GbpAud now the “buyers” are within!Good day traders, we back with GBPAUD but before I go into it. Last week I took loss because I was buying GBPAUD but I lately found out I was way too early and my narrative has not changed at all.
1D- Daily TF we have a bearish structure and we know that once price shifts structure we want price to retest Atleast till the 0.705 of the OTE fib level to later continue to the Sellside liquidity.
4H- On this respective TF we are also in a bearish structure but I believe not for long because on the lower TF the shift higher has materialised, giving confirmation that we can start positioning ourselves for the up movement.
1H- ICT has a entry model(F.PFVG), on the hourly we saw prices giving back all of yesterday’s gains till it reach that level of first presented FVG and that’s what we gonna use as the level of interest.
Eurusd-3
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1424
1st Support: 1.1268
1st Resistance: 1.1484
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XAU/USD: Gold Eyes $3400+ After Explosive Surge! (READ CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that price once again hit our targets! As expected, gold had a strong bullish rally yesterday and today, reaching both $3328 and $3345, and even extending to $3387.
This surge was fueled by escalating tensions in the Middle East, particularly between Israel and Yemen. Since the conflict shows no signs of easing and further threats remain on the table, I believe gold is not done yet — we may soon see it push above $3400.
These are sensitive days, so please be extra cautious with your trades. Don’t let fear or greed take over — consistency and emotional stability are key to long-term success in this market.
I’ll continue posting more frequent updates to help you stay informed — but that depends on your strong support! Let’s keep growing together!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
They Were 84% Short — Here's What Happened Next on GBPAUDThis is not just a simple breakout — this is what happens when data, price action, and psychology align with surgical precision.
Today, we entered a long position on GBPAUD directly from a well-defined weekly demand zone. The setup was already technically solid, but what made it exceptional was the alignment of multiple institutional-grade factors:
✅ Weekly demand zone respected to the pip, with proven historical sensitivity
✅ Change of structure on the H1 chart, confirming a short-term reversal from a deeply discounted area
✅ COT data showing a clear build-up of commercial long positions on the British pound
✅ AUD net positioning deep in negative territory, with declining open interest and no signs of reversal
✅ Retail sentiment: 84% of traders short on GBPAUD according to MyFxBook → strong contrarian signal
✅ Seasonality: GBP tends to outperform AUD during May and June
The result? A rapid and aggressive bullish impulse that allowed us to move the stop loss to break-even just a few hours after entry.
📌 Current trade status:
➤ Long from the demand zone
➤ SL at BE = zero risk
➤ Monitoring price action above 2.07 for potential continuation
🎯 Mid-term target zone: 2.1150–2.1300, with focus on liquidity clusters and previous inefficiencies as potential magnets.
This is how you build trades that are not just reactive, but proactive — based on multiple layers of confluence and edge, not on emotions or noise.
Analysis of the Latest SignalsThe market expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in May, and there is uncertainty about the future path of rate cuts. In contrast, the European Central Bank's monetary policy is gradually tightening, leading the market to expect that the euro has room for appreciation in the future. This difference in monetary policy expectations has driven the rise in the euro - dollar exchange rate. Technically, it is necessary to pay attention to the resistance level of the euro - dollar exchange rate near 1.16 and the support level near 1.12. If the 1.16 resistance level can be broken through, the euro - dollar exchange rate is likely to continue to rise. Conversely, if it falls back due to resistance, the effectiveness of the 1.12 support level needs to be observed.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
WHAT DO YOU THINK ?Hello dears
Given the regular sinusoidal trend that gold is taking, it was expected to move to the specified numbers, but don't forget that we are at a price ceiling and a sharp upward movement at the end of the upward trend can be a trap...
In case of a drop, the specified ranges are good support.
*Trade safely with us*
2 out of 2? gBPcAd..iT’s tIMe yET?1D- Daily timeframe we saw price break structure lower but after the break price did not move lower in fact we saw it retracing.
4H- Here price agreed with the daily by breaking structure higher to go take the liquidity(Internal) resting higher, if we take a closer look at the leg that broke structure higher we can than identify imbalances in price and as ICT mentions price looks for two things 1. liquidity and 2. Imbalances. Right now our focus is price balancing before going for the buyside.
EURUSD Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.1340 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.1315
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD: Great Trading Opportunity
EURUSD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long EURUSD
Entry Point - 1.1326
Stop Loss - 1.1285
Take Profit - 1.1402
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Usdcad PWL?!Good day traders, we back with USDCAD on the 4h TF. Well for this setup I am looking for price to take out out previous week low, previous week we had a candle stick pattern recognition after we saw price move lower but failing to close lower told a different story that price is not yet ready to start moving higher which honestly speaking was my bias last week. For the rest of the day I believe we can expect lower prices to close the day.
