Gold at Key Rejection Zone: Will the Drop Resume from $3310?By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after some consolidation between $3294 and $3302, the price finally began a sharp drop, correcting down to $3245. This area was a key demand zone on lower timeframes, which triggered a rebound, and gold is now trading around $3310. If the price gets rejected from the $3310–$3313 zone, we can expect another potential decline.
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EURUSD
EURUSD Structural Analysis | Curve Breakout to Key Reversal Zone🔍 Structure Analysis:
The EURUSD pair has been exhibiting classic smart money behavior following a reaccumulation phase beneath a curved resistance structure. This curve acted as a dynamic liquidity ceiling, engineered to trap breakout traders during early sessions and encourage early shorts — only to be invalidated later by institutional momentum.
What we now see is a clean structural breakout, a shift in market sentiment, and a precision drive toward premium liquidity zones, where we expect reactions from institutional orders or profit-taking.
📐 Technical Breakdown:
🔹 1. Curved Resistance Breakout (Trend Manipulation Layer)
The curve represents a multi-touch descending resistance line that was gradually compressing price.
Multiple rejections created a false sense of bearish continuation, but in reality, smart money was accumulating positions under the curve.
The final breakout was impulsive and occurred on elevated volume, breaking both the curve and a short-term bearish structure.
🔹 2. Bullish Market Structure Confirmation
Higher highs and higher lows are now clearly established.
After the curve break, the price pulled back slightly, respecting the new trendline support — a sign of retest behavior and continuation.
The previous internal structure break was confirmed after a key swing high was violated, flipping the order flow to bullish.
🔹 3. SR Interchange + QFL Demand Zone
The 1.11800–1.12200 zone held firm during the retracement, previously acting as a strong resistance and now a support flip.
This zone coincides with a QFL-style accumulation base — a concept based on sudden dips into support where big orders are filled before sharp reversals.
Wick rejections and candle closes show strong interest by buyers.
🔹 4. Trendline & Structure Alignment
A clean ascending trendline is acting as dynamic support.
Each touch on the trendline has been followed by bullish expansion — another indication of institutional order flow support.
This trendline also aligns with internal FVGs (Fair Value Gaps), offering more confluence.
🔹 5. Liquidity Magnet: Next Major Zone
The next key area is marked around 1.15500–1.15750, which is a previous structural high, order block, and likely liquidity pool for pending sell-side orders.
This area is expected to act as a magnet, pulling price toward it before a potential reversal or redistribution phase begins.
📊 Trade Management Plan:
Parameter Details
Bias Bullish (Short-Term to Mid-Term)
Entry Zones Retest of trendline or minor FVGs
TP1 1.14500 (interim supply)
TP2 (Main) 1.15500–1.15750 (major liquidity zone)
SL Below 1.11800 (invalidates bullish idea)
RR Target 1:2.5 to 1:3 depending on entry precision
🧠 Concepts Applied:
Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
Break of Structure (BOS) & Change of Character (CHOCH)
Curve Manipulation / Compression
SR Flip (Support-Resistance Interchange)
QFL (Quasimodo Failure Level)
Trendline + FVG Confluence
Liquidity Pool Targeting
Volume Expansion Breakout Confirmation
🛎️ Watchlist Notes & Trade Expectations:
Expect short-term pullbacks into the 1.13000–1.13200 zone for liquidity re-tests.
Watch for reaction or sweep near 1.15500 — this is where short-term sellers may enter, and institutions may offload.
If price holds above the trendline and consolidates near the high, a continuation leg to even higher targets (1.16500) is possible — depending on macro conditions.
✅ Conclusion:
This EURUSD setup is a high-probability opportunity shaped by smart money behavior and deep structural context. The combination of the curve breakout, trendline strength, and liquidity targeting provides a clear roadmap for execution and management.
Use this analysis as a framework — always confirm with price action and risk management aligned with your personal strategy.
EURUSD: Bullish Forecast & Outlook
The analysis of the EURUSD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to go up due to the rising pressure from the buyers.
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EURUSD | Bearish Divergence | Bearish MomentumCurrently, EURUSD is clearly in a downtrend, consistently forming lower lows and lower highs, confirming a bearish market structure. According to Dow Theory, the recent bullish momentum has now shifted into a confirmed downtrend. Additionally, the 1-hour trendline support has been broken, signaling weakness in the previous bullish leg. We now anticipate a pullback toward the recently broken structure or resistance zone, where further bearish continuation is likely.
