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Eurusd-3

XAU/USD: Institutional Accumulation or New Bearish Impulse?Technical Context: The graphical analysis shows that the price of gold (XAU/USD) is currently consolidating within a significant demand zone following the recent bullish impulse. The daily chart shows an attempt to bounce off the 3,300 USD zone, a key psychological level. Volume and COT Analysis: The latest COT data (April 29, 2025) indicates a slight reduction in long positions by non-commercial operators (-18,519 contracts), balanced by an increase in commercial long positions (+1,659 contracts), signaling potential institutional accumulation. On the retail sentiment front, traders are slightly more exposed to the downside (51% short vs. 49% long), which could indicate a potential short squeeze if the price resumes an upward trend. Seasonal Trends: According to data, May historically shows mixed performances with an average of +9.83% over the last 10 years, but with significant fluctuations between longer and more recent periods. Key Levels: Resistance: 3,380 - 3,400 USD (previous distribution zone) Support: 3,300 USD (current demand zone) and 3,050 USD (secondary support) Trading Strategy: Bullish Scenario: Buy above 3,340 USD with a target at 3,400 USD and a stop loss below 3,300 USD. Bearish Scenario: Sell below 3,300 USD with a target at 3,050 USD and a stop loss above 3,340 USD.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EdgeTradingJourney
9
EURUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 1.1282, a pullback resistance. Our take profit is set at 1.1142 a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement. The stop loss is set at 1.1397, above a multi swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
EUR/USD Breakout Watch: All Eyes on 1.12700 Zone EUR/USD is showing a potential bearish setup after rejecting the strong resistance zone around 1.13800 and forming a Change of Character (ChoCh) at the 1.13100 level. The pair has bounced from the strong support zone at 1.12700 , but structure suggests that a break below this level could confirm a bearish continuation. 🔎 Technical Breakdown: - Price has respected the lower high structure and retraced to the 0.786 fib level near 1.12975. - A clear breakdown below 1.12700 support would likely trigger a wave down toward the 1.12100 expected target , which aligns with the 1.618 fib extension. - If price breaks and holds above 1.13800 resistance , this bearish setup becomes invalid. 📰 Fundamental Drivers Supporting Bearish Bias: - 🇺🇸 US Dollar Strengthening: Recent U.S. economic data including better-than-expected ISM Services PMI and non-farm payrolls continue to support a strong dollar, limiting EUR upside. - Federal Reserve Hawkish Stance: Fed officials remain cautious about rate cuts. A prolonged pause or delay in easing continues to attract capital back into USD. - 🇪🇺 Eurozone Weakness: The ECB has signaled a possible rate cut by June, supported by falling inflation and slowing growth in Germany and France. This diverging policy path weakens the Euro. Yield Spread Pressure: The widening bond yield spread between U.S. and European bonds favors USD accumulation. // As long as EUR/USD trades below 1.13800, the bias remains bearish. A confirmed breakdown below 1.12700 could open the door to 1.12100 and deeper targets like 1.11600. //
Short
by ClearTradingMind
EURUSD 30min Smart Money Long | Order Block + Discount Entry⚡ EURUSD 30m Smart Money Long | May 9, 2025 We're spotting a strong potential reversal after price melts into a clearly defined Order Block deep in the discount zone. Momentum slows, wicks reject the lows, and we’re stacked for a bullish bounce. 🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES: 📉 Sharp selloff into 1.12204 support 🧱 Bullish Order Block holding with rejection wicks 🧠 Smart Money Entry Zone marked just above 1.1219 📐 Price below 50% Fib = Discounted premium RR 🚀 TP targeting imbalance fill near 1.13204 📊 Setup Specs: Pair: EURUSD Timeframe: 30 min Entry: 1.12204 SL: ~1.12078 TP: ~1.13204 RR: Approx. 1:6+ 💡 Smart Money Logic: Big players often load longs in these deep discount zones, right before the crowd notices the shift. This zone is layered with protection: OB, liquidity sweep, and slowed momentum — textbook for a reversal. 📈 Chart Ninja Note: "Don’t chase — wait for price to come to you… in the discount, at the OB."
