GBPUSD H1 compression BUY/HOLD TP1 +100 TP2 +200 pips low risk🏆 GBPUSD Market Update
📊 Technical Outlook
Short-term: BULLS active; resistance forming mid‑1.3600s, consolidation below 1.3600s
Mid-term: Neutral to slight bullish bias; bulls seek 1.3600–1.3700/1.3730 zone
Status: Narrow trading range (tight band) ahead of key UK CPI, Fed & BoE meetings
🔥 Latest Forex Updates
GBP/USD is consolidating in a narrow range around the mid‑1.3500s ahead of this week’s UK CPI and central bank meetings.
The pair holds defensive below 1.3600, with dovish BoE bets capping gains while the Fed is expected to stand pat.
GBP/USD sits near a 40‑month high (~1.3600), boosted by geopolitical risk tone, but lacking momentum to break much higher.
GBP/USD hit ~1.3600 after rebounding from 1.3515 amid renewed Middle East tensions and a weaker US dollar.
Live charts show a mild bullish tilt, awaiting central bank outcomes.
💡 Trade Recommendation
Buy GBPUSD at 1.3530 (recommended entry near 1.3530)
Take Profit at 1.3730 → +200 pips profit target
Stop Loss: 50 pips (around 1.3480)
This trade aligns with the current structure: shallow dip followed by rebound, positioning ahead of central bank catalysts. Momentum above resistance could propel GBP/USD toward 1.3730.
📌 Market Overview
Metric Details
Current Price ~1.3565–1.3600
24H Range 1.3515–1.3600
Central Event Risks UK CPI (Wed), US Retail Sales & Fed (Wed), BoE (Thu)
Geopolitical Middle East tension supports USD weakness, aiding GBP
📈 Forecast Highlights
Support Levels: ~1.3530 (100‑period SMA), ~1.3460, ~1.3425
Resistance Levels: 1.3600, 1.3630 static ceiling, followed by ~1.3700–1.3730 for bulls
🧭 Final Take
GBP/USD sits in a tight range, awaiting central bank clarity. The recommended long trade at 1.3530 aims to capitalize on upside momentum toward 1.3730, supported by technical confluence and a softer USD. Manage risk with a 50‑pip stop loss.
Eurusd-4
EURUSD – Healthy pullback within a strong uptrendEURUSD is undergoing a temporary correction after a strong bullish move, but the pair remains above key technical support levels such as the EMA34 and the ascending trendline. The 1.15070 zone now acts as a potential buy area—where demand may return if confirmation signals appear.
Market sentiment is leaning toward the expectation that the Fed may cut interest rates soon due to weaker-than-expected U.S. retail sales data, which has weighed on the USD and indirectly supported the euro. Meanwhile, the ECB continues to maintain a stable policy stance, further reinforcing the current bullish trend.
If the price holds above the green support zone, the next target could be around 1.15940. If this support breaks, traders should watch price behavior at the trendline before making the next trading decision.
EUR/USD – 30m | Smart Money long SetupPair: EUR/USD
🔹 Timeframe: 30-Minutes
🔹 Confluence Strategy: Elliott Wave + Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
🔹 Pattern: Ending Triangle (Wave e) + CHoCH + BOS
🔹 Published on: June 17, 2025
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🧠 Analysis Summary:
1. Wave (e) of triangle nearly complete — signs of liquidity grab at the low.
2. CHoCH formed after internal structure break – a bullish signal.
3. Demand zone successfully mitigated, showing buyer reaction.
4. BOS confirms intent to shift bullish structure.
5. Clear imbalance/fair value gap filled before move.
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🎯 Next Move Projection:
Entry Zone: 1.1562–1.1565 (Demand Area)
Target: 1.1596–1.1600 (Supply Zone Resistance)
Invalidation: Clean break below 1.1555 low (demand fails)
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📌 Trade Bias:
✔️ Bullish — Expecting price to tap into supply zone and potentially reverse.
⚠️ Monitor lower timeframes (5m–15m) for rejection signs near 1.1600.
EUR/USD Triangle Pattern – 1H Timeframe
📊 EUR/USD Triangle Pattern – 1H Timeframe
🕐 Date: 17 June 2025
📌 Chart by: GreenfireForex
🔷 Pattern: Contracting Triangle (ABCDE)
🔍 Context: Forming inside Wave (4) – possible breakout before Wave (5)
📈 Upside Potential: Break above triangle → target near 1.16500+
📉 Downside Risk: If fails to break up → revisit demand zone around 1.15000
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🔮 Possible Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Breakout:
Breaks above wave (e)
Clean rally toward target zone
Ideal for a long setup with tight SL
❌ Bearish Fakeout:
Rejection from triangle resistance
Falls back into demand zone
Look for reversal or retest opportunities
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🎯 Strategy Tips:
Wait for a breakout candle
Use SL outside triangle zone
Entry based on confirmation – avoid early trades
💬 Let’s discuss live market reaction as price nears triangle edge. Stay ready .
