HelenP. I Euro will rebound from trend line to $1.1600 pointsHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. A structural review of the chart shows a clear change in market character. The previous long-term upward channel has been broken, and the price has since entered a corrective phase, currently guided by a descending trend line. This decline has brought the asset towards a critical area of interest: the major horizontal support zone between 1.1400 and 1.1360. My analysis for a long, counter-trend position is based on the potential for a strong bullish reaction from the confluence of this historical support zone and the descending trend line. I believe that as the price reaches this intersection, the current selling momentum is likely to be absorbed by significant underlying demand. The main condition for this scenario is a clear and forceful rejection of lower prices from this zone, which would signal that buyers are stepping in to defend this critical level. A confirmed bounce would likely initiate a significant relief rally, and therefore, the primary goal for this move is set at the 1.1600 level, a logical first target for a corrective bounce of this nature. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment.❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Euro
Euro bounce from buyer zone and start to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. After a prolonged upward trend which formed a large rising wedge, the EURUSD faced a significant rejection from the seller zone near the 1.1685 resistance level. This failure to continue higher marked a key turning point, exhausting the bullish momentum and initiating a new bearish market phase. This new phase has since taken the form of a well-defined downward channel, within which the price has been undergoing a series of downward corrections and impulses. The most recent market action has been a sharp downward fall, accelerating the price's descent towards a critical area of historical significance. Currently, the pair is approaching the major support level at 1.1400, which also constitutes a strong buyer zone where demand has previously stepped in. The primary working hypothesis is a long, counter-trend scenario, which anticipates that the current bearish momentum will be absorbed by the strong demand within this buyer zone. A confirmed and strong rebound from this 1.1400 support area would signal a potential temporary bottom and the start of a significant upward correction. Therefore, the tp for this rebound is logically set at the 1.1600 level, a key psychological and technical point that represents a realistic first objective for a bounce of this nature. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
EURO - Price can turn around of support level and rise to $1.165Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
The market structure shifted after a breakout from a prior triangle pattern pushed the price higher.
This rally met resistance, and a new bearish trend emerged, creating a distinct falling channel.
The asset made several rotations inside this channel, with the most recent upswing failing at the $1.1720 resistance zone.
That failure to break higher initiated the current strong bearish impulse driving the price down.
Euro is now approaching a critical area of demand, the horizontal support zone near $1.1455.
I expect that buyers will defend the $1.1455 support level, causing a reversal that will carry the price towards the $1.1650 target.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
LONG ON EUR/USDEUR/USD is currently at a major demand level after sweeping sell side liquidity.
The Dxy (Dollar) is overall bearish. I expect the dollar to fall and EUR/USD to rise to the previous high / supply level for over 200-300 pips.
News most likely will affect this pair in terms of volatility.
Ursulization = Bureaucracy > Democracy (a.k.a. The Glasgow Kiss)🤝💥 Ursulization – Bureaucracy Replaces Democracy (a.k.a. The Glasgow Kiss) 🇺🇸🇪🇺
📍Background:
The media spun it as a "15% tariff agreement"…
But in reality, this wasn’t diplomacy — it was a disguised capitulation.
And the stage? None other than Scotland, ancestral ground of Donald J. Trump.
So when Ursula von der Leyen came seeking a gentle diplomatic handshake…
What she received instead was the infamous Glasgow Kiss — sudden, sharp, and unmissable.
💥 What’s a Glasgow Kiss?
A British slang term for a violent headbutt to the face —
No grace. No warning. Just raw force.
💬 The Real Story:
Ursula von der Leyen — unelected, unaccountable —
signed off on $1.4 trillion in U.S.-bound capital flows:
💸 $750B to buy American energy
🛠 $600B in U.S. infrastructure, defense & industry
All to sidestep 50% tariffs the Trump team had ready to roll.
But here's the kicker:
She wasn’t acting on behalf of European citizens.
She was speaking for the bureaucracy, not the people.
🔥 Welcome to Ursulization:
Where democracy is sidelined by unelected power.
Where negotiations happen in silence.