Long
by ChartNinjas88
EUR/USD at Make or Break Zone — Will the 200 SMA Hold the Line?EUR/USD 4H Analysis Technical Outlook — May 8, 2025 📊 Current Market Condition: EUR/USD is retesting key confluence support at 1.1220 where the ascending channel, horizontal support, and 200 SMA align. Price has closed below the 50 EMA and the Ichimoku Cloud, suggesting short-term bearish pressure — but a rebound is still possible. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: Price is respecting the lower boundary of the ascending channel 200 SMA (red) is acting as last line of defense 50 EMA (blue) crossed above price = bearish structure Stochastic near oversold = possible bullish divergence setup 🎯 Trade Setup Ideas: 📌 Setup 1 — Long Reversal at Channel + 200 SMA Support Entry: 1.1225–1.1200 (on bullish engulfing or strong wick rejection) Stop Loss: Below 1.1175 (beneath recent low and channel) Take Profit 1: 1.1325 (mid-level resistance) Take Profit 2: 1.1450 (key resistance + top of channel) Risk-Reward: Approx. 1:2.5+ Note: Wait for confirmation with a bullish 4H close or stochastic crossover before entering. 📌 Setup 2 — Bearish Breakdown & Retest Short Entry: On break and retest of 1.1200 as resistance Stop Loss: Above 1.1240 (back inside the channel) Take Profit 1: 1.1150 Take Profit 2: 1.1080 (previous consolidation zone) Risk-Reward: Approx. 1:2+ Note: Look for clean candle close below 1.1200 and rejection from underside before entering. ⚠️ Important Note: FOMC speeches or USD data could cause unexpected volatility — manage risk accordingly. If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates. Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Long
by MarketsPOV
1
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 1.1268 1st Support: 1.1088 1st Resistance: 1.1369 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Bearish drop?EUR/USD has reacted off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.1274 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Stop loss: 1.1373 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 1.1106 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
EUR/USD – Bearish Breakout ConfirmedEUR/USD has broken below a well-respected descending channel on the 2H chart, suggesting further downside is likely. 🔎 Technical Analysis: • Price rejected resistance with three clear rejections (🔴 red arrows). • Breakout below the lower channel boundary is now confirmed, signaling strong bearish momentum. • MACD shows repeated bearish crossovers (🟠 circles), supporting the trend shift. • This is no longer just a channel play — momentum suggests a deeper drop. 🎯TP1: 1.1200 🎯TP2: 1.1150 🎯TP3: 1.1100 (major support zone) 🛑 Invalidation: Strong close back above 1.1300 would neutralize the setup and indicate a possible false breakout. 💡 Look for a retest of the broken trendline as resistance for potential re-entry.
Long
by FinanceProSignals
"DXY is building a textbook bullish flag — here’s exactly where For Traders (technical + confident) DXY bulls gearing up for a double-leg rally” 1. Context & Market Structure: After a sharp impulsive drop (green falling wedge), DXY has begun corrective accumulation in an ascending channel. Current price 99.531 is consolidating inside a broadening bullish flag pattern. Key Zones: Major supply zone: 100.500 – 101.000 (highlighted yellow box) Short-term resistance: 99.700 Short-term support: 98.8Projected Path (2 bullish legs): First push (red path): Minor pullback → break to ~100.100 Second push (blue path): Consolidation → breakout towards 100.500–101.000 (target zone) 00–98.500 Bias: Short-term bullish → Targeting supply zone around 100.5–101.0 Invalidation level: Clear break below 98.500 (would negate bullish setup) > Trade Idea: Buy on dips within the ascending flag, targeting 100.100 and 100.500 Watch reaction near supply zone for possible reversal or continuation
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by Greenfireforex
The next EUR/USD move could pay twice”Current Price Structure: Price is forming a potential Head & Shoulders / distribution near resistance (blue + red zone). There is a clear supply zone overhead around 1.14255–1.14496. Key demand zone (yellow box) 1.12274–1.11800. 3. Potential Trade Ideas (2 setups): First short from the current resistance (blue box), aiming towards yellow demand zone. Second opportunity: After a potential bounce → re-test of lower highs (blue box again) → another short towards demand zone (confluence short twice). 4. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.14255 – 1.14496 Support: 1.12274 – 1.11800 Current price: 1.13115 5. Bias: Short-term bearish towards 1.1227 zone. Wait for confirmation with structure breaks and lower highs.
