Death Cross, the 4H RSI is rising after being oversold two days ago on a technical Bullish Divergence that looks very much like the one that started on the previous LL and the one on December 7th. If the price crosses under the Channel Down bottom, it will be a bearish signal and we will short aiming at a -2.24% decline (TP = 1.07550). If the Channel Down stays intact, the Bullish Divergence should push it higher towards its middle trendline (approximately +1.00% rise) where we will short more comfortably and aim for a -1.40% decline (TP = 1.08050).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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EURUSD Daily - Bearish in trading rangeOn the weekly timeframe, we've seen a big drop and a bit of a correction, and now it looks like we're stuck in a trading range. But get this: the dips seem stronger than the climbs. Flipping over to the daily timeframe, we’ve had a couple of tries to break through the resistance zone, but no luck. What does this mean? Well, we might see a small bump up, but I'm thinking it'll fall again, probably at least to the bottom of the trading range.
EURUSD 18 Jan 2024 W3 - Intraday Analysis - ECB MinutesThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 18 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bearish
OF Bullish
In Discount
2.
Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback.
After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH.
Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged.
OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase signaling that we still looking for deeper pullback to the next Daily/4H Demand zones.
Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not.
3.
Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bullish
Pullback Phase
2.
Finally we are out of the range where the 15m Swing turned bearish signaling the expectation that if the Swing turned bearish then the 4H is having a deep pullback phase within the 4H Bullish Swing.
After a BOS we expect a pullback phase to initiate and we will be looking for Bullish iBOS to confirm Swing Low and the initiation of the Swing pullback.
I'll be cautious that after range we were in the momentum will be aggressive and pullback may not happen directly and following the current INT structure will be the safe option.
3.
INT Structure turned Bullish (iBOS) confirming a 15m Swing Low formed and the start of the 15m Swing pullback Phase.
Expectation now is set to play the pullback phase as Bullish move till we reach a HP 4H Supply zone.
Just to note that we didn't mitigate any POI to initiate the current Pullback. So be cautious that we may also continue Bearish till we mitigate the Daily/4H demand zone and from there we could continue the 4H Swing Bullish Continuation Phase.
EURUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.09100 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.09100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD 17 Jan 2024 W3 - Intraday Analysis - US Retail/ EU CPIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 17 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bearish
OF Bearish
In Discount
2.
Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback.
After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH.
Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged.
OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase signaling that we still looking for deeper pullback to the next Daily/4H Demand zones.
Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not.
3.
Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
2.
Finally we are out of the range where the Swing turned bearish signaling the expectation that if the Swing turned bearish then the 4H is having a deep pullback phase within the 4H Bullish Swing.
After a BOS we expect a pullback phase to initiate and we will be looking for Bullish iBOS to confirm Swing Low and the initiation of the Swing pullback.
I'll be cautious that after range we were in the momentum will be aggressive and pullback may not happen directly and following the current INT structure will be the safe option.
3.
INT structure is continuing bearish and i would expect the continuation bearish till we reach the Daily/4H Demand zone as current targets.
No HP supply zone within the current INT structure as all are mitigated.
I'll be waiting for the next INT structure for Shorts if we didn't reach the Daily/4H Demand zones first.
EURUSD 16 Jan 2024 W3 - Intraday Analysis - German CPI/ZEWThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 16 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
NOTE : Still price is ranging and i'm waiting for a break out of that range. Order flow on 4H is currently bearish within the INT Structure so my expectation is to stay bearish and may target the 15m Swing Low. A formation of Bearish Structure will indicate that the 4H Swing pullback is not yet done and we may have a deep pullback within the 4H Swing.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
OF Bearish
Reached EQ
2.
Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback.
After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH.
Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs.
Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme.
With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme.
Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development.
3.
Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
At Swing Extreme Low
2.
INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme.
The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a 15m/4H Demand zone.
This demand is mitigated now and we are currently ranging.
3.
