EURUSD Pull BAck - Long term Target 1.200Looking for the pull to prior day lows. Long term target for EURUSD 1.200.
Eurusd-3
EURUSD Soars Beyond 1.17, Eyeing 2021 Highs on DXY DrawdownAs EUR/USD breaks further above the upper boundary of a 17-year descending channel, U.S. dollar dominance over the pair appears to be fading, leaving room for long-term upside potential.
The pair has now reached levels last seen in September 2021 near 1.1750. A decisive close above this level could extend gains toward the 1.20 mark, aligned with the 2021 peaks.
On the downside, a close back below the 1.1570 support may trigger a pullback toward 1.14 and 1.13 before a potential bullish continuation. If that fails, the upper boundary of the former channel could be retested at 1.11 and 1.10.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 26, 2025 EURUSDThe EUR/USD pair continues to rise to 1.16800 during Thursday's Asian session. The US dollar (USD) is weakening against the euro (EUR) as investors worry about the future independence of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Final data on US GDP growth for the first quarter will be in focus later on Thursday.
US President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that he is considering three or four potential candidates to replace Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. According to the Wall Street Journal, Trump may consider former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh, National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett, and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. Other candidates include former World Bank President David Malpass and Fed Governor Christopher Waller.
This raises questions about a potential weakening of the Fed's independence and a possible decline in its authority, which undermines the dollar and creates favorable conditions for the major currency pair.
Across the Atlantic, European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers are concerned about the economic outlook due to Trump's tariff policy and geopolitical risks. Earlier this week, ECB policymaker François Villeroy de Galhau said that despite current conditions, further rate cuts are still possible. Statements by ECB policymakers may put pressure on the single currency in the near term.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.16750, SL 1.16300, TP 1.17500
EUR/USD Nears 1.1620 Before Powell’s TestimonyEUR/USD edged up to 1.1615 in early European trading on Wednesday, supported by improved risk sentiment after Israel and Iran signaled an end to their air conflict. The truce, backed by pressure from President Trump, increased appetite for risk assets, favoring the euro over the dollar.
All eyes are now on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who reiterated on Tuesday that monetary policy will remain data-driven. However, comments from Kansas City Fed President Schmid hinted at caution due to tariff-driven inflation. While markets expect a rate cut in September, July odds have edged slightly higher.
Resistance is at 1.1630, while support is at 1.1530.
Sell EURUSDI'm analyzing EURUSD, and on the 4-hour timeframe, the overall market is in an uptrend. In the 1-hour timeframe, a minor downtrend has been broken, and the price looks like it is showing reversal pattern and if the market breaks that reversal trend then I will look for sell till that red line.
If the market run as per my analysis then I will look for buy along with overall trend after sell.
EUR/USD 4-Hour Chart Analysis (ONDA)Euro/US Dollar (EUR/USD) exchange rate over a 4-hour interval, sourced from ONDA. The current rate is 1.16177, reflecting a 0.08% increase (+0.00093). The chart highlights a recent upward trend, with a resistance level around 1.16746 and a support zone between 1.15439 and 1.16000, as indicated by the shaded areas. The time frame covers late June to early July 2025.
Euro can drop from wedge, breaking support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The price previously started a confident upward movement, breaking out from the buyer zone around 1.1075 and forming an upward wedge pattern. As the trend continued, EUR pushed through the support area and traded inside the wedge, showing multiple bounces from the support line. Eventually, the pair reached the resistance line at the top of the wedge and then reversed. After a short correction, it tried to rebound again but failed to create a new high. The market then pulled back into the support area 1.1455 - 1.1410 and is now testing that level once more. Currently, the Euro is trading just above the support area, and we may see a short-term rebound from here. However, given the overall structure, I expect the price to break the support level and exit the wedge pattern to the downside. In my opinion, this breakout will initiate a strong bearish wave, targeting the 1.1250 points, which is where I’ve set my TP 1. Given the pattern structure, recent lower highs, and the weakening bullish momentum, I remain bearish and anticipate further decline once support is broken. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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EURUSD A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1609
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.1532
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD Short Part IIEURUSD Analysis
On EURUSD daily chart from CMC Markets quota, indicates a bullish trend with a symmetrical triangle pattern forming. The price has recently broken above a key resistance level, suggesting potential for continued upward movement.