Short
by Greenfireforex
Euro may correct to support area and then start to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at this chart, we can see how price has been confidently trending within an upward channel, supported by strong impulses and consistent demand from the lower boundary. The price initially rebounded from the buyer zone, which later became the launchpad for a major upward move. After breaking the resistance line of the channel, the Euro made a clean breakout and confirmed its strength with a retest from above, a clear sign of bullish continuation. This upward momentum carried price directly into the support area, which has since served as a key zone for consolidations. The market then shifted into a horizontal range, trading within well-defined boundaries, with repeated rejections near the top and steady rebounds from the bottom support. What’s crucial now is that the Euro is again testing the lower border of this range while holding above the current support level at 1.1270. Given this structure, a strong preceding trend, clean reaction at the bottom of the range, and ongoing consolidation without deeper breakdowns, I expect the price to rebound from this zone and continue higher. My TP1 is set at 1.1575, the upper boundary of the current range, which remains a logical magnet for price in the short term. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
5
Weekly Forecasts UPDATES! ALL Markets Analyzed! Stocks & FOREXIn this Weekly Forecast UPDATE, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Metals futures, and the FOREX Majors for Thursday, May 8th. The targets set in last weekend's forecasts are still in play! Trade accordingly. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME:6J1!
by RT_Money
2
BTC – Liquidity Sweep, Fair Value Gap Reactions & Potential LongMarket context and structure This BTCUSDT 1-hour chart from BYBIT illustrates a methodical transition from a phase of consolidation to bullish expansion, guided by smart money principles. Price initially consolidates beneath a well-defined resistance level, with an Imbalance Fair Value Gap (IFVG) forming inside the range. This IFVG signals an inefficient zone where institutional players may be positioned. The eventual breakout above this range indicates a structural shift and the beginning of a directional move, setting the stage for further bullish development. Break of structure and liquidity sweep Following the breakout, BTC sweeps the buy-side liquidity resting above a prior swing high. This liquidity grab is a common maneuver in smart money trading, designed to trigger stop orders and breakout entries to facilitate larger institutional fills. The aggressive price movement results in the creation of several Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), which are regions where price moved with such momentum that no overlap between candles occurred. These FVGs are crucial areas of interest where future re-entries or continuations might originate. Fair value gaps and demand zones The chart highlights multiple FVGs formed during the bullish impulse. The uppermost FVG, located just below the most recent liquidity sweep, acts as a shallow retracement zone and has already been partially mitigated. A mid-range FVG extends further down, providing a secondary support layer within the current price structure. The largest and deepest FVG lies closer to the breakout origin and represents a significant unfilled demand zone. These FVGs help to outline institutional footprints, revealing where unfulfilled orders may still reside and where price might return to rebalance. Re-entry strategy and projection An ideal re-entry area is labeled “Entry at IFVG,” situated near the recently swept liquidity. The projection suggests that price may retrace slightly into this IFVG, consolidate, and then continue its upward trajectory. This anticipated movement reflects a bullish continuation pattern rooted in the idea of reaccumulation, where price revisits areas of imbalance before pushing higher. The visual path drawn on the chart captures this idea, showing a measured retracement followed by a continuation of the trend. Interpretation and tactical bias The overall structure and price behavior support a smart money-based bullish outlook. The clean break of structure, the successful sweep of liquidity, and the presence of multiple fair value gaps provide a foundation for continued upside potential. Price respecting these imbalance zones on pullbacks reinforces demand and highlights ongoing institutional involvement. This setup encourages a patient, context-aware approach to trading, focusing on inefficiencies, order flow, and the narrative of price rather than arbitrary indicators.