EURUSD INTRADAY bullish consolidation supported at 1.1240Trend Overview: The EUR/USD currency pair remains in a bullish trend, supported by a prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action suggests a sideways consolidation (coiling price action) possibly triggering a corrective pullback towards a newly formed support zone, previously a resistance level.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Levels:
1.1240 – Previous resistance turned support, key level for potential bounce.
1.1144 – Secondary support level if 1.1240 fails.
1.1000 and 1.0890 – Stronger support in case of extended retracement.
Resistance Levels:
1.1475 – Initial resistance level on the upside.
1.1595 – Next target if bullish momentum continues.
1.1700 and 1.1830 – Long-term resistance and key breakout point.
Market Sentiment & Price Action: The recent corrective pullback aligns with normal market fluctuations within an uptrend. A bullish bounce from the 1.1240 support level could trigger an upside move, targeting the 1.1475 resistance level and potentially extending towards 1.1595 and 1.1700 – 1.1830 over a longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 1.1240 support, accompanied by a daily close below this level, would weaken the bullish outlook. This could lead to further downside pressure, potentially testing the 1.1144 level, with an extended decline towards 1.1000 and 1.0890 if selling pressure intensifies.
Conclusion: The EUR/USD pair remains in a bullish structure as long as the 1.1240 support holds. A successful bounce from this level would reinforce the uptrend, targeting higher resistance zones. However, a decisive break below 1.1240 and a daily close under this level could shift sentiment bearish, leading to further downside retracement.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Euro Pressured Ahead of Fed DecisionThe euro is trading around $1.1315 on Tuesday, pressured by a stronger U.S. dollar ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision, where rates are expected to remain unchanged. However, the dollar still faces headwinds from doubts over its safe-haven appeal and President Trump’s unpredictable tariff stance. A dovish Fed or continued skepticism toward the dollar may limit euro losses.
Resistance levels are seen at 1.1460, then 1.1580 and 1.1680, while support rests at 1.1260, followed by 1.1200 and 1.1150.
Euro H4 | Pullback resistance at 50% Fibonacci retracementThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.1426 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.1583 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 1.1274 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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EUR/USD Rejected at Resistance – Bearish Setup in Motion!Timeframe: 15-Minute (M15)
Designed for short-term or intraday trades.
Entry Zone (Short):
Price is reacting to a fresh supply zone around 1.13260–1.13280.
Stop Loss:
Just above the supply zone, near 1.13280 (tight SL setup).
Bearish Reaction:
Price rejected resistance with a wick and bearish body — strong confirmation of selling pressure.
Target Zone (Demand):
A wide green demand area is marked at 1.12810–1.12830, providing a solid take-profit level.
Structure Bias:
Current formation shows lower highs and clear resistance respect — indicating bearish momentum.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
Strong RRR (more than 2:1) – minimal risk for decent reward.
GOLD - Smart Money Selling, Retail Chasing Longs📉 Technical Context:
Price has reacted precisely to the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci retracement zone between 3,386–3,442 USD, aligning with a clear weekly supply zone and imbalance. The current market structure suggests a potential lower high, with the first target around 3,060 USD, and the second near 2,880–2,900 USD demand.
🧠 COT Report (as of April 29, 2025):
Non-Commercials (speculators) cut 18,519 long contracts, signaling waning bullish conviction.
Commercials (hedgers) increased shorts by +9,848 contracts, maintaining a bearish contrarian stance.
📊 Retail Sentiment (MyFxBook):
65% of retail traders are short from 3,062, while 35% are long from 3,184 — ideal environment for a bull trap before reversal.
📅 Seasonality (Market Bulls):
May is historically weak:
10Y: -9.98%
5Y: -12.21%
Strength historically returns in June/July → a correction before continuation is likely.
✅ Conclusion:
Technical structure, macro context, and positioning all align for a high-probability short.
📍 Entry Zone: 3,420–3,440
🔒 Stop: Above ATH (3,500)
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 3,060
TP2: 2,900
Bullish Breakout from Falling WedgeThe euro/dollar exchange rate rose slightly to around 1.1320 during the European trading session, rebounding approximately 0.5% from the previous week's low of 1.126*. The US Dollar Index (DXY) declined simultaneously to 99.80, but still remains within the recent oscillation range.
