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Eurusd-4

EUR/USD Nears 1.1620 Before Powell’s TestimonyEUR/USD edged up to 1.1615 in early European trading on Wednesday, supported by improved risk sentiment after Israel and Iran signaled an end to their air conflict. The truce, backed by pressure from President Trump, increased appetite for risk assets, favoring the euro over the dollar. All eyes are now on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who reiterated on Tuesday that monetary policy will remain data-driven. However, comments from Kansas City Fed President Schmid hinted at caution due to tariff-driven inflation. While markets expect a rate cut in September, July odds have edged slightly higher. Resistance is at 1.1630, while support is at 1.1530.
by ChartMage
DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the supply area📊 Technical Analysis ● Price formed an intraday rising wedge right inside the 1.1615-1.1635 supply band; the wedge has broken lower and the last two candles closed back under the long-term trendline retest. ● Bearish follow-through is favoured while price stays below 1.1604; first magnet is the confluence of former breakout base and inner channel support at 1.1569, with 1.1547 (mid-June pivot) the next objective. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Fresh Euro-area PMIs dipped below consensus while U.S. consumer-confidence beat, widening the short-rate gap and reviving USD bids. ✨ Summary Sell rallies ≤1.1600; targets 1.1569 → 1.1547. Bias invalid if 30-min candle closes above 1.1635. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support
Long
by DeGRAM
1
EURUSD Approaching Liquidity Shelf — Watch for Reaction at 1.164EURUSD remains firmly bullish on all major timeframes, respecting the internal structure of an ascending channel. • Daily: Price continues to respect both the red trendline and broader purple bullish channel. Buyers are defending the mid-line and pushing toward the upper boundary. • 4H: Clear higher highs and higher lows. Price recently revisited and bounced off a 4H demand zone (1.14750–1.15000), and is now testing the liquidity zone at 1.16400. • 1H: Microstructure shows consolidation and possible absorption of liquidity just beneath the 1.16415 high. A clean break and retest of this level may confirm continuation. Key Levels: • Resistance: 1.16415 (previous high and liquidity trap) • Support: 1.14900 (4H demand zone) • Daily trendline holding as dynamic support Trade Plan: • Longs: Await a break and retest of 1.16415 or a retracement to 1.15600 for a more discounted entry. • Shorts: Not favored unless a strong bearish engulfing forms below 1.1600 with structure shift on the 1H.
Long
by AutoMarkets
Could the Fiber reverse from here?The price is reacting off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to the 1st 50% Fibonacci support. Pivot: 1.1631 1st Support: 1.1552 1st Resistance: 1.1677 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Fed speak - Not broken, not cutting “Don’t fix what isn’t broken” seems to be the Fed’s current stance. Two Fed officials made that clear over the last 24 hours. Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr warned that tariffs could fuel inflation by lifting short-term expectations, triggering second-round effects, and making inflation more persistent. New York Fed President John Williams echoed that view, noting that tariff-driven inflation is “likely to get stronger in the months ahead.” He also called policy “well positioned” and said the Fed needs more data before making any move. EUR/USD has formed a rising wedge pattern on the daily chart—typically a bearish structure that warns of a potential reversal. Price action has narrowed, building two clear tops. The downside target from the wedge could potentially be 1.1066 initially, and possibly down to 1.0732 if bearish momentum accelerates.
by BlackBull_Markets
EurUsd - This is the deadly breakout!EurUsd - FX:EURUSD - is about to fly: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) EurUsd has been rallying about +15% over the past couple of months. Additionally the breakout at the current resistance trendline is about to be confirmed. Subsequently EurUsd is setting up for another major move higher, which will be painful for all European traders. Levels to watch: $1.23, $1.11 Keep your long term vision🙏🙏 Philip (BasicTrading)
Long
by basictradingtv
6
EURUSD: Can it reach 1.1900?EURUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 65.234, MACD = 0.006, ADX = 20.419) and is going for a 3 week high. This is technically a long term bullish wave (since the January 13th 2025 low) on the 3 year Channel Up. We anticipate that this wave will go for the pattern's high by the end of the year, and being limited by the 7 year LH trendline, we expect to aim for at least 1.1900. The 1W RSI has started to post a sequence that resembles the last 3 major ones. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
Euro can drop from wedge, breaking support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The price previously started a confident upward movement, breaking out from the buyer zone around 1.1075 and forming an upward wedge pattern. As the trend continued, EUR pushed through the support area and traded inside the wedge, showing multiple bounces from the support line. Eventually, the pair reached the resistance line at the top of the wedge and then reversed. After a short correction, it tried to rebound again but failed to create a new high. The market then pulled back into the support area 1.1455 - 1.1410 and is now testing that level once more. Currently, the Euro is trading just above the support area, and we may see a short-term rebound from here. However, given the overall structure, I expect the price to break the support level and exit the wedge pattern to the downside. In my opinion, this breakout will initiate a strong bearish wave, targeting the 1.1250 points, which is where I’ve set my TP 1. Given the pattern structure, recent lower highs, and the weakening bullish momentum, I remain bearish and anticipate further decline once support is broken. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by LegionQ8
10
EURUSD A Fall Expected! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1609 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 1.1532 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
EURUSD Short Part IIEURUSD Analysis On EURUSD daily chart from CMC Markets quota, indicates a bullish trend with a symmetrical triangle pattern forming. The price has recently broken above a key resistance level, suggesting potential for continued upward movement. Key Price Levels Current Price: 1.16932 Stop Loss (SL): 1.16549 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 1.12003 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 1.09318 Trend Analysis EURUSD shows clear signs on an ascending trend supported by higher lows and higher highs since early 2025. Both orange trend-lines which I created form a symmetrical triangle, with the price nearing the apex, hinting at a potential breakout or reversal which I have been looking for a reversal bearish breakout. The upward momentum is strong, but the proximity to the upper trend-line and set take-profit levels indicates preparation for a possible correction. I still believe in shorts on EURUSD. Conclusion Traders and investors should monitor the price action near the triangle apex for breakout confirmation. The set stop loss and take-profit levels provide a structured approach to managing the trade, balancing potential gains with risk mitigation. Stay tuned for more updates on the trade.
