EURUSD SHORT & LONG FORECAST Q2 W25 D19 Y25EURUSD SHORT & LONG FORECAST Q2 W25 D19 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅15' order block
✅4 hour order block identified
✅Daily Order block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Eurusd-3
EUR/USD - Eyes on the major resistance at 1.1540!Introduction
The EUR/USD currency pair has been trending downward on the 1-hour timeframe, indicating that bearish momentum is firmly in control. In this analysis, I will outline what to expect from the pair moving forward, and highlight the high-confluence zone that could offer a potential short setup. This area combines technical factors that suggest it may act as strong resistance if price retraces upward before continuing the downtrend.
Market Structure
On the 1-hour chart, the EUR/USD continues to form a series of lower highs and lower lows, which clearly confirms a bearish market structure. This consistent pattern reinforces that sellers have the upper hand, and that any short-term rallies are likely to be corrective in nature, not trend-changing. As long as this structure remains intact, the broader expectation remains bearish, with sellers likely to defend key resistance levels.
Fair Value Gaps on the 15-Minute and 1-Hour Timeframes
During the latest downward movement, the pair left behind two notable Fair Value Gaps, one on the 1-hour chart and another on the 15-minute chart. These imbalances are closely aligned, creating a strong confluence zone where price may face resistance if it moves back upward. The zone between 1.15400 and 1.15600 represents this overlapping FVG area. Because these gaps were formed by aggressive selling pressure, revisiting this level could trigger a bearish reaction, as traders look to re-enter short positions from a premium price.
Golden Pocket Fibonacci Retracement
Adding to this confluence, the Golden Pocket, the area between the 61.8% and 65% Fibonacci retracement levels, lies between 1.15407 and 1.15441. This zone is widely respected among traders due to its tendency to act as a reversal point in trending markets. The fact that it aligns so closely with both the 15-minute and 1-hour FVGs increases the likelihood of price reacting here. If the market retraces into this pocket, we could see renewed selling pressure, making it a valuable level to watch for short entries.
Point of Interest and Liquidity Zone
Within the latest leg down, there was a brief two-hour consolidation before the pair continued lower, leaving behind a distinct wick to the upside. This area is significant because it likely represents a point of interest where buy-side liquidity was grabbed. Many traders who entered shorts early may have placed their stop-losses above this consolidation high, creating a liquidity pool. This level, sitting inside the broader resistance zone formed by the FVGs and the Golden Pocket, adds another layer of technical significance. Price may move into this liquidity before reversing lower, offering a potential trap for buyers and an opportunity for sellers.
Downside Targets
If the price reacts to the resistance zone and resumes its downward movement, there are two logical targets to the downside. The first is 1.1485, which corresponds to the most recent swing low. The second target is 1.1475, which represents a deeper low and a stronger potential support level. These levels align with previous structure and could serve as key take-profit zones for traders holding short positions.
Conclusion
The EUR/USD remains in a well-defined downtrend, and several technical elements now converge between 1.15400 and 1.15600 to form a strong resistance zone. This area includes the 15-minute Fair Value Gap, the 1-hour Fair Value Gap, the Golden Pocket Fibonacci retracement, and a significant point of interest tied to liquidity. While the pair may not need to reach this zone before continuing lower, if it does, it is likely to act as a barrier to further upside. For traders looking to follow the dominant trend, this high-confluence area offers a potential entry point to the downside, with clear structure-based targets below.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD H1 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is trading near our buy entry at1.143-1.1454, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fib retracement and the 61.8% Fib projection, providing a significant level for a potential bullish reversal.
Our take profit will be at 1.1487, which is an overlap resistance
The stop loss will be placed at 1.1405, which is a multi-swing low support level.
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EURUSD - Getting Over-Bought?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈EURUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channels marked in red and blue. However, it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channels.
Moreover, the orange zone is a major daily high.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue/red trendlines and daily high.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Potential bullish rise?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1525
1st Support: 1.1455
1st Resistance: 1.1569
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GBP/USD - SMT with EUR/USD, SHORTExcited to share my first idea with you guys !
To start with, my name is Soulayman and have started my trading journey in October 2024. It was very hard at first, but after hard work and dedication we all know we can make it happen. I basically studied ICT concepts, and was able to integrate those into a system that I have built myself ( this is what every trader should do in my opinion, it will make you understand better ).
And that is why I am here today on Trading View, sharing my first ever idea with you guys !