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D17 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D17 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅15' order block
✅4 hour order block identified
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EURUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.1570, which is a pullback resistance aligning with a 38.2% Fib retracement.
Our take profit will be at 1.1528, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.1609, a multi-swing high resistance.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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EUR/USD Slips — Setup or Selloff?EUR/USD kicked off the week under pressure, hovering near 1.1540 during the Asian session. The drop comes as the U.S. dollar regains strength, driven by safe-haven demand amid rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
In times like these, the greenback shines — and riskier currencies like the euro naturally take a hit. If the situation escalates further, the pair could extend its decline in the near term.
But let’s flip the perspective: while some see risk, others see opportunity. This dip might just be the pullback that buyers have been waiting for — especially if the fundamentals shift or tensions ease. Timing, as always, is everything.
EURUSD Long Setup – Bullish Rejection from Demand ZoneEURUSD remains supported by strong eurozone fundamentals and broad USD softness. The pair has retraced into a key demand zone around 1.1490 and is showing signs of bullish rejection. With the Fed likely to pause further rate hikes and the ECB maintaining a steady tone, the bias favors further upside toward recent highs.
⚠️ Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East (Israel-Iran conflict) have introduced mild safe haven demand, but so far the USD has underperformed versus the euro, suggesting EUR remains relatively insulated.
Watch for confirmation and entries within the blue demand box.
🔍 Technical Analysis:
Structure: Clear uptrend with higher highs and higher lows. Price retraced to a well-defined 1H demand zone between 1.1490–1.1500.
Setup: Anticipating a bounce from the demand zone targeting the recent high near 1.1620–1.1630.
Entry Zone: 1.1490–1.1500 (bullish reaction area)
Target: 1.1620–1.1630 (previous supply zone)
Stop Loss: Below 1.1439 (recent swing low)
Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:2.5
🧠 Fundamental Context (as of June 16):
EUR Bias: Bullish – ECB has paused cuts; euro is resilient despite geopolitical headwinds.
USD Bias: Bearish – Fed is on pause; soft inflation data and geopolitical risks weigh on dollar strength.
Key Drivers:
Fed dovish tone (FOMC pause, lower CPI)
Strong EU resilience despite global tensions
CHF and JPY attracting safe haven flows over USD
📅 Key Events to Watch:
US Core PCE (next major inflation readout)
FOMC commentary and Fed speakers
Eurozone CPI and sentiment data
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1611
1st Support: 1.1495
1st Resistance: 1.1649
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Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1546
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1497
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Take profit: 1.1611
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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Gold Cooling After Spike – $3375 Key Level to WatchBy analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after surging to $3450 amid the Iran–Israel conflict, gold faced a pullback following a liquidity sweep above that level.
Currently, gold is trading around $3392, and after a potential correction down to $3375, I expect to see further upside movement.
⚠️ Stay cautious — gold remains highly volatile and sudden moves are likely!
EURUSD Last push before correction.The EURUSD pair made a new High by breaking above the 1.15725 Resistance and is extending the rally since the January 13 2025 Low. That Low was the Higher Low of the multi-year Channel Up, so the current uptrend is technically its latest Bullish Leg.
The first Bullish Leg of that pattern peaked after a +15.75% rise. We expect a similar peak for the current rally, thus targeting 1.17750, before a new pull-back below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Testing Upper Channel Line || Eyes on 1.16 and Previous High📌 EURUSD 4H – Testing Upper Channel | Eyes on 1.1600-1.1666
🕓 June 12, 2025
👤 By: MJTrading
🔍 Technical Overview:
EURUSD continues its upward trajectory within a clean ascending channel, respecting both dynamic structure and EMA support zones. We're now retesting a key confluence area:
==============================================================
🔻 Bearish Setup Idea:
Entry Zone: 1.1570–1.1600
Stop Loss: Above 1.16666 (round number & psychological resistance)
Target: Channel midline (~1.1450) or lower band (~1.1380)
🧠 Why This Zone Matters:
🔺 Previous Swing Highs: Price is revisiting the April peak zone (~1.1570)
🧱 Round Number Confluence: 1.1600 & 1.1666
📉 Rising Channel Resistance: Upper boundary hit after extended leg
🔄 Potential Mean Reversion: EMAs are lagging behind price
⚠️ Invalidation:
A clean break and close above 1.1700 with follow-through may invalidate short bias and signal continuation toward 1.1800+
💬 Patience is power. Let the levels do the talking.
📎 #EURUSD #ForexAnalysis #TechnicalTrading #SmartMoney #PriceAction #RoundNumberLevels #MJTRADING
EURUSd a big move down
📉 EUR/USD Analysis | 2H Timeframe
Wave 5 in play! 🚨
Structure shift confirmed with BOS at key supply zone. Expecting liquidity sweep and a bearish reversal 📉
🧠 Smart Money + Elliott Wave Combo:
🔹 BOS at Wave 3 ✅
🔹 Wave 4 retracement held
🔹 Anticipating Wave 5 top-out and reversal
🔹 Targeting major demand zones (blue lines)
🔻 Potential Sell Setup Loading…
📆 Monday, 16 June | 2H Chart
🔍 PEPPERSTONE: EUR/USD
💬 Drop your thoughts below or DM “WAVE” to learn this strategy!