Where scandals like PfizerGate get buried while the euro breaks down.
📉 EUR/USD just lost key support at 1.14776 —
The chart shows t he cost of surrender.
💉 PfizerGate Reminder:
Ursula already faced heat for secretive vaccine contracts with Pfizer.
Now, she’s handing over Europe’s industrial backbone —
To Trump. In Scotland. With no public mandate.
📌 Conclusion:
Trump didn’t compromise — he collided.
Europe didn’t resist — it surrendered.
This wasn’t diplomacy.
It was a Glasgow Kiss — a collision between legitimacy and bureaucratic power.
👑 One elected by the people (Trump). One not elected at all (Woke agenda style Ursula).
💰 One walks away with trillions (Trump). The other, with silence (Ursula 'Von der Pfizinen never electenen'').
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
ps. Till we can bring Democracy and Europe back.
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
The euro extends sharp losses following the US-EU tariff deal
The euro weakened sharply against the dollar amid views that the US-EU tariff deal favors the US. European leaders voiced mixed reactions. Germany’s Chancellor Merz welcomed the agreement as a safeguard against economic damage, while Hungary’s PM Orbán criticized it as a one-sided win for the US. Meanwhile, the IMF raised its eurozone growth forecast from 0.8% to 1.0% in its July outlook, citing the lower-than-expected tariff levels as supportive of the region’s economy.
EURUSD broke below the ascending trendline and briefly tested the support at 1.1520. EMA21 has death-crossed EMA78, indicating the potential extension of bearish momentum.
If EURUSD fails to hold above the support at 1.1520, the price could decline further toward 1.1450. Conversely, if EURUSD breaches above the resistance at 1.1590, the price may gain upward momentum toward 1.1640.
Should You Still Sell Your USD for EUR? A 2025 PerspectiveWith currency markets in constant flux, the decision to hold USD or convert to EUR carries major financial implications for investors, expatriates, businesses, and frequent travelers. As of July 29, 2025, the USD/EUR exchange rate is around 0.86–0.87, with $1 buying roughly €0.86. Is now the right time to sell your US dollars for euros? Here’s a balanced look at the latest data and forecasts.
Current Market Context: Dollar Weakness and Euro Stabilization
USD Slide in 2025: The US dollar has experienced its steepest decline in over three years, falling nearly 10% year-to-date. This sustained weakness is attributed to policy volatility, capital flowing out of the US, and narrowing interest rate differentials.
Key Exchange Rate: Recent rates hover between 0.85 and 0.87, representing moderate stability following a period of volatility.
Euro’s Resilience: While the euro has had its own struggles, from slower economic growth to political uncertainty in Germany and France, analysts forecast no major sustained fall for the euro through 2025.
2025 Forecasts: USD/EUR Direction—What Do the Experts Say?
Year-End 2025 Outlook: Major banks and forecasting firms expect the EUR/USD rate could climb even higher by year-end, meaning the euro could gain modestly versus the dollar if current trends continue.
Factors to Watch:
Fed Rate Cuts: Potential US rate cuts in Q3–Q4 remain a key driver for further USD weakness.
Trade & Tariff Uncertainty: Ongoing US tariff announcements and global trade tensions add volatility but also support safe haven flows to the dollar.
Eurozone Politics: Any resolution of political uncertainty in Europe could buoy the euro.
Most Important One: Fed's Money Printer...
Strategic Considerations: Should You Sell Now?
Locking in Current Rates: If you need euros to make payments, pay salaries, or make investments in the short term, converting a portion now could reduce your exposure to further USD downside.
If You Can Wait: Analysts see some chance for USD recovery in late Q3 or early 2026, but this is contingent on US policy stability and Fed decisions.
Averaging In: For larger transfers, consider splitting your transaction over time (also called dollar-cost averaging), which can help mitigate volatility.