1.1300 has become a key short - term support level. If it is broken, the exchange rate may decline to 1.12 or 1.11. The resistance above is in the range of 1.1450 - 1.1500.
The Trump administration's announcement of a 100% tariff on imported movies has exacerbated concerns about trade protectionism. Coupled with the market waiting for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision, the demand for the US dollar has been suppressed.
In the eurozone, the core HICP rose to 2.7% year - on - year in April (expected 2.5%), and the overall HICP reached 2.2% (expected 2.1%). However, the market still expects the European Central Bank (ECB) to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in June.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
GOLD H1 / 3285 USD & 3155 USD key BUY/SELL Levels🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update
📊 Technical Outlook Update
🏆 Market Overview
▪️correction in progress
▪️3285 USD overhead resistance
▪️Multiple waves of selling in progress
▪️Rejection at 3500 USD key S/R
▪️3155 USD logical next target short-term
▪️flagging on lower timeframe
▪️waves of profit taking pulling prices down
▪️3285 USD a good level to SHORT
▪️3145/3155 USD will be targeted by BEARS
▪️BULLS wait to BUY/HOLD low later
▪️Once the pullback/correction is over
📊 Gold Market Summary – May 5, 2025
🟡 Current Price: $3,266.20 (+0.82%)
📉 Weekly Close: $3,247.40 (flat for the week after sharp swings)
🇺🇸 US Jobs Data: 177K jobs added in April, earnings growth slowed to 0.2%. Market now watching Fed for rate cut signals.
🏦Fed Outlook: Mixed data fuels speculation on policy shift. Analysts see gold’s pullback as a new buying opportunity.
🌏Asian Demand: China and India remain key forces in price direction, alternating as major buyers.
📦Tariff Watch: Ongoing U.S.-China trade tension continues to weigh on risk sentiment, keeping gold in play.
🛑Geopolitics: No major updates on Iran-U.S. talks, India-Pakistan, or Russia-Ukraine ceasefire yet. These remain key risk triggers.
📈 Market Sentiment: Despite volatility, investor outlook stays bullish. Analysts eye mid-term targets above $4,000 if conditions align.
EURUSD | Head‑&‑Shoulders on the Brink – Bears Eye 1.1250📉 Trade Thesis
A textbook Head‑and‑Shoulders has completed on the 30‑min EURUSD chart. Price is now testing the rising neckline drawn from mid‑April swing lows. A clean close and retest beneath that trendline opens room toward the next demand shelf and the lower boundary of the broader ascending channel.
🎯 Execution Plan
Entry: wait for a decisive candle close below the neckline, then look to short on a minor pull‑back into that broken support.
Stop: just above the right‑shoulder high to keep risk tight.
Target: the measured‑move objective sits near the channel median/support cluster highlighted on the chart; scale out as price approaches that zone.
🧩 Confluence Factors
Momentum loss: RSI made a lower peak on the “head” versus the prior thrust, signalling fading upside energy.
Event risk: upcoming NFP/ISM releases may fuel USD volatility, providing the catalyst for a break.
Structure: the right shoulder’s supply shelf has capped every rally since late April, reinforcing bearish pressure.
⚠️ Risk Management
Macro data can produce whipsaws—size positions accordingly and stick to the plan. Move stops to breakeven once price pushes convincingly away from the neckline.
For educational purposes only. Trade your own strategy & manage risk.
EURO - Price can rise to top part of flat from support areaHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago, price entered to wedge, where it bounced from support line and rose to $1.0860 level, breaking $1.0470 level.
Then price broke $1.0860 level too, but then it made correction to support line of wedge and then made upward impulse.
Euro exited from wedge and continued to grow to $1.1260 level, after which broke this level and started to trades in flat.
Inside flat, price rose to top part of flat and then made correction to support area, where it some time traded close.
At the moment, Euro trades inside support area, near support level, so, I think that price can correct to $1.1260 level.
After this movement, in my mind, EUR can start to grow to $1.1570 top part of the flat.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
EURUSD Channel Up favors buying but keep an eye on this.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the February 28 Low and its current Bearish Leg almost reached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. That is where the previous Bearish Leg made a Higher Low (March 27) and rebounded.
This keeps for now the bullish trend intact and it will remain so for as long as the price remains within the Channel Up. The short-term Target is the -0.236 Fib extension at 1.17500. If on the other hand it breaks below the Channel Up, be ready to take the small loss and sell towards the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 1.08500, which is the level that supported the market on that previous March 27 Low.
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