It's clear now that after NFP and CPI the market is in indecision phase and needs a catalyst to get out of the range.
For me price still Bullish until we have a Bearish Swing (Solid close below Swing Low)
I'll be waiting for more price development outside the range we are currently in.
EURUSD New Low is expected after the 1D MA50 breaks.The EURUSD pair has had a strong rejection last time we looked at it on the 1D time-frame (December 28 2023, see chart below), getting rejected exactly on Resistance 1 (1.1151) towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is so far holding:
This is basically an update to this. We are on the exact same moments as August 11 2023, May 12 2023 and February 13 2023 when the 1D MA50 broke to the downside and the price turned it into Resistance. On all occasions the last Higher Low of the Channel Up was tested. This is why we maintain our medium-term target at 1.07250 (Support 1).
Notice that the 1D RSI sequence is also similar to the August 2023 and February 2023 pre break-out consolidation (red circles).
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EURUSD 15 Jan 2024 W3 - Intraday Analysis - US HolidayThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 15 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
NOTE : No much development in price since NFP (2 Weeks). Can't see suitable option within that range knowing that it's a big range. But best is always wait for the setups that you are trained on and not to force a setup in current market behavior.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
Reached EQ
2.
Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback.
After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH.
Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs.
Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme.
With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme.
Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development.
3.
Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
At Swing Extreme Low
2.
INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme.
The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a 15m/4H Demand zone.
This demand is mitigated now and we are currently ranging.
3.
It's clear now that after NFP and CPI the market is in indecision phase and needs a catalyst to get out of the range.
For me price still Bullish until we have a Bearish Swing (Solid close below Swing Low)
I'll be waiting for more price development outside the range we are currently in.
EURUSD 15-19 Jan 2024 W3 Weekly AnalysisThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 15-19 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
Weekly
Daily
4H
Economic Events
Weekly Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Reached Swing EQ
2.
After the iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low.
3.
With the Bearish INT Structure we have the confirmation that the Swing Pullback is over and we are currently in the Swing Continuation Phase.
Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and showed reaction from.
Still the OF is Bullish within the Pullback Phase and the Bearish CHoCH will be the first sign to confirm the Bearish continuation from the Weekly Supply.
Expectation now set to see price continuing bearish.
Daily Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
INT Bullish
Reached Extreme
2.
Within the Bearish Swing we are currently in, the Swing pullback reached the Swing extreme area and mitigated a Weekly Supply zone (But didn't reach the Daily Supply) and started the INT Structure Pullback after the Bullish iBOS.
For the Bearish Swing to continue bearish, we want to see a Bearish iBOS to confirm that the Swing Pullback is over and we are in the Swing Continuation to target the Weak Swing Low.
But currently the INT Structure still Bullish so there is also a possibility that we can still continue up.
Following the recent INT Structure, Price swept LIQ from the recent Daily Demand zone and reached the INT Structure EQ where we can expect demand to step in and target the Weak INT High.
Lets wait to see more price development and LTF to guide us.
3.
Previous week PA was ranging within the INT Structure EQ. Crossroads now for price.
4.
Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
Reached EQ
2.
Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback.
After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH.
Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs.
Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme.
With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme.
Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development.
Economic Events for the Week
EURUSD: Multi year top has been formed. Be among first to sell.EURUSD is neutral on all high timeframes with our focus on this analysis in particular being on the 1M timeframe (RSI = 51.643, MACD = -0.007, ADX = 25.957). The reason is because we want to keep ourselves aware of what the underlying long term trend is. And based on the 1M RSI it is bearish, as the indicator shows a peak. It is the same peak that for the last 10 years is formed (this is the 4th time) over the RSI's MA trendline and causes the price to make a LH.
The long term pattern is a Channel Down after all and December has been the 2nd rejection on the 1M MA50 since July 2023. The minimum target is the 0.786 Fibonacci level (TP = 0.99185), which was the target after the February 2018 peak.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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