On the 1-hour timeframe, a well-formed bearish divergence on the RSI adds confluence to our bias, indicating weakening bullish momentum and a potential trend continuation to the downside. Since our initial entry was slightly late, we’ve strategically placed a limit order near the retest zone and executed a partial position at the current market price to secure early exposure. Overall, structure and momentum both align with short-term bearish sentiment.
Euro can reach resistance line of pennant and then dropHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The price of the Euro had been gradually declining, forming a series of lower highs and finding support around the 1.1070 - 1.1025 buyer zone. This pullback created the groundwork for a new structure to form as volatility narrowed and momentum shifted. After reaching a local bottom, the market rebounded and began constructing an upward pennant, a classic consolidation pattern that often precedes continuation or reversal, depending on breakout direction. Within this pennant, price respected both trendlines, each approach to the upper resistance was followed by a rejection, and each touch of the support line triggered a bounce. Now, the Euro is moving closer to the resistance line of the pennant once again. Given the overall structure, proximity to the 1.1415 resistance level, and prior reactions from the seller zone, I think the Euro can reach the top boundary and then continue to decline, potentially breaking below the pattern. That’s why I set my TP at 1.1150 points, targeting a move toward the support level and exit from the pennant. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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EURUSD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.133.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.124 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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EUR/USD Drifts Lower as Dollar ReboundsEUR/USD is struggling to hold onto Thursday’s rebound from the 1.1200 region—its lowest in nearly 10 days—and trades with a slight bearish bias in Friday’s Asian session. The pair is hovering near the mid-1.1300s, down around 0.15% on the day.
The US Dollar regained some ground due to renewed safe-haven demand after a federal appeals court reinstated former President Trump’s broad trade tariffs, injecting fresh uncertainty into the markets. However, the dollar’s momentum remains limited by concerns over the US fiscal outlook and expectations of Fed rate cuts in 2025.
The euro finds partial support as Trump postponed tariffs on EU imports. Market focus now shifts to the upcoming US PCE inflation data, which may influence Fed policy expectations, followed by next Thursday’s ECB meeting for further direction.
Resistance is seen at 1.1400, with higher levels at 1.1460 and 1.1500. Support is located at 1.1300, followed by 1.1260 and 1.1210.
GBPUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSIS ??GBPUSD has successfully completed its retest of the 1.34300–1.34500 support zone and is now showing strong signs of resuming its bullish momentum. The recent structure confirms a classic bullish continuation pattern, as price bounced cleanly off a critical support level that previously acted as resistance. This level has now flipped into a solid demand zone, giving buyers confidence to push toward the 1.40000 psychological target. Price action continues to respect the uptrend with higher lows forming since mid-April, suggesting strength and institutional accumulation.
From a macroeconomic perspective, the British pound remains fundamentally supported. Recent UK inflation data surprised to the upside, causing the market to delay rate cut expectations from the Bank of England. In contrast, the US dollar is weakening due to rising expectations that the Federal Reserve could initiate rate cuts later this year as inflation cools and labor market data softens. This divergence in policy outlooks between the BoE and the Fed is fueling bullish pressure on GBPUSD, making the 1.40000 level a realistic and high-probability target.
Technical confluence also supports this bullish wave. Fibonacci retracement levels drawn from the recent swing low to the high align closely with the support zone at 1.34300, which acted as a perfect retest before the next leg higher. Additionally, the bullish engulfing candles and consistent daily closes above the support level add further confirmation to the upside bias. As long as the pair holds above 1.34300, the structure favors bulls with strong momentum to test and potentially break the 1.38000 intermediate level on the way to 1.40000.
GBPUSD remains a high-confidence bullish opportunity, aligning both technically and fundamentally. The recent breakout and retest phase is complete, and the pair now appears poised for a sustained rally. With bullish market sentiment, favorable UK data, and USD softness across the board, this setup offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio for medium-term swing traders targeting the 1.40000 zone.