Bottom Line
If you have an immediate need for euros, current rates present a reasonable opportunity. The dollar’s weakness throughout 2025 is well documented, but much of the pessimism may already be priced in. If you’re flexible with timing, monitor central bank policy signals throughout Q3/Q4, a more dovish Fed or unexpected eurozone stability could push rates further in your favor, but event risks remain elevated. Ultimately, a phased or hedged approach may offer both protection and potential upside
*not investment advice*
#forex #fx #dollar #usd #euro #eur #economy #trade #tariff #trading #indicator
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.17578.Colleagues, the price has made a strong downward movement, which can only mean one thing: the correction is not complete.
This means that the latest upward movement is wave “1” of medium order.
Therefore, I now expect the correction to end in wave “2” at the 50% Fibonacci level and thean upward movement to continue to at least the resistance level of 1.17578.
It is quite possible that after updating the level of 1.15570, the price will immediately begin an upward movement — this is a more risky option for entering a position.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
EURJPY Eyes New Highs After Pullback?What I see!
EURJPY Technical Outlook –
EURJPY remains in a strong uptrend and recently tapped into buy-side liquidity at 173.89, which now marks the All-Time High (ATH). After a brief rejection from that level, price is currently showing signs of a healthy pullback.
I’m observing the 170.00–171.00 zone, which aligns with previous demand. If price continues to respect this area, the overall bullish structure remains intact, with potential for a move back toward (and possibly beyond) the ATH.
A sustained break below 170.00 could indicate room for a deeper pullback, potentially toward the 168.00s, which would be a key area to monitor.
This analysis is shared for educational and discussion purposes only.
Singapore Dollar: Asia’s Quiet Safe Haven with Eyes on ParityThe Singapore dollar has quietly emerged as one of the strongest performers in Asia, gaining over 7% against the US dollar this year.
While much of the FX world fixates on the yen or franc in times of uncertainty, the SGD is carving out a niche as a regional safe-haven, driven not by size or liquidity, but by credibility.
The strength in the SGD isn’t just about USD weakness. Singapore's macro fundamentals
budget surpluses,
robust reserves, and
deep-rooted investor confidence
offer a kind of quiet strength that traders tend to overlook until it becomes obvious.
This makes the SGD a compelling hedge against both regional turmoil and global dollar decay.
As more global capital looks for stable homes outside of the traditional, Singapore’s financial system and currency are set to benefit.
The idea of SGD hitting parity with the USD, once dismissed as unrealistic, is now getting serious attention.
Analysts have suggested that it could happen within five years, but I wouldn’t be surprised if it comes sooner!
The greenback’s structural issues of twin deficits, political gridlock, and de-dollarization headwinds are no longer theoretical.
That said, liquidity is still a constraint. The SGD makes up just 2% of global FX turnover, and the MAS actively manages the currency to avoid excessive volatility.
This means that while the long-term trend favors SGD appreciation, traders betting on a rapid sprint to parity may be left waiting.
In my view, the SGD is one of the most underappreciated macro trades in FX.
EURUSD Will the 1D MA50 hold?The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the April 21 2025 High. The price is right now on a strong pull-back and is about to test the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since May 12.
As long as the 1D candle closes above the 1D MA50, it will be a buy signal, targeting 1.19250 (a standard +3.20% rise).
If the candle closes below the 1D MA50, the buy will be invalidated and we will switch to a sell, targeting the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) at 1.14100.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
EUR/CAD: Shorting the Climactic Rally Near 1.6000The strong rally in EUR/CAD has pushed the pair into extreme territory, approaching a major psychological and structural resistance zone. While momentum has been strong, this looks like a potential climactic or "blow-off" top, offering a highly favorable risk/reward opportunity to short the pair in alignment with the weak underlying Euro fundamentals.
The Fundamental Why 📰
The core thesis remains bearish for the Euro. The European Central Bank (ECB) maintains a distinctly dovish tone, signaling a willingness to ease policy further to support a slowing Eurozone economy. This fundamental headwind suggests that extreme rallies in Euro pairs are often exhaustive and present prime shorting opportunities.
The Technical Picture 📊
Major Supply Zone: The price is entering a critical multi-month supply zone between 1.5950 and the key psychological level of 1.6000. This is a major ceiling where significant selling pressure is anticipated.