Key Price Levels
Current Price: 1.16932
Stop Loss (SL): 1.16549
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 1.12003
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 1.09318
Trend Analysis
EURUSD shows clear signs on an ascending trend supported by higher lows and higher highs since early 2025. Both orange trend-lines which I created form a symmetrical triangle, with the price nearing the apex, hinting at a potential breakout or reversal which I have been looking for a reversal bearish breakout.
The upward momentum is strong, but the proximity to the upper trend-line and set take-profit levels indicates preparation for a possible correction. I still believe in shorts on EURUSD.
Conclusion
Traders and investors should monitor the price action near the triangle apex for breakout confirmation. The set stop loss and take-profit levels provide a structured approach to managing the trade, balancing potential gains with risk mitigation. Stay tuned for more updates on the trade.
EURUSD Sell/ShortFundamental Analysis
EURUSD rates is being influenced by the current Eurozone's economic performance, driven by key economies like Germany and France, continues to be shaped by industrial output, consumer confidence, and inflation trends. The European Central Bank (ECB) has likely maintained a cautious monetary policy, with interest rates possibly held steady or adjusted slightly to combat inflation while supporting growth. On the U.S. side, the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates, potentially in a tightening phase to address persistent inflation plays a critical role. Recent U.S. economic data, including GDP growth, employment figures, and consumer spending, may indicate a robust dollar, putting downward pressure on EURUSD. Additionally, geopolitical tensions, energy prices (affecting Eurozone energy imports), and trade balances between the U.S. and EU are likely contributing to volatility. Given the current date, recent ECB and Fed statements or data releases for June 2025 inflation reports.
Technical Analysis:
Based on the provided EURUSD 1D chart (covering mid-2024 to mid-2025), the following technical observations can be made:
Trend and Moving Averages:
For EURUSD it shows a descending trend from a peak around 1.48 in mid-2024, with a potential reversal or consolidation forming in mid-2025. The 50-day and 200-day moving averages (depicted as orange lines) are sloping downward, with the price recently testing these levels around 1.12-1.13. A break above the shorter-term moving average could signal bullish momentum, while a failure to hold might confirm a continuation of the downtrend. Looking for key support levels here are identified at 1.09318 (TP 2) and 1.08000, with the current price hovering near 1.12003 (TP 1). Resistance is notable at 1.15625 (SL) and the previous high near 1.4800. The price action suggests a potential bounce from the recent low, with the next target being the resistance zone around 1.15625 if bullish momentum persists. Candlesticks and volume patterns are showing a recent green candlesticks indicate buying pressure, potentially forming a reversal pattern near the 1.12 level. Volume analysis would confirm the strength of this move, with higher volume on upticks supporting a breakout.
Overall Bias:
The technical setup suggests a short-term bullish correction within a broader bearish trend, contingent on breaking and holding above 1.15625. A drop below 1.09318 would invalidate the bullish case and resume the downtrend toward 1.08000 or lower.
Sentiment Analysis
Market sentiment as of June 2025 likely reflects heightened interest in EUR/USD due to recent economic data and central bank policies. Traders and analysts are closely watching for signs of ECB rate cuts or Fed rate hikes, which could sway the pair. On social platforms and financial forums, there may be a mix of caution and optimism looking out for caution due to the Eurozone's economic challenges (energy costs, political uncertainty), and optimism if U.S. data softens, weakening the dollar. The chart's visibility on trading platforms suggests retail and institutional traders are actively monitoring this pair, with a focus on the 1.12-1.16 range as a critical decision point. Sentiment could shift rapidly based on upcoming economic releases or geopolitical developments.