I'll make it very simple , no extravagant analysis or super complicated trendlines all over the place ... =D
This is what I see :
1 - GBP/USD potentially forming a SMT with EUR/USD after sweeping London High located inside a fair value gap (which makes this play stronger)
2- After the sweep occurs, I will be waiting on a 5 MINUTE break of structure (since 1 min break outs are manipulation most of the times so i prefer to stay safe). If this is followed by a fair value gap, it reinforces our idea showing the market has intent to push price lower.
3 - Now , let's talk about the HIGH TIME FRAME structure (4H) clearly shows the price wants to sell and that it is targeting Sellside liquidity Equal Lows. We could than anticipate a reversal from there.
We currently have price pulling back towards the HTF FVG, failed to close above the most recent high and having bearish reaction.
Since everything aligns with our BIAS, we will let it play out and wait on the sweep !
I will be posting updates during the day =D
Stay tuned ! Talk to you guys soon !
Potential bearish drop?EUR/USD has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1524
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that align with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1572
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1452
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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EURUSD: 4H MA50 may start aggressive rally to 1.17900.EURUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.513, MACD = 0.005, ADX = 36.044), trading inside a Channel Up for the past 5 weeks. Yesterday it made contact with its 4H MA50, which is the most common level of support inside this pattern. Based on that, we find highly probable for the pair to start the new bullish wave. A HH on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension has been a common feature of this Channel Up, hence we are turning bullish here with TP = 1.17900.
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EURUSD: Move Down Expected! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 1.15043 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 1.14942..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURO - Price can correct to support area and then continue riseHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago, price declined below support level and then started to grow inside a triangle pattern.
In this pattern, Euro broke $1.1085 level and even rose higher than $1.1425 level, but soon made a correction.
Later price exited from triangle and fell to support level, after which it started to grow inside rising channel.
Inside channel, price rose near support line and later reached $1.1425 level one more time, and some time traded close.
Soon, Euro broke this level and rose to resistance line of channel and then started to move down.
In my opinion, EUR can fall to support area and then continue to grow in channel to $1.1720 resistance line.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
EURUSD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1504
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1544
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/USD Potential Reversal from Resistance Zone –Bearish OutlookThe EUR/USD pair has been trading within a well-defined ascending channel for several weeks. Price recently tested a strong resistance zone near 1.15850 – 1.16000, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel and a previously marked supply area.
Key observations:
The price action shows signs of rejection from the resistance zone with a potential double-top or fakeout pattern forming.
A projected bearish trajectory is marked, suggesting a possible break below the channel support.
Immediate bearish targets are set at key demand zones around 1.14500, 1.12500, and further down to 1.10500.
A large red arrow indicates the strong downside bias if the price confirms the breakdown.
Conclusion:
If EUR/USD fails to sustain above the 1.15850 resistance zone and breaks below the ascending channel, a strong bearish correction is anticipated. Traders should watch for confirmation of the breakdown before entering short positions.
EURUSD,GBPUSD and USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Distribution Zone Triggered⏰ Timeframe: 15-Minute (M15)
💱 Pair: EUR/USD
📍 Event: Distribution Zone Triggered ‼️
🔍 Market Structure Breakdown: 1️⃣ Accumulation Phase 🟨
📌 Smart money builds long positions
📌 Stops hunted below support
2️⃣ Manipulation Phase 🟦
📌 Liquidity grab above resistance
📌 Trap set for retail buyers
3️⃣ Distribution Phase 🟥
📌 Entry for institutional sellers
📌 Shift in order flow to bearish bias
📊 What’s next?
🔻 Price likely heading to lower demand zones
🔄 Expecting continuation move post-distribution
🧠 Powered by Smart Money Concepts + Wyckoff Logic
🎯 Trader's Tip: Always wait for confirmation inside distribution to avoid false entries!
#EURUSD #DistributionZone #SmartMoney #WyckoffLogic #LiquidityGrab #SMCTrading
EURUSD H2 Best Levels to BUY/SELL and Market Update🏆 EURUSD Market Update m20 short-term trade
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸Short-term: BEARS 1275
🔸1500/1540 short sell rips/rallies
🔸Mid-Term outlook: BULLS 1750
🔸bulls buy low 1250/1275 reload
🔸bulls exit at 1750 swing trade
🔸Price Target Bears: 1250/1275
🔸Price Target Bulls: 1750
🌍 Macro & Political Drivers
U.S. tax & spending concerns: The Congressional Budget Office now projects President Trump's tax‑and‑spending bill will raise deficits by about $2.8 trillion over the next decade. This massive debt addition is pressuring the U.S. dollar, as rising Treasury issuance and weaker fiscal confidence weigh on demand.