Fibonacci Extension: This area aligns with a key Fibonacci extension level (1.272) from the last major impulse wave, a common zone where trending moves become exhausted and reversals begin.
Pronounced RSI Divergence: A clear bearish divergence is forming on the daily chart. As price makes this final push to a new high, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is making a significantly lower high, signaling a deep exhaustion of buying momentum.
The Counter-Trade Rationale 🧠
This is a high-level fade. We are positioning for a reversal at a major, technically significant ceiling. The extreme price extension, combined with clear momentum divergence, indicates that the risk of buying at these highs is substantial. By shorting here, we are betting that the powerful technical resistance and weak fundamentals will trigger a significant correction.
The Setup ✅
📉 Pair: EUR/CAD
👉 Direction: Short
⛔️ Stop Loss: 1.63230
🎯 Entry: 1.59490
✅ Take Profit: 1.52008
⚖️ Risk/Reward: ≈ 2:1
Euro will rebound from support line of wedge to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. After breaking out decisively from a prior downward channel, the euro initiated a significant structural shift, moving from a clear downward trend into a new and more volatile market condition. This transition has led to the development of a large broadening wedge pattern, which is characterised by higher highs and lower lows, indicating an expansion in volatility as both buyers and sellers fight for control. The boundaries of this struggle are well-defined by a major buyer zone around 1.1650 and a formidable seller zone near 1.1750. Currently, the pair is in a corrective phase, moving downwards within the wedge after a recent upward rebound was rejected from the upper resistance line. The primary working hypothesis is a long scenario, which anticipates that this downward correction will find strong support at the confluence of the wedge's ascending support line and the horizontal buyer zone around 1.1650. A confirmed bounce from this critical area of support would validate the integrity of the broadening wedge pattern and likely trigger another powerful upward rotation. Therefore, the TP is strategically placed at the 1.1750 resistance level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
EURO - Price can continue to move up inside rising channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
The price action of price reversed its course after breaking out from a previous falling channel formation.
Since then, the asset has been trading within the clear boundaries of a well-defined rising channel.
The price has made several rotations within this structure, consistently finding support near the lower trendline.
Most recently, the pair successfully tested the horizontal support area around $11600, which aligns with the channel's support.
A clear upward bounce occurred from this confluence of support, and the price is currently consolidating from that move.
I expect that after a minor pullback to re-test support, the price will continue its ascent within the channel structure towards the $11935 level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
HelenP. I Euro can reach resistance zone and then dropHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. If we look at the chart, we can observe a mature uptrend that has been supported by a major ascending trend line for an extended period. However, the momentum of this trend appears to be waning, as evidenced by the price's recent failure to establish new highs. The asset is currently trading below the critical resistance zone of 1.1770 - 1.1800, an area that has proven to be a significant barrier for buyers. My analysis for a short position is based on the condition of a final retest of this resistance zone. I believe the price will make another attempt to rally into this area, and a forceful rejection from this zone would serve as the confirmation that sellers are taking definitive control of the market. Such a rejection would likely initiate a strong downward impulse with sufficient momentum to break the long-standing ascending trend line, a pivotal event that would shift the market structure. Therefore, the primary goal for this bearish scenario is set at the 1.1600 level, a logical target for the price to reach after such a significant structural break. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Euro may reach resistance level, break it and continue to growHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
For an extended period, the price was dictated by a descending channel, with each rally attempt failing at its upper boundary.
The downward trend culminated in a test of the crucial support level at $1.1635, where sellers were unable to secure a foothold, signaling a potential momentum shift.
This shift was confirmed when buyers took control, launching an upward impulse that decisively breached the long-standing resistance of the channel's upper trendline.
After the breakout, the price established a new local support base above the former channel, solidifying the change in market structure.
The subsequent rally carried the asset's price to the significant horizontal resistance zone around $1.1755, where the upward advance has temporarily stalled.