Conclusion
The EUR/USD pair is at a pivotal juncture, with fundamentals pointing to a stronger USD due to Fed policy, while from a technical standpoint suggest a short-term bounce toward 1.15625 if support at 1.12003 holds. Sentiment indicates active trader interest, with eyes on central bank moves. A break above resistance could target 1.4800 (long-term), while a failure might see a decline to 1.08000. Monitor upcoming data for confirmation.
EUR/USD Hits Weekly High as Ceasefire Weakens DollarEUR/USD climbed to a fresh weekly high near 1.1610 during late Asian trading on Tuesday, boosted by a sharp sell-off in the US Dollar following the announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran by President Donald Trump. The truce improved market risk appetite and dampened demand for traditional safe havens like the US Dollar. As a result, the US Dollar Index (DXY) dropped steeply from Monday’s two-week high of 99.42 to around 98.10.
The dollar also came under pressure from shifting expectations around Fed policy. On Monday, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman signaled support for a potential rate cut as early as the July meeting, citing rising concerns over the labor market. “We should put more weight on downside risks to the job market,” she stated, adding that it's time to consider adjusting the policy rate.
Her dovish tone nudged up expectations for a July rate cut, with CME FedWatch data showing the probability rising from 14.5% on Friday to 22.7%.
In the Eurozone, ECB officials expressed concerns over the region’s economic outlook, particularly considering new US tariff policies. President Christine Lagarde, in remarks to the European Parliament, warned that inflation staying near the 2% target is uncertain and noted that survey data points to “some weaker prospects for economic activity in the near term.” She added that risks to growth remain “tilted to the downside.”
Resistance is located at 1.1630, while support is seen at 1.1530.
EURUSD - Shifting from Bearish to Bullish Soon!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈EURUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising wedge marked in blue.
Moreover, the orange zone is a strong support!
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD Bullish flag breakout at 1.1525Trend Overview:
The EUR/USD currency pair maintains a bullish sentiment, supported by a sustained rising trend. Recent intraday price action shows a bullish flag breakout, a continuation pattern that typically signals further upside potential.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support:
1.1525 – critical former consolidation zone and breakout base
Below that: 1.1440 and 1.1360 as deeper retracement targets
Resistance:
Initial target: 1.1700
Further resistance at: 1.1740 and 1.1780
Scenarios:
Bullish Continuation:
A retest and hold of the 1.1525 support would confirm strength post-breakout
Could trigger renewed buying toward 1.1700, then 1.1740 and 1.1780
Bearish Reversal:
A daily close below 1.1525 would invalidate the bullish flag
Opens the path for a deeper correction toward 1.1440 and 1.1360
Conclusion:
EUR/USD remains technically bullish following the flag breakout, with upside momentum favoured above 1.1525. Traders should watch for price action near this key level — holding it supports a bullish continuation, while a breakdown may trigger a short-term bearish correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the resistance level📊 Technical Analysis
● Price has spiked into the confluence of the long-term channel roof (≈1.1615) and a steeper resistance line, printing a rejection candle and bearish divergence on the 1 h RSI.
● The move leaves a lower high versus 13 Jun and snaps the micro up-sloper; a slide back inside the grey 1.1560-1.1520 supply should accelerate toward the mid-June swing floor at 1.1490.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Hotter US S&P-global PMIs rekindled Fed “higher-for-longer” chatter, lifting two-year yields and the DXY, while French election uncertainty widens Bund-Treasury spreads—both pressuring EUR.
✨ Summary
Fade rallies 1.1580-1.1610; sustained trade beneath 1.1560 targets 1.1520 ➜ 1.1490. Bearish view void on an hourly close above 1.1630.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD growth in the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● The chart for EURUSD, as indicated in the upper right corner, displays a classic descending wedge pattern, which is typically a bullish reversal signal. Price action has respected the wedge’s lower boundary multiple times, forming a series of higher lows while sellers failed to push the pair below the 1.0670 support zone. The most recent candles show a decisive breakout above the wedge’s upper trendline, accompanied by increased volume, suggesting that buyers are regaining control. This breakout is further validated by the RSI indicator, which has moved out of oversold territory and is now trending upward, confirming the shift in momentum.