Short
by KingTraderFX
EURUSD Sell/ShortFundamental Analysis EURUSD rates is being influenced by the current Eurozone's economic performance, driven by key economies like Germany and France, continues to be shaped by industrial output, consumer confidence, and inflation trends. The European Central Bank (ECB) has likely maintained a cautious monetary policy, with interest rates possibly held steady or adjusted slightly to combat inflation while supporting growth. On the U.S. side, the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates, potentially in a tightening phase to address persistent inflation plays a critical role. Recent U.S. economic data, including GDP growth, employment figures, and consumer spending, may indicate a robust dollar, putting downward pressure on EURUSD. Additionally, geopolitical tensions, energy prices (affecting Eurozone energy imports), and trade balances between the U.S. and EU are likely contributing to volatility. Given the current date, recent ECB and Fed statements or data releases for June 2025 inflation reports. Technical Analysis: Based on the provided EURUSD 1D chart (covering mid-2024 to mid-2025), the following technical observations can be made: Trend and Moving Averages: For EURUSD it shows a descending trend from a peak around 1.48 in mid-2024, with a potential reversal or consolidation forming in mid-2025. The 50-day and 200-day moving averages (depicted as orange lines) are sloping downward, with the price recently testing these levels around 1.12-1.13. A break above the shorter-term moving average could signal bullish momentum, while a failure to hold might confirm a continuation of the downtrend. Looking for key support levels here are identified at 1.09318 (TP 2) and 1.08000, with the current price hovering near 1.12003 (TP 1). Resistance is notable at 1.15625 (SL) and the previous high near 1.4800. The price action suggests a potential bounce from the recent low, with the next target being the resistance zone around 1.15625 if bullish momentum persists. Candlesticks and volume patterns are showing a recent green candlesticks indicate buying pressure, potentially forming a reversal pattern near the 1.12 level. Volume analysis would confirm the strength of this move, with higher volume on upticks supporting a breakout. Overall Bias: The technical setup suggests a short-term bullish correction within a broader bearish trend, contingent on breaking and holding above 1.15625. A drop below 1.09318 would invalidate the bullish case and resume the downtrend toward 1.08000 or lower. Sentiment Analysis Market sentiment as of June 2025 likely reflects heightened interest in EUR/USD due to recent economic data and central bank policies. Traders and analysts are closely watching for signs of ECB rate cuts or Fed rate hikes, which could sway the pair. On social platforms and financial forums, there may be a mix of caution and optimism looking out for caution due to the Eurozone's economic challenges (energy costs, political uncertainty), and optimism if U.S. data softens, weakening the dollar. The chart's visibility on trading platforms suggests retail and institutional traders are actively monitoring this pair, with a focus on the 1.12-1.16 range as a critical decision point. Sentiment could shift rapidly based on upcoming economic releases or geopolitical developments. Conclusion The EUR/USD pair is at a pivotal juncture, with fundamentals pointing to a stronger USD due to Fed policy, while from a technical standpoint suggest a short-term bounce toward 1.15625 if support at 1.12003 holds. Sentiment indicates active trader interest, with eyes on central bank moves. A break above resistance could target 1.4800 (long-term), while a failure might see a decline to 1.08000. Monitor upcoming data for confirmation.