—
🔖 #eurusd #forexanalysis #elliottwave #smartmoneyconcepts #forextrader #fxsignals #technicalanalysis
EURUSD: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.16075 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.15775..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURO - Pirce can make movement up and then drop to $1.1420Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
After entering the wedge, Euro began to slow down, creating a tightening structure between support and resistance.
Price corrected toward the support line of the wedge, where it briefly paused and bounced with weak momentum.
The bounce triggered a breakout above local resistance, but buyers failed to hold the price at higher levels.
Soon after, the market reversed from the wedge’s upper boundary and began forming a bearish rejection pattern.
Now price trades just below the recent highs, showing fading demand and early signs of short-term reversal.
I expect Euro to move lower and reach the $1.1420 support level — my current target in this scenario.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
EURUSD 1H. for 50 pips! :)Hello dear traders, this is EURUSD with Nika.
I want to share you this idea, with buy on limit perspective.
We may see this previous and current pattern are strong in connection.
So that's my opinion, about how we may receive some price movement.
It's good trading idea only in low budget. :)
Thank you!
EURUSD Is Bullish! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.157.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.165 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
DeGRAM | EURUSD fixed above the lower boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Euro keeps stair-stepping along the inner trend-line of the 2-month rising channel; each dip to the line (green arrows) is met with higher lows, confirming firm demand around 1.1485-1.1500.
● Friday’s break back above the former wedge cap turned 1.1550 into support; clearing the last swing high at 1.1605 would expose the channel median / fib cluster at 1.1650, with the upper rail near 1.1745 as an extension.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Softer US retail-sales and a slump in NY Fed manufacturing pulled Treasury 2-yr yields under 4.70 %, while ECB speakers warned that further cuts “are not a given,” narrowing the rate gap and reviving euro bids.
✨ Summary
Long 1.1520-1.1560; hold above 1.1550 targets 1.1650 ➜ 1.1745. Bias void on an H4 close below 1.1480.
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EURUSD 16 June – Technical Rebound or Liquidity Trap? EURUSD 16 June – Technical Rebound or Liquidity Trap?
The EURUSD pair has shown sharp movements after testing key resistance near 1.1607. While the price action may appear bullish at first glance, deeper analysis suggests we might be facing either a continuation of the uptrend or a strategic liquidity hunt.
🌍 Macro & Fundamental Overview
The ECB remains hawkish with rates still high, but recent commentary hints at a more dovish tone possibly leading to rate cuts in late Q3 2025.
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve maintains its cautious stance, holding off on rate cuts due to sticky core inflation.
This divergence in policy expectations creates a neutral to slightly USD-favorable bias, depending on upcoming economic data.
⏳ Bottom line: EURUSD remains in a choppy environment with compression–expansion cycles, and no confirmed macro-driven trend yet.
📉 Technical Outlook (H1 Chart)
Price Structure: The pair is moving within a short-term ascending channel, but current price is testing the upper boundary.
EMA Analysis (13/34/89/200): Still supports an uptrend, but flattening out — potential bearish crossover if price fails to hold.
Key Resistance:
1.1607: Major resistance and local top (double rejection zone).
Critical Support Zones:
1.15540: Minor structural support — a decisive level for intraday direction.
1.15261 & 1.14807: Unfilled FVG zones and liquidity pools that may get targeted if the price breaks lower.
🎯 Trade Setup Ideas
📘 Scenario A – BUY from 1.15540 support (bullish continuation)
Entry: 1.15540 (upon bullish candle confirmation or strong bounce)
Stop Loss: 1.15200
Take Profits: 1.15850 → 1.16070 → 1.16300+
✅ Ideal if European sentiment remains positive or if USD weakens across the board.
📕 Scenario B – SELL if price breaks and retests 1.15540
Entry: 1.15540 (after a breakdown + rejection retest)
Stop Loss: 1.15720
Take Profits: 1.15261 → 1.14807 → possibly 1.1450
✅ Best used if USD gains strength or EUR shows weakness after economic releases.
🧠 Market Psychology
The market is currently reactive to any shift in tone from ECB and Fed, causing price whipsaws near key zones.
Smart traders will avoid chasing breakouts and instead focus on reaction zones like 1.15540 for confirmation-based trades.
Watch for fakeouts, as institutional players may be hunting liquidity before choosing direction.
📌 Final Thoughts
EURUSD is in a sensitive zone, and 1.15540 is the intraday pivot. Holding above could trigger a push toward 1.1607 and higher. But failure to hold would likely attract sellers toward the 1.1480–1.1450 liquidity range.
🎯 Discipline is key. Avoid emotional entries. Let the market come to your level — and execute only with confirmation.