● The technical setup is reinforced by the presence of a horizontal resistance level at 1.0750, which has acted as a magnet for price in previous attempts. The chart also highlights a bullish engulfing pattern on the daily timeframe, signaling strong demand and a potential continuation toward the next resistance at 1.0820. The moving averages are beginning to converge, with the shorter-term MA crossing above the longer-term MA, a classic bullish crossover that often precedes sustained upward movement. These factors collectively point to a high-probability scenario for further gains in the EURUSD pair.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Recent fundamental developments support the bullish technical outlook. Over the past two days, the Federal Reserve has maintained its policy rate, but forward guidance has hinted at a possible rate cut later this year, which has weighed on the US dollar. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank has adopted a more cautious stance, with the probability of a near-term rate cut decreasing as inflation data remains sticky in the eurozone. Additionally, easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and stable US retail sales have reduced safe-haven demand for the dollar, further supporting the euro’s advance.
✨ Summary
● A confirmed breakout above the descending wedge and bullish momentum indicators suggest a long entry on EURUSD above 1.0750, targeting 1.0820. The bullish scenario remains valid as long as price holds above the 1.0670 support. A close below this level would invalidate the setup and call for a reassessment of the trend.
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EURUSD Potential Topping ActionTaking a look at the 4hr chart, RSI is showing signs that the bullish momentum is starting to fade with the bearish divergence. In the event we get a 4hr candle that closes below the last, I'll be looking to start scaling some short positions with this pair.
Trade Safe - Trade Well.
EURUSD Intra-day ShortEURUSD is in a long-term pivot to go short but the market is still in a accumulation phase of collecting orders and so we are still not in the position yet to commit to longer targets. We are looking at short term draw on liquidity like yesterday's NYC session and are accounting for a possible accumulation there after to the upside potentially.
EURUSD entering the Bear Zone ...Have an eye on the Orange Circle for a possible short position...
Stay tuned for the comprehensive analysis in next IDEA...
Thank you for your attention and support...
#EURUSD #MJTRADING #FOREX
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D24 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D24 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily order block
✅15' order block
✅Intraday breaks of structure
✅4H Order block
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Euro H4 | Potential reversal off a multi-swing-high resistanceThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.1609 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 1.1675 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 1.1535 which is a pullback support that aligns with a 50% Fiboancci retracement.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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EURUSD – Rejected at 1.16100, bearish pressure re-emergingEURUSD has just completed a technical rebound toward the 1.16100 resistance zone, which has previously rejected price multiple times. The current structure suggests a mild reversal, with a potential pullback toward 1.15378. A break below this support could extend the decline toward 1.14600.
Recent upside momentum came mainly from temporary USD weakness, but the greenback remains supported by expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates elevated, while Eurozone PMI data continues to disappoint.
In summary, 1.16100 remains a key resistance level. If price shows clear rejection here, EURUSD may be poised for a deeper correction in the short term.
EURUSDThis levels is for reactions to support and resistace.
Price can now in Bull-trend if keep 1.145$ in sypport and breaked trendline.
⚠️Control risk management for positions.
EURUSD Trading Strategy for the WeekEURUSD is reacting at the support zone of 1.14500. This is an important support zone that helps EURUSD continue to maintain its upward momentum. The uptrend in the h4 time frame is still strong and heading towards the peak of 1.161.
Below the support of 1.145 will be the 1.138 zone. When this 1.138 zone is broken, it confirms that a Downtrend is established. The possibility of breaking this zone is not high, so it is still possible to set BUY signals around these support zones. On the other hand, 1.153 is an important resistance zone in the near future where the pair will have a price reaction before finding the peak of last week.
Support: 1.13800
Resistance: 1.16000
Break out: 1.14600-1.15300
Recommended good trading strategy:
Trade when price confirms in Break out zone.
BUY 1.13800-1.13600 Stoploss 1.13300
SELL 1.16000-1.16200 Stoploss 1.16500