Geopolitical tensions: Escalation in the Israel–Iran conflict is pushing investors toward the safe-haven U.S. dollar. The DXY jumped to around 98.80 as President Trump’s remarks on Iran sent the EUR/USD down to approximately 1.1484.
EU developments: ECB officials, including Christine Lagarde, are doubling down on strengthening Europe’s financial infrastructure to elevate the euro as a viable alternative to the dollar — calling this a “global euro moment.”
Key resistance is around 1.1550–1.1575; downside support zones near 1.1450 and broader range 1.1360–1.1420 remain intact, though current levels suggest consolidation above the lower range. Strength from safe-haven flows could stall upward momentum.
📊 ECB Policy & Inflation Signals
The ECB cut rates by 25 bp last week to 2.0%, reinforcing the message that inflation remains subdued (1.9% in May) and prompting a data-driven, meeting-by-meeting decision approach.
ECB speakers stress “agile pragmatism” given global uncertainties, citing the euro’s ~10% rally year-to-date but cautioning amid rising oil prices and geopolitical risks.
⚡ What to Watch Next
Catalyst Outlook
U.S. yields & bond auctions More issuance tied to tax plans could steepen the curve and support the USD.
Middle East headlines Escalation may continue to offer dollar safe-haven benefits, pressuring EUR/USD.
EU economic data Inflation softness (e.g., France) could weaken ECB’s stance, re-pressuring the euro.
Technical levels Watch 1.1450 support—holds for possible rebound; resistance 1.1550–1.1575 for upside pressure.
✅ Summary
Current: EUR/USD around 1.1484, with bearish tilt amid risk aversion.
Bull case: Ongoing U.S. fiscal weakness, delayed tariffs, and ECB support for euro could cap downside.
Bear case: Safe-haven demand from geopolitical tensions, Fed‑ECB divergence, and technical breakdown through 1.1450 could push toward 1.1360.
EUR/USD Slides Below Trendline The EUR/USD pair is trending lower and forming a short-term downtrend beneath a descending trendline, as the U.S. Dollar (USD) remains supported by its safe-haven appeal amid escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and Iran.
At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 1.1500, with bearish momentum still dominating. As long as the trendline holds, sellers maintain the upper hand — making trend-following short positions worth considering.
Wishing you all successful and smooth trading!
EUR/USD Pressured by Safe-Haven Dollar DemandEUR/USD traded near 1.15 on Wednesday, under pressure from safe-haven demand for the U.S. dollar as Middle East tensions escalated. Fears of broader conflict involving the U.S. kept the dollar firm. Markets await the Federal Reserve’s policy decision, with rates expected to stay unchanged, though guidance may shape future expectations. The euro remained weak, burdened by Europe’s energy import exposure amid rising oil prices.
Resistance is located at 1.1580, while support is seen at 1.1460.
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 18, 2025 EURUSDEvent to pay attention to today:
12:00 EET. EUR - Consumer Price Index
15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims
21:00 EET. USD - FOMC Rate Decision
Declining confidence in the US economy amid trade policy is undermining the US Dollar (USD) against the Euro (EUR). Data released by the US Census Bureau on Tuesday showed that US retail sales fell 0.9% m/m in May, compared to a 0.1% decline (revised from +0.1%) recorded in April. The figure was weaker than estimates of -0.7%. Meanwhile, US industrial production in May declined 0.2% m/m vs. 0.1% previously (revised from 0%), worse than expectations of 0.1%.
Traders expect the US Federal Reserve to leave borrowing costs unchanged at its June meeting on Wednesday. Markets now estimate a nearly 80% chance that the Fed will cut rates in September and then another in October, according to Reuters.
The mood of European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers is supportive of the common currency. ECB President Christine Lagarde said that rate cuts are coming to an end as the central bank is now in a “good position” to deal with the current uncertainty.
Meanwhile, investors will keep an eye on geopolitical risks. Israel is set to step up strikes on Tehran, while the US is considering expanding its role amid rising tensions between Israel and Iran.
Trade recommendation: SELL 1.1460, SL 1.1560, TP 1.1260