EURUSD – Bullish trend at risk amid PCE and technical pressureEURUSD has just reached the 1.13860 resistance zone – a confluence with the previous peak and former supply area. A weak rebound and a rounding top pattern are gradually forming, indicating weakening buying momentum. The 34 and 89 EMAs on the H4 chart add further pressure from a technical perspective.
If the price continues to be rejected at 1.13860, it may drop toward 1.12670 – which aligns with the ascending trendline support. A break below this level would confirm a clearer bearish trend.
The upcoming Core PCE data is forecasted to rise – indicating inflation remains elevated. This raises the likelihood that the Fed will maintain high interest rates for longer, supporting the USD and weighing on EURUSD.
EUR/USD May Face Minor Pullback Amid USD Strength📊 Market Overview:
EUR/USD is trading around 1.1330, slightly retreating after reaching near 1.1390 earlier this week. The US dollar is strengthening due to robust consumer confidence data and expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain higher interest rates for an extended period. Meanwhile, the euro faces pressure as investors await upcoming Eurozone inflation data.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: 1.1390
• Nearest Support: 1.1255
• EMA: Price remains above the 9-day EMA, indicating the uptrend is still intact.
• RSI: Near 60, suggesting mild overbought conditions.
• MACD: Forming a bearish crossover, signaling potential short-term correction.
📌 Outlook:
EUR/USD may continue to pull back in the short term if it fails to break above the 1.1390 resistance and the US dollar maintains its strength.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
Sell EUR/USD at: 1.1380 – 1.1390
🎯 Take Profit: 1.1255
❌ Stop Loss: 1.1420
Buy EUR/USD at: 1.1255
🎯 Take Profit: 1.1350
❌ Stop Loss: 1.1215
EURUSD M15 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 1.1361, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 1.1296, a pullback support that aligns close the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss is set at 1.1392 a swing high resistance.
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Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the support.
Pivot: 1.1424
1st Support: 1.1237
1st Resistance: 1.1555
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Smart Money waits for the retracement, not the breakout.” TradingView chart for EUR/USD (30-minute )
🧠 Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Breakdown:
🟨 Bullish Zone (Demand)
Marked in yellow, this is the strong demand zone where price recently reversed.
This zone aligns with a potential order block or a liquidity grab.
🟩 Green Box (Potential Re-entry Zone)
This is your optimal trade entry (OTE) zone.
Price is expected to retrace to this zone after facing resistance at the red supply zone.
It aligns with the discount level (below 50% of recent move).
🟥 Red Box (Supply Zone / POI)
Price is currently reacting to this zone.
This may be a short-term rejection point leading to the expected retracement.
🟦 Blue Box (Higher-Timeframe POI / Supply)
A major target zone likely acting as liquidity above swing highs.
If price breaks and holds above red zone, this is the next target for longs.
🟩 Light Green Box (Final Target / Weekly Level)
Likely a weekly supply level or final target for a full bullish expansion.
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📈 Projection (Dashed Arrows):
1. Short-Term Bearish Move: Price dips into green demand zone.
2. Long Entry from Demand: Potential bullish continuation from green zone to break above red.
3. Target Blue Supply: If red is broken, price will head to the blue zone next.
---
Highlight entry point near green box for 1:3+ RR.
Show retracement plan instead of immediate breakout.
Emphasize liquidity hunt at red zone before continuation.
“
---
Would you like me to do analysis of. Other pair , mention in comments,🖇️
EURUSD: Bullish Megaphone unfolds its new bullish wave.EURUSD just turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.015, MACD = 0.004, ADX = 31.789) as it maintains a sustainable short term uptrend through a Bullish Megaphone pattern. The 1D MA50 has assumed the role of the medium term Support and the 3rd bullish wave is already under way. We expect it to repeat at least the previous +2.59% wave, having a TP = 1.14950.
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EURUSD: Move Down Expected! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 1.13626 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 1.13164.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD – Bearish Reversal in Motion, Fair Value Gap Draws Price EURUSD has recently reacted strongly to a major resistance zone, where price previously stalled and reversed in the past. After running into this area again, we saw a sharp and immediate rejection, which confirms the presence of aggressive selling pressure. This rejection was not just a weak pullback, but a strong displacement candle that shows real intent from institutional participants.