Long
by Louigi_24
33
EURUSD Will Fall! Short! Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.136. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.132 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
EUR/USD Elliott Wave Forecast: Preparing for Wave 5 RallyIn the daily timeframe of EUR/USD, the third wave of the larger Elliott Wave structure appears to have been completed. Within this third wave, we can also observe that the subwave 3 of wave 3 has concluded, and currently, Wave 4 is unfolding. Wave 4 is presently developing and is likely to retrace toward the 1.10683 level or potentially form a supportive close above it. This zone corresponds to both the subwave 4 of Wave 3 and the main Wave 4 correction, which indicates a critical area of confluence and potential completion of the corrective structure. Once Wave 4 is confirmed to be complete near this region, the chart suggests that we may enter the beginning of Wave 5, providing a favorable long trade opportunity. Entry Trigger: Sustained price above 1.10719 First Target: 1.12900 Second Target: 1.13837 Stop-Loss: 1.09518 (below the corrective Wave 4 low to protect the setup)
by Money_Dictators
GBPJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPJPY is currently trading near 192.100 and has successfully broken out of a falling wedge pattern on the 12-hour chart. This classic bullish reversal structure indicates that buyers have regained control, with momentum building for a potential move toward the 197.400 target area. The breakout candle is strong and well-formed, confirming upside interest after a period of consolidation and price compression. Fundamentally, the Japanese yen remains under pressure due to the Bank of Japan’s continued ultra-loose monetary policy, while the pound is gaining support ahead of this week's Bank of England rate decision. Traders are pricing in cautious optimism from the BOE as inflation persists, which adds strength to GBP. The divergence in policy stance between the BOE and BOJ creates a favorable environment for GBPJPY bulls. Technically, the falling wedge breakout is happening in line with higher lows and sustained buying volume. The 190.000 region served as a strong support base, and the breakout above wedge resistance around 191.800 now turns that area into support. The next key resistance sits at 195.000, with potential extension toward the psychological zone of 197.400. This setup aligns with a trend continuation following the recent impulsive wave, and the risk-reward profile remains attractive for swing buyers. As long as GBPJPY holds above 190.800, the upside thesis remains valid. Keep an eye on UK rate sentiment and BOJ updates to support this technical play.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
4
Euro Strengthens on Political ShiftsEUR/USD traded just above 1.1300 on Thursday, staying in a tight range as reduced political uncertainty in Europe and a softer U.S. dollar offered mixed cues. The euro was supported by news of Friedrich Merz becoming Germany’s chancellor, while the dollar struggled despite a hawkish Fed pause, as Powell flagged tariff-related risks. Traders are focused on Trump’s press conference at 14:00 GMT and U.S. jobless claims for near-term direction. Resistance is seen at 1.1460, with higher levels at 1.1580 and 1.1680. Support lies at 1.1260, followed by 1.1200 and 1.1150.
by ChartMage
Range-Bound EUR/USD: Sell Setup Pending Dollar StrengthI'm currently watching the EUR/USD currency pair, and it appears to be under pressure while trading within a range 📉. If you check out the chart in the video 📊, you’ll see what I mean. I’m on the lookout for a potential sell opportunity, but only if the upcoming data release signals strength for the US dollar 💵. In that case, I’d be watching for a break and retest of the current range low—(BoS). My targets would be set two levels below, aiming to close the position by the end of the New York session 🗽. Please note, this is not financial advice! 🚫
Short
by fxtraderanthony
CadChf daily bias confirmedGood day traders, I’m back with CadChf but this one is special cause it provides us a clean setup where I will get an opportunity to explain some of ICT concepts that I look for and have made me the trader I am today but I’m not here to talk about Michael!! Just his thoughts behind this type of setup. Well my excitement is that this setup is happening on the daily timeframe so hopefully it’ll be much more understandable. First let’s start with some tape reading on the left hand side we can see that price has been bearish and have reason to believe that price has bottomed as we can see that price left a low only to later take out creating a new one than made a run higher shifting structure on the lower TF’s but here on the daily what price did was leave the first presented FVG which you can see on the chart I have marked it. Back to the tape, if you take a closer look at that F.PFVG you’ll see that price only touch the upper quarter of the level and price made a move higher. Here why I said this one was special👂 ICT teaches how to look at price from a naked eye just by dividing gaps, FVG and OB’s and more.. by 4 quarters and FIB retrace works wonders here 0,25,50,75,100. 50 being the midpoint. Price from experience since paying attention to details always comes for the F.PFVG midpoint ATLEAST!🔊 If you look at the chart again you’ll see a red arrow pointing to that wick’cosidered a gap’, now if we consider that wick a gap than we gonna treat it as one. If you take you FIB and get the levels you’ll see price was a few pips shy of the midpoint of that gap!!👂 Our narrative than becomes…we wanna see price reach the midpoint of that wick considered a gap. Than we gonna shoot down if we can just get to that midpoint 🤞🏾 Because we cannot I repeat we cannot trust price, we can expect it to disrespect that buyside but not close higher 🛑✋, our draw on liquidity is the one below. Please study this setup carefully 🙏🏽🙏🏽
Short
by FxPipMaster_TebohoMatla