I expect that after a brief consolidation, bullish pressure will resume, enabling the price to break the $1.1755 barrier and continue towards the $1.1820 target.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Euro will rise a little and then start to fall to support lineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. After a prolonged consolidation period, a strong upward trend was initiated from the buyer zone around 1.1285, propelling the EUR significantly higher. This initial impulsive move has since transitioned into a more complex and mature phase, taking the shape of a large upward wedge formation, a pattern which often signals underlying exhaustion in the prevailing trend. Currently, the pair is operating within this defined market zone, characterized by a clear ascending support line and a corresponding resistance line. The price action inside the wedge has become corrective, with the most recent upward correction originating from the support area near 1.1575. The working hypothesis is centered on a short-term bearish scenario, which anticipates that this current rally will fail as it approaches the upper boundary of the wedge. A rejection from this resistance would confirm that selling pressure is increasing and that the bullish momentum is waning. This would likely trigger a significant downward rotation within the structure, with the immediate objective being a retest of the main ascending support line. For this reason, the TP is strategically and logically placed at the 1.1665 level, as this point lies directly on the trend line and serves as the most critical test for the existing uptrend's viability. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
EUR/JPY: Bullish Thesis on Policy DivergenceOur primary thesis is built on a powerful confluence of compelling fundamental drivers and a clear technical structure. We are taking a long position in EUR/JPY with high conviction, anticipating significant upside fueled by a stark monetary policy divergence confirmed by a constructive chart formation.
📰 Fundamental Analysis: The core of this trade is the widening policy gap between the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). While the BoJ is only just beginning to exit its ultra-loose monetary policy, the global environment points toward continued JPY weakness. The upcoming high-impact US news will act as a major catalyst. A "risk-on" reaction to the data would significantly weaken the JPY, providing a strong tailwind for this trade.
📊 Technical Analysis: The chart structure for EUR/JPY is decidedly bullish. The pair has established a clear uptrend, and recent price action indicates a period of healthy consolidation above key support levels. This presents a strategic entry point, as the market appears to be gathering momentum for the next leg higher. The current setup suggests a low-risk entry into a well-defined upward trend.
🧠 The Trade Plan: Based on this synthesis, we are executing a precise trade with a favorable risk profile.
👉 Entry: 172.422
⛔️ Stop Loss: 171.292
🎯 Take Profit: 174.684
⚖️ Risk/Reward: 1:2
EUR/GBP: Bullish Stance Above 0.8640This signal outlines a tactical long entry on EUR/GBP, positioning for a bullish resolution from today's major fundamental events.
📰 Fundamental Thesis
This position is taken ahead of the two primary market movers: the ECB rate decision and the UK PMI data. The core thesis is that the ECB policy statement will be the dominant catalyst, providing strength to EUR that will outweigh the impact of the UK data release.
📊 Technical Thesis
The trade is defined by a sound technical structure. The stop loss is anchored beneath the critical support zone at 0.8640. The profit target is set to challenge the resistance area just above 0.8722. This setup offers a favorable and clearly defined risk-to-reward profile.
🧠 Risk Management
Execution is timed before extreme event-driven volatility. Adherence to the stop loss is critical to manage the inherent risk of this pre-news strategy.
Trade Parameters
⬆️ Direction: Long (Buy)
➡️ Entry: 0.86690
⛔️ Stop Loss: 0.86344
🎯 Target: 0.87382
✅ Risk/Reward: 1:2
Euro Futures (6E) – Bearish Drift Below ResistanceEuro Futures (6E) appears to be grinding lower showing clear signs of fading bullish momentum.
After a bounce off 1.16160 support on July 17, Euro Futures (6E) made a failed push into 1.17995 resistance on Tuesday, July 22, a level that’s acted as a firm ceiling since June 26.
Since then, price action has been in a descending broadening channel, often a precursor to further downside with expanding volatility as sellers control the tempo.
As of 5:20 AM GMT, the structure points to continued weakness. I expect 6E to settle around 1.17170 – 1.16990 by close of Wednesday, July 23, 2025.
📉 Bias: Bearish
🔍 Pattern: Broadening Descending Channel
🕒 Date: July 23, 2025