This kind of price action is typically a sign that the market has found a short-term top, and will now look to rebalance lower, especially if there are inefficiencies left behind during the last move up. With the rejection now confirmed and price starting to rotate lower, the odds increase that we see a deeper retracement in the coming sessions.
Resistance Reaction and Liquidity Story
The price reached into a well-defined supply area and rejected cleanly. This level was likely filled with buy-side liquidity from breakout traders and late longs, which institutions needed in order to fill their sell orders. After sweeping above the previous highs and triggering breakout entries, price snapped back below, creating a shift in short-term structure.
That move also created a market imbalance, a price inefficiency that the market tends to come back and correct. With bullish liquidity absorbed at the highs, price is now looking for sell-side liquidity, which can typically be found below the previous higher lows and inside unfilled value areas.
Fair Value Gap and Fibonacci Confluence
Below the current market, we have a clean fair value gap that was left behind during the most recent impulsive bullish move. What makes this area even more attractive is that it overlaps perfectly with the golden pocket zone, the 0.618 to 0.65 Fibonacci retracement level. This confluence creates a high-probability target area, not just because of the imbalance, but also because this level acts as a common retracement zone where institutional traders often look to reaccumulate or exit short-term positions.
This area is also likely to hold resting liquidity from traders who placed stop losses under recent higher lows. All these factors combined make the fair value gap plus golden pocket area a natural draw for price, the market tends to gravitate toward these zones when there’s unfinished business left behind.
Expectations and Potential Development
Going forward, I expect price to continue bleeding lower in a controlled fashion, possibly forming minor lower highs along the way. Once the fair value gap is reached and filled, we could see signs of support or accumulation, depending on the context at the time. It’s important not to blindly long from that area, but instead wait for a market reaction, ideally a shift in structure on the lower timeframes, to signal that buyers are stepping back in.
If the market holds that area and confirms support, it could launch a new leg higher. However, if the fair value gap fails and price continues to break down, it would signal that this move is not just a retracement but possibly the start of a larger bearish leg.
Conclusion
The rejection from resistance has opened the door for a deeper retracement. With a clear fair value gap and Fibonacci golden pocket below, the market now has a logical destination to correct toward. This level offers a clean narrative for continuation lower, and it aligns with both price action structure and algorithmic models. Patience is key now, the best opportunities come when price delivers into clean zones like this one.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Bullish Breakout in EUR/USD: Key Levels to Watch This WeekHi everyone,
EUR/USD had a strong week, climbing higher from the May 12 low and further reinforcing our view of a potential long-term bullish trend.
We anticipate further upside towards the 1.13768–1.13940 zone, followed by a possible pullback toward the 1.1200 area. We’ll share more updates on the expected path for EUR/USD if and when price reaches that zone.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, and we expect the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, as long as price holds above the 1.10649 support.
We’ll be keeping you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EURO - Price can make movement up and then drop to $1.1100 levelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price declined inside a falling channel, where it fell to $1.0735 points and then made an upward impulse.
Price exited from channel and reached $1.1100 level, which it soon broke it and continued to move up.
Later Euro rose to $1.1425 points, and then made a correction, after which, in a short time, price rose higher this level.
After this movement, price turned around and started to decline, breaking $1.1425 level again and entered to flat.
In flat, Euro bounced from $1.1100 level and started to grow inside a flat, and later rose to resistance level.
Recently price started to decline, so I expect that Euro can rise a little and then continue to decline to $1.1100 level.
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Euro may grow to resistance level and then drop to 1.1275 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. After forming a strong upward move from the buyer zone (1.11850–1.1210), the price rose sharply, broke the mid-range resistance, and entered the seller zone between 1.1380 and 1.1400. Once it reached the upper boundary of the broadening wedge, the price bounced down from resistance at 1.1380. Now the price is trading inside a broadening wedge, showing signs of a potential reversal. After failing to hold above resistance, the Euro started to decline from the seller zone, confirming selling pressure. The current movement points to a correction within the wedge structure. I expect the Euro will continue falling toward 1.1275, my TP 1, where the support line of the wedge coincides with the upper boundary of the previous buyer zone. This zone has already shown strong reactions before and could act as a short-term reversal area. Given the recent rejection from resistance, the broadening wedge formation, and return from the seller zone, I remain bearish and anticipate further decline. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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