Short
by KingTraderFX
1
EUR/USD Hits Weekly High as Ceasefire Weakens DollarEUR/USD climbed to a fresh weekly high near 1.1610 during late Asian trading on Tuesday, boosted by a sharp sell-off in the US Dollar following the announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran by President Donald Trump. The truce improved market risk appetite and dampened demand for traditional safe havens like the US Dollar. As a result, the US Dollar Index (DXY) dropped steeply from Monday’s two-week high of 99.42 to around 98.10. The dollar also came under pressure from shifting expectations around Fed policy. On Monday, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman signaled support for a potential rate cut as early as the July meeting, citing rising concerns over the labor market. “We should put more weight on downside risks to the job market,” she stated, adding that it's time to consider adjusting the policy rate. Her dovish tone nudged up expectations for a July rate cut, with CME FedWatch data showing the probability rising from 14.5% on Friday to 22.7%. In the Eurozone, ECB officials expressed concerns over the region’s economic outlook, particularly considering new US tariff policies. President Christine Lagarde, in remarks to the European Parliament, warned that inflation staying near the 2% target is uncertain and noted that survey data points to “some weaker prospects for economic activity in the near term.” She added that risks to growth remain “tilted to the downside.” Resistance is located at 1.1630, while support is seen at 1.1530.
by ChartMage
EURUSD - Shifting from Bearish to Bullish Soon!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈EURUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising wedge marked in blue. Moreover, the orange zone is a strong support! 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
4
EURUSD Bullish flag breakout at 1.1525Trend Overview: The EUR/USD currency pair maintains a bullish sentiment, supported by a sustained rising trend. Recent intraday price action shows a bullish flag breakout, a continuation pattern that typically signals further upside potential. Key Levels to Watch: Support: 1.1525 – critical former consolidation zone and breakout base Below that: 1.1440 and 1.1360 as deeper retracement targets Resistance: Initial target: 1.1700 Further resistance at: 1.1740 and 1.1780 Scenarios: Bullish Continuation: A retest and hold of the 1.1525 support would confirm strength post-breakout Could trigger renewed buying toward 1.1700, then 1.1740 and 1.1780 Bearish Reversal: A daily close below 1.1525 would invalidate the bullish flag Opens the path for a deeper correction toward 1.1440 and 1.1360 Conclusion: EUR/USD remains technically bullish following the flag breakout, with upside momentum favoured above 1.1525. Traders should watch for price action near this key level — holding it supports a bullish continuation, while a breakdown may trigger a short-term bearish correction. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the resistance level📊 Technical Analysis ● Price has spiked into the confluence of the long-term channel roof (≈1.1615) and a steeper resistance line, printing a rejection candle and bearish divergence on the 1 h RSI. ● The move leaves a lower high versus 13 Jun and snaps the micro up-sloper; a slide back inside the grey 1.1560-1.1520 supply should accelerate toward the mid-June swing floor at 1.1490. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Hotter US S&P-global PMIs rekindled Fed “higher-for-longer” chatter, lifting two-year yields and the DXY, while French election uncertainty widens Bund-Treasury spreads—both pressuring EUR. ✨ Summary Fade rallies 1.1580-1.1610; sustained trade beneath 1.1560 targets 1.1520 ➜ 1.1490. Bearish view void on an hourly close above 1.1630. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support
Short
by DeGRAM
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD growth in the channel📊 Technical Analysis ● The chart for EURUSD, as indicated in the upper right corner, displays a classic descending wedge pattern, which is typically a bullish reversal signal. Price action has respected the wedge’s lower boundary multiple times, forming a series of higher lows while sellers failed to push the pair below the 1.0670 support zone. The most recent candles show a decisive breakout above the wedge’s upper trendline, accompanied by increased volume, suggesting that buyers are regaining control. This breakout is further validated by the RSI indicator, which has moved out of oversold territory and is now trending upward, confirming the shift in momentum. ● The technical setup is reinforced by the presence of a horizontal resistance level at 1.0750, which has acted as a magnet for price in previous attempts. The chart also highlights a bullish engulfing pattern on the daily timeframe, signaling strong demand and a potential continuation toward the next resistance at 1.0820. The moving averages are beginning to converge, with the shorter-term MA crossing above the longer-term MA, a classic bullish crossover that often precedes sustained upward movement. These factors collectively point to a high-probability scenario for further gains in the EURUSD pair. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Recent fundamental developments support the bullish technical outlook. Over the past two days, the Federal Reserve has maintained its policy rate, but forward guidance has hinted at a possible rate cut later this year, which has weighed on the US dollar. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank has adopted a more cautious stance, with the probability of a near-term rate cut decreasing as inflation data remains sticky in the eurozone. Additionally, easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and stable US retail sales have reduced safe-haven demand for the dollar, further supporting the euro’s advance. ✨ Summary ● A confirmed breakout above the descending wedge and bullish momentum indicators suggest a long entry on EURUSD above 1.0750, targeting 1.0820. The bullish scenario remains valid as long as price holds above the 1.0670 support. A close below this level would invalidate the setup and call for a reassessment of the trend. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support
Long
by DeGRAM
1